NH Democratic Primary Trial Heat
"If the upcoming New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary were held today, which one of the following candidates
would you vote for ... Wesley Clark ... Howard Dean ... John Edwards ... John Kerry ... Dennis Kucinich ... Joe Lieberman ...
or Al Sharpton?" ROTATE CANDIDATES
Clark Dean Edwards Kerry Kucinich Lieberman Other Und. (N=)
January 17-19 18% 33% 8% 24% 3% 5% 3% 6% 338
January 18-20 18% 29% 8% 27% 3% 5% 3% 6% 447
January 19-21 19% 25% 8% 30% 3% 7% 1% 7% 483
January 20-22 15% 19% 11% 37% 3% 8% 0% 7% 421
January 21-23 13% 19% 12% 37% 2% 10% 0% 8% 444
January 22-24 11% 22% 12% 37% 2% 8% 1% 6% 458
January 23-25 FINAL 11% 25% 13% 36% 3% 7% 0% 6% 459
Registered Democrat 9 29 14 37 2 3 0 6 242
Undeclared 14 19 12 34 3 10 0 7 209
Not Registered, Will Vote 18 27 11 33 0 12 0 0 8
Strong Democrat 6 27 13 44 3 2 0 4 202
Not so Strong Democrat 24 25 0 34 0 8 0 9 48
Lean Democrat 14 24 19 33 4 4 0 3 112
Independent or Republican 12 18 15 18 3 22 0 11 82
Certain to support 11 29 11 41 3 5 0 0 301
May change mind 15 19 21 31 3 10 0 0 129
Liberal 10 33 10 36 6 1 0 4 151
Moderate 13 21 16 35 1 7 0 6 218
Conservative 10 12 15 38 0 21 0 3 63
Approve of Bush as President 12 7 15 35 2 24 0 4 72
Neutral 22 22 18 31 0 7 0 0 14
Disapprove 11 28 14 36 3 3 0 6 356
Extremely interested 10 28 16 36 2 2 0 6 225
Very interested 12 21 13 35 3 9 0 6 196
Somewhat / not very int. 9 20 4 38 5 19 0 5 37
Will definitely vote 11 24 14 35 2 6 0 6 388
Will vote unless emergency 9 25 10 38 3 8 0 7 71
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 8 44 13 25 3 2 0 5 250
Neutral re Dean 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 59 6
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 16 0 15 49 3 13 0 4 191
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 10 11 18 37 1 16 0 5 128
Somewhat Wrong 13 17 16 42 3 4 0 6 83
Strongly Wrong 11 36 11 30 4 3 0 4 208
Don't Know 8 29 9 42 0 0 0 13 24
NH Democratic Primary Trial Heat
"If the upcoming New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary were held today, which one of the following candidates
would you vote for ... Wesley Clark ... Howard Dean ... John Edwards ... John Kerry ... Dennis Kucinich ... Joe Lieberman ...
or Al Sharpton?" ROTATE CANDIDATES
Clark Dean Edwards Kerry Kucinich Lieberman Other Und. (N=)
January 17-19 18% 33% 8% 24% 3% 5% 3% 6% 338
January 18-20 18% 29% 8% 27% 3% 5% 3% 6% 447
January 19-21 19% 25% 8% 30% 3% 7% 1% 7% 483
January 20-22 15% 19% 11% 37% 3% 8% 0% 7% 421
January 21-23 13% 19% 12% 37% 2% 10% 0% 8% 444
January 22-24 11% 22% 12% 37% 2% 8% 1% 6% 458
January 23-25 FINAL 11% 25% 13% 36% 3% 7% 0% 6% 459
18 to 29 4 38 4 37 4 8 0 4 38
30 to 45 11 18 20 38 3 5 0 6 126
46 to 64 12 26 12 33 3 8 0 5 198
65 and over 11 26 12 38 0 6 0 7 84
Male 15 22 15 31 3 9 0 5 187
Female 8 26 12 39 2 5 0 7 271
High school or less 9 29 10 40 3 6 0 3 89
Some college 13 28 19 30 1 6 0 3 86
College graduate 11 23 11 37 1 7 0 10 158
Post-graduate 12 21 18 33 6 7 0 4 117
Less than $30,000 5 25 12 39 0 14 0 6 34
$30,000 to $59,999 12 25 10 38 4 8 0 3 107
$60,000 to $74,999 23 16 22 27 6 4 0 1 38
$75,000 to $99,999 14 24 16 37 3 4 0 2 60
$100,000 or more 8 21 22 33 2 3 0 10 86
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 13 18 17 32 3 9 0 8 55
6 to 10 years 1 34 24 32 0 6 0 3 50
11 to 20 years 14 29 12 32 5 3 0 5 101
More than 20 years 12 23 12 38 2 8 0 6 244
North Country 12 26 12 38 3 0 0 8 39
Central / Lakes 10 32 12 36 1 4 0 5 74
Connecticut Valley 10 34 6 30 6 4 0 10 66
Mass Border 13 21 16 36 0 7 0 6 118
Seacoast 8 18 18 39 5 6 0 5 96
Manchester Area 12 20 11 33 2 16 0 5 66
NH Democratic Primary Trial Heat
"If the upcoming New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary were held today, which one of the following candidates
would you vote for ... Wesley Clark ... Howard Dean ... John Edwards ... John Kerry ... Dennis Kucinich ... Joe Lieberman ...
or Al Sharpton?" ROTATE CANDIDATES
Clark Dean Edwards Kerry Kucinich Lieberman Other Und. (N=)
January 17-19 18% 33% 8% 24% 3% 5% 3% 6% 338
January 18-20 18% 29% 8% 27% 3% 5% 3% 6% 447
January 19-21 19% 25% 8% 30% 3% 7% 1% 7% 483
January 20-22 15% 19% 11% 37% 3% 8% 0% 7% 421
January 21-23 13% 19% 12% 37% 2% 10% 0% 8% 444
January 22-24 11% 22% 12% 37% 2% 8% 1% 6% 458
January 23-25 FINAL 11% 25% 13% 36% 3% 7% 0% 6% 459
Certainty of support
Certain to support 11 29 11 41 3 5 0 0 301
May change mind 15 19 21 32 3 11 0 0 129
2nd choice of candidate
Clark 0 26 17 52 0 5 0 0 70
Dean 6 0 17 67 7 4 0 0 54
Edwards 7 18 0 70 2 3 0 0 69
Kerry 24 40 23 0 1 13 0 0 106
Lieberman 23 5 21 41 4 6 0 0 38
Undecided 2 41 19 37 0 0 2 0 13
Confidence candidate can win nomination
Very confident 5 18 7 67 1 1 0 0 134
Somewhat Confident 16 33 19 30 0 2 0 0 238
Note very confident 10 20 17 1 10 42 1 0 42
Not at all confident 0 0 4 4 49 42 0 0 12
Confidence candidate can beat Bush
Very confident 13 26 14 43 1 4 0 0 151
Somewhat Confident 12 29 14 39 0 5 0 0 215
Note very confident 7 13 17 26 13 23 1 0 41
Not at all confident 0 20 24 0 30 26 0 0 15
Most Important Issue - 1st Choice
Health care 8 34 10 39 0 4 0 5 123
Economy 8 27 17 33 2 6 0 7 96
War in Iraq 6 30 0 37 11 13 0 3 44
Education 4 20 23 44 0 9 0 0 40
Foreign Policy 25 12 3 40 13 0 0 7 27
Taxes 23 16 34 19 0 7 0 2 21
Terrorism/Security 32 18 3 23 0 21 0 2 26
Environment 3 21 25 29 0 5 0 17 15
Other 12 12 22 35 4 3 0 13 48
DK 9 11 10 40 0 11 2 16 12
NH Democratic Primary Trial Heat
"If the upcoming New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary were held today, which one of the following candidates
would you vote for ... Wesley Clark ... Howard Dean ... John Edwards ... John Kerry ... Dennis Kucinich ... Joe Lieberman ...
