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Economic _ Commercial Report for June 2009

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Embassy of India

Panama

***



No.PAN/201/1/2009 July 15, 2009





Economic & Commercial Report – June 2009





Executive Summary



1. Cabinet approving additional funding for the second phase of the

Sanitation Project of the Panama City and the Bay of Panama;

Announcement of new fuel prices by the Panama's National Energy

Secretary; Presentation of a report on the status of public finances for

the new government; Coming into effect of Fiscal Responsibility Law;

Signing of a MoU between Philadelphia Regional Port Authority and the

Panama Canal Authority for increasing all-water container traffic from

Asia to Philadelphia through the canal; Receiving of “Best International

Project” by the Panama Canal Expansion Program; Coming into effect of

FTA between Panama and Guatemala; are the important events during

June 2009.



PANAMA



Economy & Trade

2. According to Office of Comptroller General, Panama's economy

grew 2.5% in the first quarter of 2009. This growth rate is the lowest that

has been registered since the second quarter of 2003 and reflects a

strong deceleration of the Panamanian economy. As per the National

Center for Competitiveness of the Panamanian Association of Business

Executives, the deceleration follows the worst global recession in the last

70 years that has created in the country a drop in exports, a slowing

down of lending, decreases in domestic and foreign private investments -

three of the main factors driving the economy. The World Bank [WB],

which constantly monitors the performance of the economy of Panama,

is evaluating the possibility of revising downwards its growth forecast

from 4% - 5% to 3% for 2009. In its report titled "Indicators of Good



Page 1 of 12

Governance", WB placed Panama as the second country in Latin

America with best scores on "Regulatory Quality" [a sub heading which

assesses the ability of governments to dictate regulations that encourage the private

sector].



3. During January-June 2009, the trade transactions in the Colon

Free Zone totaled US$8067.7 million [imports US$3919.2 million & re-exports

US$4148.5 million], registering a modest growth of 1.1% over the same

period of 2008.



4. Panama's consumer prices fell by 0.30% in May 2009 compared to

April 2009, placing its annual inflation rate at 2.5%. Panama‟s inflation in

2008 was 8.7% mainly driven by high oil prices and strong consumer

demand due to robust economic growth. As per the data of the Ministry

of Economy and Finance, the Basic Family Food Basket [CBFA] fell

2.6% in May to US$265.33 from US$272.49 in April 2009.



5. According to the Ministry of Social Development, the poverty in

Panama was reduced from 37.3% in 1997 to 32.4% in 2008.



6. As per the Ministry of Economy and Finance, the Cabinet approved

additional funding of US$149.14 million for the second phase of the

Sanitation Project of the Panama City and the Bay of Panama to cover

part of the construction cost of the sewage plant and the final routing of

these wastes.

7. According to Office of Comptroller General, Panama attracted

US$387 million in Foreign Direct Investment [FDI] in the first quarter of

2009, which is 37% less over the same period of 2008 when it was

US$175 million. The contraction bears a strong relationship to the sharp drop-off

of income reinvested in the country by banks, as well as lower rates of investment by

users of the Colon Free Zone and other companies. If these tendencies continue

throughout the remainder of the year, the country could close out 2009 with a level of

Foreign Direct Investment much lower than that registered in the past three years,

deepening the present deceleration of the Panamanian economy. As per the

estimates of the Indesa [consulting firm], Panama needs to attract about

US$2 billion & US$2.5 billion in FDI in 2009 & 2010 respectively in order

to be able to successfully offset the effects of the global recession for the

Panamanian economy to continue to grow at a good rate. These foreign

investments can be obtained through the expansion of the Panama Canal, as well as

the execution of harbor and hydroelectric projects, among others.







Page 2 of 12

8. Panama's National Energy Secretary announced the new prices for

fuel. As of 6th June 2009, the new maximum price for 91 Octane gas will

rise 15 cents to US$2.79 per gallon, while 95 octane gas will go up 14

cents per gallon to US$2.94, light diesel will go up 13 cents per gallon to

US$2.21.



9. President Martin Torrijos and the Minister of Economy and Finance

Hector Alexander presented on 24th June 2009 a report to the Public

Finance Committee of the National Assembly on the status of public

finances for the new government.



10. The Fiscal Responsibility Law which came into effect from 27th

June 2009 allows the temporary suspension of the limits of fiscal deficit

of the non-financial public sector, with respect to the GDP. The reform

set at 2.5% the ceiling on the public sector deficit for 2009 and it is not

eligible to be reduced progressively until it reaches 1% in 2012.

