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Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development
University of Maryland
2011
Public Opinion Polls of Jewish and
Arab Citizens of Israel
Poll of Jewish citizens conducted with Dahaf Institute, Nov. 10-16, 2011
Sample size: 510, Margin of error +/- 4.4%
Poll of Arab/Palestinian citizens conducted with JZ Analytics, Nov. 13-20, 2011
Sample size: 500, Margin of error +/- 4.5%
Professor Shibley Telhami, Principal Investigator
Special thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New York
Mike Lebson, Evan Lewis and Abe Medoff assisted in preparation of this study
Jewish Citizens of Israel
Arab Awakening
Thinking about the Arab Spring, is it mostly:
Ordinary people seeking dignity,
46%
freedom and a better life
Opposition parties or sects
34%
seeking power
Foreign powers trying to
12%
stir trouble in the region
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Arab Awakening
Which of the following is closer to your view about the impact of the
Arab Spring on Israel?
Mostly for the better 15%
No difference 21%
Mostly for the worse 51%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Arab Awakening
If the Arab Spring does in fact lead to more democracy in the Arab
world, would that be:
Better for Israel 44%
No difference 28%
Worse for Israel 22%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
United States & the Middle East
How would you describe your views of President Barack Obama of the United
States?
2011 2010
Positive 54% 41%
Negative 39% 51%
United States & the Middle East
How would you describe your attitudes toward the Obama administration policy in
the Middle East so far?
2011
Hopeful 22%
Neither 35%
Discouraged 39%
Global Perceptions
Which world leader (outside your own country) do you admire most?
2011 2010
Angela Merkel 12% 9%
Bill Clinton 10% 8%
Winston Churchill 7%
George Bush 7%
Barack Obama 6% 5%
Arab-Israeli Conflict
How would you describe the current status of Arabs in Israel?
There is full
equality between Arab 33%
and Jewish citizens
There is legal equality,
but institutional and 52%
societal discrimination
It is an apartheid
7%
relationship
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Which of the following is more important in your view:
Jewishness of Israel 27%
Both are equally important 47%
Democracy of Israel 26%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Which of the following statements is closest to your view about the
prospects of lasting peace between Israel and the Palestinians?
2011 2010
Will happen in the next
five years 6% 8%
Inevitable, but it will
42% 43%
take more time
Don’t believe it will ever
49% 47%
happen
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Which of the following statements is closer to your view:
2011 2010
I am prepared for a just and
comprehensive peace with the 43% 40%
Arabs based on the 1967 borders,
with agreed modifications
Even if all Arab states accept and
recognize Israel, I still oppose 31% 27%
withdrawing from territories
occupied in 1967
Neither 24% 30%
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Which of the following is closer to your position on the demand that the
Palestinians accept Israel as a Jewish state:
2011 2010
I support it and demand as a
precondition for negotiations 39% 36%
or settlement freeze
I support it but would accept
as part of a final peace 40% 39%
agreement
I do not support this demand 17% 23%
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Given that 25% of Israelis are non-Jews, which of the following is closer to
your position on defining Israel as “the homeland of the Jewish people and
all its citizens”:
2011 2010
I support it 71% 71%
I reject it 25% 27%
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Should or shouldn’t Israel do more than it does today to promote
comprehensive peace with the Arabs based on the 1967 borders with agreed
modifications and the establishment of a peaceful Palestinian state?
2011 2010
Israel should 66% 62%
Israel shouldn’t 31% 35%
Arab-Israeli Conflict
What do you believe is the likely outcome if prospects of a two-state
solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict collapse:
2011 2010
Status quo will continue with
47% 42%
little change
State of intense conflict for
34% 42%
years to come
Palestinians will eventually
surrender to Israeli power & 9% 4%
integrate into other societies
One-state solution in which
Israelis and Palestinians are 4% 4%
equal
Iran & Nuclear Weapons*
* The section on Iran’s nuclear weapons is part of a joint project of the Sadat Chair at
the University of Maryland and the Program on International Policy Attitudes and its
director, Dr. Steven Kull
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
There is talk of a possible Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Do
you:
Support such an attack 43%
Oppose such an attack 41%
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
Assuming that these are the only two options, which do you think
would be a better situation for Israel:
Both Israel and Iran
19%
have nuclear weapons
Neither Israel nor Iran
65%
have nuclear weapons
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
How likely do you think it is that Iran will
eventually develop nuclear weapons?
