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Building a SEM Organization

as a Data Driven Consultant

Jay W. Goff,

Vice Provost and Dean for Enrollment Management

Missouri University of Science & Technology

ACAP Annual Conference, Memphis, TN

March 16, 2009

OVERVIEW

• SEM Primer & Positioning: the In-House Consultant

(IHC) Performance Paradigm

• Environmental Scan

• SEM Strategies

• Implementing the IHC SEM Platform with the Entire

Campus

• Preparing to be an IHC SEM professional

• Creating the SEM Plan with the IHC positioning

perspective

Learn More about SEM &

Effective Retention Strategies

• Retention 2009: An International

Conference on Student Retention

May 27-29, 2009, New Orleans, LA

www.educationalpolicy.org

• SEM: AACRAO‘s 19th annual Strategic

Enrollment Management Conference

November 9-11, 2009, Dallas, TX

www.aacrao.org/sem19

The only person who likes

change is a wet baby.



Attributed to Mark Twain

Can‘t Talk about Change

without mentioning Friedman!

What is SEM?

• Strategic Enrollment Management (SEM) is defined

as ―a comprehensive process designed to help an

institution achieve and maintain the optimum

recruitment, retention, and graduation rates of

students where ‗optimum‘ is designed within the

academic context of the institution. As such, SEM is

an institution-wide process that embraces virtually

every aspect of an institution‘s function and culture.‖

Michael Dolence, AACRAO SEM 2001

• Research

• Recruitment

• Retention

The External Environment in which Colleges

and Universities Operate is Changing Quickly



•Dramatic changes in student markets.

•Public expectations for a wide variety of high

quality student services.

•Greater needs for an institution-wide

understanding of how to best react to the

emerging student trends, needs and markets.

Today’s Enrollment Manager

• ―Successful senior enrollment managers

have to operate simultaneously on multiple

levels. They need to be up to date, even

on the cutting edge of technology,

marketing, recruitment, the latest campus

practices to enhance student persistence,

and financial aid practices.‖



SOURCE: THE ENROLLMENT MANAGEMENT REVIEW Volume 23, Issue 1 Fall, 2007, Editor: Don Hossler

Associate Editors: Larry Hoezee and Dan Rogalski

Hossler continued

• ―(Enrollment Managers) need to be able to

guide and use research to inform

institutional practices and strategies.

Successful enrollment managers need to be

good leaders, managers, and strategic thinkers.

• They have to have a thorough understanding of

the institutions where they work and a realistic

assessment of the competitive position in which

it resides and the niche within which it can

realistically aspire to compete. Furthermore, to

be effective, enrollment managers must also

have a sense of how public, societal, and

competitive forces are likely to move enrollment-

related policies and practices in the future.‖

SOURCE: THE ENROLLMENT MANAGEMENT REVIEW Volume 23, Issue 1 Fall, 2007, Editor: Don Hossler Associate Editors: Larry Hoezee and Dan Rogalski

Embracing Consulting Expectations

Similarities between external consultants and current expectations of

SEM professionals is only one step in embracing the IHC approach.



• Both Structure and Orientation are important



• Philosophical orientation (e.g., administrative, student

focused, academic, or market-centered) can impact how

the SEM units operate



• Due to the manner in which universities actually work,

neither structure nor orientation fully optimizes the SEM

units‘ impact on the overall function of the university if

the POSITIONING of SEM processes and its leaders are

not commonly appreciated and valued.

Rolla, Missouri

―The Middle of Everywhere‖

What is Missouri S&T?

• A Top 50 Technological Research University

• 6100 students: 4700 Undergrad, 1400 Graduate

• 90% majoring in Engineering, Science, Comp. Sci.

• Ave. Student ACT/SAT: upper 10% in nation

• +60% of Freshmen from upper 20% of HS class

• 20% Out of State Enrollment

• 96% 5 Year Average Placement Rate within 3

months of Grad

• Ave. Starting Salary in 2007: +$53,000

SEM in ACTION:

Why Change the University Name?









“Missouri S&T will better define the university as a leading technological

research university. We believe the new name will help to differentiate this

university in a highly competitive university market and provide a national

competitive advantage.”

Dr. John F. Carney, III

Missouri S&T Chancellor

7 Years of Strategic and Dramatic Changes

January 1, 2008 University Name Change

2007 Academic Reorganization by Eliminating Schools and Colleges

2003 and 2007 Updated the Mission, Vision and Strategic plans.

2004 Office of Technology Transfer and Economic Development

2001 to 2005 New Student and Business Information Systems

2002, 2004 & 2007 Three New Homepages and Platforms

2003 Student Diversity Initiative

The new goals resulted in three new units and champions:

» Student Diversity Programs,

» Women’s Leadership Institute

» Center for Pre-College Programs.

2002 New School of Management and Information Sciences

2002 Center for Education Research and Teaching Innovation (CERTI)

2002 - 2006 12 NEW Degree Programs and 19 Certificate Programs,

128 hour limited for BS Engineering Degrees

2001 Administrative Restructuring and

Formal Enrollment Management Program

» Enrollment Management,

» Distance and Continuing Education

» Research and Sponsored Programs

SEM at Missouri S&T

2001-2009



RECORD GROWTH DECLINING INTEREST

70000



65000



60000



55000



50000



45000



40000









1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

“Succeeding while Swimming Against the Tide”

Total Enrollment 2000 - 2008

38% Total Enrollment Growth: 2000: 4626, 2008: 6371

33% Undergraduate Growth: 1,214 Additional Students

57% Graduate Growth: 531 Additional Students



6000









1459

1414

1343

1289

5000



1370







1287

1391

1127

928









4000



Graduate Students



3000 Undergraduate Students









4912

4753

4515

4313

4120

4089

3849

3756

3698









2000







1000







0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008



Since 2004: 60% of growth due to increased retention

49

Fall 2008

1 5 Legend

7 2

21 2 40 or more students

4

3 15

16 12 10 - 39 students

1

2 15 RI

26 11 5 1 - 9 students

43

5 21

1 430 14 2 No students

22 16 5 DC 2

58 4,433

124 17

16

9

23

21

54 61

2 6 Total Enrollment

11 19 16

115

9 » 47 states & 51 nations

3

12

» 70% Missouri residents

» 10% minority students

» 9% international students

Enrollment Diversity

35% increase in Female Students

86% increase in Minority Students

1419

1391

1,400

1,326

1,248 Total Minorities, Non-

1,224

1,200 1,209 Caucasian US Citizens

1,133 Female

1,097

1,000 1,050

Axis Title









800

655



641

600 600

542

508

483

456

400 414

377





200

200



200



200



200



200



200



200



200



200

0



1



2



3



4



5



6



7



8

Missouri S&T: 90% Engineering, Science, & Computing Majors

21st in Nation for Largest Undergraduate Engineering Enrollment (Prism 2008)

