CNO Echelon II Review by mr8Omq2

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									SUBMARINE FORCE
   MANAGING
  COMPLEXITY



                Mr. Scott DiLisio
      Executive Director, Submarine Forces
Undersea Enterprise
                      Managing Complexity

  • Non-linear outcomes
       – No definitive models
       – Tied to interaction of humans

  • Loose problem boundaries
  • A set of complicated components and
    processes
       – Understanding the limitations of metrics
       – Organize architecture based on usage
  The Task: Managing the complex decision making process into
  a highly disciplined and effective force.
                                                                2
Undersea Enterprise
                            A Complex World

         Space



                 TLAM                                              N7
                                            N3
                              Air
                                       N6

SSN                                   N2               Supported
                                                      Combatant
                                                      Commander



                                       N9


                                                      POM
                                                 N5




                 Maritime     Land


                                                                        3
 Undersea Enterprise
                             …Of many governance processes

                                                                                                                                                                          NAVY
                                                                                                                                                                      Strategic Plan

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      EA Development Process
      Establish
     Framework                                                                        Governance Process

                             Establish Intended
                             Establish Intended         Identify Scope of
                                                         Identify Scope of         Compare Overlaps
                                                                                   Compare Overlaps            Determine Doctrine
                                                                                                               Determine Doctrine         Produce Enterprise
                                                                                                                                          Produce Enterprise              Develop
                                                                                                                                                                           Develop
                                  usage of
                                   usage of                 CoP Area
                                                            CoP Area                  and Gaps
                                                                                       and Gaps                      to use
                                                                                                                      to use                 Architecture
                                                                                                                                              Architecture                 Mission
                                                                                                                                                                           Mission
                                Architecture
                                 Architecture                                                                                                   AV-1
                                                                                                                                                 AV-1                      Vision
                                                                                                                                                                            Vision
                                                                                                                                                                      And Goals for COP
                                                                                                                                                                      And Goals for COP
                              Governance Board           Governance Board             Governance Board          Governance Board           Governance Board            Governance Board
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       TV Process
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       (Compare with
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Program of Record                                             DISR Online)

                                                                                                                                                                                                               Process
                                                                                                                                                                                        NAVY
                                                                                                                                                                                     TV1 and TV-2

                                                              Community of Practice (CoP) Process

    Establish
    Establish                          Develop OV-1
                                       Develop OV-1                Define Functions
                                                                   Define Functions               Document AS-IS
                                                                                                  Document AS-IS             Perform Analysis
                                                                                                                             Perform Analysis             Define Enterprise
                                                                                                                                                          Define Enterprise          Define Systems to
                                                                                                                                                                                     Define Systems to
      CoP
                         C
                         H                                              OV-5's                      Processes                    on AS-IS                    Processes                    Support            POR                                         Define
       CoP                                                              OV-5's                       Processes                    on AS-IS                    Processes                    Support                        Build System
                         A                                                                                                                                                                                  Retrieves
                         R                                                                            OV-6C
                                                                                                      OV-6C                     Processes
                                                                                                                                 Processes                                                OV-6C
                                                                                                                                                                                           OV-6C                                                        Technical
                         T                                                                                                                                                                                Authoritative   Views (SV’s)
                         E
                         R                                                                                                                                                                               OV’s from DARS                                  Views
       CoP                                  CoP                              CoP                         CoP                        CoP                         CoP                        CoP

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          SV’s

                    Review and
                    Review and                    Establish Intended
                                                  Establish Intended
                     Approve
                      Approve                          usage of
                                                        usage of                          OV-7
                                                                                          OV-7                                                                                                                             Acquisition                    MDA
                     Charter                         Architecture                                                                                                                                                                                                           Feed
                      Charter                         Architecture                                                                                                                                                        Documentation               Cross Platform
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Databases
                                                                                           CoP                                                                                                                               Portfolio                   System
                  Governance Board                      CoP                                                                                                                                                                                            Assessment



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 · Derive Functional Requirements
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 · Compare System to Functional Needs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 · Prepare Technical Forecast (TV-2)




                                                                                                                                      DARS



      Inputs
    From CoP        Enterprise                        Output
                                                      To CoP
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Authoritative
                  TV-1 and TV-2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Data Sources
                   Process TBD




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4
Undersea Enterprise
                             Complex Collaboration
                                                  NCA
                       CNO/JCS
                                               COCOM

                                              NCC/CJTF

                                         #’d Fleet/MCC/CJTF



CTF



CTG


WC




      On-scene Commanders On-scene Commanders On-scene Commanders On-scene Commanders On-scene Commanders   5
 Undersea Enterprise
           Operational Activity – System Function
                       Matrix (OV-5)



