Table 1 - Peak and Energy Demand Forecast
Planned Demand Scenario - Includes Targeted Conservation
Season Normal Weather Peak
(MW)
Summer 2008 25,232
Winter 2008-09 23,698
Summer 2009 24,998
Directory :D:\Docstoc\Working\pdf\
File: 862403a2-f481-483a-ad8a-50e5c492fd38.xls
Tab: Table 1
Table 2.1 - Historical Weather and Demand Summary
Historical Analysis March April
Average Temperature (°C) 1.3 14.4
Minimum Temperature (°C) -6.4 3.8
Maximum Temperature (°C) 11.8 23.9
Normal Average Temperature (°C) 3.6 10.7
Normal Minimum Temperature (°C) -5.5 2.8
Normal Maximum Temperature (°C) 16.7 25.0
Peak Demand (MW) 20,990 19,512
Average Hour (MW) 17,478 16,001
Minimum Hour (MW) 13,902 11,571
90th Percentile (MW) 19,568 18,117
Percent above 20,000 (MW) 4.2% #N/A
# of Hours Above 20,000 (MW) 31 #N/A
Energy Demand (GWh) 13,004 11,520
Peak Demand (MW) 21,025 20,494
Energy Demand (GWh) 12,635 11,872
Actual Energy Weather Corrected Weather
Week Ending Correction Week Number
(GWh) Energy (GWh)
(GWh)
5-May-02 2,701 2,653 -47 18
12-May-02 2,670 2,632 -38 19
19-May-02 2,680 2,585 -95 20
26-May-02 2,598 2,571 -27 21
2-Jun-02 2,746 2,703 -43 22
9-Jun-02 2,686 2,675 -11 23
16-Jun-02 2,784 2,852 68 24
23-Jun-02 2,890 2,811 -79 25
30-Jun-02 3,113 2,944 -169 26
7-Jul-02 3,189 2,904 -285 27
14-Jul-02 2,998 2,991 -8 28
21-Jul-02 3,269 3,174 -95 29
28-Jul-02 3,079 3,031 -48 30
4-Aug-02 3,348 3,048 -300 31
11-Aug-02 2,946 2,944 -2 32
18-Aug-02 3,438 3,117 -321 33
25-Aug-02 2,949 2,940 -10 34
1-Sep-02 2,952 2,924 -28 35
8-Sep-02 3,017 2,826 -191 36
15-Sep-02 3,050 2,869 -181 37
22-Sep-02 2,986 2,830 -156 38
29-Sep-02 2,742 2,749 7 39
6-Oct-02 2,812 2,776 -36 40
13-Oct-02 2,715 2,757 42 41
20-Oct-02 2,725 2,671 -55 42
27-Oct-02 2,856 2,784 -72 43
Notes for Week
Victoria Day
Canada Day
Civic Holiday
Labour Day
All-Time September Peak
All-Time October Peak
Thanksgiving
Week Weather Corrected Actual Peak Day
Week Ending Peak Day Actual Peak (MW)
Number Peak (MW) Temperature (°C)
Table 3.1 - Forecast of Ontario Economic Drivers
Ontario Employment Ontario Housing Starts Ontario Growth Index
Year Annual Annual Annual
Thousands Thousands Index
Growth (%) Growth (%) Growth (%)
1995 5,098 2.0 31.9 -23.3 1.025 1.42
1996 5,161 1.2 39.5 23.9 1.036 1.05
1997 5,277 2.3 50.0 26.5 1.054 1.69
1998 5,440 3.1 50.1 0.2 1.076 2.18
1999 5,621 3.3 62.9 25.6 1.102 2.34
2000 5,801 3.2 67.4 7.1 1.128 2.39
2001 5,924 2.1 70.3 4.2 1.149 1.88
2002 6,014 1.5 79.6 13.3 1.168 1.65
2003 6,203 3.1 80.9 1.7 1.197 2.49
2004 6,310 1.7 79.9 -1.3 1.219 1.78
2005 6,390 1.3 73.2 -8.4 1.237 1.49
2006 6,485 1.5 67.8 -7.4 1.256 1.53
Week Monthly Normal Normal Normal Wind Extreme Peak Extreme
Ending Peak Date Temperature (°C) Speed (km/hr) Date Temperature (°C)
Conservation and Demand
Firm Scenario Planned Scenario Treatment
Management Components
