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							                                 Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
__________________________________________________________________________________________________




                          Study on
                  Technology Trends and
                   Future Perspectives
                           within
                  Assistive Technologies


                                     Final Report

                                                NOTICE
      This report has been prepared by a study team under contract to the European
   Commission. The study team was administered by the Information Society Directorate
    General, Unit for Applications relating to Persons with Special needs, including the
  Disabled and the Elderly. This document does not necessarily reflect the opinions of the
 European Commission and the European Commission cannot be held responsible for any
     use which is made of the information contained in it. This report is not an Official
                         Publication of the European Commission.




Price Partnership (Price Partnership Limited)
and

iRv(Institute for Rehabilitation Research)


                  Final report      October 2000      page 1 of 166
Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
__________________________________________________________________________________________________




                                           EUROPEAN COMMISSION
                                     Information Society Directorate General




                                                 LEGAL NOTICE
                              Neither the European Commission nor any person acting
                on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of the
                                               following information




                                            Available on the Internet at
                               http://www.cordis.lu/ist/ka1/special_needs/library.htm

                                        Copyright: European Commission




Final report                            October 2000                              page 2 of 166
                                 Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
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                                                      Contents
                  1   Executive Summary ................................................................................................ 5
                  2   Recommendations .................................................................................................. 7
                      2.1 Technology Transfer ....................................................................................... 7
                      2.2 Current Assistive Technology Bottlenecks ...................................................... 9
                      2.3 Future Technologies ....................................................................................... 9
                      2.4 Observations from the tele-workshop ........................................................... 10
                  3   Methodology .......................................................................................................... 13
                      3.1 Task 1 ........................................................................................................... 13
                      3.2 Task 2 – Survey, part 1 and part 2 ................................................................ 13
                      3.3 Task 3 – Analysis and Projections ................................................................ 13
                      3.4 Task 4 – Recommendations and Review ..................................................... 13
                  4   Social Trends ........................................................................................................ 15
                      4.1 Europe........................................................................................................... 15
                      4.2 Japan ............................................................................................................ 24
                      4.3 USA ............................................................................................................... 33
                      4.4 Conclusions................................................................................................... 41
                  5   Technology Transfer ............................................................................................. 45
                      5.1 Terms of reference ....................................................................................... 45
                      5.2 Introduction ................................................................................................... 46
                      5.3 Characteristics of the assistive technology market ...................................... 47
                      5.4 The roles of the actors in the AT market....................................................... 49
                      5.5 Mechanisms (models) of technology transfer ............................................... 50
                      5.6 Initiatives in USA ........................................................................................... 53
                      5.7 Initiatives in Europe ....................................................................................... 58
                      5.8 Initiatives in Japan......................................................................................... 65
                      5.9 Conclusions................................................................................................... 70
                  6   Current Assistive Technology and Developments ................................................ 72
                      6.1 Section I: user-technology interaction ........................................................... 72
                      6.2 Section II: interpersonal communication ....................................................... 80
                      6.3 Section III: Supporting users in everyday life ................................................ 88
                      6.4 Conclusions................................................................................................... 93
                  7   Developments in mainstream technology and future scenarios for assistive
                      technology ............................................................................................................. 97
                      7.1 The Explosive Growth of the Internet ............................................................ 97
                      7.2 Mobile Communications -The Convergence of Cable and
                           Radio Telecommunications......................................................................... 102
                      7.3 The Convergence of TV, Telecommunications and Computers ................. 106
                      7.4 Virtual Reality .............................................................................................. 109
                      7.5 Interfaces .................................................................................................... 112
                      7.6 Miniaturisation ............................................................................................. 115
                      7.7 Sensors ....................................................................................................... 117
                      7.8 Advanced Materials..................................................................................... 123
                      7.9 Robotics ...................................................................................................... 125
                      7.10 Energy and Battery Technology .................................................................. 129
                      7.11 Transport ..................................................................................................... 130
                      7.12 Conclusions................................................................................................. 133
                  8   Annex: Technology Transfer Models ................................................................. 136
                      8.1 Veterans Administration Technology Transfer model ................................. 136
                      8.2 Technology Transfer Mechanisms in USA.................................................. 139
                      8.3 Technology Transfer – Subsidy Arrangements in Selected European
                          Countries ..................................................................................................... 141




                  Final report          October 2000            page 3 of 166
Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
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                9    Annex: Assistive Technology .............................................................................. 145
                     9.1 Application domains and areas of research ............................................... 145
                10 Annex: Past and Future Conferences on Assistive Technology ......................... 149
                   10.1 Past Conferences (June1998-June 2000) .................................................. 149
                   10.2 Future Conferences (July 2000-2001) ........................................................ 150
                   10.3 References (for chapter 10) ........................................................................ 152
                11 Annex: Tele-workshop ........................................................................................ 153
                   11.1 Methodology & Participants ........................................................................ 153
                   11.2 Discussion .................................................................................................. 154
                12 References.......................................................................................................... 159




                What is “AT”?


                Assistive Technology = technical aid is any product, instrument, equipment or
                technical system used by a disabled person, especially produced or generally
                available, preventing, compensating, relieving or neutralizing the impairment,
                disability or handicap.
                                                                           (Source: ISO 9999: 1998)


                The scope of the term Assistive Technology (AT), as used in this study, covers the
                range of assistive devices that use technologies which would normally fall within
                the scope of the European Commission Information Society Directorate General
                sector, “Applications for Persons with Special needs, including the Disabled and
                the Elderly”. This would include:
                 Means of access to Information and Communication Technologies (ICT);
                 Integrated systems supporting the activities of independent living, education,
                  work, leisure, mobility and training;
                 Information and Communication systems for enhancing the efficiency and
                  effectiveness of services supporting independent living;
                 Applications of manipulation and control technology;
                 Technology supporting assessment, restoration and enhancement of function.

                The study excluded medical research trends and genetic engineering. In
                transport, the scope of the study is limited to personal mobility.




Final report                                       October 2000                                              page 4 of 166
                                 Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
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1 Executive Summary
                  This study, commissioned by the European Commission, looks at current
                  developments in mainstream technology in Europe, Japan and the USA, and likely
                  developments in the next decade, and discusses what this could mean for
                  assistive technology. Its aim is to help the European Commission decide where
                  best to target resources to stimulate the development of assistive technology.

                  The study includes a look at social trends in the three economic areas: Europe,
                  Japan and the USA, and finds that they have had very different cultures and
                  values, but these are beginning to converge as a result of globalisation.

                  Europe has had the best developed welfare states or social security systems in
                  which disadvantaged and non-working citizens have been provided with support.
                  But there has been a cost. Taxation as a proportion of GDP is higher in most
                  European countries than in Japan and the USA. As demand for services,
                  particularly healthcare, has risen steadily European countries are looking at how
                  best to fund services and to encourage citizens to take more personal
                  responsibility for contributing to, and selecting, care and health services that meet
                  their individual needs. Many of the services are now being organised and run by
                  private, rather than state-run organisations. And while many of the care services
                  and assistive devices are still purchased by state organisations or insurance
                  companies, a private market is developing too. These changes are likely to
                  stimulate the markets for care services (particularly home care) and for assistive
                  technology. There is a need for quality assurance in the system. For assistive
                  technology, a lesson can be drawn from the USA, which has spawned a vast array
                  of devices aimed at individual purchasers, some of which are dubious in quality or
                  their ability to do the job.

                  Japan has been a very centralised country, where the collective society was more
                  important than the individual, but this is beginning to change. Disabled people
                  were not really acknowledged in the past, although again this is now changing. In
                  the last decade Japan fought to protect its culture from outside influence, but is
                  now embracing the effects of globalisation.

                  In contrast to Europe and Japan, the USA focuses on individual rights and
                  entitlements, with legislation to back this up. With respect to assistive technology,
                  this has meant that public programs serving people with disabilities are required to
                  address technology options. The impetus in assistive technology is towards
                  legislation and regulation in mainstream technology The USA can be seen at the
                  centre of globalisation but American society is more polarised; there is a much
                  greater gap between the „haves and have nots‟. It is unlikely that European citizens
                  will find the wholly American model acceptable. From a European perspective with
                  its legacy of state provision, American society lacks important elements that make
                  it a truly collective society. The next decade may see influences and cultural
                  attitudes from other cultures (e.g. Europe, Asia) being shared around the world,
                  particularly when it comes to the provision of services and assistive devices for
                  elderly and disabled people.

                  Technology transfer varies between the three economic regions. The technology
                  transfer mechanism in the USA is clearly presented and explained in commercial
                  terms. Research and development that is carried out in federal institutions is well
                  publicised and businesses are encouraged to exploit its results. Legislation has
                  resulted in federal laboratories having an incentive to transfer technology because
                  they receive financial reward for licensing arrangements. Product purchase
                  funding is also provided by the same government agency thereby providing a
                  ready market. Japan has followed the USA with similar legislation, but this is very
                  newly introduced and old hierarchical systems prevail. In Europe, there are


                  Final report      October 2000      page 5 of 166
Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
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                several "showcase" style initiatives supported by the European Union but they are
                not given incentives to take a proactive brokering role in the technology transfer
                process. These initiatives provide publicity and dissemination but are not rewarded
                for commercialisation.

                The study surveyed current assistive technology and current developments, and
                identified where there are bottlenecks in development (chapter 6). Some of these
                bottlenecks could be a focus of attention in the next round of planning in the
                European RTD programme.

                The study surveyed the developments in mainstream technology and grouped the
                developments into 11 important trends (chapter 7). These are: the Internet; mobile
                communications; convergence of computer and mobile communications; virtual
                reality; interfaces; miniaturisation; sensor technology; advanced materials;
                robotics; energy and battery technology and transport. The scope of the
                mainstream trends was limited to areas that were likely to have an impact on
                assistive technology. Hence the study included robotics and computer technology,
                but excluded medical research trends and genetic engineering. In transport, the
                scope of the study is limited to personal mobility.

                The study discusses the likely developments in the next decade in each of the 11
                categories, and what this could mean for assistive technology. These ideas could
                also be considered in the next round of planning in the European RTD programme.

                This is the final report, which is a deliverable of the study. The final report was
                reviewed by an external panel and discussed in a tele-workshop in September
                2000, and many of the reviewers‟ comments were incorporated in the final report.

                  th
                18 October 2000




Final report                             October 2000                             page 6 of 166
                                 Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
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2 Recommendations

2.1 Technology Transfer

    2.1.1         Stimulation of Market Pull
                 The European Commission framework programmes support a range of projects
                  operating in different parts of the technology transfer process. The majority are
                  targeted at technological R&D often with the participation of SMEs, and the
                  planned result should lead on to a tangible product or service, after the conclusion
                  of the project. These projects, in effect, "push" specific new technology into the
                  assistive technology market. A small proportion of projects aim to "pull" a broader
                  range of new technologies into the market by developing awareness and practical
                  opportunity for the take-up of assistive technology by demand-side professionals
                  (e.g. the ASTRID project, which produced a guide to assistive technology that
                  could be used for the care of people with dementia).

                  The study team recommends that the balance be changed to increase the
                  proportion of 'demand- pull' projects, so as to optimise the effect of funding.
                  This would increase the take-up of assistive technology by end-users and
                  stimulate the opportunities for SMEs by increasing market demand.

                 In the USA the same government agencies that are responsible for carrying out or
                  funding most of the AT research also fund most of the AT purchases. This has
                  the effect that AT development and manufacturing companies take note of what
                  the agencies say and the research they have carried out. The result is the
                  technology transfer from research establishment to manufacturer has been
                  relatively successful, and has helped to create a market pull for the products. In
                  Europe the procurement of AT tends to be through large purchasing or
                  commissioning organisations such as social service agencies or insurance
                  companies.

                  The study team recommends that a closer relationship be established
                  between large purchasing or commissioning organisations and developers
                  to stimulate immature AT markets.


    2.1.2         Implementation of Brokering
                 The technology transfer mechanism in the USA is clearly presented and explained
                  in commercial terms. It is easily accessed on the Internet. The Federal
                  Laboratories have an incentive to transfer technology because they receive
                  financial reward for licensing arrangements. In Europe, there are several initiatives
                  supported by the European Union where project results are promoted in
                  “showcases”, either in brochures or websites. However there is no incentive for
                  these initiatives to take a proactive brokering role in the technology transfer
                  process. They focus on publicity.

                  The study team recommends that European Union initiatives include a
                  greater element of brokering in the technology transfer mechanism and that
                  brokers are rewarded by results.




                  Final report      October 2000      page 7 of 166
Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
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                  Due to the small size of the AT market there is often a need for an R&D institution
                   to connect with a niche commercial organisation that is probably in a different
                   European state.

                   The study team recommends that an EU brokering role should help make
                   these connections.


    2.1.3          Support for Exploitation
                  European Union research and development funding is available to projects
                   undertaking any combination of the phases that make up the life-cycle of a
                   project. However, the majority of funded projects cover all the phases from user
                   needs to commercial exploitation. This might be because proposers perceive full
                   life-cycle proposals are more likely to be funded. The typical three-year project
                   duration regime does not suit every project and it is often the exploitation phase
                   that suffers.

                   Furthermore, one of the requirements of the RTD projects is an exploitation plan
                   (Technology Implementation Plan) whatever the phase of the project, a require-
                   ment which aims to improve the likelihood of the project resulting in a marketable
                   product or service. The effect is that each individual project has to conduct its
                   own technology transfer, with project partners having some idea of the exploitation
                   potential at the start of the project. In contrast in the USA a technology transfer
                   department deals with the exploitation of the results of all the research carried out
                   in that research organisation, and often links with other organisations. The
                   technology that has been developed is put on view, with clear invitations to
                   discuss its commercial exploitation. The onus is on the companies who can see
                   exploitation potential to come forward, rather than the research organisation, or
                   the development teams having to try and think of possible applications.

                   The study team recommends that exploitation requirements of proposed EU
                   projects should be relaxed and that specific arrangements be made for the
                   brokering of technology transfer on a pooled basis. Such arrangements
                   would allow the funding of technologically innovative projects without
                   requiring project consortia to include partners capable of exploiting the
                   results themselves. A proactive broker might be more successful at finding
                   viable exploitation opportunities than consortia that predict and set their
                   exploitation strategies at proposal stage.

                   The success of the uncoupling of the innovation and exploitation would rely
                   on sufficient feedback (or feed forward) from the transfer or brokerage
                   agency to the R&D teams. This could be carried out by a screening process,
                   which would be undertaken by the development team, with the guidance of
                   the broker, to take into account broad aspects of implementation or
                   dissemination before major investments in the technology were made,
                   leading to a go/no-go decision at an early stage. The methodology could be
                   part of the framework programme and be maintained under the supervision
                   of the brokering agent.

                  Research and development funding involves three players:
                    funding and strategy organisation
                    management and tactics organisation
                    research and development team

                   In the USA, funding and strategy is provided by central government. The
                   management and tactics are provided by federal laboratories and research and
                   development is typically undertaken by laboratory or university teams. The federal
                   laboratories are also responsible for the brokering of technology.




Final report                               October 2000                              page 8 of 166
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                  In Europe the European Union takes responsibility for funding and strategy as well
                  as management and tactics. It commits the research and development teams to
                  include their own exploitation capability. The European Union delegates funding
                  decisions to independent committees of experts.

                  The study team believes that the intermediary role of the federal laboratories
                  in the USA model would be beneficial to EU projects with weak exploitation
                  plans.

                 The technology transfer mechanism in the USA is overtly led by government
                  organisations and these organisations are clearly business orientated. There is a
                  cultural difference between the two economic areas. In the USA doing business is
                  a way of life, and seen as a normal activity for government departments too. In
                  Europe, government departments have traditionally been responsible for the
                  administration of the state and providing information and have not typically made
                  business arrangements, although this is now beginning to change. The CORDIS
                  Innovation website provides a focal point for pan-European technology transfer
                  and is clearly branded as a European Union initiative. But other “showcase"
                  activities (where results of projects are presented) are typically led by independent
                  private organisations using European Union funding. These lack the credibility and
                  clarity of the US counterparts. There may be a general reluctance by SMEs to
                  pursue offers from such organisations when their pedigree and business terms are
                  not transparent.

                  The study team recommends the production of a guide to the European
                  Union “showcase" initiatives and the organisations that are carrying them
                  out. It might be preferable to disseminate guides via national government
                  organisations that already have business links with SMEs, and who may be
                  viewed by SMEs with less suspicion than little known private organisations.
                  The CORDIS Innovation website could be extended to a wider range of
                  European languages.

                  In some R&D projects the issue of ownership of Intellectual Property Rights (IPR)
                   amongst the partners acts to prevent the commercialisation of products.

                   The study team recommends that the IPR ownership clause in Research
                   and Technological Development contracts be reconsidered to allow the
                   developer-partners greater ownership of IPR that they develop.


2.2 Current Assistive Technology Bottlenecks
                  Five main areas of on-going development work are described in Chapter 6. The
                  benefits of applying resources to these should be judged together with the
                  potential opportunities afforded by “future technologies”.


2.3 Future Technologies
                  There is much going on in development of new technologies and developments
                  are moving fast. Many developments are enabled by technological advances in
                  other areas; these technologies need to be in place before development could take
                  place in the new area. For example, the explosive growth of the Internet has been
                  possible because of a well established telecommunications infrastructure and the
                  take-up of PCs. Miniaturisation will allow tiny sensors to be deployed in thousands
                  of applications.
                  Because of the inter-relationship between technological areas it would be
                  dangerous to try and rank the different mainstream developments in importance.

                  The 11 areas that the scope of the study covers are all worthy of attention
                  and represent useful input to the next EU R&D workplans.



                  Final report      October 2000      page 9 of 166
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2.4 Observations from the tele-workshop
                A team of invited experts took part in a tele-workshop and has made the following
                observations and recommendations, based on the preliminary draft of this report:

                   Technology transfer in AT is successful in the USA where government
                    agencies are responsible for both funding development and purchasing
                    products.

                    The recommendation is that there should be a greater linkage in Europe
                    between purchasers of AT products and those responsible for funding
                    R&D in AT.

                   In the USA technology transfer of AT to large companies for inclusion in
                    mainstream technologies has only been successful through legislation.

                    The recommendation is that legislation should be used in Europe to
                    force the inclusion of AT in mainstream products.

                   Although there is emphasis on technology transfer, there should also be room
                    for fundamental research.

                    The recommendation is that there should be a balance between
                    fundamental research and product design.

                   Designers of mainstream products could better serve disabled groups, either
                    by choice or because of legislation, if they had better statistics about the
                    groups of people unable to use their products.

                    The recommendation is that the research effort be directed towards
                    providing statistical data about the types of disability and the number of
                    people affected.

                   Many designers of mainstream products are not aware of the needs of
                    disabled people or are not able to include solutions for them.

                    The recommendations are that: development tools be produced to help
                    designers cater for disabled users; open interface be incorporated to
                    allow the use of specialist software or hardware to cater for disabled
                    users.




Final report                            October 2000                            page 10 of 166
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                     Some new ideas may come from the research field that do not fit the CEC‟s
                      R&D workplan.

                      The recommendation is that the funding application process should be
                      flexible enough to allow for ideas not covered in the workplan.

                     There is a problem in the time taken from the production of research results to
                      the deployment of new AT.

                      The recommendation is that the CEC should use more take-up actions to
                      shorten the deployment times and should better involve user
                      organisations and mainstream companies.




                  Final report      October 2000      page 11 of 166
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Final report                            October 2000                           page 12 of 166
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3 Methodology

                  The study was split into 4 main tasks.


3.1 Task 1
                  First cut estimate and categorisation of technologies.

                  The study team identified their view of the AT market and the mainstream
                  technologies that are developing fast. Team members categorised the AT market
                  and mainstream developments and directed survey resources appropriately.



3.2 Task 2 – Survey, part 1 and part 2
                  Study team members carried out a survey of developments in mainstream
                  technologies, and existing AT technologies and produced a report for discussion
                  and confirmation of scope with European Commission staff.

                  A second phase of the survey was carried out to fill any gaps. The study team
                  also surveyed social trends in Europe, USA and Japan, to put the developments
                  into context, and the technology transfer processes in the three economic areas.



3.3 Task 3 – Analysis and Projections
                  The survey information was analysed and a report of the findings was written. The
                  study team members projected their ideas for innovation that would emerge from
                  the developments in mainstream technologies. Conclusions for each major part of
                  the study were drawn.



3.4 Task 4 – Recommendations and Review
                  The study team made recommendations for action that the European Commission
                  could consider to stimulate AT. The draft final report was circulated to 11 experts
                  who were asked to comment on its content, particularly the conclusions and
                  recommendations. The comments were used to draw up a list of discussion topics
                  for a tele-workshop which was held with four of the experts, the study team and
                  two Commission staff. Final editing of the report was then carried out.




                  Final report      October 2000      page 13 of 166
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Final report                            October 2000                           page 14 of 166
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4 Social Trends

4.1 Europe
                  The European Union is a community undergoing a great change as it merges and
                  becomes more united. Many of the trends are detectable universally throughout
                  the countries of the EU, although the degree of influence can fluctuate. Moreover,
                  as eastern European countries start the process of joining the EU they bring with
                  them features and problems that differ from those of western countries.
                                                                             1
                  European society has been termed a Mosaic Society , a way of describing the high
                  multiplicity, fragmentation and differentiation that is transforming the familiar
                  features of society – the way people work and live, use of time, the groups and
                  communities that are formed by members of society. In the past these had
                  remarkable stability for previous generations. The emerging mosaic society needs
                  to nurture individuals who can cope with an ever-advancing technological
                  community. Their values will change to become ones that emphasise
                  individualistic self-fulfilment and accomplishment, a diversity of choices in personal
                  life-styles and the mobility that a more open Europe creates. At the same time
                  these individuals must be aware of the risks presented to the security of their
                  welfare by this evolution.
                                                      1
                  The drivers of social change are :
                   economic – the globalisation of markets and business operations and rapid
                     technological change. These have an important impact on work – the type of
                     work that is required, the obsolescence of particular skills, increasing job
                     flexibility and precariousness, and the knock-on effects that these have on
                     lifestyles and social conditions
                   demographic changes – the ageing of the population, the mobility of people
                     within the EU, and the migration and intermixing of peoples of different
                     backgrounds
                   value changes – such as the importance of marriage, changing patterns of
                     beliefs and religious practises, increased leisure time and leisure pursuits, and
                     personal aspirations and expectations.


    4.1.1             Economy
                  In 1995 the GDP of the EU15 was 6 500 billion euro, 20% more than that of the
                  US, and 70% more than that of Japan. The four largest member states generate
                  almost three-quarters of the European GDP, almost 30% being accounted for by
                  Germany.

                  However, the per-capita national income was lower than that of the USA by more
                                                                                 2
                  than a quarter and lower than that of Japan by almost one sixth .

                  In Europe, the substantial increase in public spending over the last two decades
                  has led to a combination of high taxation and high deficits. In 1995, after several
                  decades of constantly heavier tax burdens, the share of the European economy
                  taken by the state is 50% higher than in the USA and Japan. This has led to higher
                  costs for enterprises and lower investment through the reduced availability of
                          2
                  savings .


    4.1.2             Work and Employment
                  The change in the economy towards one that is based on information and care
                  services, the tertiary sector rather than manufacturing, will alter the nature of the
                  workforce as well as placing demands on the education and welfare system.


                  Final report      October 2000      page 15 of 166
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                There is already a trend of unemployment amongst older men with traditional
                manufacturing skills. Life-long full time jobs are losing their importance as
                                                                                                   1
                intellectual capital rather than machine or fixed capital becomes the driving force .

                The increasing globalisation of national economies has its effects on the EU.
                National enterprises will eventually become obsolete if they do not restructure and
                merge with other companies to create a more global network. As national barriers
                become easier to penetrate, companies will set up in low cost locations and
                operate from there. In recent years, as these national barriers have broken down,
                competition has become far more intense.

                As the borders disintegrate and people from different cultures mix, there is a
                danger of cultural particularities disappearing, and with the dominance of the US,
                being substituted for US culture. Although there will still be some differences in
                consumption that will have to be tailored to a regional level, the trend is moving
                towards “McDonaldisation”, the preference for mass produced consumer goods.
                Traditional marketing categories based on socio-economic status will no longer be
                relevant because of changes in the nature of households and the diversities in
                personal and social relationships. New consumer priorities include services rather
                than goods but these will have to be relevant for diverse lifestyles.

                Percentage of working population employed within each sector of the economy in
                              1
                1975 and 1996 .

                     EU15                          1975                       1996
                     Industry                      39.5%                      29.8%
                     Agriculture                   11.1%                      5.1%
                     Services                      49.4%                      65.1%

                The number of people employed in the service sector is expected to double again
                in the next ten years, if investment is intensified in this sector.

                Short fixed-term contracts will be the norm, having already increased from 9% of
                                                     1
                all contracts in 1985 to 12% in 1995 . Part-time employment and multiple
                employment will increase as people become more diverse in the ways they choose
                and are able to spend their time. “Portfolio careers” will be more popular for
                employees who will need to be more flexible in turning their hand to a variety of
                tasks. People must become more psychologically flexible and geographically
                mobile. This will be managed by a change in education structures and will have an
                impact on personal relationships.

                Despite globalisation there is a growing emergence of small businesses and self-
                employment. Both high levels of unemployment and lower barriers to starting up
                business offered by an information and service based economy help generate this.
                In this context working from home will increase, not least due to the advances in
                technology that enable such teleworking. Access to employment is altered and
                people with obligations that restrict their ability to work away from home or within
                normal office hours will be able to be accommodated. Furthermore, there may be
                greater employment opportunities for people with disabilities. Traditional day and
                night patterns will become blurred as people adjust to the globalised market
                moving away from the traditional “nine-five” day. In future there will be an
                emergence of a transnational labour market with innovation clusters attracting
                people to an area however fast transport systems are. Nevertheless, information-
                based organisations will be able to go where there are people and the “electronic
                                                              1
                cottage” will be a familiar feature of society .

                As education and leisure time increase in importance the number of years and
                time people spend working will decrease. Not only will young people be entering
                the labour market at a later age, older individuals will be leaving it earlier, too, to



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                  pursue their desires that go beyond those of job satisfaction. The labour market
                  age (as the age where at least 50% of the generation is in the labour market) rose
                                                1
                  from 18 in 1987 to 20 in 1995 . People retiring may soon be in their fifties rather
                  than their sixties. The number of hours worked in one week is already decreasing,
                  for example in Germany and France the “35 hour” week is considered full-time
                  employment. Again, one must not forget that this is not the case for those
                  individuals in low paid jobs.

                  This polarisation is an important factor. It is evident in the unemployment rate
                                                                      1
                  which rose from 3.7% in 1974 to 10.9% in 1996 . Despite the social
                  developments, the unemployment rate has dropped in all member states to an
                  overall percentage of 8.8% since 1996 (as of January 2000), the highest rates of
                  unemployment being in Spain (15%), the lowest in the Netherlands and
                  Luxembourg (2.7%, 2.6%). In the Netherlands, there are reported shortages of
                  workers in IT industries, and interestingly, in the caring industry, resulting in a
                  growing interest in the use of technology to help support people at home, and to
                  support care workers so that they can concentrate on the tasks that really do need
                                                                               3
                  to be carried out by human carers. The Safe 21 project created tremendous
                  interest in The Netherlands during trials of telematics products which supported
                  and monitored vulnerable people at home. The trials stimulated two national TV
                  programmes. One of the outcomes is a national congress, for politicians, care
                  assessment organisations (Rios), care providers and insurance companies (which
                  generally pay for the care that is required) entitled “Technology in Home Care” to
                  be held on 12th October 2000.

                  The trend of reducing unemployment is expected to continue across Europe as the
                                                                              4
                  labour force shrinks due to the ageing of the population . Nevertheless, those that
                  do not have access to the educational facilities that allow them to adapt to changes
                  will lose their jobs or continue to work in low skilled, low paid jobs, unable to afford
                  early retirement or much recreational time. Migrant workers from eastern
                  European countries and from outside Europe are likely to be attracted to areas of
                  full employment. Lack of qualifications or skills is likely to be acute in this group of
                  workers.

                  Attitudes towards employment are important. In general only one third of the
                  inhabitants of the EU who work feel that their job has a high intrinsic quality and
                  many find they are pressured into having to work long hours and do overtime. One
                  third would be willing to reduce working hours with some financial loss. In addition,
                  there are very low levels of commitment to employers. On unemployment, there is
                  no evidence that a generous welfare system reduces work motivation and 65% of
                  the unemployed questioned would rather work, even if there was no financial
                  compensation involved, although over time they suffer reductions in their self
                          1
                  esteem .

                  For those with jobs, the earnings spread, which is the ratio between the top 10%
                                                                                   5
                  and the bottom 10%, varies from 2.1 in Sweden to 3.7 in Austria . Low paid
                                                                                                  6
                  workers make up an increasing proportion of people and households in poverty ,
                  although the impact of unemployment varies significantly, classed in four types of
                  country:

                  low unemployment – low poverty, e.g. Scandinavia
                  low unemployment – high poverty, e.g. USA
                  high unemployment – average to low poverty, e.g. continental Europe
                  high unemployment – high poverty, e.g. Ireland

                  There is a significant number of jobs with poor conditions as well as a high number
                  of employees reporting health problems; nearly 40% are in high strain jobs linked
                                                                                     1
                  to ill health and early mortality and around 18% are self employed .




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    4.1.2.1     Women in the Workforce
                There are wide variations across the EU in the participation of mothers with
                dependent children in the workforce. The participation of married or cohabiting
                mothers in full-time or part-time employment is 32% in Ireland, whereas it is 80%
                in Sweden. The participation of lone mothers in employment varies from 23% in
                                           1
                Ireland to 70% in Sweden . Having children does not inhibit mothers‟ activity in
                Scandinavia, and has little impact in countries such as France and Italy. However
                in Germany and the UK most mothers are only able to work part-time, and in
                Ireland and the Netherlands, women hardly work at all after the birth of their first
                     1
                child .

                Women are still more likely to be in low paid caring or clerical jobs, than men.
                Moreover, the „glass ceiling‟ which prevents women being appointed to senior
                managerial positions is still very much in place, despite national and EU legislation
                on equal opportunity. On the other hand, the average age of women having their
                first child is increasing, particularly amongst women who have received high
                education. Women are delaying the start of family in order to compete with their
                male counterparts.

