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AFFIDAVIT
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IN THE HIGH COURT OF SOUTH AFRICA

(TRANSVAAL PROVINCIAL DIVISION)





In the matter between





TREATMENT ACTION CAMPAIGN AND OTHERS Applicants





MINISTER OF HEALTH AND OTHERS Respondents









AFFIDAVIT: PROFESOR ROBIN WOOD









I, the undersigned





ROBIN WOOD





hereby make oath and state as follows:





1. I previously deposed to an affidavit in this matter.





2. The facts deposed to in this affidavit are again within my personal

knowledge except where I indicate otherwise. To the extent that I

rely on information supplied by others, I believe that such

information is true and correct.

2





3. I have read the affidavits of Dr Ayanda Ntsaluba, Dr Princess

Nothemba Simelela, Dr Jonathan Levin and Dr Philip Chukwuka

Onyebujoh and respond to these affidavits to the extent that they

deal with scientific and clinical matters pertaining to the reduction

and prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV.





HIV/AIDS EPIDEMIOLOGY





4. Dr Ntsaluba (ad paras 19 and 45) and Dr Simelela (ad para 76)

admit that HIV constitutes “a major public health problem” but they

apparently dispute the relevance of the evidence in the antenatal-

survey. This survey (also attached by the Respondents) illustrates

that at least 2.5 million women aged 15-49 have HIV. The majority

of the women are of reproductive age and will benefit from

counseling, testing, advice on HIV and reproductive health,

nutritional supplements, the provision of antiretroviral medicines

such as Nevirapine to reduce mother-to-child HIV transmission,

advice on breastfeeding and formula feed where appropriate.





5. As a clinician specialist working in the public sector, it is my

opinion the facts contained in paragraph 11 of my original affidavit

are relevant because an MTCT prevention programme including

the use of Nevirapine is a health intervention needed by millions of

women with HIV and their future offspring.





6. I disagree with the negative constructions of certain of the

deponents for the Respondents regarding the safety, efficacy and

3





resistance of a single dose Nevirapine for the reduction of mother-

to-child HIV transmission, for the reasons set out below.





NEVIRAPINE SAFETY





7. There is no medicine which does not have possible adverse

effects. For example, I attach (RW 18) a package insert for

Panado, a well-known medicine which can be bought over the

counter in supermarkets, without prescription, to deal with fevers

and pains. The list of possible adverse effects speaks for itself.





8. In deciding whether a medicine is safe, the question is therefore

not whether a medicine has possible adverse side-effects. The

question is the likelihood and severity of those side-effects.

Regard must obviously also be had to the seriousness of the

condition which it treats.





9. The World Health Organisation (WHO) unequivocally states in its

recommendations that antiretrovirals such as Nevirapine are safe

to use in mothers and infants to reduce intrapartum mother-to-child

HIV transmission. On the “Safety of ARV prophylactic regimens” it

says: “Conclusion: The WHO Technical Consultation concluded

that benefit of these drugs in reducing mother-to-child HIV

transmission greatly outweighs any potential adverse effects of

drug exposure. “ This is contained at page 215 (RW17) of my

orginal affidavit.

4





10. Dr Simelela was a party to this consensus statement. Neither

she nor Dr Ntsaluba has produced any evidence to the contrary.





11. In her comment on the WHO Consensus statement, Dr

Simelela misrepresents the position in her affidavit at paragraph

113.5. She denies that the WHO Cunsultation considered the

safety of Nevirapine for MTCT prevention. “The WHO was

concerned with antiretroviral drugs in general and not only with

Nevirapine. None of the clinical trials referred to by WHO in the

paragraphs addressing safety of antiretroviral prophylactic

regimens include trials where Nevirapine was used. The

conclusion by the WHO Technical Consultation on safety does not

apply, and cannot be applied, to Nevirapine. …” (emphasis added)

This is not a mistake by Dr Simelela because she also refers to it

in paragraphs 113.1 to 113.4.