Conservation Existing levels included Targeted levels included Decrement demand
OPA Demand Response 1 Existing levels included Targeted levels included Resource
OPA Demand Response 2 None Targeted levels included Resource
OPA Demand Response 3 None Targeted levels included Resource
OPA Contracted Demand Response Existing levels included Existing levels included Resource
RESOP Generation Existing levels included Projected levels included Decrement demand
Normal Peak Day Normal Peak Extreme Peak
Temperature (°C) Demand (MW) Demand (MW)
29.2 23,965 25,673
29.6 24,939 26,756
30.2 25,478 27,741
30.9 24,658 26,624
29.8 23,693 25,379
Table 4.2 - Current Versus Previous Forecast - Planned Scenario
Normal Peak Extreme Weather
Energy Demand
Season Demand Peak Demand
(GWh) (MW) (MW)
Spring 2008 36,657 22,490 24,017
Difference (Current - Previous) -187 0 0
Summer 2008 38,540 25,493 27,748
Difference (Current - Previous) -352 -306 -119
Fall 2008 36,396 22,534 26,012
Difference (Current - Previous) -545 -448 -138
Table A1 - Weekly Zonal Energy Forecast, Normal Weather, Firm Demand Scenario
Weeky Normal Energy (GWh) - Firm Demand Scenario
Week
Ending Total
Northwest Northeast East Essa Ottawa Toronto Niagara Bruce Southwest West
System
6-Jul-08 98 197 179 154 219 1,028 111 9 567 346 2,909
13-Jul-08 103 199 180 154 223 1,055 109 8 571 334 2,936
20-Jul-08 103 201 188 163 231 1,104 117 7 594 362 3,070
27-Jul-08 103 201 183 160 222 1,078 113 7 584 354 3,004
3-Aug-08 104 202 182 159 221 1,071 110 7 584 344 2,985
10-Aug-08 105 207 180 155 222 1,056 112 7 581 351 2,977
17-Aug-08 106 212 181 157 227 1,051 116 8 583 362 3,005
24-Aug-08 107 215 178 152 225 1,018 112 8 572 348 2,936
31-Aug-08 106 220 178 152 223 1,036 110 8 581 343 2,957
7-Sep-08 100 216 165 138 204 965 106 8 543 330 2,775
14-Sep-08 103 215 160 132 203 944 100 8 546 316 2,728
21-Sep-08 101 213 157 127 203 939 100 9 545 319 2,713
28-Sep-08 103 212 157 127 208 912 95 9 535 302 2,660
5-Oct-08 103 219 162 132 209 909 91 9 545 296 2,675
12-Oct-08 105 221 166 138 209 925 92 9 551 298 2,715
19-Oct-08 109 227 169 143 208 901 91 9 546 293 2,696
26-Oct-08 110 234 178 153 217 942 94 10 573 303 2,814
2-Nov-08 110 236 181 157 216 946 94 10 572 301 2,822
9-Nov-08 114 238 184 153 225 953 94 10 579 308 2,859
16-Nov-08 114 240 190 159 225 976 97 11 591 314 2,916
23-Nov-08 115 244 195 163 230 993 97 11 600 317 2,965
30-Nov-08 116 248 198 167 230 996 98 12 601 320 2,987
7-Dec-08 117 249 208 175 238 1,029 101 12 619 327 3,074
14-Dec-08 118 255 208 176 240 1,013 100 12 610 321 3,051
21-Dec-08 121 258 207 176 236 1,024 102 12 617 331 3,085
28-Dec-08 106 240 208 180 246 965 90 13 585 310 2,943
4-Jan-09 109 247 208 181 238 967 93 12 588 308 2,949
11-Jan-09 123 263 224 191 257 1,045 101 13 631 329 3,177
18-Jan-09 120 262 231 197 262 1,067 104 13 644 337 3,239
25-Jan-09 125 264 223 191 253 1,046 104 13 634 336 3,188