                The provision of further child care and the expansion of distance learning in
                combination with the encouragement of part-time and out-of-hours employment
                will lead to further participation of women in the labour market and other facets of
                society outside the domestic household situation.

                In ageing statistics it is seen that women live longer than men. Although this might
                change, the phenomenon has its effects on the population of older women. With
                older couples it is often the case that the male partner gets health problems earlier
                and the female partner gives care and support. But after the death of the male
                partner, the woman has to cope alone in society.


    4.1.3       Population and Demographics

    4.1.3.1     Population Changes
                Demographic effects point out a shrinking economically active population for EU15
                by the year 2009, the result of both the ageing of the population and a diminishing
                birth rate. Current demographic projections show that the EU might reach a
                stationary level of population in the next half century. However, the acceptance of
                Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Estonia, Slovenia and Cyprus will increase the
                EU population by one-sixth, and immigration along recent trends will postpone
                                                                            7
                global demographic decline by two or more generations. Also, young people are
                now entering the labour market at a later age, spending more time in education.
                There is a definite link between birth rate and the Gross Domestic Product of a
                country, the lower the GDP, the greater the birth rate is likely to be and vice versa;
                the birth rate is a clear indicator of the economic situation of a country.

                                                                                               8
                Mean number of children born alive to a woman in Europe during her lifetime

                 Year                   1970      1975      1980      1985      1990        1995
                 No. of children        2.45      1.96      1.80      1.59      1.57        1.43

                Internal migration is now more apparent in the EU as legislation of the various
                countries is harmonised to allow an easier flow of people across the borders.
                External immigration, ie immigration from countries outside the EU (mainly from
                Mediterranean countries) has changed the face of European culture. These
                developments will lead to more fragmented national cultures as different cultures
                mix. Some are worried about a possible loss of national identity in this process.




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                  The average age of the working population that has been stable at 40 for the past
                                                                   1
                  20 years will have increased 2.5 years by 2015 . From 2010 on, older workers
                  (55-64) will account for a greater share of the working-age population than younger
                                   1
                  workers (20-29) . This is a universal phenomenon for all EU member states,
                  including those in central and Eastern Europe entering the EU in the future. The
                  dependency ratio is the number of dependants per working member of the
                  population.
                                                       1
                  Dependency ratios for 1960-2030

                                           1960      1990         2000        2010       2020     2030
                   Austria                 .519      .479         .460        .455       .490     .620
                   Belgium                 .550      .497         .510        .495       .568     .680
                   Denmark                 .558      .484         .500        .5250      .573     .650
                   Finland                 .603      .486         .491        .501       .628     .699
                   France                  .613      .521         .529        .505       .590     .675
                   Germany                 .488      .450         .454        .473       .498     .621
                   Greece                  .532      .491         .495        .524       .560     .627
                   Ireland                 .732      .631         .482        .475       .555     .568
                   Italy.                  .517      .453         .468        .497       .544     .669
                   Luxembourg              .474      .449         .478        .493       .550     .643
                   Netherlands             .639      .451         .466        .458       .541     .685
                   Portugal                .591      .506         .481        .493       .521     .588
                   Spain                   .554      .495         .462        .469       .500     .602
                   Sweden                  .514      .556         .556        .550       .633     .690
                   UK                      .537      .535         .529        .511       .575     .661
                   Czech Rep.              .533      .514         .433        .410       .486     .509
                   Hungary                 .524      .505         .460        .442       .499     .513
                   Poland                  .646      .543         .463        .428       .511     .545

                  The dependency ration declined in Europe in the past 30 years because of entry to
                  the workforce of the „baby-boomers‟ and falling fertility rates; but it is set to
                  increase again.

                  Current welfare systems in European countries will face increasing pressure as the
                  number of elderly people (aged 65 and over) increases from 57 million in 1995 to
                                     9
                  81 million by 2025, a 41% increase. The proportion of people in society who are
                  65 years or more will increase from 15% in 1995 to 22% in 2025. Pension, health
                  and welfare costs for elderly people are generally higher than those of young
                  people. Consequently, the economy must increase its overall output in order to
                  maintain the well being and standard of living of EU inhabitants.

                  A mutual responsibility between individual and state is likely to evolve in an attempt
                  to resolve the problem. Employers may offer better welfare packages such as
                  pension and private health care to attract good staff. On the other hand, an
                  increase in temporary contracts and self-employment will mean that more people
                  will have to make personal arrangements and provision or look to the state to
                  support them when they need it.

    4.1.3.2       Families and Households
                  The modern family has decreased in size as the birth rate declines. On average
                  the countries of the EU12 have 2.5 persons per household. The two-generation
                  family has been a feature of European culture for a significant time, meaning that it
                  is not a deciding factor in present changes, unlike in Japan. What is more, the
                  number of childless families is increasing, as people become more work and
                  leisure orientated. Most significantly this has happened in Denmark where in 1994
                  only 43.6% of married couples had children. Single parent families continue to
                                                                         1
                  increase, the highest number being Ireland with 15% .




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                Marriage rates are declining as co-habitation rises in acceptance. In 1974 the
                marriage rate lay at 7.6 per 1000 inhabitants per year but sank to 5.1 per 1000
                                   1
                inhabitants in 1994 . Co-habitational ties are usually less permanent and result in
                people having a number of “serial personal relationships” during their lives. Also,
                the mean duration of marriage at divorce sank from 13.8 years in 1970 to 12.3
                              1
                years in 1980 .

                Household patterns that differ from traditional ones will be a feature of tomorrow‟s
                Europe. Both single-person households (26% across the EU in 1990 as opposed
                to 22% in 1980) and multi-person households are becoming ever more popular.
                Such multi-person households consist of either young professionals or students
                sharing accommodation or elderly people grouped together for company and
                         1
                security . This produces a variety of lifestyles and personal relationships that are
                less permanent and more diverse than before. As the traditional family unit loses
                its value, new forms of collective support will emerge to compensate for it. This
                process is supported by a greater mobility of the individual within Europe. It also
                has implications for the housing market that will have to create housing that is
                orientated towards these demands.

                Relative poverty is still a significant feature in the EU, varying from 6% - 25% of the
                population, the average across the EU being 18%. Relative poverty is any one with
                                                                                       10
                a “net income below 60% of the median equivalised total income” . Nevertheless,
                absolute poverty has declined and the overall levels of relative poverty have been
                fairly stable. The risk of poverty is shifting from the elderly to families with young
                children, single person households, lone parents and to a certain extent, single-
                earner households. Even so, older persons are still at a high risk in some
                countries. Income inequality has declined in some countries and increased in
                others.

                A recent Lifestyle Survey carried out by the European Statistical Office of the
                European Communities in Luxembourg found that, across the EU, 31% of the
                households said they were able to make ends meet “fairly easily”, 17% “easily”,
                and 6% “very easily”. On the other hand, 28% admitted they managed “with some
                difficulty”, 11% “with difficulty”, and 7% “ with great difficulty”. Those with the most
                problems in making ends meet are to be found in Greece (21%), Portugal (16%)
                and Spain (15%). Those who enjoy a high standard of living reside predominantly
                                                           10
                in Germany (15%) and Denmark (14%) .

                Social exclusion remains a problem throughout Europe, and may even increase
                due to persistent unemployment. Those groups likely to suffer from exclusion are
                marginalised youths, those with drug abuse problems and external immigrants,
                who, even if they are employed remain in low paid unskilled jobs. Europe will
                                                                                         1
                continue to experience problems with heroin addiction, AIDS and hepatitis .


    4.1.4       Education
                It is predicted that education is to become the largest industry in developed
                                                                                            11
                countries. Current inadequacies are highlighted in a recent OECD survey .
                Between one third to a half of 25-64 year olds throughout the OECD area have
                less than adequate literacy levels for meeting present-day living and working
                requirements. As the individual experiences more and more freedom, the
                education system must change to move away from specific skills-orientated
                training to creating individuals who are inquisitive, analytical and know where and
                how to obtain any information or skills they require. Children need to be taught
                how to function in a society that is in a constant process of change, especially
                regarding the new forms of employment.

                There is a trend to higher educational standards. The number of young people
                going into higher education has increased and this is expected to continue. In
                France 33% of all school-leavers now participate in higher education at the



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                  undergraduate level, and 24% in the UK, and both of these are large rises on a
                  decade ago. In Sweden, the number of qualified school-leavers has increased by
                  50%, although the percentage of the population acquiring a degree is still the
                  same. The implication of this is that there is a rise in the standard of those in
                  higher education, as there is a greater selection process, there being more
                                                           12
                  qualified school-leavers to choose from . In the future it could mean that a larger
                  number of students must be accommodated in higher education.

                  It is interesting that there is a rise in the number of people returning to higher
                  education. This shows how the economy is moving away from being simply
                  manufacturing-orientated to focussing more on know-how and information-based
                                 13
                  productivity.
                                                                                                        14
                  Percentage of new entrants to higher education aged 25 and over 1991-1995

                                   Denmark        Germany         Sweden          Netherlands         UK
                   1991            30%            19%             28%             14%                 32%
                   1995            38%            20%             32%             14%                 36%

                  Distance learning is an innovation that has changed the face of education. Not
                  only can people be taught from home via the Internet or other distance learning
                  packages, at their convenience, but also if they have disabilities or other
                  commitments that prevent them from being able to participate in a traditional
                  course. In a UK Open University survey, 80% of the respondents expected to be
                  taught at home by computer by 2020, and by 2025 two thirds of the respondents
                                                                                 1
                  agreed that there would be a demise of the traditional school .
                                             1
                  Life Long Learning (LLL) is an important feature of future developments in
                  education. As the demands of the labour market progress rapidly, employees will
                  be forced to continuously better their skills in order to remain employable.
                  Institutions and programmes must be created and made accessible in order for
                  this to be possible. It is also important to re-educate and re-skill older employees
                  in light of technological advances. This will in turn improve the productivity of
                  individual workers to help compensate for the increasing dependency ratio of non-
                  workers and the labour force.

                  These changes in education are important drivers for social and economic change.
                  Like in the USA, the proportion of people who have undertaken some post-school
                  education is rising. The type of study that is undertaken at this level includes more
                  information searching and analytical work, developing these skills in the students.
                  These are the skills that are needed in the expanding knowledge-based work of
                  the future.


    4.1.5         Religion
                  Among the EU 15, Christianity has historically been the main religion, both
                  Catholicism and Protestantism. But there are other important religions for sectors
                  of the EU population, eg Judaism among the Jewish community. The influence of
                  the Christian religion has diminished and fewer people regularly worship in a
                  formal way at church. The principle of freedom of religious practice is common
                  throughout western European countries, and most national education curricula
                  encourage the examination of all the major world religions rather than the
                  indoctrination of one religion.


    4.1.6         Leisure and Lifestyle
                  As a result of the changes in society discussed so far, people‟s ideas on how to
                  spend their time and money will change. The mobile phone adds to the portrait of
                  the mobile individual, free of any geographical constraints but rather constrained
                  by his virtual presence, which is far harder to get away from. Politics and religion



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                might influence lifestyles more than the average citizen believes will happen.
                Migration from the East and Africa will change the scene in the EU: a pluriformity
                will grow but also an extremism on religious and non-religious grounds.
                                                           1
                Changes in patterns of final consumption
                Proportion of household income spent
                 EU12                     1970                 1980               1993
                 Food                     29.8%                21.3%              19.1%
                 Clothing                 9.2%                 7.8%               7.4%
                 Housing/fuel             15.0%                16.8%              18.2%
                 Furnishings              8.8%                 8.1%               7.9%
                 Medical Care             5.1%                 7.4%               8.4%
                 Transport                11.9%                14.9%              15.3%
                 Recreation               7.7%                 8.2%               8.6%
                 Other                    12.4%                15.7%              15.1%

                                                                                       15
                PC ownership is expected to grow to exceed that of the US by 2003. This growth
                is a result of the increasing desire to participate in Internet activities. By 2003,
                46% of the EU population will own a PC, as opposed to 36% in 1999. In countries
                such as Sweden, the percentage will be as high as 72%.


    4.1.7       Citizens with Disabilities and Universal Access

                Most of the northern European countries and some southern European countries
                have an element of a welfare state or social security in which the needs of disabled
                people are addressed, and support is provided. Some EU countries have their
                own „disability act‟ in which the rights of people with disability to take part in, and
                have access to, mainstream life is spelt out, with employers and local
                municipalities responsible for providing facilities that enable access.

                The concept of universal access for all is well accepted in European governance
                although practice lags behind intent. The EU 15 is keen to avoid the creation of an
                underclass that is excluded from technological advances due to poverty or
                disability. This can be achieved in two ways. One is that the government directly
                ensures that everyone has access to the technological appliances needed to
                participate in the modern society. Terminals and access points are set up and
                funded by the government in public places such as libraries, hospitals, community
                centres and schools. Orientation and support schemes must also be a part of
                such programmes. Furthermore, governments need to support the fostering of
                new behaviour on the individual level.

                Care for the disabled or elderly varies across Europe, with implications for the
                labour market. It is legally binding for kin members in countries such as Italy,
                Portugal and Spain. In Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Greece and
                Luxembourg, there are legal obligations on the next of kin. There are no legal
                obligations in the UK or Ireland and in Scandinavia and the Netherlands there are
                explicit public obligations whereby the support is directed at the individual rather
                than the family. Otherwise all countries have some form of institutionalised care
                                            16
                albeit to varying degrees. For countries where a high proportion of women work
                outside the home (eg 80% in Sweden) the need for and expectation of paid
                services for the care of elderly and disabled family members is higher.

                EU legislation on universal access for citizens with disabilities states that negative
                discrimination must be eliminated and that people with disabilities, based upon the
                content of human rights legislation, must be granted extra help in improving their
                quality of life. Appropriate forms of preventive and active policies to promote their
                integration include those that further their access to adequate vocational training,
                ergonomics, accessibility, mobility, means of transport and housing. The



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                  European Council decided upon the final draft of this in December 1986. In May
                  1990 separate legislation came into force giving equal access to education for
                  disabled children, with specific emphasis on their integration into the ordinary,
                  existing systems of education. In June 1999 the Council reminded members that
                  this legislation must be reinforced and taken up in the legislation of the various
                                   17
                  member states.


    4.1.8         The Use of Assistive Technology
                  In general terms, because support for disabled people is provided by a social
                  security system or state-endorsed insurance schemes, the selection and purchase
                  of assistive technology has tended to be the province of state departments and
                  municipalities or insurance companies. The general philosophy has been that if a
                  disabled person needs an aid to combat the effect of his or her disability, then the
                  welfare system should provide. This expectation has been reinforced by the fact
                  that often people with disabilities have low income (ie are more likely to be
                  unemployed or in low paid work). The result is that manufacturers of assistive
                  technology tend to sell to organisations rather than individuals. These
                  organisations will often make an assessment of a piece of assistive technology to
                  decide if it will go on an approved list.

                  The private purchase of assistive technology is under-developed, although this is
                  beginning to change. The change is being driven firstly, by changes in the way
                  that welfare support is provided and organised, with more use of private
                  organisations and private funding schemes; and secondly by a changing attitude
                  towards people with disabilities, that they should not simply be cosseted, but
                  enabled to work and maintain their own independence. Legislation and policies
                  that encourage and enable disabled people to work, and disabled young people to
                  be educated in mainstream schools, will gradually help to change the way disabled
                  people are viewed. It will also change disabled people‟s own attitudes. They will
                  expect to be independent and to make their own decisions about the assistive
                  technology that they want to use and purchase for themselves.

                  Furthermore, as disability becomes more „mainstreamed‟, manufacturers of
                  mainstream technology are more likely to include, as far as possible, features
                  which make technological devices usable and relevant to some people with
                  disabilities. Overall, it is anticipated that the use of advanced assistive technology
                  in Europe will increase, as more technology is adopted in all spheres of life, and
                  that more assistive technology will be purchased on an individual or private basis.

                  Already mentioned earlier is the issue of acceptance of the technical aids and
                  systems. The first step is the acceptance of the illness, age, or disability itself.
                  Informative programmes on TV can have a positive effect on this. The remaining
                  barriers depend mainly on the assistive technology products themselves. The
                  design of a wheelchair in a modern fashionable way, pleasant to look at, a
                  professional and quality appearance, attracts positive attention. Even leg
                  prostheses can be designed in that way: high technological and functional
                  appealing looks, even decorations on the fittings, are attracting positive attention
                  (and hopefully better acceptance).




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4.2 Japan
                In sharp contrast to the USA, Japan has been a society with heavy state or
                corporate control over its citizens and a philosophy that the collective society is
                more important than the individual. But this is now changing. One of the effects of
                globalisation has been the influence of Western ideas and values, which were
                initially rejected and fought off, but are now gaining acceptance. Japan is a key
                industrial nation whose world influence was likely to decline under the inflexibility of
                a heavy bureaucratic system. Japanese government has recognised this problem
                and is now promoting change and encouraging more individualism amongst its
                citizens.


    4.2.1       Economy
                Japan is the world‟s second largest economy, constituting 60-70% of the Asian
                         18
                economy . Its per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was 24 100 euro in
                1998. It suffered a recession between 1996 and 1998 but in 1999 a recovery
                                                                                  19
                began with a 1.9% increase in GDP and predictions for future rises .

                Japan is a changing market with a growing interest in foreign goods and travel
                abroad, and although the market is complex, it is open. Foreign direct investment
                                                                              20
                more than doubled in value in 1996 to reach 7.7 billion euro . Political
                adaptations such as deregulation, decentralisation and a restructuring of the
                                                                                   20
                economy mean that new areas in Japan are far more accessible . As industrial
                output increases due to an increase in US and Asian demand, 2000 is expected to
                                                            21
                be a year of “modest economic recovery” . Investment has stabilised but has not
                yet begun to increase. Private investment is seen to be a key component in
                                                                                                22
                growth this year as many firms undergo restructuring that limits their capacity .
                Consumer confidence has yet to recover, although the labour market is stabilising.
                Sluggish household spending shows that there are still concerns over employment
                and income prospects. The main employer federation, Nikkeiren, wishes to
                                                                              22
                impose a wage cut in order to secure its jobs this fiscal year . Finally, consumers
                expect a rise in the tax burden as soon as the economy recovers, an inevitable
                                                                          22
                result of the government‟s deteriorating fiscal position , even after attempts in
                1997 to rejuvenate the economy by implementing tax cuts of 20 billion euro and
                                                                       23
                offering 300 billion euro aid to the financial sector.

                The 126 million inhabitants in Japan control 22% of the world‟s savings after the
                immense growth in the early 1990‟s that led to a bursting of the “bubble economy”.
                This had the effect that the value of the yen weakened, the cost of property was
                reduced, there was an increase in labour flexibility and the Japanese economy was
                                                                        24
                encouraged to participate in the globalisation process. Further economic
                restructuring is taking place to develop an environment favourable towards new
                business activities as well as to create a business environment attractive to both
                                                    25
                Japanese and foreign companies. Foreign investment is now welcomed in
                Japan. Deregulation and the development of key technologies as well as better
                human resources play an important role in this context. Deregulation means that
                free competition and market forces are allowed to influence the Japanese
                economy rather than a tight system of government control. A reform of
                standardised systems and corporate structures was intended to enable this, as
                Japan used to be a country in which the government decided on investment in a
                                                                                            26
                market that was not consumer-orientated and neglected small businesses .

                Business attitudes are changing. Previously Japan was not only closed to foreign
                investment and regulated by the state, but the attitudes of those that managed the
                businesses inhibited progress. Large corporations are headed by an elderly male
                elite who reinforce their own power through the existing hierarchy. Decision



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                  makers in businesses are often people who do not understand the technical
                  issues. A social vicious circle exists in which older managers who had to fight hard
                                                                                     27
                  and wait years for recognition treat younger staff in the same way. Furthermore,
                  the governmental structure was such that officials who were making decisions
                  were rotated too quickly, creating confusion and counteracting any educated
                  judgement these officials could make. Now some of these antiquated structures
                  are being dismantled.

                  Disposable income doubled between 1984 and 1998 with 29.5 % of the population
                  now owning personal computers as opposed to 11.7% in 1987. In 1987 70.4% of
                                                                                        28
                  Japanese households owned their own car, which rose to 82.5% in 1999.


    4.2.2         Work and Employment
                  A move towards the tertiary sector is evident, as the service industry with personal
                                                                       29
                  and business services becomes more important. Japan‟s rate of overseas
                  production is lower than the USA and Germany. The unemployment rate in Japan
                  is relatively low. It is currently at 4.6%, which signifies a recent decline in
                  unemployment. However, this low unemployment figure may be influenced by a
                  number of factors. One is the definition of unemployment. The unemployed are
                  defined as those who have looked for a job within a week prior to the survey (as
                  opposed to four weeks in the US) or are waiting to hear from prospective
                                                       30
                  employers concerning their jobs . This results in a great a number of people who
                  are looking for jobs being filtered out of the statistics. Further factors are that there
                  are 8.3% family workers in Japan and 14% of the working population is self-
                              31
                  employed . These figures are higher than in other industrialised countries.
                  Japanese employees working for corporations work on the basis of a lifetime
                  contract and the mechanism of “Shukko”, hoarding of potential redundant workers
                  with benefits and subsidiaries, means that such individuals are not part of the
                          31
                  survey . In addition, the government has taken measures to provide incentives
                  for companies that employ the not-so-easily-employable since the 1970‟s. Help in
                  job training and job seeking is provided by governmental institutions and the idea
                                                                                       31
                  that unemployment allowance is strictly temporary is reinforced .

                  Obtaining information about poverty in Japan is difficult. In general statistics, no
                  information is given about the poverty of inhabitants, as it is regarded “not
                  applicable” although it is implied in many articles that poverty exists but remains
                  obscure. Reports of visitors to Japan confirm that poverty is seldom seen in
                  Japan, nevertheless in recent years there has been an emergence of
                  homelessness, to be detected in towns where there are people living under
                  bridges and in parks. This is a result of the changes in the structure of society,
                  there are more unemployed as employment becomes less permanent.
                  Furthermore, the unemployed are no longer hidden away within the structure of the
                                               32
                  traditional Japanese family.


    4.2.2.1       Women in the Workforce
                  Women‟s role in Japanese society has altered to one where they are now in a
                  position to make decisions for themselves, and to seek education and
                  employment. Equal opportunity legislation prohibits discrimination on the basis of
                                                                                             33
                  race, creed, sex, social status, economic position, or family background.
                  However, Japanese women still feel disadvantaged, as a poll conducted by the
                  Minister‟s Office in 1995 showed, whereby “more than half of the respondents felt
                  that women had not yet achieved equality in the work place or in the realm of
                                   31
                  social attitudes” . The behaviour of women in employment is demonstrated in a
                  graph that shows an “M-curve”. Women are employed after graduation from
                  school or college, take time off to create a family and re-enter the job market at a
                  later age. This also means that on re-entering the market a woman‟s chances of
                  equal employment are limited as well as at the outset. It is important to note that


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                men still occupy senior positions and women are often confined to the service
                                       31
                sector or clerical work .

                Much employment in Japan is based upon lifetime contracts which penalise
                women who take time off to have children. Moreover, the Japanese government
                has yet to institutionalise child care leave and other concessions to alleviate this
                problem. Furthermore, in a society where a woman is expected to work in addition
                to her household responsibilities, full-time work, not to mention the expected over-
                time, remains impossible for the majority of women. There is evidence that
                Japanese companies apply varying hiring policies for men and women, with
                                                            31
                different promotion and salary increases .


    4.2.3       Population and Demographics

    4.2.3.1     Population Changes
                In geographic size, Japan is slightly smaller than the state of California, but with a
                total population of 127.2 million in 1999, which is about half of that of the entire
                United States. This results in a population density of more than 2240 people per
                                                                                               34
                square km, more than 11 times the population density of the United States .

                At the same time 75% of the land is too mountainous to cultivate, which means the
                actual population density is approximately 14 800 people per square km.
                Furthermore, 65% of its area is covered in forest, so that the Japanese population
                                                  34
                occupy even less of the country . 49 % of the population are crowded into the
                three big metropolitan areas of Tokyo, Osaka, Nagoya, and their surrounding
                       35
                cities . Japan suffers from the effects of this urbanisation. Rural areas are
                becoming less and less attractive as the desire for a better standard of living
                increases. Inflation of land prices and the great appreciation of land value in the
                city‟s central commercial district began in 1983. It later spread to other
                metropolitan areas and to smaller cities and towns. Those who expected to gain
                by reselling the properties invested a lot in speculation. Others who were afraid
                the inflation would accelerate rushed to purchase a place to live. All seemed well
                until the “bubble burst” in 1991, the land prices began to fall and have continued to
                              36
                do so since. A further problem is that much of the accommodation in the cities is
                in need of renovation or even total rebuilding. Those that bought property in the
                1960‟s and 1970‟s are now retired and in their 70‟s, often living alone after their
                                              31
                spouses have passed away .

                The growth of the Japanese population is slowing down, following a similar trend in
                most industrialised countries. It now lies at 0.20% in 1995 as opposed to 1.27% in
                1974, which is the result of the declining birth rate, from 18.6 per 1,000 in 1974 to
                10.0 per 1,000 in 1994. It is expected that Japan‟s population will reach a peak of
                                                                              31
                130.4 million in 2010, after which it will gradually decrease .

                The age distribution of the Japanese population is undergoing a gradual change as
                the birth rate declines. The pre-war structure, with a large population of children
                aged under 14 years and has given way to an ageing population. In 1995 14.4% of
                Japan‟s total population was 65 years of age or older. This figure is low in
                comparison with some European countries such as Sweden, where the ratio is
                nearly 18%, and the United Kingdom, where the ratio is over 15%. However, the
                average life expectancy in Japan is the highest in the world at 83.0 years for
                women and 76.6 years for men, which means that the ratio of senior citizens is
                                                                             31
                increasing sharply and is expected to reach 25.5% by 2020 .

    4.2.3.2     Families and Households
                The family has always played an important role in Japan, with strong familial ties
                being the focus of public and private life. Traditionally, parental authority and a rigid
                hierarchical system in which women were subordinate to their husbands and in-law



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                  family were the norm, and large families lived together under the dominance of
                  their elders. This is now changing as Western influences create a different model
                  of society.

                  There are factors that have brought about a change in the structure of society in
                                                                    31
                  which the small, two-generation “nuclearised” family exists, as well as attitudes to
                  the position of women, the elderly, marriage and divorce becoming far less rigid.
                  This change, initiated in the 1970‟s, is a result of globalisation in which all countries
                  not only have closer ties in trade and foreign investment, but they also inevitably
                  influence each other culturally, politically and in terms of accepted values. Japan
                  benefits from its Westernisation in terms of the standard of living but must also
                                                                                31
                  forfeit a great deal of its inherent culture in order to adapt .

                  Individual choices rather than the traditional family orientated ones are now central
                  to Japanese existence. The following stereotypes help to paint a picture of the
                  modern Japanese society. The typical “salariiman” does not actually fit the picture
                  of the Japanese workaholic but is more rather interested in working hard to get the
                  job done and having a private life outside the corporate existence in order to
                  pursue personal happiness. The orientation of the young adult is the enjoyment of
                  life and the importance of secular values such as friends and material wealth. The
                  focus on obligations to an existing or future family has been obliterated.
                  Excitement is central. The middle aged are middle class. This is reflected in a
                  study in which 80% of the respondents considered themselves to be so, promoting
                  values that revolve around “social well-being”, the avoidance of “unpleasant
                  situations” and the company of friends. The “Urban seniors” are the ones Japan
                  owes its post war prosperity to. They are influenced by the West and therefore
                  have equally substituted Japanese values for their own. They are still very much
                                                                           37
                  interested in achievement in the “time they have left”.

                  The average size of a Japanese household has dropped to less than 3 in half the
                                                                31
                  time it took the USA to make such a change . This not only shows that the family
                  structure has changed, it also reflects the decline of the fertility rate, as couples
                  have fewer children.

                  Arranged marriages continue to decrease and divorce is more of an option for both
                  men and women. This also reflects how families are becoming far more
                  democratic as women begin to assert themselves and the importance of the senior
                  members decreases.

                  The desire for smaller families or even single households means that a new
                  approach to caring for the elderly must be found. This has additional importance
                  as the number of elderly people increases in relation to the upcoming younger
                  generation. There are not enough children to go around providing care as work
                  commitments become more important for women and the traditional role of the
                  woman changes. An opinion poll shows how little Japanese life revolves around
                  personal family ties today. In 1987 31.7% of the population believed society and
                  the nation were important whereas in 1998 48.3% of the population think this way.
                  The importance of a fulfilled personal life has dropped from 37.0% in 1987 to
                                  31
                  32.7% in 1998 . This trend appears to be contradictory at first, as one would
                  argue that the reason why especially women are adamant about attaining
                  education and employment is because they desire a more fulfilled personal life.
                  However, this poll is not contradictory as it shows how much more aware people
                  are of their surroundings beyond the family as they begin to break away from such
                  structures.

                  Since the late 1960s the emphasis in Japan‟s housing sector has shifted from the
                  need to eliminate quantitative shortages to the need for qualitative improvements.
                  Japan‟s home ownership ratio (59.8% in 1991) is lower than that of the UK (67.6%
                  in 1991) and US ratio (64.2% in 1991). Nevertheless, according to the
                  Construction Ministry, Japan is ahead of France (53.8% in 1993) and Germany



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                                38
                (39.3% in 1987) . The house size varies from rural to urban area, due to the
                                                                                        38
                difference in the concentration of inhabitants, reflected in land prices .

                The infrastructure as a foundation for industrial activities such as transport and
                communication is well established in Japan. At the same time the infrastructure as
                the foundation for living standards is poor compared to the USA or Europe. For
                example in 1993 only 47% of the population had access to sewage facilities in
                Japan, whereas in the UK the percentage of the population was 96% and in the
                                 38
                USA it was 73% .


    4.2.4       Education
                A central goal of the educational system is to produce self-reliant citizens of a
                peaceful and democratic nation who respect human rights and love truth and
                       31
                peace . The law specifically prohibits any link between political parties or religion
                                31
                and education . Education is free and compulsory for all children between the age
                of six and fifteen, but most students continue beyond this age. In 1995, 97% of all
                students entered upper secondary school, a ratio similar to that of the United
                States, and 45% of all upper secondary school students continued on to university.
                This is smaller than that of the United States, but larger than that of western
                                     31
                European countries .

