Automotive Aftermarket Segmentation
(Values in Millions of Consumer Dollars) 5-Year
CAGR
2002 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* 2012* 2007/2012
Auto Parts Share of DIFM Assumed to be 55% of Total Market $69,522 $79,818 $79,592 $79,131 $82,407 $85,370 $88,565 2.1%
Labor Share of DIFM Sales assumed to be 45% of Total Market $56,882 $65,306 $65,120 $64,743 $67,424 $69,848 $72,463 2.1%
Total DIFM Professional Sales $126,404 $145,124 $144,712 $143,874 $149,832 $155,217 $161,028 2.1%
Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Sales $35,160 $41,900 $41,821 $41,144 $42,193 $43,484 $44,889 1.4%
Tire Sales $16,500 $22,900 $23,700 $21,600 $22,442 $23,318 $24,367 1.2%
Total Automotive Aftermarket $178,064 $209,924 $210,233 $206,618 $214,467 $222,019 $230,284 1.9%
Notes: * Forecast
Historical data have been revised.
Figures represent consumer expenditures in current retail dollars (i.e., inflation added) and do not include warranty work.
Tire sales, which include installation, have been forecasted for 2010 through 2012 by AAIA.
Sources: AAIA, Modern Tire Dealer
Size of the Professional Service Parts Market
(Values in Millions of Consumer Dollars) 5-Year
CAGR
2002 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* 2012* 07 to '12
Professional Service Receipts (DIFM) $126,404 $145,124 $144,712 $143,874 $149,832 $155,217 $161,028 2.1%
Parts' Share of Professional Service Receipts (estimate) 55% 55% 55% 55% 55% 55% 55%
Value of Parts Sales to DIFM Customers at Retail Prices $69,522 $79,818 $79,592 $79,131 $82,408 $85,369 $88,565 2.1%
Wholesale Share of DIFM Parts Sales (estimate) 67% 67% 67% 67% 67% 67% 67%
Value of Parts Sales to DIFM Customers at Wholesale Prices $46,580 $53,478 $53,326 $53,018 $55,213 $57,197 $59,339 2.1%
Notes: * Forecast
Data includes the sale of parts, chemicals and accessories.
Sources: AAIA, Modern Tire Dealer
Growth of the Automotive Aftermarket, 2000-2012
(Percent Change from Previous Year)
8% 7.0%
7%
5.7% 5.9%
6%
5%
3.7% 3.8% 3.8% 3.7%
4% 3.1% 3.7% 3.5%
3% 2.3%
2%
1%
0.1%
0%
-1% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* 2012*
-2% -1.7%
-3%
Note: * Forecast
Source: AAIA Channel Forecast Model
Year Size % Change
1997 $138.8 --
1998 $141.8 2.2%
1999 $148.7 4.9%
2000 $157.2 5.7%
2001 $166.4 5.9%
2002 $178.1 7.0%
2003 $182.2 2.3%
2004 $187.9 3.1%
2005 $194.9 3.7%
2006 $202.4 3.8%
2007 $209.9 3.7%
2008 $210.2 0.1%
2009 $206.6 -1.7%
2010* $214.5 3.8%
2011* $222.0 3.5%
2012* $230.3 3.7%
Dealerships' Share of Automotive Aftermarket Sales, 2000-2012
34.0% 33.0%
32.9% 32.5% 32.3%
32.5% 31.9%
31.3%
30.7%
31.0%
30.1%
29.6%
29.5% 28.8%
28.3% 28.1% 28.1%
28.0%
26.5%
25.0%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010* 2011* 2012*
Notes: * Forecast
Chart reflects dealership non-warranty service as a percentage of the total automotive (i.e., light vehicle) aftermarket.
Source: AAIA Channel Forecast Model
Year Automotive Aftermarket Dealership Sales Dealer Share
1997 $138.8 $44.0 31.7%
1998 $141.8 $46.5 32.8%
1999 $148.7 $49.1 33.0%
2000 $157.2 $51.8 33.0%
2001 $166.4 $54.7 32.9%
2002 $178.1 $57.8 32.5%
2003 $182.2 $58.8 32.3%
2004 $187.9 $59.9 31.9%
2005 $194.9 $61.0 31.3%
2006 $202.4 $62.1 30.7%
2007 $209.9 $63.1 30.1%
2008 $210.2 $62.3 29.6%
2009 $206.6 $59.4 28.8%
2010* $214.5 $60.8 28.3%
2011* $222.0 $62.4 28.1%
2012* $230.3 $64.6 28.1%