U.S. Census Bureau Erica Filipek (301) 763-5160 Raemeka Gant
For Release 8:30 A.M. EST, Wednesday, November 19, 2003 CB03-181
NEW RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN OCTOBER 2003
BUILDING PERMITS Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,973,000, according to estimates reported today by the U.S. Commerce Department's Census Bureau. This is 5.2 percent (±0.7%) above the revised September rate of 1,875,000 and is 8.8 percent (±1.0%) above the October 2002 estimate of 1,813,000. Single-family authorizations in October were at a rate of 1,535,000; this is 3.2 percent (±0.7%) above the September figure of 1,487,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 356,000 in October. HOUSING STARTS Privately-owned housing starts in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,960,000. This is 2.9 percent (±5.8%) above the revised September estimate of 1,905,000 and is 18.6 percent (±6.8%) above the October 2002 rate of 1,653,000. Single-family housing starts in October 2003 were at a rate of 1,617,000; this is 5.7 percent (±6.2%) above the September figure of 1,530,000. The October estimate for units in buildings with five units or more was 319,000. HOUSING COMPLETIONS Privately-owned housing completions in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,727,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 0.7 percent (±7.7%) above the revised September estimate of 1,715,000 and is 8.5 percent (±7.5%) above the October 2002 rate of 1,591,000. Single-family housing completions in October 2003 were at a rate of 1,475,000; this is 4.6 percent (±8.1%) above the September figure of 1,410,000. The October rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 230,000. EXPLANATORY NOTES
In interpreting changes in the statistics in this release, note that month-to-month changes in seasonally adjusted statistics often show movements which may be irregular. It may take 4 months to establish an underlying trend for building permit authorizations, 5 months for total starts, and 6 months for total completions. The statistics in this release are estimated from sample surveys and are subject to sampling variability as well as nonsampling error including bias and variance from response, nonreporting, and undercoverage. Estimated relative standard errors of the most recent data are shown in the tables. Whenever a statement such as “2.5 percent (±3.2%) above” appears in the text, this indicates the range (-0.7 to +5.7 percent) in which the actual percent change is likely to have occurred. All ranges given for percent changes are 90-percent confidence intervals and account only for sampling variability. If a range contains zero, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease; that is, the change is not statistically significant. The same applies to the confidence intervals for percent changes shown in the tables. On average, the preliminary seasonally adjusted estimates of total building permits, housing starts and housing completions are revised about one percent. Explanations of confidence intervals and sampling variability can be found on our web site listed below.
New Residential Construction data for November will be released on Tuesday, December 16, 2003, at 8:30 A.M. EST.
Our Internet site is: http://www.census.gov/newresconst
Table 1. New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places
[Thousands of units. Detail may not add to total because of rounding]
United States
Period Total In structures with -1 unit 2 to 4 units 5 units or more