or Al Sharpton?" ROTATE CANDIDATES
Clark Dean Edwards Kerry Kucinich Lieberman Other Und. (N=)
January 17-19 18% 33% 8% 24% 3% 5% 3% 6% 338
January 18-20 18% 29% 8% 27% 3% 5% 3% 6% 447
January 19-21 19% 25% 8% 30% 3% 7% 1% 7% 483
January 20-22 15% 19% 11% 37% 3% 8% 0% 7% 421
January 21-23 13% 19% 12% 37% 2% 10% 0% 8% 444
January 22-24 11% 22% 12% 37% 2% 8% 1% 6% 458
January 23-25 FINAL 11% 25% 13% 36% 3% 7% 0% 6% 459
War w/Iraq: Right or Wrong for US
Strongly right 9 6 23 28 2 24 0 7 71
Somewhat right 12 19 12 49 0 6 0 2 56
Somewhat wrong 13 17 16 42 3 4 0 6 83
Strongly wrong 11 36 11 30 4 3 0 4 208
Most important candidate quality
Is a strong & decisive leader 17 15 9 44 0 10 0 4 69
Cares about people like me 6 39 24 22 2 4 0 2 67
Shares my anger w/Bush 0 37 11 34 8 5 0 5 39
Has the right experience 12 2 6 66 0 11 0 3 69
Best chance to win in Nov. 18 11 18 40 2 3 0 8 67
Stands up for what he believes 11 37 14 17 5 7 0 10 117
Is a loyal Democrat 0 50 21 29 0 0 0 0 9
Most inconsistent candidate
Clark 5 31 4 40 7 10 0 1 45
Dean 15 8 16 49 2 7 0 3 166
Kerry 16 50 19 3 0 9 0 4 47
Lieberman 0 56 9 27 9 0 0 0 19
Other candidate 10 5 12 47 0 10 0 16 20
All the same 6 36 20 23 1 1 0 13 54
DK/Not Sure 6 32 13 34 2 6 0 7 81
Satisfaction w/Dean nomination
Very satisfied 0 77 8 10 1 0 0 3 122
Somewhat satisfied 16 12 18 38 5 4 0 7 128
Neutral (vol.) 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 59 6
Somewhat dissatisfied 19 0 18 46 3 8 0 6 105
Very dissatisfied 12 0 12 54 2 19 0 2 86
How Certain to Support Candidate
"Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and support someone else in the 2004
New Hampshire Primary?"
Support Change Mind DK (N=)
January 17-19 51% 48% 1% 316
January 18-20 51% 48% 1% 419
January 19-21 55% 44% 1% 449
January 20-22 58% 42% 1% 390
January 21-23 61% 39% 0% 410
January 22-24 62% 38% 0% 430
January 23-25 FINAL 70% 30% 0% 430
Clark Voter 63 37 0 51
Dean 78 22 0 112
Edwards 55 44 0 62
Kerry 75 25 0 164
Kucinich 71 29 0 12
Lieberman 55 45 0 30
Registered Democrat 77 23 0 228
Undeclared 62 38 0 194
Not Registered, Will Vote 47 53 0 8
Strong Democrat 75 25 0 193
Not so Strong Democrat 63 37 0 44
Lean Democrat 68 32 0 109
Independent or Republican 61 38 0 74
Certain to support 100 0 0 301
May change mind 0 100 0 129
Liberal 67 33 0 145
Moderate 70 30 0 204
Conservative 76 24 0 61
Approve of Bush as President 62 37 0 69
Neutral 61 39 0 14
Disapprove 72 28 0 335
Extremely interested 76 24 0 211
Very interested 63 37 0 184
Somewhat / not very int. 67 33 0 36
Will definitely vote 70 30 0 365
Will vote unless emergency 67 32 0 66
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 70 30 0 236
Neutral re Dean 87 13 0 2
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 70 30 0 183
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 68 32 0 121
Somewhat Wrong 72 28 0 77
Strongly Wrong 69 31 0 199
Don't Know 69 31 0 21
How Certain to Support Candidate
"Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and support someone else in the 2004
New Hampshire Primary?"
Support Change Mind DK (N=)
January 17-19 51% 48% 1% 316
January 18-20 51% 48% 1% 419
January 19-21 55% 44% 1% 449
January 20-22 58% 42% 1% 390
January 21-23 61% 39% 0% 410
January 22-24 62% 38% 0% 430
January 23-25 FINAL 70% 30% 0% 430
18 to 29 78 22 0 37
30 to 45 63 37 0 118
46 to 64 71 29 0 188
65 and over 74 26 0 78
Male 70 30 0 177
Female 70 30 0 253
High school or less 71 29 0 86
Some college 74 26 0 83
College graduate 78 21 0 142
Post-graduate 56 44 0 113
Less than $30,000 83 17 0 32
$30,000 to $59,999 64 36 0 104
$60,000 to $74,999 63 37 1 38
$75,000 to $99,999 79 21 0 59
$100,000 or more 63 37 0 77
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 73 27 0 50
6 to 10 years 62 38 0 48
11 to 20 years 60 40 0 96
More than 20 years 75 25 0 230
North Country 79 21 0 36
Central / Lakes 79 21 0 70
Connecticut Valley 69 31 0 60
Mass Border 69 31 0 111
Seacoast 59 40 0 91
Manchester Area 73 27 0 63
Second Choice
"Which candidate would be your second choice?"
Clark Dean Edwards Kerry Lieberman Other None Und. (N=)
January 17-19 23% 14% 14% 15% 10% 9% 10% 5% 317
January 18-20 20% 13% 16% 17% 10% 9% 8% 6% 418
January 19-21 17% 13% 17% 21% 10% 7% 9% 5% 448
January 20-22 15% 13% 22% 20% 9% 3% 12% 6% 389
January 21-23 17% 13% 21% 20% 7% 2% 15% 4% 408
January 22-24 17% 13% 21% 21% 7% 2% 15% 4% 429
January 23-25 FINAL 16% 13% 16% 25% 9% 2% 17% 3% 430
Clark Voter 0 6 9 50 18 0 17 1 51
Dean 16 0 11 38 2 3 25 5 112
Edwards 19 15 0 39 13 3 7 4 62
Kerry 22 22 30 0 10 0 13 3 163
Kucinich 0 31 11 5 13 11 30 0 12
Lieberman 13 8 8 45 7 0 19 0 30
Registered Democrat 19 9 16 26 5 0 22 5 228
Undeclared 14 18 16 23 13 2 12 1 194
Not Registered, Will Vote 11 0 22 25 23 16 0 3 8
Strong Democrat 16 14 18 23 7 1 16 4 193
Not so Strong Democrat 10 20 11 34 1 0 21 3 44
Lean Democrat 22 14 15 19 9 3 15 3 109
Independent or Republican 13 5 15 34 15 2 15 1 74
Certain to support 15 10 17 20 9 2 23 4 301
May change mind 20 18 15 35 9 0 3 0 129
Liberal 20 13 16 22 5 3 15 4 145
Moderate 15 11 15 27 10 1 17 3 204
Conservative 12 16 17 25 13 0 15 3 61
Approve of Bush as President 17 15 14 17 18 0 14 5 69
Neutral 3 5 26 30 2 14 21 0 13
Disapprove 17 13 16 26 7 1 17 3 335
Extremely interested 13 9 17 26 9 2 21 3 211
Very interested 20 17 16 22 10 1 12 2 184
Somewhat / not very int. 14 11 10 30 5 4 16 9 35
Will definitely vote 16 12 17 26 8 1 17 3 365
Will vote unless emergency 21 17 10 17 12 2 18 3 65
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 13 21 12 26 5 3 19 3 236
Neutral re Dean 27 60 13 0 0 0 0 0 2
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 22 2 22 24 13 0 14 3 183
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 14 10 17 17 19 1 18 4 121
Somewhat Wrong 21 15 10 24 9 2 18 1 77
Strongly Wrong 16 14 17 28 4 2 16 4 199
Don't Know 24 6 5 47 10 0 8 1 21
Second Choice
"Which candidate would be your second choice?"
