Microsoft - MSFT
Microsoft Corporation develops, manufactures, licenses, sells, and supports software products. The
company offers operating system software, server application software, business and consumer
applications software, software development tools, and internet and intranet software. Microsoft also
develops the MSN network of Internet products and services.
Updates – April 2, 2009
Microsoft announces $9 billion investment in R&D this year after $8.1 billion last year
Updates – March 31st, 2009
Microsoft and AT&T announce strategic partnering to enable shared content across TV and PC
mobile devices.
Updates – March 19th, 2009
Microsoft video game console sales increase again while Sony’s decline
Strengths:
Dominant market share gives Microsoft the protection of high barriers to entry.
Strong financials with $10 billion in cash and no debt outstanding.
Currently trading at the lower end of its 52 week trading range of $16.75-$33.25
Potential Risks/Sell Considerations:
If shown as unable to compete with the emerging SaaS (Software-as-a-service) which are
changing in the software industry such as development, delivery, revenue models.
Increasing competition from Google in its selling of applications similar to Microsoft
Office
Continuing to lose market share mostly to Apple
Microsoft - MSFT
Microsoft Corporation develops, manufactures, licenses, sells, and supports software products. The
company offers operating system software, server application software, business and consumer
applications software, software development tools, and internet and intranet software. Microsoft also
develops the MSN network of Internet products and services.
Financial Ratios:
Microsoft has high margins compared to peers.
o Gross profit margins are at 80.80% far superior to its peers
o Operating Profit Margin is 37.23% which is significantly higher than its peers at
24.27%
Strong Return on Equity is at 52.48%, 25 % points higher than its peers.
Very high sustainable growth rate at 40.37%
Our Projections:
Through the EPS evaluation spreadsheet, we project their FY 2009 EPS to be $2.14.
o This earnings per share is based on assumptions of an 5% increase in sales.
This sales projection is half of the sales growth Microsoft saw in the 2002
recessionary environment.
o Our $2.14 estimate is moderately higher than Wall Street estimates.
Through the FCFF model we projected an estimated price per share of $28.35
o Assumed the same 5% sales growth and historical averages on EBIT Margin.