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Trade_War

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Domestic demand and Excess demand and

supply in Home (the supply (the world

importing country). market).







Parameters of Home's

domestic supply.









Parameters of Home's

domestic demand.









Tariff level in Home (use

the spinner to control).









Equilibrium prices and

quantities in Home in

autarky.







Equilibrium prices and

quantities in Home with

free trade.







Equilibrium prices and

quantities in Home with

the tariff in place.







Difference in surplus for

Welfare levels for Home Home relative to free

in autarky. trade (gain/loss from

intervention).









Welfare levels for Welfare levels for Home

Home with free trade. Difference in surplus for with tariff in place.

Home relative to

Home with free trade. Difference in surplus for

Home relative to

autarky (gains from

trade).

cess demand and Domestic demand and

upply (the world supply in Foreign (the

market). exporting country).









Parameters of Foreign's

domestic demand.









Export tax level in

Foreign (use the spinner

to control).









Parameters of Foreign's

domestic supply.









Equilibrium prices and

quantities in Foreign in

autarky.







Equilibrium prices and

quantities in Foreign

with free trade.





Equilibrium prices and

quantities in Foreign

with the export tax in

place.



ence in surplus for

e relative to free Welfare levels for

e (gain/loss from Foreign (same as for

ntervention). Home).







els for Home

Simulation of the Effect of a Trade



Domestic Demand Domestic Supply Free Trade Price

Free Trade Price Trade War Price Excess Demand

500 500







400 400







300 300

Price









Price

200 200







100 100







0 0

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0 50 100

Quantity







Home Steel Market



Inverse Demand Inverse Supply

Intercept 500.0 Intercept 50.0

Slope -2.0 Slope 2.0

Tariff ($) 0.0 #



Home Autarky Equilibrium



Price 275.0 Consumer Surplus 12656.3

Quantity Demanded 112.5 Producer Surplus 12656.3

Quantity Supplied 112.5 Govt Revenue 0.0

Imports 0.0 Total Surplus 25312.5



Home Free Trade Equilibrium



Price 220.0 Consumer Surplus 19600.0 6943.8

Quantity Demanded 140.0 Producer Surplus 7225.0 -5431.3

Quantity Supplied 85.0 Govt Revenue 0.0 0.0

Imports 55.0 Total Surplus 26825.0 1512.5



Home Trade War Equilibrium



Price 220.0 Consumer Surplus 19600.0 0.0

Quantity Demanded 140.0 Producer Surplus 7225.0 0.0

Quantity Supplied 85.0 Govt Revenue 0.0 0.0

Imports 55.0 Total Surplus 26825.0 0.0

lation of the Effect of a Trade War



Free Trade Price Trade War Price Domestic Demand Domestic Supply



Excess Demand Excess Supply Free Trade Price Trade War Price

500







400







300







Price 200







100







0

100 150 200 250 300 0 50 100 150 200 250 300

Quantity Quantity







Foreign Steel Market



Inverse Demand Inverse Supply

Intercept 250.0 Intercept 10.0

Slope -2.0 Slope 3.0

Export Tax ($) 0.0 #



Foreign Autarky Equilibrium



Price 154.0 Consumer Surplus 2304.0

Quantity Demanded 48.0 Producer Surplus 3456.0

Quantity Supplied 48.0 Govt Revenue 0.0

Exports 0.0 Total Surplus 5760.0



Foreign Free Trade Equilibrium



Price 220.0 Consumer Surplus 225.0 -2079.0

Quantity Demanded 15.0 Producer Surplus 7350.0 3894.0

Quantity Supplied 70.0 Govt Revenue 0.0 0.0

Exports 55.0 Total Surplus 7575.0 1815.0



Foreign Trade War Equilibrium



Price 220.0 Consumer Surplus 225.0 0.0

Quantity Demanded 15.0 Producer Surplus 7350.0 0.0

Quantity Supplied 70.0 Govt Revenue 0.0 0.0

Exports 55.0 Total Surplus 7575.0 0.0

Exercises



1. Large Country and Optimal Tariffs

The large country tariff argument is one of the oldest arguments for protection. As Home increases its tariff (use

the spinner next to cell D31), the world price falls and total surplus rises. In effect, Home exploits its monopsony

power to extract a lower price from Foreign. But this process cannot continue forever, Home is still limited by

Foreign's willingness to supply. As you increase the tariff, keep a close eye on total surplus in Home. Eventually

its rate of increase will slow, and then it will fall. When you find the tariff that maximizes total surplus, you have

determined the 'optimal' tariff. Points to note: 1) Tariff revenue will still be increasing at the optimal tariff. Can

you find the revenue maximizing tariff? It must be larger than the optimal tariff. 2) The optimal tariff depends on

the elasticity of foreign supply. Try decreasing the slope of the Foreign supply curve (cell P30). What happens to

the optimal tariff of Home? You should find that the optimal tariff is smaller. The reason is that the elasticity of



2. Trade Wars and Retaliation

A trade war can be simulated in which the countries alternately impose optimal tariffs (export taxes) on each

other, taking the intervention imposed by the other country as given. Start by finding the optimal tariff for

Home. Now find the optimal Foreign response, leaving the original intervention in place. Since welfare increases,

it is in Foreign's interest to respond to the original tariff. Once Foreign does respond, what is the best option for

Home? Perhaps surprisingly, it is in Home's best interest to lower its original tariff. After a few rounds, we reach

a point where neither country can move without lowering total surplus. This is a Nash equilibrium. Points to

note: 1) Total surplus is lower for both countries at the end of the war relative to free trade. For some

configurations of demand and supply it is possible that one country may be better off, but not both. 2) The



3. Countervailing Export Subsidies

The sheet can handle subsidies too, which are just negative taxes. Consider an export subsidy imposed by

Foreign (a negative value in cell M31). What are the consequences? For Foreign the export subsidy forces the

world price down, in addition to introducing a deadweight loss. Home on the other hand experiences a net

welfare gain from its improved terms of trade. How should Home respond? From a net welfare perspective they

should do nothing, but domestic producers are hurt. Under WTO rules, Home can apply a countervailing duty

equal to the value of the export subsidy. To simulate this put a tariff of the same magnitude as the export

subsidy (it will be a positive value) in cell D31. What is the net result? The free trade world prices are restored -



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