2011
Likely 90%
Unlikely 6%
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
So in total, do you support or oppose the idea of having a nuclear weapons-
free zone in the Middle East that would include both Islamic countries and
Israel?
2011
Support 64%
Object 31%
Identity
Which of the following is your most important identity?
2011 2010
Jewish 53% 49%
Israeli 37% 39%
Citizen of the world 4% 5%
My family’s
country of origin 2% 4%
Arab/Palestinian
Citizens of Israel
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
There is international pressure on Iran to curtail its
nuclear program. What is your opinion?
5 Arab Countries Arab/Palestinian Israelis
Iran has the right to
64% 53%
its nuclear program
Iran should be
pressured to stop its 25% 32%
nuclear program
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
Name TWO countries that you think pose the biggest threat to you.
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
Israel 22 71
United States 43 59
Iran 36 18
United Kingdom 27 11
France 13 6
China 3 3
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
There is talk of a possible Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Do you:
Jewish Israelis Arab/Palestinian Israelis
Support such an attack 43% 4%
Oppose such an attack 41% 68%
Global Perceptions
Which world leader (outside your own country) do you admire most?
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
Recep Erdogan 22 22
Yasser Arafat 22 N/A
Hassan Nasrallah 8 13
Barack Obama 7 4
Fidel Castro 6 3
Hugo Chavez 5 5
Saddam Hussein 4 6
Hillary Clinton 4 2
Nicolas Sarkozy 4 5
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad 3 13
Identity
Which of the following is your most important identity?
Arab/Palestinian Israelis Israeli Jews 5 Arab Countries
Citizen of your
12 37 33
country
Religious identity
(Muslim or Jew) 27 53 31
Arab 28 26
Citizen of the
world 4 9
Palestinian 23
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Would you accept the transfer of some Arab/Palestinian towns
currently in Israel to a new Palestinian state, when established?
Yes No
2011 17 78
2010 36 58
Sadat Chair
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Your opinion of possible recruitment of Israeli Arab/Palestinian
citizens into non-military national service program:
Reject under any Accept if Arabs Accept only after
circumstances granted equal rights Palestinian state
to Jews established
2011 52 38 9
2010 47 38 11
Sadat Chair
Arab-Israeli Conflict
How do you feel about Palestinian refugees’ right to return?
Not too Important but a Important and cannot be
important compromise should compromised in any way
be found
2011 5 57 34
2010 11 28 57
Sadat Chair
Arab-Israeli Conflict
How would you describe the current status of Arabs in Israel?
Jewish Israelis Arab/Palestinian Israelis
There is full
equality between Arab 33% 3%
and Jewish citizens
There is legal equality,
but institutional and 52% 57%
societal discrimination
It is an apartheid
7% 36%
relationship
Arab Awakening
Looking at the international reaction to the events in the Arab world in the past few
months, which TWO countries do you believe played the most constructive role?
5 Arab Countries Arab/Palestinian Israelis
Turkey 50% 32%
France 30% 29%
United States 24% 45%
China 20% 15%
Britain 11% 21%
Germany 10% 19%
Russia 9% 24%
Japan 8% 3%
Arab Awakening
In retrospect, do you believe that the international intervention in Libya was:
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
The right thing to do 35 35
The wrong thing to do 44 46
Arab Awakening
When you watch events in Syria, are your sympathies mostly with the government or
the rebels seeking government change?
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
Rebels 75 86
Government 17 9
Arab Awakening
When you watch events in Yemen, are your sympathies mostly with the government
or the rebels seeking government change?
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
Rebels 88 89
Government 6 5
Arab Awakening
When you watch events in Bahrain, are your sympathies mostly with the
government or the rebels seeking government change?
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
Rebels 85 64
Government 8 24
Arab Awakening
When you reflect on the Arab Spring, are you more optimistic or more
pessimistic than before about the future of the Arab world?
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
More optimistic 50 55
Feeling no change 30 23
More pessimistic 19 16
Arab Awakening
As you look ahead toward the Presidential elections in Egypt, which of the
following leaders would you like the next President to look like most?
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
Erdogan 33 31
Mandela 16 9
Obama 10 4
Sarkozy 8 5
Nasrallah 7 9
Putin 5 2
Ahmadinejad 3 8
King Abdullah (KSA) 2 9
Chavez 2 7