1-Feb-09 124 262 226 195 258 1,046 102 12 635 330 3,189
8-Feb-09 123 259 227 196 256 1,063 104 13 645 336 3,223
15-Feb-09 120 257 221 192 250 1,046 103 13 637 331 3,170
22-Feb-09 121 254 214 186 243 1,031 101 12 626 329 3,118
1-Mar-09 122 251 213 185 243 1,037 102 12 626 330 3,121
8-Mar-09 117 249 206 180 236 1,020 101 12 615 327 3,063
15-Mar-09 110 248 203 176 242 997 97 12 601 318 3,004
22-Mar-09 110 244 195 169 233 984 96 12 593 314 2,949
29-Mar-09 107 238 184 160 222 951 94 11 575 308 2,850
5-Apr-09 106 236 180 158 216 946 94 11 571 304 2,821
12-Apr-09 104 231 172 153 205 901 90 11 548 296 2,710
19-Apr-09 102 226 173 157 207 916 91 10 555 298 2,737
26-Apr-09 103 220 167 154 200 905 91 10 549 295 2,693
3-May-09 104 214 166 154 200 906 90 9 547 294 2,683
10-May-09 101 209 166 154 202 905 90 9 540 293 2,668
17-May-09 100 210 164 151 199 922 91 8 542 296 2,684
24-May-09 99 209 163 148 198 894 90 8 523 290 2,622
31-May-09 99 207 169 152 205 945 96 8 542 308 2,731
7-Jun-09 103 202 169 150 208 989 101 8 564 330 2,822
14-Jun-09 104 200 174 155 215 1,014 106 8 566 343 2,886
21-Jun-09 103 199 178 158 220 1,045 109 9 576 337 2,934
28-Jun-09 96 198 177 158 219 1,040 109 9 576 342 2,924
5-Jul-09 100 199 178 158 224 1,065 108 8 580 335 2,957
12-Jul-09 101 201 187 169 233 1,118 115 8 602 358 3,092
19-Jul-09 101 201 183 166 227 1,076 113 7 588 356 3,018
26-Jul-09 101 202 181 165 225 1,083 109 7 593 347 3,014
2-Aug-09 102 206 179 161 226 1,059 112 8 587 352 2,992
9-Aug-09 104 210 180 162 228 1,064 115 8 593 362 3,025
16-Aug-09 104 213 176 156 225 1,032 111 8 582 350 2,956
23-Aug-09 104 220 177 158 227 1,038 110 8 586 346 2,974
30-Aug-09 102 219 166 146 208 995 107 8 563 337 2,851
6-Sep-09 96 214 157 135 202 924 97 8 539 311 2,682
13-Sep-09 99 214 155 132 205 943 99 9 551 319 2,726
20-Sep-09 100 212 155 131 210 916 94 9 541 303 2,671
Table A2 - Weekly Zonal Energy Forecast, Normal Weather, Planned Demand Scenario
Weeky Normal Energy (GWh) - Planned Demand Scenario
Week
Ending Total
Northwest Northeast East Essa Ottawa Toronto Niagara Bruce Southwest West
System
6-Jul-08 96 195 178 152 218 1,022 109 8 561 340 2,880
13-Jul-08 101 197 179 152 222 1,048 107 7 565 329 2,906
20-Jul-08 101 199 187 161 230 1,097 115 7 588 356 3,041
27-Jul-08 100 199 182 158 220 1,071 111 7 578 349 2,975
3-Aug-08 102 200 181 157 220 1,064 108 7 578 338 2,956
10-Aug-08 102 205 179 154 221 1,049 111 7 574 345 2,948
17-Aug-08 104 210 180 155 226 1,045 115 7 577 356 2,977
24-Aug-08 104 213 177 151 224 1,012 110 7 566 342 2,907
31-Aug-08 103 218 177 151 222 1,030 109 8 575 336 2,928
7-Sep-08 96 214 164 137 203 959 104 7 537 323 2,745
14-Sep-08 98 213 159 130 202 938 98 8 539 310 2,695
21-Sep-08 97 211 156 126 202 933 98 8 538 312 2,680
28-Sep-08 98 210 156 125 207 906 94 8 528 295 2,627
5-Oct-08 98 218 160 130 208 903 90 8 537 288 2,639
