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Edited Composite 2009 reg scorecard DOT Credit Assistance Surface Transportation 2105-AD70_0

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11/24/2011
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Regulatory Scoring

Agency:

DOT

Rule title:

Credit Assistance for Surface Transportation Projects

RIN

2105-AD70 RIA No

Stage Publication Date

Proposed 1/21/2009

Rule summary:

Recent changes to the Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act (TIFIA) statute require

changes in the TIFIA rule. In addition, the DOT has gained substantial administrative experience since the

TIFIA rule was last amended in 2000. The DOT proposes to amend the TIFIA rule to implement the recent

statutory changes and to incorporate certain other changes to the rule that it considers will improve the

efficiency of the program and its usefulness to borrowers. In addition, the DOT seeks comment on policy

issues with potentially significant impact on the TIFIA project selection process.

Openness Score Comments

1. How easily were the RIA, the proposed rule, and any supplementary

materials found online? 3 1A

2. How verifiable are the data used in the analysis? 3 1B

3. How verifiable are the models and assumptions used in the analysis? 2 1C

4. Was the Regulatory Impact Analysis comprehensible to an informed

layperson? 3 1D



Total Openness (Sum of 1-4) 11



Analysis Score Comments

5. How well does the analysis identify the desired outcomes and demonstrate

that the regulation will achieve them? 2 2A



6. How well does the analysis identify and demonstrate the existence of a

market failure or other systemic problem the regulation is supposed to solve? 1 2B

7. How well does the analysis assess the effectiveness of alternative

approaches? 1 2C

8. How well does the analysis assess costs and benefits? 1 2D



Total Analysis (Sum of 5-8) 5



Use Score Comments

9. Does the proposed rule or the RIA present evidence that the agency used

the Regulatory Impact Analysis? 0 3A

10. Did the agency maximize net benefits or explain why it chose another

alternative? 0 3B

11. Does the proposed rule establish measures and goals that can be used

to track the regulation’s results in the future? 0 3C



12. Did the agency indicate what data it will use to assess the regulation’s

performance in the future and establish provisions for doing so? 1 3D



Total Use (Sum of 9-12) 1



Total Score 17

Rule Title RIN Openness

Agency Pub Date RIA separate? Total (G+H+J) Analysis

2105-AD70 DOT 1/21/2009 No

Credit Assistance for Surface Transportation Projects 17 11 5

Quality (G+H) Use 1 2 3 45 5A 5B

16 1 3 3 2 3 2 4 2

5C 5D 5E 6 6A 6B 6C 6D 7

2 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1

7A 7B 7C 7D 8 8A 8B 8C 8D

2 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 0

8E 8F 8G 8H 8I 9 10 11 12

0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1

Openness (Accessible, Data and Models Verifiable, and Comprehensible)

Crirerion Score Com. No. Comment

RIN 2105-AD70 can be found on

regulations.gov using the RIN and a

keyword search. The Department of

1. How easily were the RIA , Transportation's website includes links to

regulations.gov and the Transportation

the proposed rule, and any Equity Act for the 21st Century but is not

supplementary materials updated to include a direct link to this

found online? 3 1 particular rule.

Few data are used; there are no

projections of the future costs or benefits

of the program, the proposed changes,

2. How verifiable are the data or alternatives. Data cited are sourced

used in the analysis? 3 2 and linked.



Very few models/assumptions are used

due to the paucity of analysis. A few

authoritative sources are cited on the cost

of transportation delay and the economic

benefits of transportation investments. On

the otehr hand, there are no descriptoins

of, or citations to, specific studies that

show how the TIFLA program can

3. How verifiable are the specifically "reduce congestion, increase

models and assumptions mobility, improve safety and enhance the

used in the analysis? 2 3 environment and economic growth."

4. Was the analysis

comprehensible to an The document is relatively readable, but

informed layperson? 3 4 there is very little analysis to read.