23rd in Nation for Number of BS Engineering Degrees Granted (Prism 2009)

Fall 2008 All Students by Academic Field

Undergraduate Demographics

• Average Age: 21.6 years old • From a Community 5%



45000









40000

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Number 63653 66475 67764 64571 64937 63329 63601 65329 65776 61648 54175 52194 51445 48438 45049 42738 43198









SOURCE: ACT EIS 2008

Missouri’s 2008 Student Funnel

for All Engineering Fields

• High School Senior : 72,467

• High School Graduates: 61,752

• ACT Testers/College Bound: 47,240

• Any Engineering Interest (all testers): 1,768

• Any Engineering Interest, (+21 testers): 1,256

(21 = MO average score / 50%)

• Engineering Interest, +24 comp. score: 961

(24 = UM minimum for auto admission)

• Missouri S&T Freshmen Engineering

Enrollees: 681



SOURCES: MODESE 2009, ACT EIS 2008, PeopleSoft

Minimal Markets for Female & Minority Engineers

Missouri‘s 2008 ACT Tested Seniors, +24 ACT and

Interested in Engineering

• High School Senior Cohort: 72,467

• High School Graduates: 61,752

• All Engineering Interest, +24 comp. score: 961

(24 = UM minimum for auto admission)



• Female Engineering, +24 comp. score: 176

• African-Amer Engineering, +24 comp. score: 21

• Asian-Amer Engineering, +24 comp. score: 25

• Native Amer Engineering, +24 comp. score: 7

• Hispanic Engineering, +24 comp. score: 24

SOURCE: US Dept. of Education 2005

#1 Question:



How did you do it?

Silver Bullet



OR









Strike of Lightening?

Strategic Enrollment Management Plan

2007-2011

• Increase Success of Students

– Retention Rates

– Graduation Rates

• Increase College Going Rate & Access

1. Access & Affordability

2. Pipeline of College Ready Students

3. Strategic Partnerships

4. Outreach/Education

5. Scholarships

• Expanding Current Markets & Capturing New Markets

1. Out-of-state students

2. Transfer Students

3. Female Students

4. Underrepresented Minority Students

5. International Students

6. Graduate Students

7. Nontraditional Students

Total Enrollment 2000 - 2008

38% Total Enrollment Growth: 2000: 4626, 2008: 6371

33% Undergraduate Growth: 1,214 Additional Students

57% Graduate Growth: 531 Additional Students



6000









1459

1414

1343

1289

5000





1370









1287

1391

1127

928









4000









4912

4753

4515

Graduate Students

3000

Undergraduate Students





4313

4120

4089

3849

3756

3698









2000









1000









0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

We Learned About Our Students

• Average Age: 21.8 years old • From a Community <40,000: 53%

• Gender: • Average Family Income: $73,000 USD

– 23% Female

– 77% Male • Average Indebtedness at Graduation:

– $21,000 USD approx.

• First Generation College Students:

– 2005-06: 37% • High Financial Need (Pell qualifier): 24%



• Residency: • Freshmen with Credit Cards:

– Missouri Residents: 76% – 24%

– Out-State Students: 22% – 6 arrive with over $1000 USD

– International: 2% standing balance



• Ethnicity: • Students with PCs:

– African-American: 4% – 94%

– Asian-American: 3% – +70% laptops

– Caucasian: 83% – 9% Macs

– Hispanic: 2% • Students with Cell Phones

– Native-American: 1% – 97%

– Non-resident, International: 2%

– Not Disclosed: 5%

PROMOTE OUTCOMES: Starting Salaries

Undergraduate Graduate

2003 $ 47,305 $ 52,744



2004 $ 46,567 $ 52,945



2005 $ 49,181 $ 53,042



2006 $ 51,059 $ 58,120



2007 $ 53,669 $ 62,751



2008 $ 55,975 $ 63,640

10 Core Recruitment Changes

1. Creation of Data and Market Driven Strategic Plan

2. Assigning Executive Officers to be in Charge of Enrollment, Recruitment,

Retention, and Student Assessment

3. Embracing an Integrated Branding Program and New Communication

Series focusing on Outcomes and Fun, without reinforcing science and

engineering stereotypes

4. Engaging the entire campus (unit by unit) in worthwhile recruiting activities

5. Creation of Reward Balanced and Yield Focused Scholarship Program to

Lower the Discount Rate, Raise Enrollment, and Maintain Student Quality

6. Providing accurate and timely processing of inquiry requests and

applications

7. Collaborating with Outreach and Public Relations Efforts

8. Expanding Campus Visit and Summer Camps

9. Campus Signage, Beautification and Landscaping Plan

10. Replacing and Updating Core Campus Buildings and Facilities ($140 M)

National Student Success Trends &

Benchmarks









ACT, 2007

STUDENT RETENTION

Since 2004, 60% of Growth due to Retention Increase









Graduation Rates

2000 2005

General Student Body: 52% 64%

“the list of 35”

