Victorian Training Guarantee 2010 by ZamsCLN

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									  The Victorian Training
Guarantee Progress Report




           Year Report, 2010




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development
                              April 2011
                                                                            The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                            Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)




                                             Table of contents




OVERVIEW OF THE VICTORIAN TRAINING GUARANTEE, 2010                                                               3


SUMMARY TABLES                                                                                                   6

Total VTG training activity                                                                                      6

Diploma-level and above delivery                                                                                 7

Youth Compact delivery                                                                                           11


ANALYSIS OF TRAINING DELIVERY UNDER THE VICTORIAN TRAINING GUARANTEE,
2010                                                                  14

Diploma-level and Above Delivery                                                                                 18

Youth Compact Delivery                                                                                           28

Retrenched Workers Training Entitlement Delivery                                                                 32

Skills for Growth Placements                                                                                     35

Government Funded Enrolments by Students without Qualifications at AQF Level 3 or Above                          38




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                         Page 2 of 40
                                                                                      The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                      Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



    Overview of the Victorian Training
    Guarantee, 2010
The Victorian Training Guarantee1 (VTG) comprises:
1. Diploma-level and above enrolments
2. Enrolments under the Youth Compact
3. Enrolments under the Retrenched Workers Training Entitlement
For the first two categories, enrolments in 2010 are compared with those in 20082 as this is the most
recent year prior to the introduction of the VTG. Annual growth relative to 2009 is also provided.
   In 2010, the VTG accounted for 30% (up from 26% in 2009) of total VET enrolments and 52% (up
    from 48%) of total government funded enrolments.
   Preliminary 2010 data indicates a significant increase in training delivery under the Victorian Training
    Guarantee. Across both Diploma-level and above and Youth Compact enrolments, more than
    220,000 enrolments were reported. This is an increase of over 46,000 enrolments since 2008 (i.e.
    before the Victorian Training Guarantee was introduced), equating to 27 per cent growth.
   This increase is made more impressive by the fact that it occurred alongside growth in the higher
    education sector as a result of additional Commonwealth allocations in 2010.
   More training providers are delivering government funded training, leading to increased student
    choice.
   In 2010, 345 private training providers reported government funded delivery. This is a 73 per cent
    increase over the number of private providers reporting government funded delivery in 2008.
   All three provider types increased VTG enrolments in 2010 against comparable figures in previous
    years.
   While enrolments by each of the provider types increased, private RTOs accounted for most of the
    growth in the demand driven market. Enrolments between 2008 and 2010 rose 159% by Private
    providers, 18% by ACE providers and 3% by TAFE providers.


Diploma-level and above
The first phase of implementation of the Victorian Training Guarantee (VTG), which commenced 1 July
2009, made it available to all Victorians commencing training at Diploma-level or above. This report
looks at enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses since the VTG came into effect. An overview of
training activity in Diploma-level and above courses is provided. This is followed by an analysis of the
number of government funded Diploma-level and above enrolments by equity group, provider type,
industry and age group.




1
  Full year 2010 data is preliminary, based on enrolments reported to Skills Victoria in providers‟ end of year data submissions.
Enrolment data is subject to change until the final submission to the National Centre for Vocational Education Research is
signed-off (expected mid-2011)
2
  Note that comparisons with 2008 data are limited by the fact that course commencement date was not collected in 2008. As a
result, all Diploma-level and above enrolments within each year are included, regardless of when they commenced. To identify
comparative „Youth Compact‟ enrolments in 2008, age at 30 June 2008 is used as a proxy for commencement age. No
comparative data are available for Retrenched Worker Entitlement enrolments or for Skills for Growth enrolments.

Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                     Page 3 of 40
                                                                            The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                            Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)

   The early indications are that the new training market is delivering. Compared with 2008, an
    additional 14,000 government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses were reported
    in 2010. This represents an increase of 24 per cent.
   The market has been successfully opened up – 176 private training providers reported government
    funded training delivery in Diploma-level and above courses in 2010.
   Private training providers experienced rapid growth (albeit from a low base), reporting nearly 21,000
    government funded enrolments in higher level course in 2010. This is more than ten times the
    number in 2008 (1,909 enrolments). Non-TAFE training providers accounted for 31 per cent of all
    government funded enrolments at Diploma-level and above in 2010, up from just five per cent in
    2008.
   On average, TAFE institutes have not fared as well. In 2010, they reported just over 49,000
    government funded enrolments in higher level courses, ten per cent fewer than in 2008.
   It appears that private training providers are capitalising on their flexibility and autonomy to target
    niche markets. The rapid growth in government funded enrolments at private providers is
    concentrated in particular industries, such as Business Services, and particular groups, such as
    retrenched workers in certain industries.
   There may be factors beyond increased competition from private training providers and other
    institutes which account for the lack of growth in Diploma-level and above enrolments among some
    TAFE institutes. For example, as noted above, the 10 per cent increase in university “over-
    enrolment” entitlements in 2010 may have impacted on TAFE institutes more than private training
    providers.
   Diploma-level and above enrolments increased most markedly among older Victorians. Enrolments
    by those aged 45-64 are 52 per cent higher in 2010 than in 2008. This indicates that the Victorian
    Training Guarantee is helping to achieve the goal of creating a „learning for life‟ culture.
   Private training providers are matching, or exceeding, public providers in engaging equity groups,
    such as Indigenous students.


Youth Compact
Under the Youth Compact, the VTG was extended to all qualification levels for those aged 15-19
commencing from 1 July 2009 and for those aged 20-24 commencing from 1 January 2010. Training
delivered under the Youth Compact is analysed with respect to training provider type, TAFE institute,
qualification level, industry and age group.
   The performance of the Youth Compact is potentially a lead indicator for the effects of full
    implementation of the Victorian Training Guarantee, particularly for TAFE institutes (for whom
    younger students represent the core market).
   Overall, the early indications are positive. Nearly 150,000 Youth Compact enrolments were reported
    in 2010, exceeding the 2008 number (117,000) by 28 per cent. This strong growth was driven
    primarily by a 91 per cent increase in enrolments at private training providers. TAFE institutes and
    Adult and Community Education (ACE) providers also experienced growth in Youth Compact
    enrolments, with increases of 12 per cent and 13 per cent respectively.
   In 2010 enrolments by those aged 20 to 24 were 32 per cent higher than in 2008. The upskilling
    requirement of the Victorian Training Guarantee does not appear to have been a barrier to increased
    training uptake by this age group.
   Youth Compact enrolments by those aged 15 to 19 also exhibited growth in 2010, being 20 per cent
    higher than in 2008.


Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                         Page 4 of 40
                                                                            The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                            Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



Retrenched Workers Training Entitlement
Under the Retrenched Workers Training Entitlement, the VTG also applies to all enrolments in courses
at Australian Qualifications Framework (AQF) levels 1 to 4 for retrenched workers over the age of 25.
This entitlement came into effect in the second half of 2009. An analysis of Retrenched Worker
Entitlement enrolments is presented with respect to training provider type, industry and age group.
   As the Retrenched Workers Training Entitlement was introduced in the second half of 2009, in
    response to the economic downturn, there is no comparable data for earlier years.
   Almost 1,600 Retrenched Worker Entitlement enrolments have been reported in 2010, adding to just
    over 450 enrolments in the second half of 2009.
   TAFE institutes delivered 79 per cent of Retrenched Worker Entitlement enrolments in 2009, which
    reduced to 20 per cent in 2010 (with private training providers delivering 78 per cent). This significant
    growth in private provider provision for retrenched workers was concentrated in certain industry
    areas and delivered predominantly by three providers.


Skills for Growth
The VTG also extends to enrolments referred under the Skills for Growth program from 1 July 2009. This
report considers these enrolments separately, as they are not a mutually exclusive group. Skills for
Growth enrolments may be at Diploma-level and above, or covered under the Youth Compact. In these
cases they may be double-counted. Skills for Growth figures included in this report were provided by
Small Business Victoria.


Enrolments by those without prior qualifications
This report also looks at enrolments by those without prior qualifications at Certificate III level or above.
This is in line with the Federal target set in the National Agreement for Skills and Workforce
Development to halve the proportion of the population not holding post school-level qualifications
between 2009 and 2020. An analysis of enrolments by this group is presented with respect to provider
type, region, age and qualification level of the enrolment.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                         Page 5 of 40
    Summary tables
Total VTG training activity
                                                                                         Course enrolments                                           Student contact hours
                                     Delivery under the Victorian           Number of enrolments                 Growth                        Number of hours                     Growth
                                     Training Guarantee
                                                                                                             2010 vs    2010 vs                                                2010 vs       2010 vs
                                                                           2008         2009     2010                                   2008          2009          2010
                                                                                                              2008       2009                                                   2008          2009

                                     Diploma-level and above               57,246       63,657      71,243    24%         12%      22,949,521       26,084,839    31,141,323     36%          19%

                                     Youth Compact                         116,697     117,428   149,052      28%         27%      32,434,577       35,561,483    43,391,674     34%          22%

                                     All VTG
                                                                  173,943              181,085   220,295      27%        22%      55,384,098        61,646,322    74,532,997     35%          21%
                                     (excludes Retrenched Worker)

                                     Retrenched Workers                     N/A            451       1,587    N/A         N/A           N/A            110,086       545,907     N/A          N/A

                                     All VTG
                                                                            N/A        181,536   221,882      N/A        N/A            N/A         61,756,408    75,078,904     N/A          N/A
                                     (includes Retrenched Worker)


                                                                                     Course Enrolments                                                   Student contact hours
                           Delivery under the Victorian
                                                                           Enrolments                          Growth                           Number of hours                              Growth
                           Training Guarantee
                                                                 2008         2009        2010       2010 vs 2008 2010 vs 2009          2008           2009           2010       2010 vs 2008 2010 vs 2009

                           VTG training by
                           Delivery               TAFE          139,875      143,282      144,291        3%              1%            45,894,856    52,458,324     53,862,726         17%             3%


                                                  ACE              8,750       9,178       10,333       18%             13%             2,126,474     2,460,030      3,073,308         45%             25%

                                                  Private
                                                                 25,318       28,625       65,663       159%            129%            7,362,768     6,727,968     17,585,728      139%               161%
                                                  RTOs

Note – No comparative data is available for Retrenched Worker Entitlement enrolments in 2008. Comparison of Victorian Training Guarantee delivery to 2008 data therefore excludes Retrenched Worker Entitlement enrolments.

Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                               Page 6 of 40
         Diploma-level and above delivery
         Overall enrolments

                                                                        Course Enrolments                                            Student Contact Hours
          Diploma-level and above VET                      Number of Enrolments                  Growth                         Number of hours                    Growth
          delivery
                                                                                             2010 vs   2010 vs                                                 2010 vs   2010 vs
                                                          2008         2009         2010                               2008          2009           2010
                                                                                              2008      2009                                                    2008      2009
          Total delivery         Government
                                                          57,246       63,657       71,243    24%       12%          22,949,521    26,084,839     31,141,323    36%       19%
                                 funded
                                 Domestic fee for
                                                           7,393            8,037    8,401    14%       5%            2,264,053     2,682,237      2,647,038    17%       -1%
                                 service (TAFE)

                                 All                      64,639       71,694       79,644   23%       11%          25,213,574     28,767,076     33,788,361   34%       17%



         Diploma-level and above delivery – government funded enrolments by equity group

                                                                        Course Enrolments                                            Student Contact Hours
          Diploma-level and above VET                      Number of Enrolments                  Growth                         Number of hours                    Growth
          delivery                                                                           2010 vs   2010 vs                                                 2010 vs   2010 vs
                                                          2008         2009         2010                               2008          2009           2010
                                                                                              2008      2009                                                    2008      2009
          Government
          funded activity by Indigenous                       372            423       431    16%       2%              167,135       149,352        221,763    33%       48%
          equity group
                                 CALD*                    13,742       15,674       17,286    26%       10%           5,361,999     6,059,572      6,993,649    30%       15%


                                 Disability                3,431            3,576    4,017    17%       12%           1,323,193     1,502,185      1,713,562    30%       14%

          *CALD - Culturally and linguistically diverse


Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                        Page 7 of 40
         Diploma-level and above delivery – government funded enrolments by training provider type

                                                                             Course Enrolments                                      Student Contact Hours
          Diploma-level and above VET                         Number of Enrolments                Growth                       Number of hours                   Growth
          delivery                                                                            2010 vs 2010 vs                                                 2010 vs 2010 vs
                                                           2008             2009     2010                               2008         2009          2010
                                                                                               2008    2009                                                    2008    2009
          Government funded
          activity by provider type         TAFE            54,667          57,024   49,073    -10%    -14%           21,839,032   24,569,281    24,068,353    10%     -2%


                                            ACE                 670            799    1,202      79%    50%              180,188      294,029       610,185 239%       108%

                                            Private
                                                              1,909          5,834   20,968 998%       259%              930,301    1,221,529     6,462,785 595%       429%
                                            RTOs

                                            All             57,246          63,657   71,243    24%     12%            22,949,521   26,084,839    31,141,323    36%     19%




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                              Page 8 of 40
Diploma-level and above delivery – government funded enrolments by industry

                                                                            Course Enrolments                                        Student Contact Hours

           Diploma-level and above VET delivery                Number of Enrolments                 Growth                     Number of hours                   Growth
                                                                                                 2010 vs 2010 vs                                              2010 vs 2010 vs
                                                             2008           2009        2010                            2008          2009        2010
                                                                                                  2008    2009                                                 2008    2009
           Government          Adult Community
                                                                  514          451         403    -22%    -11%            163,950      174,155      160,082    -2%     -8%
           funded activity     Education
           by Industry         Automotive                           39             47       62    59%     32%              22,615       26,255       37,415    65%     43%
           (Excludes
           enrolments in       Building & Construction          3,390         3,585      3,790    12%      6%           1,604,563    1,866,763    2,040,999    27%      9%
           Generic Skills)
                               Business Services               14,685        15,533     19,155    30%     23%           4,285,351    4,647,078    5,262,125    23%     13%
                               Community Services &
                                                                8,973        12,283     17,267    92%     41%           4,631,866    5,776,239    8,176,274    77%     42%
                               Health
                               Cultural &Recreation             7,595         8,296      8,465    11%      2%           3,476,464    3,986,695    4,903,099    41%     23%
                               Electrotechnology &
                                                                6,005         5,556      4,982    -17%    -10%          2,736,261    2,800,422    2,567,063    -6%     -8%
                               Communications
                               General Manufacturing            2,089         1,613      1,654    -21%     3%             961,885    1,017,172    1,000,108     4%     -2%

                               Metals & Engineering             4,434         3,555      2,758    -38%    -22%          1,208,955    1,200,710    1,116,014    -8%     -7%

                               Primary & Forest                 3,104         3,399      3,117     0%     -8%           1,112,963    1,364,850    1,437,754    29%      5%
                               Public Administration &
                                                                  139          304         156    12%     -49%             47,372       90,349       44,267    -7%     -51%
                               Safety
                               Tourism & Hospitality            3,692         6,527      5,014    36%     -23%          1,841,273    2,279,664    2,285,928    24%      0%

                               Transport & Storage              1,862          873         845    -55%    -3%             506,542      316,219      349,461    -31%    11%
                               Wholesale Retail &
                                                                  707         1,315      3,399 381%       158%            346,381      483,137    1,733,639 401%       259%
                               Personal Services
                               All (excludes Generic
                                                              57,228        63,337      71,067    24%     12%         22,946,441    26,029,708   31,114,228    36%     20%
                               Skills)


Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                       Page 9 of 40
Diploma-level and above delivery – government funded enrolments by age group

                                                                      Course Enrolments                                      Student Contact Hours
Diploma-level and above VET                            Number of Enrolments                 Growth                      Number of hours                  Growth
delivery                                                                                 2010 vs 2010 vs                                              2010 vs 2010 vs
                                                      2008           2009       2010                            2008         2009         2010
                                                                                          2008    2009                                                 2008    2009
Government funded
activity by age   Aged 15 to 19                        11,974          12,026   12,093     1%      1%          6,401,145   6,730,284      7,192,253    12%      7%
cohort, 15-64
                            Aged 20 to 24              14,337          14,937   16,289    14%      9%          6,320,693   6,816,571      8,014,863    27%     18%


                            Aged 25 to 44              21,777          24,840   29,231    34%     18%          7,393,974   8,633,819   10,903,222      47%     26%


                            Aged 45 to 64                8,697         11,307   13,248    52%     17%          2,709,396   3,759,694      4,886,784    80%     30%


                            All 15 to 64               56,785         63,110    70,861    25%     12%        22,825,208 25,940,368     30,997,122      36%     19%




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                               Page 10 of 40
Youth Compact delivery

Youth Compact delivery – enrolments by training provider type

                                                                              Course Enrolments                                      Student Contact Hours

Youth Compact delivery                                            Number of Enrolments              Growth                      Number of hours                   Growth
                                                                                                2010 vs 2010 vs                                                2010 vs 2010 vs
                                                               2008         2009      2010                               2008        2009           2010
                                                                                                 2008    2009                                                   2008    2009
Youth Compact delivery
by provider type                TAFE                            85,193       86,258    95,218     12%     10%       24,055,824      27,889,043    29,794,373    24%      7%

(Includes enrolments in ACE                                      8,080        8,379     9,138     13%     9%            1,946,286    2,166,001     2,474,308    27%     14%
AQF levels 1 to 4,
Foundation level courses
and secondary education) Private RTOs                           23,424       22,791    44,696     91%     96%           6,432,467    5,506,439    11,122,993    73%     102%


                                All                           116,697       117,428   149,052     28%    27%        32,434,577      35,561,483    43,391,674    34%     22%




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                               Page 11 of 40
Youth Compact delivery – enrolments by industry

                                                                            Course Enrolments                                         Student Contact Hours

Youth Compact delivery                                      Number of Enrolments                  Growth                         Number of hours                  Growth
                                                                                               2010 vs 2010 vs                                                 2010 vs 2010 vs
                                                          2008         2009          2010                             2008            2009         2010
                                                                                                2008    2009                                                    2008    2009
Youth Compact delivery by Adult Community
                                                          14,801        14,391        17,146    16%     19%         4,930,056         5,613,377    5,990,608    22%      7%
industry                  Education
                             Automotive                     6,546           6,683      7,120     9%      7%         1,755,585         1,703,743    1,660,586    -5%     -3%
(Includes enrolments in
AQF levels 1 to 4,           Building &
                                                          15,413        16,844        21,120    37%     25%         4,699,948         5,460,616    6,224,423    32%     14%
Foundation level courses     Construction
and secondary education)
                             Business Services            10,909        10,676        14,027    29%     31%         2,614,058         2,819,346    3,696,360    41%     31%
Excludes Generic Skills      Community Services &
                                                            6,117           6,907      9,857    61%     43%         2,061,908         2,481,291    3,262,884    58%     31%
                             Health
                             Cultural &Recreation           4,007           4,632      7,493    87%     62%         1,460,601         1,904,628    3,254,510 123%       71%
                             Electrotechnology &
                                                          12,191        12,388        14,814    22%     20%         3,749,781         4,558,382    5,165,558    38%     13%
                             Communications
                             General Manufacturing          5,271           5,128      5,440     3%      6%         1,241,382         1,378,133    1,252,171     1%     -9%

                             Metals & Engineering           5,189           4,722      5,355     3%     13%         1,252,673         1,197,442    1,164,611    -7%     -3%

                             Primary & Forest               4,725           4,812      5,790    23%     20%         1,300,932         1,298,281    1,636,247    26%     26%
                             Public Administration
                                                              165            179        237     44%     32%            20,322           54,170       62,625 208%        16%
                             & Safety
                             Tourism & Hospitality        12,993        12,415        15,712    21%     27%         2,656,754         2,895,572    4,101,327    54%     42%

                             Transport & Storage            2,670           3,337      4,975    86%     49%           529,163          596,325     1,194,572 126%       100%
                             Wholesale Retail &
                                                          15,681        14,172        19,731    26%     39%         4,156,635         3,571,096    4,684,885    13%     31%
                             Personal Services
                             All (excludes Generic
                                                         116,678      117,286       148,817     28%     27%        32,429,798       35,532,402 43,351,367       34%     22%
                             Skills)


Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                        Page 12 of 40
Youth Compact delivery – enrolments by age group
Note – There is a difficulty with comparing disaggregated 15-19 year old and 20-24 year old Youth Compact enrolments to 2008 data. This is because we
do not know the commencement age for enrolments in 2008. We only know their age as at 30 June 2008. This has been used as a proxy for
commencement age, to allow comparison with 2009 and 2010 Youth Compact enrolments. Consequently the 15-19 and 20-24 baselines for 2008 are
slightly inflated (because they will count some people who were under 15 at commencement but are now aged 15 or over).
In addition, the 2009 and 2010 disaggregated data will be slightly deflated. This is because some people who commenced a Youth Compact enrolment in
one age group will have now moved into another age group (for example from 15-19 to 20-24, or from 20-24 to 25 and over).
As a result of these two factors, comparisons of the 15-19 and 20-24 cohorts to 2008 data will slightly under-estimate growth.