Clark Dean Edwards Kerry Lieberman Other None Und. (N=)
January 17-19 23% 14% 14% 15% 10% 9% 10% 5% 317
January 18-20 20% 13% 16% 17% 10% 9% 8% 6% 418
January 19-21 17% 13% 17% 21% 10% 7% 9% 5% 448
January 20-22 15% 13% 22% 20% 9% 3% 12% 6% 389
January 21-23 17% 13% 21% 20% 7% 2% 15% 4% 408
January 22-24 17% 13% 21% 21% 7% 2% 15% 4% 429
January 23-25 FINAL 16% 13% 16% 25% 9% 2% 17% 3% 430
18 to 29 13 16 26 20 4 0 19 2 37
30 to 45 16 18 13 22 13 3 11 3 118
46 to 64 20 9 15 27 8 1 17 3 188
65 and over 12 12 16 29 7 0 21 3 78
Male 18 10 12 31 11 1 15 3 177
Female 15 14 19 20 8 2 18 3 253
High school or less 11 11 27 21 6 1 17 5 86
Some college 24 4 17 29 6 1 14 4 83
College graduate 15 21 11 21 11 3 17 1 142
Post-graduate 18 10 12 30 9 0 17 3 113
Less than $30,000 18 14 21 23 5 0 19 1 32
$30,000 to $59,999 15 10 22 23 7 1 18 3 103
$60,000 to $74,999 14 14 14 37 2 2 8 8 38
$75,000 to $99,999 16 20 5 21 20 2 14 2 59
$100,000 or more 16 15 16 24 6 4 13 6 77
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 16 11 15 21 13 3 15 6 50
6 to 10 years 33 10 16 33 0 1 2 4 48
11 to 20 years 16 13 16 21 13 0 19 1 96
More than 20 years 13 14 16 26 8 2 18 3 230
North Country 11 22 16 11 10 5 17 7 36
Central / Lakes 16 7 20 33 5 0 19 1 70
Connecticut Valley 13 21 16 19 0 2 28 1 60
Mass Border 14 15 16 36 5 1 10 3 110
Seacoast 24 9 16 17 13 2 16 3 91
Manchester Area 17 8 13 19 22 0 16 5 63
Confidence Candidate Can Win Nomination
"How confident are you (INSERT NAME OF RESPONDENT'S FIRST CHOICE CANDIDATE) can win the Democratic
Party nomination ... very confident ... somewhat confident ... not very confident ... or not confident at all?"
Very Somewhat Not Very Not At All Doesn't Not
Confident Confident Confident Confident Matter Sure (N=)
January 19-21 19% 66% 9% 1% 1% 3% 283
January 20-22 22% 62% 11% 2% 1% 2% 390
January 21-23 22% 62% 13% 2% 0% 1% 410
January 22-24 26% 58% 11% 4% 0% 1% 428
January 23-25 FINAL 31% 56% 10% 3% 0% 0% 428
Clark Voter 14 75 8 0 3 0 51
Dean 22 71 7 0 0 0 110
Edwards 16 72 11 1 0 0 62
Kerry 55 44 0 0 0 1 164
Kucinich 8 5 35 52 0 0 12
Lieberman 5 19 59 17 0 0 30
Registered Democrat 34 56 8 2 0 0 226
Undeclared 28 56 11 4 1 0 194
Not Registered, Will Vote 33 28 34 5 0 0 8
Strong Democrat 36 54 7 2 0 0 193
Not so Strong Democrat 13 77 10 0 0 0 44
Lean Democrat 30 61 7 3 0 0 108
Independent or Republican 24 45 22 7 2 0 74
Certain to support 40 49 9 2 0 0 299
May change mind 10 72 12 5 1 0 129
Liberal 23 64 7 5 0 1 145
Moderate 33 55 12 1 0 0 204
Conservative 36 46 10 7 0 0 61
Approve of Bush as President 24 47 23 4 2 0 69
Neutral 46 54 0 0 0 0 14
Disapprove 31 58 7 3 0 0 334
Extremely interested 37 53 8 1 0 0 209
Very interested 27 56 11 5 1 1 184
Somewhat / not very int. 16 69 10 5 0 0 36
Will definitely vote 33 56 8 3 0 0 364
Will vote unless emergency 23 56 19 3 0 0 64
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 25 64 7 4 0 0 235
Neutral re Dean 60 40 0 0 0 0 2
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 36 47 14 2 1 0 183
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 33 49 14 3 1 0 121
Somewhat Wrong 28 60 9 3 0 0 77
Strongly Wrong 30 59 7 3 0 0 199
Don't Know 21 59 20 0 0 0 21
Confidence Candidate Can Win Nomination
"How confident are you (INSERT NAME OF RESPONDENT'S FIRST CHOICE CANDIDATE) can win the Democratic
Party nomination ... very confident ... somewhat confident ... not very confident ... or not confident at all?"
Very Somewhat Not Very Not At All Doesn't Not
Confident Confident Confident Confident Matter Sure (N=)
January 19-21 19% 66% 9% 1% 1% 3% 283
January 20-22 22% 62% 11% 2% 1% 2% 390
January 21-23 22% 62% 13% 2% 0% 1% 410
January 22-24 26% 58% 11% 4% 0% 1% 428
January 23-25 FINAL 31% 56% 10% 3% 0% 0% 428
18 to 29 39 49 8 4 0 0 37
30 to 45 22 64 10 4 0 0 118
46 to 64 34 53 10 3 1 0 188
65 and over 32 56 10 1 0 1 78
Male 28 57 12 3 0 0 177
Female 33 55 8 3 1 0 251
High school or less 41 49 4 4 1 0 86
Some college 26 62 9 2 0 1 83
College graduate 33 55 10 2 0 0 142
Post-graduate 23 59 14 4 0 0 112
Less than $30,000 37 45 12 3 0 3 32
$30,000 to $59,999 35 53 8 2 1 0 104
$60,000 to $74,999 13 76 6 4 0 0 38
$75,000 to $99,999 35 54 11 0 0 0 59
$100,000 or more 24 59 16 1 0 0 77
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 27 57 10 6 0 0 50
6 to 10 years 33 57 10 0 0 0 48
11 to 20 years 21 64 9 5 1 0 95
More than 20 years 35 53 10 2 0 0 230
North Country 46 46 8 0 0 0 36
Central / Lakes 34 58 8 1 0 0 70
Connecticut Valley 26 58 11 5 0 0 59
Mass Border 29 63 6 3 0 0 109
Seacoast 33 49 12 4 1 1 91
Manchester Area 26 53 16 4 0 0 63
Confidence Candidate Can Beat Bush
"And how confident are you that if (INSERT NAME OF RESPONDENT'S FIRST CHOICE CANDIDATE) is nominated, he
can beat President Bush in the 2004 general election ... very confident ... somewhat confident ... not very confident ... or not
confident at all?"