Changes to Improve Retention



Retention Strategies and Tactics

2001-2008



I. Assessment Enhancements

II. Programming

III. Policy Changes

Missouri S&T’s Retention Plan

I. ASSESSMENT ENHANCEMENTS

1. Creation of a formal Institutional Research Office, 2001

2. Started annual retention audit of academic (cognitive) and demographic

factors, 2001

3. Identified classes with very low student success rates (DFW), 2001

4. Creation of Standardized Retention and Graduation Reports by gender and

ethnicity, 2002

5. Instituted a new student profile and expectations survey, 2002

6. Re-instituted the HPI assessment to track students by Non-cognitive factors,

2002

7. Revised withdraw surveys & interviews, 2002

8. Started non-returning follow-up telephone surveys, 2002

9. Started collection and campus-wide distribution of freshman academic profile,

specifically new student survey data: expectations, social activities,

GPA,ACT/SAT scores, 2002

10. Started measuring stop-out rate: students who withdraw and return, 2003

11. Revised nationally normed student profile, attitude and engagement

assessments (CIRP & NSSE), 2003

12. Revived student satisfaction survey (switched from ACT to Noel Levitz),

2007-08

II. PROGRAMMING:

Focus on Advising, tutoring, learning communities, faculty training and support



1. Provided a public expectation of student success (VERY IMPORTANT).

Addressed expectations of student success in all recruitment and orientation

speeches (Chancellor – look to your left, look to your right), 2001-02

2. Learning Enhancement Across Disciplines (LEAD) tutoring program

expanded beyond Physics, Fall 2002

3. Address group building (making friends) and study skills (not flunking out) in

all orientation activities, 2002-2003

4. Online tutor request program, 2003

5. Distribution of student profiles and survey summaries to create a better

understanding of faculty and student expectations. Actively embrace the

―social norming‖ concept. 2003

6. Distribution of student profiles and survey summaries to create a better

understanding of faculty and student expectations. Actively embrace the

―social norming‖ concept. 2003

7. Restructured Opening Week activities around a group project activity and to

address core learning objectives and student fears (Making Friends and

Flunking Out) , 2002 & 2003

8. Provided ACT‘s EIS & AIM student profile data bases to all academic

departments for more intrusive advising, 2003

9. Joint Academic Management (JAM) Sessions (student to student tutoring) to

assist low performing students, 2004

II. Programming Continued

11. New on-line Early Warning System, 2005

12. Strategic Retention Intervention: Focus on a rapid response ―Academic Alert

System‖ (2005), on-line student communication system ―Success Chain‖ (2005-

2006), advisor engagement (training sessions and awards, 2002) and more

quantitative knowledge of S&T student strengths (Sharing of student profiles and

new student survey data prior to beginning of academic year, 2002)

13. Creation and expansion of Learning Communities & First Year Experience

Programs: Focus to address student academic skills development and social

engagement through group student life oriented events, 2002-2003

14. Pre-College Transition Programs: Focus to promote greater student preparation to

meet student and S&T academic expectations through a 3-week intense course –

Hit the Ground Running (HGR) and creation of the Center for Pre-College

Programs (CPCP) to expand the K-12 student workshops and STEM summer

camps, 2003-04

15. Creation of the Center for Educational Research and Teaching Innovation

(CERTI): Focus to address improving the S&T learning environment and student

learning outcomes through collaborative learning, experiential learning, technology

enhanced learning and educational research practices, 2003-04

16. Expanded Experiential Learning Programs: Focus to promote greater campus-

wide ―learning by doing‖ student engagement through student design teams,

undergraduate research (OURE expansion), and service learning participation,

2002-ongoing

17. Creation of formal first-year experience office and staff, 2008

18. Creation of formal second-year experience office and staff, 2008

III. POLICY CHANGES

1. Incomplete grade time limit change, 2002

2. Repeat course GPA adjustment policy, 2002

3. Scholarship Reinstatement Policy, 2002

4. All BS degree programs reduced to between 124 to

128 hours, 2002-2003

5. Added 3 degree programs most often requested by

exiting students: Business, IST, Technical

Communication, Architectural Engineering, 2002-2003

6. Revised S&T Advising Program: Focus on faculty

development for student formal and developmental

advising, advisor recognition and advising program

evaluation, 2002-2004

BREAK - SESSION II

• Implementing the IHC SEM

Platform with the Entire Campus

• Preparing to be an IHC SEM

professional

• Creating the SEM Plan with the

IHC positioning perspective

What is SEM?

• Strategic Enrollment Management (SEM) is defined

as ―a comprehensive process designed to help an

institution achieve and maintain the optimum

recruitment, retention, and graduation rates of

students where ‗optimum‘ is designed within the

academic context of the institution. As such, SEM is

an institution-wide process that embraces virtually

every aspect of an institution‘s function and culture.‖

Michael Dolence, AACRAO SEM 2001

• Research

• Recruitment

• Retention

The IHC Orientation to SEM

Institutions embracing SEM must start with:



• Organizational Structure

• Philosophical Orientation (Academic vs. Student Affairs)

• IHC Positioning cannot happen until the first

two are established.

Review: In-House Consulting SEM

Model

IHC approach provides:



1. a rhetorical strategy of providing help to all

constituents

2. a values-based training philosophy,

3. an institutional expectation for collaboration

4. a push for a heightened sense of

professionalism.

5. continuity – the consultant does not leave!

The IHC Orientation to SEM

Institutions embracing SEM must start with:



• Organizational Structure

• Philosophical Orientation (Academic vs. Student Affairs)

• IHC Positioning cannot happen until the first

two are established.

IHC: the POWER of Metaphor

SEM professionals could be more effective if the campus

community views them in a ―consultant‖ or helping role,

rather than just ―another administrator‖ running a support

unit.



Positioning SEM professional as an In-House Consultant

signals:



• campus leaders are serious about meeting the

institution‘s enrollment goals

• A willingness to take steps necessary to support a SEM-

based organization.