                                                                         Course Enrolments                                      Student Contact Hours
                                                                Number of Enrolments         Growth                         Number of hours                   Growth
Youth Compact delivery
                                                                                         2010 vs 2010 vs                                                  2010 vs 2010 vs
                                                              2008     2009       2010                            2008           2009          2010
                                                                                           2008   2009                                                     2008    2009
Youth Compact delivery
                         15-19                                76,701         73,312    92,174   20%   26%      22,192,212       22,666,588   27,096,631    22%     20%
by age cohort
(Includes enrolments in
AQF levels 1 to 4,       20-24                                39,996         40,786    52,929   32%   30%      10,242,365       11,978,138   15,208,185    48%     27%
Foundation level courses
and secondary education) 25 plus                               N/A            3,330     3,949   N/A   N/A             N/A         916,757     1,086,858    N/A     N/A

                               All                           116,697        117,428   149,052   28%   27%      32,434,577      35,561,483    43,391,674    34%     22%




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                             Page 13 of 40
                                                                                                    The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                    Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



    Analysis of training delivery under the
    Victorian Training Guarantee, 2010
This section provides analysis of training delivery under the VTG. To enable comparisons against 2008
delivery, all Diploma-level and above enrolments reported in 2009 and 2010 are counted as VTG
enrolments, regardless of commencement date. For Youth Compact delivery, enrolments in 2008 by those
aged 15-24 in 2008 are counted as being „Youth Compact‟ to enable comparison across years.
Retrenched Worker Entitlement enrolments in 2009 and 2010 cannot be compared against an equivalent
group in 2008, so no comparisons are made.
Figure 1 Course enrolments under the Victorian Training Guarantee, 2008-2010


                                 Training delivery under the VTG - enrolments                                   VTG enrolments
                                          240,000                                                       Government funded Diploma-
                                                                                                         level and above enrolments in
                                          200,000                                                        2010 were 24% higher than in
                      Course enrolments




                                          160,000                                                        2008.

                                          120,000
                                                                                                        2010 enrolments under the Youth
                                                                                                         Compact were 28% higher than
                                           80,000                                                        in 2008.

                                           40,000                                                       Together, enrolments in these
                                                                                                         two categories under the VTG
                                               -                                                         were 27% higher than in 2008.
                                                          2008            2009          2010
     Retrenched Workers                                     -             451           1,587
                                                                                                        Nearly 1,600 additional VTG
                                                                                                         enrolments were undertaken by
      Youth Compact                                      116,697         117,428       149,052           retrenched workers in 2010.
     Diploma & above                                      57,246         63,657        71,243



Figure 2 Student Contact Hours under the Victorian Training
Guarantee, 2008-2010

                                                   Training delivery under the VTG - hours               VTG Student Contact Hours
                                           80,000,000                                                             (SCH)
         Student contact hours




                                           70,000,000
                                                                                                        75 million Student Contact Hours
                                           60,000,000                                                    (SCH) were delivered under the
                                           50,000,000                                                    VTG in 2010, up 35% from 2008.
                                           40,000,000
                                                                                                        SCH for Diploma-level and above
                                           30,000,000                                                    delivery in 2010 were 36% higher
                                           20,000,000                                                    than in 2008.
                                           10,000,000                                                   SCH for Youth Compact delivery
                                                     -                                                   in 2010 were 34% higher than in
                                                                2008        2009         2010            2008.
      Retrenched Workers                                           -       110,086      545,907
      Youth Compact                                         32,434,577    35,561,483   43,391,674
      Diploma-level and above                               22,949,521    26,084,839   31,141,323




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                              Page 14 of 40
                                                                                   The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                   Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Figure 3 Course Enrolments under the Victorian Training Guarantee by provider type, 2008-2010



                         225000
                                        VTG Enrolments by provider type
                                                                                                   Enrolment trends
                         200000                                                                    by provider type
                                                                                               All provider types
                         175000
                                                                                                increased enrolments
                                                                                                under the VTG between
 Course enrolments




                         150000                                                                 2008 and 2010
                                                                                               Private Registered
                         125000                                                                 Training Organisations
                                                                                                (RTOs) posted the largest
                         100000                                                                 increase in enrolments:
                                                                                                up 160% between 2008
                           75000                                                                and 2010.
                                                                                               VTG enrolments by the
                           50000                                                                TAFEs rose 3% while
                                                                                                ACE providers lifted
                           25000                                                                enrolments by 18%
                                                                                                between 2008 and 2010,
                                                                                                despite the rapid
                                 0                                                              expansion of the Private
                                             2008         2009             2010
                                                                                                RTO sector.
                        TAFE                139875       143282           144291
                        Private RTO         25318         28625           65663
                        ACE                  8750         9178            10333

Figure 4 Student Contact Hours under the Victorian Training Guarantee by provider type, 2008-2010

                                 VTG Student Contact Hours by provider type
                         80000000


                         70000000

                                                                                                VTG Student Contact
                         60000000                                                              Hours (SCH) by provider
                                                                                                        type
Student Contact Hours




                         50000000
                                                                                               The larger increase in
                                                                                                SCH compared with
                         40000000                                                               enrolments is due in part
                                                                                                to the large increase in
                                                                                                VET delivery at higher
                         30000000
                                                                                                qualification levels, which
                                                                                                tend to be of longer
                         20000000                                                               duration than mid and
                                                                                                lower level training.
                         10000000


                                  0
                                            39448        39814         40179
                          TAFE             45894856     52458324      53862726
                          Private RTO       7362768     6727968       17585728
                         ACE                2126474     2460030       3073308




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                             Page 15 of 40
                                                                                    The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                    Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)




Figure 5 Module Load Completion Rate (MLCR) by provider type under the Victorian Training Guarantee,
2008-2010



                    Module Load Completion Rate by provider type -                           Module Load Completion
                            Victorian Training Guarantee                                         Rates (MLCR)
             100%
                                                                                            In 2010 the MLCR for
             95%                                                                             delivery under the VTG of
                                                                                             76.7% was broadly in line
             90%
                                                                                             with 2008 and 2009.
             85%
                                                                                            MLCR under the VTG by
             80%                                                                             provider type shows
                                                                                             significant variation, with
             75%                                                                             Private providers consistently
                                                                                             achieving a higher
             70%
                                                                                             completion rate (86%)
             65%
                                                                                             compared with TAFE
                                                                                             institutes (75%) and ACE
             60%                                                                             providers (64%) in 2010.

             55%                                                                            MLCR results are determined
                                                                                             by a range of factors,
             50%                                                                             including the characteristics
                           2008                   2009                      2010
                                                                                             of the student intake, the
     ACE                   65.5%                 63.4%                      64.2%            complexity of the module and
     Private RTO           85.8%                 84.2%                      85.7%            the quality of delivery.
     TAFE                  75.7%                 75.6%                      74.5%
     Total                 76.5%                 76.0%                      76.7%




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                              Page 16 of 40
                                                                                                 The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                 Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)




Figures 6 and 7 Enrolments and Student Contact Hours by qualification level under the Victorian Training
Guarantee, 2008-2010

                                                                                                               VTG Enrolments by
                                                VTG Enrolments by qualification level                           qualification level
                              225,000                                                                     Enrolments in every
                                                                                                           qualification band increased
                              200,000                                                                      between 2008 and 2010.
                              175,000                                                                     Diploma and above
                                                                                                           enrolments were 24% higher
  Course enrolments




                              150,000                                                                      in 2010 compared with 2008.
                              125,000                                                                     Cert I-II and Cert III-IV
                                                                                                           enrolments in 2010 were up
                              100,000                                                                      35% and 25% respectively
                                                                                                           compared with 2008. This
                                   75,000
                                                                                                           came despite flat growth in
                                   50,000                                                                  2009 associated with a
                                                                                                           decline in apprenticeship
                                   25,000                                                                  numbers related to the
                                                                                                           economic slowdown in that
                                       0                                                                   year.
                                                      2008             2009              2010
                    Diploma & above                  57,246            63,657           71,241            Secondary education
                      Cert. III-IV                   79,662            79,667           99,260             continues to be a relatively
                      Cert. I-II                     31,843            31,861           42,929             small but important part of
                    Secondary Ed.                     4,960            5,665            6,285              government funded VET
                                                                                                           delivery. Secondary
                                                                                                           enrolments were 27% higher
                                                                                                           in 2010 compared with 2008.
                                                 VTG Hours by qualification level
                           80,000,000

                           70,000,000
                                                                                                          VTG Student Contact Hours
                                                                                                          (SCH) by qualification level
                           60,000,000                                                                     SCH increased in every
   Student Contact Hours




                                                                                                           qualification band in both
                           50,000,000                                                                      2009 and 2010.
                                                                                                          For Diploma and above
                           40,000,000
                                                                                                           courses SCH were 35%
                                                                                                           higher in 2010 compared with
                           30,000,000                                                                      2008.