                      ◄ 916 Functions ►   ◄ 1328 Activities ►




                                                                6
Undersea Enterprise
                                         JCIDS - A Starting Point
         JCIDS Analysis
 Capabilities Based Assessment                 AV-1
            Family of Joint                    AV-2
           Future Concepts
                                               OV-2                    Architecture products are updated and reused
               Concepts of
               Operations
                                               OV-3                   The integrated architecture is updated and reused
                                                                        during the JCIDS and Acquisition processes
                                               OV-5
                                               SV-1
                                                                      throughout the JCIDS and Acquisition processes
                  Integrated
                 Architectures                 TV-1
                                                                 CJCSI            CJCSI                          CJCSI            CJCSI
                                               DoDAF            6212.01D         6212.01D                       6212.01D         6212.01D
               FAA         FNA
                                                                 NR-KPP          NR-KPP                          NR-KPP           NR-KPP

 JCD           FSA         PIA        ICD              A        CDD               ISP 1             B           CPD               ISP 1        C
                                                  Milestone                                      Milestone                                  Milestone
 OV-1                                OV-1                     AV-1            AV-1      
                                                                                                              AV-1             AV-1 
                                                              OV-1            AV-2 6                         OV-1             AV-2 6
 CJCSM                               CJCSM
3170.01B                            3170.01B                  OV-2            OV-1      
                                                                                                              OV-2             OV-1 
                                                              OV-3 2           OV-2      
                                                                                                              OV-3 2            OV-2 
                                                              OV-4            OV-4                           OV-4             OV-4 
1 – Reference Model compliance requirement
                                                                                         




                                                              OV-5            OV-5      
                                                                                                              OV-5             OV-5 
2 – Product required for NR-KPP assessment.                   OV-6c           OV-6c         
                                                                                                              OV-6c            OV-6c 
1 – Use architecture products from JCIDS documents for        OV-7  3, 4      SV-1                           OV-7  4          SV-1
    ISP analysis. May be Tailored ISP (TISP*).                SV-2            SV-2  
                                                                                                              SV-2             SV-2 
2 – Not required or assessed. Used to develop other           SV-4            SV-4  
                                                                                                              SV-4             SV-4 
    products. (CJCSI 6212.01D)                                SV-5            SV-5  
                                                                                                              SV-5             SV-5 
3 – As available for CDD                                      SV-6            SV-6  
                                                                                                              SV-6             SV-6 
4 – When applicable for NR-KPP                                SV-11 3          TV-1  
                                                                                                              SV-11  4         TV-1 
                                                              TV-1  5         TV-2 7                         TV-1  8          TV-2  7
5 – Initial IT Standards Profile from DISR
                                                                                     




                                                              TV-2  3, 4                                     TV-2 
6 – Acronym List                                                                  DoDI                                            DoDI
                                                                CJCSM            4630.8                         CJCSM            4630.8
7 – Not a specified ISP product. Required for NR-KPP
                                                               3170.01B                                        3170.01B
    assessment. (CJCSI 6212.01D)
8 – Final IT Standards Profile from DISR                           * Tailored ISP: AV-1, OV-1 (optional), OV-5, OV-6c (optional), SV-1
                                                                      (optional), SV-5, SV-6, and TV-1 (CJCSI 6212.01D)                                 7
 Undersea Enterprise
                          Submarine Force Evolution
                                                                    September 2014
                                                                    Future Based on the
     Prior to 1998                        August 2010                  Current Model

         SEAWOLF                                 SEAWOLF                   SEAWOLF

           BSY - 2
                                                   TI02/04/08               TI010/12/14


       LOS ANGELES                            LOS ANGELES               LOS ANGELES

          CCS Mk-2                        Legacy/TI98/02/04/06/08         TI!10/12/14

                            COTS
          VIRGINIA                                VIRGINIA                 VIRGINIA

                                                     TI02/08                   TI10/12
           NPES

                                               OHIO (SSGN)               OHIO (SSGN)


                                             Legacy/TI02/B1C              TI02/B1C


        OHIO (SSBN)                            OHIO (SSBN)                   ORP

            Trident CCS                               TI Future
                                                                               Ti Future

