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Concerning assessment of the risks related to the activities of

the Central Securities Depository of Lithuania, plc

Thomas Murray (the leading independent management consultancy group dedicated to

the global securities and investment market and publishing Central Securities

Depositories Guide) and Standard & Poor's (Credit Rating Agency) have launched a

global Depository Review and Risk Evaluation Service to the global securities services

and investment industry. According to the risk assessment criteria provided by the

Service, the Central Securities Depository of Lithuania (CSDL) has made a preliminary

assessment of the risks within the Depository.



Description of Risk Assessment Criteria

1. Asset Commitment Risk

Asset commitment risk looks at the period of time from which use of securities or

cash is lost (control given up) before irrevocable receipt of countervalue. It focuses on

concerns regarding the asset commitment periods. This is the amount of time

participant assets, either cash or stock, are frozen within the CSD pending settlement

of the underlying transaction(s) and the irrevocable receipt of value. Following initial

settlement the risk period is extended until the transfer of funds and stock becomes

irrevocable. It excludes any periods when assets, cash or stock, are committed to a

market participant including brokers, banks and custodians, not caused by CSD

processing.



Asset commitment risk is the period of exposure direct participants and their clients

have to the settlement cycle. Assessing this risk fully requires an examination of local

rule books in order to obtain the definitive definition of “finality”, in each market and

in each circumstance. The Depository Service understands that as “irrevocability” and

“finality” can differ in usual circumstances, the Service will concentrate its

assessment to normal circumstances only.



An illustration of asset commitment risk from both a securities and cash perspective

would be as follows:



1.1. Securities – In one country’s securities clearing infrastructure, trade instructions

for any given settlement date are accepted three to five days before Settlement Date

(SD-5 to SD-3). At 12.00 noon at SD-1, the national securities depository blocks the

securities to be delivered the next day in each participant’s account, effectively

removing the participants’ ability to use the securities for overnight lending,

collateralisation, or any other purpose. The participants see in their communications

with the depository that the securities have changed from their normal

“AVAILABLE” status to a “TO BE TRADED” status, no longer part of the account

balance.



Impact on securities asset commitment – In this case, since securities are always

cleared on a gross basis at 12.00 noon on SD, we view the asset commitment period to

last on-day i.e., from 12.00 noon on SD-1 to 12.00 noon on SD. At the end of this

period, the securities are irrevocably credited to the purchasing participant’s account,

with the cash credited also at 12.00 noon to the selling participant’s account with

finality. While the exchange is considered final at this point, the seller has been





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exposed during the previous 24-hour period to the effects of whatever system outage

or operational problem might arise while they no longer control over or access to their

securities, but prior to their receipt of the sale’s corresponding cash proceeds.



In the case of CSDL, trade instructions are accepted one to four days before

Settlement Date (SD-4 – SD-1). At 11.00 a.m. SD, the CSDL blocks the securities

and transfers them finally and irrevocably at 3.00 p.m. SD between the general

accounts of the account managers. Thus, the period of exposure to securities

commitment risk arising from the settlement of transactions handled by CSDL lasts

for 4 hours (from 11.00 a.m. till 3.00 p.m.).



1.2. Cash – In another country’s securities infrastructure, trade instructions are

accepted only on SD-3 for all “against payment” settlements. At 9.00 a.m. on SD-1, a

cash amount equal to the gross purchases of each participant is frozen in the

participant’s central bank cash account in anticipation of the debit to be passed the

next day (SD) at 12.00 noon. During the intervening 27 hours, the blocked cash

amounts are not available to either buyer or seller. Overnight cash account statements

show these cash amounts in a special “frozen” status.



Impact on cash asset commitment – In this case, we view the pre-settlement cash

commitment period to last 27 hours, from 9.00 a.m. on SD-1 to 12.00 noon on SD. At

the end of this period, the securities are irrevocably credited to the purchasing

participant’s account, with the cash credited also at noon to the selling participant’s

account with finality. While the exchange is considered final at this point, the buyer

has been exposed during the previous 27-hour period to the effects of whatever

system outage or operational problem might arise while they no longer have control

over or access to their cash, but prior to their receipt of the purchase’s corresponding

securities.