11. The increase in fees, registration of people [who are self-employed]

and increasing employment have been the key to rising incomes of the

Social Security Fund as it has succeeded in expanding by 35.6% or

US$156.7 million in the first quarter of 2009 over the same period of

2008.



12. According to Camille Bennett, local Station Manager of the

Panama-based Copa Airlines [which entered the Trinidad and Tobago market a

little over a year ago] has increased the number of flights it operates out of

the country on a weekly basis from four to six. From Panama, passengers

can fly directly to Miami, Orlando and Washington DC in the US; Mexico, Costa Rica,

Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua and Honduras in Central America; as well as

Aruba, Puerto Rico, Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic and Cuba in the

Caribbean; and Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Peru, Brazil, Chile, Argentina, Bolivia

and Uruguay in South America.



13. The Latin American Wind Energy Association [LAWEA] will be

organizing the second Latin American-International Wind Power

Conference and Exhibition „WIND EXPO Panama 2009‟ in Panama from

2–4 September 2009. The WIND EXPO was held in the city of

Guadalajara [Mexico] in 2008. The main objectives of WIND EXPO 2009

will be to find successful strategies that will enable the region “Integrating

Wind Power into the Latin American Energy Matrix”. Participation in the

EXPO is expected by experts in the field, leading companies in the





Page 3 of 12

sector, project developers, manufacturers of supplies, government

agencies, investors, research centers, financial institutions, students, etc.



14. According to the Consolidated Financial Statements of the Cable &

Wireless Panama, it has paid dividends totaling to US$934.9 million

during the twelve years of its being at the forefront of mobile telephony in

Panama.



Developmental News



15. The Philadelphia Regional Port Authority [PRPA] and the Panama

Canal Authority [ACP] signed a MoU on 12th June 2009 for increasing all-

water container traffic from Asia to Philadelphia through the canal.

Philadelphia does not now get many calls by container ships that use the

all-water route from Asia as it lacks the channel depth. But the PRPA is

planning to build a large new container terminal called Southport at the

former Philadelphia Navy Yard on the Delaware River that would be

capable of handling the larger post-Panamax ships that will be able to

transit the canal after it completes a third set of locks in 2014. Under the

agreement [renewable after two years], PRPA and ACP will conduct joint

activities and share best practices. Specific areas of focus will include

marketing, research and data interchange, technical advancements and

personnel training programs. In 2008, PRPA cargo transiting the Canal, either

on its way to or from its destination, totaled 1,906,343 long tons and represents half

of all cargo handled by PRPA.



16. According to the Authority of Public Services [ASEP], Panama will

add 31 hydroelectric projects totaling 1047 MW through 2013,

representing investment of US$2 billion. 15 of the projects are under

construction while the other 16 are in final design. According to the

agency, Panama‟s current installed capacity is 1663 MW, compared to

peak demand of 1120 MW at present and is expected to be 1373 MW by

2013. 3 projects of 15 MW would come on line in 2009, 7 of 97 MW in

2010, 8 of 364 MW in 2011, 11 of 538 MW in 2012 and 2 of 33 MW in

2013. The European Investment Bank is considering proposals to fund construction

of the 29-MW Barro Blanco hydroelectric project on the Tabasara River and the

three-plant, 115-MW Los Mares hydroelectric complex on the Chiriqui River. Russian

equipment supplier Energomashexport Corp. LLC announced a contract in February

to supply electro-mechanical equipment for the 85-MW Baitun hydroelectric project

on the Chiriqui Viejo River, while Generadora Pedregalito S.A. signed a contract to

construct the 20-MW Pedregalito hydroelectric project on the Chico River. Istmus





Page 4 of 12

Hydro Power Corp. commissioned its 10-MW Conception hydropower project in

January on the Piedra River in Panama’s Chiriqui Province. Meanwhile, Suez Energy

Central America is building the 26-MW Gualaca, 34.8-MW Lorena, and 57.4-MW

Prudencia projects on the Chiriqui River.



Panama Canal



17. The Panama Canal Expansion Program received its 11th

international award - “Best International Project” - at the 2009

International Logistics and Material Handling Exhibition [SIL 2009] in

Barcelona [Spain] on 4th June 2009. The award was bestowed unanimously to

the Panama Canal Authority [ACP] for its management of the Canal’s expansion to

build a new lane of traffic along the Panama Canal through the construction of a new

set of locks, which will double capacity and allow more traffic and longer, wider ships.