                In addition to junior colleges and universities, a number of students enter
                vocational schools. Moreover, the University of the Air opened in 1985 to provide
                access for adults wishing to re-enter education, by broadcasting lectures via radio
                               39
                and television .

                Private schools exist at all stages of education; they play an important role in pre-
                school and university education, both of which are beyond the scope of the
                compulsory system. As many as 80% of children in kindergartens and 73% of
                students in universities are enrolled in private institutions, and 30% of all upper
                                                             39
                secondary students attend private schools .

                The number of Japanese students studying abroad has increased. In 1994
                                                                   39
                151,000 students were studying in a foreign country .

                The administration of Japanese education follows the trend of decentralisation to
                make way for more local autonomy on all kinds of administrative levels, not just in
                education. Local authorities have a lot of say, whereas the Ministry of Education
                plays more of a co-ordinating role. Each school organises its own curricula in
                accordance with the Course of Study, prepared and published by the Ministry of
                         39
                Education .

                Educational background is a decisive factor in Japan's employment system. In
                order to acquire a position in a top ranking company, it is important to have
                graduated from a leading university. There is fierce competition in the entrance
                exams, and “cramming schools” to heighten the chances of success. However,
                awareness of the problem may eventually bring reform. Japanese parents believe
                there should be less emphasis on entrance exams and more preparation for a
                stress-free life, nevertheless geared towards the challenges of a highly
                technologically advanced society in which individuals must become more informed,
                                                       40
                more resourceful and more creative.


    4.2.5       Religion
                Religion and religious customs play a part in Japanese life, although not a decisive
                one as secular values become increasingly important. The freedom of religion is
                protected under Japanese law, whereby the state itself is under the obligation to
                                                            41
                refrain from religious education or activity . The dominant religion in Japan is



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                  Buddhism with 90 million followers at the end of 1994. Christianity is also active
                  with 1.5 million believers. Apart from these two there are approximately 100,000
                                                   41
                  Muslims residing in the country . The Japanese regard Confucianism as a code of
                  moral precepts rather than a religion, although its influence has declined since the
                                       41
                  Second World War .


    4.2.6         Leisure and Lifestyle
                  The Japanese have begun to pay more attention to leisure in recent years.
                  According to a survey by the Leisure Development Centre, the proportion of people
                  who attach greater importance to leisure than to work is growing year by year. In
                  1995 the proportion of respondents who said that leisure was more important
                  (35%) exceeded those who said work was more important (34%), although only by
                             31
                  one percent .

                  Favourite leisure activities include eating out, domestic travel, karaoke, and for
                  those who can afford it, foreign travel. The top ten destinations that Japanese
                  desire to visit are Bali Island, Las Vegas, New York, Seoul, Oahu (Honolulu),
                  London, Maldives, Paris, Vietnam, and Tahiti. The countries that Japanese have
                  the most positive feelings towards are in order of preference, USA, China, EU
                                                                                                     31
                  member countries, ASEAN (Association of South East Asian Nations) countries .

                  The Japanese are generally adapting to the global village of the Internet and are
                  quite advanced in new technologies, although this does not mean that the average
                  household has access to them. Nevertheless, Japan has long been a leader in
                  high-tech fields such as electronics, digital technologies and manufacturing
                  equipment. Its consumers like gadgets: 40% have cellular phones and 70% of all
                                                          42
                  households have video game players. Japanese realise the importance of
                  computer literacy in today‟s information society. Japan has about 10% of the
                                         43
                  world‟s Internet users who have access to a flow of information that never
                        44
                  stops. For this reason there will be changes in the structure of Japanese society,
                  for example in the way government agencies face the public.

                  Japanese citizens have the greatest and most direct contact with local
                  governments. With improvements in the speed, capacity and flexibility in hardware
                  to access and download information, some Japanese foresee local government
                  offices „staying open for business‟ through the Internet, enabling citizens to register
                  important events from the convenience of their own home. Japanese predict
                  computers being installed at convenience stores for those citizens who do not
                  have computers of their own. Equally, many Japanese now have the means for
                  direct access to individuals, commercial establishments, corporations and
                  government agencies in order to communicate their opinions and demands without
                  having to go through intermediaries. Individuals also have access to the same
                                                                                   45
                  sources of information that political and business leaders have.

                  Teleworking, working from home via the Internet, offers greater choices for
                  employment. Although working at home or at satellite offices has been carried out
                  since the 1980s, the concept of teleworking has only recently become a viable
                  alternative for Japanese. Teleworking is seen as useful, for example, in helping
                  workers who must care for frail elderly parents and who cannot work at an office
                  during regular hours. Furthermore, with teleworking, the number of individuals with
                                                                           46
                  special needs that can become employable will increase.

                  Japan is a technologically advanced country which has developed many important
                  technologies. Examples are Gallium-Nitride blue LEDs and lasers have started to
                  replace light bulbs in high value applications such as traffic lights. These were
                  developed at a relatively small company, Nichia, outside the conventional
                  mainstream Japan. This company has up to two years advance in technology and
                  patent coverage that reflects how long inventions take to become general



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                knowledge outside of Japan. The next generation combination of mobile phones
                and computing will be first in service in Japan and there are up to two million
                                                                               47
                Internet users accessing the web via mobile phone terminals.

                Japanese electronics makers are renowned for their ability to fit multiple functions
                into a single machine. One such company has come up with yet another unique
                combination, The Internet Microwave Oven. It follows cooking instructions taken
                from the Web and also has more than 50 installed recipes. In order to operate
                most current electronic appliances, the user must physically be close to the
                machine. Connecting appliances via the Internet to computers and other terminals
                will make them much more user friendly and users will be able to check the
                contents of their fridges or turn the lights on at home whilst they are out shopping.
                If such appliances prove popular, demand for electronics will surge as people
                trade in their old appliances, helping to activate the market. According to
                estimates by the home electronics industry, the value of the market for network-
                                                            48
                related goods will rise to US$219 billion.

                A further example of technological advances is the farming village of Katsurao.
                The experiment carried out here shows how attitudes towards technological
                appliances are open and that even Japanese in rural areas are adapting. Its 470
                households are connected to the KMMV, a system of videophones allowing
                families to stay in touch with each other, the village office, hospitals and schools.
                One of the most useful functions of this network is remote medical examinations.
                Katsurao, like many small farming communities, lacks medical facilities, which
                means this network makes health care possible for all. In addition, the KMMV
                network also allows video conferencing. In light of this, the Katsurao village office
                has been offering monthly lectures over the video network with an interactive
                question and answer session afterwards. Users of all ages have adapted to this
                experiment and use the network in their daily lives. The network is seen as a
                device to combat urbanisation and the dropping and ageing of village
                             49
                populations.

                In February 2000, the Prime Minister‟s Commission on Japan‟s Goals in the 21st
                Century published its report, entitled “The Frontier Within: Individual Empowerment
                                                                50
                and Better Governance in the New Millennium” . It indicates some of the political,
                social and cultural changes that prominent Japanese thinkers consider essential
                                                  st
                for the country to adopt in the 21 century. The report proposes that two major
                changes are needed to release Japan‟s potential: a change in the methods and
                systems whereby citizens interact with the state and redefining and rebuilding the
                relationship between the individual and the public domain.

                Among the recommendations that will have an important impact on Japan‟s use of
                technology, and assistive technology are:

                   Increasing “global literacy” so that Japanese people can freely and
                    immediately obtain information from the rest of the world, understand it, and
                    express their own ideas clearly. The basic elements of this new literacy are
                    the mastery of IT tools such as computers and the Internet, and the mastery of
                    English as the international language.” This is in sharp contrast to the
                    attitudes of the last decade. The first Internet provider was shut down. It is
                    proposed that English should be adopted as the country‟s official second
                    language.

                   Upgrading Japan‟s IT infrastructure and strengthening its IT training.

                   Transforming education to overturn its excessive degree of homogeneity and
                    uniformity. One proposal is to compress a carefully selected curriculum into
                    three days a week, with the other two days tailored to the needs of individual




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                      students.

                     Changing from governing to governance. In the past, priority has been given to
                      the state, the bureaucracy and organisations, and governance is seen as a
                      top-down or public-sector to private-sector process. To build a new form of
                      governance, the report proposes articulation of rules, disclosure and sharing of
                      information, presentation of options, transparent and rational decision making
                      and steady implementation of policy decisions, with assessment and review. It
                      proposes that the government‟s role should be strictly limited to those areas
                      that the private sector is incapable of handling.

                     In science and technology, the report stresses the need to promote Japan‟s
                      advances, especially those of e-commerce, but at the same time stress the
                      importance of Japanese life being both “spiritually as well as materially
                               50
                      affluent” .

                     The report acknowledges that the ageing of the population is progressing
                      faster in Japan than anywhere else.


    4.2.7         Social Security
                  The existing social security system consists of five divisions: public assistance,
                  welfare services, social insurance (medical care, pensions, child allowances,
                  unemployment insurance, and worker‟s accident compensation), public health, and
                                                                              51
                  the public service pension and assistance for war victims . There is a two-tiered
                  pension system consisting of the national pension plan, to which all citizens
                  belong, and pensions and mutual aid associations set up to cover the employees
                                                                      51
                  of various public and private sector organisations . There is pressure on the
                  Japanese government to restructure its social security system to adapt to an age
                  where a significantly higher proportion of the population are old aged and where
                  there is less care provided within the family for both the elderly and the disabled
                  due to the changes in Japanese society.


    4.2.8         Citizens with Disabilities and Universal Access
                  There is legislation that addresses the responsibility of the government to provide
                  for society‟s welfare and the rights of Japanese citizens to employment and equal
                  opportunities in education. Globalisation and the influence of Western values has
                  had an effect on a society that in the past, kept disabled and handicapped people
                  out of sight. The official numbers of mentally and physically disabled are a
                  reflection of this attitude. According to a report by the Japan Economic Institute in
                  October 1992, approximately 2% of the population were handicapped in some
                  way. An indication that this number is too low is the US ratio of 17%. This could
                  also be a reflection of what each country chooses to define as disabled. The
                  majority of physically disabled Japanese are handicapped because of a limb or
                  body trunk impairment considered severe enough to interrupt daily activities. This
                  group accounts for roughly 60% of the disabled population. Another 13% have
                  severe visual impairment; 15% have hearing or language disabilities; about 12%
                  suffer from permanent internal disorders such as heart or lung deficiencies. An
                  estimated 7% have multiple physical impairment. The mentally disabled include
                  both the people with mental retardation and those suffering from schizophrenia or
                  other mental illnesses. The figures for these cases are quite vague, although
                  internationally recognised trends lead psychiatrists to calculate that schizophrenia
                  alone affects 1% of every population, while depression impacts an estimated 5%
                        52
                  to 6% .

                  The need for caring institutions for the disabled or elderly is increasing as society
                  changes with the acceptance of the disabled but also as the number of elderly
                  increases and the traditional family structure in which the disabled and elderly
                  would have been looked after disintegrates. Furthermore, the scarcity of the


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                helpers and the variations of staffing around the country leave little assurance that
                                                     52
                everyone who wants help can get it .

                Several laws referring to employment or vocational training for disabled people
                have been passed and revised since 1947. Quotas that companies must fulfil
                have been introduced to ensure an uptake of disabled people into the work force.
                In 1976 fines were levied for companies who did not adhere and in 1987 these
                laws took up individuals with mental retardation. Although job quotas in Japan do
                not mandate equal job opportunities, they do intend to encourage mainstreaming
                             52
                of disability . Generally speaking it is difficult to obtain information on specific
                legislation that guarantees universal access for the disabled.

                Japan has a further problem encouraging equal access. It intends to allow
                universal access to all through education but sends disabled children to separate
                schools thereby not integrating them in society. They are made to feel different
                                  52
                although accepted . Even so, as the disabled president of the Committee on
                Employment of People with Disabilities, Justin Dart, points out, Japan is moving
                towards the integration and respect for people with disabilities based upon the
                models from abroad, and “if the Japanese decide they can do it, they will do it and
                             52
                do it better” .


    4.2.9       The Use of Assistive Technology
                In the past the development of assistive technology has been limited, mainly
                because Japanese society failed to recognise disability. People with disabilities
                were in effect hidden away. Some mechanical aids such as wheelchairs were
                imported, but these were often inappropriate for small Japanese houses.

                In the last decade, however, there has been an increasing awareness of disability
                and the needs of people with disability, and there are now some excellent
                examples of the application of advanced technological development to assistive
                technology.
                                                     53
                Companies such as “Technoworks” are working on projects to alleviate access
                to computer facilities for the physically impaired. For example an “eye behaviour
                interface” exists that replaces a mouse and also can be used to enhance self-
                support for handicapped people, allowing them to be independent of nursing
                assistance in operating assistive equipment. Users do not need any knowledge of
                                                           53
                the complex systems they are operating . Wearable computers is a further
                                                                                                 54
                innovation in this field, along with computers that recognise sign language.
                Developments reported at the Rehabilitation Engineering Society of Japan
                                               55
                (RESJA) annual conference are wide ranging and include memory aids for
                people with dementia; assistive devices for children and their parents to play
                together; and an impedance sensor switch for the locked-in syndrome patient.
                The signs are that Japan is now applying its knowledge of advanced technologies
                to assistive technology. Cultural changes, particularly the promotion of
                individualism rather than collective or institutional structures are likely to support
                recognition of the needs of disabled people as individuals.




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4.3 USA
                  The most important factor to note about the USA is that the individual is central to
                  an American consciousness. This is reflected in policies such as welfare and
                  health insurance. At the same time it is even manifested in the constitution that
                  universal access must be granted to all assets that allow the individual to prosper
                  within society. An example of this is the idea that telephone lines and postal
                  service must be accessible by everyone and there is a great deal of talk about
                  subsidising the universal access of the Internet. In this current age the lack of
                  access to the network would mean that such individuals were at a severe
                  disadvantage. It is the widespread notion that individuals cannot effectively
                  participate in the democratic process if they do not have equal and unrestricted
                  access to the main methods of communication and transportation. Thus, as
                  increasing fractions of the population become connected to a network, those left
                  unconnected become a larger burden to the democratic principle, whereas the
                  cost of subsidising their inclusion becomes ever smaller. This means a policy of
                  guaranteeing equal access is necessary to ensure the desired society in which
                                                    56
                  equal opportunities are enabled.

                  But there is a big difference between the ideology and the reality. The Americans
                  explain this as a contrast between “equality of opportunity” with “equality of
                  outcome”: people are supposed to get a fair shot at improving their lives, but there
                  is little patience with those who miss their opportunities or expect more of them
                  than others get. With respect to disability, the overall public perception is very
                  positive: people with disabilities are entitled to whatever it takes (including AT) to
                  get their fair shot. The public is generally less patient, however, with definitions of
                  disability that include mental health problems, drug abuse, and AIDS.


    4.3.1         Economy

                  The USA has the most powerful, diverse, and technologically advanced economy
                  in the world. Its per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the largest among
                  industrial nations at 33 000 euro, as of 1999. The economy is market-orientated
                  with most decisions made by private persons and businesses and with
                  government purchases of goods and services made predominantly in the market
                  place. US businesses enjoy far more flexibility than their counterparts in Western
                  Europe and Japan in decisions to expand capital plant, lay-off surplus workers,
                  and develop new products. At the same time, they face higher barriers of entry
                  into other countries as regards foreign investment when their own requirements for
                  foreign investment are low. Since the early 1980‟s the USA has been experiencing
                  steady growth in the standard of living. Growth slowed in 1990 due to the world
                  wide increase in interest rates, Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in August, the subsequent
                  rise in oil prices, and a general decline in consumer confidence, but picked up
                                                 57
                  again to reach 4.1% in 1999.

                  Long-term problems the USA faces are the lack of investment in an economic
                  infrastructure, sizeable trade deficits and the stagnation of family income in the
                  lower economic groups. The USA expects to experience a continually low
                           58
                  inflation . The USA is a leading industrial power in the world, highly diversified
                  and technologically advanced. Its main industries include petroleum, steel, motor
                  vehicles, aerospace, telecommunications, chemicals, electronics, food processing,
                                                          58
                  consumer goods, lumber and mining .

                  In 1998 the real median household income was 40 785 euro, and the per capita
                  income was 25 500 euro in 1999. The average US citizen saved 2.4% of
                  disposable income. The poverty rate in the USA has decreased from 13.3% of the
                  population in 1997 to 12.7% in 1998. According to the US government the
                  definition of the poverty rate includes anyone living on less than 1300 euro per


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                month (1996). On the other hand, independent researchers believe it to constitute
                anyone living on less than 2880 euro per month, which would mean that 35% of
                the population were living in poverty. The top 10% of the US population owned
                80% of the nation‟s non-residential wealth in 1995, with an average annual income
                of $150 000.

                The average household pays 24% of its income in taxes, and the top 10% pay
                     59
                29%. Owning one‟s own home is considered to be part of the American dream,
                                                                                    60
                in 1990, about 64% of American households owned their own home. One
                quarter of the population lived alone in 1999. Such households are usually to be
                found in the larger cities such as New York.


    4.3.2       Work and Employment

                The American labour force is made up of 137.7 million of the 272.6 million citizens,
                including the unemployed. In 1999, 66% were working outside the home, whilst
                                              61
                34% were working at home. It is interesting to note that in March 2000, 47% of all
                Americans wished to be self employed, 21% would have liked to work for a small
                                                                                        62
                company, 10% for a big company and 10% for a government agency. An article
                published in the TIME magazine states, when commenting on who will be the new
                elite in the US, “The credentials you will have to present to enter the virtual room
                in which candidates for office are chosen, educational systems run, foreign
                alliances forged and social arrangements set will not be family background or
                educational achievement. It will be having started a successful business and
                                           63
                made a lot of money at it”
                                                                          64
                Labour force by occupation (excluding the unemployed)
                  Managerial and professional                                  29.6%
                  Technical, sales and administrative support                  29.3%
                  Service industry                                             13.6%
                  Manufacturing, mining, transportation and crafts             24.8%
                  Farming, forestry and fishing                                2.7%

                The unemployment rate in March 2000 was 4.1%, a slight decreased from 4.5% in
                    64
                1998 . Average hourly earnings have increased by 3.7% since the beginning of
                1999.

                The definition of an unemployed individual is someone who is between the age of
                18 and 65 years, physically and mentally able to work and has been actively
                seeking work during the four weeks that precede a survey. The number of
                discouraged workers, those that are no longer seeking employment as they do not
                                                                         65
                believe they will find any, was 257,000 in March 2000 . The Gallup Organisation
                found in their survey that 60% of the labour force thought it highly unlikely that they
                will lose their job in the following twelve months, as opposed to 53% in 1989. Only
                12% of the labour force thought it to be very likely that this would happen to
                       66
                them.

                The diffusion of information technologies and growth in electronic commerce have
                affected the way businesses operate, forcing them to adopt flexible organisations
                and generating operational efficiencies. Small businesses are competing globally
                and multinationals are expanding their global operations. Increased competition,
                global access and organisational change are affecting labour markets by
                influencing employment demand, wages and skill requirements. By 2006, almost
                half (49%) of the private workforce will be employed either by industries that
                produce IT equipment or services or by industries that are heavy users of IT
                equipment or services, up from 44% in 1989. Expanding Internet usage and
                electronic commerce are contributing to increased demand for “core” IT workers
                (computer scientists, engineers, programmers and systems analysts), but are also
                generating new IT occupations, changing skill requirements for some non-IT



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                  occupations and raising the minimum skill requirements for many lower skilled
                      67
                  jobs .

                  As skill requirements have risen, so have wages paid to IT workers. The wage
                  gap between IT workers and all other workers continues to widen. In 1997,
                  workers employed in IT-producing industries earned 55 500 euro compared with
                  the economy-wide average of 31 000 euro. Labour markets are beginning to
                  respond. A significant and growing training infrastructure is emerging to train
                  workers for low to medium skill IT jobs – for example, through community colleges
                  and proprietary training and certification programmes. At the high end, enrolment
                  in the US four–year computer science programmes doubled between 1994 and
                  1997. Additionally, government, business and education have begun a number of
                                                                        67
                  joint initiatives to increase the supply of IT workers .

    4.3.2.1       Women in the Workforce
                  As opposed to women in Japan who have only just begun to break out of their
                  traditional constraining roles, women in the USA, and indeed the EU, have gone
                  beyond that stage and are now questioning their present acceptance and wish for
                  more. Stress-related problems rank highest amongst American women, who feel
                  the strain of being both employed and completing most household and child
                  rearing roles alone.

                  The unemployment rate for married mothers with children under 18 (3.3% in 1998)
                  has not changed from previous years. In contrast, the unemployment rate of
                  unmarried - single, widowed, separated or divorced mothers (9.3%) declined by
                  1.1% in 1998. There was little annual change in the unemployment rates for all
                  mothers whose youngest child was six to seventeen years old (4.1%), or for those
                  with pre-school children (6.5%). 74% of all American mothers are employed either
                  full time (40%) or part time (36%). A Canadian study for North America shows that
                  the current fertility rate is lower than required to sustain the population.
                  Furthermore, as women become more educated, articulate and employed, they
                  are waiting longer to have children. In 1997, 31% of first time births were to
                  women older than thirty compared to 19% a decade earlier.

                  A proposed amendment to the Constitution, would have given women equal status
                  to that of men, bu the Equal Rights Amendment has never been passed. A recent
                  survey by the Women‟s Bureau found that this equality was not happening as
                  much in practice as women wished. 79% of the women surveyed admitted to
                  either “liking” or “loving” the job they did, if they were employed, which 99% of
                                                                      68
                  American women are at some time in their life . Nevertheless, women still feel
                  that their status is not recognised. This is reflected in the differences in pay
                  between men and women and in the apparent “glass ceiling” to senior managerial
                  positions. 61% of the women participating in the survey mention that they have
                  little or no possibilities of advancing within their job. Furthermore, women find that
                  the importance of childcare facilities or more flexible working hours because of
                  childcare commitments are not recognised by employers or public policy. 65% of
                  women say that “improving pay scales” is a high priority for change, and 49% say
                                                                                   68
                  that they do not get paid what they believe their job is worth . On the other hand, a
                  survey carried out amongst American men showed that 78% believed women
                  were receiving equal pay, whereas only 13% of the men questioned thought
                  women were receiving less than them or less than what their work was worth
                                    69
                  (January 2000).


    4.3.3         Population and Demographics
                  The population of the USA was 263,814,032 in 1995 in a country that is two and a
                                                                                                  70
                  half times the size of Western Europe or one and a half times the size of Russia .
                  The age structure was such that 22% were between the ages of 0 and 14 years,
                  65% were between 15 and 64 years, and 13% were above 65 years, with 2/3 of
                  those over 65 female. The Population Growth Rate was 0.85% with a birth rate of



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                15,25 births per 1000, and 8.38 deaths per 1000. The total fertility rate was 2.08
                children per woman. A further interesting factor is the ethnic division in the USA.
                83.4% of the population are white, 12.4% are black and 3.3% Asian. Native
                                                                     71
                Americans made up 0.8% of the population in 1992 . The USA calls itself a
                „melting pot‟ of various ethnicities, and whereas the social status is not dependent
                on ethnic origin, this basic human right is not always adhered to. Life expectancy
                                                                                   72
                in 1999 for males is 72.95 years and for females is 79.67 years.

                Similar to the EU and Japan, the USA has an ageing population. In 1997, the
                percentage of the population that is elderly was 13%. From 1995 to 2010, the
                percentage of elderly is expected to increase by 17% from 33.5 million to 39.4
                million. From 2010 to 2030, the population of elderly is expected to grow by 75%.




                The ageing of the population is a result of the declining fertility rate, and a direct
                consequence of the ageing of the “baby-boom” generations born between 1946
                                                                              73
                and 1964. They will begin to reach the age of 60 by 2006 . The measure for this
                is the rise in the median age of the population and the rise in the percent of the
                                                      73
                population aged 65 years and over . This has similar social, economic and
                political implications for American society as it does in Japan and the EU.
                Nevertheless, the birth and fertility rates are higher in the USA than in the EU,
                meaning that the USA will not experience such a shrinking of the work force as the
                EU, although there will still be a rise in the dependency ratio. Also, the emphasis
                in American society does not necessarily seem to be on the earlier retirement of
                citizens as so much on the maintenance of people‟s health in order for them to be
                                                                                     74
                able to work as long as possible and not have to retire so early. A survey
                commissioned by the National Council on Ageing at the end of 1999 showed that
                most Americans were optimistic about old age. This is seen to be a direct result of
                health improvement, as only 32% of those over 65 and 39% of those under 65
                                                       75
                consider poor health to be problem.




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    4.3.4         Education
                  The argument exists that American students lag behind other industrialised nations
                  with regards to education, despite reforms in recent years. This is acknowledged
                  to be true for elementary and secondary education, but not for college and
                  graduate study. It is on the other hand that the US competes internationally in
                  attracting so many foreign students, who then stay.

                  However, many see this not to be the most important focus of the educational
                  reformers. The greatest issue confronting today‟s schools is the need to respond
                  to the increasing diversity of the student population. Like in both Japan and
                  Europe, Americans realise the need for changes in the curriculum to create
                  individuals that are able to adapt to the technological advances and globalisation of
                                                       76
                  an ever more international society.

                  Over the last three decades, the share of adults in the United States who have
                  some post-secondary education has been rising about 3% per year. Today almost
                  50% of all adults (and 55% of those under 35) have had at least one year of
                  college, and this is expected to rise to 55% by 2005.

                  Using the term college education to refer to education carried out at the end of
                  compulsory secondary school, college education tends to focus on learning how to
                  gather and analyse information rather than simply mastering factual material.
                  While the academic content of college courses varies, people who have had some
                  college study are more likely to be more analytical in gathering information about
                  purchasing decisions, and are often more sceptical of perceived authority.
                  Furthermore, they are likely to have used information technology at college. These
                  developments are similar to the conscious suggestions in the EU to change
                  traditional education structures to ones that are geared towards educating people
                  on how to use resources and know where to obtain the information they need,
                  rather than simply processing information.

                  Such individuals are likely to be far more sophisticated consumers and question
                  more, so as to make better-informed decisions. As a larger number of Americans
                  attain higher qualifications they are far more likely to work in jobs which pay higher
                  incomes; they have more money at their disposal to feed back into an economy,
                  which is increasing its productivity as its employees become more educated.
                  These people use information technology both at home and at work, and the
                  number of households that now own a PC in the States is 46%, and amongst
                                                                       77
                  college graduates the figure rises to 70% in 1996.

                  Of the new jobs that have been created in the last decade, the majority are
                  information-intensive occupations that require using, processing and analysing
                  information. In the USA, 49% of the newly created jobs are managerial or
                  professional, and a further 26% are technical, sales or administrative. These
                  information-intensive positions require the use of a PC or other type of computer.

                  Surveys carried out in the USA showed that in February 2000, 54% had used the
                  Internet in the last month, of which 42% spent more than five hours per week using
                  it. 62% believed that surfing the net was more beneficial than watching television,
                  although 59% conceded that they would rather watch television than surf the net.
                  A total of 44% of American homes had access to the Internet in 1999 as opposed
                  to 37% in 1998. Nevertheless, 41% in 1999 ( 47 % in 1998) did not have access
                  either at home or at work. 46% of the population were of the opinion that it had
                  improved their quality of life in some way, whereas only one percent of the
                  population felt it had worsened their life. 26% reckoned it had not made any
                                       78
                  difference to them.




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    4.3.5       Religion
                With an almost completely immigrant population the USA has no religious
                heritage. In 1998, 56% of the population were Protestant, 28% were Roman
                Catholic, 2% were Jewish, 4% were of other religions and 10% were not religious
                at all. Constitutionally, the state and the church are separated and each citizen
                has its right to belong to any religious community. The moral culture of the USA is
                based upon liberal, (and rather non-liberal) Christian beliefs. In March 2000 26%
                of the population supported the Conservative Christian political movement,
                whereas in 1996, only 20% did so. When asked how often they attended a church
                or synagogue, as of March 2000, 36% attended at least once a week, 11% almost
                every week, 13% once a month, 30% seldom and 10% never. These figures are
                                           79
                similar to those of 1996. While religion has remained a vibrant and vital part of
                American society American religious society is a diverse one. Religion is a
                significant factor in voting patterns, ideology about public policy and political
                careers. Religion has been “privatised”, it is no longer an issue of collective public
                concern, but one that the individual decides on and practices in private. There are
                                                                                                80
                far more “niche groups” that have their own particularities than ever before.


    4.3.6       Social Security
                The USA is not a country that provides compulsory or state funded health
                insurance for its citizens, although it does have domestic government programmes
                that provide economic protection for those Americans that are in disadvantaged
                situations, such as disabled citizens.

                The Social Security System is one that is based on a credit system. Those who
                work collect credits that count towards eligibility for future Social Security benefits.
                This reflects very much the meritocratic nature of the US society. Workers can
                earn a maximum of four credits each year and most people need 40 credits to
                qualify for any benefits. Exceptions and alleviations are made for younger people
                with disabilities. The Social Security benefit is a percentage of earnings averaged
                over the working lifetime. Social Security is not intended to be the sole income for
                people who are disabled or retired, but is intended as a supplement to other
                pension plans, savings and investments. Low income workers receive a higher
                rate of return than those in the upper income brackets, but a worker with average
                earnings can expect a retirement benefit that represents about 42% of their
                average life time earnings. This reflects the liberal American notion of the
                individual‟s responsibility. Further examples of this attitude are to be found in web
                sites that intend to broaden the public debate about strategies to achieve a
                prosperous and fair economy and what the citizen can do about this. However
                strong the conviction that the individual should look out for him or herself, there are
                many Americans who are dissatisfied with the absence of a more caring social
                security system. There are increased demands for revisions of the health care
                systems; fewer restrictions on unemployment insurance and implementation of
                                    81
                family leave laws. At the same time, in March 2000 60% of American workers
                                                                           82
                said they would opt out of Social Security if they could. This is because they
                believe that any reliance on a government is far riskier than investing in health and
                pension plans privately for oneself and one‟s family. Of course not everyone can
                afford to do so, nevertheless this is an apt example of liberal American attitudes.

                There are five major categories of benefits paid for through social security taxes:
                Retirement benefits, Family benefits, Survivors benefits (widowed spouses) and
                Medicare, the state funded health care plan that provides a minimum of health
                care to those who cannot afford to pay for themselves, like pensioners and the
                disabled. All other health insurance is private and optional. The state does not
                regulate, fund or subsidise it through taxpayers‟ contributions.