                           20,000,000                                                                     SCH in low and mid level
                                                                                                           qualifications rose strongly.
                           10,000,000
                                                                                                           Cert I-II SCH were up 36%
                                                                                                           and Cert III-IV SCH were up
                                                                                                           33% compared with 2008.
                                            0
                                                      2008           2009           2010                  Secondary education SCH
                      Diploma & above               22,949,521     26,084,839     31,134,133               were 34% higher in 2010
                       Cert. III-IV                 22,931,835     24,991,451     30,493,460               compared with 2008.
                      Cert. I-II                    6,993,887      7,486,552      9,482,076
                      Secondary Ed.                 2,474,303      3,050,635      3,312,079




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                           Page 17 of 40
                                                                                                               The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                               Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



Diploma-level and Above Delivery
Overview
This section looks at government funded (GF) enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses.
Figure 8 shows the number of Diploma-level and above enrolments each year from 2003 to 2010. Each bar
is divided to show the annual enrolments by provider type and by funding source.
Figure 8. Course enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses, by provider type and fund source, 2003 to
2010

                              Enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses,
                                                2003-2010                                                              2010 enrolments
                                                 Private providers have increased                                         Overall, enrolments at
                             80,000             their share of government funded
                                                                                                                           Diploma-level and above
                             70,000                  higher level enrolments
                                                                                                                           in 2010 were 23% higher
        Course enrolments




                             60,000                                                                                        than in 2008.
                             50,000                                                                                       Government funded 2010
                             40,000                                                                                        enrolments in higher level
                                                                                                                           courses were 24% higher
                             30,000                                                                                        than in 2008, and
                             20,000                                                                                        increased by 12% over
                                                                                                                           2009.
                             10,000
                                                                                                                          Non-TAFE providers
                                 0
                                      2003     2004     2005     2006     2007      2008     2009     2010                 accounted for 31% of all
                  GF Non-TAFE         1,578    1,606    1,400    2,117    1,916     2,579    6,633    22,170
                                                                                                                           GF Diploma-level and
                                                                                                                           above enrolments reported
                  GF TAFE             57,515   55,359   53,029   48,974   51,727    54,667   57,024   49,073               in 2010, up from 10% in
                                                                                                                           2009 and 5% in 2008.




Key points:
                           Government funded enrolments in higher level courses have increased markedly since 2006, rising
                            by nearly 40% to reach 71,243 in 2010.
                           Until 2009, the vast majority of government funded enrolments in higher level courses were
                            undertaken at TAFE institutes. Since the introduction of the VTG in the second half of 2009, there
                            has been a notable increase in the proportion of these enrolments being delivered at non-TAFE
                            providers. These providers account for 31% of all reported higher level enrolments in 2010, up from
                            10% in 2009 and 5% in 2008.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                         Page 18 of 40
                                                                                                             The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                             Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Government Funded Diploma-level and above by Equity Group
This section considers government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by three equity
groups: enrolments by Indigenous students; enrolments by culturally and linguistically diverse (CALD)
students; and enrolments by people with a disability.


Indigenous students

Figure 9. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses, Indigenous students, 2003-
2010

                         Government funded Diploma-level and above
                             enrolments by Indigenous students                                                       Indigenous
                       500                           Indigenous enrolments were                                             Government funded
                       450                             16% higher than in 2008                                               enrolments in Diploma-
                       400                                                                                                   level and above courses
   Course enrolments




                       350                                                                                                   by Indigenous students
                       300                                                                                                   were 16% higher in 2010
                       250                                                                                                   than in 2008.
                       200                                                                                                  Following strong growth
                       150                                                                                                   between 2008 and 2009,
                       100                                                                                                   these higher level
                        50                                                                                                   enrolments by Indigenous
                         -                                                                                                   students increased only
                                2003       2004      2005       2006     2007     2008     2009     2010
                                                                                                                             slightly (2%) between
             Indigenous          430       321        372       283      358      372      423       431                     2009 and 2010.




Culturally and linguistically diverse (CALD) students

Figure 10. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses, CALD students, 2003-2010

                         Government funded Diploma-level and above
                               enrolments by CALD students
                       20,000
                                                                                                                         CALD
                                                         CALD enrolments were
                       18,000                           26% higher than in 2008                                              Government funded
                       16,000                                                                                                 enrolments in Diploma-
   Course enrolments




                       14,000                                                                                                 level and above courses
                       12,000                                                                                                 by CALD students were
                       10,000                                                                                                 26% higher in 2010 than
                        8,000                                                                                                 in 2008.
                        6,000                                                                                                Higher level enrolments
                        4,000                                                                                                 by CALD students have
                        2,000                                                                                                 increased fairly steadily
                           -                                                                                                  since 2006. Enrolments
                                   2003      2004      2005      2006     2007    2008     2009     2010
                                                                                                                              in 2010 were is 10%
                             CALD 13,015    12,743     12,775   12,204   13,041   13,742   15,674   17,286                    higher than in 2009.




Students with a disability

Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                         Page 19 of 40
                                                                                                                                                                                                        The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Figure 11. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses, by students reporting a
disability, 2003-2010

                                         Government funded Diploma-level and above
                                           enrolments by students with a disability                                                                                                                               Disability
                                                                           Enrolments by those with a disability                                                                                                     Government funded
                                      4,500
                                                                              were 17% higher than in 2008                                                                                                            enrolments in Diploma-
                                      4,000                                                                                                                                                                           level and above courses
            Course enrolments




                                      3,500                                                                                                                                                                           by students reporting a
                                      3,000                                                                                                                                                                           disability were 17%
                                      2,500                                                                                                                                                                           higher in 2010 than in
                                      2,000                                                                                                                                                                           2008.
                                      1,500
                                      1,000                                                                                                                                                                          Following growth of 4%
                                        500                                                                                                                                                                           between 2008 and 2009,
                                         -                                                                                                                                                                            higher level enrolments
                                                            2003             2004              2005                      2006              2007              2008               2009          2010                    by those reporting a
                                      Disability            3,003           3,132              3,187                     3,134           3,152              3,431               3,576         4,017                   disability increased by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      12% between 2009 and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2010.


Equity groups accessing different provider types
The figure below shows the proportion of higher level enrolments that were undertaken at different provider
types for the population as a whole and for each equity group from 2008 to 2010. Although there has been
an increase in delivery by private registered training organisations (RTOs) since the introduction of the
VTG, similar patterns are evident across the entire population and for each equity group. This indicates that
all equity groups are accessing higher level training in a similar fashion to the population as a whole, and
that private providers as a group are not excluding groups with special needs from their delivery.


Figure 12. Proportion of government funded Diploma-level and above
enrolments at each provider type, all and by equity group, 2008-2010                                                                                                                                              Access by equity groups
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     The vast majority of
                                      Government funded Diploma-level and above enrolments                                                                                                                            higher level enrolments
                                           by provider type and equity group, 2008-2010                                                                                                                               were undertaken at
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      TAFE institutes in 2008,
    Proportion of course enrolments




                                      100%                                                                                                                                                                            regardless of equity
                                                                                                                                                                                              ACE                     group.
                                      80%
                                                                                                                                                                                              Private                Approximately 10% of
                                      60%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Diploma-level and above
                                                                                                                                                                                              TAFE
                                      40%                                                                                                                                                                             enrolments were
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      undertaken at non-TAFE
                                      20%                                                                                                                                                                             providers in 2009. This
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      has increased to 31% in
                                       0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2010.
                                                                           CALD




                                                                                                                                                                         CALD
                                                                                                                           CALD
                                               Population




                                                                                                                                               Population
                                                                                               Population

                                                                                                            Indigenous




                                                                                                                                                            Indigenous
                                                              Indigenous




                                                                                  Disability




                                                                                                                                  Disability




                                                                                                                                                                                 Disability




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     People with a disability
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      appear more likely than
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      the population as a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      whole to access higher
                                                                   2008                                          2009                                            2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      level training through
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ACE providers, although
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      this remains a small
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      proportion of all delivery
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      at this level.



Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                                                                                                                  Page 20 of 40
                                                                                                                             The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                                             Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



Government Funded Diploma-level and above enrolments by Provider Type
This section looks at government funded Diploma-level and above enrolments by provider type. Figure 13
shows the number of such enrolments for 2008, 2009 and 2010.
Figure 13. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by provider type, 2008-2010



                                        Government funded enrolments
                                      in Diploma-level and above courses,
                                               by provider type
 Note: different scales used in each graph due to the vast difference between provider
 types                                                                                                                       TAFE       Private           ACE


                                      TAFE                                          Private Providers                                    ACE


                            60,000                                                                                           1,400
                                                                               25,000

                                                                                                                             1,200
                            50,000
                                                                               20,000
                                                                                                                             1,000
        Course enrolments




                                                           Course enrolments




                            40,000
                                                                                                         Course enrolments
                                                                               15,000
                                                                                                                               800
                            30,000
                                                                               10,000                                          600
                            20,000

                                                                                5,000                                          400
                            10,000
                                                                                                                               200
                                0                                                  0
                                             TAFE                                              Private
                                                                                                                                    0
                               2008          54,667                              2008           1,909                                             ACE
                               2009          57,024                              2009           5,834                          2008               670
                               2010          49,073                              2010          20,968                          2009               799
                                                                                                                               2010               1,202




Changing enrolment patterns between 2008 and 2010 clearly show the impact of the demand driven
system and the ability of providers to adjust to the new market driven model.
                           Private training providers reported nearly 21,000 government funded higher level enrolments in
                            2010. This represents dramatic growth over 2008, when they delivered fewer than 2,000 such
                            enrolments. It builds on the strong growth experienced in 2009, when higher level enrolments at
                            private providers increased more than three-fold over the 2008 number to reach nearly 6,000.
                           In contrast, enrolments reported by TAFE providers in 2010 were ten per cent lower than in 2008.
                            Just over 49,000 government funded higher level enrolments were reported, nearly 5,600 fewer
                            than in 2008. Nonetheless, in terms of student contact hours, TAFE providers increased their
                            government funded delivery in higher level courses by 10% between 2008 and 2010. This means
                            that hours of delivery per enrolment have increased, which may indicate that students generally are
                            completing more modules within the qualifications than was previously the case.
                           Reported activity by ACE providers shows solid growth in government funded enrolments at higher
                            levels, with 2010 enrolments exceeding the 2008 number by 79%. In many ways, ACE providers
                            can be compared with private providers in terms of size and in the way their businesses operate.
                            They are showing that they have the ability to do well in a demand driven market.
Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                                            Page 21 of 40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Government Funded Diploma-level and above enrolments by Industry
This section considers government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by industry
group.