Very Somewhat Not Very Not At All Doesn't Not
Confident Confident Confident Confident Matter Sure (N=)
January 17-19 24% 54% 14% 4% 2% 2% 317
January 18-20 26% 53% 13% 4% 1% 3% 419
January 19-21 27% 52% 15% 3% 1% 3% 450
January 20-22 29% 53% 13% 3% 0% 2% 390
January 21-23 28% 54% 13% 4% 0% 1% 409
January 22-24 31% 50% 13% 4% 1% 1% 427
January 23-25 FINAL 35% 50% 10% 4% 1% 1% 427
Clark Voter 40 52 6 0 3 0 51
Dean 35 56 5 3 0 1 110
Edwards 33 50 11 6 0 0 62
Kerry 40 52 6 0 1 1 163
Kucinich 13 5 44 38 0 0 12
Lieberman 19 36 32 13 0 0 30
Registered Democrat 38 49 9 3 0 1 225
Undeclared 32 52 11 4 1 1 194
Not Registered, Will Vote 25 27 3 23 23 0 8
Strong Democrat 36 53 8 3 0 1 193
Not so Strong Democrat 26 69 5 0 0 0 44
Lean Democrat 38 51 8 2 0 1 108
Independent or Republican 31 37 21 10 2 0 74
Certain to support 43 45 9 2 0 1 298
May change mind 18 62 12 6 2 0 129
Liberal 26 61 8 4 0 1 145
Moderate 42 47 10 1 0 0 204
Conservative 34 42 15 9 0 0 61
Approve of Bush as President 12 54 23 9 2 0 69
Neutral 23 54 23 0 0 0 14
Disapprove 40 49 7 3 0 1 334
Extremely interested 51 39 7 2 1 0 209
Very interested 20 63 11 4 1 1 183
Somewhat / not very int. 24 50 15 9 0 2 36
Will definitely vote 37 50 9 3 1 1 364
Will vote unless emergency 27 54 12 6 0 1 63
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 33 53 9 4 0 1 235
Neutral re Dean 60 40 0 0 0 0 2
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 37 48 11 3 1 0 183
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 24 52 17 5 3 0 121
Somewhat Wrong 38 53 9 1 0 1 77
Strongly Wrong 39 49 6 4 0 1 199
Don't Know 48 46 6 0 0 0 21
Confidence Candidate Can Beat Bush
"And how confident are you that if (INSERT NAME OF RESPONDENT'S FIRST CHOICE CANDIDATE) is nominated, he
can beat President Bush in the 2004 general election ... very confident ... somewhat confident ... not very confident ... or not
confident at all?"
Very Somewhat Not Very Not At All Doesn't Not
Confident Confident Confident Confident Matter Sure (N=)
January 17-19 24% 54% 14% 4% 2% 2% 317
January 18-20 26% 53% 13% 4% 1% 3% 419
January 19-21 27% 52% 15% 3% 1% 3% 450
January 20-22 29% 53% 13% 3% 0% 2% 390
January 21-23 28% 54% 13% 4% 0% 1% 409
January 22-24 31% 50% 13% 4% 1% 1% 427
January 23-25 FINAL 35% 50% 10% 4% 1% 1% 427
18 to 29 31 60 8 0 0 0 37
30 to 45 29 54 10 7 0 0 118
46 to 64 38 50 8 3 1 0 188
65 and over 41 43 11 1 0 4 78
Male 32 53 10 5 1 0 177
Female 38 49 10 3 1 1 251
High school or less 31 52 12 2 1 2 86
Some college 31 53 10 5 0 1 83
College graduate 41 48 8 3 0 0 142
Post-graduate 35 51 9 5 0 0 112
Less than $30,000 48 39 3 4 0 6 32
$30,000 to $59,999 33 51 10 4 1 1 104
$60,000 to $74,999 18 70 12 0 0 0 38
$75,000 to $99,999 37 48 11 4 0 0 59
$100,000 or more 28 63 8 2 0 0 77
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 29 51 11 9 0 0 50
6 to 10 years 31 53 13 2 0 0 48
11 to 20 years 28 58 6 7 1 0 95
More than 20 years 41 47 10 1 0 1 230
North Country 48 44 8 0 0 0 36
Central / Lakes 36 52 10 2 0 0 69
Connecticut Valley 28 54 11 7 0 1 59
Mass Border 36 58 6 0 0 0 109
Seacoast 35 42 14 4 3 2 91
Manchester Area 33 48 9 9 0 1 63
Most Important Issue
"There are many issues facing the candidates in the election for president. In your opinion, which one issue is MOST
IMPORTANT to YOUR VOTE in the presidential primary?" "Which is next most important?" "What is the third most
important?"
Health War In Educ- For. Terror/Environ-
Care Economy Iraq ation Policy Taxes Security ment Other DK (N=)
January 17-19 25% 17% 12% 5% 5% 6% 6% 4% 16% 4% 336
January 18-20 24% 19% 10% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 16% 6% 446
January 19-21 27% 23% 10% 5% 3% 7% 5% 3% 12% 6% 482
January 20-22 25% 25% 10% 5% 3% 5% 6% 2% 12% 6% 425
January 21-23 26% 25% 10% 5% 6% 4% 7% 3% 11% 4% 444
January 22-24 27% 22% 11% 6% 6% 4% 7% 2% 11% 3% 456
January 23-25 FINAL 27% 21% 10% 9% 6% 5% 6% 3% 11% 3% 454
Clark Voter 20 16 5 3 14 10 17 1 12 2 49
Dean 37 24 12 7 3 3 4 3 5 1 111
Edwards 20 27 0 15 1 12 1 6 17 2 62
Kerry 30 20 10 11 7 3 4 3 10 3 160
Kucinich 0 13 43 0 29 0 0 0 15 0 12
Lieberman 17 18 19 12 0 5 18 2 5 5 30
Registered Democrat 31 18 8 9 6 3 6 5 10 3 237
Undeclared 23 25 10 9 6 5 5 2 12 3 210
Not Registered, Will Vote 18 0 34 3 0 34 5 0 0 7 8
Strong Democrat 28 20 9 10 6 4 4 7 11 2 199
Not so Strong Democrat 37 19 12 4 5 0 16 1 3 3 48
Lean Democrat 26 19 10 10 11 8 2 1 10 2 112
Independent or Republican 21 28 10 8 1 5 10 1 15 1 83
Certain to support 27 24 9 10 6 5 6 3 7 2 296
May change mind 27 15 12 8 6 4 6 3 16 3 128
Liberal 32 19 9 9 8 3 2 6 11 1 151
Moderate 24 25 8 10 5 5 8 3 10 1 216
Conservative 26 11 15 9 4 10 6 2 9 8 64
Approve of Bush as President 23 22 10 4 6 11 11 1 7 5 71
Neutral 32 5 11 12 2 0 10 3 19 4 14
Disapprove 28 21 10 10 6 4 5 4 11 2 354
Extremely interested 20 25 10 10 7 4 6 5 12 0 223
Very interested 33 18 10 9 5 5 5 2 10 4 193
Somewhat / not very int. 41 10 7 3 6 4 5 3 9 11 38
Will definitely vote 27 19 10 9 6 5 6 4 12 3 385
Will vote unless emergency 28 32 6 7 7 4 2 3 8 3 69
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 32 18 9 9 5 4 6 3 11 2 252
Neutral re Dean 67 28 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 20 24 10 9 8 5 6 4 11 3 187
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 29 22 11 7 4 7 9 1 5 4 127
Somewhat Wrong 18 21 6 12 10 5 8 5 11 3 83
Strongly Wrong 31 17 11 10 6 3 3 5 13 1 208
Don't Know 28 34 6 0 2 0 0 2 25 2 23
Most Important Issue
"There are many issues facing the candidates in the election for president. In your opinion, which one issue is MOST
IMPORTANT to YOUR VOTE in the presidential primary?" "Which is next most important?" "What is the third most
important?"