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    4.3.7         Citizens with Disabilities and Universal Access
                  The USA is quite advanced in its acceptance of disabled and its promotion of their
                  rights and integration. 17% of the American population is disabled, a figure that is
                  far more realistic than the Japanese one of 2%. An individual is disabled in the US
                  if he or she

                     has a physical or mental impairment that substantially limits one or more of his
                      or her major life activities
                     has a record of such an impairment
                                                                83
                     is regarded as having such an impairment .

                  Legislation on universal access is far more developed in the US than in Japan.
                                                        83
                  The “Americans with Disabilities Act” and “The Accessibility Guidelines for
                                           84
                  Buildings and Facilities” were ground breaking, and followed by many more with
                  recent emphasis on telecommunications and IT accessibility: Rehabilitation Act
                  (1973 and amendments); Telecommunications Accessibility Enhancement Act
                  (1988); Technology-Related Assistance to Individuals with Disabilities (“Tech”) Act
                  (1988); Hearing Aid Compatibility Act (1988); Television Decoder Circuitry Act
                  (1990); Americans with Disabilities Act (1990); Telecommunications Act (1996);
                  Workforce Investment Act (1998)

                  This background of legislation, and numerous private associations and lobby
                  groups provide far more of a forum for the integration of disabled in society.
                  Government institutions are in place to assist disabled people in their access to
                  information on help with disabilities. Such institutions include the “DeafWeb
                  Washington” that provides an interactive web site for people with hearing
                  disabilities. Other private institutions are ones like “Archimedes” whose mission is
                  to “promote equal access to information for individuals with disabilities by
                                                                                                   85
                  influencing the early design stages of tomorrow‟s computer-based technology”.

                  Disability Watch is a compendium of data on the status of Americans with
                  disabilities from Disability Rights Advocates and the Disability Statistics Center. It
                  offers advice and information as well as support to those who require it. It asks
                  whether the status of people with disabilities is improving in the US and looks at
                  factors such as employment, income, social participation and equal access. Their
                  main conclusion is that despite the fact that society is adjusting to accommodate
                  people with disabilities, not enough is being done. For example 81% of employers
                  report to have made adjustments in order to be able to employ people with
                  disabilities, and indeed pledge to privilege an applicant with disabilities over a non-
                  disabled applicant. This positive discrimination is in place as an attempt to further
                  the integration of people with disabilities rather than put non-disabled people at a
                  disadvantage. For example the rate of employment for people aged 16-24 with a
                  severe physical impairment increased from 27.6% in 1991 to 32.2% in 1994, on
                  the other hand people with any degree of functional limitation had a 48.6%
                                                              86
                  employment rate both in 1991 and 1994.

                  Partly because people with disabilities are more likely to hold part-time jobs, their
                  earnings are lower than those of their non-disabled peers. In 1995, working men
                  with disabilities earned on average only 72.1% of the amount non-disabled men
                  earned annually, while working women with disabilities made 72.6% as much as
                  those women without disabilities. Median monthly income for men with work
                  disabilities averaged 1 970 euro in 1995, 20% less than their counterparts without
                  disabilities. Women with disabilities earned 1 580 euro, or 13% less than non-
                                     87
                  disabled women .

                  People with disabilities continue to live in relative social isolation. Among persons
                  living in the community rather than institutions, those with disabilities are twice as
                  likely to live alone than those without disabilities.



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                According to administrative data from the US Department of education, 5.3 million
                children and adolescents participate in federally supported programmes for
                students with disabilities. Of the 4.7 million primary and secondary students with
                disabilities, just over half are identified as having learning disabilities, while most of
                the remaining students have speech or language impairments, mental retardation,
                or serious emotional disturbances. Smaller numbers have hearing, orthopaedic or
                visual impairments. The remaining 215,000 students include those identified as
                                                                                             87
                having multiple disabilities, other health conditions and deaf-blindness .

                A large majority of students with disabilities (70.4% during the 1992-93 school
                year) spend a substantial fraction of their day with non-disabled students and
                spend the rest attending special lessons. 24.1% of all students with disabilities are
                educated away from non-disabled students. Because of a strong belief in the
                benefits of mainstream education for children with disabilities, as well as for their
                non-disabled peers, recent national policy has promoted increased placement of
                students with disabilities in integrated classrooms.

                The likelihood of graduating from secondary education depends on the nature of
                the disability, as does the means of graduation. Students with sensory
                impairments are most likely to graduate, doing so mostly with standard diplomas.
                Almost two thirds of students with orthopaedic impairments, mental retardation,
                multiple disabilities, and learning disabilities graduate, although not necessarily
                receiving ordinary diplomas. In post-secondary education, 6.3% of college
                undergraduates and 4.0% of graduate and professional school students identify
                themselves as having a disability.

                Computer technology and the Internet have a tremendous potential to broaden the
                lives and increase the independence of people with disabilities. These new
                technologies hold great promise, however, only one quarter of people with
                                             87
                disabilities own computers , although the computer technology itself is being used
                to further the integration of people with disabilities into American society. Ultratec,
                Weitbrecht Communications, Krown Research, Nxi Communications, the North
                West Center for Emerging technologies are but few of the many researchers and
                manufacturers of assistive technology in the US.

                Finally, American society has seen an increase in people with disabilities in the
                past quarter century. There are two distinct trends that have contributed to this.
                Demographic shifts associated with an ageing population and a greater number of
                children born (and surviving) with disabilities. Among people under 45 years of
                age, the most dramatic changes in disability rates have occurred during the 1990s.
                Among younger adults the proportion with activity limitation increased from 8.7% of
                men and 8.9% of women in 1990 to 10.2% of men and 10.3% of women in 1994.
                Among children under 18, disability rates underwent a similar increase between
                1990 and 1994: from 5.6% to 7.9% for boys and from 4.2% to 5.6% for girls.
                These changes may be partly accounted for by the increases in the prevalence of
                asthma, mental disorders, mental retardation and learning disabilities that have
                been noted among children in recent years. Among younger adults, rates of
                orthopaedic impairments and mental and nervous disorders have gone up during
                                87
                the same period .


    4.3.8       The Use of Assistive Technology
                Disability has a high profile in the USA, but purchase of assistive technology is
                generally seen as a private or personal affair, not one funded and carried out by
                the state. This may lead to a weakness in service delivery. A „gadget‟ nation, the
                USA spawns many devices, some of which may lack vigorous testing.

                The Rehabilitation Engineering and Assistive Technology Society of North America
                (RESNA) (which has recently added the words assistive technology to its title) runs



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                  a large annual conference and exhibition, with papers on a wide range of assistive
                  technology. However, at the European AAATE conference last year, it was noted
                  that American delegates felt that the USA talked about assistive technology, but
                  the Europeans got on and developed it, and that some assistive technology was
                  better developed in Europe.


4.4 Conclusions
                  1. The three major economic forces, Europe, Japan and USA, have had very
                     different cultures and values, but these are beginning to converge as a result
                     of globalisation.

                  2. Europe has the best developed welfare states or social security systems in
                     which disadvantaged and non-working citizens have been provided with
                     support via the taxation system. Universal health services have been
                     developed. The concept of universal access to all aspects of society for
                     disabled people is well accepted (although practice lags) and some European
                     countries have specific disability legislation which spells out the rights of
                     people with disabilities and the responsibilities of statutory bodies to meet their
                     needs.

                       But there has been a cost. Taxation as a proportion of GDP is higher in most
                       European countries than in Japan and the USA. The demand for services,
                       particularly healthcare has risen as citizens expectations of their health service
                       has increased with advances in healthcare. While the European countries with
                       well developed welfare services are not looking to abandon the welfare states
                       or social security systems that they have created they are looking at how best
                       to fund services and to encourage citizens to take more personal
                       responsibility.

                  3. In European countries where state support for people who are unable to work,
                     or have disabilities has been strong, there is a move towards a combination of
                     the state and the individual each taking some responsibility rather than only
                     the state. This can be viewed as a move from a rather paternalistic
                     relationship of the state to its citizens to a more „adult‟ partnership between
                     state and individual. Some countries have a system where a range of
                     services are provided by private or commercial organisations and funded by
                     private but compulsory contributions, and others are looking at this principle.
                     This is in effect a move towards individualism, where citizens take more
                     personal responsibility for contributing to, and selecting, care and health
                     services that meet their individual needs. Furthermore, many of the services
                     are being organised and run by commercial rather than state-run
                     organisations. And while many of the care services and assistive devices are
                     still purchased by state organisations, a private market is developing too.
                     These changes are likely to stimulate the markets for care services
                     (particularly home care) and for assistive technology. There is a need for
                     quality assurance in the system, and this is most likely to be provided by the
                     statutory bodies, and /or self-regulation mechanisms in the caring industry
                     itself. For assistive technology, a lesson can be drawn from the USA, which
                     has spawned a vast array of devices aimed at individual purchases, some of
                     which are dubious in quality or ability to do the job. One possibility would be to
                     stimulate development of a „quality mark‟ which could be awarded to assistive
                     technology devices which have been tried and tested by relevant users,
                     through bodies which represent those users (charities, disabled user groups
                     etc).

                  4.    One further important social change is the increase in the proportion of young
                       people who have extended (post-school) education. This trend, which is
                       evident in Europe, USA and Japan, means that there will be a growing
                       proportion of people who are educated to a higher standard, and who will



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                     make higher demands on services, but are more likely to have the resources
                     to pay for these services. Expectations are likely to be pushed up this group.
                     The challenge will be in providing a high level of care service universally, if that
                     is a social goal.

                5.    Japan has been a very centralised country, where the collective society was
                     more important than the individual, but this is beginning to change. There are
                     signs that the culture is starting to move towards more individualism, and there
                     is more emphasis on personal pleasure. Disabled people were not really
                     acknowledged in the past, although again this is now changing. In the last
                     decade Japan fought to protect its culture from outside influence, for example,
                     closing down the first Internet service provider, but is now embracing the
                     effects of globalisation, and has convinced itself at the highest government
                     levels that there is more to be gained than lost by this inevitable trend. The
                     acknowledgement by government that its citizens should be literate in English,
                     the dominant world language, and in ICT skills are important signs of a
                     changing attitude. Changes in practise, particularly in large corporations that
                     are still run by an old hierarchy may, however, be slower.

                6.     The USA focuses on individual rights and entitlements with legislation to back
                     this up. With respect to assistive technology, this has meant that public
                     programs serving people with disabilities are required to address technology
                     options. The impetus in assistive technology is towards legislation and
                     regulation in mainstream technology. The USA can be seen at the centre of
                     globalisation. Because of the country‟s vast economic and mass media force,
                     its language (English) has become the most important language. American
                     films dominate the film scene almost world wide and the American TV news
                     channel CNN is amongst the best known in the world, often shown in
                     European airports. American computer technology has shaped the world-wide
                     computer industry. Individualism is central to American culture which is built
                     on meritocracy (particularly the ability to make money). It is evident in
                     disability legislation which emphasises the rights of individual people with
                     disabilities to have equal access to services and to society as a whole. Sales
                     of assistive technology are aimed at individuals rather than statutory bodies.

                     But American society is more polarised; there is a much greater gap between
                     the „haves and have nots‟. While Europe and Japan are moving towards more
                     individualism, and employment patterns which may increase polarisation (eg
                     periods of unemployment, or groups of people who are do not have relevant
                     skills and are not employed) it is unlikely that their citizens will find the wholly
                     American model acceptable. From a European perspective with its legacy of
                     state provision (particularly of welfare services) American society lacks
                     important elements that make it a truly collective society. European culture
                     places more value on aspects of life other than work, and there are signs that
                     attitudes to work are changing in Japan too – people are beginning to demand
                     more leisure time. So while globalisation (in social terms) might be viewed by
                     some as „Americanisation‟, the next decade may see influences and cultural
                     attitudes from other cultures (eg Europe, Asia) being shared around the world,
                     particularly when it comes to the provision of services and assistive devices for
                     elderly and disabled people.

                7. There is a general trend towards more flexible working practises stimulated by
                   new technologies. The more common use of home working will potentially
                   improve employment prospects for some disabled people. This will help
                   financially, but as importantly, to the social status of people where they are
                   judged by their occupation, particularly in the USA.




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5 Technology Transfer

5.1 Terms of reference
                  During the study the Commission Services asked the study team to provide some
                  insight into the process of technology transfer. Specifically it asked:
                   What has happened in the past for technology to transfer from the mainstream
                       to assistive technology domain?
                   Who are they key players in technology transfer?
                   Is there better technology transfer in some countries compared to others?
                   How do market relations and specificities affect technology transfer?

                  Due to the nature of technology transfer in the assistive technology domain it is not
                  possible to give as clear-cut answers as the Commission Services would like.

                  We have looked at examples of technology transfer from mainstream to assistive
                  technology domains. Following the track record of innovations, the research,
                  development and the transfer processes, we have observed a multitude of
                  approaches, some of which would appear to be very much of an ad-hoc nature.
                  Subjectively judged, it seems that the best results are obtained if the process of
                  transfer is well thought through and explicitly organised. To demonstrate this we
                  have described, in section 5.3, the typical characteristics of today's assistive
                  technology market.

                  In section 5.4 we have identified technology transfer mechanisms described for the
                  assistive technology domain and identified the profiles of the key players in these
                  mechanisms.

                  Finally in sections 5.6, 5.7, and 5.8 and we describe real life technology transfer
                  initiatives that have been instigated in the USA, Europe and Japan.




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5.2 Introduction
                What is technology transfer?


                … the process that promotes the integration of creative works of university faculty,
                staff and students to public use and/or commercial application through patenting,
                                                 88
                licensing and start-up formation .

                … the process by which existing knowledge, facilities or capabilities developed
                under (US) federal R&D funding are utilised to fulfil public and private needs.
                Although this process can be very simple or quite complex, it basically involves a
                technical resource, a user, and some interfaces connecting the two. Technology
                transfer includes a range of formal and informal co-operation between technology
                developers and technology seekers. In addition, technology transfer involves the
                transfer of knowledge and technical-know-how as well as physical devices and
                            89
                equipment .

                … for products, is the transfer from the laboratory to a private company for
                manufacture, marketing and sales; and for research, is the transfer of information
                in the form of a paper or publication which is then used by another laboratory,
                                       90
                researcher or clinician .

                … all activities concerned with the transformation of new technology into
                                                                                          91
                innovation and various means by which technological knowledge is spread .

                … the process which concerns the flow of products, processes and relating
                findings directly resulting from laboratory work, leading to their dissemination,
                adoption and use by individuals and organisations outside the (development)
                       92
                center .


                The transfer of technology is not a simple process or procedure that can be taken
                “off the shelf”. A large variety of circumstantial factors determine which optimal
                procedure should be followed. The type of technology to be transferred is a
                dominant factor in selecting the best strategy for technology transfer.

                A very rough division could be made between the transfer of:
                 product-based 'narrow' technology (micro-level),
                 'broad' and generic technology which can be used in several products (macro-
                    level).

                There are very few broad technologies developed within the assistive technology
                market. However, many developed in the mainstream markets are changing the
                scene of assistive technology. Computing and telematics, are two examples that
                give major opportunities in assistive technology. The technology transfer models
                needed for applying broad technologies should be open and flexible. They should
                allow a large number of prospective technology providers to be monitored and for
                the appropriate selection of the best choice for the development of an assistive
                technology product. Keeping up to date with this technology is not a simple task for
                the assistive technology sector and requires a relatively large effort.

                Some mainstream generic technologies have partly relied on the demand for them
                in the assistive technology domain. An example is speech technology where in the
                early stages the research funds were often motivated by the importance of the
                technology to people with disability. Some of the funding has been provided
                directly by funds for disabled people.




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                  Other examples are somewhat anecdotal but are nevertheless originating from the
                  needs of people with disabilities:

                     The commonly used ballpoint pen has been an important innovation for people
                      with problems with gripping and hand-control. While looking for assistive
                      technology solutions it became evident that the development could lead to
                      demand in a very large mainstream market;

                     The cassette recorder is a similar example: being badly needed by blind
                      people for speaking books and letters etc. the need for a simple and reliable
                      tape-recorder for the mainstream market was obvious.

                  The narrow technology, a single product, where one or a number of new
                  technologies, materials or components are integrated into a useful application, is
                  more common in the assistive technology domain. In this case the components
                  are not necessarily the ultimate state of the art, for these are often too expensive
                  and not cost effective. The technology transfer will be much more directly related
                  to the detailed market mechanisms. The assistive technology market structure is
                  relatively complex due to the high number of intermediaries (prescriber, advisor,
                  procurer and deliverer/after sales support), that are involved in the process.



5.3 Characteristics of the assistive technology
    market
                  The assistive technology market in Europe can be characterised as being
                  dominated by SME‟s addressing local, regional and sometimes national markets,
                  and occasionally international markets. The companies tend to specialise in
                  particular sectors and address narrow market segments. The assistive technology
                  market in Europe is fragmented.

                  Another characteristic is its oligopolistic structure justified by the relatively small
                  number of companies that are active in the field. Because of this structure the
                  assistive technology market is not very sensitive to technological advances. Prices
                  remain at relatively high levels due to high development costs and the fact that
                  competition does not effect so much prices but product differentiation.

                  Another reason for the assistive technology market remaining oligopolistic is the
                  intervention of third party purchasers or intermediary organisations that are given,
                  by law, the task of assessing disabled and elderly people, and prescribing
                  solutions. Such organisations prefer dealing with a few larger companies rather
                  than with many smaller ones. This market structure in conjunction with the
                  inefficient distribution channels provided by the provision system have created
                  communication gaps between market actors and the end users. Field actors do
                  not have sufficient knowledge of the end user needs and requirements which is
                  necessary to produce high quality products. Efficient and clearly identifiable
                  channels for collaboration during product development are lacking. There is a
                                                                                   93
                  frequent absence of appropriate information and collaboration.

                  There are numerous companies in the European assistive technology industry due
                  to the differing needs of different types of impairments. Most of them are small
                  companies and many are both manufacturers and distributors. In spite of the fact
                  that the industrial situation is primarily competitive, different forms of coherence
                  exist between the industries and also between other actors in the assistive
                  technology field.
                                                                     94
                  According to the HEART study (1993), Line B , the numerous mainstream
                  industries may have an impact on the assistive technology sector by making their
                  products and services accessible to the assistive technology customers. They



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                have a large technical potential which can be of use for assistive technology.
                Therefore Heart Line B studied the actual and possible links between assistive
                technology and mainstream industries in the IT&T (Information Technology and
                Telecommunications) sector, especially the technology area of „new media‟,
                (defined as any system which could carry information on a combination of more
                than two media). It was an emerging technology allowing information to be
                available and presented simultaneously in more than one medium, and the
                technology includes hardware products and software as well as transmission
                networks. New media products affect the living environment of the entire
                population, at home, work and leisure. People have to deal with a larger amount of
                information accessible through terminals. A wide range of services is already
                available to customers directly through their workstation at work or on their
                multimedia terminal at home.

                The new media technologies are so complex, leading to a restructuring of the
                telecommunication, computer, audio-visual and electronics equipment industry,
                that no single firm can master all current technologies in order to propose global
                solutions. The early 1990s saw an explosion of agreements and collaboration
                between the market actors. In 1993 the main transformation that took place in the
                new media area was the translation of all information - video, audio, data - into
                digital data. For this purpose standardisation was and still is an important issue.
                Technology transfer links were ongoing at international level between
                standardisation organisations, and also between industries. Now, in 2000, the
                transformation of disseminating information is focused on different networks with
                the Internet as the main opportunity.

                Most ongoing technology transfer activity in 1993 was in the R&D area via
                consortia set up among universities, assistive technology industries and
                mainstream industries as pan-European partnerships. Another typical link was that
                companies from the new media sold components to the assistive technology
                companies which carried out the adaptations and develop applications for special
                needs. Furthermore links were found with handicap organisations and individuals.
                The type of links differed from hiring people, professional training and education,
                teleworking, equipment procurement, sub-contracting and product development
                      95
                Line F from the Heart Study (1994) investigated the barriers of and possibilities
                for technology transfer for the assistive technology market. They concluded that
                the existing companies did not have the required knowledge to monitor emerging
                technologies and assess their potential impact on the assistive technology
                industry. Mainstream companies were not aware of the possibilities offered by the
                assistive technology industry and were thus unable to locate and exploit innovation
                opportunities within the assistive technology field. Impeding factors investigated for
                the technology transfer and thus innovation were:
                1. limited and inefficient interaction between the market elements research,
                     development, production, procurement, service delivery and usage;
                2. the structural characteristics of the European assistive technology market
                     relating to the type and size of actors, competitive strategies and level of
                     knowledge; and
                3. a lack of a concise set of complementary and supportive actions towards the
                     promotion of an environment favourable to industrial innovation and transfer of
                     technologies within the European assistive technology market .
                Such actions should be regulative in nature and targeted towards policy variables
                such as standardisation, legislation and social policy.

                Technology transfer is seen by most companies as the adaptation of an available
                technology to improve the company‟s product or productivity. A second large group
                of companies also considers reviewing technologies developed somewhere else
                as a form of technology transfer. The lack of knowledge of end user needs and
                requirements, and the lack of availability is experienced by most companies as the
                most important determinants of the sub-optimal situation concerning technology
                transfer and innovation possibilities. Furthermore, the flow of technology transfer in


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                  the assistive technology market is not bilateral from industry to university or
                  research organisation and vice versa, because of:
                   the relatively small size of the assistive technology industry compared to the
                      research market element;
                   the lack of large firms with R&D specialised in assistive technology;
                   and the fact that the existing assistive technology actors, mainly the SME‟s,
                      are under-financed.


5.4 The roles of the actors in the AT market
                  Many organisations and community bodies are involved in the Assistive
                  Technology market as a whole. The chain of fundamental research, application
                  research, development, implementation to the field, marketing and improving the
                  product and generating/raising new questions for research is a cycle that is
                  influenced by the following major types of institutions/bodies:
                   R&D institutions: AT research is largely dependent on the fundamental R&D in
                       other technology sectors while at the same time it should be driven forward by
                       the problems of the disabled and elder persons. Getting tuned into the
                       problems of this field is not easy for R&D in AT. Also transfer to industry in AT
                       is a major problem due to the size and diversity of the markets.
                   Industry (large industries and small and medium enterprises): AT-industry is
                       mostly small or medium sized. Co-operation with larger industries for
                       technology transfer and marketing has been a recommendation from the
                       HEART study which has not been taken up sufficiently.
                   Social service, delivery and procurement: an important factor is that the social
                       system has also to accept the new innovative products and the way this is
                       done varies from EU country to country. Involving them in the innovation
                       process has been another a recommendation which is not often implemented.
                   User organisations and users: efforts has been made to make user-influence
                       within the innovation process more efficient (eg FORTUNE project), but this is
                       still minimal.
                   Rehabilitation professionals and their organisations: many of the EU countries
                       have adopted in principle, or in practice, the so-called medical model where
                       advice and decision making is largely dependent on the professionals in the
                       field (medical doctors and therapists/advisors).
                   National and EU-policy makers: regulations and policies change and develop
                       gradually to an agreed way of working in providing aids and accepting new
                       aids. Closer involvement of the policy makers in the innovation process is
                       needed.

                  Two major EU-funded studies dealt with the description of these bodies and their
                  interrelationships: The CORE project (1994) trying to generate some modelling of
                  the market and the HEART project (1996) dealing with various specific aspects in
                  Europe like Service Delivery, Industrial Networking, Standardisation as the most
                  relevant ones related to this study. Although the specific outcomes of these studies
                  are dated (figures and situations has been changed), the generic outcomes, and
                  the models used to describe the situation are still highly relevant.

                  Considering the above list of influential bodies in relation to an innovation process
                  some conclusions can be drawn:
                   Making the right connections between the bodies that are involved in the AT
                     market, is essential. Often these bodies are very much distributed according
                     the type of products. The term brokerage is applicable here when a particular
                     R&D institution looks for the right connection with a (typically small) specialised
                     company as well as larger industry for general support of the innovation.
                     Optimal co-operation will often be a cross border affair and therefore an EU
                     role can be appropriate.

                     The innovation process is long and, because of its innovative nature, it is
                      largely considered unpredictable. Critical aspects can be anticipated if a


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                    systematic screening process is carried out. An example of a screening
                            96
                    method is given in the references. This screening method deals with:
                    technical quality, safety requirements, functionality relative to alternative
                    solutions, prescription practice, efficiency of the product, implementation
                    barriers, quality of life improvement, and economic feasibility aspects.

                   Research and development in AT and the implementation and marketing is a
                    long route due to the steps listed above and the approval of the products
                    needed before prescription and delivery can take place. The time depends on
                    the type of the innovation; a more innovative product will take longer than
                    when a product is marginally updated. Because of the long term innovation
                    routes, it is likely that partners will or must change and those more interested
                    in the marketing and sales will only enter the process when a prototype version
                    is validated.

                   Many of the AT products dealing with information and communication
                    technology are technically complex, and are a part of a larger system,
                    sometimes completely dependent on a service organisation: social alarm
                    centre or call-centre etc. The combination of features constitutes the
                    functionality as a whole and a clear splitting of the contributions of the partners
                    in a consortium is not possible anymore. A debate on intellectual property
                    rights may result, which can paralyse the commercialisation of the product. It is
                    often seen that end results of good R&D co-operation is not exploited
                    effectively, possibly for this reason. A more clear approach in allocating the
                    property rights is needed. Models used in the CRAFT programme may, finally,
                    give a better throughput (CRAFT funds go to the R&D partners covering the
                    R&D costs; in return the industrial partner gets the right for exploitation and is
                    also much more directive in deciding the course of action to be taken in the
                    projects).

                   Europe lacks the USA‟s industrial climate where risk taking and grasping of
                    opportunities are more common.

                   There is a trend towards the use of personal data in the organisation and
                    provision of care. Privacy laws might become a hindrance and barrier for many
                    of the innovative applications. A course of action to take is to safeguard the
                    eventual misuse of information by proper design and also to let the end-user
                    be in full control of the accessibility of the data. Mobility, tracing and tracking,
                    new communication forms and interventions made possible by using intelligent
                    sensors will run into problems of an ethical nature and these issues need to be
                    addressed in a sensitive way. Development work should be allowed to
                    continue to at least a stage where the benefits can be appreciated by the end-
                    users who can make up their own minds.


5.5 Mechanisms (models) of technology transfer

    5.5.1       Causal diagram of Technology Transfer (CORE, 1995):
                The CORE project team developed a causal diagram for the process of technology
                transfer in 1995. In this causal diagram links are shown between the basic model
                of the three main influencing factors knowledge infrastructure, technology transfer
                mechanisms and absorptive capacity on technology transfer. In addition is the
                influence of government with its innovation stimulation instruments such as funding
                of R&D on the basic model.




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                                         Technology Transfer
  Knowledge                                                                                 Absorptive
                                             mechanism
Infrastructure                                                                               Capacity




                                            Funding




                                         Innovation Stimulation
                                              instruments




                                            Government




       5.5.1.1      Influencing factors of technology transfer

                    Knowledge/Information infrastructure:
                    This is the way knowledge/information is offered and/or gained. A good qualitative
                    and quantitative knowledge infrastructure and innovation milieu is of major
                    importance for assistive technology companies. This is stimulated by governments
                    of all European countries. Government involvement is a factor which can be
                    important for the improvement of the knowledge infrastructure of assistive
                    technology companies. Government involvement can be funding of several
                    innovation stimulation instruments such as R&D programmes and projects, which
                    on their turn can stimulate the set up of information sources and co-operation
                    networks between market actors such as companies and other R&D actors such
                    as universities and laboratories. The relation of project funding and the different
                    information sources of a company is an important one

                    Technology Transfer mechanisms:
                    Mechanisms that increase the awareness of, and access to, the knowledge
                    infrastructure of a company. Technology transfer mechanisms influence the
                    external as well as the internal knowledge infrastructure of an assistive technology
                    company. The funding of R&D programmes and projects, which can increase the
                    co-operation between assistive technology companies and other R&D actors is a
                    technology transfer mechanism. The network of an assistive technology company
                    increases and the information flow towards the company grows. The project
                    funding also enables the company to commit time for the particular project and
                    R&D topic for the whole project duration.

                    Absorptive capacity of a company:
                    This is the ability of a company to transform gained knowledge into innovation. The
                    company cannot just apply an external innovation, it has to translate or adapt this
                    knowledge to its own needs. The company will have to invest in further
                    development and learning of how to fit the innovation into its own organisation.
                    This „learning by using‟ process depends on the quality of the personnel which
                    needs to be able to recognise the possible value of external information and needs
                    to adapt the information to the special requirements of the company. This can be
                    stimulated by funding of technology transfer programmes and projects that can
                    help by enabling the recruitment of research and development personnel and the
                    appropriate training.

                    In general little attention is paid to the knowledge infrastructure. The knowledge
                    and information structure has to deal with regional, national and international co-



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                ordination, which is not done well. Much of the research is hampered on the way to
                implementation due to this aspect of insufficient organisation and "horizontal"
                transfer of knowledge. Although there have been many company mergers in the
                past ten years, on the whole, very large companies have not evolved.

                European programming might be more effective if it coincided with national
                programmes and vice versa.



    5.5.2       Veterans Administration Technology Transfer model
                (Weisgerber and Armstrong, AIR 1989):
                The technology transfer model of Weisgerber and Armstrong is focused on the
                American situation from the viewpoint of the Federal and VA laboratories and
                Rehabilitation Research and Development (RR&D) Centers.

                Shift from push to pull in R&D
                A model for technology transfer was created in a project called AIR in the late
                1980‟s. The basic view of this model was that the laboratories should design
                products that are responsive to the needs in the field and supply them to users (a
                pull strategy). A shift of thinking for the investigators was about when and how to
                involve the manufacturers in the design and production process.

                The model
                The VA technology transfer model exists of three levels: the macro-, the micro-
                and the product interaction level which is product-specific (see section 8).



    5.5.3       Technology Transfer model for industrial
                competitiveness (Lane, 1999)97
                The following model is made by the Rehabilitation Engineering Research Center
                on Technology Transfer (T2-RERC), connected to the University of Buffalo. It is
                directed at the entire technology transfer process to which factors such as multiple
                activities, events and stakeholders contribute.