Northeast
Midwest
South
West
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Seasonally adjusted annual rate
2002: October November December 2003: January February March April May June July August September
r
1,813 1,764 1,907 1,777 1,786 1,688 1,724 1,803 1,823 1,800 1,901 1,875
1,390 1,377 1,420 1,406 1,319 1,311 1,332 1,349 1,427 1,434 1,484 1,487
71 70 77 87 78 71 82 84 77 77 84 88
352 317 410 284 389 306 310 370 319 289 333 300
173 161 180 157 170 150 152 166 158 161 189 164
128 123 136 119 100 106 110 111 115 118 119 121
364 340 394 354 308 324 341 343 379 364 377 384
270 275 287 277 250 257 258 262 282 287 290 298
800 776 869 796 777 777 784 819 843 810 866 841
617 616 642 620 595 607 622 627 667 665 700 681
476 487 464 470 531 437 447 475 443 465 469 486
375 363 355 390 374 341 342 349 363 364 375 387
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)
1
1,973
1
1,535
1
82
3
356
1
185
1
126
2
379
1
302
1
890
1
710
1
519
1
397
1
Percent Change: October 2003 from September 2003 90% Confidence Interval
3
5.2% ± 0.7 8.8% ± 1.0
3.2% ± 0.7 10.4% ± 0.9
-6.8% ± 2.3 15.5% ± 3.5
18.7% ± 1.4 1.1% ± 1.7
12.8% ± 1.5 6.9% ± 2.6
4.1% ± 1.8 -1.6% ± 3.2
-1.3% ± 1.8 4.1% ± 1.7
1.3% ± 2.0 11.9% ± 1.9
5.8% ± 1.1 11.3% ± 1.5
4.3% ± 1.3 15.1% ± 1.7
6.8% ± 1.5 9.0% ± 2.0
2.6% ± 1.7 5.9% ± 2.3
October 2003 from October 2002 90% Confidence Interval 3
Not seasonally adjusted
2001 2002 RSE (%) 2002: Year to Date 2 2003: Year to Date 2 RSE (%) 1,636.7 1,747.7 (X) 1,475.5 1,582.5 (Z) 1,235.6 1,332.6 (X) 1,134.3 1,234.0 (Z) 66.0 73.7 (X) 63.3 69.6 2 335.2 341.4 (X) 278.0 278.9 (Z) 159.8 173.7 (X) 144.4 145.6 1 117.7 126.6 (X) 104.3 100.2 1 333.6 352.4 (X) 294.3 309.2 1 252.5 263.4 (X) 223.0 242.8 1 730.3 790.7 (X) 673.2 715.1 1 556.9 606.5 (X) 519.6 568.2 1 413.0 430.9 (X) 363.5 412.6 1 308.5 336.2 (X) 287.4 322.8 1
Year to Date Percent Change 4 90% Confidence Interval
2002: October November December 2003: January February March April May June July August September
r 3
7.2% ± 0.7
162.9 126.8 135.8 121.6 124.2 143.5 161.8 167.1 172.1 165.7 165.0 163.1
8.8% ± 0.9
123.0 96.0 94.6 95.3 91.2 114.1 130.2 129.5 135.5 134.9 128.6 127.3
10.0% ± 3.2
7.0 5.3 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.8 7.5 7.4 7.6 6.5 7.4 8.3
0.3% ± 0.8
32.9 25.6 35.5 20.8 27.7 23.6 24.1 30.1 29.0 24.2 29.0 27.6
0.8% ± 1.8
16.2 12.4 12.6 9.3 9.4 11.7 14.6 16.1 15.7 15.9 17.3 14.4
-3.9% ± 2.2
12.0 9.1 9.0 6.9 5.5 8.4 10.6 11.3 11.5 11.6 10.8 10.9
5.0% ± 0.8
36.2 25.2 26.7 18.6 17.9 26.6 34.4 33.6 36.6 35.1 33.6 35.8
8.9% ± 0.9
26.0 19.7 17.2 13.9 13.7 21.5 27.3 27.0 28.1 28.5 26.1 27.3
6.2% ± 0.6
68.6 55.6 63.0 60.8 59.5 67.5 71.5 74.3 76.4 72.2 74.4 71.1
9.4% ± 0.7
52.3 42.8 44.1 47.5 46.2 54.2 58.9 58.2 60.9 60.4 59.9 56.2
13.5% ± 1.3
41.9 33.5 33.4 32.9 37.4 37.8 41.3 43.1 43.4 42.4 39.8 41.9
12.3% ± 1.5
32.8 24.4 24.3 27.0 25.7 30.1 33.4 33.1 35.0 34.4 31.8 32.9
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)
1
178.7
1
135.2
1
8.2
3
35.4
1
17.7
1
12.0
2
37.1
1
28.8
1
77.8
1
60.1
1
46.2
1
34.4
1
p
Preliminary. rRevised. RSE Relative standard error. S Does not meet publication standards because tests for identifiable and stable seasonality do not meet reliability standards. X Not applicable. Z Relative standard error is less than 0.5 percent.
2 Average RSE for the latest 6-month period. Reflects revisions not distributed to months. See the Explanatory Notes in the accompanying text for an explanation of 90% confidence intervals 4
1 3
Computed using unrounded data.