PANAMA – BILATERAL





PANAMA – TAIWAN

18. Since 2006, Taiwan has given US$124.3 million worth "non-

reimbursable cooperation resources” to Panama, of which, till 25th June

2009, there are pending disbursements worth US$37.1 million. Through a

Cabinet Resolution [12th June], the Panamanian Government adopted a series of

measures for monitoring, implementation and completion of the priority investment

program in the social sector between the two nations.



PANAMA – BRAZIL



19. Brazilian President 'Lula' in a meeting in Brasilia on 24th June 2009,

committed with the President-elect of Panama, Ricardo Martinelli to work

together to strengthen cooperation in commerce and trade. The bilateral

trade between the two countries in 2008 was US$416.2 million.



PANAMA – GUATEMALA



20. The Free Trade Agreement [FTA] which was signed between

Guatemala and Panama in February 2009 came into effect w.e.f. 29th

June 2009, covering 93% of bilateral trade. During January-April 2009,

Guatemalan exports to Panama were of US$56 million, against imports of US$128

million from Panama.







Page 5 of 12

PANAMA – CHILE



21. According to Foreign Minister Samuel Lewis Navarro, the

Panama‟s Cabinet approved on 28th June 2009, the disbursement of

US$6.4 million in compensation to the government of Chile for relatives

of Chileans died in the crash of the helicopter SAN-100 on 29th May 2009

in Calidonia [Panama City].







REGIONAL / MULTILATERAL



IMF Inaugurates Technical Assistance Center for Central America,

Panama and the Dominican Republic



22. The International Monetary Fund [IMF] launched on June 24, its

Technical Assistance Center for Central America, Panama, and the

Dominican Republic [CAPTAC-DR] in Guatemala City. It is the seventh

IMF regional technical assistance center worldwide and the second in

the Western Hemisphere. This regional technical assistance center will

serve Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala,

Honduras, Nicaragua, and Panama. CAPTAC-DR, with a projected 5-

year budget of US$35 million, will be supported with donations from

Spain, Mexico, Canada, CABEI, beneficiary countries, and the IMF. The

Center will be a key element in the capacity building efforts that the Fund

has been providing to countries in the region. The Center will focus on

the three core capacity-building areas: public finances [tax and customs

administration and public financial management]; money and banking sector

[financial sector supervision and regulation, monetary policy, and debt management ];

and macroeconomic statistics.

23. According to the Latin America Telecommunication Industry Report

2008, Mobile subscribers in 19 Latin American countries [Argentina, Bolivia,

Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Colombia, Cuba, El Salvador, Ecuador, Guatemala,

Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Dominica, Venezuela, and

Uruguay] registered 444 million in 2008, with a penetration rate of around

78%. Statistically, 77.8% of the mobile business market in 2008 was seized by

America Mobil, Telefonica, and Telecom Itlia, wherein, America Mobil, being Latin







Page 6 of 12

America's largest operator, boasted of 172 million mobile subscribers in 2008

accounting for 38.6% of total users.



24. ARKRAY Inc. [manufacturer of clinical test device and vitro diagnostic

medical products] and Nipro Corporation [manufacturer of medical devices and

pharmaceutical products] have signed a distribution agreement to supply

self monitoring blood glucose devices to 14 countries in Latin/Central

America [Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador,

Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama, Peru, Puerto Rico, Uruguay, and

Venezuela]. Both the partners are based in Japan.







CONCURRENT COUNTRIES





EL SALVADOR



25. During January-May 2009, Salvadoran imports and exports were

worth US$2917 million & US$1604.9 million respectively.



HONDURAS



26. The Honduran army took over the Presidential Palace in

Tegucigalpa in the early hours of 28th June and packed President Manuel

Zelaya off in his pajamas to Costa Rica in a plane. Within hours, a bare

quorum of the Honduran Congress had sworn in Robert Micheletti

[President of Congress], as a new, President, backed by the Honduran

Supreme Court and the army. Latin American Heads of state quickly

condemned this development and isolated Micheletti. Guatemala, El

Salvador and Nicaragua cut off commercial ties with Honduras. Along

with them, every country in South America has withdrawn its ambassador.



27. During January-April 2009, Honduran imports and exports were

worth US$2143.06 million & US$889.66 million respectively.