Health War In Educ- For. Terror/Environ-
Care Economy Iraq ation Policy Taxes Security ment Other DK (N=)
January 17-19 25% 17% 12% 5% 5% 6% 6% 4% 16% 4% 336
January 18-20 24% 19% 10% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 16% 6% 446
January 19-21 27% 23% 10% 5% 3% 7% 5% 3% 12% 6% 482
January 20-22 25% 25% 10% 5% 3% 5% 6% 2% 12% 6% 425
January 21-23 26% 25% 10% 5% 6% 4% 7% 3% 11% 4% 444
January 22-24 27% 22% 11% 6% 6% 4% 7% 2% 11% 3% 456
January 23-25 FINAL 27% 21% 10% 9% 6% 5% 6% 3% 11% 3% 454
18 to 29 20 12 13 25 16 0 6 5 2 3 38
30 to 45 20 14 10 18 6 7 9 4 9 2 126
46 to 64 31 27 8 4 6 5 5 4 11 1 195
65 and over 34 25 12 0 3 4 0 2 16 4 84
Male 19 28 13 5 5 6 8 3 12 1 186
Female 33 17 7 12 7 4 4 3 10 4 268
High school or less 48 13 12 0 4 7 5 3 4 4 87
Some college 37 15 7 9 7 8 3 1 9 2 86
College graduate 21 25 10 8 8 4 9 4 9 2 158
Post-graduate 14 27 8 16 4 2 4 5 19 1 116
Less than $30,000 39 10 12 0 4 1 8 8 11 7 32
$30,000 to $59,999 38 15 11 8 8 5 1 1 12 2 108
$60,000 to $74,999 22 28 4 20 4 2 9 2 3 4 38
$75,000 to $99,999 13 15 11 16 8 13 10 6 8 0 60
$100,000 or more 14 29 8 12 5 3 4 3 22 1 85
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 19 27 8 8 8 10 4 5 9 2 55
6 to 10 years 26 18 11 16 1 4 2 0 22 0 50
11 to 20 years 33 12 14 4 10 2 8 5 8 4 99
More than 20 years 28 24 8 10 5 5 6 3 10 2 244
North Country 38 15 9 2 7 3 2 5 19 2 38
Central / Lakes 21 25 17 6 5 7 6 4 9 1 74
Connecticut Valley 36 18 2 4 12 1 8 3 12 2 67
Mass Border 21 23 8 17 6 8 5 2 7 3 116
Seacoast 26 22 12 6 5 2 5 3 15 4 93
Manchester Area 30 18 9 11 2 4 8 5 10 3 66
Most Important Issue - Top 3
"There are many issues facing the candidates in the election for president. In your opinion, which one issue is MOST
IMPORTANT to YOUR VOTE in the presidential primary?" "Which is next most important?" "What is the third most
important?" (Multiple responses possible. Percentages sum to more than 100%.)
Health War In Educ- For. Terror/Environ-
Care Economy Iraq ation Policy Taxes Security ment Other DK (N=)
January 17-19 58% 46% 28% 22% 20% 17% 16% 8% 34% 8% 340
January 18-20 55% 45% 25% 22% 19% 17% 14% 7% 51% 10% 452
January 19-21 55% 51% 28% 23% 14% 16% 14% 5% 45% 10% 489
January 20-22 58% 52% 29% 22% 15% 14% 14% 6% 43% 9% 431
January 21-23 60% 53% 30% 23% 17% 11% 15% 7% 44% 7% 452
January 22-24 60% 48% 28% 25% 17% 13% 16% 8% 44% 6% 463
January 23-25 FINAL 59% 49% 28% 28% 18% 13% 16% 9% 42% 6% 461
Clark Voter 44 40 26 33 19 19 21 1 55 2 51
Dean 73 51 29 24 15 13 12 13 39 3 112
Edwards 50 63 16 26 20 15 10 11 43 11 62
Kerry 61 50 31 29 18 11 18 8 35 5 164
Kucinich 53 26 49 37 56 0 13 11 31 13 12
Lieberman 51 46 34 26 13 14 33 5 52 7 30
Registered Democrat 59 48 29 29 19 9 17 12 40 5 242
Undeclared 58 50 26 28 17 17 15 7 46 6 211
Not Registered, Will Vote 70 40 34 19 0 34 5 0 33 7 8
Strong Democrat 56 52 31 30 20 12 16 13 38 5 202
Not so Strong Democrat 57 50 20 22 23 7 19 10 43 6 48
Lean Democrat 77 43 26 30 18 15 5 7 43 6 112
Independent or Republican 48 50 28 28 13 17 30 5 45 5 84
Certain to support 60 50 28 29 18 13 19 10 35 4 301
May change mind 58 48 30 24 20 14 9 5 54 8 129
Liberal 58 46 26 33 28 11 11 15 40 3 151
Moderate 63 56 25 28 16 14 20 8 37 4 219
Conservative 51 38 44 25 7 13 20 2 57 13 64
Approve of Bush as President 56 47 24 16 18 25 24 2 38 11 72
Neutral 51 24 13 50 2 19 34 3 52 4 14
Disapprove 61 51 30 30 19 10 15 11 41 4 357
Extremely interested 57 59 32 32 17 9 18 11 37 3 225
Very interested 62 41 25 25 19 17 14 8 46 7 197
Somewhat / not very int. 61 32 15 22 21 13 13 5 56 13 38
Will definitely vote 58 49 29 27 18 13 16 10 41 5 389
Will vote unless emergency 65 49 20 35 15 9 14 7 48 7 71
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 65 45 28 30 19 14 14 12 41 5 252
Neutral re Dean 72 59 5 35 11 0 0 0 65 0 6
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 52 54 29 28 18 12 20 6 41 6 191
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 61 47 27 24 14 21 20 3 38 8 129
Somewhat Wrong 53 50 13 36 30 13 23 16 42 3 83
Strongly Wrong 63 49 34 28 17 7 14 12 41 4 209
Don't Know 53 55 29 27 4 18 4 2 57 6 24
Most Important Issue - Top 3
"There are many issues facing the candidates in the election for president. In your opinion, which one issue is MOST
IMPORTANT to YOUR VOTE in the presidential primary?" "Which is next most important?" "What is the third most
important?" (Multiple responses possible. Percentages sum to more than 100%.)
