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VOTING

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VOTING
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Chapter 9 : VOTING

Elections with 2 alternatives

Suppose we poll the class to see whether you prefer the pizza at Domino‟s or Pizza Hut. How should we

determine the winner? This is called majority rule.



E.g. If there are 49 voters, how many are needed to constitute a majority? ___________________________



E.g. If there are 50 voters, how many are needed to constitute a majority? ___________________________





Elections with more than 2 alternatives

Suppose we poll the class to see whether you prefer the pizza at Domino‟s, Pizza Hut, Papa John‟s,

Godfather‟s or Little Caesars. Suppose there are 55 students who vote as follows:

Domino‟s 18 Little Caesars 9

Papa John‟s 12 Godfather‟s 6

Pizza Hut 10



A. The plurality method says to take the option with the most votes. This would be _____________.



B. But often elections require a majority of candidates to favor the winning option. If this is the case, we

could have a runoff between the Domino‟s and Papa John‟s. To do this, we would need to know how

those who voted for Pizza Hut, Godfather‟s and Little Caesars rank the top two finishers. Suppose we ask

for even more information. We ask each of the 55 voters to rank all 5 chains in order of preference.



After gathering all 55 rankings we see that many of the voters turned in the same ranking. In fact, there

are only six distinct rankings:



18 votes 12 votes 10 votes 9 votes 4 votes 2 votes

1st Domino‟s Papa John‟s Pizza Hut Little Caesars Godfather‟s Godfather‟s

2nd Little Caesars Godfather‟s Papa John‟s Pizza Hut Papa John‟s Pizza Hut

3rd Godfather‟s Little Caesars Godfather‟s Godfather‟s Little Caesars Little Caesars

4th Pizza Hut Pizza Hut Little Caesars Papa John‟s Pizza Hut Papa John‟s

5th Papa John‟s Domino‟s Domino‟s Domino‟s Domino‟s Domino‟s

Each of the five rankings above is called a preference list (or preference schedule).

In a two-way runoff between Domino‟s and Papa John‟s,

Domino‟s votes = _______________________________________________________________

Papa John‟s votes = _______________________________________________________________





So ____________________ would win. (On a test, show who makes runoff and vote totals in runoff.)



So we see the methods of plurality and plurality with runoff yield different winners. In the plurality with

runoff method, if an alternative receives a majority of the first place votes, that alternative wins without a

runoff.



C. HARE SYSTEM: Suppose instead of eliminating all but the top two finishers, we eliminate one alternative

at a time until we are left with a winner. The contender eliminated at each stage is the one with the fewest

first place votes.



First stage: Godfather‟s is eliminated by virtue of having the fewest (6) first place votes. Since Godfather‟s

is no longer an option, we revise our preference list to exclude it.





MGF1107 (FIU) Page 1 of 8

The second and fifth columns are now the same so we combine them into a single preference list with 16

votes.

18 votes 16 votes 10 votes 9 votes 2 votes

st

1 Domino‟s Papa John‟s Pizza Hut Little Caesars Pizza Hut

2nd Little Caesars Little Caesars Papa John‟s Pizza Hut Little Caesars

3rd Pizza Hut Pizza Hut Little Caesars Papa John‟s Papa John‟s

th

4 Papa John‟s Domino‟s Domino‟s Domino‟s Domino‟s

Now we again eliminate the alternative with the fewest first place votes: this time Little Caesars. The last

three columns are now identical so we combine them into a single preference list with 21 votes

18 votes 16 votes 21 votes

1st Domino‟s Papa John‟s Pizza Hut

2nd Pizza Hut Pizza Hut Papa John‟s

3rd Papa John‟s Domino‟s Domino‟s

Papa John‟s now has the fewest first place votes and is eliminated. The last two columns now become

the same leaving us with:

18 votes 37 votes

1st Domino‟s Pizza Hut

2nd Pizza Hut Dominos

So Pizza Hut wins. This is called the Hare System. (See Prof. Rosenthal‟s web site for biographical

information on Thomas Hare.) If there are only 3 alternatives in an election, the Hare System is the same

as Plurality with runoff.