  Submarine Classes Contain the Same Basic Set of Subsystems and Architecture;
  Last Legacy 688 Installation FY12
                                                                                           8
Undersea Enterprise
            Submarine Warfare Federated Tactical Systems
                             (SWFTS)
Multiple systems can by impacted                                               - Rapid COTS Insertion (RCI) Model: Tech insertion (TI) design every 2 years;
                                                                                 modernize each Sub every 4 years
      by any single system                                                     - Other Models (TI design every 4-6 years and/or updates based on obsolescence)
   modernization or upgrade
                                                                    SONAR
                                             IMAGING                 PMS401                     COMBAT
                                              PMS435                                            CONTROL
                                                                                                   PMS425
                  PMW160           SubLAN/
                                    CANES                                                                             USW-DSS       PEO IWS 5

           PMW770         GCCS-M
                                                  Federated program delivers
                                                                                                                               Portable Ship
   PEO IWS 2      RADAR
                                             system upgrades in integrated fashion                                              Control Unit
                                                                                                                                                   PMS450

                                             • Ensures impacts of individual upgrades to interfacing
                                                                                                                                    Ship Control
             SRWS                              systems are identified prior to development / delivery                                 System
                                                                                                                                                    PMS450
            (AI&R)
                                             • Determines which upgrades require concurrent delivery
            ESM                                                                                                                       Circuit D
 PMS435
                                             • Ensures SWFTS-wide testing of upgrades prior to                                                      PMS450

                                               delivery                                                                              DAWG          PMS401
             Acoustic                        • Stabilizes upgrade rates for submarines
  ONI-34   Intelligence
             (ACINT)                              • Allows for bundling of RCI and non-RCI model upgrades                      Non Tactical
                                                                                                                                                   PMS450
                                             • Maximizes Ao                                                                   Data Processing
    PEO IWS 6      NAVIGATION
                                                                                                                       TSMS        PMS401
                                       Interior
                          PMS450       Comms                                                               RADIO /   PMW770
                                                         SOF            OBTT           LIDAR                CSSR
                                                        PMS450                                       IFF
                                                                       PMS425
                                                                                                                                                                 9
Undersea Enterprise
                      System “Real Estate” Impact
     SONAR
                                                   Example:
                                                VIRGINIA Class
                                               TI-10 Modernization
                                                 and Forward Fit
                                                   configuration



AN/BYG-1
                                     IMAGING




                                                                     10
Undersea Enterprise
                    Supporting the Rapid
             Commercial off-the-shelf Insertion Model




                                                                              Number of Failures
                                                                                                                                  SUPPORTABILITY
                                                                                                                                  • Failure rates increase significantly
                                                                                                                                    beyond 4-year time frame
                                                                                                                                      • At, or near, the time parts reach
                                                                                                                                        obsolescence
                                                                                                                                  • By the time “bad actors” have been
                                                                                                                                    identified, EOL buys can be difficult


Upgrade                                                                                                                              Lifespan
                                                                                              Failure rate at   Failure rate at
 Cycle                                                                                            ~4 yrs            ~6 yrs
                              • 4-year cycle aligns Navy                 • Reclaimed assets create spare parts pool to support few remaining TI-10 boats
                                upgrades with COTS marketplace           • Upgrades generally occur before failures become supportability issue
5-Year Insertion Cycle   TI-10                                        TI-14                                                                        TI-18

       FY       10       11          12             13           14    15                          16               17                 18             19          20




            Significant up-front planning and continuous monitoring required to ensure
            supportability beyond COTS industry’s “sweet spot”


                                                                                                                                                                            11
 Undersea Enterprise
                          Hardware Tech Insertion (TI)
                             • Keep pace with technology
             Goals           • Minimize obsolescence
                             • Ensure continuous opportunity for system improvements

     TI-08           TI-10                  TI-12                         TI-14
        APB-09                 APB-11                 APB-13              APB-15




       Uninterrupted Cycle of Tech Insertion Procurements and Installations
• Plan of Record: TIs fielded every two years; individual boat upgrades every four years
• Maintains production industrial base               TI Kit
                                                                                Kit Installation
    • Ensures trained personnel for              Procurement                                          Four years between
                                                                                                      individual boat Tech
      manufacturing and testing                        TI-X                                                Insertions
                                        Year 1
• Uses “state of the practice”               Year 2                 TI-X + 1
  hardware vice “state of the art”                 Year 3
                                                            Year 4              TI-X + 2
• Ensures broad industry support and                              Year 5
                                                                        Year 6             TI-X + 3
  competitive pricing                                                         Year 7



                                                                                                                             12
Undersea Enterprise
         Why are we having this discussion?

  • Most business approaches are anchored by
    history
  • Most budget and execution models rely
    heavily on history
  • Military utility is derived from a successful
    execution of very complex processes
  • Cost to own and operate is a direct result of
    executing historical formulas
   Military, Civilian and Industry Team is not focused forward
   on the task at hand.
                                                                 13
Undersea Enterprise

								
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