12-Oct-08 100 220 165 136 208 919 90 8 544 290 2,680
19-Oct-08 103 225 167 141 207 895 89 9 539 285 2,660
26-Oct-08 105 232 176 151 216 936 93 9 566 296 2,780
2-Nov-08 105 234 179 155 215 940 92 9 564 292 2,784
9-Nov-08 109 236 182 151 224 947 92 9 571 299 2,820
16-Nov-08 108 237 188 157 224 969 95 10 583 305 2,877
23-Nov-08 109 242 194 161 228 986 95 10 591 308 2,925
30-Nov-08 111 246 196 165 229 989 96 11 592 311 2,947
7-Dec-08 111 247 206 171 237 1,023 99 11 611 319 3,034
14-Dec-08 112 253 206 173 238 1,006 98 11 602 313 3,012
21-Dec-08 115 256 206 172 235 1,018 100 11 608 322 3,044
28-Dec-08 100 238 207 177 245 959 89 12 577 301 2,904
4-Jan-09 103 244 205 177 236 956 91 11 578 298 2,899
11-Jan-09 117 260 221 186 254 1,030 99 12 619 317 3,114
18-Jan-09 114 259 228 193 259 1,051 102 12 632 324 3,174
25-Jan-09 118 260 220 186 249 1,030 102 12 622 323 3,122
1-Feb-09 118 258 223 190 254 1,030 99 12 623 318 3,124
8-Feb-09 117 256 224 192 253 1,048 101 12 633 323 3,157
15-Feb-09 114 254 218 188 246 1,030 100 12 624 318 3,105
22-Feb-09 115 250 212 181 240 1,016 99 11 614 316 3,053
1-Mar-09 116 248 210 181 240 1,022 100 11 614 318 3,059
8-Mar-09 111 246 203 176 232 1,005 99 11 603 315 3,001
15-Mar-09 104 244 200 171 239 982 95 11 589 305 2,940
22-Mar-09 104 240 192 165 230 969 94 11 581 303 2,890
29-Mar-09 101 234 181 156 219 937 92 11 563 297 2,792
5-Apr-09 99 232 177 154 214 932 91 10 559 290 2,758
12-Apr-09 98 227 169 148 203 887 88 10 536 282 2,647
19-Apr-09 95 222 170 153 205 902 89 9 543 283 2,672
26-Apr-09 96 216 164 149 197 891 89 9 537 282 2,630
3-May-09 98 210 162 149 197 892 88 9 535 280 2,619
10-May-09 95 205 162 150 199 892 88 8 529 279 2,606
17-May-09 93 206 160 147 197 909 89 7 530 281 2,620
24-May-09 93 206 160 144 196 880 87 8 512 276 2,561
31-May-09 93 203 166 148 202 931 93 7 532 295 2,671
7-Jun-09 96 200 162 142 202 929 94 7 533 300 2,664
14-Jun-09 97 198 165 145 206 974 98 8 552 316 2,758
21-Jun-09 98 196 170 151 213 999 103 8 554 329 2,822
28-Jun-09 97 195 173 154 217 1,029 106 8 564 323 2,866
5-Jul-09 90 194 173 154 216 1,025 106 9 564 327 2,858
12-Jul-09 95 195 174 154 221 1,050 106 8 569 321 2,893
19-Jul-09 95 197 183 164 230 1,102 112 7 591 344 3,025
26-Jul-09 95 197 178 161 224 1,060 110 7 576 342 2,951
2-Aug-09 95 198 177 160 222 1,068 107 7 581 332 2,948
9-Aug-09 97 202 175 157 223 1,044 109 7 574 337 2,925
16-Aug-09 98 206 175 157 226 1,049 112 7 580 347 2,959
23-Aug-09 98 209 171 152 222 1,017 109 7 569 335 2,891
30-Aug-09 98 216 172 153 224 1,023 107 8 573 331 2,908
6-Sep-09 96 215 162 142 205 980 105 8 550 321 2,783
13-Sep-09 90 210 152 130 200 910 94 8 526 295 2,616
20-Sep-09 93 210 151 128 202 929 96 8 538 303 2,657
Table B1 - Weekly Zonal Coincident Peak Demand Forecast, Normal Weather, Firm Demand Scenario
Hourly Coincident Peak Demand (MW) - Firm Demand Scenario