Health War In Educ- For. Terror/Environ-
Care Economy Iraq ation Policy Taxes Security ment Other DK (N=)
January 17-19 58% 46% 28% 22% 20% 17% 16% 8% 34% 8% 340
January 18-20 55% 45% 25% 22% 19% 17% 14% 7% 51% 10% 452
January 19-21 55% 51% 28% 23% 14% 16% 14% 5% 45% 10% 489
January 20-22 58% 52% 29% 22% 15% 14% 14% 6% 43% 9% 431
January 21-23 60% 53% 30% 23% 17% 11% 15% 7% 44% 7% 452
January 22-24 60% 48% 28% 25% 17% 13% 16% 8% 44% 6% 463
January 23-25 FINAL 59% 49% 28% 28% 18% 13% 16% 9% 42% 6% 461
18 to 29 76 15 31 58 17 8 6 10 35 8 38
30 to 45 51 46 21 38 20 19 20 15 34 6 126
46 to 64 61 58 28 24 24 13 18 9 38 3 198
65 and over 67 51 36 13 4 8 8 4 58 10 85
Male 47 56 32 19 16 13 18 11 48 5 189
Female 68 44 24 35 19 13 14 8 38 6 271
High school or less 76 37 26 14 12 16 14 8 44 10 89
Some college 63 42 24 28 27 22 15 7 38 6 86
College graduate 58 57 32 32 12 12 18 11 34 3 159
Post-graduate 49 54 25 36 24 6 16 10 49 4 117
Less than $30,000 70 35 22 21 12 10 18 13 45 10 34
$30,000 to $59,999 64 44 34 24 13 18 10 1 50 4 109
$60,000 to $74,999 44 63 21 42 31 11 16 11 30 4 38
$75,000 to $99,999 63 55 22 25 20 22 20 11 31 7 60
$100,000 or more 51 54 30 32 17 7 19 11 46 3 86
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 56 44 34 27 24 13 14 11 41 9 55
6 to 10 years 58 63 26 42 14 15 7 4 48 0 50
11 to 20 years 61 39 27 29 21 12 16 13 39 8 101
More than 20 years 62 52 27 27 17 13 19 9 40 4 246
North Country 68 37 28 28 23 12 22 10 33 7 39
Central / Lakes 50 58 42 24 16 14 14 10 39 4 75
Connecticut Valley 71 46 17 24 24 6 12 13 46 2 67
Mass Border 55 52 28 33 22 19 15 7 32 8 118
Seacoast 63 48 22 19 14 4 19 8 58 8 96
Manchester Area 55 45 29 42 11 20 14 11 45 3 66
US War in Iraq - Right or Wrong
"Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?” “Do you feel that
strongly or only somewhat?"
Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not
Right Right Wrong Wrong Sure (N=)
January 17-19 11% 17% 15% 46% 11% 339
January 18-20 12% 16% 14% 47% 10% 444
January 19-21 12% 17% 13% 48% 10% 482
January 20-22 14% 17% 11% 52% 6% 423
January 21-23 16% 16% 14% 50% 4% 442
January 22-24 16% 13% 16% 49% 5% 448
January 23-25 FINAL 16% 13% 19% 47% 5% 444
Clark Voter 14 14 21 48 4 49
Dean 4 10 13 68 6 111
Edwards 27 11 21 38 3 62
Kerry 13 18 22 41 7 155
Kucinich 13 0 18 69 0 12
Lieberman 58 12 11 19 0 30
Registered Democrat 8 10 23 52 6 231
Undeclared 25 15 14 42 5 207
Not Registered, Will Vote 19 28 20 33 0 6
Strong Democrat 10 10 23 52 5 196
Not so Strong Democrat 6 19 20 44 12 48
Lean Democrat 15 12 20 51 3 110
Independent or Republican 40 16 8 30 5 83
Certain to support 15 13 19 47 5 290
May change mind 17 13 17 48 5 129
Liberal 3 12 18 65 3 149
Moderate 19 14 21 38 8 214
Conservative 38 10 15 34 3 62
Approve of Bush as President 66 27 5 1 1 70
Neutral 47 17 6 6 24 14
Disapprove 5 9 22 59 5 350
Extremely interested 11 10 19 56 4 217
Very interested 20 16 16 41 7 191
Somewhat / not very int. 26 17 26 26 5 36
Will definitely vote 16 11 18 49 6 378
Will vote unless emergency 14 22 24 36 4 66
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 10 11 17 57 4 248
Neutral re Dean 0 5 0 56 39 6
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 25 15 21 33 6 185
US War in Iraq - Right or Wrong
"Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing?” “Do you feel that
strongly or only somewhat?"
Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not
Right Right Wrong Wrong Sure (N=)
January 17-19 11% 17% 15% 46% 11% 339
January 18-20 12% 16% 14% 47% 10% 444
January 19-21 12% 17% 13% 48% 10% 482
January 20-22 14% 17% 11% 52% 6% 423
January 21-23 16% 16% 14% 50% 4% 442
January 22-24 16% 13% 16% 49% 5% 448
January 23-25 FINAL 16% 13% 19% 47% 5% 444
18 to 29 14 16 10 56 4 38
30 to 45 16 17 22 42 4 126
46 to 64 15 11 22 46 6 191
65 and over 17 8 11 56 8 83
Male 24 12 17 42 5 182
Female 10 14 20 50 6 262
High school or less 23 17 14 41 4 85
Some college 14 15 20 44 7 86
College graduate 17 11 22 45 6 158
Post-graduate 12 10 17 58 4 113
Less than $30,000 19 9 17 51 4 34
$30,000 to $59,999 21 15 10 48 6 109
$60,000 to $74,999 5 8 27 55 3 36
$75,000 to $99,999 23 15 18 41 2 59
$100,000 or more 11 15 24 45 6 84
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 23 6 28 37 6 55
6 to 10 years 11 17 10 56 6 50
11 to 20 years 9 10 23 54 3 101
More than 20 years 19 14 16 45 6 237
North Country 24 10 7 58 2 39
Central / Lakes 15 15 14 54 2 69
Connecticut Valley 14 9 19 47 10 65
Mass Border 15 13 21 46 6 113
Seacoast 14 11 23 47 6 94
Manchester Area 19 20 19 36 6 65
Most Important Candidate Quality
"Here is a list of several qualities many people think are important in presidential candidates. Which ONE candidate quality
mattered most in deciding who you are supporting in the primary ... he is a strong & decisive leader ... he cares about people
like me ... he shares my anger & frustration with Bush ... has the right experience ... he has the best chance to beat Bush in
November ... he stands up for what he believes ... or he is a loyal Democrat?" (ROTATE RESPONSES)
Strong Cares Angry Exper- Win Stands for Loyal Not
Leader About Me @ Bush ience In Nov. Beliefs Dem. Sure (N=)
January 17-19 20% 16% 7% 11% 12% 29% 1% 4% 334
January 18-20 20% 16% 8% 13% 11% 27% 1% 4% 436
January 19-21 18% 17% 7% 13% 12% 29% 2% 3% 473
January 20-22 14% 13% 8% 16% 11% 33% 3% 2% 418
January 21-23 14% 13% 6% 16% 12% 34% 3% 2% 443
January 22-24 15% 14% 9% 15% 12% 30% 2% 3% 453
January 23-25 FINAL 15% 15% 9% 15% 15% 26% 2% 3% 450
Clark Voter 24 8 0 17 24 25 0 3 51