Figure 14. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by industry, 2008-2010


                                                  GF Diploma-level and above enrolments by industry
                        20,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2009
    Course enrolments




                        15,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2008
                        10,000



                         5,000



                            -
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Electrotechnology &
                                                                                                                                                                                Building & Construction




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             General Manufacturing
                                                                                                                                  Business Services
                                                                                             Automotive




                                                                                                                                                                                                          Cultural & Recreation
                                 Wholesale Retail & Personal




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Metals & Engineering
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Adult Community Education
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Primary & Forestry




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Transport & Storage
                                                                                                                                                      Public Administration &
                                                               Community Services & Health




                                                                                                          Tourism & Hospitality




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Communications
                                                                                                                                                              Safety
                                         Services




   Industry

    Nine industries reported more government funded higher level enrolments in 2010 than in 2008. Enrolments in
                 Wholesale Retail & Personal Services were nearly five times higher than in 2008. Other industries exceeding the
                 2008 number were: Community Services and Health (up 92%), Automotive (up 59%), Tourism & Hospitality (up
                 36%), Business Services (up 30%), Building & Construction (up 12%), Public Administration & Safety (up 12%),
                 Cultural & Recreation (up 11%) and Primary & Forestry (up 0.4%).
    Higher level enrolments in General Manufacturing dropped significantly between 2008 and 2009 but recovered
     slightly in 2010. However, they remain 21% lower than in 2008.

    Industries posting ongoing decline in government funded higher level enrolments included Metals & Engineering,
     Electrotechnology & Communications and Adult Community Education. Enrolments in Metals & Engineering
     were 38% lower than in 2008, and those in Electrotechnology & Communications were down 17%.

    Transport & Storage had high enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses in 2008. From 2003 to 2007 it
     averaged only 300 government funded enrolments, which have been greatly exceeded in both 2009 and 2010.

    The decline in government funded delivery between 2008 and 2010 in some industry groups appears less
     extreme in terms of student contact hours. Hours of delivery in Metals & Engineering were down 8%,
     Electrotechnology & Communications was down 6% and Adult Community Education was down 2%. In 2010
     hours of delivery in General Manufacturing were 4% higher than in 2008.



Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Page 22 of 40
                                                                                           The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                           Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Since mid 2009, the VTG has opened up the provision of higher level VET courses to non-TAFE providers.
The figure below shows the number of Diploma-level and above enrolments delivered by TAFE institutes
and by non-TAFE providers in 2010.

Figure 15. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by industry and provider type,
2010


                GF Diploma-level and above enrolments by industry and provider type, 2010

    Wholesale Retail & Personal Services
                    Transport & Storage

                   Tourism & Hospitality
          Public Administration & Safety                                                                   TAFE
                       Primary & Forest                                                                    Non-TAFE
                   Metals & Engineering
                 General Manufacturing

    Electrotechnology & Communications
                   Cultural & Recreation

           Community Services & Health
                       Business Services

                 Building & Construction
                            Automotive
            Adult Community Education

                                           -                5,000                 10,000             15,000               20,000

                                                                            Course enrolments


    Delivery of higher level VET qualifications by non-TAFE providers occurs mainly within five industry
     groups: Business Services, Community Services & Health, Wholesale Retail & Personal Services
     (WRAPS), Tourism & Hospitality and Cultural & Recreation.
    The table below compares the number of enrolments in 2010 with those in 2008 for these industry
     groups, as delivered by both non-TAFE providers and TAFE institutes. The year 2008 was used for
     comparison as this is the most recent full year before the VTG was introduced for higher level courses.

Table 1. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by provider type, 2008 and 2010

Government funded delivery                              Non-TAFE            Change 2010       TAFE       Change 2010
(Diploma-level and above enrolments)                  2008       2010         vs. 2008    2008    2010     vs. 2008
Business Services                                        390     8,197             7,807 14,295 10,958          -3,337
Community Services & Health                            1,492     6,991             5,499  7,481 10,276           2,795
Wholesale Retail & Personal Services                       14    2,017             2,003    693    1,382           689
Tourism & Hospitality                                    -       1,852             1,852  3,692    3,162          -530
Cultural & Recreation                                    298     1,663             1,365  7,297    6,802          -495




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                     Page 23 of 40
                                                                                                                   The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                                   Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


The same information is displayed diagrammatically below. It is clear that while enrolments in Community
Services & Health (and to a lesser extent WRAPS) experienced growth in higher level enrolments at both
TAFE and non-TAFE providers, the dramatic increase in delivery at non-TAFE providers in Business
Services appears to have come at the expense of TAFE enrolments.

Figure 16. Growth in government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by industry and
provider type, 2010 versus 2008.


                                 Growth in TAFE enrolments against growth in non-TAFE
                                              enrolments, 2010 vs. 2008
                              4,000


                              3,000
                                                             TAFE up                CS&H
                                                             Non-TAFE up
                              2,000
  Growth in TAFE enrolments




                              1,000
                                                       WRAPS

                                  -
                                       -   1,000   2,000   3,000   4,000   5,000   6,000   7,000   8,000   9,000

                              -1,000        C&R    T&H                       Growth in non-TAFE enrolments


                                                               TAFE down                                               Bus i nes s Servi ces     BS
                              -2,000
                                                               Non-TAFE up                                             Communi ty Servi ces &
                                                                                                                                                 CS&H
                                                                                                                       Hea l th
                              -3,000                                                                                   Cul tura l & Recrea ti on C&R
                                                                                                      BS               Touri s m & Hos pi ta l i ty T&H
                              -4,000                                                                                   Whol es a l e Reta i l &
                                                                                                                                                    WRAPS
                                                                                                                       Pers ona l Servi ces



Business Services
                               The increase in government funded higher level course enrolments at non-TAFE providers (7,807)
                                is partially offset by a decrease in such enrolments at TAFE institutes (-3,337). This indicates that
                                non-TAFE providers may have taken some of the activity from TAFE institutes within this industry
                                group. Nonetheless, overall delivery in higher level courses within the Business Services sector in
                                2010 exceeded delivery for both 2008 and 2009.
                               Enrolments in the Diploma of Management accounted for more than half of the non-TAFE delivery
                                in 2010 (nearly 4,500 enrolments) and nearly 1,200 further enrolments were in the Diploma of
                                Business. In contrast, TAFE institutes reported nearly 1,950 enrolments in the Diploma of
                                Management and less than 140 enrolments in the Diploma of Business. It appears that private
                                providers have been more successful than TAFE institutes in attracting students into these relatively
                                new courses.


Community Services and Health

                               Both private providers and TAFE institutes reported more government funded higher level
                                enrolments in Community Services and Health in 2010 than in 2008.



Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                               Page 24 of 40
                                                                             The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                             Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


        Non-TAFE institutes reported a total of nearly 7,000 enrolments in Community Services and Health
         in 2010, of which more than 3,800 enrolments were in two Diploma of Children‟s Services courses
         and nearly 1,800 were in courses across the Community Support sector.


Wholesale Retail and Personal Services (WRAPS)
        Private providers are relatively new to higher level training within this industry group. In 2010 they
         reported over 2,000 government funded enrolments, compared with only a handful in 2008. Despite
         this dramatic increase in private provision, TAFE institutes also reported almost twice as many
         enrolments in WRAPS related courses than in 2008.
        The vast majority of higher level training in WRAPS is in two courses: the Diploma of Beauty
         Therapy and the Diploma of Retail Management. In 2010, private providers dominated delivery in
         the former (nearly 1,500 enrolments compared with just under 700 at TAFE institutes), whereas
         TAFE institutes had a greater share of delivery in the latter (633 enrolments compared with 502 at
         private providers).


Tourism and Hospitality

        Private providers delivered no government funded higher level training in Tourism and Hospitality in
         2008. In 2010 they reported just over 1,850 government funded enrolments. In contrast, TAFE
         institutes reported 530 fewer enrolments in 2010 compared with 2008 delivery. It appears that some
         of the growth in delivery by private providers may have come at the expense of that by TAFE
         institutes.
        Higher level enrolments by private providers were predominantly in the Diploma of Hospitality (1,367
         enrolments), the Diploma of Events (341 enrolments) and the Advanced Diploma of Hospitality (113
         enrolments). TAFE institutes also provided a considerable amount of training in these three courses:
         875, 880 and 577 enrolments respectively. These are relatively new courses, but in 2008 TAFE
         institutes delivered 955 enrolments in the Diploma of Hospitality Management and 1095 enrolments
         in the Diploma of Event Management. TAFE delivery in the areas of hospitality and event
         management appears to have declined a little, while private providers are thriving.


Cultural and Recreation

        Private providers reported nearly 1,700 government funded higher level enrolments in Cultural and
         Recreation courses in 2010. This is 1,365 more than the 2008 number. TAFE institutes reported
         almost 500 fewer enrolments than in 2008, again indicating that the growth in private provider
         delivery may be partly at the expense of TAFE institutes.
        Higher level enrolments by private providers were predominantly in the Diploma of Fitness (just over
         600 enrolments), Diploma of Music (just over 600 enrolments) and several Diploma of Sport courses
         (167 enrolments). TAFE institutes provided relatively little training in the first two of these areas, but
         in 2010 reported over 400 enrolments in the Diploma of Sport courses.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                       Page 25 of 40
                                                                                                                The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                                Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Government Funded Diploma-level and above enrolments by Age Cohort
Government funded enrolments in higher level courses by age group for 2009 and 2010 relative to the 2008
baseline are shown in the figure below.