In the case of CSDL, cash is to be accumulated in the account managers’ clearing

accounts at 11.00 a.m. SD and finally and irrevocably transferred at 3.00 p.m. SD

by the depository instruction between the relevant clearing accounts opened in the

Settlement Centre of the Bank of Lithuania. Thus, the period of exposure to cash

commitment risk arising from the settlement of transactions handled by CSDL lasts

from 11.00 a.m. till 3.00 p.m.



2. Counterparty risk

Counterparty Risk is the risk that a counterparty (i.e. an entity) will not settle its

obligations for full value at any time. This risk occurs when a participant is unable to

meet its financial liability to the CSD and possibly other creditors. Counterparty risk

depends on who the other participants are and examines the effectiveness of the

monitoring of those participants. Effective counterparty monitoring should cause the

CSD to withdraw services to a participant who fails to meet a financial liability to

another organisation, not directly connected to the CSD. Areas of investigation will

include: participant criteria, participant concentration, financial compliance and trade

surveillance, lien on securities/rights of retention, delivery versus payment, credit

facilities/stock lending, guarantee fund, CSD guarantee and the handling of unwound

transactions.









2

Illustration

Two-way activity: A sells securities to B with payment taking place later (or

sooner).

Assume payments are made 5 days after securities have been delivered.

During 5 days, A runs counterparty risk on B (as A will not receive money if

B defaults).

Securities (T)



A B

Cash(T+5)

When the counterparty is the CSD or an associated clearing house a default would

require the liquidation of the organisation concerned and the settlement of all

outstanding trades will be called into question. For the purposes of the Depository

service this risk only goes as far as direct participants of the CSD and excludes clients

of direct participants that default on liabilities to such participants, even if such a

default should systemically cause the direct participant subsequently default.



CSDL never plays the role of the central counterparty in settlements; never does it

lend securities or cash to the settlement participants. Therefore the counterparty

risk occurs only in cases of default by the account managers where they fail to

accumulate either cash or securities in due time. The volume of such cases is

illustrated by due date settlement criteria. According to FIBV and ISSA2000

recommendations, acceptable norms for the suspended and deferred settlements are

1% of the total value of transactions, and

2.5% of the total number of transactions.

After CSDL had taken over management of clearing accounts from NSEL (on the

1st of May 2000), these indicators by the end of 2000 accounted for 0.13% and

0.61%, respectively.



3. CSD on CSD Credit Risk

CSD on CSD Credit Risk looks to assess the credit risk that a CSD is taking when

linking to a peer group CSD i.e., the risks a CSD is taking in either providing a

service for another CSD or using another CSD as a local service provider (host CSD).

Today this is a relatively uncommon risk but given market developments, particularly

in the EuroZone, this risk will gain in potential importance. The Depository service

will this year restrict itself to the credit risk associated with these links, as well as the

collection of data surrounding links including the operating rules for the link and a

description of the initial and on-going due diligence in place to support the link. The

effect of the links on the safe and secure operation of each CSD will not be considered

as part of the assessments this year. The only exception to this is where there are

domestic links between two CSDs, within the same country, and who settle the same

underlying securities. Further analysis will be required if the volumes are in any way

significant.









3

To date, CSDL has been carrying out cross-border settlements only with Latvian

Central Depository. Their scope as well as risk is negligible: on the 29 th of

December 2000, CSDL held in custody the holdings of Latvian CSD in the amount

of LTL 4.3 m, i.e. only 0.02% of total capitalisation. At the end of Setember 2001,

total CSDL participants’ holdings on the custody accounts of Latvian CSD and

Clearstream banking made up LTL 67.7 m (USD 17 m).



4. Financial Risk

This risk is concerned with the financial strength of the depository to operate as an

on-going concern. Issues considered include if the capital is sufficient to meet the on-

going operation of the organisation and its revenues, cash flow and ongoing

profitability. It is not looking at when the CSD is a counterparty to a transaction, as

this is covered under Counterparty Risk. Aspects of the Financial Risk assessment

include the capital structure and financial aspects of the CSD, its ownership, and its

dividend and rebate policies, funding aspects including its ability to raise additional

capital. The assessments will consider the diversity of products and examine volumes

of each over a five-year period to determine if there are any concentration issues. The

ownership of a CSD can take many different forms, which may have assessment

implications. This assessment is interested in the financial resources and the

incentives of the owners and participants to support the CSD in times of need.