SEM Fundamentals

 Strategic Planning

 Context of Setting Enrollment Goals

• Alignment with the College‘s/University‘s

Vision, Mission, Values, and Goals

• Factors of Enrollment Planning

 Enhancing the Educational Experience for

Students

SOURCE: Bob Wilkinson

The Strategy of SEM

• Stabilizing Enrollments • Evaluate Strategies and

• Reducing Vulnerabilities Tactics

• Aligning EM with • Improve Services

Academic Programs • Improve Quality

• Stabilize Finances • Improve Access to

• Optimize Resources Information







Adapted from Jim Black, 2003

How Research Is Used In

Strategic Enrollment Management



1. To improve retention

2. To build relationships with high schools and community colleges

3. To target admissions efforts and predict enrollments

4. To recommend changes to admissions policy

5. To examine issues of how best to accommodate growth

6. To improve the educational experience of students

7. To identify needs of unique student groups

8. To project and plan for student enrollment behavior

9. To determine financial aid policies

10. To assess student outcomes

Easy Benchmarking

• Determine Competitors & Comparators

• www.collegeresults.com

• College Board: Institutional Comparison

• US News (United States)

• McCleans (Canada)

• Higher Ed Times (Great Britain)

• Shanghi Jiaotong (China)

Key Components to SEM

The following four steps are fundamental to the development

of a comprehensive recruitment and retention Plan



1. Determine the institution‘s capacity to serve students by

degree program and types of students (traditional, non-

traditional, graduate, etc.)

2. Establish Goals: need to be agreed upon by all involved

3. Formulate Strategies based on data

4. Develop action plan with tactics and an operational

calendar:

– What exactly is going to be done

– When will it be completed

– Who is responsible

– How much will it cost

– How will you know if it has been accomplished (evaluation)

What is included in a SEM Plan?

1. Strategic Framework: Mission, Values, Vision

2. Overview of Strategic Plan Goals & Institutional Capacity

3. Environmental Scan: Market Trends & Competition Analysis

4. Evaluation and Assessment of Position in Market

5. Enrollment Goals, Objectives, & Assessment Criteria

6. Marketing and Communication Plan

7. Recruitment Plan

8. Retention Plan

9. Student Aid and Scholarship Funding

10. Staff Development and Training

11. Student/Customer Service Philosophy

12. Process Improvements and Technology System

Enhancements

13. Internal Communication and Data Sharing Plan

14. Campus wide Coordination of Enrollment Activities

Traditional Core SEM Objectives

• Establishing Clear Enrollment Goals and

Determining Capacity to Serve

• Promoting Student Success

• Determining, Achieving and Maintaining Optimum

Enrollment

• Enabling the Delivery of Effective Academic

Programs

• Generating Tuition

• Enabling Financial Planning

• Increasing Organizational Efficiency

• Improving Service Levels

Fundamental Question:





―What is an effective approach to

implementing SEM that is

sustainable and likely to be

embraced by the entire campus?‖

Complexity of SEM & the Belief that

External Knowledge is Best

•Core planning activities

•Environmental scans



•Assessment of strategic needs



•Development of marketing plans

•Execution of Plans and Training

There is a time and place for

colleges and universities to seek

outside help.



FACT: Many schools need a SEM ―road map‖ that only an

external agent can help construct.

Familiar Scenario?

• a problem is identified

• a consultant hired

• a plan written, and…

• THE CONSULTANT LEAVES



• The task of supporting the external consultant and

carrying out the plan is often left to the very individuals

who had the training and capacity to write the plan; but

were disregarded because of their internal position.

The professional SEM consulting field has

become highly valued

• Over 200 consultants with focuses in 50 different

categories



• Over 130 firms were noted for their abilities to assist

universities with implementing SEM



– Change Management - Marketing

– Diversity - Financial Aid

– Distance Education - Student Market

Research

– Strategic Planning - Communications

Comparing Roles

Consultant vs. SEM Leaders

Consultants SEM Leaders



1. A track record of presenting 1. Solid foundations in job experience,

workable solutions to clients education and a record of enrollment

successes

2. Ability to diagnose problems 2. Strong organizational and analytical

skills

3. Ability to lead teams and generate 3. Ability to collaborate with faculty and

consensus staff

4. The ability to implement solutions 4. Provide a team-work philosophy

(systems, training, budget

distribution, etc.) 5. High energy and passion for student

5. Facilitate consensus and success and higher education

commitment to the plan of action

6. Strong communication, budgeting and

6. Strong interpersonal and public personnel development skills

communication skills



ADAPTED FROM: Barbara Kibbe & Fred Setterber (1992) Succeeding with Consultants, Packard Foundation

The fundamentals of SEM are aligned

with Successful Consulting Practices,

they focus on:



• the use of research



• cross-unit collaboration to drive student

recruitment and retention activities



• Use of analytics and tactical skills to engage

the entire campus community in knowledge

and activities that spur student success and

optimize institutional resources.

IHC: a SEM performance

concept

The ―in-house consultant‖ model (IHC) is a means to more

clearly position the chief enrollment officer, and SEM units, as

a campus wide support team focused on helping most offices

achieve and sustain core institutional strategic initiatives.

The IHC metaphor would address the mind- and skill-sets

required by enrollment management professionals to

help their institutions operate in a more efficient and

proactive manner.

IHC Model in a Nutshell

The In-House Consultant is expected to:

• Stay abreast of current trends & market

activities

• Actively engage and inform the

campus – BE PRESENT

• Regularly ―take the plan off the shelf‖

and…..

• Put the plan into action.

Shifting Student Populations

―The demographic shifts we are beginning

to experience are largely the result of

welcome advances in technology and

public health that have extended life

expectancy, improved living standards,

and reduced population growth.‖



SOURCE: Jane Sneddon Little and Robert K. Triest. (2001) SEISMIC SHIFTS: THE

ECONOMIC IMPACT OF DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE.

Future Students: Demographic

and Population Changes

• Fewer first-time, traditional students in the

overall pipeline until between 2015-2017—

while older population is growing

• More students of color

• More students of lower socioeconomic status

• More students unprepared college level work







WICHE, 2003 & 2008

A National

Environmental Scan

RESOURCES

• www.act.org

• www.ama.com

• www.collegeboard.org

• www.collegeresults.org

• www.educationalpolicy.org (retention calculator)

• www.nces.gov (2007 Digest of Education Statistics)

• www.higheredinfo.org

• www.noellevitz.com

• www.stamats.com

• www.wiche.org

• www.educationtrust.org

• www.lumina.org

• www.greentreegazette.com

• www.pewinternet.org

• www.postsecondary.org

• www.communicationbriefings.com

• Recruitment and Retention in Higher Education

Factors Most Noted in Choosing

a College

• Majors & Career Programs Offered

• Location/Campus Characteristics

• Cost/Affordability

• Campus Size/Safety

• Characteristics of Enrolled

Students

• Selectivity

Over 4200 Colleges & Universities:

Heavy Competition for Students

Number of Colleges and Universities









SOURCE: U.S. Education Department



http://chronicle.com Section: The 2007-8 Almanac, Volume 54, Issue 1, Page 8

Labor Demand vs. Student Interests









Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics,

www.bls.gov/emp/home.htm

Change in Intended Major 1976-77 to 2006-07









College Board, 2007

Source: CIRP

In-state vs. out-of-state freshmen

recruitment funnel ratios









SOURCE: Noel Levitz 2006 Admissions Funnel Report

SOURCE: College Board, 2007

Constant Growth in One Demographic Market: Adults Over 60









SOURCE: US Census Bureau

NATIONAL Shift Impacts on Higher

Education

1. Nationally, in 2009-10 the number of high

school graduates will begin a gradual decline.