Figure 17. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by age, 2008-2010


                                GF Diploma-level and above enrolments by age group
                       18,000                                                                                              Age cohort
                       16,000                                                                                               All age groups
                                                                                                                             exceeded 2008
                       14,000
                                                                                                                             enrolments in 2010.
   Course enrolments




                       12,000
                                                                                                                            The largest increases
                       10,000                                                                                                were among older
                                                                                                                             students, with 2010
                        8,000
                                                                                                                             enrolments by those
                        6,000                                                                                                aged 45-64 up 52% on
                                                                                                                             the 2008 number.
                        4,000
                                                                                                                            In 2010 higher level
                        2,000                                                                                                enrolments by those
                           -                                                                                                 aged 15-24 were up
                                15-19   20-24   25-29   30-34   35-39   40-44   45-49   50-54   55-59   60-64                8%, and those by the
                          2009 12,026 14,937    6,985   5,976   6,148   5,731   5,088   3,511   1,893   815                  25-44 age cohort were
                          2010 12,093 16,289    8,205   7,057   7,165   6,804   6,033   4,092   2,257   866                  up 34% compared with
                                                                                                                             2008.
                          2008 11,974 14,337    6,655   5,301   5,181   4,640   3,980   2,660   1,421   636




Key points:
                       Government funded enrolments in higher level courses in 2010 exceeded the 2008 number across
                        all age groups.
                       The largest increases were among older students, with 2010 enrolments by those aged 45-64 years
                        52% higher than the 2008 number. Enrolments by those aged 25-44 were 34% higher than in 2008.
                        These results indicate that the VTG may be successfully achieving the goal of delivering a „learning
                        for life‟ culture and it appears that the upskilling requirement of the VTG is not acting as a barrier to
                        the uptake of training.
                       Government funded enrolments by those aged 20-24 are 14% higher than in 2008 and enrolments
                        by 15-19 year olds were 1% higher than in 2008. This is an encouraging result, particularly in light of
                        the 10% increase to the university “over-enrolment” entitlements in 2010, which would be expected
                        to impact the number of younger students accessing higher level VET.
                       In terms of student contact hours, these increases in higher level training delivery by age group
                        were even greater. For example, government funded hours undertaken by those aged 15-19 were
                        up 12% relative to 2008. Again, this is indicative of students tending to engage in more hours of
                        training per enrolment in 2010 than in 2008.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                          Page 26 of 40
                                                                                                                  The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                                  Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Figure 18. Government funded enrolments in Diploma-level and above courses by age and provider type, 2010




                              GF Diploma-level and above enrolments by age and                                              Age and provider type
                                            provider type, 2010                                                              Younger students are
                       18,000                                                                                                 more likely to
                                                                                                                              undertake government
                       16,000
                                                                                                                              funded training in
                       14,000                                                                                                 higher level courses at
                                                                                                                              TAFE institutes.
   Course enrolments




                       12,000
                                                                                                                             In 2010, 88% of
                       10,000
                                                                                                                              reported enrolments by
                        8,000                                                                                                 15-19 year olds and
                                                                                                                              80% of those by 20-24
                        6,000                                                                                                 year olds were at
                        4,000                                                                                                 TAFE institutes.

                        2,000                                                                                                In contrast, 40% of
                                                                                                                              higher level enrolments
                              -                                                                                               by those aged 25-64
                                  15-19   20-24   25-29   30-34   35-39   40-44   45-49   50-54   55-59   60-64
                                                                                                                              were at non-TAFE
                       Non-TAFE 1,491     3,315   2,981   2,847   3,035   2,897   2,480   1,660   955     344
                                                                                                                              providers.
                       TAFE       10,602 12,974   5,224   4,210   4,130   3,907   3,553   2,432   1,302   522




Key points:
                        Younger people have a strong tendency to train in higher level courses at TAFE institutes. Around
                         88% of higher level enrolments by those aged 15-19 were undertaken at TAFE institutes, and 80%
                         of enrolments by people aged 20-24. This may be attributable to the strong brand name held by
                         TAFE institutes as providers of post-school education and training.
                        The proportion drops to 60% of higher level enrolments being at a TAFE institute for those aged 25
                         and over. One in four higher level enrolments by older students in 2010 was undertaken at a non-
                         TAFE provider.
                        This indicates that private providers have tended to focus their efforts on delivery to mature age
                         students rather than to school leavers. This may be due to private providers being more flexible in
                         their ability to provide training at hours and locations that suit mature age students, particularly
                         those who are currently employed.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                            Page 27 of 40
                                                                                           The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                           Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



Youth Compact Delivery
Overview
The Youth Compact extends the VTG to all qualification levels for young people aged 15 to 24 at 1 January
in the year of commencement. It applies to those aged 15-19 who commence training from 1 July 2009 and
to those aged 20-24 commencing from 1 January 2010. In this report, Youth Compact enrolments are
identified as government funded enrolments by people aged 15-24 in Certificates I to IV, secondary
education and Foundation level courses. For those aged 20 and over, the upskilling requirement of the VTG
applies for all enrolments other than Foundation level courses.
Due to data limitations, age at commencement cannot be determined for enrolments in 2008. Instead, age
in the collection year is used as a proxy for 2008 data. In this section, the 2010 Youth Compact enrolments
are compared with full year 2008 and 2009 enrolment numbers for the related cohorts.

Youth Compact enrolments by provider type
The figure below shows the number of Youth Compact enrolments by provider type for 2009 and 2010
relative to the 2008 baseline.

Figure 19 Youth Compact enrolments by provider type, 2008-2010


                           Youth Compact enrolments by provider type                             Youth Compact
                                                                                                  Nearly 150,000 Youth
                         100,000
                                                                                                   Compact enrolments were
 Course enrolments




                          80,000                                                                   reported in 2010,
                                                                                                   exceeding the 2008
                          60,000                                                                   number by over 32,000
                                                                                                   (28%).
                          40,000
                                                                                                  Private providers exceeded
                          20,000                                                                   their 2008 number of Youth
                                                                                                   Compact enrolments by
                              -                                                                    91%.
                                        ACE              PRIV             TAFE
                                                                                                  TAFE institutes exceeded
                             2009      8,379            22,791           86,258                    2008 enrolments by 12%
                             2010      9,138            44,696           95,218                    and ACE providers by 13%.
                             2008      8,080            23,424           85,193


                          The total number of Youth Compact enrolments in 2010 was close to 150,000. This is more than
                           32,000 higher than in 2008, representing an increase of 28% over 2008.
                          Private training providers have been able to take advantage of the extension of contestable funding
                           to the youth cohort in 2010. They delivered over 21,000 more enrolments under the Youth Compact
                           in 2010 than in 2008, an increase of 91%.
                          TAFE enrolments under the Youth Compact in 2010 exceeded the 2008 number by over 10,000
                           (12%) and were 10% higher than in 2009.
                          ACE providers also exceeded the 2008 number of Youth Compact enrolments. They reported more
                           than 1,000 additional Youth Compact enrolments in 2010 compared with 2008, equating to an
                           increase of 13%.



Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                     Page 28 of 40
                                                                                                     The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                     Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Youth Compact enrolments by qualification level
The figure below shows the qualification levels at which those enrolling under the Youth Compact are
training. It is clear that:
                         The majority of training delivery under the Youth Compact occurs in Certificate III courses, with 54%
                          of 2010 enrolments being at this level.
                         The slight drop in Certificate III enrolments between 2008 and 2009 may reflect the decline in
                          commencing apprenticeships during the economic downturn. However, 2010 enrolments in
                          Certificate III courses exceeded the 2008 number by over 14,000 (21%).
                         Enrolments have also exceeded the 2008 number in Certificate IV courses (up 40%), Certificate II
                          courses (up 54%) and secondary education (up 27%). Enrolments in other Foundation level courses
                          were more than double the 2008 number, although this is off a small base.
                         Enrolments under the Youth Compact in Certificate I courses in 2010 were 15% lower than the 2008
                          number. A shift into higher level courses may reflect the requirement under the Youth Compact for
                          20-24 year olds to train at a higher qualification level than that already attained.

Figure 20 Youth Compact enrolments by qualification level, 2008-2010




                            Youth Compact enrolments by qualification level                                       Youth Compact by
                                                                                                                  qualification level
                         90,000
                                                                                                                   More than half of
                         80,000
                                                                                                                    Youth Compact
 Course enrolments




                         70,000                                                                                     enrolments were in
                         60,000                                                                                     Certificate III courses.
                         50,000                                                                                     2010 enrolments at
                                                                                                                    this level exceeded
                         40,000
                                                                                                                    the 2008 number by
                         30,000                                                                                     21%.
                         20,000
                                                                                                                   In 2010, enrolments in
                         10,000                                                                                     Certificate IV courses
                             -                                                                                      were 40% above the
                                                                                              Other
                                    Cert. IV   Cert. III   Cert. II   Cert. I   VCE/ VCAL                           2008 number, and
                                                                                            Foundation
                                                                                                                    those in Certificate II
                             2009   15,337     64,330      25,854     6,007       5,665        235                  courses were up 54%.
                             2010   19,383     79,881      35,377     7,554       6,285        572                 Certificate I is the only
                             2008   13,800     65,862      22,971     8,872       4,960        232                  level for which 2010
                                                                                                                    enrolments did not
                                                                                                                    exceed the 2008
                                                                                                                    number.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                               Page 29 of 40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Youth Compact enrolments by industry
The figure below shows Youth Compact enrolments by industry for 2009 and 2010 relative to the 2008
baseline.

