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VIEWS: 7 PAGES: 7

  • pg 1
									Strong Growth, Low Pollution - Modelling a Carbon Price
Charts and tables from the report

Real wage, index, 2010=100                          2010       2011            2012           2013               2014         2015          2016     2017     2018     2019
Medium global action                               100.00     106.73          108.76         111.59             112.82       114.84        116.65   117.97   119.29   120.00
SGLP core                                          100.00     106.73          108.76         111.41             112.46       114.29        115.94   117.14   118.37   119.00
Clean Energy Future                                100.00     106.73          108.76         111.40             112.44       114.28        115.95   117.17   118.42   119.06
Government policy                                  100.00     106.73          108.76         111.39             112.44       114.26        115.92   117.13   118.38   119.01
Ambitious global action                            100.00     106.73          108.76         111.57             112.78       114.80        116.61   117.91   119.23   119.93
High price                                         100.00     106.73          108.76         111.28             112.16       113.82        115.24   116.19   117.17   117.57

Change from reference scenario (Per cent)
SGLP core                               0.00                    0.00            0.00             -0.16           -0.31         -0.48        -0.61    -0.70    -0.77    -0.83
Clean Energy Future                     0.00                    0.00            0.00             -0.17           -0.33         -0.49        -0.60    -0.67    -0.73    -0.78
Government policy                       0.00                    0.00            0.00             -0.18           -0.34         -0.50        -0.63    -0.71    -0.77    -0.82
High price                              0.00                    0.00            0.00             -0.26           -0.56         -0.85        -1.18    -1.46    -1.73    -1.97

Chart 5.12 Real wages
             Level                                                     Change from global action scenarios

       Index, 2010=100                Index, 2010=100                          Per cent                                    Per cent
 200                                                    200              0                                                            0



                                                                         -2                                                           -2
 150                                                    150

                                                                         -4                                                           -4

 100                     Medium global action           100

                         Ambitious global action                         -6                                                           -6
                         SGLP core
  50                     Clean Energy Future            50                                  SGLP core
                                                                         -8                 Clean Energy Future                       -8
                         Government policy
                                                                                            Government policy
                         High price                                                         High price
  0                                                      0              -10                                                         -10
   2010         2020        2030        2040         2050                  2010           2020           2030       2040        2050
    2010       2020        2030         2040   2050   2010   2020   2030   2040   2050



Source: Treasury estimates from MMRF.
 2020     2021     2022     2023     2024     2025     2026     2027     2028     2029     2030     2031     2032
121.25   122.43   123.54   124.63   125.65   126.63   127.55   128.45   129.32   130.16   130.60   131.20   131.93
120.19   121.31   122.31   123.25   124.08   124.83   125.48   126.12   126.73   127.31   127.47   127.78   128.21
120.25   121.37   122.38   123.32   124.16   124.92   125.58   126.24   126.85   127.43   127.59   127.90   128.35
120.20   121.33   122.33   123.26   124.09   124.84   125.50   126.13   126.74   127.32   127.48   127.78   128.21
121.13   122.25   123.29   124.32   125.27   126.18   127.03   127.85   128.64   129.39   129.73   130.17   130.77
118.49   119.34   120.06   120.71   121.25   121.69   122.06   122.47   122.89   123.28   123.24   123.30   123.51



 -0.88    -0.92    -1.00    -1.11    -1.25    -1.42    -1.62    -1.82    -2.00    -2.19    -2.39    -2.61    -2.82
 -0.83    -0.87    -0.94    -1.05    -1.19    -1.35    -1.54    -1.73    -1.91    -2.10    -2.30    -2.51    -2.72
 -0.86    -0.90    -0.98    -1.10    -1.24    -1.41    -1.61    -1.81    -1.99    -2.18    -2.39    -2.60    -2.81
 -2.18    -2.38    -2.62    -2.90    -3.21    -3.56    -3.91    -4.21    -4.47    -4.72    -5.00    -5.28    -5.55
 2033     2034     2035     2036     2037     2038     2039     2040     2041     2042     2043     2044     2045
132.63   133.28   133.95   134.68   135.55   136.43   137.91   139.48   141.11   142.84   144.61   146.44   148.33
128.60   128.96   129.34   129.78   130.36   130.96   132.13   133.40   134.75   136.20   137.69   139.22   140.82
128.76   129.14   129.54   129.98   130.55   131.15   132.32   133.59   134.94   136.39   137.90   139.45   141.07
128.61   128.97   129.34   129.78   130.36   130.96   132.13   133.39   134.74   136.19   137.67   139.20   140.80
131.35   131.89   132.45   133.08   133.85   134.66   136.06   137.55   139.12   140.78   142.50   144.28   146.14
123.69   123.85   124.03   124.29   124.70   125.18   126.20   127.32   128.52   129.81   131.13   132.49   133.89



 -3.04    -3.24    -3.44    -3.63    -3.83    -4.02    -4.19    -4.36    -4.51    -4.65    -4.79    -4.93    -5.06
 -2.91    -3.11    -3.29    -3.49    -3.68    -3.87    -4.05    -4.22    -4.38    -4.51    -4.64    -4.77    -4.89
 -3.03    -3.24    -3.44    -3.63    -3.83    -4.01    -4.19    -4.36    -4.52    -4.66    -4.80    -4.94    -5.07
 -5.83    -6.10    -6.36    -6.61    -6.84    -7.04    -7.25    -7.43    -7.61    -7.80    -7.98    -8.17    -8.38
 2046     2047     2048     2049     2050
150.29   152.30   154.35   156.47   158.63
142.48   144.17   145.90   147.70   149.55
142.75   144.44   146.17   147.97   149.80
142.47   144.16   145.89   147.69   149.54
148.07   150.06   152.09   154.19   156.34
135.35   136.83   138.34   139.91   141.53



 -5.20    -5.34    -5.47    -5.60    -5.73
 -5.02    -5.16    -5.30    -5.44    -5.57
 -5.21    -5.34    -5.48    -5.61    -5.73
 -8.60    -8.82    -9.04    -9.26    -9.47

								
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