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                  The sine wave of the figure represents the technology transfer process as it
                  progresses from left to right, and the horizontal axis represents the environmental
                  context in which the technology transfer process occurs.

                  The technology transfer process progresses from idea through prototype to
                  product. The technology transfer encompasses both technologies and products. In
                  the figure the technology-related activity is on the left side, and the product-related
                  activity is on the right side. In between is the technology-to-product transformation
                  with in the middle the prototype event.

                  Technology producers (TP): a technology is developed by technology producers
                  and then transferred to technology consumers (at the left side of the figure). The
                  TP are the people who conduct the technology application activity and first
                  generate the idea for matching a technology to a new application. This group
                  includes independent inventors, and R&D people at universities or federal or
                  corporate laboratories.
                  Technology consumers (TC): the technology consumers translate the idea into a
                  prototype technology. TC include government agencies, private sector
                  manufacturers or intellectual property brokers.

                  Product producers (PP): product producers transform the technologies into
                  products in order to sale them to product consumers in the marketplace (at the
                  right side of the figure). PP include manufacturers, distributors and value-added
                  retailers.

                  Product consumers (PC): these are the people who buy the products in the
                  marketplace, and they include end-users and family members, and professional
                  service providers.

                  Resource providers (RP): they are most critical for transfers of technologies
                  lacking sufficient market incentives for the private sector to fund independently
                  particular orphan products. They include government agencies, private insurance
                  companies, and technology transfer intermediaries

                  The manufacturers are the critical link in the technology transfer process as they
                  are the only stakeholder positioned to transform a technology into a product. They
                  are however totally reliant on the other stakeholders to comprise the marketplace.


5.6 Initiatives in USA

    5.6.1         Legislation and Government Attitudes towards
                  Technology Transfer
                  The last twenty years has seen a rise in emphasis on technology transfer. Since
                  1980 there have been at least seven pieces of legislation that have directly
                  impacted on the role of, and provision for, technology transfer.

                  Crucial to this was the Bayh-Dole Act 1980, which was concerned with the
                  ownership of rights to innovations produced by universities, and other federal
                  organisations. As a direct result of this legislation, universities were able to retain
                  title of their innovations, thus patenting their designs and then to collaborate with
                  the private sector for commercial gain. The legislation led to an expansion of
                  university technology transfer and an increased private sector involvement in
                  university funding. It also encouraged innovation among small businesses by
                  giving them first priority in patenting university technology. Designed to add a
                  creative cutting edge to the USA economy, the Bayh-Dole act became the catalyst
                  for a period of wholesale change in technology transfer.



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                The act has had some profound effects on universities and their engagement with
                technology. In 1980, there were approximately 25 universities involved in
                technology transfer programmes, yet by 1992, there were 200. In the ten years
                between 1974 and 1984, 84 universities received 2944 patents, yet in the year
                                                          98
                1992 alone, 139 universities received 1557 .

                Although passed in the same year, the Stevenson-Wydler Technology Innovation
                Act 1980 was initially relatively unsuccessful. This act was seen by many as
                                               99
                'congressional cheerleading' : promoting the principles of technology transfer and
                raising awareness, without being too specific on how this should be done. It
                encouraged federal laboratories to fund technology transfers, and establish Offices
                of Research and Technology Applications (ORTAs), which were intended to
                concentrate laboratory research towards developments for the private sector.
                However, this proved hard to predict, and after seven years, the Government had
                                                                                           99
                only entered into approximately thirty four technology transfer agreements .

                In 1986, the act was amended with the Federal Technology Transfer Act, creating
                the term CRADA (Co-operative Research And Development Agreement).
                CRADA for the first time gave the federal laboratories the freedom to enter into
                research agreements with the private sector, universities and state governments,
                therefore giving them greater freedom to conduct their own commercial ventures.
                Grants could be issued by the Government, encouraging laboratories to conduct
                particular pieces of research. The 'collaborator' (the private organisation involved
                with the Government) was now allowed access to some of the royalties of the
                innovation, which gave them more of an incentive than before to commit money to
                join research ventures. To benefit the individual workers at the laboratories whose
                work was subject to these patents, individual financial and congressional awards
                were introduced, and these are now presented to workers whose designs further
                the development of the industry, and the USA economy as a whole.



    5.6.2       Current Trends in Technology Transfer
                As a result of the Bayh-Dole and Stevenson-Wydler acts, and subsequent
                amendment-based legislation, technology transfer in the USA is dominated by
                government organisations, and in particular the Federal Laboratories. It is seen
                very much as the government's role to implement mechanisms which kick-start the
                process, and then for the private sector to take the initiative by creating the right
                market conditions for technology transfer to take place. The laboratories aim to
                work alongside the private sector, promoting the increased access to innovations
                and new technologies and encouraging cross-market co-operation.

                The following is a list produced by the Federal Laboratory Consortium (FLC) for
                Technology Transfer outlining the main categories of organisations behind the
                                                         100
                USA's many success stories in this area :

                        Agriculture
                        Commerce
                        Defense
                        Energy
                        Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
                        Health and Human Services (HHS)
                        Interior
                        Justice
                        National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
                        Transportation

                The principles of technology transfer are now widely acknowledged in the USA,
                and subsequently, many of the areas in the above list will have some involvement



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                  or dialogue with assistive technology, as the emphasis is shifted more towards
                  openness of public information and technology breakthroughs, adaptability and
                  efficiency.

                  There are, however, a number of core areas in which the majority of information
                  exchange takes place for assistive technology-based technology transfer. The FLC
                  is proud of the record of its Department of Veterans Affairs (VA). There are 172 VA
                  Medical Centres and nine of these contain Department of Veterans Affairs
                  Rehabilitation R&D Centers of Excellence. These nine institutions have been
                  responsible for some of the best examples of technology transfer in assistive
                  technology in the past few years. The institutes are funded on the basis of a 5-year
                  programme proposed by the institutes

                  At their Palo Alto VA Rehabilitation R&D Center of Excellence on Mobility, the VA
                  research has often been done on a combined basis with the NASA Ames Center.
                  This resulted in the development of new technology now used to enable victims of
                  strokes to learn to walk again, using a treadmill and an 'inflatable skirt' originally
                  developed to facilitate exercise in different levels of gravity. This is controlled by a
                  computer, which can asses the patients weight, and the air pressure of the skirt,
                  and is therefore much more flexible and comfortable than the harnesses and
                  under-water equipment previously used.

                  Again with the help of NASA, and also Case Western Reserve University and
                  MetroHealth Medical Center, the Cleveland VA Excellence Center has developed
                  technology allowing paraplegic patients to use their hands, and even walk again.
                  Known as 'Freehand' the device operates in the same way as a pacemaker, acting
                  on the stimulatory signals sent from the brain, and can be powered from a unit on
                  the back of a wheelchair or from an external signal. Over a hundred people have
                  already used the technology, and many have returned to schools and workplaces
                  as a result.

                  The Department of Energy's Sandia National Laboratories are often at the forefront
                  of collaboration, and are currently involved in a project which includes a Russian
                  nuclear laboratory (Chalyabinsk) and a prosthetics firm called the Ohio Willow
                  Wood Company. The two laboratories will develop a new form of artificial knee,
                  with the prosthetics company aiming to cover it up with an artificial skin. It is then
                  thought the idea will be extended, with the manufacture of separate sockets which
                  can adjust to the swelling around the amputated leg, and there is also the
                  possibility of a micro-processor which can control the knee, making it more
                  realistic still.

                  The FLC is very keen to see federal laboratories' research transferred and utilised,
                  offering the Department of Energy a $1.4 million CRADA for the artificial knee
                  project. Through its website and 'newslink' magazine, it promotes technologies
                  currently available for transfer, actively encouraging patent and franchise bids, and
                  developing links between their laboratories and the private sector.

                  In the Department of Commerce, the National Institute of Standards and
                  Technology (NIST) has been instrumental in a number of recent developments. It
                  have recently been seeking a company willing to manufacture its new software,
                  which converts electronic books (e-books) into Braille. The software represents a
                  radical cut in the cost of materials, by using a much simpler model than previously
                  available, and will be able to considerably undercut the current market. Such
                  ventures are constantly promoted by the FLC through the Internet, making them
                  accessible and naturally very attractive to the private sector.

                  In recent years the USA government has been increasing the mechanisms that
                  promote and encourage technology transfer, to the point that there are now within
                  many government departments, separate departments exclusively for the research
                  of technology transfer. In September 1997, Dan Brand, chairman of the FLC stated
                  that there were over 700 R&D federal laboratories, from 17 different federal


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                agencies and departments . Research in this area has also increased in recent
                years amongst the state university institutions of the USA.

                In the assistive technology sector, the main one of these is probably the
                Rehabilitation Engineering Research Center on Technology Transfer (T2RERC),
                based at the Center for Assistive Technology, University of Buffalo. Set up in the
                aftermath of the Bayh-Dole act, the centre has a long history of developing ideas
                for assistive technology products, and is now virtually a consortium in its own right,
                working alongside the Independent Living Center of Western New York, and the
                Western New York Technology Development Center Inc. Together, the
                organisations offer an "overall cross-functional approach comprised of
                                                          102
                researchers, marketers and consumers” .

                The centre was also responsible for establishing AZtech, a non-profit corporation
                which licenses prototypes for company manufacture, and is run entirely by (and
                for) disabled staff.

                AZtech now works closely with the T2RERC, providing "focus groups, interviews,
                surveys, literature searches, industry profiles and trends, technology transfer,
                                                                       103
                product commercialisation and business consulting" .

                An important point to note is that the same government agencies that are
                responsible for carrying out or funding most of the AT research also fund most of
                the AT purchases. This has the effect that AT development and manufacturing
                companies take note of what the agencies say and the research they have carried
                out. The result is the technology transfer from research establishment to
                manufacturer has been relatively successful, and helped create a market pull for
                the products.

                Buffalo seems to be the market leader in assistive technology and technology
                transfer. It offers a helpful website which acts as a forum for the exchange of
                ideas and the general promotion of technology transfer. However, like many of the
                university websites, it is very hard to find out from Buffalo many specific examples
                of what they have achieved since the conception of the centre in the early 1980's.
                Indeed, there is a marked difference between the accessibility to information of the
                federal laboratories and that of the universities. Many of the private and non-profit
                corporations were very open on their websites, offering particular prototypes for
                manufacture, and explaining clearly the work that they had been involved in. The
                university sites, on the other hand, were particularly vague, with seemingly no clear
                reason for this. Perhaps university websites are geared more towards their
                recruitment aims and servicing general queries, rather than being designed to
                serve such intricate queries. The universities may eventually fragment their sites
                so that individual departments are allowed more freedom and space to develop
                more specific topic areas, with links between them.

                This is one of the few unimpressive aspects of the American infrastructure, and
                more accessible websites may be needed in the future, as the Internet begins to
                completely dominate information exchange and co-operation processes in the near
                future. At present, we have evidence that the organisations and structures needed
                to produce a vibrant and creative technology transfer emphasis are in place, and
                now all that needs to follow is this accessibility.

                Through the FLC, though, there is evidence of the Buffalo centre's important work.
                The centre has recently been involved in a project developing technology for
                wheeled-mobility, a joint venture between Buffalo and the Mid-Atlantic region FLC,
                which represents the first of six joint projects over the period 1999-2000. The
                current Buffalo T2RERC is the result of a pooling of resources, with the
                Government seemingly in favour of concentrating all efforts in one sector of the
                economy at one particular institution.




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    5.6.3         Other Technology Transfer Mechanisms in the USA
                  Just as in the public sector, the USA‟s business community has come to recognise
                  the speed of growth in technology transfer, and many non-profit corporations have
                  been set up specifically to act as agencies, communicating between the public and
                  private sector. Groups such as Aztech, as already mentioned, have raised
                  awareness about technology transfer, and in doing so, have attracted funding to
                  the laboratories, and play a key role in identifying the needs of companies.

                  There are now scores of independent groups all operating with the same aim: to
                  promote technology transfer either on a general basis, or on behalf of specific
                  sectors of the economy. Significant groups include the Technology Transfer
                  Society (T2S), the Petroleum Technology Transfer Council (PTTC), the Baylor
                  College of Medicine Technologies (BCMT. Inc.) and Appropriate Technology
                  Transfer for Rural Areas (ATTRA). Overall though, technology transfer initiatives
                  are still predominantly public sector affairs, although there are certainly now the
                  mechanisms in place to expand further the role now played by the independent
                  organisations, thereby reducing Government intervention.



    5.6.4         Information Exchange
                  Dissemination of information and overall co-operation are seen as being effective
                  ways of keeping the USA ahead of the game, and the growing importance of
                  technology transfer to industry reflects the greater freedom enjoyed by business,
                  federal laboratories and academia in the ways in which they are allowed to
                  operate.

                  Indicative of this are the many conferences which now take place, during which
                  representatives from Universities, businesses, researchers, Government
                  organisations and key interest groups can discuss and often begin to implement
                  new technology.

                  The Rehabilitation Engineering and Assistive Technology Society of North America
                  (RESNA) holds an annual conference which creates an excellent opportunity for
                  organisations to liase with each other, and also receive expert training in a number
                  of key areas of assistive technology. The 2000 Conference, held in Orlando from
                           th         nd
                  June 29 to July 2 , marks the biggest event staged in rehabilitation engineering,
                  with “40 peer-reviewed concurrent sessions, over 160 scientific papers and
                  interactive poster sessions, more than 80 exhibitors, computer demonstrations,
                  and more. And in the 21 full and half-day pre-conference instructional courses and
                  the annual research symposium the RESNA Conference has something for
                              104
                  everyone” . There are lists of up-coming and previous conferences like the
                  RESNA one, included in this document.



    5.6.5         Technology Transfer mechanisms in the USA
                  The technology transfer mechanisms used in the USA are shown and explained in
                  detail in annex 8. The mechanisms described are directed partly on the law on
                  technology transfer in the USA and the governmental Federal laboratories as they
                  work in the USA. Examples are:
                   Congresses and conferences for information dissemination
                   co-operative R&D; funding R&D programmes and projects
                   licensing patents and technical know-how
                   contracts: cost-shared, subcontracts
                   agreements: grant and co-operation, CRADA




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5.7 Initiatives in Europe

    5.7.1       Introduction
                The term “Technology Transfer” is one that is widely used in the USA, but tends to
                be more selectively used in Europe. Confusions over terminology may exist: there
                are examples of projects in Europe which the Americans might define as
                „technology transfer‟, but which in Europe are known simply as “R&D”, “Innovation”
                or “Diffusion of Information”. As such, there does not appear to be one big
                „movement‟ concerned with furthering development through technology transfer,
                although that does not mean to say that no such ventures exist. Overall the
                pattern in Europe seems scattered, with technology transfer more confined to
                private companies when compared to the USA, as the universities and
                government laboratories seemingly paying the subject less attention.

                Accessibility is also a problem. Conducting our research on the USA, it was
                evident that there was a network in place, with links between Internet sites
                enabling a fast access to relevant and important information. In Europe, however,
                websites were not of the same standard (with the exception of the CORDIS site),
                and the lack of links between them reflected the apparent lack of cross-industry
                dialogue. Of course, conducting our research mainly in English means that
                certain countries will be more likely to provide the relevant information than others,
                dependent on the extent to which they translate their material. However,
                considering that English is the dominant language of business, its neglect is a
                costly oversight as soon as it prevents an individual from exploiting a technology or
                prevents any successful information exchange.



    5.7.2       European Union RTD Frameworks
                Like the USA, a large proportion of technology transfer activity involves
                government encouragement. However, the European Commission, acting on
                behalf of the European Parliament, seems to favour a more „hands on‟ approach,
                regulating the output through calls for, and assessment of proposals, through
                research and technological development (RTD) frameworks as opposed to the
                USA‟s method of setting up the incentives and infrastructure and then leaving the
                individual companies and state bodies to organise themselves.

                In assistive technology, the Technology Initiative for Disabled and Elderly People
                (TIDE) scheme has for a number of years been offering companies incentive
                grants to encourage them to collaborate. Under this umbrella, TIDE has part-
                funded a range of research projects for assistive technology, and is seen as being
                an important tool for assistive technology. Much of its work will be included in the
                            th
                ongoing 5 Framework (1998-2002). The AAATE (Association for the
                Advancement of Assistive Technology) recognises the work of TIDE, commenting
                that “the field of assistive technology has been established and developed in a way
                                                            105
                that would not have happened otherwise” .

                TIDE has been responsible for such a huge list of projects that it is impossible to
                go into detail on all of them. Therefore, outlined over the next few paragraphs are
                a number of the success stories:

                The Future Alarm and awareness Services for the Disabled and Elderly (FASDE)
                project developed a wristwatch for hearing-impaired and deaf-blind people that
                gives off a warning signal in case of a fire, and can also be used to tell the user
                when someone has rung the doorbell or if a baby is crying. The product is now on
                sale in Sweden, having been manufactured by AB Transistor, one of the partners
                involved in the project.


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                  Audio description of television for visually impaired and older viewers (AUDETEL)
                  is a system through which visually-impaired people can hear commentary
                  alongside their favourite TV shows, allowing them better understanding of the
                  things that they cannot see on the screen. The commentary adds aspects such as
                  movement, body language, facial expressions, appearances and locations to the
                  soundtrack of a programme, placing them in between the mainstream sound. This
                  was piloted using 140 prototype decoders, providing households with 6 hours of
                  commentary per week for 4 months. The system has now been recognised by the
                  UK Government, which plans to gradually add to the AUDETEL output, taking
                  advantage of the new possibilities under digital broadcasting.

                  Transport Using Rehabilitation Technologies Leads to Economic efficiency
                  (TURTLE) started out as a project designed to address the issue of public
                  transport provision for the elderly and disabled. The first part of the project,
                  NEWT, concluded that the lack of information, and accessibility to this information
                  was denying many people the right to use public transport. Developing this further,
                  TURTLE utilised technology already used for teletext transmissions, and adapted
                  this including converters for Braille users and text enlargement for the partially
                  sighted. Buses in Newcastle, UK were fitted with tracking devices so that disabled
                  people can now access the information about the times of the buses either through
                  their own TV, or through information points placed in the street. The system is still
                  in operation and is used by the public as a whole.

                  The FOCUS project sought to bring together various assistive technologies used
                  by the mobility-impaired. The integrated system allows the user to power and
                  move the wheelchair, as well as incorporating previously cumbersome electronic
                  arm equipment into the wheelchair design. These devices allow users to “sip and
                       106
                  puff” , and control home devices through voice activation. The interface is
                  known as M3S (Multiple Master, Multiple Slave), and programs are currently
                  available to download from the Internet, but it will not be long before the full range
                  of M3S are available to buy, with some already on sale.

                  These are just a short selection of TIDE projects. Overall, and including the pilot
                  phase of the TIDE scheme, up to and including 1998, there have been 129
                  successful proposals, taken from a total of 1449. This represents a significant
                  over subscription, in both the number of proposals and in financial terms.

                  The are problems with TIDE, though. FORTUNE, the forum of user-organisations
                  training for usability and networking in Europe cites as one of the problems the fact
                  that many user-groups are voluntary, and often not organised to deal with the type
                  of work involved in European R&D. Therefore, their valuable knowledge is unable
                  to be transferred. To try to rectify this, FORTUNE provides web-based databases
                  and information resources to user-groups, and explains in detail the processes
                  involved. Although this is an important step forward, it is difficult to predict how
                  long it will take for FORTUNE to achieve its goal, or indeed how easily this can be
                  measured.

                  Overall, technology transfer via the RTD programmes in Europe shows an
                  encouraging slant towards the industrial sector:
                  “60% of the partners in the 245 consortia which submitted proposals under the
                                                                                                107
                  third call are companies, and 43% are SMEs. 86% of consortia include an SME”

                  The use of innovation stimulation instruments, such as funding of R&D
                  programmes and projects, has an influence on the three main influencing factors
                  of technology transfer that are identified in the CORE model (see 5.5.1) Funding
                  can be considered to be of essential importance for assistive technology
                  companies to perform more specific R&D. The main conclusions of the CORE
                  project were:




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                   The factor knowledge infrastructure is of crucial importance for the process of
                    technology transfer. Without any exchange of information on whatever level
                    there will exist no technology transfer.
                   Funding is considered to be essential for most assistive technology companies
                    to conduct R&D in an innovative way, and to set up an own knowledge
                    infrastructure.
                   For most assistive technology companies the information infrastructure is
                    limited to their own personal contacts; they receive hardly information about
                    innovation activities on (inter)national or regional levels.
                   Assistive technology actors are not well aware of stimulation initiatives directed
                    to technology transfer and innovation.
                   Although participating in the EU-TIDE programme, most assistive technology
                    companies are not elsewhere active in other (inter)national innovation
                    stimulation programmes.
                   Participation in EU or national R&D programmes increases the information
                    network of an assistive technology company.



    5.7.3       Other European Initiatives
                The main problem for technology transfer for companies seems to be not so much
                the companies‟ involvement, although not enough companies are involved, but the
                nature of their involvement in technology transfer. The EC initiatives seem to act
                as a good incentive for companies, but there seems to be very little collaboration
                away from these highly regulated and formal processes. The universities, for
                instance, hold the key to so many innovations, but for whatever reason are very
                reluctant to share this. Legislation concerning the rights to intellectual property is
                rare, and perhaps the universities need an incentive in order to encourage co-
                operation.

                A number of universities are concerned with technology transfer. Cranfield
                University, in Bedfordshire, UK is a good example of an institution which mixes
                education and business research. It is committed to highlighting important areas
                for development, liaison with business, providing contract consultation identifying
                target markets and innovation opportunities. On campus there is also an
                extensive business park, that mixes huge multinationals such as Nissan and Rolls
                Royce with local companies from the Cranfield area.

                The links between industry and education are not particularly well observed or
                formal (of course with exceptions), although networking amongst universities is
                more common. The European Inter-University Association on Science, Society
                and Technology (ESST) is “committed to the development of a common, high
                quality theoretical and policy-orientated European research and teaching network,
                which will draw on the best research traditions of its member universities in order
                to develop new perspectives in the context of an innovative European Laboratory
                                108
                without Walls”.

                The ESST is dedicated to furthering European society through increased
                technology, and also „bridging the gaps‟ between the scientists in academia and
                the scientists in the private sector, and also between them and society as a whole.
                It involves the Universities of Aalborg, Athens, Bilbao, Brussels, Lausanne, Lisbon,
                London, Louvain, Maastricht, Madrid, Namur, Oslo, Roskilde, Strasbourg and
                Tampere. Members of staff at UPM (University Polytechnic Madrid) are allowed to
                maintain employment in the private sector, alongside their related-teaching, which
                is a good example of individuals who are promoting technology transfer.

                In the UK, AURIL is a network created to develop mutually beneficial partnerships
                with each other, the private sector and other public and voluntary organisations,
                based around the principles of technology transfer. Their website lists nineteen




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                  institutions, including many of Britain‟s top Universities such as Oxford,
                  Cambridge, London and Edinburgh.

                  One of the best ways to access information concerning technology transfer
                  initiatives is to look at conference reports and agendas, as many conferences have
                  very accessible web sites.

                  In July 1998, AMETMAS-NoE organised a conference in Moscow under the
                  heading “International Technology Transfer in Russian Federation: Challenges and
                  Opportunities”. AMETMAS-NoE is an EC-supported network based at Moscow
                  state University of Technology.

                  The majority of our findings related to projects that in some way involved the
                  European Commission, or inter-European alliances, but there are a relatively small
                  number of independent organisations promoting technology transfer, and
                  effectively becoming a mechanism to it.

                  The Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research is one of
                  Germany‟s leading technology transfer agencies, assisting decision-making in the
                  public and private sectors. Raising most of its 18 million DM annual budget
                  through contract research, it employs 130 staff, of which 75 are scientists, as well
                                                                                        109
                  as being involved with other organisations from all around the world.

                  There are a number of user group organisations that strive to promote equal
                  opportunities for their members. In doing this, The TOUCAN project hopes that
                  many of its members will be allowed access to employment which will lead to them
                  being able to work alongside Government organisations. Based in the West
                  Midlands, UK, the Sense Project (run by TOUCAN) is aimed directly at sensory-
                  impaired people. Successful employees could then advise the companies or
                  Government bodies as to the specific needs of sensory-impaired people.

                  FAST, the Foundation for the Advancement of Assistive Technology is based in
                  Oxford, UK and is a national charity benefiting from department of Health funding.
                  FAST aims to “facilitate the advancement of assistive technology by liasing
                  between research and development institutions, manufacturers, service providers
                                  110
                  and end-users.”


    5.7.4         National Technology Transfer Initiatives
                  Other technology transfer initiatives take place on a national basis, mostly
                  organised by the national or regional government. Though a coherent policy on a
                  national level is very hard to find, especially not in the AT field.
                  As examples of national initiatives, short descriptions of recent and/or ongoing
                  technology transfer arrangements and –instruments are given of The Netherlands,
                  Belgium and Sweden. In appendix 8.3 a list of all arrangements can be found of
                  The Netherlands and Belgium.

                  R&D stimulation
                                                                      111
                  In Belgium a Flemish government institution, IWT (Institute for the Promotion of
                  Innovation by Science and Technology in Flanders) supports and stimulates
                  industrial research and technology transfer in the Flemish industry. All companies
                  established in the Flemish region, and especially SME‟s, can request IWT
                  assistance in their projects and have IWT services at their disposal. A
                  professional, scientific staff evaluates each project. Within 75 days after the
                  proposal (called dossier) has been submitted, a decision is made and financial
                  support offered. IWT distinguishes between two types of research projects :
                   dossiers pertaining to industrial basic research, which are allocated a subsidy
                      of 50 %
                   dossiers pertaining to the development of prototypes, which are allocated
                      advance payments which equal a subsidy of 25 %



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                   SME‟s, or projects of exceptional importance to Europe, can each receive an
                    extra 10 %.
                   IWT is more specifically oriented towards SME‟s by offering simplified and
                    shortened projects :
                   to so-called SME-feasibility studies, limited to a period of nine months and to a
                    maximum budget of 1 million BEF; aimed at research on the technical
                    feasibility of an idea or a development, and able to be 60 % subsidised.
                   to so-called SME-innovation projects, with a maximum duration of 18 months
                    and a maximum research budget of 15 million BEF, able to be 35 %
                    subsidised; intended for the development of new products, production
                    processes or services.

                In the Netherlands R&D is stimulated by the Government. Especially the Ministries
                                    112                                     113
                of Economic Affairs , of Education, Culture and Science , and of Health,
                                  114
                Welfare and Sport . Together they finance the budgets of The Netherlands
                                                             115
                Organization for Scientific Research (NWO) and of The Netherlands
                                                                116
                Organisation for Health Care Research (ZON) . These reserach organisations
                take care of amongst others R&D projects in the field of health care, rehabilitation
                and telecommunications. Furthermore the Ministry of Economic Affairs also funds
                R&D programmes directed on innovation (IOP) and technology and society (T&S).
                Another funding is provided for innovation feasibility projects for SME. These
                                                        117
                programmes are coordinated by Senter .

                The Swedish Handicap Institute co-ordinates the IT programme for disabled and
                                    118
                elderly (1998-2002) , initiated by the Swedish Government. The aim of the IT
                programme is to provide the basis for a more concerted effort within the area of IT
                for disabled and elderly people. The overall objective of the programme is to
                ensure that disabled and elderly people benefit more from and have greater
                access to IT. This objective can be achieved through improving products and
                services, increasing knowledge and competence among users, as well as staff
                working in the health service, schools and workplaces, and effective legislation and
                standardisation.

                As the end users are the main target group of this IT programme they should have
                a large involving role in the implementation of measures, projects and procedures
                of the programme.

                Co-operation and services
                In Belgium companies can call upon IWT services for guidance in the innovation
                process, and information about international actions and partner search.
                IWT Services provided for SME‟s:
                 Technology transfer : Valorisation of research results, done by the company
                    itself as well as through technology transfer, constitute an important task of
                    IWT. The choice between developing something yourself or actually buying
                    technologies is a dilemma. IWT offers companies professional help in making
                    the right choice.
                 Partner search : Due to frequent foreign contacts and due to participation in
                    technology transfer networks, IWT has at its disposal much valued information
                    needed to identify possible partners inside as well as outside Europe.
                 Guidance with international subsidies : IWT encourages companies in
                    Flanders to participate in research programmes of the European Commission
                    and in research projects within the framework of Eureka or Cost. IWT provides
                    SME‟s with timely information regarding upcoming activities and guides
                    companies with the formulation and preparation of their proposals.
                 Co-ordination of technological assistance : IWT co-ordinates the activities of
                    all authorities in Flanders involved in technology assistance.

                In The Netherlands a lot of national arrangements for stimulating technology
                                                                                             119
                transfer with several means are being organised and co-ordinated by Senter ,
                which is an agency of the ministry of Economic Affairs. Senter is responsible for



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                  executing arrangements concerning subsidies, credits and tax, and executing
                  programmes in the field of technology, energy, environment, export and
                  international collaboration in order to enhance the position of the Dutch business
                  and knowledge institutes.

                  Arrangements for co-operation and offered services co-ordinated by Senter are:
                   EG Liaison: a service for Dutch comapnies and institutes which provides
                      information, advice and training to stimulate innovative co-operation in The
                      Netherlands and in Europe.
                   BTS: a co-operation programme which is directed on technological co-
                      operation between companies and between companies and knowledge
                      institutes.
                   Informe: an information service for companies providing information about the
                      electronic highway, multimedia and electronic commerce.
                          120
                  NUTEK is Sweden‟s central public authority for industrial policy issues. The
                  main task is to stimulate industrial development throughout the country. NUTEK
                  takes initiatives, co-ordinates, and builds networks in order to help Swedish
                  enterprises take advantage of their inherent energy and vitality. The overall goal is
                  industrial growth and renewal. NUTEK is a driving and unifying force that creates
                  opportunities for fruitful contacts between Swedish industrial enterprises.

                  The Competence Centre Programme is a link in NUTEK‟s efforts to develop
                  university-industry interaction in Sweden. The aim is to achieve a stronger
                  industrial impact and enhanced concentration of resources by creating multi-
                  disciplinary academic research environments in which industrial companies
                  participate actively and persistently in order to derive long-term benefits.

                  The NUTEK competence centre programme is intended to run for at least 5 and
                  up to 10 years. The build-up and development of the centres is based on stepwise
                  funding and follow-up. The first evaluation of the competence centres has been
                  performed during 1997 and is intended to give a basis for decisions on the
                  programme and funding of the centres for the next three-year period.
                  One of the aims of the competence centre programme is to create attractive and
                  concentrated academic research environment.