Analysis (Outcomes, Systemic Problem, Alternatives, Benefit-Cost)

Criterion Score Com. No. Comment







5. How well does the

analysis identify the desired

outcomes and demonstrate

that the regulation will

achieve them? 2

New investment in transportation and the economic

productivity gains result from efficient

Does the analysis clearly

transportation investments. It also identifies

identify ultimate outcomes spillover benefits, "such as reduced pollution,

that affect citizens’ quality of increased safety, improved international

life? 4 5A competitiveness, and enhanced accessibility."





The proposal hints at some potential measures.

The RIA cites a September 2003 study which

estimated that average annual returns on highway

investment of approximately 14 percent between

1990 and 2000. The DOT's continued research on

highway capital investment for the 2000–2005

shows positive returns but lower than the

1990–2000 time period. Further, the RIA includes

figures describing traffic congestion patterns. DOT

currently assigns scores to projects based on their

perceived ability to generate various benefits. This

Does the analysis identify information is used for project selection, not to

how these outcomes are to measure the benefits the projects actually produce.

be measured? 2 5B No discussion of direct measurement of outcomes.

The proposal would expand eligibility to smaller

Does the analysis provide a projects, broaden categories of eligible projects,

and make a number of changes intended to

coherent and testable theory

simplify and clarify the program. So presumably it

showing how the regulation would produce more of the stated benefits by

will produce the desired making more projects eligible, but the proposal

outcomes? 2 5C does not explicitly say this.

Does the analysis present No empirical demonstration of how the program

credible empirical support for has produced outcomes in the past or will produce

the theory? 0 5D them in the future.

Does the analysis

adequately assess

uncertainty about the

outcomes? 0 5E No relevant discussion.

6. How well does the

analysis identify and

demonstrate the existence of

a market failure or other

systemic problem the

regulation is supposed to

solve? 1



The RIA does not specifically mention that a

market failure or other systemic problem exists in

the provision of credit assistance to surface

transportation assistance. The analysis would

need to start by explaining how the Transportation

Equity Act for the 21st Century (TEA-21), which

established TIFLA, solves a systemic problem.

The proposed rule says TIFLA could fill "market

gaps," thereby leveraging additional capital from

private markets. No specific explanation for why

Does the analysis identify a federal intervention would help develop the nation's

market failure or other economy and attract new investment capital better

systemic problem? 1 6A than private efforts is given.

The RIA states that the TIFLA program was

established to provide fractional credit assistance

to major transportation infastructure projects that

Does the analysis outline a have the potential of generating substantial

coherent and testable theory economic benefits both regionally and nationally.

The problem is merely asserted, and even then

that explains why the

only by implication—since the program seeks to

problem (associated with the make some projests happen that would not

outcome above) is systemic otherwise happen, it must be solving a systemic

rather than anecdotal? 1 6B problem.

The proposal cites some research suggesting that

Does the analysis present transportation delays are costly, but does not really

credible empirical support for relate these facts to the need for this particular

the theory? 0 6C program or the proposed changes.

Does the analysis

adequately assess

uncertainty about the

existence or size of the

problem? 0 6D No relevant discussion.

7. How well does the

analysis assess the

effectiveness of alternative

approaches? 1

Neither the proposal nor the analysis consider

alternatives to the major pieces of the proposal.

Does the analysis enumerate The proposal solicits comment on two alternative

other alternatives to address ways of incorporating benefit-cost analysis into

the problem? 2 7A project selection decisions.

Is the range of alternatives

considered narrow (e.g.,

some exemptions to a

regulation) or broad (e.g.,

performance-based

regulation vs. command and

control, market mechanisms,

nonbinding guidance,

information disclosure,

addressing any government

failures that caused the Virtually no alternatives are considered; the two

original problem)? 2 7B DOT seeks comment on are small variations.

Does the analysis evaluate

how alternative approaches

would affect the amount of

the outcome achieved? 0 7C There are no calculation of outcomes at all.

