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Globalization: Trends and Prospects

What is Globalization?





• From a general/macro-perspective









• From a firm perspective

The Growth of World Trade and World Output





180



160

World

Trade 140



120

World

Output 100







1982 1986 1990 1994 est

The Shrinking Globe







1500 -1840 1850 - 1930 1950s 1960s









Propeller Jet

Steam locomotives aircraft passenger

Best average speed of horse- average 65 mph. 300 - 400 aircraft, 500

drawn coaches and sailing Steamships average 36 mph. - 700 mph.

ships, 10 mph. mph.

The Changing Pattern of World Output and Trade

The Changing Nature of Global Output



Shares of World Output

65%

Developing

countries† 60



55



50

45

Rich

Industrial 40

Countries

35





1990 2000 2010 2020

forecast †

Changes in the Annual Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment









$bn

Evaluating Globalization





• The essence of globalization is a subordination of human rights,

of labor rights, consumer, environmental rights, democracy

rights, to the imperatives of global trade and investment. This is

world government of the Exxons, by the General Motors, for the

DuPonts (Ralph Nader)

• I think it's helping human rights because what it's doing is it's

giving jobs to people at salary levels that they never would have

had access to before. So in time I think this becomes more self-

corrective (James Robinson, former head of AmEx)

• Asia: Child Labor and 11c an hour (Nike)

Firm-level Benefits of Globalization



• Increase profitability in ways not available to purely

domestic firms:

– greater returns/diversify risk by exploiting core

competencies abroad (domestic market saturation; new

market opportunities)

– realize location economies by rationalizing value chain

• implications for both lower costs & differentiation

through global web of value creating acts

– realize greater experience curve economies

• learning effects in technologically complex tasks &

economies of scale from barriers to entry

Global Standardization Philosophy





• Customer needs and interests are becoming increasingly

homogenous worldwide

• Consumers are willing to sacrifice preferences in product

features for lower prices at higher quality

• Substantial economies of scale in production and marketing

can be achieved by developing standardized marketing

programs

Constraints to Implementing Global

Standardization Strategy



• External

– Governmental and trade restrictions

– Differences in marketing systems

– Nature of competitive structure

– Socio-cultural influences on consumer preferences



• Internal

– Financial and managerial constraints

– Local management motivation and attitudes

Industry Globalization Drivers







MARKET DRIVERS









Industry

Globalization GOVERNMENT DRIVERS

COST DRIVERS

Potential









COMPETITIVE DRIVERS

Globalization Forces: Market Drivers





• Convergence of per capita income, lifestyles and tastes??



• Global Customers due to increased travel and

organizational buying



• Growing global and regional channels



• Increasing number of world brands and global advertising

Strength of Market Globalization Drivers





Civil Aircraft





Automobiles



Toothpaste





OTC Pharmaceuticals







Low High

Globalization Forces: Cost Drivers





• Continuing push for economies of scale (but offset by

flexible manufacturing)

• Accelerating technological innovation

• Increasing cost of product development relative to market

life

• Advances in transportation

• Emergence of newly industrialized countries with

productive capability and low labor costs

Strength of Cost Globalization Drivers







Pharmaceuticals



Computers





Commercial Banking



Soft Drinks







Low High

Globalization Forces: Competitive Drivers





• More countries becoming key competitive battlegrounds

• Rise of new competitors intent on becoming global

• Growth of global networks making countries

interdependent in particular industries

• More companies becoming internationally oriented rather

than nationally centered

• New global alliances

Strength of Competitive Globalization Drivers





Civil Aircraft

Computers

Automobiles



Soft Drinks





Book Publishing







Low High

Globalization Forces: Government Drivers





• Reduction of tariff barriers

• Reduction of non-tariff barriers

• Creation of new trading blocs

• Decline in the role of government as producers and

consumers

• Market liberalization and privatization

• Adoption of common standards

Strength of Government Globalization Drivers





Toothpaste



Soft Drinks



Automobiles



Civil Aircraft



OTC Pharmaceuticals







Low High

The Structure of the Course





The Environment



The Firm





Business

operations:



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