Week
Ending Total Load Forecast
Northwest Northeast East Essa Ottawa Toronto Niagara Bruce Southwest West
System Uncertainty
6-Jul-08 631 1,274 1,397 1,280 1,713 8,989 919 73 4,745 2,943 23,965 859
13-Jul-08 671 1,315 1,472 1,376 1,825 9,601 902 60 4,860 2,857 24,939 1,027
20-Jul-08 673 1,324 1,512 1,444 1,894 9,630 965 57 4,924 3,054 25,478 1,327
27-Jul-08 686 1,308 1,448 1,365 1,763 9,333 942 54 4,756 3,003 24,658 879
3-Aug-08 680 1,330 1,409 1,324 1,709 9,054 830 54 4,638 2,667 23,693 841
10-Aug-08 702 1,349 1,458 1,369 1,818 9,271 930 56 4,824 2,938 24,714 1,000
17-Aug-08 691 1,410 1,455 1,360 1,861 9,032 916 56 4,703 2,930 24,415 927
24-Aug-08 691 1,409 1,383 1,278 1,758 8,643 877 57 4,566 2,797 23,459 861
31-Aug-08 692 1,441 1,411 1,284 1,777 8,906 892 59 4,664 2,829 23,956 723
7-Sep-08 660 1,404 1,273 1,129 1,542 8,417 860 57 4,445 2,751 22,539 1,416
14-Sep-08 648 1,393 1,170 1,017 1,466 8,075 834 57 4,295 2,710 21,667 1,476
21-Sep-08 629 1,309 1,067 895 1,353 7,828 810 55 4,193 2,623 20,764 1,361
28-Sep-08 669 1,368 1,135 943 1,537 7,363 752 50 3,938 2,448 20,203 373
5-Oct-08 654 1,374 1,179 978 1,564 6,792 674 61 3,919 2,180 19,374 380
12-Oct-08 652 1,394 1,238 1,028 1,625 6,832 643 62 4,005 2,114 19,593 342
19-Oct-08 676 1,454 1,295 1,100 1,618 6,885 649 67 4,108 2,135 19,988 389
26-Oct-08 659 1,509 1,366 1,174 1,687 6,982 661 71 4,185 2,154 20,447 558
2-Nov-08 683 1,547 1,422 1,211 1,691 7,294 680 72 4,343 2,199 21,142 566
9-Nov-08 701 1,545 1,441 1,190 1,732 7,354 688 75 4,408 2,259 21,392 378
16-Nov-08 725 1,549 1,512 1,286 1,785 7,477 714 80 4,504 2,321 21,954 389
23-Nov-08 723 1,641 1,532 1,292 1,824 7,707 711 81 4,515 2,340 22,366 528
30-Nov-08 728 1,635 1,559 1,339 1,831 7,543 747 84 4,531 2,377 22,375 523
7-Dec-08 746 1,641 1,674 1,449 1,936 7,886 756 92 4,730 2,402 23,312 532
14-Dec-08 763 1,689 1,672 1,442 1,926 7,927 774 91 4,727 2,470 23,481 477
21-Dec-08 783 1,712 1,660 1,429 1,887 7,820 774 88 4,683 2,459 23,296 516
28-Dec-08 674 1,576 1,694 1,491 2,016 7,587 710 95 4,563 2,329 22,734 468
4-Jan-09 670 1,735 1,631 1,469 1,922 7,069 675 86 4,323 2,176 21,755 473
11-Jan-09 767 1,734 1,779 1,543 2,010 7,981 766 92 4,769 2,444 23,884 499
18-Jan-09 748 1,719 1,823 1,581 2,061 8,164 766 95 4,862 2,445 24,265 548
25-Jan-09 776 1,748 1,787 1,565 2,018 7,997 796 93 4,782 2,495 24,057 479
1-Feb-09 764 1,722 1,746 1,501 2,057 7,919 751 92 4,718 2,427 23,696 476
8-Feb-09 746 1,699 1,743 1,525 1,973 8,016 779 93 4,774 2,467 23,815 442
15-Feb-09 750 1,681 1,722 1,513 1,996 7,899 737 90 4,694 2,369 23,452 490
22-Feb-09 780 1,641 1,665 1,437 1,949 7,895 747 86 4,659 2,421 23,280 401
1-Mar-09 724 1,581 1,617 1,434 1,899 7,790 727 84 4,597 2,328 22,781 424
8-Mar-09 708 1,582 1,554 1,402 1,809 7,640 723 82 4,499 2,331 22,328 893