                  Information and Relay services (IRC) and other EU co-operation
                  The EU supports services for the SME to stimulate and improve innovation. The
                         121
                  IRC‟s are services for the SME in all EU countries, and thus also in The
                  Netherlands, Belgium and Sweden. The IRC network is a service for companies,
                  especially for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). Universities and research
                  institutes may also benefit from its services for transferring results to industry.
                  Each Centre is staffed by a team of professionals with backgrounds in research,
                  business and industry. The goal of the IRC network is to enhance European
                  business competitiveness by strengthening the technology and innovation base of
                  its SMEs. It fulfils its mission by focusing on its main tasks:
                   Inward and outward transnational technology transfer
                   Promotion of transnational dissemination and exploitation of Community and
                       EUREKA research results
                   Stimulation of companies‟ capacity to adopt new technologies
                   Promotion of common transnational innovation initiatives (e.g. in the innovation
                       financing, start up or intellectual property rights domains together with the IPR
                       and LIFT Helpdesks)
                   Provision of information on the Innovation Actions of FP 5 and
                   Signposting potential participants to EU RTD research consortia to National
                       Contact Points (NCPs)

                  The IRC Network has proven to be a well functioning network of technology
                  brokers across Europe which, as a learning network, is consistently striving to




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                improve. Its economic impact is reflected by the growing numbers of transnational
                technology transfer cases.

                The IRC Netherlands is exectued by Senter. In Belgium there are three IRC‟s for
                the regions Flanders (Vlaams Innovatie Adviescentrum), Wallonie (Centre Relais
                Innovation de Wallonie, Ministere de la Region Wallonne-DGTRE) and Brussels
                (Brussels Innovation Relay Centre – Technopol Brussel-Bruxelles (a.s.b.l.). In
                Sweden there also three IRC‟s for the regions Western and Southern Sweden
                (Swedish Institute of Production Engineering Research), Central Sweden (The
                Industrial and EG Liaison Office) and Nothern Sweden (Uminova Centre).

                The EUREKA programme stimulates market directed co-operation between EU
                companies and R&D institutes in the field of high-quality technology for R&D and
                feasibility projects. When R&D projects involving partners form several EU-
                countries are approved on EU-level, each partner requests in his own country
                funding for the project. For example, in The Netherlands, Senter co-ordinates the
                funding via the BIT programme, and in Belgium IWT takes care of that.


                Starters arrangements for SME
                In The Netherlands special finacial arrangements are applied for SME to get
                started-up. Several types of arrangements are involved and finaced by the
                Ministry of economic Affairs. A subsidy arrangement for technology branches
                (SBT) is set up to enlatrge the branche specific knowledge of SME by information
                porvision, advice and education in order to increase the absorptive capacity of
                SME. Another arrangement provides technical development credits (TOK) to
                companies for executing technical risky projects and taking away some of the
                financial pressure for the companies with max. 40% of the project costs. Pay-back
                of the credit depends on the success or failure of the development. KREDO is a
                credit arrangement for companies working on a electronic service development.
                The arrangement has the same conditions as the TOK-credit arrangement.

                Networking
                In Belgium IWT offers as one of the services Partner Search. In this way networks
                can be created on a small or larger scale. Due to frequent foreign contacts and
                due to participation in technology transfer networks, IWT has at its disposal much
                valued information needed to identify possible partners inside as well as outside
                Europe. Furthermore IWT also organizes a SME-network where as well
                companies as research institutes and universities can get information and advice
                concerning innovation problems.

                In The Netherlands Senter organizes activities for partner search and European
                wide contacts. Direct Links are made with EG-Liaison and IRC Netherlands
                which also give information and advice, and help with partner search on
                international level.

                In Sweden Euro Info Centre NUTEK provides information on EU related issues to
                Swedish Small and Medium sized Enterprises (SMEs). The Euro Info Centre
                network is a European Union initiative set up to encourage SMEs to make the
                most of the opportunities offered by the European market.

                On EU-level the Swedish EU-R&D Council, since its foundation in 1992, promotes
                and co-ordinates the Swedish participation in the EU R&D framework
                programmes. The Council is the National Contact Point for the Fifth framework
                programme and is responsible for the information dissemination in Sweden. The
                Council serves the Swedish research community free of charge with advice on all
                kinds of questions related to the EU R&D programmes and the application
                procedure. Activities performed are advice, partner search, courses, information,
                and building networks.




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5.8 Initiatives in Japan

    5.8.1         Background to Recent Developments in Japan
                  In Japan, the phrase “technology transfer” has only recently started to be
                  extensively used. Japan seems to have the most still to do in the quest to
                  establish technology transfer mechanisms, being behind Europe, and significantly
                  behind the USA. Indeed, the country is in the middle of widespread change across
                  the fields of science, information and research.

                  During our research, much was made of Japan‟s self-proclaimed position as a
                  „follower‟ rather than a „leader‟ in new technologies, a position that remained
                  unchallenged until Japan led the consumer electronics boom of the 1980‟s. The
                  country suffered extensive damage during World War Two, and cites this as one
                  of the factors influencing this „catch-up‟ process. Shifts in social attitudes, the
                  fluctuation of the Japanese Yen and globalisation were also seen as major
                  stumbling blocks that Japan has struggled to overcome in the past.

                  This “inferiority complex” coupled with a fall in the levels of private R&D spending
                  each year for the first time since World War Two (1993 and 1994) , has led the
                  Japanese Government to question seriously their R&D processes, which have
                  been up until recently highly structured and bureaucratic. Up until the mid 1990‟s,
                  the only real developments in Japanese policy were the opening up of access to
                  Japanese infrastructures from abroad: they allowed foreign engineers, researchers
                  and academics into their universities, and contributed more funding to international
                  co-operative projects. However, neither one of these moves were seen to impact
                  on their own domestic R&D programmes, and they were still accused of not
                  contributing as much as they should towards international developments.

                  The rise of the Asian „tiger‟ economies gave Japan further incentive to develop its
                  own technology transfer mechanisms, in order to compete and co-operate with its
                  neighbours as well as with the USA and Europe.


    5.8.2         Recent Legislation and Change in the Japanese
                  Science and Technology Sector

                  In 1995 Japanese policy-makers launched the Basic Law for Science and
                  Technology. The aim of this was to finally tackle some of the fundamental
                  problems hindering Japanese innovation, instead of simply reacting to the
                  concerns and criticisms of the West. It increased the general awareness of the
                  importance of innovation to the growth of the economy, and aimed to remove
                  many of the barriers that had previously hindered co-operation between different
                  state and private sectors, both domestically and elsewhere. The 1996 Science
                  and Technology Plan (often called simply the „basic plan‟) was the offshoot of this.
                  In the plan the Government pledged to double the levels of state-funded R&D from
                  its 1992 level “as soon as possible”, and this should feasibly be achieved within a
                  decade, effectively committing the equivalent of 100 billion euro over the last five
                  years of the 1990‟s .

                  Interestingly, the Government seems to be venturing away from a reliance on
                  private sector funding, and putting emphasis on public money, which goes against
                  many of the main principles which have led to such a successful American system.
                  This appears to be a reaction to the economic slump of the early 1990‟s, and a
                  feeling that the establishment of a basic framework for science and technology is
                  too important to be simply left to the fluctuating world of the free market.




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                These changes have resulted in a much more flexible science and technology
                sector in Japan: no longer do they direct concentrated resources into just a few
                areas in order to try to „catch up‟ with the United States. Instead, they are more
                self-reliant in other areas, and are much better equipped to support their own
                businesses, thus positively impacting their balance of trade. One element of the
                basic plan worth mentioning in the context of technology transfer has been the
                setting up of a database of unused patents which holds over 200,000 ideas ready
                for development. It is targeted mainly at small and medium sized businesses and
                run by the Japan Technomart Foundation of MITI. This is a constant source,
                available over the Internet.

                The new emphasis on R&D in Japan signified the beginning of a fresh approach,
                as well as kick-starting a slow and weary domestic economy.


    5.8.3       Developments in Japanese Technology Transfer

                The renewed importance of science and innovation inevitably raises new and more
                complex questions for Japan. In particular, the transfer of technologies and the
                dissemination of information from universities into the public or private sectors are
                crucial to the efficiency of state organisations and the advancement of the national
                economy as a whole. This has proved to be a complicated process in the past.
                The Japanese economy, and its public sector in particular, has up until recently
                lacked the cutting edge of the USA and Europe, and Japan has seen the effect
                that the USA‟s emphasis on technology transfer has had on their economy as a
                whole.

                Like the Bayh-Dole Act of 1980 in the USA, Japan‟s 1998 Technology Transfer
                Law aimed to clarify the position of ownership of the intellectual property resultant
                from university research institutions. However, unlike the Bayh-Dole Act, the
                Japanese law attempts to change an already chaotic system and thus far has
                failed to reduce the existing bureaucracy. There are likely to be future
                consultations and amendments to the Technology Transfer Law 1998 (as was the
                case with „Bayh-Dole‟) although the following outline is an indication of the recent
                situations.



    5.8.4       The Recent Technology Transfer Climate

                The current situation as regards university discoveries and their transfer to the
                private sector is a very complicated one.

                Japan has 565 universities, of which only 385 offer postgraduate courses and only
                274 offer Ph.D. positions. Even within this framework, research is concentrated
                amongst a very small number of highly respected institutions. The majority of
                universities in Japan, and all of the highly regarded research-based ones are
                controlled and funded by Monbusho, the Ministry of Education, Science, Sports
                and Culture. These universities have never had independent status from
                Monbusho, and up until recently Monbusho effectively governed the intellectual
                property rights.

                Under the previous system, the rights of intellectual property rested with either the
                individual inventor, or with the nation of Japan. The question of whether the
                invention is a „national invention‟ or owned by the individual developer was decided
                using the following method, defined as Monbusho Notification No. 117 of 1978: the
                inventor would be required to file a report to the university president, which is then
                reviewed by an “Invention Committee” who then advise the president whether or
                not they feel the rights to the innovation should become national property, or
                remain in the hands of the individual. Generally, about 10% of rights were being



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                  transferred into national ownership, which specifically involved 45 items in 1995
                  and 66 items in 1996. (Interestingly, of these 66 items, 13 were transferred into
                  national ownership by request of the inventors themselves.)

                  The actual fate of the rights to any particular invention was decided by the
                  committee on the grounds of how the research that led to the breakthrough was
                  originally funded, and then how useful to the nation this is likely to prove. The
                  following table lists the various types of university research funding, which have
                  remained consistent throughout recent changes:


                  Table to Illustrate Support under Different Funding Categories for R&D in
                  Japanese National Universities (1996):

                  Type of R&D Funding                              Amount:               Approx. % of total
                                                                   (millions of euro)    funding
                  Standard Research Allowance                      825                   44
                  Grants In Aid                                    575                   30
                  Donations                                        298                   16
                  Commissioned Research                            163                    9
                  Joint Research with Private Sector               30.5                   2
                  Bench Fees for Commissioned                      2.8                   0.15
                  Researchers

                  The categories of Grants-in-Aid, Commissioned Research and Joint Research with
                  the Private Sector are defined under Notification No.117 of 1978 as being potential
                  national inventions, which therefore makes up nearly half of all research funding.
                  This would appear to be a beneficial system as far as the Japanese Government
                  are concerned: they are able to pick up the rights to the discoveries in areas in
                  which they have most consciously sought progress, and would ultimately have the
                  option on any others they feel would benefit the nation. However, the situation is
                  complicated by the fact that if the inventor feels the discovery does not come under
                  the banners of „public interest‟ funding, they are not legally required to even submit
                  a report to the president. Therefore, in many cases it is down to the individual
                  choosing of the inventor whether or not he transfers the technology at all.

                  A predictable consequence of this „loophole‟ has been that inventors are often able
                  to act as consultants to the private sector, and forge links with business as a
                  result. Often, these technologies were transferred completely informally (and are
                  unrecorded) and often unused or lost in the private sector because of development
                  costs and so on. In some cases, the inventions remain unused by both public and
                  private sectors, and overall it is difficult for the Government to calculate accurately
                  the productiveness of their university departments, and therefore the efficiency
                  with which their funds are being spent. Companies view donations to university
                  research institutes as a reliable and cost-effective method of R&D funding, and
                  these donations attract tax relief because the agreements between professor and
                  company are casual, and the donations classified as „charitable‟. However, many
                  Japanese inventors are now reluctant to enter into too many of these types of
                  agreements, not wanting to be seen as being corrupt.
                  The University Invention Committees have been criticised for only meeting once
                  every year, although many believe this actually to be a good thing: it means more
                  inventions become commercialised rather then go into public hands. Also,
                  university professors see it as a relief not to regularly be asked to transfer their
                  peers‟ discoveries to public ownership, thus reducing the possibility of financial
                  gain for the inventors and antagonising personal relationships. Many also see as
                  wrong the way university professors are given similar social status to civil servants,
                  (because ultimately their creativity may be owned by the state) which could impact
                  upon where the young Japanese place their ambitious futures. Unfortunately, the
                  system was inefficient, chaotic and open to abuse, and the Technology Transfer
                  Act set about trying to change this.



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    5.8.5       Changes Made Under the Technology Transfer Act
                1998
                The Act‟s most basic intention was to establish Technology Licensing Offices
                (TLO‟s) similar to those in the USA. These Offices are legally able to patent
                university inventions and therefore provide the Universities with independence
                from Monbusho for the first time, without them having to worry about receiving
                royalty cheques directly from private companies.

                Change has been slow, and as of April 1999, only four TLO‟s had been approved
                by Monbusho and the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MITI). And although the
                setting up of the new agencies is most certainly a step in the right direction, it does
                not alter much of the previous system. Notably, inventors still retain the ultimate
                rights to their inventions under the „loophole‟ system described in the previous
                section, and the universities are still required to judge by committee the potential of
                transferring intellectual property rights to national ownership.


    5.8.6       Problems with the Technology Licensing Offices
                As well as failing to eradicate the existing levels of bureaucracy already described
                concerning loopholes exploited by university inventors, there are other problems
                with the new Technology Licensing Offices. For instance, the initial offices have
                introduced policies of charging membership fees to personal and business
                members. This raises funds for the offices, but immediately reduces those
                companies able to benefit from university technology to only those who are willing
                to pay to be part of this network. This impacts hardest on smaller businesses,
                where the investment into a technology transfer office forms a larger proportion of
                their turnover. Hence, the membership fee system may lead to the bulk of
                transfers going to larger companies, with monopoly and stagnant markets as a
                result.

                With the university inventors still able to directly transfer through casual
                arrangements to the private sector, the technology transfer offices are then left
                with the less commercially viable technologies. As a result, companies will be put
                off paying the membership fees knowing that they can get better products through
                the older, more casual methods, avoiding membership fees and probably saving
                themselves time as well.

                Fundamentally, the Japanese experiment has attempted to emulate the USA
                strategy, but thus far fails to provide businesses with a cut in transaction costs and
                accessibility to technology and information; and similarly fails to provide
                universities with the control of intellectual property and the incentives this provides.




    5.8.7       Japanese Technology Transfer in Assistive Technology

                In the field of assistive technology, Japan seems to have pre-empted the wider
                legislative developments. The 1993 Technical Aids Law has set out to develop
                R&D specifically for assistive technology, and defines quite clearly the
                responsibilities that Government and the private sector have in this area.

                This basically involves two Government departments, whose responsibilities since
                the Technical Aids Law are outlined below:




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                     The Ministry of Health and Welfare (MHW) is responsible for:
                      1. the subsidy of R&D programmes and the popularisation of assistive
                         technology,
                      2. for the compilation and dissemination of information concerning assistive
                         technology and
                      3. for the evaluation of the usability of assistive technologies.

                     The Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) is responsible for:
                      1. subsidy of R&D expense, and
                      2. the compilation and dissemination of industrial technologies relevant to
                         assistive technologies.

                     Local Governments are responsible for the dissemination of information, while
                      the private sector is responsible for the delivery of high quality equipment to
                      satisfy individual needs.

                  Set up in 1989, the Golden Plan aimed to ease the strain on demand for nursing
                  care in Japan. Combining elements of the Golden Plan and the Technical Aids
                  Law, the MHW has created a network of information with the intention of furthering
                  assistive technology. The Practical Health Care Training and Dissemination
                  Centres are run by Local Government to train care workers, and also function as a
                  space for the demonstration, research and dissemination of information in
                  assistive technology, with 51 centres already established.

                  This initiative was boosted further in 1994 with the passing of the New Golden
                  Plan, which adds to the network some 10,000 in-home care support centres,
                  providing demonstrations and promotion for assistive technologies, usually in
                  nursing homes or in technical aids shops.

                  Another offshoot of the Golden Plan, also enhanced significantly by the Technical
                  Aids Law has been the growth of subsidy schemes. The Association for Technical
                  Aids (ATA) provides support for the R&D of assistive technology, and provides
                  around 300-million yen each year, normally funding 30 projects. 80% of the
                  awards go to private companies, although the funds must be used for development
                  purposes, and not for commercialisation.

                  The New Energy and Industrial Technology Development (NEDO) has increased
                  its assistive technology subsidy programme since the enactment of the Technical
                  Aids Law. Again, the funds given must be for development and not
                  commercialisation, and here can form no more than two thirds of the entire
                  research budget. NEDO‟s emphasis is on small businesses, and stimulating
                  commercially viable progress within a three-year project timescale. Some of its
                  recent projects have involved a bathing cart, which guides the person into a bath
                  using a crane, the combination of electronic infra-red equipment to form a sensory
                  cane for the blind, and even a device which can simulate physical (limb) functions
                  during games. NEDO is keen to support practical solutions that without subsidy
                  would be very high risk and unattractive ventures for businesses.

                  The Science and Technology Agency (STA) also provide funds, with a general
                  emphasis on public research. The Special Co-ordination Funds Promoting
                  Science and Technology from STA (SCFPST) includes projects that concern
                  assistive technology which currently includes collaboration with Hitachi‟s Advanced
                  Research Laboratory on digital information processing (single flux quantum
                  circuits) and also research into the wider use of x-ray technology towards new
                  medical applications.




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5.9 Conclusions
                1. The European Commission framework programmes support a range of
                   projects operating in different parts of the technology transfer process. The
                   majority are targeted at technological R&D for SMEs, and the planned result is
                   a tangible product or service. These projects, in effect, "push" specific new
                   technology into the assistive technology market. A small proportion of
                   projects aim to "pull" a broader range of new technology into the market by
                   developing awareness and practical opportunity for the take-up of assistive
                   technology among specifiers or care professionals (eg ASTRID which
                   produced a guide to assistive technology that could be used for people with
                   dementia). The CORDIS Innovation website provides a focal point for pan-
                   European technology transfer.

                2. The technology transfer mechanism in the USA is clearly presented and
                   explained in commercial terms. It is easily accessed on the Internet. The
                   Federal Laboratories have an incentive to transfer technology because they
                   receive financial reward for licensing arrangements. There are several
                   "showcase" style initiatives supported by the European Union but they are not
                   incentivised to take a proactive brokering rôle in the technology transfer
                   process.

                3. The technology transfer mechanism in the USA is overtly led by government
                   organisations and these organisations are clearly business orientated. There
                   is a cultural difference between the two economic areas. In the USA doing
                   business is a way of life, and seen as a normal activity for government
                   departments too. In Europe government departments have traditionally been
                   responsible for the administration of the state and providing information and
                   have not typically made business arrangements, although this is now
                   beginning to change. "Showcase" activities are typically led by independent
                   private organisations using European Union funding. These lack the credibility
                   and clarity of the US counterparts. There may be a general reluctance by
                   SMEs to pursue offers from such organisations when their pedigree and
                   business terms are not transparent.

                4. European Union funded research and development funding is available to
                   projects undertaking any combination of the phases that make up the life-cycle
                   of a project. However, the majority of funded projects cover all the phases
                   from user needs to commercial exploitation. This might be because proposers
                   perceive full life-cycle proposals are more likely to be funded. The three year
                   project duration regime does not suit every project and it is often that
                   exploitation phase that suffers.

                    Furthermore, one of the requirements of the RTD projects is an exploitation
                    plan (Technology Implementation Plan) whatever the phase of the project, a
                    recent requirement which aims to improve the likelihood of the project resulting
                    in a marketable product or service. The effect is that each individual project
                    has to conduct its own technology transfer, with project partners having some
                    idea of the exploitation potential at the start of the project. In contrast in the
                    USA a technology transfer department deals with the exploitation of the results
                    of all the research carried out in that research organisation, and often links
                    with other organisations. The technology that has been developed is put on
                    view, with clear invitations to discuss its commercial exploitation. The onus is
                    on the companies who can see exploitation potential to come forward, rather
                    than the research organisation, or the development teams having to try and
                    think of possible applications.




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                  5. Research and development funding involves three players:
                      funding and strategy organisation
                      management and tactics organisation
                      research and development team

                  In the USA, funding and strategy is provided by central government. The
                  management and tactics are provided by federal laboratories and research and
                  development is typically undertaken by laboratory or university teams. The federal
                  laboratories are also responsible for the brokering of technology.

                  In Europe the European Union takes responsibility for funding and strategy as well
                  as management and tactics. It commits the research and development teams to
                  include their own exploitation capability. The European Union delegates funding
                  decisions to independent committees of experts.




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6 Current Assistive Technology and
  Developments
                The goal of this chapter is to give the reader background information of the AT
                market, with examples of current AT products, R&D projects and bottlenecks for
                future development of AT products. The products and projects mentioned should
                be seen as merely examples, by no means exhaustive.

                The information is derived from a selection of studies in the field of assistive
                technology, literature on assistive technology and Internet links with descriptions of
                products that are already on the market. For the information about the current
                                                                 th
                projects on AT we looked at projects from the 4 R&D framework programme,
                TIDE projects and other projects with support from the European Commission. In
                addition we have identified organisations that run programmes of conferences and
                workshops to help identify the focus of research in the field of AT. The information
                of this chapter is derived during the period from May 1999-May 2000.
                Developments that took place after this period have not been taken into account.

                This chapter is divided in three sections:
                        I        user-technology interaction
                        II       interpersonal communication
                        III      supporting users in everyday life
                Each section describes a variety of assistive technologies in that area with
                examples of products, current bottlenecks, current developments and conclusions
                with regards to future needs for that particular technology.



6.1 Section I: user-technology interaction

    6.1.1       Speech products for interfaces
                General description122
                Speech products for interfaces can be divided into three categories: speech
                synthesis, speech recognition and speech dialogue systems. Speech synthesis is
                based on text to speech conversions. Speech recognition is the opposite of
                speech synthesis. It is based on speech to text conversions. Speech dialogue
                systems are systems in which speech synthesis and recognition are used in a
                man-machine dialogue.

                Recent developments in speech technology have led to significant improvements
                in quality and accuracy and a reduction in prices. This is important for people with
                disabilities since speech technology can be used for interpersonal communication,
                access to information and control of the environment.

                In the table below current products and bottlenecks of these technologies are
                described.




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Technology       Current Products/Applications                         Current Bottlenecks
Speech Synthesis MultiVoice (1998-99): lightweight,                   There is evidence that significantly
                 rugged, and portable speech                          better quality of speech synthesis
                 synthesiser with excellent text-to-                  should be achievable (Some of the
                 speech capabilities using DECtalkTM                  current products already have a better
                 technology. MultiVoice provides                      quality). Research is focused on
                 powerful speech output for persons                   naturalness, prosody and flexibility (e.g.
                 with vocal and visual impairments                    different voices). Other important
                                                                      research areas are modelling of
                       My-Voice Portable/Compact (1999):              emotions and speech synthesis from
                       communication aid with speech                  the meaning of the text.
                       synthesis. By pressing symbols on the
                       keyboard, words or sentences are
                       expressed in speech. Also letter-keys
                       can be used and can be expressed in
                       speech. The device has several extra
                       options: e.g. computer control via infra-
                       red interface, environmental control
                       trainable infra-red TV, Video etc.

Speech                                                                Speech recognition is difficult because:
Recognition                                                           The basic units of speech are hard to
                                                                      recognise.
                                                                      Continuous speech adds more
                                                                      difficulties.
                                                                      Speaker and environmental differences
                                                                      are very important.
                                                                      There is insufficient knowledge about
                                                                      the human language understanding
                                                                      process.


Speech Dialogue        Speech dialogue systems (1998):                Limited vocabulary : current speech
Systems                systems in which speech synthesis and          dialogue systems are limited to
                       recognition are used in a man-machine          vocabularies of about 100 words, but
                       dialogue. Demonstrated applications            laboratory prototypes exist with
                       such as bank cash dispensers and               vocabularies of over 1000 words.
                       hands-free voice diallers on public
                       telephones.

                  Current developments
                  Looking at the current developments in Speech Technology we can conclude that
                  much effort is been put in solving the current bottlenecks in speech technology.
                  This effort is mainly focused on speech recognition. There are some European
                                   th                                                         123
                  Projects of the 4 R&D framework that concentrate on speech technology .
                  These projects use speech technology to improve the quality of life of persons who
                  at present have difficulties accessing information and communicating. All of these
                  projects should lead to better quality products intended for disabled and older
                  persons.

                  In the project VOICE a new interface for subtitling for hearing impaired persons is
                  produced. “The speakers get the full control of the visual communication channel.
                  They must modify their style of presentation, meeting the needs of persons with
                  hearing impairment. They have to speak a little slower and pause between
                  phrases, thus controlling the subtitles' length on the screen. When they do, the
                  subtitling is up to 95% accurate and the audience will have the time to read the
                  subtitles”.

                  Voice telephony is also being investigated. “Current VTT systems require 'training'
                  in recognising the individual user's voice, accent and pronunciation before they can


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                produce an accurate text. Over the telephone line the accuracy is reduced by
                noise and bandwidth limits. While some software will recognise virtually anyone's
                voice, the vocabulary is limited to around 30 words. As an interim step, VTT
                systems are being developed that could recognise a vocabulary of up to a
                thousand words from a limited number of people. In this case, the deaf person's
                immediate family could communicate fairly effectively. The people involved would
                need a few hours training”.

                From a conference on speech technology (ESCA Tutorial and Research
                Workshop on modelling pronunciation variation for automatic speech recognition,
                          124
                May 1998 ): it can be seen that much effort has been put on increasing the
                knowledge about the human language understanding process. In a paper on
                pronunciation variants in the RWTH large vocabulary speech recogniser, the
                application of pronunciation variants are described for our large vocabulary
                continuous speech recogniser. The conclusion is: “For the English corpora a clear
                improvement in recognition accuracy can be observed, while for the German
                corpus the results remain almost the same”. Here also improvements can be
                seen, but not all problems are solved. More research on this topic is thus required.

                Conclusion
                It can be concluded that the projects are working on the aspects of „limited
                vocabulary‟, „training‟ and „continuous speech‟. There remain difficulties with these
                items, but improvements can be noticed. More work on these topics is thus
                required.


    6.1.2       Smart Cards
                                      125
                General description
                A smart card is like a floppy. It contains a chip on which information can be stored,
                changed and removed. Several options are possible at the moment. Smart cards
                are being used as a shopping card, bank card, personnel cards (for buying lunch
                at work), and a personal card with medical information about the person carrying it.

                In the following table current products and bottlenecks of this category are
                described.




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Technology      Current                           Current Bottlenecks
                Products/Applications
Integrated      Self-service terminals: self-     Current possibilities to store information on a card are
chip and        service terminals are being       with a magnetic stripe card and with a smart card. With a
reader          used by the general public        magnetic stripe card there is very limited spare capacity
technology      for an increasing range of        for storing extra information about the personal needs of
                applications. Bank cash           the user, e.g. concerning the user interface. A smart card
                dispensers and ticket             has fewer restrictions on storage capacity; agreement on
                selling machines for public       international standard for the coding of this information is
                transport now offer a             necessary.
                bewildering number of
                choices to the user.              Another bottleneck is the privacy aspect. Many
                                                  organisations do not introduce the smart card on a large
                                                  scale, because of privacy aspects. People do not want all
                                                  kind of information about them to be put on a card that
                                                  many people can read.

                                                  A bottleneck for people with disabilities is that the
                                                  terminal often incorporates a sophisticated interface. To
                                                  help these users it may be possible to modify the terminal
                                                  interface to meet the user‟s needs (e.g. large characters
                                                  on the screen, longer waiting time to make choices, etc.).

                  Current developments
                  The European standards organisation CEN has a working group on Identification
                                                        126
                  Card systems - Man-Machine Interface” . Four standards have been produced,
                  and the group is now working on two new items.

                  The four standards that have been developed are:
                  General Design Principles (EN 1332-1). This standard specifies the design
                  principles for the user interface to be incorporated into the design of card operated
                  equipment. It also provides recommendations for the operational procedures to be
                  followed when users interact with a card operated device The standard covers
                  aspects such as user instruction, single handed operation, display of charges, and
                  receipts.
                  Card Orientation (EN 1332-2). This standard specifies a notch to help blind people
                  use the correct orientation for card insertion. This standard applies to machine-
                  readable cards including telephone cards.
                  Keypads (EN 1332-3). This standard specifies the arrangement, the number and
                  location of numeric and command keys on card operated devices. It specifies that
                  a numeric keypad must be laid out as on a telephone (and not as on a calculator)
                  with a tactile identifier on the number 5. It also specifies the colour and
                  arrangement for command keys such as “enter”, “cancel” and “clear”.
                  Coding of User Requirements (EN 1332-4). This standard defines how details of a
                  user‟s preferred interface can be stored on the card. These preferences could
                  include large characters on the screen, speech prompts, more time to use the
                  terminal, or amplification of sound output.

                  The CEN working group is working on two other items: provisions for physical
                  accessibility to card reading terminals and tactual differentiation of cards.

                  Conclusion
                  It can be concluded from the work of the CEN working group that for most
                  bottlenecks mentioned above standards have been produced that address these
                  bottlenecks. The CEN group is still working on the improvement of the accessibility
                  and usability of smart cards and is working on two other items. Privacy remains a
                  problem.




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    6.1.3       Virtual Reality
                                      127
                General description
                The goal of a Virtual Reality (VR) system is to place the user in a synthetically
                generated three-dimensional environment, that (s)he can directly manipulate.
                Ideally, users cease to think of themselves as interacting with a computer; they
                think of themselves as interacting with the environment it has created. Special
                input and output devices allow a user to interact with a virtual environment. These
                capture the user‟s motion and gestures and produce the sensory feedback from
                the synthetic environment to the user‟s vision ,hearing and touch.