Dean 9 24 13 1 7 39 4 3 110
Edwards 11 26 7 7 20 26 3 0 61
Kerry 19 9 8 28 17 13 2 4 160
Kucinich 0 14 28 0 11 47 0 0 12
Lieberman 24 9 6 26 6 28 0 1 30
Registered Democrat 17 12 12 14 15 23 3 4 235
Undeclared 13 17 5 16 16 29 1 2 207
Not Registered, Will Vote 0 41 3 23 0 28 0 5 8
Strong Democrat 14 11 13 14 17 25 3 2 201
Not so Strong Democrat 20 22 4 11 21 16 0 7 47
Lean Democrat 17 17 6 19 15 26 0 0 112
Independent or Republican 14 15 5 15 9 35 2 6 83
Certain to support 17 16 8 17 11 26 3 3 294
May change mind 11 15 9 14 24 23 1 4 129
Liberal 12 14 12 14 24 21 1 2 150
Moderate 20 16 5 15 11 27 2 3 217
Conservative 11 8 13 21 11 29 4 3 63
Approve of Bush as President 18 13 5 18 2 33 7 4 71
Neutral 26 27 0 16 10 19 0 2 14
Disapprove 14 15 10 14 18 25 1 2 356
Extremely interested 18 12 9 16 17 26 2 2 222
Very interested 13 17 9 16 16 27 1 2 192
Somewhat / not very int. 11 24 8 9 3 24 8 12 36
Will definitely vote 16 15 9 15 16 25 2 2 384
Will vote unless emergency 11 16 4 20 9 35 1 4 66
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 9 18 10 9 17 32 2 2 250
Neutral re Dean 29 0 0 6 31 33 0 0 5
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 22 10 7 24 13 19 2 4 190
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 18 11 4 18 5 36 3 6 127
Somewhat Wrong 15 22 5 19 16 22 2 1 83
Strongly Wrong 14 14 14 12 21 24 0 2 208
Don't Know 19 28 0 12 15 14 12 1 24
Most Important Candidate Quality
"Here is a list of several qualities many people think are important in presidential candidates. Which ONE candidate quality
mattered most in deciding who you are supporting in the primary ... he is a strong & decisive leader ... he cares about people
like me ... he shares my anger & frustration with Bush ... has the right experience ... he has the best chance to beat Bush in
November ... he stands up for what he believes ... or he is a loyal Democrat?" (ROTATE RESPONSES)
Strong Cares Angry Exper- Win Stands for Loyal Not
Leader About Me @ Bush ience In Nov. Beliefs Dem. Sure (N=)
January 17-19 20% 16% 7% 11% 12% 29% 1% 4% 334
January 18-20 20% 16% 8% 13% 11% 27% 1% 4% 436
January 19-21 18% 17% 7% 13% 12% 29% 2% 3% 473
January 20-22 14% 13% 8% 16% 11% 33% 3% 2% 418
January 21-23 14% 13% 6% 16% 12% 34% 3% 2% 443
January 22-24 15% 14% 9% 15% 12% 30% 2% 3% 453
January 23-25 FINAL 15% 15% 9% 15% 15% 26% 2% 3% 450
18 to 29 17 16 5 16 15 31 0 1 38
30 to 45 16 11 13 15 17 23 2 2 124
46 to 64 14 19 7 20 10 27 1 1 198
65 and over 17 11 8 4 23 25 4 8 84
Male 13 13 12 15 17 23 4 4 186
Female 17 16 6 16 14 28 1 2 264
High school or less 10 15 13 12 12 31 4 3 89
Some college 10 24 9 17 7 25 2 6 84
College graduate 20 17 6 16 16 23 2 1 158
Post-graduate 17 6 8 15 23 29 0 3 117
Less than $30,000 16 24 10 5 13 29 2 1 33
$30,000 to $59,999 15 15 13 15 14 22 2 5 109
$60,000 to $74,999 11 14 12 10 32 14 0 7 38
$75,000 to $99,999 5 18 8 15 14 33 5 1 59
$100,000 or more 18 15 9 14 22 21 0 0 86
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 15 8 8 15 14 34 4 4 55
6 to 10 years 16 4 22 16 15 25 0 2 50
11 to 20 years 17 14 5 14 18 29 0 2 99
More than 20 years 15 19 7 15 14 24 3 3 245
North Country 12 15 14 9 22 28 0 1 39
Central / Lakes 23 13 3 15 14 26 3 5 74
Connecticut Valley 16 15 8 9 19 26 4 3 67
Mass Border 14 22 10 17 14 19 2 1 113
Seacoast 10 14 6 18 19 28 1 5 93
Manchester Area 17 6 14 20 5 36 0 1 64
Most Inconsistent Candidate
"In your mind, which candidate in the Democratic primary do you think has been most inconsistent, that is, they have said the
things they later had to retract or flip-flopped on their positions on the issues?"
Clark Dean Kerry Lieberman Other All Und. (N=)
January 17-19 9% 34% 8% 4% 5% 7% 32% 332
January 18-20 8% 37% 8% 4% 4% 6% 33% 433
January 19-21 8% 41% 6% 4% 4% 6% 31% 468
January 20-22 7% 44% 6% 3% 2% 8% 30% 411
January 21-23 8% 44% 8% 3% 3% 10% 23% 430
January 22-24 9% 40% 11% 4% 4% 12% 20% 437
January 23-25 FINAL 10% 38% 11% 4% 5% 13% 19% 434
Clark Voter 6 55 16 0 5 7 11 44
Dean 13 13 22 10 1 18 24 107
Edwards 3 42 14 3 4 17 17 62
Kerry 12 52 1 3 6 8 18 155
Kucinich 33 34 0 16 0 6 12 10
Lieberman 17 42 14 0 7 2 18 29
Registered Democrat 12 37 13 5 4 15 13 226
Undeclared 9 39 8 4 5 10 24 202
Not Registered, Will Vote 0 37 13 0 28 0 22 6
Strong Democrat 13 37 13 4 6 13 14 198
Not so Strong Democrat 5 41 6 8 2 16 23 41
Lean Democrat 8 35 10 7 2 18 20 105
Independent or Republican 11 46 9 0 6 5 23 84
Certain to support 11 36 11 6 4 12 19 284
May change mind 10 47 11 1 4 11 17 124
Liberal 14 39 10 4 6 11 15 148
Moderate 10 35 12 5 3 16 20 205
Conservative 6 56 8 4 9 4 14 62
Approve of Bush as President 9 51 8 3 2 10 18 65
Neutral 3 28 26 0 0 10 33 14
Disapprove 11 36 11 5 5 14 18 347
Extremely interested 12 40 13 4 5 14 13 214
Very interested 10 38 10 5 5 10 23 187
Somewhat / not very int. 5 31 5 8 4 15 33 33
Will definitely vote 11 37 11 4 5 13 17 369
Will vote unless emergency 8 43 8 4 3 9 25 65
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 11 20 15 7 5 19 24 242
Neutral re Dean 0 2 0 0 0 30 69 5
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 11 64 6 1 4 4 10 182
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 9 51 11 5 6 7 12 124
Somewhat Wrong 14 47 6 2 0 16 14 77
Strongly Wrong 11 28 14 5 6 13 22 203
Don't Know 5 21 6 3 2 33 30 23
Most Inconsistent Candidate
"In your mind, which candidate in the Democratic primary do you think has been most inconsistent, that is, they have said the
things they later had to retract or flip-flopped on their positions on the issues?"