Figure 21. Youth Compact enrolments by industry, 2008-2010


                                           Youth Compact enrolments by industry
                            25,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2009
                            20,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2010
        Course enrolments




                            15,000                                                                                                                                                                                         2008


                            10,000


                             5,000


                                -




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Wholesale Retail &
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Tourism & Hospitality
                                                                                   Business Services
                                                       Automotive




                                                                                                                                                                            General Manufacturing
                                                                                                                              Cultural & Recreation
                                                                                                       Community Services &




                                                                                                                                                      Electrotechnology &
                                                                    Construction
                                     Adult Community




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Public Administration
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Primary & Forest
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Metals & Engineering




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Transport & Storage


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Personal Services
                                                                     Building &




                                                                                                                                                        Communications
                                        Education




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       & Safety
                                                                                                            Health




Key points:
                2010 enrolments under the Youth Compact exceeded 2008 numbers across all industry groups,
                 most notably in Cultural and Recreation (87%), Transport and Storage (86%), Community Services
                 and Health (61%), Public Administration and Safety (44% - albeit off a small base) and Building and
                 Construction (37%).
                Business Services (29%), WRAPS (26%), Primary and Forest (23%), Electrotechnology and
                 Communications (22%) and Tourism and Hospitality (21%) also experienced strong growth over
                 2008 delivery.

Youth Compact enrolments by age group
The figure below shows the Youth Compact enrolments by age group for 2009 and 2010 relative to the
2008 baseline. As commencement age is not available for 2008 data, the data is presented by age at 30
June in the collection year.
                In 2010, reported enrolments by Victorians aged 15-19 exceeded the 2008 number by nearly 15,500
                 (20%). This is a particularly encouraging result in light of the additional Commonwealth allocations
                 to the Higher Education sector in 2010.
                Enrolments in 2010 by those aged 20-24 exceeded the 2008 number by more than 12,900 (32%).
                 The upskilling requirement of the VTG does not appear to have been a barrier to increased training
                 uptake by this cohort.


Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Page 30 of 40
                                                                                    The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                    Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Figure 22 Youth Compact enrolments by age group, 2008-2010


                                Youth Compact enrolments by age group
                                                                                             Youth Compact by
                      100,000
                                                                                             age
  Course enrolments




                       80,000                                                                 In 2010, enrolments
                                                                                               by those aged 15-19
                       60,000                                                                  exceeded the 2008
                                                                                               number by nearly
                       40,000                                                                  15,500 (20%).

                       20,000                                                                 Enrolments by those
                                                                                               aged 20-24
                           -                                                                   exceeded the full
                                       15-19         20-24                  25+                year 2008 number by
                           2009       73,312         40,786                 3330               more than 12,900
                                                                                               (32%).
                           2010       92,174         52,929                 3,949
                           2008       76,701         39,996



Note – There is a difficulty with comparing disaggregated 15-19 year old and 20-24 year old Youth
Compact enrolments to 2008 data. This is because we do not know the commencement age for enrolments
in 2008. We only know their age as at 30 June 2008. This has been used as a proxy for commencement
age, to allow comparison with 2009 and 2010 Youth Compact enrolments. It is important to note that the
consequence of this is that the 15-19 and 20-24 baselines for 2008 are slightly inflated (because they will
count some people who were under 15 at commencement but are now aged 15 or over).
In addition, the 2009 and 2010 disaggregated data will be slightly deflated. This is because some people
who commenced a Youth Compact enrolment in one age group will have now moved into another age
group (for example from 15-19 to 20-24, or from 20-24 to 25 and over).
As a result of these factors, comparisons of the 15-19 and 20-24 cohorts to 2008 data will slightly under-
estimate growth.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                              Page 31 of 40
                                                                                   The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                   Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



Retrenched Workers Training Entitlement Delivery
Overview
The Retrenched Workers Training Entitlement brought forward the VTG to apply to commencements in
training at Certificates I to IV for retrenched workers from 1 July 2009. This report presents enrolment data
for retrenched workers aged 25 and over at 1 January in the year of commencement. In the second half of
2009, Victoria also granted some entitlements to retrenched workers aged 20-24 to prevent them being
disadvantaged during the transition period as the Youth Compact was introduced. These enrolments are
not included in this section.
As the entitlement was introduced in the second half of 2009 in response to the economic downturn, there
are no comparable data for earlier years. This section provides the number of enrolments that have been
granted under the Retrenched Workers Training Entitlement in the second half of 2009 and in 2010.

Retrenched Worker enrolments by provider type
The figure below shows the number of Retrenched Worker enrolments by provider type. It is clear that
private providers delivered the majority of training to retrenched workers in 2010, whereas TAFE institutes
delivered most of this training in the second half of 2009.



Figure 23 Retrenched Worker enrolments by provider type, 2009-2010                        Retrenched Worker
                                                                                          enrolments by provider
                                                                                          type
                         Retrenched Worker enrolments by provider type
                                                                                           Almost 1,600 Retrenched
                        1,400                                                               Worker enrolments were
                                                                                            reported in 2010, adding to
    Course enrolments




                        1,200
                                                                                            just over 450 enrolments in
                        1,000                                                               the second half of 2009.
                         800
                                                                                           TAFE institutes delivered
                         600                                                                79% of Retrenched Worker
                         400                                                                enrolments in 2009, but
                                                                                            reported nearly 40 fewer
                         200                                                                enrolments in 2010.
                           0
                                   ACE            PRIV                      TAFE           Private providers
                                                                                            accounted for 78% of
                          2009      1              95                       355             Retrenched Worker
                          2010      29            1,242                     316             enrolments in 2010,
                                                                                            compared with only 21% in
                                                                                            2009.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                             Page 32 of 40
                                                                                    The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                    Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Retrenched Worker enrolments by industry
Training by retrenched workers in 2010 is similarly focused on courses within a few industry areas, as
shown in the figure below.

Figure 24 Retrenched Worker enrolments by industry, 2009-2010


                        Retrenched Worker enrolments by industry
   Wholesale Retail & Personal Services
                    Transport & Storage
                   Tourism & Hospitality
         Public Administration & Safety
                        Primary & Forest                                            2010
                   Metals & Engineering                                             2009
                 General Manufacturing
  Electrotechnology & Communications
                   Cultural & Recreation
          Community Services & Health
                       Business Services
                Building & Construction
                             Automotive
            Adult Community Education

                                           0       100       200        300   400   500       600

                                                              Course enrolments

        In 2010, most Retrenched Worker training was in Transport and Storage (481), Business Services
         (379), Community Services and Health (233) and Building and Construction (176).
        Nearly two thirds of enrolments were in Certificate III courses (63%), while Certificate II and
         Certificate IV courses accounted for 15% and 14% of enrolments respectively. Only 8% of
         enrolments were in Certificate I courses.
        The most common courses for Retrenched Worker training in 2010 were:
             o Certificate III in Civil Construction (Plant Operations) – 162 enrolments
             o Certificate III in Transport and Logistics (Warehousing and Storage) – 132 enrolments
             o Certificate III in Security Operations – 88 enrolments
             o Certificate III in Aged Care – 83 enrolments
             o Certificate IV in Training and Assessment – 82 enrolments
             o Certificate I in Business – 82 enrolments
             o Certificate II in Security Operations – 81 enrolments




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                              Page 33 of 40
                                                                                        The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                        Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Retrenched Worker enrolments by age group
The number of Retrenched Worker enrolments by age group is shown in the figure below.
                      Retrenched Worker training is predominantly undertaken by those aged 25-54, with a greater
                       number of enrolments by those aged in their 40s than other age groups.
                      In 2010, those aged 40-49 accounted for nearly one in three enrolments by retrenched workers
                       (32%).

Figure 25 Retrenched Worker enrolments by age group, 2009-2010


                              Retrenched Worker enrolments by age
                       300                                                                       Retrenched Worker –
                                                                                                 age
   Course enrolments




                       250
                                                                                                  Training under the
                       200                                                                         Retrenched Workers
                                                                                                   Training Entitlement is
                       150
                                                                                                   predominantly
                       100                                                                         undertaken by those
                                                                                                   aged 25-54.
                        50
                                                                                                  Those aged 40-49
                         0                                                                         accounted for
                                                                                  65               approximately one third
                              25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64
                                                                                 plus              of enrolments in 2010.
                       2009    65    67    58    72    79    53    42       15    0
                       2010   212   221   214    254   251   204   166      63    2




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                  Page 34 of 40
                                                                            The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                            Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



Skills for Growth Placements
Overview
The Skills for Growth program aims to address the skills needs of business and the training needs of the
workforce. The program works with small and medium-sized businesses to help them grow through
establishing where the businesses are now, where they would like to be in future and working with them to
develop training plans that will help the businesses achieve their objectives.
Data is collected on the number of registered businesses, the number of Workforce Training and Action
Plans approved and the number of Placements into Training. Small Business Victoria is responsible for
administering the Skills for Growth program and has provided the information included in this report.

Business registrations
By the end of 2010, just over 4,500 businesses were registered in the Skills for Growth program. This is
74% more than were anticipated to register by this time and represents 82% of the total anticipated number
by June 2012 (5,500). The main industry areas of these registered businesses are: Wholesale and Retail
(945) and Manufacturing (711), together accounting for 37% of registrations.

Figure 26. Number of anticipated and actual business registrations, monthly and cumulative, 2010-2011




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                      Page 35 of 40
                                                                            The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                            Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Workforce Training and Action Plans
In December 2010, 150 Workforce Training and Action Plans (WAPs) were completed, resulting in the
cumulative number of approved WAPs totalling 3,232 at the end of 2010. This is well ahead of the
cumulative target for December 2010 (2,250).
Figure 27. Number of anticipated and actual WAPs, monthly and cumulative, 2010-2011




Placements into Training
The number of Placements into Training at the end of December totalled 23,676. This is 3% below the
estimated total placement target of 24,500.