12. Where the WHO statement concludes: “Short-term safety and

tolerance of the effective antiretroviral prophylactic regimens has

been demonstrated in all the controlled clinical trials,1-4,6-8,10-12

while collection of long-term safety data is ongoing”, it does in fact

include Nevirapine. The following studies that address the use

and safety of Nevirapine in clinical trials are referred to and

prominently footnoted in the WHO statement:





12.1. Endnote 10: Owor M et al “The one year safety and

5





efficacy data of the HIVNET 012 trial” 13th AIDS

Conference, Durban South Africa 9-14 July 2000.

Abstract LbOr1





12.2. Endnote 11: McIntyre J. et al “Evaluation of the safety of

two simple regimens for prevention of mother-to-child

transmission (MTCT) of HIV infection: Nevirapine (NVP)

versus zidovudine (ZVD) + lamivudine (3TC) in prevention

of peripartum HIV transmission, Abstract LbOr2, 13th

International AIDS Conference, Durban, South Africa, 9-

14 July 2000.





12.3. Endnote 8: Moodley, D et al The SAINT Trial: Nevirapine

(NVP) versus zidovudine (ZVD) + lamivudine (3TC) in

prevention of peripartum HIV transmission, Abstract

LbOr2, 13th International AIDS Conference, Durban,

South Africa, 9-14 July 20





12.4. Endnote 7: Guay L et al “Intrapartum and neonatal single

dose nevirapine compared with zidovudine for prevention

of mother to child transmission of HIV-1 in Kampala,

Uganda: HIVNET 012 randomized trial” Lancet 1999;

354:795-802.





13. The HIVNET results by Owor et al concluded that the “Study

results continue to indicate that a single dose of NVP given to

HIV+ women in labor and to the newborn within 72 h of birth was

6





safe and significantly reduced mother-to-child HIV transmission

rate compared with a short course AZT regimen in a breast

feeding population.”





14. Even although the Respondents (through Dr Levin) have

disputed the efficacy of Nevirapine in the SAINT Study, they have

not questioned the safety data of that study.





15. In a report on the SAINT study, Dr. Glenda Gray concluded

that: “Both NVP and ZDV+3TC regimens were safe and well-

tolerated and equally effective. She reports that “all potentially

drug-related adverse events were rashes”. Of the 661 women

enrolled for the study, only 7 or 1.2% had rashes. Only one

woman had a rash that lasted 25 days. Of 649 infants 13 or 2.1%

had rashes. Of these only “two infants had rash after NVP, one

day after the dose.” (RW19)





16. Dr Simelela herself acknowledges the efficacy and safety of

Nevirapine at paragraph 29 of her affidavit, where she states:

“Although the WHO technical consultation concluded that “the

implementation of the ARV drug regimens (including Nevirapine)

could be recommended for general implementation; the WHO

recommendations only relate to the efficacy and safety issues of

the drugs, but do not relate to the operational and implementation

issues.”

7





17. Background papers for the WHO Consultation were prepared

by experts, and were presented in plenary sessions and discussed

in groups at the Consultation. They included a paper by Dr. Lynne

Mofenson (National Institute of Health, USA) and Dr. Paula

Munderi (UN AIDS, Geneva) on “Safety of Antiretroviral

Prophylaxis of Perinatal Transmission on HIV-Infected Pregnant

Women and Their Infants” (RW20)





18. This paper shows that Nevirapine safety was discussed, and it

contains the following conclusion: “The Data and Safety

Monitoring Board interim review of 869 mother/infant pairs in the

study conducted earlier this year [2000] identified no safety

concerns, with no significant difference identified between

nevirapine and placebo groups in terms of rash, clinical,

hematologic or liver toxicity in either women or infants.” Safety in

women in the SAINT and HIVNET 012 was confirmed: “No woman

receiving nevirapine had hepatic toxicity in either study; rash

occurred in less than 2% of women in both studies and was non-

serious in all cases. (Mofenson and Munderi page 17).





19. In fact, the evidence presented by Dr Ntsaluba and Dr Simelela

indicates that NVP is safe to use as long-term treatment in infants

and children.