Table 2. New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized, but Not Started, at End of Period
[Not seasonally adjusted. Thousands of units. Detail may not add to total because of rounding]
United States
Period Total
2002: October November December 155.1 150.8 154.9
Northeast
5 units or more
49.8 49.6 53.0
Midwest
South
West
In structures with -1 unit
100.9 96.5 97.2
2 to 4 units
4.5 4.7 4.7
Total
16.5 16.7 16.6
1 unit
11.5 11.5 11.8
Total
23.6 18.8 19.5
1 unit
18.6 15.6 15.2
Total
78.4 77.5 81.7
1 unit
48.3 47.0 48.4
Total
36.5 37.9 37.2
1 unit
22.4 22.4 21.8
2003: January February March
158.6 170.9 170.2
101.4 108.4 107.8
4.2 4.8 5.1
53.0 57.6 57.4
18.3 19.1 18.6
13.3 13.7 13.7
19.5 22.7 25.0
14.6 16.6 19.1
85.4 89.8 87.9
52.0 55.5 52.0
35.4 39.3 38.8
21.5 22.6 23.0
April May June
180.1 184.6 183.2
113.8 116.5 114.2
5.7 6.0 6.7
60.6 62.1 62.3
19.8 21.7 21.9
12.9 12.9 14.0
29.2 28.3 27.8
21.8 21.0 19.8
92.4 95.1 97.2
55.7 58.6 59.6
38.7 39.6 36.2
23.4 24.0 20.8
July August
r r
178.3 179.0 177.1
114.5 114.7 114.1
6.2 6.1 5.1
57.6 58.2 58.0
19.0 20.0 19.4
13.2 11.8 12.2
28.2 25.7 23.2
19.2 18.3 16.5
94.8 96.1 95.6
59.6 60.0 60.1
36.3 37.2 38.9
22.5 24.6 25.2
September
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)
1
188.3
3
123.2
4
5.5
15
59.5
7
22.1
9
14.1
11
25.4
10
18.2
9
98.6
5
61.4
5
42.2
7
29.5
10
Percent Change: 2 October 2003 from September 2003 90% Confidence Interval
3
6.3% ± 4.9 21.4% ± 9.0
8.0% ± 8.2 22.2% ± 11.8
8.0% ± 17.0 21.6% ± 41.5
2.8% ± 7.0 19.6% ± 17.0
13.6% ± 8.1 33.6% ± 24.6
16.1% ± 8.2 23.1% ± 16.6
9.7% ± 12.3 7.6% ± 20.0
9.9% ± 15.3 -2.4% ± 18.5
3.1% ± 5.0 25.7% ± 11.5
2.2% ± 6.6 27.1% ± 13.4
8.5% ± 16.5 15.5% ± 24.1
16.9% ± 31.6 31.7% ± 41.0
October 2003 from October 2002 90% Confidence Interval
p 1
3
Preliminary. rRevised. RSE Relative Standard Error. 2 Average RSE for the latest 6-month period. Computed using unrounded data. 3 See the Explanatory Notes in the accompanying text for an explanation of 90% confidence intervals Note: These data represent the number of housing units authorized in all months up to and including the last day of the reporting period and not started as of that date without regard to the months of original permit issuance. Cancelled, abandoned, expired, and revoked permits are excluded.
Table 3. New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started
[Thousands of units. Detail may not add to total because of rounding]
United States
Period Total In structures with -1 unit 2 to 4 units 5 units or more
Northeast
Midwest
South
West
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Seasonally adjusted annual rate
2002: October November December 2003: January February March April May June July August
r r
1,653 1,760 1,815 1,828 1,640 1,742 1,627 1,745 1,844 1,890 1,831 1,905
1,366 1,403 1,462 1,509 1,312 1,393 1,357 1,389 1,499 1,533 1,490 1,530
(S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S)