NICARAGUA



28. During January-April 2009, Nicaraguan imports and exports were

worth US$1057.44 million & US$469.91 million respectively.







Page 7 of 12

29. Basic Economic Data is on pages 9 – 11.



30. Trade enquiries received are on page 12.



This issues with the approval of Ambassador.









[Ashish Mehta]

Second Secretary





Distribution: As per standard list.









Page 8 of 12

BASIC ECONOMIC DATA



PANAMA





January to March 2009



GDP [2008] $18558.1 million; [Growth 9.2%], Per Capita: $5466.

Inflation [2008] 8.7% [2008]; FDI: $2402 mn;

[2007] 4.2% [2007]; FDI $1907 mn.

Total Trade [2008] $10194.87 mn; Trade Balance $[-]7905.45 mn.;

[2007] $7935mn; Trade Balance $[-]5755 mn.

Exports Jan-March 2009 - $216.06 mn; $1144.71 mn. [2008].

5 Major Destinations USA [$435mn], Netherlands [$123 mn], Costa Rica [65.9 mn], Sweden

[$62.6mn] & United Kingdom [$61.3 mn].

5 Major Export Seafood [$420 mn], Fruits, Citrus fruits, Melons & Watermelons [$351 mn],

Items Scrap Iron [$35 mn], Paper & Carton [$29 mn], Meat [$23.4 mn]

Imports Jan-March 2009 - $1798.33 mn; $9050.16 mn. [2008].

5 Major Sources USA [$2683 mn]; Costa Rica [$456 mn]; China [$454 mn]; Japan [$385 mn];

Mexico [$312.7 mn].

5 Major Import items Carburant, gasoline & Jet fuel [$1902 mn] ; Vehicles [$271 mn] ; Iron and

Steel structures [$186mn] ; Medicines and pharmaceutical Products [$181.4

mn]; Corn [95.9 million]; Mobile phones [90.5 mn].

Exports to India [2007-08] $22.07mn.

Mineral fuels/oils/waxes, Wood.

Imports from India [2007-08] $68.41 million

Floating Structures, Garments, Iron & steel articles, Rubber & Plastic

articles, Metal Tools & Kitchen items, Pharmaceuticals.



Top 5 Items of Imports from India [2007-2008 DGFT figures]



Garments $22.78 mn

Man-made filaments & staple fibres $ 5.61 mn

Rubber & Plastic Articles $ 5.47 mn

Man-made staple fibres $ 4.05 mn

Pharmaceuticals $ 3.14 mn

Iron & Steel articles $ 2.13 mn



Colon Free Zone



Total Trade [Jan-June 2009] $ 8067.7 mn. Total Trade [2008] $19209.9 mn.

Re-exports $ 4148.5 mn. Re-exports $ 9874.2 mn.

Imports $ 3919.2 mn. Imports $ 9335.7 mn.

Imports from India [2007-08] $ 54.0 mn.

Re-exports to India [2007-08] $ 3.0 mn.









Page 9 of 12

EL SALVADOR





January – May 2009



GDP [2008] $22119.8 mn; GDP Growth 3.2%; Per Capita: 3068; Debt $9707.6 mn.

[2007] GDP $20,372 mn; GDP Growth 4.5%; Per Capita: $3,574.

Inflation 8.59% [2008]; FDI : $ 6701.4 [2008]; 4.9% [2007]; $5916.2 mn. [2007]

Total Trade $14343.5 mn. [2008]; $12,657 mn. [2007]

Trade Balance: [-]$ 5245.3 mn. [2008]; [-]$4728 mn.[ 2007]

Exports Jan-May 2009 - $1604.9 mn; $4549.2 mn [2008].

5 Major Destinations USA [$2184 mn], Guatemala [ $620.5mn], Honduras [$ 589 mn] , Nicaragua [$

251 mn], Costa Rica [$ 166 mn]

5 Major Export items Coffee [$258.7mn], Sugar[$75 mn], Shrimps [$0.5 mn]

Imports Jan-May 2009 - $2917 mn; $9754.5 mn. [2008].

5 Major Sources USA [$ 3336 mn], Mexico [$874 mn], Guatemala [ $ 826 mn], Honduras [$375

mn]; Ecuador [$354 mn]; Costa Rica [$260 mn].

5 Major Import items Petroleum Oils [ $1864 mn], Vehicles [ $563 mn]

Exports to India $5.86 mn. Wood and wood articles and wood charcoal [ $2.04mn]

[2007-2008]

Imports from India $12.12 mn. Vehicles, Pharmaceuticals, Iron and Steel, rubber articles, machinery

[2007-2008] and appliances.