The largest founder and main shareholder of CSDL is the Bank of Lithuania (owns

60% of share capital), which is a Lithuanian institution possessing independence by

Law and running the largest assets in Lithuania. The CSDL has been operating

profitably since its incorporation (for 7½ years); over 50% of its equity are

comprised of liquid, non-risk bearing assets – investment in Government securities

of the Republic of Lithuania. At the end of the year 2000, the shareholders’ equity

amounted to USD 2.7 m.



You may find a complete Annual Report of the Board of CSDL on the 1999 and

2000 activities and International Auditor’s Report on our web site www.csdl.lt.



5. Liquidity Risk

Liquidity risk is the risk that insufficient securities and/or funds are available to meet

commitments but the obligation will be met sometime later. This is where for certain

technical reasons (e.g., Stock out on loan; stock in course of registration, turn round of

recently deposited stock is not possible) one or both parties to the trade have a

shortfall in the amount of funds (credit line) or unencumbered stock available to meet

settlement obligations when due. These shortfalls may lead to settlement “fails” but

do not normally lead to a default.



Aspects of a CSD to be looked at under this risk include the settlement processing

cycle, the availability of credit and stock lending facilities and the registration model,

types of deposited securities and procedures for the deposit and withdrawal of

securities. The assessments will look at the connection between the stock exchange

trades settlement process and the inter-bank transfer process and/or OTC settlement

processes to identify if due securities received from a stock exchange procedure can

or cannot be re-transferred immediately to the account of the final owner. Also

considered are same day turnaround settlement procedures, the objective being to

identify whether the procedure may result in the inability to process a same day





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turnaround trade (i.e., back to back) or in the case the sale could be settled while the

receipt is failing may result in “technical” securities lending.



To date, CSDL has been ensuring only direct securities lending between the

account managers, including also in extraordinary cases securities lending during

the settlement cycle.



Securities registration does not pose any additional problems as there are no special

transfer agents or Registrars in Lithuania. Registration, i.e. management of

personal accounts, is carried out by the account managers, who may execute the

trading functions, as well as other functions traditional to financial brokerage

firms.



6. Operational Risk

Operational risk is the risk of loss due to clerical errors, organisational deficiencies,

delays, fraud, system failure or non performance b third party service providers.

These are both internal and external factors that effect the safe operation of the

depository. Internal factors to be considered in the assessment include ensuring the

CSD has formalised procedures established for all its services. The CSD should have

identified control objectives and related key controls to ensure operation and proper

control of established procedures. Systems and procedures should be tested

periodically. There should be external audit processes in place to provide third party

audit evidence of the adequacy of the controls. Services include: instruction

processing, lending programme (if applicable), cash (if applicable), settlement,

registration, reporting, safekeeping/custody, corporate events, market interfaces,

systems: changes to system software, data security/systems, access controls, data

centre security, contingency planning, third party services, pre-matching, segregation

of assets and training and supervision/established procedures. External operational

risk will exist when the CSD receives local infrastructure services (e.g., the payment

system) or has outsourced certain functions, such as custody of underlying participant

assets to a third party.



The CSDL has put the following formalised procedures in place:

 Approved the regulations of the Depository subdivisions, internal workrules,

work description of the Administration, and job instructions for senior

executives;

 Provided a fairly comprehensive description of the operating procedures for the

IT and securities accounting employees and a contingency plan to act under

force majeure circumstances;

 Installed the reserve hardware and software and fitted out additional working

places for the purpose of dealing with the above-mentioned contingency and

providing data back-up capabilities in an off- site location.

The internal control of the Depository is run by Internal auditor, the operational

and legal control is in the hands of Lithuanian Securities Commission, whereas the

financial control of the Depository is carried out by International auditor.



The internal security facilities include a reliable system for the placement and

confirmation of instructions; a procedure for the allotment of passwords and the

computer identification and reconciliation of data; as well as participant training

and inspection.





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