20. The Medicines Control Council approved package insert states

the following: “Paediatric Patients: Safety has been assessed in

361 HIV-1 infected paediatric patients between the ages of 3 days

8





to 19 years. … The most frequently reported adverse events

related to Viramune [NVP] were similar to those observed in

adults.”





21. Dr Ntsaluba misrepresents facts presented in my original

affidavit at paragraphs 24-26 and in the founding affidavit by

Siphokazi Mthathi at paragraph 72-74. There I drew attention to

serious potentially life-threatening adverse effects seen in a

minority of patients who use NVP as long-term chronic medication

in association with other antiretroviral agents. Together with the

MCC, the WHO and other agencies nationally and internationally, I

differentiate between long-term treatment and a single once-off

dose with NVP.





22. However, Dr Ntsaluba confuses the adverse effects of long-

term treatment with prevention by a single-dose of NVP. At

paragraph 56.3 of his affidavit he says: “Furthermore, even though

the risk/benefit ratio of Nevirapine as an anti-retroviral agent has

been found to be in favour of continued use of Nevirapine, serious

safety issues have been picked up after registration of Nevirapine

not only in South Africa but all over the world. … Although these

undesirable effects are worse with prolonged use of Nevirapine,

some of them especially skin reactions have the potential to occur

with the first exposure to and the short-term use of Nevirapine in

MTCT of the HIV.” (emphasis added)

9





23. Later, Dr Ntsaluba repeats this allegation and says: “Thus far,

serious safety issues pertaining to the use of Nevirapine have

emerged, for example serious localised and systematic skin

reactions, for example the Steven Johnson Syndrome,

Anaphylaxis and Hepatitis. Although these problems are more of

a risk with the continued use of Nevirapine, they are also likely to

occur with short-term use of that medicine, for example in order to

treat MTCT of HIV.” (excerpted from para 110.1.1)





24. From the letter of the manufacturer of Nevirapine, Boehringer

Ingelheim attached to Dr Ntsaluba’s affidavit (“AN8” pages 923-4),

it is evident that the MCC and the manufacturer understand the

severe adverse reaction to refer to treatment with Nevirapine as a

chronic medication. For instance, it refers to the “first 8 weeks of

therapy” with Nevirapine as the “critical period”. It is of course

common cause that NVP used to reduce mother-to-child HIV

transmission relies on a single dose to the mother and a single

dose to the infant.





25. Scientific logic would suggest that if a medicine is considered

safe for long-term daily use, a single once-off dose would be much

safer. That must be one of the reasons why the MCC endorsed

the claim on the package insert that: “Pregnancy and lactation:

The safety of Viramune [NVP] in pregnant or lactating women

except when used as a single dose during labour has not been

established.”

10





26. A similarly pragmatic and cautious approach is followed by the

Respondents in their pilot research and training sites. At page

1397-1398 and elsewhere in the affidavit of Dr Simelela, an

informed consent form is attached. This form is used to counsel

patients who participate in the government “research sites”. It

reads: “There are side effects that can be expected from taking

many tablets of Nevirapine. These are skin rash, fever, nausea,

headache and abnormal liver functions tests. In this programme,

you will receive only one tablet, and these side-effects have not

been commonly reported for one dose.” (1397)





27. In fact, as Mofenson and Munderi show, apart from non-serious

rash, Nevirapine did not cause any adverse reactions when used

to reduce mother-to-child HIV transmission.





28. There can be no other scientific conclusion than to say that the

MCC registered Nevirapine because on all the available evidence,

it is safe to use for the reduction in risk of intrapartum transmission

of HIV-1 from mother to child in patients who have been tested for

HIV and appropriately counseled.





EFFICACY OF NEVIRAPINE





29. In my previous affidavit, I expressed the opinion that the

efficacy of Nevirapine to reduce mother-to-child HIV transmission

during labour and at birth was established by two clinical trials,

HIVNET 012 in Uganda and the SAINT trial in South Africa. I

11





endorsed the statements of Ms Mthathi at paragraphs 57-71 of the

her affidavit in this matter.