.

D. BORDA COUNT METHOD: Here is another way we will study to determine the winner of our election.

Suppose we assign 4 points for each first place vote, 3 points for each second place vote, 2 points for

each third place vote, one point for each fourth place vote, and no points for each last place vote. Then

we total the points and the candidate with the most votes wins.

Domino‟s: ___________________________________________________________________

Little Caesars: ___________________________________________________________________

Papa John‟s: ___________________________________________________________________

Pizza Hut: ___________________________________________________________________

Godfather‟s: ___________________________________________________________________

So _________________ is the winner. This procedure is called the Borda Count method and sports

fans may recognize it as the method the Associated Press uses for ranking college football teams. (See

Prof. Rosenthal‟s web site for biographical information on Jean-Charles de Borda.) It is also used to choose

the winner of the Heisman Trophy, the Country Music Vocalist of the Year and in many hiring decisions.



E. SEQUENTIAL PAIRWISE VOTING: The final method we will study pairs up two contenders in a head-to-

head comparison and eliminates the loser. It then pairs the winner with the next contender and keeps

repeating the process until all but one option is eliminated. For example, let‟s start by comparing Domino‟s

with Little Caesars. The winner will then face Papa John‟s, and that winner will then face Pizza Hut. Finally,

the survivor goes against Godfather‟s.

Little Caesars vs Domino:

Little Caesars vs. Papa John‟s:

Little Caesars vs. Pizza Hut:

Little Caesars vs. Godfather‟s:

So _______________________ is the winner using the method called sequential pairwise voting.

Hopefully, you are now convinced that the voting system used is crucial to determining the winner. We

have applied five different voting systems to our election and gotten five different winners! In sequential

pairwise voting, the order in which we consider the five alternatives is called an agenda. The agenda we

just considered is D, LC, PJ, PH, G (which is the same as the agenda LC, D, PJ, PH, G). We will always



MGF1107 (FIU) Page 2 of 8

list agendas horizontally to avoid confusing them with preference lists, which we will continue to list

vertically.



Examples depicting problems, paradoxes and desirable properties:

A. Condorcet winner:: Let‟s repeat the problem using the agenda PJ, G, D, PH, LC:

Solution: Godfather‟s vs. Papa John‟s: _____________

Godfather‟s vs. Domino‟s: _____________

Godfather‟s vs. Pizza Hut: _____________

Godfather‟s vs. Little Ceasars: _____________

This agenda shows that ________________ will win regardless of the agenda we use. When one

alternative beats every other alternative in head-to-head votes, that alternative is called the Condorcet

winner. (See Prof. Rosenthal‟s web site for biographical information on Marquis de Condorcet,

pronounced KON-door-say.) Not every election has a Condorcet winner, but when a Condorcet winner

occurs, that alternative would win under sequential pairwise voting.



B. Example: Sequential pairwise voting arises naturally in the legislative process. When the U.S. House of

Representatives considers a bill, an amendment to the bill can be offered. Two votes are then taken. The

first vote is whether to accept the amendment. If accepted, the second vote is between the amended bill

and no bill at all. If the amendment is defeated, the second vote is between the original bill and no bill at

all. In 1956 the House was considering a bill that would provide federal funding for the construction of

schools. An amendment was offered that would only provide the federal funding to states with integrated

school systems. The House could more or less be divided into three groups: Republicans, northern

Democrats, and southern Democrats. The Republicans generally opposed federal aid, but favored

integration. So their first choice was no bill, but they preferred the amended bill to the original bill.

Northern Democrats favored the federal aid and integration so their first choice was the amended bill, but

preferred the original bill to no bill. Southern Democrats, who came from states with segregated school

systems, wanted the aid, but abhorred the amendment. The three preference lists looked like this (with

the breakdown of Democrats an estimate):

Republicans (203) Northern Democrats (116) Southern Democrats (116)

1. No bill 1. Amended bill 1. Original bill

2. Amended bill 2. Original bill 2. No bill

3. Original bill 3. No bill 3. Amended bill

What was the outcome of the two votes?