Does the analysis

adequately address the

baseline? That is, what the

state of the world is likely to

There is no description of what the state of private

be in the absence of federal sector capital investment would be like without the

intervention not just now but help of TIFLA itself or the proposed changes to

in the future? 0 7D TIFLA is given.

8. How well does the

analysis assess costs and

benefits? 1



The Paperwork Reduction Act section states that

DOT has never received 10 or more applications

for Federal Credit Assistance per year. The

analysis notes that this program has provided $4.8

billion in credit assistance at a subsidy cost to the

government of $346 million. Total amounts of

congressional authorizations are mentioned, but

Does the analysis identify

there is no breakdown into costs already incurred

and quantify incremental vs. costs that will be incurred in the future. There is

costs of all alternatives no calculation of projected future costs, or how

considered? 1 8A costs will change as a result of the rule changes.



Does the analysis identify all

expenditures likely to arise

as a result of the regulation? 0 8B See above.

The proposal mentions that DOT currently charges

the Treasury interest rate on all loans, and inquires

whether DOT should adopt risk-based pricing. The

analysis mentions that "transportation

improvements lead to increased productivity and

economic growth through improving access to

Does the analysis identify

goods and services for businesses and indivduals"

how the regulation would but gives no explicit explanation of how federal

likely affect the prices of efforts via TIFLA will improve the flow of goods or

goods and services? 2 8C what effect that will have on their prices.



Does the analysis examine

costs that stem from

changes in human behavior

as consumers and producers

respond to the regulation? 0 8D No relevant discussion.



If costs are uncertain, does

the analysis present a range

of estimates and/or perform

a sensitivity analysis? 0 8E No relevant discussion.

Does the analysis identify

the alternative that

maximizes net benefits? 0 8F Neither benefits nor costs are calculated.



Does the analysis identify

the cost-effectiveness of

each alternative considered? 0 8G Neither benefits nor costs are calculated.



The analysis notes that the "proposed regulation

would affect only those entities that elect to apply

for TIFIA assistance and are selected to receive a

Federal credit instrument. It would not impose any

direct costs on non-participants." Loan subsidy

costs are clearly borne by federal taxpayers. The

proposal notes that the federal government only

Does the analysis identify all

provides partial funding so that the private sector

parties who would bear costs has to put up the rest of the money. A few statistics

and assess the incidence of are cited, but there is really no systematic analysis

costs? 2 8H of cost incidence.

The analysis mentions spillover benefits, which

may yield financial and nonfinancial benefits, sucha

s reduced pollution, incresed safety, improved

Does the analysis identify all

international cmpetitiveness and enhanced

parties who would receive accessibility. No discussion of the incidence of

benefits and assess the these benefits is given.

incidence of benefits? 1 8I

Use

Criterion Score Com. No. Comment

9. Does the proposed rule or

the RIA present evidence

that the agency used the

analysis? 0 9 There is no analysis to use.



10. Did the agency maximize

net benefits or explain why it Net benefits are not calculated, and there is really

chose another alternative? 0 10 no analysis to use.

11. Does the proposed rule

establish measures and

goals that can be used to No goals/measures are specified, and there is no

track the regulation's results analysis that could be used to establish goals and

in the future? 0 11 measures.



The analysis notes that DOT must submit

biannually a report to Congress on the financial

performance of the projects this program funds.

One of the main proposed changes to the TIFLA

project selection process is the use of benefit-

cost analysis in selecting projects for TIFLA

12. Did the agency indicate Assistance. If implemented, benefit-cost analysis

what data it will use to could "maximize the rate of return on Federal

runds invested in transportation projects," as

assess the regulation's

stated in the proposed rule. Other changes could

performance in the future very well be used to asses the regulation's future

and establish provisions for performance but the analysis gives no discussion

doing so? 1 12 of how that might happen.



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