                In coming together VR and telecommunications technology has much to offer
                people with special needs. It has many benefits for visual impaired, hearing
                impaired, motor impaired and intellectual impaired persons.

                In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology      Current Products/Applications         Current Bottlenecks
Computer        the first commercially viable         As intriguing as VR is, the enabling technology is
technology,     applications of VR are in             still crude. Major technological hurdles exist in the
mathematics     entertainment. Nevertheless,          area of tracking a person‟s motion and position in
modelling       many projects are under way for       a non-intrusive way, in displaying high definition
                developing experimental               stereo colour images of the scene covering the
                applications in many different        user‟s peripheral vision and, in the area of image
                fields (e.g. business, scientific,    generation, speed for a smooth and realistic
                medical, military, rehabilitation).   animation of the scene. Tactile output and the
                                                      construction of physical images, to support the
                                                      visual images in virtual environments, require
                                                      further development to produce realistic
                                                      sensations.


                Current developments
                The European Commission has made an investment in VR-based projects, and
                              th                                               128
                also in the 5 Framework Programme this issue is addressed . Looking at the
                projects supported by the European Commission it is very surprising that we find
                almost no European projects for disabled and elderly on this topic. VR-related
                projects we find within the ACTS (Advanced Communication Technology and
                                        129
                Services) Programme , but these are related to main stream technology. The
                usability of VR for the disabled and elderly is not discussed.

                Looking at the conferences on Virtual Reality, a lot of conferences were held on
                                                     130
                this topic over the past two years.      The content of these conferences focuses on
                the applications for the main stream market. One conference directly focuses on
                Virtual reality and disability: European Conference on Disability, Virtual Reality and
                Associated Technologies (ECDVRAT).

                The first conference was held in 1996 and the second in 1998. In September 2000
                the third international conference will be held in Italy. Some examples of proposed
                                                                                  131
                applications of VR to assistive technology are (ICDVRAT 2000) :

                Application of virtual reality technology to the assessment and training of powered
                wheelchair users (Andrew Harrison, Gary Derwent, Anne Enticknap, David Rose
                and Elizabeth Attree, Royal Hospital for Neuro-disability/University of East London,
                UK).
                The current study presents quantitative and qualitative data concerning the
                development and application of two non-immersive virtual environments (VEs) to
                the assessment and training of adult powered wheelchair users with complex
                neurological impairments. Aspects of manoeuvrability skills and route-finding were



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                  addressed. Results indicated that whilst the participants considered the VEs to be
                  realistic and well represented, and the tasks reflected the skills needed to
                  manoeuvre a powered wheelchair, completing the manoeuvrability tasks was more
                  challenging in the VE than in real-life. Implications of these findings are discussed.
                  Additional data are provided from two patients who commenced a series of training
                  sessions using the manoeuvrability skills VE.

                  The effect of interactive virtual environment training on independent safe street
                  crossing of right CVA patients with unilateral spatial neglect (Yuval Naveh, Noomi
                  Katz and Patrice (Tamar) Weiss, Hadassah-Hebrew University, Jerusalem,
                  ISRAEL).
                  Unilateral spatial neglect is defined as a disorder in which a patient fails to pay
                  attention to stimuli presented to the contralateral side of the lesion; it is known to
                  be associated with decreased functional independence. Our objective was to
                  determine the suitability and feasibility of using a PC-based, non-immersive VR
                  system for training individuals with unilateral spatial neglect to cross streets in a
                  safe and vigilant manner. A virtual environment, consisting of a typical city street,
                  was programmed via Superscape‟sTM 3D-Webmaster, a 3D web-authoring tool.
                  Twelve subjects, aged 55 to 75 years, participated. Results demonstrated that this
                  virtual environment was suitable in both its cognitive and motor demands for the
                  targeted population. With very few exceptions, the control subjects were able to
                  complete all levels of the program with success. The performance of the patient
                  subjects was considerably more variable, and they were able to complete fewer
                  levels, and usually took more time to do so. The results indicate that the virtual
                  reality training is likely to prove beneficial to people who have difficulty with street
                  crossing.

                  Collaborative networked framework for the rehabilitation of children with Down’s
                  Syndrome (Ana Margarida Almeida and Fernando Ramos, University of Aveiro,
                  PORTUGAL).
                  This paper describes a reference architecture to support a multi-user virtual
                  communication platform that enables rehabilitation and social integration of
                  Down‟s Syndrome children. The platform, based on an on-line virtual collaborative
                  environment supported by the World Wide Web, includes collaboration and
                  interpersonal communication devices and data collection mechanisms to provide
                  management information for system and effectiveness evaluation. It allows
                  children with Down‟s Syndrome, geographically spread in schools and homes, to
                  access a distributed virtual platform able to offer communication and shared
                  construction processes. This will leverage the exploitation and development of
                  communication and socialisation abilities, creating conditions to the exploitation of
                  new rehabilitation patterns.

                  Conclusion
                  Concluding it can be stated that Virtual Reality is a big issue in main stream
                  technology and it is starting to get this status in the field for people with disabilities.
                  Part of the current work is focused on VR and Disability. According to the
                  ICDVRAT conferences many projects are researching the benefits and the
                  bottlenecks of VR for disabled and elderly. The abstracts show that much work is
                  to be done in this field to find out what VR can do for disabled and elderly people.

                  Within the projects funded by the EC, there is not so much emphasis on VR and
                  Disability. People with disabilities can profit a lot from VR and still a lot of research
                  and development is needed to accomplish the best effectiveness for the disabled
                  and elderly. The EC can support these projects, in order to use VR as a tool to
                  improve the quality of life for the elderly and disabled.


    6.1.4         Internet
                                          132
                  General description



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                The Internet, and especially its best-known application, The World Wide Web, has
                become extremely popular over the past few years. The world-wide distribution of
                electronic information, previously hindered by incompatible standards and
                expensive communication channels, has now taken off at an incredibly fast pace.

                In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology              Current                          Current Bottlenecks
                        Products/Applications
Information and         Internet                         accessibility. Meet policy and user needs and
Communication                                            ease access at the lowest cost , including the
Technology                                               disabled and the elderly.

                Current developments
                              th
                Within the 4 Framework programme, there are several project working on the
                                                                                           133
                accessibility of the Internet for disabled and elderly. The Aldict project     is about
                access of Persons with learning disabilities to information and communication
                technologies. The project will develop a software program fro personal computers
                which converts automatically between three symbol communication systems and
                four European languages. An integrated mail module and automatic translation
                feature will enable international communication between persons with learning
                disabilities through the Internet.
                                                                134
                The WAI project (Web Accessibility Initiative)       is a support action whose goal is
                to improve accessibility to the Internet for persons with disabilities (whether visual,
                hearing, physical or cognitive). It is closely related to the W3C WAI project for
                Europe.

                The European Commission supports the WAI initiative and it claims that action will
                be undertaken for adaptation of the WAI guidelines for public websites. According
                                                                                              135
                to „eEurope Draft Action Plan 2002‟ this will be realised at the end of 2001.

                Also the Cost 219 is group is working on the accessibility of web pages for
                                      136
                disabled and elderly.     Guidelines for accessible web pages are described in the
                cost219bis guidebook “Producing web pages that everyone can access”.

                Conclusion
                The guidelines for accessible web pages are available on the market. The next
                step is to disseminate this information to the designers of webpages and Internet
                providers, and make sure that every web page is made according to these
                guidelines. Only in this way it can be achieved that all information on the Internet is
                available to everyone.




    6.1.5       Adapted Interfaces

                                      137
                General description
                The normal “standard” keyboard can often not be used properly by people with
                disabilities. The interface between the computer and the user needs to be adapted
                so every user can use the equipment. A lot of adapted steering and control
                systems are developed for the different user groups.




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                  In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are
                             138
                  described .

Technology             Current Products/Applications                        Current Bottlenecks
Sensor                 operating sticks for head, chin and mouth            Voice and eye control systems
technology,            switch operated by breath                            need to be further developed (see
signal                 electronic switch operated by touch                  section on speech recognition
processing and         voice-switch operated by speech recognition          and virtual reality).
design                 eye control system:
                       Eyeware (1998-99): the system allows you to
                       control your computer with only your eyes.
                       Wearing virtual reality goggles that contain an
                       integrated camera, you can direct your gaze
                       to activate target areas on a computer screen.
Human interface        Mini Keyboard (1996): keyboard with small            Keyboards with eye control
technology,            membrane keys which can be pressed with a            systems need to be developed,
multimedia             finger, typing stick, mouth stick, etc.              so that people who cannot use
control system                                                              their hands, their mouth and their
                       Link (1998-99): smart keyboard that talks.           speech can control the computer
                                          TM
                       Featuring DECtalk high-quality speech                with their eyes.
                       output,
                       Link is an easy-to-use, lightweight
                       communication device. It offers keyboard
                       shortcuts for abbreviations and messages,
                       flexible readback and keyboard settings, 8
                       voices, and multiple files for storing 64 pages
                       of text, which can be downloaded to a
                       Macintosh or PC computer.
                       Touch screens

                       Companion (1998-99): authorising tool for
                       creating easy to use, interactive computer
                       applications for people of all ages and
                       disabilities. Companion‟s universal
                       accessibility and graphical interface make
                       learning, communication, and environmental
                       control easy and intuitive.

                  Current developments
                              th                                                139
                  Within the 4 Framework Programme the VISIOBOARD project           is aimed to
                  make a gaze control system to provide services and applications to severely-
                  handicapped citizens. VISIOBOARD will perfect procedures for individual
                  adaptation and improvement in daily use of the gaze command interface and of
                  existing applications than can be accessed through it.

                  Conclusion
                  Much work is already done in making keyboards accessible for disabled and
                  elderly people (e.g. acoustic or visual feedback when a key has been pressed,
                  larger or smaller keys, keys with pictures, Bliss, Braille, touch-screens, usage of
                  operating sticks etc.).

                  Eye controll systems are under development and it is important for people who
                  cannot use their hands, their mouth or their speech that this product will be on the
                  market soon.

                  Speech input for operating a computer/keyboard depends on the development of
                  speech recognition.




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    6.1.6       Braille Writers
                                      140
                General description
                Today there is already a great variety of Braille products on the market, such as:
                Braille translation software, hardware, printers and embossers, scanning and
                reading enhancement systems, videomagnifiers etc.
                In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology              Current Products/Applications                       Current Bottlenecks

Fine mechanics,         Braille writers, translating software and           Integration: visual impaired
mechatronics            hardware, printers, embossers etc.                  people should have full
                                                                            access to faxes, the Internet
                        Electronic note takers                              and mobile communications.
                                                                            Braille browsers/writers etc.
                                                                            should be made compatible
                                                                            with existing technology.

                Current developments
                                      141
                In the project PRINT      a quiet tactile printer will be developed that is capable of
                producing Braille, Moon, tactile and visual graphics and plain text. This printer can
                be upgraded with a fax modem and software to process tactile faxes.
                In the section on mobile telephony the More phone was mentioned and it has
                tactile marking, the keys have a low activation force and clear tactile feedback,
                feedback to all user actions can be done by speech output or acoustic signals. It
                needs to be tested if visually impaired are able to use the More phone for their
                mobile communications.

                A paper of the AAATE‟99 was directed to the accessibility of the world wide web
                                              142
                for visually impaired people.     This paper describes the most frequent
                accessibility problems. These are divided in technical and conceptual problems.
                Technical problems are: links formulation; images without the “Alt” comment;
                image mapframes with non explicit titles/names; scripts, applets, and animated
                events; tables and multicolumn texts. Conceptual problems are: multiple frameset;
                site organisation; homepagedesign, sites dedicated to one specific browser or
                configuration.

                Conclusion
                There are some products that give access to mobile phones and faxes for visually
                impaired. These products should be tested and evaluated and finally marketed on
                a wide scale.
                Regarding the Internet it can be concluded that some improvements can be made
                by specific browsers and screen readers, but some can only be solved by the
                                                     143
                webdesigners themselves. The WAI         formulated recommendations to make the
                Internet more accessible. The web designers should be familiarised with these
                recommendations. The project group of the paper mentioned above started an
                information campaign. Some web designers are positive and want to implement
                the WAI recommendations, but others state that it concerns a minority of the
                Internet users and it would be too much work to adapt their sites to other browsers.
                This shows that there is still much work to do to guarantee a full accessibility of the
                Internet for visually impaired.


6.2 Section II: interpersonal communication

    6.2.1       Text Telephony
                                      144
                General description



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                  Text telephones are mainly used by deaf, deaf-blind, hearing impaired and speech
                  impaired people, who cannot communicate or who can only communicate with
                  difficulty on an ordinary telephone. These target groups need totally or partly
                  practical possibilities for long distance communication by means of a traditional
                  telephone, since they lack sufficient hearing or speaking abilities. However most of
                  the people are able to write, which is why text communication in the form of text
                  telephony is a very applicable method for long distance communication.

                  In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.


Technology                            Current Products/Applications           Current Bottlenecks
text telephony                        current text telephones, with           Standards: one of the difficulties
                                      integrated fax and                      in there being universal access
                                      Internetfacilities.                     throughout the globe to text
                                      NewTel (1997): Dutch product.           telephone users is the large
                                      This is a text telephone that has       number of line standards which
                                      an integrated fax, modem                exist. Even within
                                      communication, answer in                recommended standards, such
                                      speech, Internet and email. This        as V21, there are differences
                                      text telephone can communicate          between the countries let alone
                                      with all Dutch text telephones and      the different alphabets in use.
                                      is paid by most of the Dutch social     The fledgling V18 standard is
                                                  145
                                      securities.                             likely to be the first step
                                                                              towards the end of this
                                                                              complication.
                                                                              Integration: today there already
                                                                              exist text telephones with fax
                                                                              facilities and Internet facilities.
                                                                              These text telephones are not
                                                                              available in all European
                                                                              countries and here also the
                                                                              problem of compatibility with
                                                                              other text telephones exist. Also
                                                                              new technologies like the GSM
                                                                              (mobile communication) should
                                                                              be made accessible for people
                                                                              who use text telephones.

                  Current developments
                                                    146
                  Within the Caption Life project       a new text telephone is developed, which
                  includes the V18 modem. This text telephone is thus compatible with other text
                  telephones in Europe. This text telephone is still a prototype and has not yet have
                  fax- or Internetfacilities. No other projects are directed to solve the current
                  bottlenecks of text telephony. This can be explained by the fact that text
                  telephones with fax and Internet facilities are more like personal computers with
                  software that can be used to call to other text telephones. Mobile phones or
                  bleepers which have an SMS option, are also used to realise text based
                  communication. The computer with Internet, GSM technology and bleepers have
                  become alternatives for the text telephone.

                  This does not mean that the text telephone is not used any more. Especially for
                  having direct contact with the person you want to speak to, text telephones are the
                  most effective. Communication via the computer (email) or fax is more like leaving
                  a message for the person than having a direct conversation. A direct conversation
                  can only happen when the other person is also sitting behind his/her computer and
                  sees that the hearing impaired person is contacting him/her. Via chat-programmes
                  the communication can occur directly. For direct conversations the text telephone
                  is mostly used (sometimes in combination with a relay service).




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                The SMS option of the mobile phone or bleeper mostly used for sending short
                messages. When sending a large message, a keyboard is mostly used, because it
                takes too much time to do it via the mobile phone or bleeper. Portable text
                telephones can be used for mobile text communication, though there has to be a
                telephone line available. Future developments might be a text telephone that uses
                the GSM network, or a GSM with a keyboard for typing the messages.

                Conclusion
                The standardisation of text telephones in Europe has begun. More and more new
                text telephones include the V18 modem.

                There are some alternative communication technologies like Internet or GSM/SMS
                that can be used in stead of text telephones. Because there are still a lot people
                who use a text telephone, one should think of the compatibility of new text based
                technologies with current text telephones (e.g. software programmes for calling to
                text telephone users).


    6.2.2       Relay Services
                General description
                The text telephone enables customers who cannot use the phone in the normal
                way, because of for instance deafness or a speech impairment, to talk to each
                other using a keyboard and display unit. This enables them to talk to other users of
                text telephones. A relay service is a real-time system which translates in both
                directions between text and voice and voice to text. The operation of the system is
                relatively simple, in that originating customers call the relay service, identify
                themselves and inform the operator at the relay service of the number they wish to
                call. The operator calls this number and when the call is connected, full translation
                can take place in either direction via the operator.

                In the following able current products and bottlenecks of this category are
                described.




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Technology       Current Products/Applications                    Current Bottlenecks
Telematics       Relay service with operator who uses             Slow text input system: one of the
                 QWERTY (or similar) text input system            difficulties of the current relay service is
                                                                  the low conversion speed from speech
                                                                  into text.
                 Voice-Through: many deaf people have
                 good voices, particularly if their deafness      Voice-Through: this possibility should be
                 occurs in later life, and consequently many      made available in every European country.
                 relay services offer voice-through facilities.
                 This system saves time and increases the         Charging: the charging has to be
                 sense of "realism" of the call.                  considered if a relay service is to offer
                                                                  anything like an equivalent to a normal
                                                                  telephone conversation carried out in
                                                                  speech.

                  Current developments
                                                                       147
                  In one of the European Projects named Caption Life , some problems of the
                  current relay services are being addressed. Caption Life will use the Velotype text
                  input system for speech-to-text conversion. With this fast text input system the
                  operator can type with the speed of speech. In this way a real time translation can
                  be given, which reduces the time for making a call and increases the sense of
                  „realism‟ of the call.

                  Furthermore a text telephone is developed which is capable of capturing the fast
                  text and simultaneous speech and text transmission. This text telephone is
                  portable and a V18 bis ITU recommendation is used. The Velotype relay service
                  has voice through and with the new text telephone the hearing impaired person is
                  able to speak directly to the hearing person and can also interrupt this person. This
                  also increases the sense of „realism‟ of the call.

                  In Caption Life the applications of the relay service for the target group are
                  extended from the usual telephone conversations to “one room” conversations.
                  The one room application involves personal conversations where the conversation
                  partners have a face-to-face talk. This allows hearing impaired persons to have
                  access to and to participate in all speech-based conversations, and offers more
                  social integration aspects.

                  Other projects focus on the implementation of speech technology in relay services.
                  These focus on recognition technology for replacing an operator including text input
                  equipment in a text telephone relay service. This replacing system has to recognise
                  speech and has to transform it into text, and vice versa transformation of text into
                  (synthetic) speech. Though a number of problems occur for developing this ideal
                  system.

                  Firstly, the system must be able to handle any type of message or conversation
                  because for the text telephone relay service you cannot restrict the conversations
                  on a restricted vocabulary. So, a large vocabulary recogniser is necessary.
                  Secondly, in a natural conversation many syntactical mistakes occur, elisions etc.
                  People talk with “spontaneous speech”, and in a continuous format. Thirdly, the
                  system has to deal with any person, and has to be a user-independent recogniser.
                  Fourthly, any telephone line can be switched to the speech recognition system.
                  This means that the system must have a high robustness because telephone
                  channel characteristics might be very different.

                  Problems with speech technology are not yet solved for this application, so the
                  Caption Life concept will remain an important market where speech itself is
                  unreliable for machine recognition.

                  Conclusion



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                Problems with alternative technologies are not yet solved for this application, so
                the Caption Life concept is the best improvement up till now. When the bottlenecks
                with e.g. speech technology are solved, implementation in relay services should be
                considered.


    6.2.3       Videotelephony
                                     148
                General description
                Videotelephony means transmitting moving images and sounds simultaneously
                over the telephone line. When you call with someone via a videophone, you can
                hear and see this person. This application is very important for some groups of
                people with disabilities, especially hearing impaired people who use sign language.
                In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are
                           149
                described .

Technology           Current Products/Applications      Current Bottlenecks
Telematics and       Video telephony is a technology,   Lack of knowledge amongst caring
compression          that is mostly aimed at people     organisations and individual disabled people
technology           who are hearing impaired, to       as to the affordability, and availability, of video
                     communicate via sign language      communication equipment and the potential
                     with an interpreter or a           for services using such equipment.
                     communication partner. The
                     current usage is not large
                     because of the current             Lack of knowledge on the part of equipment
                     bottlenecks.                       and service providers as to the requirements
                                                        of different groups of disabled people and to
                                                        the potential markets for both equipment and
                                                        services.

                                                        Lack of suitable interfaces and software to
                                                        allow the use of relevant video communication
                                                        by disabled people.

                Current developments
                                                                           149
                According to the COST 219bis study on video telephony , the technology is
                available at costs that are affordable to service providers and, depending on the
                complexity of the technology, to individuals. However video communication has
                until now only been implemented in rather a few cases, mainly for the reasons
                mentioned above.

                Conclusion
                Consequently the prime tasks are to empower disabled people and their
                organisations, both voluntary and statutory, by providing them with the knowledge
                that will allow them make choices and implement systems. Manufacturers and
                retailers of video equipment and systems also have to be empowered by
                knowledge regarding the needs and capabilities of disabled people in order that
                they can offer the appropriate equipment and services to these customers.



    6.2.4       Mobile Telephony
                                     150
                General description
                The introduction of mobile telephony has brought a wide range of new possibilities
                for disabled and elderly people in gaining access to telecommunications in general
                and to specific services and facilities, in particular. Not only voice but also data
                services will be provided over the wireless networks allowing a wide range of
                applications to be built upon them and extending the operation "seamlessly" to
                most places. Many applications and interface situations are already under



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                  development or on the market. A wide range of alarm services, location
                  independent messaging, telemetry, remote surveillance and care are possible. Of
                  fundamental importance, however, is that the specific interfaces required for each
                  type of disabled user must be adequately further developed in order to become
                  coherently attached to the portable phone hand-set.

                  In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology             Current Products/Applications           Current Bottlenecks
GSM technology,        current mobile telephony, with SMS, fax The equipment needs to be adapted to
miniaturisation,       and email possibilities.                the user needs of people with
battery                                                        disabilities and elderly people [e.g.
technology                                                     voice interface for dialing, personalised
                                                               keypads (tactile cues, one or two button
                                                               phone, contrast of keys and symbols),
                                                               access from text telephone, access for
                                                               hearing aids/inductive coupling/sound
                                                               amplification]

                  Current developments
                                     151
                  The More project       tries to solve the bottlenecks that are mentioned above. The
                  More phone is a mobile phone with a Global System for Mobile
                  Telecommunications (GSM) infrastructure and an integrated Global Positioning
                  System (GPS) localisation feature that enables the potential user to have fast and
                  efficient access to emergency services via service centres equipped with
                  appropriate mapping tools. MORE aims to redesigning existing mobile phones by
                  simplifying the user interface. The user faces a single mobile interface to all MORE
                  services: communication, SOS, localisation/tracking. The More phone has clearly
                  identified function keys: position, shape, colour, label, tactile marking. Special
                  simple keyboard layouts (4 dial keys), also external input. The keys have a low
                  activation force and clear tactile feedback. Feedback to all user actions on display,
                  speech output, acoustic signal, symbols. It is also usable by hard of hearing and
                  with a hearing aid: extra loud built-in amplification, handsfree w/o or with
                  accessory. No interference to hearing aid from GSM by special MORE Hook-on. It
                  also has intelligent built-in safety: reminders and automatic SOS actions, interface
                  to external aids, connection to PC for e.g. text communication.

                  Conclusion
                  The MORE commercial system will be launched in 2001. This system solves most
                  of the current bottlenecks, and should be marketed on a wide scale, so that all
                  disabled an elderly European citizens can have access to mobile telephony and
                  can use it within Europe.




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    6.2.5       H




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    6.2.6         Hearing Aids
                                          152
                  General description
                  A hearing aid amplifies the sounds in the environment of the hearing impaired
                  persons who wears the hearing aid. Hearing aids can be used for face-to-face
                  conversations but also for telephonic conversation. Additional equipment to make
                  telephone calls, like inductive coupling are already on the market.

                  In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology            Current                                   Current Bottlenecks
                      Products/Applications
Miniaturisation, ICT, amplification systems, hearing            Amplification systems are not able to amplify
human interface       aids.                                     intelligible speech in such a way that it can
technology, battery                                             be heard in noisy situations or locations with
technology                                                      lot of background noise. The speech needs
                                                                to be amplified more than the noises, so the
                                                                hearing impaired person can follow the
                                                                speech, without losing concentration by
                                                                hearing all the background noises.

                  Current developments
                          th
                  In the 4 Framework Programme two projects focus on the current bottlenecks of
                                                    153
                  hearing aids. The LISCOM project      wants to develop a listening comfort system
                  for hearing instruments and telephones. LISCOM is developing, assessing and
                  adapting innovative technology, based on noise reduction strategies, to be
                  integrated in the coming generation of fully digital hearing instruments and
                  telephones.
                                        154
                  The SPACE project         is working on signal processing for auditory communication
                  in noisy environments. It focuses on the compensation of communication impaired
                  by hearing impairment and/or noise using noise-reduction algorithms and
                  restoration of auditory dynamics in order to optimise speech intelligibility. The
                  results will lead to the development of better hearing aids and communication
                  devices. SPACE aims to describe the auditory demands for communication in a
                  number of well-defined working places and the benefit of technical solutions to
                  restore communication by means of intelligent communication devices.

                  Conclusion
                  These project have just ended or are still running. No products are on the market
                  yet. If these projects are successful, the bottleneck of hearing aids concerning
                  noisy environments will disappear. The reintegration of hearing impaired persons
                  can be enlarged if the results of these projects are transferable to other
                  applications. It is necessary that if these projects succeed in meeting their goals,
                  that these new products will be available on the market and that this technology
                  will be transferred to other applications.


    6.2.7         Communication Systems
                                          155
                  General description
                  Communications systems are systems that facilitate ease of two way conversation,
                  by e.g. text output, word prediction, integral speech synthesiser. Some of the
                  products have some other facilities like environmental control trainable infrared
                  TV/Video, switch control that can be combined with wheelchair‟s joystick etc.

                  In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.




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Technology           Current Products/Applications                Current Bottlenecks
PC and small         Dubby (1999): communication aid with         Further development needs to be done
systems              text output via LCD display. The screen      on integration of:
technology,          can be split, facilitating ease of two way   wheelchair-environment-
human factors,       conversation. Word prediction is             communication interfaces, or
human interface      integral with user defined vocabulary        integration of different communication
technology           and minimal keystrokes for selection.        devices.
                     Phrases and sentences can be stored
                     and recalled. Options: integral speech
                     synthesiser, infra-red printer remote
                     control module, environmental control
                     trainable infra-red TV, Video etc.

                     Mudikom (1999): communication aid
                     with text output on a built in LCD
                     display, word prediction, speech
                     synthesiser. It can be installed on a
                     wheelchair. Options: switch control that
                     can be combined with the wheelchair‟s
                     joystick; trackball control, computer
                     control, head pointer control (light-
                     beam) control, infra-red printer remote
                     control module, environmental control
                     trainable infra-red TV, Video etc.

                Current developments
                Communications systems make use of different technologies that have already
                been discussed in this chapter, e.g. speech technology, environmental control
                systems, wheelchair user interface devices.

                Conclusion
                Also other technologies could be implemented in communication systems, like
                Internet, text telephony, mobile telephony etc. First the bottlenecks of these
                technologies need to be addressed before these can be implemented within the
                communication system.

                Besides working on solving these bottlenecks, more effort should be put in the
                integration of different communication devices and the integration of
                communication devices with environmental control systems and wheelchair
                applications. In this way people will have one system with which they can
                operate/communicate with several items in stead of using several technologies for
                the different items.



6.3 Section III: Supporting users in everyday life

    6.3.1       Alerting Systems
                General description156
                In everyday life, people need to be alerted to signals that give a warning or
                indication of action to be taken; a typical example is domestic smoke detectors
                which are now inexpensive and widely used. However people with disabilities may
                not be able to use existing equipment or services, and special systems are often
                prohibitively expensive.

                Alerting systems range from the simple alarm clock to sophisticated burglar alarms
                and national warning systems. They may be stand-alone devices or be complete
                systems involving control centres to support the end user. An alerting system has



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                  two functions - the first is to draw attention to the fact that something is happening,
                  and the second is to what is happening and consequent actions which should be
                  done.

                  In many cases the signal also carries the message for what has to be done (e.g.
                  when an alarm clock or telephone rings). However it is more complicated when the
                  alarm is for a machine malfunction or a national disaster since it may require a
                  series of actions to be undertaken (sometimes new and unpractised). In the table
                  below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology        Current Products/Applications                           Current Bottlenecks
Telematics        Personal Alarms:
network           audible alerting systems: alarm clocks,
technology        doorbells, telephone bells, timer signals and
                  machinery warning signals are usually for
                  individual use.
                  vibrating alerting systems: vibrating alarm
                  clocks, vibrating watch for doorbells, smoke
                  alarm etc.
                  flashing alerting systems: flashing lights on
                  alarm clocks, telephone bells, doorbells etc. for
                  hearing impaired.

                  Impersonal Alarms:                                      Impersonal Alarms:
                  audible alerting systems: horns of approaching          Vibrating alerting systems:
                  vehicles, sirens from emergency vehicles, and           these are not available. This
                  fire alarms are intended for everyone who is in         especially of influence for hearing
                  the physical area of the alarm.                         impaired persons.
                  written alerting systems: written messages on
                  emergency vehicles (e.g. Police: STOP).

                  Disaster Alarms: major incidents, such as forest
                  fires or poisonous discharges from industrial    Disaster alarms: it is not possible to
                  plants, are often indicated by acoustic sirens,  alert hearing impaired people in
                  loudspeaker announcements from vehicles, or      case of a disaster alarm.
                  verbal announcements on radio or television.


                  Current developments
                                                              157
                  In one of the TIDE project, named FASDE          a special wristwatch was developed
                  for hearing impaired persons. The watch has an analogue time display and gives
                  different vibration cadences depending on the occurrence of various events: the
                  doorbell ringing; the telephone ringing, the fire alarm going off; the baby crying and
                  the public warning message being
                  broadcast.

                  The end report of the project concludes that the alerting system, together with the
                  RDS-receiver worked very well. The system is easy to handle and the wristwatch
                  has a very ergonomic design. The safety of the system seemed very good and the
                  test subjects had more
                  peace of mind when they were using the new system. The system is not yet
                  available on the market.