Solution: On the vote on the amended bill vs. the original bill, __________________________________

______________________________________________. On the vote between the amended bill and no

bill, _____________________________________________________________________________.

What would have happened if no amendment had been introduced? _____________________________

Of what significance is this? Say you were a Republican and through polling done by your staff, you were

aware of the preference lists above. You could introduce the amendment, even though it is not truly your

first preference, to sway the outcome your way. Or, if you were a northern Democrat and were aware of

the preference lists, you would not introduce the amendment even though it is your first choice because it

would lead to your least preferred outcome!

C. Example: Is there a Condorcet winner in this election?

Solution: _________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________

________________________________________________________________________

D. Condorcet Paradox: Since no alternative wins every pairwise match up, there is no Condorcet winner. In

mathematics, if a > b, and b > c, we can conclude that a > c. This is called the transitive property of

MGF1107 (FIU) Page 3 of 8

inequality. One might think that the same holds true for voting. In fact, while we assume it is true for

individual preferences, is it true for society? Namely: If A is preferred to B and B is preferred to C, then A

would be preferred to C. The last example shows us this is not true. A paradox is a conclusion that is

counterintuitive. The fact that voting preferences are not transitive is called Condorcet’s voting paradox.



E. Pareto Condition: The three members of FIU‟s Student Entertainment Committee vote on which of four

movies will be shown in the Graham Center that week. The alternatives are Star Wars (SW), Dances with

Wolves (DW), Pearl Harbor (PH), and Jurassic Park (JP). The preference lists are as follows:

Juan Maria Sally

1. SW 1. JP 1. DW

2. DW 2. SW 2. PH

3. PH 3. DW 3. JP

4. JP 4. PH 4. SW



Use sequential pairwise voting with the following agendas:

a) PH, JP, DW, SW b) DW, SW, PH, JP c) JP, SW, DW, PH d) SW, DW, JP, PH



Solution: a) ________ b) ________ c) ________ d) ________



This example illustrates that the agenda used can often determine the winner in sequential pairwise

voting. In general, the later you bring up an item in an agenda, the better its chance of winning. The last

agenda we used shows another troubling characteristic of sequential pairwise voting. Pearl Harbor won

although every voter preferred Dances with Wolves to Pearl Harbor.



Here is our first desirable property of a voting system:

The Pareto Condition: If every voter prefers alternative A to alternative B, then alternative

B should not be the winner.



(See Prof. Rosenthal‟s web site for biographical information on Vilfredo Pareto, pronounced pare-ETT-o.)

Sequential pairwise voting does not satisfy the Pareto condition.



F. Condorcet Winner Criterion: A college has just received a donation of $1,000,000 with the only condition

being that it is all used for the same purpose. At a meeting of the Board of Trustees, four possible uses

are proposed: increasing financial aid (IFA), construction (C), increasing salaries (IS), and hiring new

faculty (HNF). The 26 trustees have the following preferences:

8 votes 5 votes 6 votes 7 votes

IFA C IS HNF

C IS C C

IS HNF HNF IS

HNF IFA IFA IFA

Which alternative prevails under the plurality method? Solution:_IFA with 8 votes



Recall we said earlier that a Condorcet winner is an alternative that beats every other winner in head-to-

head competition. Although, not every election has a Condorcet winner, this one does and it is

Construction. Here is our second desirable property of a voting system:



The Condorcet winner criterion: Either there is no Condorcet winner or, if there is, the

Condorcet winner wins the election.



Our example shows that Plurality voting does not satisfy the Condorcet winner criterion.









MGF1107 (FIU) Page 4 of 8

G. Monotonicity: Three candidates run for president of the local chapter of their labor union. There are 100

voters with the following preference lists:

38 votes 30 votes 25 votes 7 votes

A C B B

B A C A

C B A C

The voting method is plurality with runoff. Who wins?