2. The proportion of minority students is

increasing and will account for about half of

school enrollments within the next decade.

3. High school graduates in the future will include

higher percentages from families with low

incomes.



Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School

Graduates by State, Income, and Race/Ethnicity,

WICHE 2008.

WICHE, 2008

WICHE, 2008

College Board, 2007

National vs. Regional Trends









WICHE, 2008

HOMESCHOOLED STUDENTS: Number and distribution of

school-age children who were homeschooled, by amount

of time spent in schools: 1999 and 2003









NOTE: Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Homeschooled children are those ages 5–17 educated by their parents full or part time who are in a grade

equivalent to kindergarten through 12th grade. Excludes students who were enrolled in public or private school more than 25 hours per week and students who

were homeschooled only because of temporary illness.







SOURCE: Princiotta, D., Bielick, S., Van Brunt, A., and Chapman, C. (2005). Homeschooling in the United States: 2003 (NCES 2005–101), table 1. Data from U.S.

Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Parent Survey of the National Household Education Surveys Program (NHES), 1999 and Parent

and Family Involvement in Education Survey of the NHES, 2003.

WICHE, 2008

WICHE, 2008

WICHE, 2008

55.7% US College-Going Rates of High

School Graduates - Directly from HS

College Board, 2007

College Board, 2007

SOURCE: ACT EIS

College Board, 2007

PARTICIPATION IN REMEDIAL EDUCATION: Percentage of

entering freshmen at degree-granting institutions who enrolled

in remedial courses, by type of institution and subject area:

Fall 2000









NOTE: Data reported for fall 2000 are based on Title IV degree-granting institutions that enrolled freshmen in 2000. The categories used for analyzing these data include public 2-

year, private 2-year, public 4-year, and private 4-year institutions. Data from private not-for-profit and for-profit institutions are reported together because there are too few private

for-profit institutions in the sample to report them separately. The estimates in this indicator differ from those in indicator 18 because the populations differ. This indicator deals with

entering freshmen of all ages in 2000 while indicator 18 examines a cohort (1992 12th-graders who enrolled in postsecondary education).









SOURCE: Parsad, B., and Lewis, L. (2003). Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000 (NCES 2004–010), table 4. Data from U.S. Department of

Education, NCES, Postsecondary Education Quick Information System (PEQIS), ―Survey on Remedial Education in Higher Education Institutions,‖ fall 2000.

What is the name of your institution?

email address

What type of institution are you?

How many full-time, full-year freshman students do you have?

What percentage of your FT/FY cohort is from out-of-state? %

What is the average tuition and fee charge per student? (in-state)

What is the average tuition and fee charge per student? (out-of-state)

Average annual tuition and fee percentage increase %

What is the average government or external subsidy that your institution

receives for each student?

Percent of Year 1 (freshman) students who returned in Year 2 (sophomore) %

Percent of Year 2 (sophomore) students who returned in Year 3 (junior) %

Percent of Year 3 (junior) students who returned in Year 4 (senior) %

Percent of Year 4 (senior) students that completed Year 4 (senior) %

Student Success Trends









ACT, 2007

SOURCE: http://www.postsecondary.org/archives/Posters/192Chart1.pdf

Financial considerations the most

common reason for leaving college









SOURCE: ELS:2002 ―A First Look at the Initial Postsecondary Experiences of the

High School Sophomore Class of 2002 (National Center for Education Statistics)

COLLEGE COST COMPARISON









SOURCE: The College Board 2006, MAP: TIME, November 6, 2006

MOBILITY OF COLLEGE STUDENTS: Percentage of freshmen who had graduated from high

school in the previous 12 months attending a public or private not-for-profit 4-year college in their

home state: Fall 2006









NOTE: Includes first-time postsecondary students who were enrolled at public and private not-for-profit 4-year degree-granting institutions that participated in Title IV federal financial aid programs.

See supplemental note 9 for more information. Foreign students studying in the United States are included as out-of-state students. See supplemental note 1 for a list of states in each region.







SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Fall 2006 Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), Spring 2007.

By 2015

• All States will have a structural budget

deficit

• Higher Education will likely lose funding

to health care, transportation, prisons

and K-12 education.

• Tuition revenue will become the majority

source of operational income

Alabama

Louisiana

Mississippi

Tennessee

Nevada

Projected State and Local Budget Surplus









Texas

Oregon

(Gap) as a Percent of Revenues, 2013









Washington

Missouri

South Dakota

South Carolina

Idaho

Florida

North Carolina

Indiana

Iowa

California

New Mexico

Utah

Montana









Source: NCHEMS; Don Boyd (Rockefeller Institute of Government), 2005

United States

Rhode Island

Alaska

Pennsylvania

Illinois

Hawaii

Georgia

New York

Arizona

Michigan

Kentucky

West Virginia

Colorado

Minnesota

Oklahoma

Nebraska

Virginia

Arkansas

Kansas

Connecticut

North Dakota

Ohio

Vermont

Wisconsin

Massachusetts

Maryland

Maine

New Jersey

Delaware

New Hampshire

College Costs and Disposable Per Capita

Income, 1996-97 to 2006-07









Source:The College Board

Percent For Whom Financing was a Major Concern

1992-93 to 2006-07 (Selected Years)









College Board, 2007 Source: CIRP

SOURCE: ACT EIS

Female Enrollments Exceed 57% of All College Students









SOURCE: NCES, The Condition of Education 2006, pg. 36

Today‘s Teens and Social Media

• The use of social media gains a greater

foothold in teen life as they embrace the

conversational nature of interactive online

media

• Some 93% of teens use the internet, and

more of them than ever are treating it as a

venue for social interaction – a place where

they can share creations, tell stories, and

interact with others.