254 323 318 278 298 313 239 329 317 321 309 329
145 144 162 145 142 155 150 151 162 186 152 178
116 109 115 115 98 112 130 116 106 121 110 112
321 379 386 349 279 351 319 357 353 392 401 424
251 300 322 327 247 281 283 293 290 321 325 346
702 807 792 820 759 814 724 791 822 866 848 856
617 658 645 646 602 680 589 620 683 728 711 696
485 430 475 514 460 422 434 446 507 446 430 447
382 336 380 421 365 320 355 360 420 363 344 376
September
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)
1
1,960
3
1,617
3
(S)
(X)
319
10
146
9
109
9
390
6
331
6
898
4
731
4
526
5
446
5
Percent Change: October 2003 from September 2003 90% Confidence Interval
2
2.9% ± 5.8 18.6% ± 6.8
5.7% ± 6.2 18.4% ± 7.0
(S) (X) (S) (X)
-3.0% ± 18.7 25.6% ± 23.4
-18.0% ± 10.5 0.7% ± 16.2
-2.7% ± 13.7 -6.0% ± 11.3
-8.0% ± 11.5 21.5% ± 17.2
-4.3% ± 10.9 31.9% ± 19.9
4.9% ± 9.1 27.9% ± 12.1
5.0% ± 9.5 18.5% ± 11.7
17.7% ± 13.0 8.5% ± 9.3
18.6% ± 14.8 16.8% ± 10.4
October 2003 from October 2002 90% Confidence Interval 2
Not seasonally adjusted
2001 2002 RSE (%) 2002: Year to Date 2003: Year to Date RSE (%) 1,602.7 1,704.9 1 1,448.8 1,547.1 2 1,273.3 1,358.6 1 1,158.7 1,260.9 3 36.6 38.5 12 33.0 27.8 15 292.8 307.9 3 257.1 258.4 8 149.2 158.4 2 134.8 133.3 6 110.8 117.8 1 100.6 96.1 7 330.4 349.6 2 294.7 313.8 5 269.3 276.7 2 233.2 264.2 5 732.0 781.5 1 667.1 703.7 4 590.3 628.2 2 537.3 576.5 4 391.1 415.5 1 352.2 396.3 4 303.0 335.8 2 287.5 324.1 5
Year to Date Percent Change 3 90% Confidence Interval 2
2002: October November December 2003: January February March April May June July August
r r
6.8% ± 1.6
146.8 133.0 123.1 117.8 109.7 147.2 151.2 165.0 174.5 175.8 163.8 169.4
8.8% ± 1.6
118.8 102.6 97.2 95.9 88.1 120.1 128.2 133.7 144.4 142.8 132.2 136.0
-15.9% ± 18.8
3.2 2.9 2.6 2.8 2.0 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.5 3.3 2.9 4.1
0.5% ± 5.7
24.9 27.5 23.3 19.0 19.6 24.3 20.4 29.0 27.6 29.7 28.7 29.3
-1.1% ± 5.0
13.4 12.0 11.6 7.8 7.9 12.0 13.2 14.4 15.8 17.6 15.0 16.3
-4.5% ± 3.7
10.5 9.0 8.1 5.8 5.0 8.7 11.4 11.3 10.8 11.6 11.1 10.4
6.5% ± 3.4
30.7 30.5 24.4 17.7 15.0 26.8 30.7 36.0 36.1 37.8 36.8 40.3
13.3% ± 3.4
23.9 23.8 19.7 16.2 12.9 21.4 27.6 30.4 30.6 31.2 29.7 33.4
5.5% ± 2.4
60.7 59.5 54.9 57.6 55.4 71.8 66.9 72.6 75.2 77.6 75.0 73.5
7.3% ± 2.4
52.4 46.8 44.1 45.7 45.0 61.4 55.4 57.5 63.1 64.8 62.3 59.3
12.5% ± 3.6
42.0 31.1 32.2 34.7 31.4 36.6 40.4 42.0 47.5 42.8 37.1 39.3
12.7% ± 3.5
32.0 23.1 25.3 28.3 25.1 28.6 33.7 34.4 39.9 35.1 29.1 33.0
September
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)
p 1
172.6
3
139.5
3
2.3
21
30.7
10
13.4
9
9.9
9
36.5
6
30.8
6
78.2
4
62.1
4
44.5
5
36.8
5
Preliminary. rRevised. X Not applicable.
RSE Relative standard error. S Does not meet publication standards because tests for identifiable and stable seasonality do not meet reliability standards.
2
1 3
Average RSE for the latest 6-month period. Computed using unrounded data.