HONDURAS





January – April 2009



GDP $14319 mn; Per Capita $1858.

[2007] $12,322 mn; Per Capita: $1635

Inflation Accumulative Inflation: 11.4%; FDI: 877 mn.

8.9% [2007]; FDI: $814.9 mn. [2007]

Total Trade $11472.7 [2008]; $9175 mn [ 2007]

Trade Balance: [-]$ 6170.9 mn [2008]; [-]$ 4791 mn [2007]

Exports January-April 2009 - $889.66 mn; $2650.9 mn [2008].

5 Major Destinations USA [$1077.3 mn], El Salvador [$245.3 mn], Guatemala [$181 mn], Mexico

[$162.3 mn] , Bélgium [$157.8 mn]

5 Major Export items Coffee [$620 mn], Bananas [$383.7 mn], Sea food items [$193.10 mn], Palm Oil

[$183.4 mn], Textiles [$52.77 mn].

Imports January-April 2009 - $2143.06 mn; $8821.8 mn [2008].

5 Major Sources USA [$3560.6 mn], Guatemala [$761.7 mn], Mexico [$486.9 mn], El Salvador

[$477 mn], Costa Rica [$347.5 mn]

5 Major Imports items Combustible and Lubricants [$1945.5], Electrical machinery [$1596 mn],

Chemicals [$1114.9], Metals & their manufactures [$721.8 mn], Transport vehicles

[$613.3 mn].

Exports to India $2.13 million. Paper and paperboard articles, Precious/semi- precious stones.

[2007 - 2008]

Imports from India $95.19 million. Silk, Precious/ semi –precious stones, Iron and Steel, Rubber

[2007 - 2008] articles, Pharmaceutical products, Cotton, Electrical machinery, Vehicles.







Page 10 of 12

NICARAGUA







January – April 2009



GDP [2008] $6365.3 [est.], Per Capita: $1122.8

[2007] $5690.6 mn., Per Capita:$1017

Inflation [2008] 13.77%; FDI: $600 mn.

[2007] 16.88 %; FDI: $335 mn.

Total Trade [2008] $5775.20 mn; Trade Balance: [-]$2798 mn.

[2007] $4781 mn [ 2007]; $[-] 2377mn [ 2007]

Exports Jan-April 2009 - $469.91 mn; $1488.6 mn [2008]

5 Major Destinations USA[$439 mn], El Salvador [$217.1 mn], Costa Rica [ $102.9 mn], Honduras

[$101.4 mn], Mexico [$78.9 mn ]

5 Major Export items Coffee [$ 278.2 mn], Meat [$210.7 mn], Peanut [$90.2 mn], Beans [$79.8 mn],

Gold [$ 78.1mn].

Imports Jan-April 2009 - $1057.44 mn; $4286.6 mn [2008]

5 Major Sources USA [$897.4 mn], Mexico [$361.6 mn], Costa Rica [$341.1 mn], Guatemala

[$263.3 mn], El Salvador [$229.2 mn].

5 Major Import items Petroleum and Lubricants [$953.7 mn], Vehicles [$265.2 mn], Pharmaceutical

Products [$297.9 mn], Construction Material [$240.9 mn], Agrochemicals [$147.7

mn]

Exports to India $0.38 mn

[2007 - 2008]

Imports from India $53.44 million.

[2007 - 2008] Pharmaceutical products, rubber articles, Iron and steel, vehicles.









Page 11 of 12

Trade Enquiries Received During June 2009



Panamá







Sl. Company Details Products of Interest

No.

1. Integrate Consortium, S. A. Textiles ( Home furnishing)

Mr. Dionisio Boutet

President

Calle 53 marbella Edificio World Trade

Center Piso 11, oficina 1102

Tel.Fax: 265-8240 / 214-8233

intercon@cwpanama.net



2. Moreira´s Garments and Accesories

Karem Moreira

Tel: 390-3254

kmoreiras@gmail.com



3. Unisistemas Software and Hardware

Mr. Elio Ruiz

Tel. 507 236-1005

eruiz@unisistems.com.pa



4. MARKETING IDEAS Promotion and Marketing

Mr. Gabriel Ortega

Tel.: 261-3399 / 6674-5824

gabriel.ortega@americaopina.com









Page 12 of 12



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