30. Dr Ntsaluba agrees that Nevirapine is effective. He says: “It is

further noteworthy that Nevirapine has been proven to be effective

in intrapartum transmission of HIV-1. It has only been approved

and licenced for this reason. Thus, Nevirapine does not address

the other aspects of a comprehensive programme of prevention of

MTCT of HIV.” (para 56.4)





31. I agree with Dr Ntsaluba’s conclusion that Nevirapine is

effective in reducing mtct HIV transmission intrapartum. However,

I add that Nevirapine is also approved for the chronic treatment of

HIV-1 in adults and children by the MCC.





32. Dr Levin is of the same opinion. He states: “The efficacy of

intrapartum and neonatal single dose Nevirapine (NVP) in the

prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) of the HIV

was established by the HIVNET 012 randomised trial in Uganda.”

He repeats this and states that: “HIVNET 012 provides conclusive

evidence of the efficacy of Nevirapine.” (para 7)





33. In November 2000, the National Steering Committee of the

South African Programme for PMTCT, chaired by Dr Simelela,

prepared its protocol for the research and training sites. That

document states: “The use of antiretroviral therapy to reduce

mother to child transmission of HIV has become the standard

12





treatment in developed countries. Recent results showing that the

use of both short course AZT and single dose Nevirapine

administered in labor to the mother and a dose to the infant can

reduce transmission has led to recommendations for the

widespread introduction of antiretroviral interventions for this

strategy in developing countries, in parallel with the provision of

replacement feeds. “ It continues further: “There is enough

evidence to support the efficacy of antiretroviral drugs in the

reduction of HIV transmission from mothers to infants.” (pages

1265 and 1266 Simelela annexures)





34. “General efficacy of Nevirapine not in doubt. Clinical

effectiveness not the key objective of the pilot programme. “ This

statement is made in a Department of Health presentation entitled

“Developing a research framework for the National Pilot

Programme for Prevention of Mother to Child Transmission of HIV”

on 4th June 2001. It appears at page 1181 as an annexure to Dr

Simelela’s affidavit.





35. Dr Levin agrees that HIVNET012 showed that Nevirapine

reduces intrapartum transmission by 47%, but only after a 6 to 8

week period. He further states "it could be argued from a public

health point of view that the month 20 result is more relevant than

the 14-16 result."(para 7) Dr Levin ultimately concludes that: "NVP

does reduce MTCT, but probably considerably less than the

relative reduction of 50% as claimed by the Applicants." Dr Levin

has conflated separate two interventions as I will explain below:

13









35.1. Nevirapine is effective for intrapartum transmission

prevention and does reduce mother-to-child transmission

by almost 50% with alternative feeding during the first

weeks of life; and





35.2. Transmissions that occur post-partum are almost entirely

due to breastmilk transmission. This can lead to

significant reversals. The reversal can be reduced with

the parallel provision of alternative feeds.





36. Dr Ntsaluba acknowledges the WHO Consultation Consensus

“that the long-term efficacy of short-term Nevirapine regimens has

been demonstrated by infant status through 12-24 months.” (para

90.1)





37. Dr Levin (either in his capacity as a member of the MCC or

some other capacity) has had access to SAINT data that is not in

the public domain, and that he has not attached to his affidavit.

He analyses the SAINT data and concludes that this trial cannot

provide any “statistically” relevant evidence that Nevirapine is

effective. Without access to this data, I cannot comment

intelligently on his analysis. If the data is made available, I will be

able to express a professional opinion on it.





38. However, regardless of whether the SAINT study provides this

evidence, I believe that it is indisputable (and apparently common

14





cause) the HIVNET 012 study has prove the evidence of efficacy

for reducing or preventing intrapartum transmission of HIV..





NEVIRAPINE RESISTANCE





39. The detection of a Nevirapine-resistant strain of HIV after a

single dose in a minority of mothers and infants concerned every

public health expert. Evidence from the different clinical trials

showed however that every mother and infant who had resistant

virus reverted to wild-type virus, thus allaying the concerns of

public health experts. Therefore, the WHO Technical Consultation

concluded that: “the benefit of decreasing mother-to-child HIV

transmission with these antiretroviral drug prophylaxis regimes

greatly outweighs concerns related to development of drug

resistance”.