See the Explanatory Notes in the accompanying text for an explanation of 90% confidence intervals
Table 4. New Privately-Owned Housing Units Under Construction at End of Period
[Thousands of units. Detail may not add to total because of rounding]
United States
Period Total In structures with -1 unit 2 to 4 units 5 units or more
Northeast
Midwest
South
West
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Seasonally adjusted
2002: October November December 1,026 1,030 1,039 696 694 703 (S) (S) (S) 304 309 309 125 125 127 73 73 75 208 211 214 149 149 151 426 429 432 294 296 299 267 265 266 180 176 178
2003: January February March
1,054 1,052 1,053
721 719 724
(S) (S) (S)
307 307 304
126 121 124
76 74 76
218 217 214
156 154 154
436 437 441
302 303 309
274 277 274
187 188 185
April May June
1,046 1,044 1,058
724 721 732
(S) (S) (S)
298 299 302
122 118 119
77 76 76
211 210 211
154 155 158
436 439 444
304 303 305
277 277 284
189 187 193
July August
r r
1,073 1,097 1,116
741 755 767
(S) (S) (S)
308 318 324
124 123 127
77 76 76
212 219 225
160 165 169
455 467 478
314 322 331
282 288 286
190 192 191
September
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)
1
1,129
2
778
2
(S)
(X)
327
3
124
4
74
5
229
4
173
4
486
3
335
2
290
3
196
3
Percent Change: October 2003 from September 2003 90% Confidence Interval 2 October 2003 from October 2002 90% Confidence Interval 2 1.2% ± 0.8 10.0% ± 2.4 1.4% ± 1.0 11.8% ± 2.4 (S) (X) (S) (X) 0.9% ± 1.5 7.6% ± 5.4 -2.4% ± 1.5 -0.8% ± 5.4 -2.6% ± 1.9 1.4% ± 5.3 1.8% ± 1.9 10.1% ± 7.0 2.4% ± 1.6 16.1% ± 6.5 1.7% ± 1.4 14.1% ± 4.3 1.2% ± 1.7 13.9% ± 4.2 1.4% ± 1.6 8.6% ± 2.8 2.6% ± 1.9 8.9% ± 3.8
Not seasonally adjusted
2002: October November December 1,057.0 1,039.7 1,001.2 723.0 700.1 668.8 26.6 27.2 26.3 307.3 312.3 306.0 129.8 128.3 125.0 77.0 75.9 73.8 217.5 214.2 207.1 157.6 151.4 145.0 434.5 430.7 413.0 301.3 296.2 280.8 275.3 266.5 256.0 187.1 176.6 169.2
2003: January February March
1,005.2 999.4 1,014.2
675.2 671.6 687.6
25.4 25.6 24.4
304.6 302.2 302.3
122.2 115.0 119.6
72.6 68.7 71.8
206.1 201.9 200.9
144.8 140.2 141.0
415.6 418.6 429.3
282.6 286.8 298.5
261.3 263.9 264.5
175.2 175.9 176.3
April May June
1,032.2 1,055.6 1,083.9
708.8 729.6 756.6
23.8 23.8 23.7
299.6 302.3 303.7
120.7 118.3 120.3
75.2 75.6 77.1
202.8 211.5 218.1
146.0 155.7 165.1
435.3 446.5 455.1
302.7 309.2 315.5
273.4 279.3 290.4
185.0 189.1 198.9
July August
r r
1,117.3 1,136.0 1,152.9
782.7 795.9 805.2
24.1 24.1 24.5
310.5 315.9 323.2
126.8 126.8 129.4
79.9 79.6 78.5
224.1 230.2 236.8
171.7 176.8 181.1
470.9 481.6 490.6
328.7 337.3 343.9
295.5 297.3 296.1
202.5 202.2 201.7
September
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)1
1,166.2
2
810.6
2
24.4
9
331.2
3
128.3
4
77.4
5
241.1
4
184.1
4
497.3
3
344.9
2
299.5
3
204.3
3
p
Preliminary. rRevised. X Not applicable.
RSE Relative standard error. S Does not meet publication standards because tests for identifiable and stable seasonality do not meet reliability standards.
2
1
Average RSE for the latest 6-month period.