Solution: A wins with 68 votes.



Suppose, in her acceptance speech, A announces a change in one of her positions. This causes the 7 voters

in the last column to now prefer A to B. The first and last columns being the same, we combine them.

45 votes 30 votes 25 votes

A C B

B A C

C B A

Who would win now with the same voting method? A and C make the runoff.



Solution: C wins with 55 votes.



Here is our third desirable property of a voting system:



Monotonicity: If an election is held in which alternative A is the winner, and a second

ballot is held after a change that is favorable only to A, then A is still the winner.

Even though A won the first ballot, and the only change made was favorable to A, A now loses!



The method of plurality with runoff does not satisfy monotonicity. In mathematics, the word monotonic

generally means “same direction.” Our example showed plurality with runoff is not monotonic because

when A‟s vote went up, A‟s final ranking went down.



H. Majority Criterion:: The five members of a city commission have to determine where to build a new

baseball stadium. There are three proposed sites: next to the park (P), along the river (R), and at the

intersection (I) of the two main thoroughfares. The preference lists are:

3 votes 2 votes

P R

R I

I P

A Borda count is used. Who wins?

Solution: P: 2(3) + 0 = 6

R: 2(2) + 1(3) = 7

I: 1(2) = 2

So the River with 7 points is the winner. Do you have an objection to this outcome? (The park received

a majority of the votes and didn‟t win.)

Here is our fourth desirable property of a voting system:

Majority criterion: If an alternative receives a majority of the first-place votes, then

that alternative should win.



The Borda Count does not always satisfy the majority criterion.







MGF1107 (FIU) Page 5 of 8

I. Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA): The Hare system was used by the International Olympic

Committee to choose the site of the 2000 Summer Olympic games. Eighty-eight voters took part in the

election that was won by Sydney, Australia. Suppose 88 voters have the following preference lists:



44 votes 22 votes 22 votes

Beijing Istanbul Manchester

Istanbul Manchester Istanbul

Manchester Beijing Beijing

Who wins under the Hare system?



Solution: Beijing wins with 44 votes

Suppose Manchester and Istanbul are switched on the last preference list. Who wins now under the Hare

system?

Solution: The preference lists now look like: 44 votes 44 votes

Beijing Istanbul

Istanbul Manchester

Manchester Beijing

Now the Hare system yields a tie. Here Istanbul went from losing to a tie even though no voter reversed

his or her ranking of Istanbul and Beijing. Here is our fifth desirable property of a voting system:

Independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA): If alternative A goes from being a

loser of an election to one of the winners of a new election, then at least one voter

had to reverse his or her ranking of A and the first winner.



The Hare system does not satisfy IIA. An irrelevant alternative refers to non-winning alternatives.

Independence means „not affected by.” So IIA means the outcome should not be affected by a change

involving non-winners.



J. Arrow‟s Impossibility Theorem: So each of the five voting methods we have studied has at least one

shortcoming. That raises the question: Is there a voting system that possesses all of the desirable

properties? In 1951, economist Kenneth Arrow proved that the answer to this question is no. This result,

known as Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem, was one of the reasons he won the Nobel Prize in Economics in

1972. (See my web site for biographical information on Arrow.) One of the reasons that Arrow‟s Theorem

is true is that it is very hard to satisfy IIA. In fact, none of the voting systems we have studied satisfy IIA.



Mathematical problem involving Borda Count and Condorcet: Consider the following preference lists:

12 votes 10 votes 8 votes x votes

A B C C

D D B D

C A D B

B C A A

A. Find all values of x that make D the Borda count winner but not the Condorcet winner. X x > 14

D vs. A: _______________________ D vs. B: __________________________________________

D vs. C: ________________________

Final answer: x = 1 , 2, 3, 4, 5, 15



MGF1107 (FIU) Page 6 of 8

B. In an election with 5 alternatives and 20 voters, what is the sum of the Borda points?

Solution: (4 + 3 + 2 +1 +0)20 = (10)(20) = 200

Explain why certain methods satisfy certain conditions:

A. Plurality vs. Pareto Condition: In a few sentences, explain why plurality with runoff satisfies the Pareto

condition. Any time you are asked to show that a voting system satisfies the Pareto condition, you will

start your answer by assuming everyone prefers A to B. Then you will have to explain why B can‟t win.