Clark Dean Kerry Lieberman Other All Und. (N=)
January 17-19 9% 34% 8% 4% 5% 7% 32% 332
January 18-20 8% 37% 8% 4% 4% 6% 33% 433
January 19-21 8% 41% 6% 4% 4% 6% 31% 468
January 20-22 7% 44% 6% 3% 2% 8% 30% 411
January 21-23 8% 44% 8% 3% 3% 10% 23% 430
January 22-24 9% 40% 11% 4% 4% 12% 20% 437
January 23-25 FINAL 10% 38% 11% 4% 5% 13% 19% 434
18 to 29 0 33 12 13 18 9 16 38
30 to 45 11 42 9 6 2 10 19 117
46 to 64 13 41 12 2 3 11 18 190
65 and over 8 30 8 4 6 20 23 84
Male 10 43 10 6 5 14 12 178
Female 11 35 11 3 5 11 23 256
High school or less 5 39 12 6 4 14 20 86
Some college 10 43 9 6 4 5 23 82
College graduate 10 35 15 6 4 15 16 150
Post-graduate 17 39 6 0 5 15 18 114
Less than $30,000 19 31 5 0 11 8 26 31
$30,000 to $59,999 8 46 6 6 4 11 18 108
$60,000 to $74,999 0 59 11 6 1 6 17 37
$75,000 to $99,999 16 29 13 6 1 15 19 58
$100,000 or more 10 41 17 1 8 16 7 83
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 12 49 6 3 1 10 18 55
6 to 10 years 3 33 23 7 4 10 22 48
11 to 20 years 9 39 7 3 3 15 23 94
More than 20 years 12 37 11 5 6 13 17 236
North Country 14 28 14 2 9 15 18 36
Central / Lakes 10 41 5 7 4 11 22 72
Connecticut Valley 8 26 12 8 1 14 31 65
Mass Border 7 50 13 1 4 14 12 107
Seacoast 12 31 13 7 8 12 17 90
Manchester Area 15 45 7 2 6 11 15 64
Satisfaction With A Dean Nomination
"How would you feel if Howard Dean wins the Democratic Party's presidential nomination ... very satisfied ... somewhat
satisfied ... somewhat dissatisfied ... or very dissatisfied?"
Very Somewhat Neither Somewhat Very Not
Satisfied Satisfied (Vol.) Dissat. Dissat. Sure (N=)
January 17-19 24% 39% 3% 19% 13% 3% 338
January 18-20 23% 37% 3% 21% 14% 2% 441
January 19-21 21% 35% 4% 25% 13% 2% 479
January 20-22 19% 28% 3% 31% 19% 1% 424
January 21-23 20% 28% 2% 30% 20% 1% 445
January 22-24 24% 28% 1% 27% 20% 1% 451
January 23-25 FINAL 28% 29% 1% 23% 19% 0% 449
Clark Voter 0 41 0 39 20 0% 51
Dean 86 14 0 0 0 0% 110
Edwards 16 36 0 30 17 0% 62
Kerry 8 31 1 30 29 0% 158
Kucinich 6 52 0 28 13 0% 12
Lieberman 1 16 0 29 54 0% 30
Registered Democrat 31 27 1 26 15 0% 237
Undeclared 23 31 2 20 24 0% 206
Not Registered, Will Vote 35 24 0 23 19 0% 6
Strong Democrat 30 31 1 26 11 0% 202
Not so Strong Democrat 24 28 5 29 14 0% 48
Lean Democrat 30 27 0 23 20 0% 112
Independent or Republican 18 26 2 14 40 0% 83
Certain to support 31 24 1 24 19 0% 296
May change mind 20 37 0 21 22 0% 126
Liberal 39 25 1 26 9 0% 151
Moderate 23 32 1 21 23 0% 216
Conservative 15 22 0 32 32 0% 64
Approve of Bush as President 10 24 0 22 44 0% 72
Neutral 16 43 0 3 38 0% 14
Disapprove 32 29 1 24 14 0% 355
Extremely interested 35 19 1 28 18 0% 218
Very interested 22 37 2 19 20 0% 194
Somewhat / not very int. 17 40 0 20 23 0% 37
Will definitely vote 29 28 2 22 19 0% 381
Will vote unless emergency 19 34 0 29 18 0% 68
Satisfied w/Dean Nomination 49 51 0 0 0 0% 252
Neutral re Dean 0 0 100 0 0 0% 6
Dissatisfied w/Dean Nom. 0 0 0 55 45 0% 191
War in Iraq Right Thing to Do 14 27 0 25 33 0% 127
Somewhat Wrong 17 36 0 27 20 0% 83
Strongly Wrong 43 25 2 20 10 0% 206
Don't Know 7 38 9 29 17 0% 24
Satisfaction With A Dean Nomination
"How would you feel if Howard Dean wins the Democratic Party's presidential nomination ... very satisfied ... somewhat
satisfied ... somewhat dissatisfied ... or very dissatisfied?"
Very Somewhat Neither Somewhat Very Not
Satisfied Satisfied (Vol.) Dissat. Dissat. Sure (N=)
January 17-19 24% 39% 3% 19% 13% 3% 338
January 18-20 23% 37% 3% 21% 14% 2% 441
January 19-21 21% 35% 4% 25% 13% 2% 479
January 20-22 19% 28% 3% 31% 19% 1% 424
January 21-23 20% 28% 2% 30% 20% 1% 445
January 22-24 24% 28% 1% 27% 20% 1% 451
January 23-25 FINAL 28% 29% 1% 23% 19% 0% 449
18 to 29 41 18 0 30 12 0% 38
30 to 45 19 35 1 24 21 0% 126
46 to 64 26 27 2 24 21 0% 195
65 and over 36 28 2 19 16 0% 85
Male 26 26 1 25 22 0% 184
Female 29 30 2 22 17 0% 265
High school or less 31 27 2 17 23 0% 89
Some college 25 25 0 30 20 0% 86
College graduate 25 33 2 20 20 0% 158
Post-graduate 30 26 1 28 15 0% 115
Less than $30,000 39 19 0 13 30 0% 34
$30,000 to $59,999 22 28 1 22 26 0% 108
$60,000 to $74,999 20 43 0 24 13 0% 38
$75,000 to $99,999 31 28 0 23 18 0% 60
$100,000 or more 30 25 0 30 15 0% 84
Lived in NH 5 yrs or less 20 29 0 27 24 0% 55
6 to 10 years 40 22 0 30 8 0% 50
11 to 20 years 33 27 2 19 19 0% 101
More than 20 years 24 31 2 23 20 0% 243
North Country 46 28 0 19 7 0% 39
Central / Lakes 38 26 0 15 21 0% 74
Connecticut Valley 35 26 7 21 10 0% 67
Mass Border 20 28 1 29 23 0% 115
Seacoast 19 37 0 21 23 0% 89
Manchester Area 21 24 0 32 23 0% 65