See the Explanatory Notes in the accompanying text for an explanation of 90% confidence intervals
Table 5. New Privately-Owned Housing Units Completed
[Thousands of units. Detail may not add to total because of rounding]
United States
Period Total In structures with -1 unit 2 to 4 units 5 units or more
Northeast
Midwest
South
West
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Total
1 unit
Seasonally adjusted annual rate
2002: October November December 2003: January February March April May June July August
r r
1,591 1,706 1,674 1,647 1,672 1,621 1,680 1,742 1,663 1,678 1,573 1,715
1,286 1,394 1,353 1,314 1,326 1,293 1,371 1,385 1,363 1,415 1,325 1,410
(S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S) (S)
279 284 290 284 321 281 270 325 274 234 228 261
132 157 134 140 210 118 149 191 156 138 151 146
108 112 102 99 128 77 106 125 103 114 124 116
311 356 339 282 309 348 359 349 332 352 326 356
263 302 289 248 283 275 289 257 246 283 265 299
758 731 763 795 732 729 766 746 744 720 695 730
608 608 623 628 568 598 647 623 645 618 599 599
390 462 438 430 421 426 406 456 431 468 401 483
307 372 339 339 347 343 329 380 369 400 337 396
September
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)
1
1,727
4
1,475
4
(S)
(X)
230
12
160
10
126
9
321
10
284
9
784
5
673
5
462
6
392
7
Percent Change: October 2003 from September 2003 90% Confidence Interval
2
0.7% ± 7.7 8.5% ± 7.5
4.6% ± 8.1 14.7% ± 8.3
(S) (X) (S) (X)
-11.9% ± 20.6 -17.6% ± 17.5
9.6% ± 17.6 21.2% ± 35.2
8.6% ± 17.0 16.7% ± 28.5
-9.8% ± 18.1 3.2% ± 15.9
-5.0% ± 17.1 8.0% ± 16.1
7.4% ± 13.5 3.4% ± 10.0
12.4% ± 14.6 10.7% ± 11.9
-4.3% ± 10.2 18.5% ± 16.6
-1.0% ± 12.4 27.7% ± 20.1
October 2003 from October 2002 90% Confidence Interval 2
Not seasonally adjusted
2001 2002 RSE (%) 2002: Year to Date 2003: Year to Date RSE (%) 1,570.8 1,648.4 1 1,338.3 1,364.4 3 1,255.9 1,325.1 1 1,068.2 1,115.2 3 33.9 35.0 11 30.0 27.0 22 281.0 288.2 3 240.1 222.2 10 144.8 147.9 3 120.8 126.7 10 113.7 113.3 4 92.6 91.1 9 316.4 329.8 3 264.9 272.2 8 261.1 272.0 3 215.7 221.1 7 726.3 757.8 1 623.4 608.4 4 578.2 614.8 2 502.7 507.6 5 383.3 412.8 1 329.1 357.0 5 302.9 325.0 1 257.2 295.4 6
Year to Date Percent Change 3 90% Confidence Interval 2
2002: October November December 2003: January February March April May June July August
r r
2.0% ± 2.5
143.2 149.7 160.4 113.3 115.7 125.4 129.5 142.9 144.2 141.6 143.2 153.2
4.4% ± 2.4
117.4 125.6 131.3 90.1 92.3 101.0 105.2 113.4 117.1 117.5 117.1 127.0
-10.0% ± 18.5
2.2 2.2 2.8 3.4 1.7 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.3 2.7 2.1 3.8
-7.4% ± 7.2
23.6 22.0 26.2 19.8 21.7 20.9 21.3 26.9 24.8 21.4 24.0 22.4
4.9% ± 7.7
11.8 13.8 13.3 9.5 14.3 8.6 11.0 16.0 13.8 11.4 14.0 14.1
-1.6% ± 6.9
9.7 10.3 10.4 6.6 8.7 5.5 7.6 10.5 9.0 9.2 11.2 11.5
2.8% ± 5.6
29.5 33.6 31.3 18.4 19.2 25.3 27.4 28.3 28.6 30.6 30.2 33.8
2.5% ± 5.4
25.4 29.5 26.8 16.0 17.4 19.9 22.0 20.7 20.9 24.2 23.7 28.9
-2.4% ± 3.8
67.4 61.3 73.0 56.3 52.2 57.7 59.7 61.1 64.8 60.8 62.4 63.4
1.0% ± 3.7
54.7 51.8 60.3 44.7 41.1 47.9 50.3 50.9 55.9 51.5 52.3 52.1
8.5% ± 4.7
34.6 41.0 42.7 29.2 30.0 33.8 31.4 37.5 36.9 38.7 36.6 41.9
14.9% ± 5.1
27.6 34.0 33.8 22.8 25.0 27.7 25.3 31.3 31.3 32.5 29.9 34.5
September
Octoberp
Average RSE (%)
p 1
155.4
4
134.5
4
1.9
22
19.0
12
14.0
10
11.3
9
30.4
10
27.4
9
70.1
5
60.9
5
40.8
6
35.0
7
Preliminary. rRevised. X Not applicable.
RSE Relative standard error. S Does not meet publication standards because tests for identifiable and stable seasonality do not meet reliability standards.
2
1 3
Average RSE for the latest 6-month period. Computed using unrounded data.
See the Explanatory Notes in the accompanying text for an explanation of 90% confidence intervals