Figure 28. Number of anticipated and actual placements into training, monthly and cumulative, 2010-2011




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                      Page 36 of 40
                                                                            The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                            Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Whilst the Program is ahead of schedule with registrations, the Skills for Growth team is continuing to work
closely with all service providers on improving the conversion rate of the approved WAPs to Placements
into Training. This includes:
        Moving into 2011, the “capping” process implemented in early 2010 (that restricts service providers
         from obtaining new registrations into the Program where predetermined criteria are not met) is being
         reviewed to ensure service providers remain focussed on obtaining more placements into Training.
        To assist service providers meet the predetermined criteria, Skills for Growth will be providing
         additional information to each service provider through personalised and targeted information,
         including where they currently are in comparison with where they need to be, followed by
         recommendations on what they can do to achieve their targets.
        A further set of Program performance criteria will be developed to systematically identify service
         providers who are consistently underperforming and to commence contract management
         discussions with those identified. The providers will be offered the opportunity to exit the Program or
         may be assisted to exit the Program if they fail to meet the Program‟s targets.
A continuing trend of Placements into Training shows that the top service providers are Business
Consulting and Private RTO based organisations. The bottom service providers continue to comprise TAFE
institutes, ACE providers and universities. Anecdotal feedback from these organisations suggests that
dedicated resources to deliver Skills for Growth are not always provided, hence their performance being
less than that of organisations that do have dedicated resources to deliver the Program.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                      Page 37 of 40
                                                                                                          The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                          Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)



Government Funded Enrolments by Students without
Qualifications at AQF Level 3 or Above
Overview
This section looks at government funded enrolments by those who do not hold prior qualifications at AQF
level 3 or above. Access to vocational education and training is considered key to re-engaging these
individuals in learning. Enrolments in accredited AQF courses, secondary education and other Foundation
level courses are included.

Enrolments by students with prior qualification by provider type
The figure below shows the number of government funded enrolments by those not holding prior
qualifications at AQF level 3 or above by provider type.
                      Total government funded enrolments by this cohort increased by 7% from just over 203,000 in 2005
                       to more than 218,000 in 2008. In 2009 they dropped slightly, to a little under 217,000.
                      Total enrolments in 2010 were in excess of 250,000 and exceeded the 2008 figure by 15%.
                      Private training providers increased their delivery to this cohort markedly in 2010. Enrolments at
                       private RTOs in 2010 were almost double the figures for 2008 and 2009.
                      TAFE delivery to this cohort has remained relatively stable since 2008, with 2010 enrolments being
                       just under 1,000 (0.6%) short of the 2008 figure.
                      ACE delivery to this cohort has also remained relatively stable in recent years, with 2010 enrolments
                       approximately 500 (2%) short of the 2008 number.

Figure 29. Government funded enrolments by those without qualifications at AQF level 3 or above by provider
type, 2003-2010

                                                                                                                     No prior qualification
                           GF enrolments by those without AQF 3 or above,
                                                                                                                     at AQF level 3 or
                                             2003-2010
                                                                                                                     above
                       300,000
                                                                                                                      Overall enrolments by
                       250,000                                                                                         those not holding AQF
   Course enrolments




                                                                                                                       3+ qualifications rose
                       200,000                                                                                         between 2005 and
                       150,000
                                                                                                                       2008, but dropped
                                                                                                                       slightly in 2009.
                       100,000
                                                                                                                      2010 enrolments
                        50,000                                                                                         increased markedly
                                                                                                                       and are 15% higher
                            -                                                                                          than in 2008.
                                  2003     2004     2005     2006     2007     2008     2009     2010
                            ACE   18,649   18,583   19,627   21,676   20,639   20,784   21,136   20,271               Private training
                           PRIV   46,339   42,460   39,814   38,279   36,304   35,469   36,650   69,358                providers have driven
                           TAFE 152,837 144,109 143,839 148,474 155,635 161,854 158,832 160,876
                                                                                                                       this growth, reporting
                                                                                                                       almost twice as many
                                                                                                                       enrolments in 2010 as
                                                                                                                       in 2008.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                    Page 38 of 40
                                                                                                                    The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                                                    Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Enrolments by students with prior qualification by region
The figure below shows government funded enrolments by those without qualifications at AQF level 3 or
above, separated according to student residential location (excludes interstate and not stated).
                      Between 2005 and 2008, enrolments by those not holding qualifications at AQF level 3 or above
                       and living in the metropolitan area increased by 10%. Enrolments by the same cohort living in
                       regional areas increased by only 3%. For both metropolitan and regional areas, there was a small
                       drop between 2008 and 2009.
                      Enrolments in 2010 by those living in the metropolitan area exceeded the 2008 number by almost
                       24,000 (17%).
                      Relative to 2008, enrolments by those without prior qualifications and living in regional areas
                       increased by nearly 7,000 (10%) in 2010. In regional areas, the growth in enrolments by those
                       without prior qualifications does not appear to match that in metropolitan Melbourne.

Figure 30. Government funded enrolments by those without qualifications at AQF level 3 or above by region
of student residence, 2003-2010


                            GF enrolments by those without AQF 3 or above,                                                       No prior qualification
                                              2003-2010                                                                          (AQF 3+) - region
                       180,000                                                                                                    Enrolments in 2010
                       160,000                                                                                                     by those without AQF
                                                                                                                                   3+ qualifications and
   Course enrolments




                       140,000
                                                                                                                                   living in the metro
                       120,000                                                                                                     area exceeded the
                       100,000                                                                                                     2008 number by
                        80,000                                                                                                     17%.
                        60,000                                                                                                    Enrolments by the
                        40,000                                                                                                     same cohort living in
                                                                                                                                   regional Victoria
                        20,000
                                                                                                                                   exceeded the 2008
                            -                                                                                                      number by 10%.
                                     2003      2004      2005      2006      2007      2008      2009      2010
                         Metro      139,165   130,795   129,836   134,754   138,121   142,830   141,075   166,778
                         Regional   74,087    70,098    69,736    69,691    71,009    72,111    71,966    79,034



Enrolments by students with prior qualification by age
The figure below shows the government funded enrolments by those without qualifications at AQF level 3
or above by age group, for 2009 and 2010 relative to the 2008 baseline.
                      Growth in enrolments by those with no prior qualifications in 2010 is fuelled by younger Victorians
                       undertaking more training. This may reflect the success of the Youth Compact initiative which
                       extended the VTG to all qualification levels for those aged 20-24 in 2010, following the extension for
                       those aged 15-19 in the second half of 2009.
                      Enrolments by young Victorians without prior qualifications comfortably exceeded the 2008 number
                       in 2010. In 2010, enrolments by those aged 15-19 were 19% higher than in 2008, and enrolments
                       by the 20-24 cohort were 20% higher.
                      Enrolments by those aged 45-64 have also increased notably in 2010, being 18% higher than in
                       2008. The smallest relative growth was among those aged 25-44, where enrolments in 2010 were
                       only 6% higher than in 2008. Extension of the VTG to all students commencing from 2011 is
                       expected to lead to more uptake of training in coming years.

Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                                              Page 39 of 40
                                                                                            The Victorian Training Guarantee
                                                                                            Full Year 2010 (Preliminary Data)


Figure 31. Government funded enrolments by those without qualifications at AQF level 3 or above by age,
2008-2010


                             GF enrolments by those without AQF 3 or above, by                  No prior qualification (AQF
                                          age group, 2008-2010                                  3+) – age group
                           100,000
                                                                                                 In 2010, enrolments by those
                                                                                                  aged 15-24 without prior
      Course enrolments




                            80,000
                                                                                                  qualifications comfortably
                            60,000
                                                                                                  exceeded the 2008 figures.
                                                                                                 This may reflect the success
                            40,000                                                                of the Youth Compact which
                                                                                                  extended the VTG to all 15-24
                            20,000                                                                year olds in training in 2010.

                                -                                                                Enrolments by those aged 45-
                                       15-19       20-24        25-44        45-64                64 exceeded the 2008
                               2009   79,615       48,762       59,316       26,142               number by 18% whereas
                               2010   95,097       59,901       63,908       29,624               those by the 25-44 cohort
                                                                                                  were 6% higher than in 2008.
                               2008   79,710       49,808       60,334       25,161




The qualification levels at which those with no qualifications at AQF level 3 or above are training in 2010
are shown in the figure below for each age group.
                          Across all age groups, the majority of those without qualifications at AQF level 3 or above undertake
                           training in Certificate III or IV courses. The proportion ranges from 50% of enrolments by those aged
                           15-19 to 64% of enrolments by those aged 20-24.
                          The upskilling criteria applied only to those aged 20-24 in 2010 and 79% of government funded
                           enrolments by this cohort were at Certificate III level or higher. This cohort exceeded 2008
                           enrolments by 20% in 2010 and it appears that the upskilling requirement of the VTG has not been
                           a barrier to uptake of training.

Figure 32. Government funded enrolments by those without
qualifications at AQF level 3 or above by age and course level, 2010
                                                                                                   No prior qualification – age
                                                                                                   and qualification level
                             GF enrolments by those without AQF 3 or above, by age                  Those without prior
                                         and qualification level, 2010                               qualifications tend to enrol
                          100,000                                                                    in Certificates III or IV.
   Course enrolments




                           80,000                                                                   64% of enrolments by
                                                                                                     those aged 20-24 were at
                           60,000                                                                    AQF levels 3/4, with a
                                                                                                     further 15% being in
                           40,000                                                                    Diploma or above courses.
                           20,000                                                                   For those aged 15-19, the
                                                                                                     VTG provides government
                               0
                                      15-19         20-24         25-44          45-64               subsidised training at all
                           AQF 5+
                                                                                                     levels. In 2010, 35% of
                                      8,512         8,773        11,373          4,839
                                                                                                     enrolments by this cohort
                           AQF3-4     47,562       38,628        34,334         15,721               are in Certificates I or II and
                           AQF 1-2    33,686       11,705        17,759          8,944               6% are in secondary
                           Sec Ed     5,337         795            442           120                 education.




Skills Victoria – Department of Education and Early Childhood Development                                      Page 40 of 40

								
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