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Chapter 2 Analysis of Solvency, Liquidity, and Financial ...

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Chapter 2

Analysis of Solvency, Liquidity, and

Financial Flexibility



Order Order Sale Cash

Placed Received Received

Accounts Collection







Accounts Disbursement Time ==>



Invoice Payment Cash

Received Sent Paid



Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Learning Objectives



 Differentiate between solvency and liquidity ratios

 Conduct a liquidity analysis

 Assess a firm’s financial flexibility position









Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Financial Statements - Basic Source

of Information



 Balance Sheet



 Income Statement



 Statement of Cash Flows









Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Solvency Measures



 Current Ratio



 Quick Ratio



 Net Working Capital



 Net Liquid Balance



 Working Capital Requirements







Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Current Ratio





Current assets

Current ratio = -------------------------

Current liabilities



$6,339

Current ratio = ----------- = 1.72

$3,695



1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Current ratio 1.96 2.08 1.66 1.45 1.72



Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Quick Ratio





Current assets - Inventories

Quick ratio = -------------------------------------

Current liabilities



$6,339 - $273

Quick ratio = -------------------- = 1.64

$3,695



1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Quick ratio 1.57 1.63 1.51 1.36 1.64



Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Net Working Capital



Net working capital = CA - CL





Net working capital = $6,339 - $3,695

= $2,644





($ Millions) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Net working capital $ 719 $1,018 $1,089 $1,215 $2,644







Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

NWC and its Component Parts



CA CL CA CL CA CL



Cash Cash Cash



Mkt Sec A/P Mkt Sec A/P Mkt Sec A/P



A/R N/P A/R N/P A/R N/P



Inventory CMLTD Inventory CMLTD Inventory CMLTD



Prepaid Accruals Prepaid Accruals Prepaid Accruals





NWC = CA - CL WCR = A/R + INV +Pre NLB = Cash + M/S

- A/P - Accruals - N/P - CMLTD



Net Working Capital Working Capital Requirements Net Liquid Balance

Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Working Capital Requirements





($2,481+$273+$404) - ($2,397+$355+$943)

WCR/S = -----------------------------------------------------------

$18,243



($537)

= ----------- = -0.029

$18,243



1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

WCR/S .055 .082 -.030 -.039 -.029





Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Net Liquid Balance





Net liquid balance = Cash + Equiv. - (N/P + CMLTD)



Net liquid balance = $3,181 - $0

= $3,181





($ Millions) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Net liquid balance $527 $586 $1,325 $1,698 $3,181







Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

What is Liquidity?



 Ingredients

– Time

– Amount

– Cost

 Definition

– Having enough financial resources to cover financial obligations

in a timely manner with minimal costs









Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

What is Liquidity - Examples



 Amount and trend of internal cash flow



 Aggregate available credit lines



 Attractiveness of firm’s commercial paper and

other financial instruments



 Overall expertise of management









Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Liquidity Measures



 Cash Flow From Operations



 Cash Conversion Period



 Current Liquidity Index



 Lambda









Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Cash Flow From Operations





Dell’s Cash Flow From Operations





($ Millions) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

CFFO $243.4 $175.0 $1,362.0 $1,592.0 $2,436.0









Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Cash Conversion Chart





Inventory Inventory Cash

stocked sold received



Days inventory held Days sales outstanding









Days payables outstanding Cash conversion

period



Cash

disbursed





Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Cash Conversion Period

Calculations



Cash conversion period = DIH + DSO - DPO



(Days) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

DIH 40 37 15 9 7

DSO 57 50 42 44 50

------- ------ ------ ------ ------

Operating cycle 97 87 57 53 57

DPO 60 41 63 63 62

------- ------- ------- ------- -------

Cash conversion period 37 46 -6 -10 -5





Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

How Much Liquidity is Enough?



 Solvency - a stock or balance perspective



 Liquidity - a flow perspective



 Liquidity management involves finding the right

balance of stocks and flows









Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Current Liquidity Index





Cash assets t-1 + CFFO t

CLI = ---------------------------------

N/P t-1 + CMLTD t-1



$1,844 + $2,436

CLI = -------------------- = 29.32

$146 + $0



1996 1997 1998 1999

CLI 1,755.62 33.47 85.00 29.32



Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Lambda









Initial liquid Total anticipated net cash flow

reserve + during the analysis horizon

Lambda = -------------------------------------------------------------------

Uncertainty about the net cash flow during the

analysis horizon









Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Financial Flexibility

Sustainable Growth Rate Concept:



Uses = Sources

New Assets = New Equity + New Debt

gS(A/S) = m(S+gS)(1-d) + m(S+gS)(1-d)(D/E)

m(1-d)[1 + (D/E)]

g = ----------------------------------

(A/S) - {m(1-d)[1 + (D/E)]}



.0765 x (1 - .00) x (1 + 2.3008)

g = ------------------------------------------------- = 270.49%

.3462 - [.0765 x (1 - .00)(1 + 2.3008)]

calculation uses 1998 data to calculate the sustainable 1999 g.

Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM

Summary



 Chapter introduced basic concepts of:

– solvency

– liquidity

– financial flexibility

 Solvency: an accounting concept comparing assets

to liabilities

 Liquidity: related to a firm’s ability to pay for its

current obligations in a timely fashion with

minimal costs

 Financial flexibility: related to a firm’s overall

financial structure and if financial policies allow

firm enough flexibility to take advantage of

unforeseen opportunities.

Copyright  2002 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning TM


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