• SOURCE: PEW 12/19/2007

Psychographic FACTOID:

Landline telephones are still a lifeline for teen social life

Girls continue to lead the charge

as the teen blogosphere grows

• 28% of online teens have created a blog, up from 19% in 2004.



• Overall, girls dominate the teen blogosphere; 35% of all online teen

girls blog, compared with 20% of online teen boys.



• This gender gap for blogging has grown larger over time. Virtually all

of the growth in teen blogging between 2004 and 2006 is due to the

increased activity of girls.



• Older teen girls are still far more likely to blog when compared with

older boys (38% vs. 18%), but younger girl bloggers have grown at

such a fast clip that they are now outpacing even the older boys

(32% of girls ages 12-14 blog vs. 18% of boys ages 15-17).



• SOURCE: PEW 12/19/2007

Top Twenty Graduate Degrees

Searched for on gradschools.com since 2004



1. History 11. Physician Assistant

2. Physical Therapy 12. Sports Administration

3. Journalism 13. MBA

Communications 14. Fine Arts

4. Social Work 15. International Relations

5. Fashion & Textile 16. Art Therapy

Design

17. Counseling & Mental Health

6. Clinical Psychology

Therapy

7. Law

18. Public Health

8. Architecture

19. Educational & School

9. Biology

Counseling

10. Creative Writing

20. School Psychology

HIGHEST ADVANCED DEGREE ATTAINED: Percentage of 1992–93

bachelor’s degree recipients who had earned an advanced degree by

2003, by bachelor’s degree field of study and highest degree attained









# Rounds to zero.









NOTE: Master‘s degrees include students who earned a post-master‘s certificate. First-professional programs include Chiropractic (D.C. or D.C.M.), Pharmacy (Depart), Dentistry (D.D.S. or D.M.D.),

Podiatry (Pod.D. or D.P.), Medicine (M.D.), Veterinary Medicine (D.V.M.), Optometry (O.D.), Law (L.L.B. or J.D.), Osteopathic Medicine (D.O.), or Theology (M.Div., M.H.L., or B.D.). Detail may not

sum to totals because of rounding.









SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, 1993/03 Baccalaureate and Beyond Longitudinal Study (B&B:93/03), previously unpublished tabulation (September

2005).

Trends Summary

1. Decreasing numbers of high school graduates in

the Midwest and Northeast

2. Declining percentage of high school graduates

pursuing higher education directly out of high

school

3. Increasing numbers of freshmen choosing to start

at community colleges

4. Increasing diversity and financial need of future

high school graduates

5. Increasing dependence on student loans and a

larger percentage of household income needed to

pay for college

6. Continued growth in the college student gender

gap

7. Ongoing interest declines for non-biology STEM

majors

Other Shifts to be Aware of…

• First Generation Participation Rate

• Increased Competition for International

Students

• Increased numbers of students with identified

mental Illnesses

• Changes in Work Force needs and training

Development

• Communication/Technology patterns: +90%

with cell phones and 63% using Social

Networking Facebook and MySpace prior to

freshmen year

Shift Conclusions

―Virtually all public and private colleges and

institutions will see changes in their

student bodies during the next decade.

The only exceptions might be the top-tier,

most popular institutions that already have

many more highly qualified applicants than

available spaces.‖



College Board, 2005

SEM Strategies for Success

1. Increase the College Going Rate

2. Increase Retention

3. Reach-out Further

4. Increase College Participation in Primary

Markets

5. Look for Post Retirement Student

Opportunities - Certificate Programs

6. Focus on Transfers from 2-year Colleges

7. Further develop Graduate Outreach and

Graduate Certificate Programs

Strategic Enrollment

Management Plan 2007-2011

• Increase Success of Students

– Retention Rates

– Graduation Rates

• Increase College Going Rate & Access

1. Access & Affordability

2. Pipeline of College Ready Students

3. Strategic Partnerships

4. Outreach/Education

5. Scholarships

• Expanding Current Markets & Capturing New Markets

1. Out-of-state students

2. Transfer Students

3. Female Students

4. Underrepresented Minority Students

5. International Students

6. Graduate Students

7. Nontraditional Students

Why Hire a Consultant?

• You are faced with a task or problem that

won‘t go away

• You have a complex project that creates

additional work for the existing employees

• You want to save time and money by

temporarily employing someone with a

special expertise that can help you move

forward on overcoming an obstacle

SOURCE: Barbara Kibbe & Fred Setterber (1992) Succeeding with Consultants, Packard Foundation

Consultants are Help Agents

Who can Help Unite the Campus

Consultants HELP by..

• Providing and Sharing a Variety of Skills

• Supplementing Staff Expertise

• Objectivity

• Credibility

• Providing Advise on Political and Legal

Issues



SOURCE: Barbara Kibbe & Fred Setterber (1992) Succeeding with Consultants, Packard Foundation

Today‘s Consultants embrace Change

Management and Rarely take on just one Task



• Diagnosis & Assessment • Training

• Problem Solving • Mediation

• Research and Analysis • Facilitation

• Strategic Planning • Systems Development

• Organizational Process • Search for Potential

• System Development Employees





SOURCE: Barbara Kibbe & Fred Setterber (1992) Succeeding with Consultants, Packard Foundation

The IHC concept is not new, but seldom

publicly embraced by executive leaders

• Michael Hovland‘s (2006) ―Experts Close to Home: How to

work Like a Consultant on Your Own Campus‖

– many traditional consulting tactics can be systematically applied

by SEM professionals.



• Jim Black‘s SEM framework papers (2003) and SEM

business practices workshops (2002) promotes:

– using diagnostic tools,

– establishing staff technical competencies & training systems

– using key performance indicators (KPIs) for cross-campus data

sharing

– outcomes assessment.