15-Mar-09 681 1,611 1,508 1,345 1,911 7,378 683 82 4,381 2,230 21,811 693
22-Mar-09 664 1,576 1,447 1,284 1,817 7,355 667 80 4,340 2,206 21,435 753
29-Mar-09 642 1,539 1,376 1,210 1,769 7,117 671 76 4,198 2,200 20,797 560
5-Apr-09 641 1,524 1,362 1,214 1,735 7,098 665 77 4,166 2,178 20,660 835
12-Apr-09 622 1,459 1,263 1,106 1,632 6,812 642 73 4,038 2,139 19,786 634
19-Apr-09 623 1,480 1,278 1,143 1,635 6,792 618 71 4,056 2,098 19,794 541
26-Apr-09 622 1,422 1,196 1,056 1,530 6,682 611 66 3,986 2,083 19,254 540
3-May-09 624 1,371 1,225 1,123 1,531 6,698 606 66 3,990 2,072 19,307 670
10-May-09 663 1,328 1,248 1,153 1,492 7,184 660 52 3,958 2,180 19,918 185
17-May-09 640 1,279 1,177 1,083 1,379 7,581 682 54 4,042 2,300 20,218 995
24-May-09 628 1,357 1,232 1,149 1,493 7,674 686 48 3,991 2,323 20,582 752
31-May-09 647 1,323 1,252 1,160 1,479 7,759 706 52 4,139 2,375 20,892 1,099
7-Jun-09 680 1,382 1,282 1,178 1,574 8,012 695 49 4,230 2,332 21,413 1,073
14-Jun-09 670 1,347 1,383 1,301 1,692 8,942 846 59 4,678 2,811 23,729 1,048
21-Jun-09 684 1,341 1,458 1,378 1,782 9,338 879 63 4,842 2,937 24,701 1,303
28-Jun-09 661 1,279 1,399 1,319 1,714 9,294 889 64 4,784 2,818 24,220 1,465
5-Jul-09 631 1,288 1,386 1,309 1,647 8,784 846 75 4,628 2,709 23,303 957
12-Jul-09 656 1,317 1,476 1,410 1,844 9,707 897 63 4,928 2,869 25,165 1,027
19-Jul-09 660 1,322 1,514 1,472 1,906 9,715 961 60 4,992 3,066 25,668 1,327
26-Jul-09 673 1,301 1,449 1,393 1,776 9,419 938 55 4,825 3,011 24,840 879
2-Aug-09 661 1,318 1,407 1,350 1,715 9,144 828 55 4,700 2,680 23,858 841
9-Aug-09 688 1,341 1,460 1,403 1,830 9,344 925 57 4,886 2,952 24,886 1,000
16-Aug-09 677 1,401 1,458 1,395 1,873 9,105 910 58 4,763 2,941 24,580 927
23-Aug-09 677 1,399 1,386 1,313 1,770 8,715 870 59 4,627 2,810 23,624 861
30-Aug-09 679 1,439 1,413 1,318 1,789 8,975 886 60 4,723 2,841 24,121 723
6-Sep-09 645 1,425 1,276 1,164 1,548 8,482 855 59 4,507 2,765 22,728 1,471
13-Sep-09 635 1,386 1,176 1,054 1,473 8,151 831 59 4,362 2,730 21,857 1,418
20-Sep-09 616 1,315 1,071 928 1,361 7,900 807 57 4,256 2,641 20,953 1,362
27-Sep-09 651 1,376 1,137 974 1,546 7,435 748 53 3,999 2,464 20,382 373
Table B2 - Weekly Zonal Coincident Peak Demand Forecast, Normal Weather, Planned Demand Scenario
Hourly Coincident Peak Demand (MW) - Planned Demand Scenario
Week
Ending Northwest Northeast East Essa Ottawa Toronto Niagara Bruce Southwest West System Zonal Total
6-Jul-08 617 1,259 1,388 1,268 1,700 8,924 906 69 4,693 2,896 23,718 851
13-Jul-08 655 1,300 1,462 1,362 1,810 9,528 890 56 4,805 2,809 24,677 1,016
20-Jul-08 658 1,310 1,502 1,432 1,880 9,563 954 54 4,871 3,008 25,232 1,314
27-Jul-08 672 1,293 1,437 1,351 1,749 9,264 929 50 4,705 2,956 24,407 870
3-Aug-08 665 1,315 1,399 1,312 1,695 8,987 819 51 4,588 2,618 23,449 832
10-Aug-08 687 1,336 1,449 1,358 1,805 9,208 920 53 4,776 2,886 24,478 991