Solution: Assume that everyone prefers A to B. B cannot have any first place votes; therefore, B

cannot make the runoff. Thus, B cannot win.



B. Borda vs. Monotonicity: In a few sentences, explain why the Borda count satisfies monotonicity.

Any time you are asked to show that a voting system satisfies monotonicity, start by assuming A wins.

make one change, moving A above a losing alternative. Then explain why this losing alternative still

loses.



Solution: Suppose A is a winner under Borda count. Suppose the only change is that one voter

puts A above B. This will increase A’s points and decrease B’s. All other alternatives remain the

same. So A still wins.



Strategic or Insincere Voting: Suppose 100 voters are asked to rank 3 football teams: Miami (UM), Florida

State (FSU), and Nebraska (N). Here are the preference lists:

52 votes 38 votes 10 votes

UM FSU N

FSU UM FSU

N N UM



Who wins using a Borda count?



Solution: UM: 2(52) + 1(38) +0 = 142

FSU: ___________________________________________________________________

N: ___________________________________________________________________

Suppose the 38 voters in the middle decide to vote against their true beliefs and flip UM and N. Now who

wins using the Borda count?



Solution: UM: ___________________________________________________________________

FSU: ___________________________________________________________________

N: ___________________________________________________________________

This is an example of strategic (or insincere) voting. By voting in a manner different to their true beliefs, the

voters who favored FSU were able to manipulate the voting so that their team won. Sincere voting is when all

voters vote according to their actual preferences. Insincere voters can manipulate all of the voting methods we

have studied.



Approval Voting: Arrow proved that there is no perfect voting system. That doesn‟t mean that there might

not be better ones. Some political scientists are advocating approval voting. Rather than ranking the

candidates, voters may vote for as many alternatives as they wish. For every candidate, the voter either marks

yes, he or she approves of the candidate or no, he or she does not approve of the candidate. The candidate

with the most yes votes wins.



MGF1107 (FIU) Page 7 of 8

A. Example: Six candidates (A, B, C, D, E, and F) are competing for a spot on the board of directors of a

company. The current nine members each vote for as many candidates as they wish using approval

voting. An X indicates a vote of approval.



A X X X X X X

B X X X

C X X

D X X

E X X X X X X X X

F X X

Which candidate gets the vacant board seat?



Solution: ____________________________________________________________________________



B. Discussion: Approval voting is most effective in races with many candidates. For that reason, some

political scientists advocate approval voting for presidential primaries. They feel voters are more likely to

vote when the decision to be made is easier. Expressing whether or not you approve of a candidate is

often simpler than having to rank candidates. Ranking candidates requires more extensive knowledge on

the part of the voter, knowledge voters are often lacking. An advantage of approval voting is that it usually

results in a winner acceptable to a large proportion of the electorate. A disadvantage is that it doesn‟t

allow the voter to distinguish between enthusiastic support for a candidate and grudging approval.



C. Example: The Baseball Writers Association of America polls its membership each year to elect new

members to the baseball Hall of Fame. In 1999, 497 writers cast a ballot. Writers can vote for as many

players as they feel are deserving of enshrinement. To be elected, a player must be listed on at least 75% of

the ballots. Here are the top six finishers in the 1999 balloting along with the number of votes each

received.

Nolan Ryan 491

George Brett 488

Robin Yount 385

Carlton Fisk 330

Tony Perez 302

Gary Carter 168

a) Which ones were elected to the Hall?

b) What percent of voters who did not vote for Carter would have had to change and vote for him in order

for Carter to be elected?



Solution: a) __________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________________



b) __________________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________________









MGF1107 (FIU) Page 8 of 8


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