―If you don‘t know where you‘re going,

any path will take you there.‖

Sioux proverb

The Power of Alignment

EMBRACE the Phases of

Consulting Process

1. Engaging in initial contact and defining the work

2. Formulating a contract and establishing a helping

relationship

3. Gather all decision makers and discuss the plan, their

roles and what they can contribute

4. Identifying problems through diagnostic analysis

5. Set goals and planning for action with all decision

makers

6. Taking action and cycling feedback

7. Completing the project

ADAPTED FROM: Gordon L. Lippitt, Ronald Lippitt

(1994).The Consulting Process in Action, 2nd Edition

A Significant Challenge

• Creating a unified SEM structure is

complicated by the fact that the university is

structured to be decentralized and protect

academic units from environmental shifts

(such as what occurs in enrollments).

• Most faculty do not know about (and even

more do not understand the importance) of

strategic enrollment management.

• The faculty need to know the difference!

The Entire Campus Must be

Engaged in the Solution

―Changing demographics is not simply an issue for

enrollment managers—and enrollment managers

cannot ―do magic‖ to perpetuate the status quo.



Trustees, presidents, deans, faculty, and other

administrators need to engage in some serious

strategic planning to project manageable goals,

not only from the institution‘s perspective, but

also from the perspective of providing access and

opportunity to this new group of students.‖

SOURCE: College Board. (2005). ―The Impact of Demographic Changes on Higher Education‖

Faculty SEM Needs

• Faculty need information/data: start with

Deans/Chairs.

EX: student demand for general education

courses

• Help predict workload (# of student by program)

• Admissions and Student Profile Trends: What are

their learning needs and classroom expectations?

• What are issues with international recruitment and

admissions

• Identification of roadblocks or obstacles keeping

students from graduating.

• Effective recruiting strategies and the faculty‘s role

How to Engage Faculty

• Reach out, invite, feed

• Provide information:

– Understanding Current Students needs/activities

(psychographics)

– Understanding ―Helicopter‖ Parents

• Ask for Departments to determine their

capacity to serve with current resources

• Ask for a desired student profile

• GRAD PROGRAMS: Ask for preferred top 10

feeder schools

Student Services SEM Needs

Building the ―Caring Campus‖ atmosphere depends on Student Services

understanding of the students‘ needs and the institution‘s performance goals



• The Campus Visit‘s impact on Recruitment



• Retention implications: Outside of the classroom, largest interaction with

students



• Learning New Students‘ Profile and College Expectations and Needs for

Outside of Class and best matching the campus services…plus dealing with

Helicopter Parents 



• Understanding how to serve the Needs of Institution‘s Targeted Student

Markets



• Knowing new students‘ previous co-curricular experiences in high school, at

the community college, or through work.

―Administrator‖ to ―In-House

Consultant‖ can be a natural transition

Institute of Management Consultancy‘s 2002

model for professional managerial

consultants:

Consultants must be individuals who:

1. regularly manage complexity and

responsibility,

2. seek personal growth,

3. use analytical and pro-active thinking,

4. have strong interpersonal interactions, and

5. have delivery effectiveness.

Unite the Isolated

IHC builds an organizational culture that:



1. better motivates staff and faculty

collaboration,

2. demonstrates a dedication to intelligent

planning and strategy execution,

3. promotes a stronger passion for academic

and student success through shared

governance

4. embraces the regular use of solid analytical

and data-driven skill-sets.

Getting Started with

the IHC SEM Model

Characteristics of Successful

Internal Consultants (Lawrence & Lorsch, 1967)



1. Ability to bridge goals and build trust between different

departments.

2. Respect earned through demonstration of an expert

knowledge base.

3. Understanding and communicating institutional vision.

4. A high profile throughout the organization.



Active individuals who are familiar to the organization, have an intimate

knowledge of the organization, and are trusted by the organization

and its members possess great capacity for initiating and sustaining

change.

Phases of Consulting Process

SUSTAINABILITY THROUGH A PROCESS FOCUS



1. Engaging in initial contact and defining the work

2. Formulating a contract and establishing a helping

relationship

3. Gather all decision makers and discuss the plan,

their roles and what they can contribute

4. Identifying problems through diagnostic analysis

5. Set goals and planning for action with all decision

makers

6. Taking action and cycling feedback

7. Completing the project

ADAPTED FROM: Gordon L. Lippitt, Ronald Lippitt (1994).The

Consulting Process in Action, 2nd Edition

Key Components to SEM

The following four steps are fundamental to the development

of a comprehensive recruitment and retention plan



1. Determine the institution‘s capacity to serve students by

degree program and types of students (traditional, non-

traditional, graduate, etc.)

2. Establish Goals: need to be agreed upon by all involved

3. Formulate Strategies based on data

4. Develop action plan with tactics and an operational

calendar:

– What exactly is going to be done

– When will it be completed

– Who is responsible

– How much will it cost

– How will you know if it has been accomplished (evaluation)

Create an Enrollment Development Team

• Faculty from each division • Execs: Academic,

• Admissions Student & Enrollment

• Registrar Affairs

• Financial Aid • Advising

• Campus Housing • Info Tech

• Student Activities • Institutional Research

• Counseling Center • Minority Programs

• Orientation • International Affairs

• Teacher Training Director • Cashier/Billing

• Faculty Senate Leaders • Pre-College Programs

• Reporting Services



NOTE: The EDT does not replace the campus recruitment and retention committees

IHC’s Use and SHARE Data

• Become a data expert

• Translate the data into a form and with

messages attached that engage the

interests of faculty and administrators

• Train your staff to use data and expect

them to use it

• Share data and invite others to help you

interpret it

Michael Hovland, 2006

What does an IHC Read?

In addition to ACT pubs & AACRAO SEM updates…..



• Chronicle of Higher Education

• Greentree Gazette

• University Business

• Inside Higher Ed (like Chronicle, but free)

• ACT News You Can Use (www.act.org)

• Google News Search: ―University Enrollment‖

• Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY

• State Economic & Demographic Reviews (OSEDA)

• Anything by Michael Dolence, Tom Mortenson, Bob

Bontager, David Kalsbiek, Bob Sevier, Richard Whitesides,

Bob Johnson, Stan Henderson, and Jim Black

• Much, much more

What Reports Do IHCs

Produce?