17-Aug-08 677 1,397 1,446 1,349 1,847 8,968 907 54 4,655 2,877 24,177 918
24-Aug-08 677 1,394 1,374 1,266 1,744 8,580 865 54 4,517 2,744 23,215 852
31-Aug-08 678 1,427 1,401 1,271 1,764 8,842 880 56 4,615 2,776 23,710 716
7-Sep-08 631 1,391 1,264 1,114 1,530 8,358 850 55 4,397 2,699 22,291 1,401
14-Sep-08 616 1,380 1,162 1,003 1,454 8,015 824 53 4,242 2,654 21,403 1,458
21-Sep-08 598 1,295 1,058 879 1,340 7,764 799 52 4,140 2,567 20,491 1,343
28-Sep-08 635 1,356 1,127 929 1,526 7,305 743 46 3,884 2,391 19,942 369
5-Oct-08 627 1,362 1,172 965 1,555 6,744 664 57 3,873 2,140 19,158 376
12-Oct-08 596 1,407 1,233 1,042 1,576 6,731 633 62 4,021 2,068 19,370 338
19-Oct-08 648 1,441 1,285 1,087 1,609 6,839 639 62 4,059 2,090 19,759 384
26-Oct-08 630 1,496 1,357 1,161 1,678 6,936 650 66 4,136 2,107 20,215 552
2-Nov-08 650 1,533 1,412 1,198 1,682 7,243 669 66 4,289 2,147 20,890 559
9-Nov-08 668 1,526 1,428 1,173 1,719 7,292 672 68 4,347 2,202 21,094 372
16-Nov-08 695 1,531 1,499 1,270 1,773 7,416 699 74 4,448 2,268 21,674 384
23-Nov-08 683 1,622 1,517 1,276 1,812 7,648 694 72 4,449 2,271 22,045 520
30-Nov-08 700 1,618 1,546 1,322 1,817 7,480 734 79 4,476 2,326 22,097 516
7-Dec-08 711 1,623 1,661 1,423 1,923 7,820 741 85 4,669 2,346 23,001 525
14-Dec-08 721 1,668 1,657 1,412 1,911 7,860 756 82 4,657 2,404 23,127 470
21-Dec-08 753 1,695 1,648 1,406 1,872 7,753 762 83 4,627 2,410 23,009 510
28-Dec-08 638 1,556 1,681 1,464 2,002 7,525 693 87 4,503 2,273 22,424 462
4-Jan-09 633 1,717 1,618 1,442 1,909 7,006 660 79 4,261 2,118 21,444 467
11-Jan-09 729 1,701 1,752 1,502 1,975 7,819 747 87 4,666 2,356 23,336 487
18-Jan-09 709 1,685 1,796 1,540 2,025 7,999 747 90 4,755 2,354 23,698 536
25-Jan-09 740 1,715 1,760 1,525 1,980 7,829 779 90 4,678 2,415 23,512 468
1-Feb-09 728 1,688 1,718 1,461 2,019 7,751 732 88 4,614 2,344 23,142 465
8-Feb-09 698 1,662 1,714 1,478 1,937 7,854 756 85 4,658 2,357 23,199 430
15-Feb-09 707 1,646 1,694 1,469 1,959 7,737 715 83 4,584 2,267 22,863 478
22-Feb-09 737 1,606 1,638 1,394 1,913 7,734 725 79 4,550 2,320 22,696 391
1-Mar-09 687 1,547 1,590 1,394 1,864 7,627 709 80 4,493 2,245 22,237 414
8-Mar-09 672 1,549 1,528 1,363 1,773 7,479 705 78 4,397 2,250 21,795 872
15-Mar-09 642 1,577 1,481 1,304 1,877 7,220 664 77 4,276 2,140 21,258 675
22-Mar-09 631 1,545 1,421 1,247 1,784 7,198 650 77 4,244 2,133 20,930 735
29-Mar-09 600 1,505 1,349 1,168 1,737 6,960 651 70 4,092 2,105 20,238 545
5-Apr-09 599 1,489 1,334 1,172 1,703 6,943 644 71 4,061 2,079 20,095 812
12-Apr-09 580 1,426 1,236 1,065 1,603 6,666 623 67 3,936 2,043 19,245 616
19-Apr-09 586 1,448 1,253 1,105 1,607 6,648 601 66 3,960 2,012 19,285 528
26-Apr-09 583 1,390 1,170 1,016 1,500 6,536 593 61 3,887 1,995 18,733 526
3-May-09 586 1,338 1,199 1,084 1,502 6,553 587 61 3,893 1,983 18,786 652
10-May-09 612 1,287 1,206 1,112 1,466 7,051 643 47 3,855 2,048 19,327 179