40. The WHO Consultation agreed the following:

“Selection of resistant viral populations

Selection for pre-existing resistant viral populations or

development of new mutations may occur with all antiretroviral

drugs or drug regimens that do not fully suppress viral

replication. However, this is more likely to rapidly occur with

drugs in which a single mutation is associated with

development of drug resistance; such drugs include 3TC (with

and without concomitant ZDV treatment) and Nevirapine.22-24

Virus containing drug resistant mutations decreases in amount

once antiretroviral drug prophylaxis is discontinued, and wild

type virus dominates.25 However, the mutant virus may remain

present in an individual at very low levels.

15





 This could decrease antiviral effectiveness of future

treatment with antiretroviral regimens that contain the same

drug, or drugs within the same class, as that used for

prophylaxis.

 It is unknown if such low-level drug resistance would affect

the efficacy of the antiretroviral prophylaxis regimen if used

in a subsequent pregnancy.

 There is currently no evidence that drug-resistant viruses are

more transmissible than non-resistant viruses.

 There are currently no data to indicate that drug-resistant

viruses are more virulent than non-resistant viruses.

Conclusion: The WHO Technical Consultation concluded that

the benefit of decreasing mother–to-child HIV transmission with

these antiretroviral drug prophylaxis regimens greatly

outweighs concerns related to development of drug resistance.

(page 215-216 of record).



41. Dr Ntsaluba and Dr Simelela repeatedly exaggerate the

scientific and public health impact of Nevirapine-resistant virus.

They use descriptions such as “catastrophic consequences”,

“devastating”, “potentially catastrophic for public health”. There is

no evidence of such impact or potential impact. If there had been,

the WHO would not have made the recommendations which it did.





42. The MCC has requested that the manufacturer of Nevirapine

monitor the emergence of resistant virus. This is sensible and a

step I would support.





43. Dr Simelela states that “as part of the research and training

programme the First to the Ninth Respondents have undertaken a

prospective study of the selection of resistant variants of HIV-1

following the use of intrapartum and post-partum Nevirapine

16





therapy.” The plan is annexed as “NS6” and can be found at page

1131 of the Respondents’ papers. This plan is commendable.





44. The scientists and clinicians involved in this study state the

following in Annexure NS6 (1131-1144):





44.1. HIV is genetically variable. It replicates at a very high rate:

viral turnover in an infected individual is approximately 10

billion viral particles per day.





44.2. The replication process is inaccurate and even without

drugs it results in the generation of multiple variants of the

original (“wild type”) strain.





44.3. Drug pressure exposes HIV to intense selective pressure.

Viral strains that have “reduced susceptibility” to the drug

“have a reproductive advantage and replicate”. Drug

sensitive strains decrease.





44.4. When the viral population is no longer exposed to the

antiretroviral (e.g. if therapy is halted), “wild type” strains

become dominant again.





44.5. “Virus containing drug resistant mutations decreases in

amount once antiretroviral drug prophylaxis is

discontinued, and wild type virus dominates”.

17





44.6. Persistent Nevirapine resistant variants of HIV were not

found in any of the women who received the drug as part

of a mother-to-child programme.





44.7. Drug resistant HIV virus was not circulating in HIV-

infected drug naïve women attending the ante-natal clinic

at Chris Hani Baragwanath Hospital.





44.8. The Respondents’ study will only involve 200 women.





45. These expert opinions are at variance with the claims of Dr

Ntsaluba and Dr Simelela.





46. I reiterate that there is a much greater public health danger in

denying pregnant women and their infants Nevirapine, than in

mass-scale provision.





47. I have read the expert affidavit of Dr. Pierre Schoeman and

agree with its analysis and conclusions.





BREASTFEEDING





48. Reversals of all mother-to-child HIV prevention interventions

occur in a breastfeeding population.