• Weekly ―Funnel‖ Reports

• Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

• Annual Environmental Scans & SWOT

updates

• New Student Profiles Prior to Start of

Classes

• Student Profile after Census Date

Basic Analysis for SEM

• Capacity Study

• Preferred New Student Profile

• Primary Market Penetration

• Price Elasticity

• Un-met Need Gap (key for fundraising)

• Student Need/Support Alignment

Core IHC Retention

Assessments

1. New Student Survey (prior to start of classes)

2. Withdrawal Survey (prior to cancelling classes)

3. Phone/Email Survey of Non-Returning Students (2-

4 weeks prior to start of semester)

4. Student Satisfaction Survey (all returning students)

5. Graduating Student Survey (prior to

commencement or within the first six months after

graduating)

Long-Term Benefits of IHC

.

Model

• Cost savings

• Greater organizational unity and engagement on

core business practices.

• Increased likelihood for sustainable change due

to a stronger understanding of the culture that

exists on campus.

• Establish better internal linkages and trust

needed to create a stronger and more

coordinated strategic plan through regular

communication and requests for unit input.

Can Internal Consultants be Effective?

1. Setting and establishing linkages, shared goals,

improved communication, and synergy across all

institutional units. Unit objectives need to be tied directly

to enterprise-wide goals, rather than functioning as

stand-alone systems.

2. Using an analytical, empirical, data-driven approach to

problem solving and decision-making. Intuition is

important but not sufficient. The ―culture of evidence‖ is

a cornerstone of effective enrollment management.

3. Providing critical leadership. Enrollment management

almost always means changes in structure, reporting

lines, communication, goals, etc. The challenges and

risks of change should never be underestimated.

Effective enrollment leaders are willing to accept the

risks where they see the need for change.

Skannel and Kurz, 2007

Conclusion

• IHC model is an ideal for strategic levels of

performance and professionalism.



• IHC: an ideal performance model for SEM

professionals, not an argument against using

external consultants.



• Promoting the idea of internal, experienced

SEM practitioners developing institution-wide

partnerships and plans to better ensure the

university lives up to its promises to students,

families, faculty, and alumni.

Learn More about SEM &

Effective Retention Strategies

• Retention 2009: An International

Conference on Student Retention

May 27-29, 2009, New Orleans, LA

www.educationalpolicy.org

• SEM: AACRAO‘s 19th annual Strategic

Enrollment Management Conference

November 9-11, 2009, Dallas, TX

www.aacrao.org/sem19

QUESTIONS?

Building a SEM Organization

as a Data Driven Consultant

Jay W. Goff

Vice Provost & Dean for Enrollment Management

573-341-4378

goffjw@mst.edu

http:/enrollment.mst.edu

References

• Birnbaum, R. (1988). How Colleges Work: The Cybernetics of Academic Organization and

Leadership. Jossey-Bass Publishers: San Francisco.

• Black, J. (2002). Excelling in the Core Business Functions of Strategic Enrollment

Management. Paper presented at the 17th Annual Enrollment Planners Conference.

Chicago, IL

• Black, J. (2003, October). Defining enrollment management: The symbolic frame. Accessed

September 28, 2007 from

http://www.semworks.net/content/resources/jim_black_publications.php.

• Bontager, R. (2004). Strategic Enrollment Management: Core Strategies and Best Practices.

College and University Journal, 79 (4), 9-15.

• Dolence, M.G. (1993). A Primer for Campus Administrators. Washington, D.C.: American

Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers.

• Dolence, M.G., Lujan, H.D., & Rowley D.J., (1997). Working toward strategic change: A

step-by-step guide to the planning process. Jossey-Bass Publishers: San Francisco.

• Habley, W. & McClanahan, R. (2004) What Works in Student Retention – All Survey

Colleges. ACT, Inc.: Iowa City, IA.

• Henderson, S. E. (2004). Refocusing Enrollment Management: Losing Structure and Finding

the Academic Context. Paper presented at the 14th Annual SEM Conference. Orlando, FL.

• Hossler, D. (1986). Managing College Enrollments. New Directions for Higher Education.

No.53. San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass Publishers.

• Hossler, D. (2005). Managing Student Retention: Is the Glass Half Full, Half Empty, or

Simply Empty. Paper presented at the 15th Annual SEM Conference. Chicago, IL.

References Continued

• Hovland, M. (2006). Experts Close to Home: How to Work like a Consultant on Your

Own Campus. Paper presented at the 2006 GACRAO Conference. Kennesaw, GA.

• Institute for Management Consultancy. (2002). Introducing the New Management

Consultancy Framework. Accessed September 3, 2007 from http://www.imc.co.uk.

• Kalsbeek, D.H. (2006). Some Reflections on SEM Structures and Strategies. College

and University Journal, 81(3), 3-10.

• Kurz, K. & Scannell, J. (2006). Enrollment Management Grows Up: Enrollment

Managers Share Their Current Approaches. University Business, 5(5), 34-38.

• Lawerence, P.R. & Lorsch, J.W. (1967). Organization and Environment: Managing

Differentiation and Integration. Boston: Graduate School of Business Administration,

Harvard College.

• Lencioni, P. (2006). Silos, Politics, and Turf Wars. Jossey-Bass: San Francisco.

• Noel Levitz, Inc (2007) 2007 National Research Report-Student Recruitment Practices

at Four-Year and Two-Year Institutions. Author: Coralville, IA.

• Tuchtenhagen, A. (June 2007). Enrollment Management Position Descriptions 2004-

2007. Unpublished compilation. University of Wisconsin – River Falls.

• University Business. (June 2007). Consultants, Dealers, Services & Products. Insert.

• Weick, K.E. (1976). Educational Institutions as Loosely Coupled Systems.

Administrative Science Quarterly, 21(1), 1-19.

• WICHE. (2003). Knocking At the College Door; Projections of High School Graduates by

State, Income and Race/Ethnicity, 1988 To 2018. Author: Boulder, CO.


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