17-May-09 587 1,237 1,135 1,041 1,352 7,446 664 49 3,935 2,160 19,606 965
24-May-09 584 1,321 1,198 1,113 1,467 7,542 669 45 3,895 2,213 20,047 733
31-May-09 596 1,280 1,208 1,118 1,452 7,624 685 47 4,035 2,240 20,286 1,067
7-Jun-09 635 1,344 1,241 1,138 1,544 7,868 673 44 4,131 2,203 20,820 1,044
14-Jun-09 627 1,309 1,343 1,262 1,661 8,791 826 56 4,578 2,692 23,145 1,022
21-Jun-09 642 1,303 1,415 1,338 1,750 9,184 858 59 4,742 2,815 24,107 1,272
28-Jun-09 622 1,241 1,353 1,276 1,675 9,116 866 61 4,677 2,692 23,578 1,426
5-Jul-09 586 1,249 1,343 1,266 1,612 8,616 825 71 4,518 2,575 22,662 930
12-Jul-09 613 1,278 1,432 1,368 1,810 9,547 873 59 4,824 2,738 24,543 1,002
19-Jul-09 616 1,283 1,462 1,428 1,869 9,535 939 57 4,877 2,933 24,998 1,292
26-Jul-09 631 1,264 1,402 1,352 1,742 9,251 918 52 4,719 2,887 24,219 857
2-Aug-09 619 1,280 1,353 1,308 1,679 8,976 803 51 4,594 2,546 23,208 818
9-Aug-09 646 1,303 1,411 1,362 1,795 9,179 904 55 4,775 2,824 24,254 975
16-Aug-09 637 1,364 1,411 1,358 1,841 8,950 892 56 4,659 2,823 23,990 905
23-Aug-09 638 1,362 1,335 1,274 1,736 8,555 850 57 4,522 2,688 23,018 839
30-Aug-09 639 1,402 1,363 1,278 1,756 8,819 865 58 4,618 2,717 23,516 705
6-Sep-09 604 1,388 1,228 1,124 1,515 8,324 836 56 4,396 2,631 22,102 1,431
13-Sep-09 592 1,349 1,130 1,016 1,444 8,005 813 56 4,252 2,598 21,252 1,378
20-Sep-09 575 1,278 1,025 890 1,330 7,750 789 55 4,146 2,511 20,348 1,323
27-Sep-09 605 1,338 1,089 932 1,515 7,282 727 48 3,882 2,317 19,736 362
Table C1 - Energy Analytical Factors
Factors Affecting Daily Energy Demand
Variable Impact On Daily Energy
Variable Change in Variable
Class Demand (MWh)
Weather Daily Avg Temperature
> 16º C 1ºC Increase 8,160 MWh Increase
10ºC > and 16º C 1ºC Increase 2,970 MWh Increase
10ºC > and 16º C 1ºC Increase 450 MW Increase
10ºC > and 16º C 1ºC Increase 160 MW Increase
10ºC > and < 16º C 1ºC Increase 40 MW Increase
< 10ºC 1ºC Decrease 40 MW Increase
Wind
Summer 1 km/hr Decrease 14 MW Increase
Winter 1 km/hr Increase 10 MW Increase
Cloud
Summer Decrease of 1 on Scale 110 MW Increase
Winter Increase of 1 on Scale 70 MW Increase
Economic Employment Increase of 1,000 jobs 0.2 MW Increase
Housing Stock Increase of 1,000 houses 0.3 MW Increase
Calendar Holidays New Year's Day 2,800 MW Decrease
Good Friday 2,100 MW Decrease
Victoria Day 2,400 MW Decrease
Canada Day 1,700 MW Decrease
August Civic Holiday 1,600 MW Decrease
Labour Day 2,100 MW Decrease
Thanksgiving Day 2,500 MW Decrease
Remembrance Day 400 MW Decrease
Christmas 4,400 MW Decrease
Boxing Day 3,600 MW Decrease
New Year's Eve 600 MW Decrease
Day of Week Monday vs Sunday 2,100 MW Increase
Tuesday vs Sunday 2,000 MW Increase
Wednesday vs Sunday 2,100 MW Increase
Thursday vs Sunday 2,000 MW Increase
Friday vs Sunday 1,700 MW Increase
Saturday vs Sunday 100 MW Increase