49. In my previous affidavit, I said: “HIV can be transmitted from

mother-to-child through breastmilk. Alternative feeding options

18





such as formula feed reduce this risk. Since 1992, it has been

recommended that where feasible, women be counseled to

formula feed. However, breastfeeding is the cheapest and

nutritionally most desirable way to feed infants. In poor

communities women often do not have access to clean water or

high-cost formula feed. In all contexts, women should be given the

clear information to make informed choices and provided with

formula feed when she chooses alternative feeding. “





50. It is a tragedy that almost a decade after these facts were

known, no systematic programme exists to ensure that safe

alternatives to breastfeeding exist for women with HIV/AIDS, even

leaving aside the question of an antiretroviral intervention.





51. Women and their infants must be given a choice on feeding

options that will promote their rights to healthcare and life.





OPERATIONAL CONCERNS





52. I appreciate the operational concerns faced by the

Respondents’. After all, I am an employee in the public sector with

expertise in developing programmes on Infectious Diseases.





53. Because of its low cost; its proven safety and efficacy; and its

relative ease of use, I believe that Nevirapine provides the public

sector with an ideal opportunity to create the requisite

19





infrastructure to use more complex regimens that will eliminate

paediatric HIV infections.





54. There are no easy answers to operational challenges. I urge

the Respondents to adopt a two-fold incremental approach to

create the capacity and operational conditions for such

comprehensive programme:





54.1. First, adopt an incremental approach, that allows doctors

and other health-care professionals to prescribe and

administer Nevirapine anywhere in the public sector

where capacity exists to counsel and where patients have

given informed consent. This can be promoted in a clear

policy guideline that does not undermine the Essential

Drug List or impact negatively on the fiscus. It is only an

interim solution.





54.2. Second, I urge the Respondents to plan and implement a

comprehensive programme that will deal with among

others the following:





54.2.1. A programme and budget for the training of health

care professionals;





54.2.2. A programme and budget for the training and

provision of counselors for VCT;

20





54.2.3. A programme and budget for HIV testing;





54.2.4. A programme and budget to provide the nutritional

supplements needed by pregnant women with

HIV/AIDS;





54.2.5. A programme for the acquisition of the dosages of

Nevirapine needed for women and their new-born

infants (currently available for free);





54.2.6. A programme and budget for the formula feed

needed by women who choose this alternative.

This could also include a plan to reduce the cost of

formula feed;





54.2.7. A programme and budget for appropriate

infrastructural support, such as modification of

buildings and storage facilities; and





54.2.8. Appropriate managerial training, monitoring and

evaluation of the programme.





I do not say that all of these things can be done instantly throughout

our country. They plainly can not. But if our country is going to deal

with the HIV/AIDS crisis, we have to get on with planning and

implementing a comprehensive programme of this kind without

further delay. What distresses me most, as a clinician who deals

21





every day with the consequences of this epidemic, is that we still do

not even have a decision to plan and implement such a programme,

let alone the programme itself. This is leading and will continue to

lead to avoidable human suffering and death, on a vast scale.





CONCLUSION



55. In my professional opinion antiretroviral therapy, such as

Nevirapine or AZT, for use in the prevention of mother-to-child

transmission of HIV, significantly reduces the risk of HIV

transmission from mother to child; nothing which has been said on

behalf of the Respondents have changed my opinion.





56. The provision of Nevirapine is safe for both mother and infant;

and it is a critical public health care measure that enhances the

choices of all women of reproductive age.





57. The use of Nevirapine for this indication is simple, cheap and

consistent with the latest recommendations of international health

authorities.





58. To prevent mother-to-child transmission of HIV, the a package

that includes voluntary counseling and testing, antiretroviral

therapy such as Nevirapine, and the option of using formula milk is

an essential public health measure.

22









______________________________

ROBIN WOOD





I CERTIFY THAT THE DEPONENT HAS ACKNOWLEDGED THAT HE KNOWS AND

UNDERSTANDS THE CONTENTS OF THIS AFFIDAVIT WHICH WAS SIGNED AND

SWORN TO BEFORE ME AT CAPE TOWN ON THIS ----- DAY OF NOVEMBER 2001

AND THAT HE HAS NO OBJECTION TO TAKING THE PRESCRIBED OATH AND

CONSIDERS SAME TO BE BINDING ON HIS CONSCIENCE.





______________________

COMMISSIONER OF OATHS


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