                  Conclusion
                  Systems for alerting hearing impaired persons especially for public warning
                  messages are not yet available on the market, so the hearing impaired persons
                  are often not alerted in emergency situations. Companies should be stimulated to
                  put the devices developed in R&D projects on the market, because only in this
                  case the hearing impaired persons will have the same chance to be warned in time
                  as everyone else.


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    6.3.2       Language based products
                                      158
                General description
                For people with speech or hearing impairment several training programmes are on
                the market. There are training programmes for improving vocabulary skills and
                speech by e.g. pictures and acoustic phonetic feedback. There are also training
                programmes available for improving writing quality by voice output.

                In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology         Current Products/Applications                               Current Bottlenecks
Software,          First Words (1998): language and vocabulary tutorial        These programs are
learning and       program designed to provide early development of            relatively new on the
training models    nouns and verbs for individuals with learning,              market and more
                   developmental, physical, visual or hearing disabilities     research is necessary to
                   using speech output and pictures.                           see if these programmes
                                                                               are accessible for the all
                   Talking Nouns, Talking Nouns II, & Talking Verbs            the target groups and if
                   (1998): voice output programs designed to encourage         they have the expected
                   expressive language, promote communication and              results.
                   training augmentative communication skills for
                   individuals with learning, developmental, or physical
                   disabilities as well as those who are candidates for
                   augmentative communication. Activities include:
                   Interactive Communication, Picture Identification,
                   Picture Matching and Nouns by Category.
                   WriteAway (1998-99): combines basic word processing
                   features with proven communication enhancement
                   strategies for children and adults           who have
                   difficulty with written or oral communication. Features
                   include word prediction, abbreviation expansion,
                   multiple access modes, built-in scanning and auditory
                   feedback, and multiple readback options.

                   Write: Outloud (1998): voice output word processor
                   program, designed to speak letters, words, sentences
                   and paragraphs in order to enhance user writing quality
                   for persons with low vision or cognitive disabilities. It
                   supports multi-sensory learning because users see
                   and hear their words; encourages class participation;
                   story-telling, and self-expression; and can be used as a
                   way for non speaking persons to communicate.

                Current developments
                                     159
                The project ISAEUS       focuses on speech training for deaf and hearing-impaired
                people. It aims to develop a computer based tool for training hearing impaired
                persons to improve and maintain adequate pronunciation. The project will finish at
                the end of 2000.

                Conclusion
                There are already a variety of training programmes on the market. Not much
                information is found about accessibility for the target groups, frequency of usage,
                user evaluations etc. More research is necessary to see if these programmes
                meet their original goals.



    6.3.3       Wheelchair Interface Devices
                                      160
                General description



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                  At the present time, there are many severely mobility impaired people who need a
                  variety of assistive devices (e.g. a powered wheelchair, environmental control
                  devices, communication aids and robotic manipulators), which they must employ in
                  combination to gain a minimum level of independence. Assistive technology has
                  made such devices available. A problem with the variety of these assistive devices
                  is that their interconnection on a basic wheelchair platform is difficult, time-
                  consuming and costly.

                  In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology             Current Products/Applications                  Current Bottlenecks
Human factors,         Environmental control devices,                 Interconnection problem with the
multi modal            communication aids and robotic                 variety of these assistive devices.
communication          manipulators.



                  Current developments
                                         161
                  In the project FOCUS        much work has been done to develop an advanced
                  control technology that is required to integrate a suite of standardised assistive
                  devices on a wheelchair via a common intelligent interface (M3S- Multiple Master-
                  Multiple Slave).
                  M3S allows users to compile a specific package of any combination of technical
                  aids to a complete integral system, while still permitting them to extend or modify
                  the system later on. Furthermore the M3S system can be used right-away without
                  any special adaptations using the M3S plug-and-play capabilities. The power of
                  such an integrated system has been shown in several user evaluations in various
                  countries around Europe. M3S is a defacto standard. Assistive devices with the
                  interface are available in the market, as starter kits and the protocol description.
                  The process for standardisation as dejure standard is running ISO.

                  Conclusion
                  M3S is now running for a standard and there are already some products on the
                  market. The product now needs to prove itself in becoming a standard that will be
                  used for integrating various technologies.



    6.3.4         Environmental control systems
                                          162
                  General description
                  A home that can include the technology to allow for devices and systems to be
                  controlled automatically, may be termed a smart house. The degree to which this
                  control is exercised is determined by cost, the user‟s wishes and the type of
                  building. A smart house can be used to help people with physical, mental or
                  sensory disabilities to live independently; the costs of installing the technology
                  have to be compared with the costs of alternative methods of providing an
                  appropriate level of care.

                  Within a traditional home, automation can assist a person to control a device in
                  another part of the house as well as establish the status of the device (e.g. is the
                  electric blanket on?). In some situations, the controller can suggest appropriate
                  actions, which can be of great help to those with short-term memory problems.
                  The design of the controller can be tailored to the needs of the user; for instance, a
                  controller for use by a blind person could incorporate speech output.

                  In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology                 Current                         Current Bottlenecks
                           Products/Applications
Systems design             current environmental           User-interface: the user interface is the single


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integration             home systems                  component in such systems, upon which
                                                      everything else will be judged. If the interface is
                                                      confusing, the system will be thought of in that
                                                      way. To make such systems appear simple is
                                                      extremely complex, but nonetheless essential.
                                                      The interface must be appropriate to the special
                                                      needs of the user.
                        Home bus-systems              Standard home-bus systems

                Current developments
                                          163
                The project HOME-AOM          is developing an intelligent multimedia/multimodal
                user interface which will enable autonomous, natural control and teleoperation (via
                a mobile phone) of various home appliances and services (television, video
                cassette recorder, washing machine, oven, lights, heating system, doors and
                windows) by means of a portable device with a touch screen, voice and gesture
                recognition and GSM communication for teleoperation. The HOME-AOM project
                will develop a multimodal interface which is close to the natural behaviour of the
                end user.
                                           164
                The project HOMEBRAIN          will facilitate the development of mass consumer,
                plug and play, wireless applications to enable integrated control, signalling and
                monitoring functions for daily living, based on design for all principles
                                        165
                The MOSAI-HS project        will develop a modular system for application,
                integration and clustering in home systems. MOSAIC-HS is a computer controlled
                network of domotic devices accessed via a dedicated interface. The project aims
                to demonstrate that different home automation services can be used in a simple
                and uniform way by persons with special needs to improve their autonomy and
                capabilities.

                Conclusion
                The projects focus on interface problems and standardisation of products and
                home systems. It is important that the end-users will have full access to the
                different interfaces and can use the interface that is most effective for themselves.
                Furthermore more focus should be on standardisation and compatibility of different
                products, so that in the future all products will be compatible and can be
                implemented in one system. The next section will focus on this aspect.



    6.3.5       Rehabilitation Robotics
                General description
                Robotics can be of use for people with motor impairments. Manipulators to be
                used on a wheelchair and robots to fulfil several physical tasks are a few of the
                many applications.
                In the table below current products and bottlenecks of this category are described.

Technology             Current Products/Applications         Current Bottlenecks
Mechatronics,          manipulators and robots               too expensive products,
                             166        167
mechanics, control     (Manus , Handy )                      poor dissemination of information, people
engineering and                                              are unfamiliar with the technology and
design                                                       therefor are not convinced of the benefits.


                                         168
                Current developments
                Rehabilitation robotics (RR) is penetrating the market very slowly and is still seen
                to be a "future technology". A main reason is the availability of alternative solutions.
                But other factors limit the potential market success. Potential users as well as



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                  most rehabilitation advisors do not know the capabilities of robots-or are unaware
                  of the existence of rehabilitation robots.

                  Conclusion
                  It is time to bring the benefits of RR into practice: proven RR needs to come out of
                  the research labs. Technology transfer from the areas of industrial and service
                  robotics needs more attention. A progressive strategy should be used to approach
                  the public opinion and convince decision makers by providing evidence of the
                  value of robotic solutions.


6.4 Conclusions
                  In the previous paragraphs conclusions are give per separate paragraph. This
                  section tries to give an overall view on the developments in AT. It is clear that the
                  national and EU-funding programmes have had an effect on the AT market. Very
                  positive effects are seen if we compare this market to 10 to 15 years ago. Ideas for
                  development reported at that time are being implemented now, for example the
                  COST-219 working group pointed at Smart Card and Speech technology in the
                  meetings and reports of this group 13 years ago. We can see that the AT market
                  is following the mainstream market at a “distance” in time and size.

                  There are reasons why the AT-market is immature. The size of the market
                  following the mainstream development is much smaller than the mainstream and
                  often lacking investment capital; the mainstream developments need to be at a
                  certain “mature” level before it is economically feasible to develop AT products with
                  it; the AT-market requires longer duration for implementation due to the need for
                  medical approval in some cases and approval by social security systems.

                  Still many developments took place and the global conclusions can be: the AT
                  market has grown, more sophisticated products are on the market, the products
                  are very much more professional in design and in engineering, and a very large
                  growth in functionality of the products is seen. However, it is still a market that can
                  hardly develop without extra budgets for innovations.


    6.4.1         Developments in interfaces
                  A couple of the previous paragraphs, area‟s of AT developments, deal with
                  interface problems: speech products, Smart Cards, adapted interfaces for ICT,
                  wheelchair interfaces and environmental control. A key priority is, and will be in the
                  future, to develop person specific interfaces which will accommodate various task
                  environments.

                  For speech it is the training and the need for very high quality analysers to cope
                  with a variety of voices. Smart cards to support individualisation face problems of
                  standardisation as many other interface problems do; it is the standardisation of
                  the adaptation and adjustments while working with the interfaces. The work that
                  has been done in this field covers systems where the different interface task
                  environments (PC-keyboards, wheelchairs, environmental control systems) can
                  use similar technology for control.


    6.4.2         Distance communication
                  Text telephony, relay services available at a distance and locally, and video
                  communication all had to deal with the progress in communication technology. The
                  possible applications were, however, hampered by the fact that a prime
                  requirement of a new system is simple and easy operation, which has not always
                  been the case for the new products. It is often elderly persons and cognitive
                  impaired persons who need these systems badly and complexity is not appropriate
                  in operation of these systems. Very much time and work has been spent in
                  standardising the communication protocols.


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    6.4.3       Information transmission applications
                For alerting systems and (social) alarms, Internet for collecting information and
                much more, mobile telephony for support at virtually any place in the country, the
                innovation depends strongly on the services developed to accommodate the
                information transmission. Mainstream technology has been applied in an
                innovative way.


    6.4.4       Communication and learning
                Communication systems, the systems that support speech and language impaired
                persons and Vocabulary Learning Systems have developed considerably with the
                advancement in computing power in small hardware systems. An extensive list of
                communication devices has gained in functionality due to the computing power:
                hearing aids, Braille systems/writers etc. These systems all require very special
                technology and software to support the function of that technology. Although they
                are all concerned with communication, these systems find hardly any synergy
                between them because of their special technology, and also because the markets
                for theses systems are split up according to the services to be provided method of
                service delivery.


    6.4.5       Rehabilitation Robotics
                The field of rehabilitation robotics is overlapping in technology with many of the
                above mentioned topics. Rehabilitation Robotics depends on advanced medical
                engineering, mechatronics and software systems to control the links of the
                devices. Furthermore, the user groups require very carefully optimised control
                systems. Further developments are needed to enhance functionality. Rehabilitation
                Robotics is typically a field where a very long innovation process (10-15 years)
                seems to be necessary before the products can actually be marketed.


    6.4.6       Final Remark
                More developments can be reported in AT: many have been outside the scope of
                the EU-programmes and are still not within the boundaries of the programmes.
                Examples are rollators, which are successful not just because of better designs
                and materials, but also because there has been a cultural change in accepting
                disability in the last 10 years. Also in prosthetics and orthotics, technical progress
                has been made; better quality, aesthetically pleasing designs and better
                functionality. For wheelchairs, one almost does not remember the previous public
                scandals, highlighted in the media, about the very low quality of wheelchairs. It
                would be an interesting experiment in thinking / extrapolating what the progress in
                these sectors could have been with the same type and amount of funding.




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7 Developments in mainstream
  technology and future scenarios for
  assistive technology
                  Developments in mainstream technology are proceeding at a frantic pace. In this
                  section we have categorised major developments and described likely general
                  trends for the next decade. Inevitably some of the categories overlap. Each
                  section then describes potential for development in the assistive technology
                  domain.


7.1 The Explosive Growth of the Internet
                  Invented in 1969 for text communications between universities, the Internet was
                  more or less limited to the academic world until 1989 when the World Wide Web
                  was born. Now it is an everyday term in business and home in the USA, Europe
                  and Japan. Although only a minority of businesses and homes currently have an
                  Internet connection, most people know of the technology, and the number of
                  connections is set to grow exponentially.

                  There were an estimated 54 million Internet users in North America at the year-
                           169
                  end 1998 , (around a fifth of the USA population) representing 56% of the world‟s
                  users. This will rise to nearly 65 million by the end of 1999. However, other parts
                  of the world, particularly Europe will match the North American growth in the next 3
                  years.

                  The European Internet population will grow from 34 million in 1998 to 100.3 million
                                                                                  170
                  in 2003, a penetration rate of 35% of the total adult population .

                  By 2002, eMarketer “Global Report” estimates there will be 280 million active
                  Internet users world wide: 98 million in North America, 84 million in Europe, 60
                  million in Asia, 26 million in Latin America and 12 million in the rest of the world.

                  Two technologies from the 1970s and 1980s were the enablers of the
                  development of the Internet. Just before 1980 the microprocessor arrived and set
                  off a decade-long processing revolution which was symbolised by the personal
                  computer (PC). At the end of the 1980s optical fibre phone lines started to deliver
                  high-quality communications bandwidth and laser technology provided huge
                  volumes of storage on optical disk. Lasers were cheap and applied to everyday
                  appliances: compact disc music players and CD-ROMs appeared. Cheap lasers
                  completely reinvented the business environment. PCs on the desk-top outwardly
                  looked the same, but changed profoundly in function, from stand-alone devices
                  defined by what they processed, to networked devices defined by what they were
                  connected to. The 1990s PC became a network portal to a larger information
                        171
                  world .

                  The Internet has been able to grow quickly on the back of the well established
                  infrastructure of landline based telephony, available in the USA, Europe and
                  Japan, via a base of personal computers. Third World and former Soviet block
                  countries with limited telephony infrastructure start at a disadvantage.

                  Today, the Internet is seen as a major source of information; one of its most
                  popular uses is to find out more about health issues. Commercially it is used to
                  provide information about organisations, products and services. Increasingly,
                  press, poster and TV advertisements, and broadcast TV programmes include a
                  home page address for further information. Government and statutory bodies are


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                increasingly providing information about their structure and work on the web and,
                in some cases, providing a means for citizens to make comments back. Voting
                on-line in your country‟s governmental elections is an obvious next step. The first
                UK national on-line ballot took place in the in November 1999. The university
                lecturer‟s union, NATFHE asked its 10 000 members to vote on a pay offer, and
                the virtual turnout was substantially higher than in normal postal ballots.

                The social networking that the Internet can provide is growing. It is currently used
                by interest groups, self-help groups, and chat groups. Some people have met
                partners via the Internet, and there is at least one organisation which offers to
                check out Internet “dates”. As more people hook up to the Internet, and become
                confident in using it, the social use of the Internet is likely to grow.

                In the next decade:

                   Internet from orbit will become an alternative route, allowing access to
                    countries with limited line telephony. Low earth orbit systems such as
                    Teledesic, and geo-stationary satellite networks will aid the global spread of
                                171
                    the Internet .

                   Changes in technology (such as ADSL - Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line)
                    will provide high bandwidth connections to homes as well as workplaces.
                    Pricing structures will change; charges will be made by volume of data rather
                    than time on the line. The result will be permanently „open‟ connections, in the
                    home, which will change the way people think about and use the Internet.
                    Trials of ASDL have shown that users make far greater use of the Internet if it
                                         172
                    is always accessible .

                   Japan predicts that by 2003 there will be the practical use of a highly next-
                    generation Internet that allows the transmission of real-time information,
                    leading to the implementation of Internet-based telephone services and motion
                                     173
                    video broadcasts .

                   Mobile phones and „TVs‟ will become alternative interfaces for access to the
                    Internet (see sections on convergence of cable and radio, telecommunications
                    TV and PCs).

                   XML (Extensive Mark-up Language) will replace html as the Internet
                    programming language, bringing with it the potential to process intelligently the
                    information at any point on the network. At the moment, the Internet is a
                    chaotic place. There are 10,000 websites being added every day, while the
                    material already there is constantly evolving, moving or disappearing. Search
                    engines know exactly where a little of the information is kept, and have a
                    rough idea of where about 35% is hidden, or at least, where it used to be.
                    Developed by W3C, the web standards body, in consultation with companies
                    such as Microsoft, Sun and IBM as well as academics and individuals, XML
                    contains information about the information (metadata). For example it will tell
                    a browser whether a number represents a price, a name, a discount or a
                    measurement. It categorises and tags the information, enabling search
                    engines to look for specified information (eg the address of a company). An
                    XML tag will tell a browser than an item is an image; a PC browser will then
                                                                                    174
                    display the image while a mobile phone browser will ignore it.

                   Social communication through the Internet will expand rapidly. Systems that
                    facilitate social communication by elderly or disabled people at home through
                                                   175
                    the Internet will be realised.

                   The interaction between the state and its citizens will be enhanced by the
                    Internet. As Western governments move towards a more open stance, the
                    opportunity for the citizen to find out information and to take part in debate with
                    government and statutory bodies will be underpinned by the Internet. In March


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                      2000, a new website was established to invite EU citizens to share their
                      opinions on their rights in the new Information Society. The site encourages
                      dialogue between citizens and „experts‟ who have selected interests in
                                           176
                      Information Society.

                     The Internet will become a major distribution channel for music and music
                      video. The first world-wide licences to stream music videos over the Internet
                      were announced in December 1999 by the music company EMI and Launch
                      Media. Launch.com will offer an extensive video collection on the web with
                      access to EMI labels: Virgin, EMI, Capitol Records, Astralwerks, Priority, Angel
                                      177
                      and Blue Note.      Downloading a MP3 file (a format for music files) of the
                      latest pop single will be an alternative to buying a CD in a shop. MP3 will
                      allow record companies to provide a free sample of a pop group‟s recording,
                      which will play for a limited number of times.

                     Electronic commerce is predicted to grow at a phenomenal rate and the
                      Internet will become one of the main infrastructures for human interaction.
                      The US Commerce Department report “The Emerging Digital Economy II”
                      concludes that e-commerce is “fundamentally altering the way Americans
                                                                 178
                      produce, consume, communicate and play” .

                     There will be widespread use of electronic commerce carried out via a network
                                                                                                179
                      based on an electronic funds transfer system and electronic money system.

                     The electronic signature or proof of authenticity will become accepted. Bell
                      Labs have patented fingerprint authentication technology and formed a new
                      company Veridicom in conjunction with US Venture Partners, to offer a stamp
                      sized fingerprint sensor. It incorporates 4 principle components: a silicon
                      sensor, which measures the ridges and valleys of the finger pressed against
                      the chip; analysis software, which reconstructs the fingerprint in digital form
                      and searches for unique features that identify an individual; matching software,
                      which uses special algorithms to match the current fingerprint to the enrolment
                      sample given by the user; and data protection software, which protects the
                                                                             180
                      fingerprints from unauthorised copying or tampering .

                     Remote sensing and control devices will become important users of the
                              181
                      Internet .

                     Half a billion human-operated machines and countless, in the form of
                      appliances, sensors, controllers and the like, will be interconnected. These
                      machines and their users will buy, sell and freely exchange information and
                                            182
                      information services.



    7.1.1         Future assistive technology

    7.1.1.1       Access
                  Access to the Internet will be available through a number of routes: the Smart TV,
                  mobile phone devices, citizen 'booths' in shopping precincts and public libraries.

                     Areas for innovation
                     Specialised interfaces for people with limited functionality eg a project in Japan
                      is currently working on the user of a PC to work with Windows by ear. The
                      movement of the cursor with mouse is output as sound; the entry of the cursor
                      into the region of an icon, window or other object is announced by a distinctive
                      voice; non-visual operation is made easier by the cursor sticking to an object
                      when brought near it. Eye control is another area.




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                   Audio navigation around web pages, and virtual reality navigation (by gesture
                    recognition, gaze recognition, head movement etc)
                   Specialised interfaces made available at likely meeting places for specific
                    groups eg at special schools, day centres, in „sheltered‟ housing (where a
                    warden oversees a group of residencies)
                   Speech control of browsers
                   Smart screen for people with sight impairment, that adjusts colour and
                    brightness to personal settings perhaps via a smart card containing personal
                    settings of the user
                   Intelligent agents to help browsing for people with cognitive impairment, or to
                    provide limited targeted Internet access.
                   Software to configure standard interfaces (such as PC screens) to allow
                    customisation.
                   Methods of customising public or multi-user terminals for individual settings,
                    eg customising data on a smart card which the user carries with him/her
                   Compatibility of Braille writers, scanners etc with Internet browsers
                   Text telephone over the Internet, with automatic speech to text translation
                   Video telephony over the Internet with automatic speech to signing
                   Text to audio translation of e-mail and web pages for blind people

    7.1.1.2     Shopping
                The Internet makes it possible to shop for almost anything from home. It is easier
                to find suppliers and users of more specialised goods.

                Areas for innovation
                 Initiatives to encourage manufacturers/distributors of AT and users to make
                   use of the Internet. The market for AT devices should expand as it becomes
                   much easier to match suppliers and users. Users can more easily find a
                   supplier of specialised equipment, and make their needs known. Suppliers
                   have a more easily defined distribution channel and the potential of direct
                   contact with users. Theme portals.

    7.1.1.3     Social Contact
                A plethora of social activities will be stimulated by the Internet. The very easy to
                establish communication with others, strangers anywhere on the world, will have
                major effects in societies. Whether or not these effects will be positive is
                unpredictable and subject to individual's beliefs and political conviction. The more
                superficial social contacts in the USA, (at least Europeans see it in that way,) might
                develop in the EU as well).

                Changes in our society are influenced by the media: paying much attention to
                problems in our society of persons with disabilities and/or age, and/or chronic
                illness, and/or culture can make the special position more acceptable. The
                acceptance of technological tools might change because of this reason as well.
                Some disabled persons are not hesitating in showing their supportive tools like a
                prosthesis or other adaptation.

                One of the advantages of the Internet is that it allows a person to remain physically
                anonymous, and to communicate at the pace at which he/she is comfortable. For
                those who are not socially confident, or have a disability which makes face-to-face
                social contact difficult eg those people with speech impairment or a profound
                physical disability, Internet socialising puts them on the same footing as everyone
                else.



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                  Areas for innovation
                   initiatives to stimulate the formation of self help groups eg software that might
                     help members identify other members who are closest to them geographically,
                     or most like them personality wise,
                   virtual day centres, where additional social contact can be made by taking part
                     in a social group for a part of the day
                   buddy system – one elderly person keeps and eye on another via the Internet
                   music services for special groups using MP3, eg music for special exercises,
                     music that helps with memory or stimulates fond memories

    7.1.1.4       Information/Education
                  The use of the Internet for information seeking may be closely linked with social
                  activities, education or training.

                  Areas for innovation
                   Initiatives to encouraging user groups to form and work with suppliers to
                     develop better AT products.
                   Targeted information for self-help
                   Sharing of software based resources, already developed, for cognitive,
                     learning or developmental disabilities


    7.1.1.5       Monitoring & Control
                  Monitoring devices will become a big user of the Internet. Although most of the
                  monitoring functions below are available today via a home bus system, there has
                  been limited take-up of such systems.

                  Areas for innovation
                   Remote monitoring of signs of daily living for vulnerable people living alone
                   Development of sensors that are useful for disabled and elderly people
                   Remote control of home devices eg checking and controlling the temperature
                     of a living room so that it is warm when an elderly person arrives home from a
                     visit away, or warm enough for an elderly person who gets confused and
                     forgets to turn up the heating
                   Reminders and acknowledgements eg reminders to take a drug or perform a
                     task
                   Remote caring services
                   Transmission of personal alarm signals over the Internet to a remote carer of
                     control centre

    7.1.1.6       Interaction with the State
                  The philosophy of open government, where state government departments and
                  services are transparent and more responsive to citizens, is likely to be aided by
                  the Internet. Information about government departments, their remit, who to
                  contact etc. can be made available on a website. Several European states are
                  moving towards on-line systems for interaction such as making a tax return.

                  Areas for innovation
                   Initiatives to nurture the citizen/state relationship, where citizens who need
                     support are encouraged to take personal responsibility for their care, and their
                     personal development.
                   Information for targeted groups of disabled people to promote knowledge of
                     their rights and state/third party support.
                   Polling, using E-mail and Internet for support in policy making.




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7.2 Mobile Communications -The Convergence of
    Cable and Radio Telecommunications
                Mobile telephones have built an expectation from consumers that wherever they
                are, they can stay in touch with colleagues and friends. Today, more sophisticated
                mobile phones, portable PCs and palm top computers are linked to mobile
                networks so that people can work on the move. For the end user, it is of little
                interest how the data is transmitted and received, and what combination of radio,
                cable and satellite networks are being used. The radio and cable
                telecommunications companies are quietly converging their operations. Now the
                demand is for better coverage (remote areas of Europe still have poor radio
                telecomms coverage, while many cities are congested with large numbers of users
                in one radio cell), and greater and greater data carrying capacity as more people
                want to use the Internet on the move.

                In wireless data transmission, existing air interfaces are being enhanced to include
                package transmission techniques eg General Packet Radio System (GPRS) in
                      183
                GSM

                The capacity of fibre-optic lines are being increased by developments in
                transmission and receiver technology. Bell Labs, owned by Lucent Technologies,
                USA, have demonstrated the world‟s first long distance, transmission of a terabit (1
                trillion bits) of information per second over a single optical fibre, using a new
                                        184
                optical fibre amplifier .

                On the Move, an EU project in the ACTS programme, is investigating how end-
                users will make use of multi-media applications in the Universal Mobile
                Telecommunications System (UMTS) of the future. There is an emphasis on
                producing a standardised interface for support functions for mobile applications.
                Among the participants are Siemens, IBM, BT, Deutsche Telecom, Ericsson, and
                MobileNet.

                Bluetooth, a new, global, open specification, for wireless connectivity between
                laptop computers, printers, cellular phones and other portable devices is likely to
                stimulate the compatibility of mobile communication devices. Version 1, published
                in July 1999 was developed by the Bluetooth Special Interest Group (SIG),
                founded by Ericsson, IBM, Intel, Nokia and Toshiba and now supported by over
                1600 adopter companies. Bluetooth compliant equipment will be on the market
                from 2000. Version 2 is currently being developed.

                Europe is seen as very strong in personal mobile communications, leading the
                                                                         185
                world with Japan, with the USA trailing some way behind.

                In the next decade:

                   According to the European Commission‟s green paper on a common
                    approach in the field of mobile and personal communications, close to 80% of
                    Europeans will use some kind of personal communications device by the year
                                                                 186
                    2010. This corresponds to 200 million users .

                   Antennas of the future will be more intelligent. Propagated signals will be
                    concentrated where they are needed, reducing total energy consumption.
                    Less energy will mean that radiation from mobile phones, base stations and
                                          187
                    radar is also reduced

                   Smaller batteries for mobile phones will enable the phones to be reduced
                                              188
                    further in size and weight .



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                     Tiny mobile devices will evolve. Phillips has proposed „Modul @+ Sound‟, a
                      small, badge-like device that can be attached to clothing such as the collar of a
                      jacket. It converts e-mails and other text messages to audio which the user
                                                      189
                      listens to via a tiny earpiece.

                     Network capacity will increase as protocols that expand existing capacity are
                      developed. Because the cost of installing new optical network equipment is
                      high, protocols are currently being developed that will allow more information
                                                                                  190
                      to be transmitted in less time, while using fewer resources .

                     Networks will be simplified. Today a complex array of equipment and
                      protocols are required to transfer data from one form to another. Signals from
                      a computer are typically transmitted via TCP (transfer communication protocol)
                      to IP (Internet protocol) to PPP (point-to-point protocol). They may then go
                      over an ATM (asynchronous transfer mode), then over SONET (synchronous
                      optical network) or SDH (synchronous digital hierarchy) and finally to the
                      optical domain. Protocols will be developed that allow Internet traffic to mix
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                      with traditional voice traffic and carry it over fibre .

                     The exact location of the user will be refined. The next generation of UTMS
                      phones will be able to pinpoint the location of the user to a high level of
                      accuracy. It will eventually be possible to locate and communicate with a
                      person anywhere in the world. This will bring benefits in being able to call for
                      assistance, but poses huge logistical challenges in organising a response.
                      Furthermore, the trackability of the user is seen as a threat to privacy by some
                      people.

                     Tiny mobile devices will replace the bulky ones.


    7.2.1         Future assistive technology
                  By the end of the next decade the chances are that Europeans will be carrying
                  some kind of personal communications device, whether or not they have a need
                  for assistive technology.

                  Areas for innovation
                   Assistive technology devices can be made to look like other mobile devices,
                     indeed, are likely to be additional functions to mainstream devices, overcoming
                     the „badge of infirmity‟ associated with, for example, today‟s social alarm
                     pendants.

    7.2.1.1       Location and Tracking
                  It will be possible to track a person via the mobile communications device. We
                  anticipate the development of a range of services which provide support for
                  people with disabilities and vulnerable elderly people. One example is a mobile
                  social alarm from which a call for assistance can be made whether the person is at
                  home or away from home. The caller‟s location is shown on a mapping system at
                  the social alarm control centre. (This is the subject of two current EC projects.)
                  Another example is a device that would prompt a person with poor memory with
                  how to get home from the local shops. A third example is a tagging device that
                  would alert a carer if a person with cognitive disability went outside a pre-defined
                  area because they are lost or wandering, or moving outside the home at an
                  unusual time, such as the middle of the night.

                  Ethical and privacy issues arise with location and tracking devices. In general one
                  could say that if the positive aspects of an aid or support are sound then
                  people/users will not be over concerned with the invasion of privacy. A thorough
                  study and plan can reduce or prevent negative reactions to a device. However, in




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                some of the countries in the EU it is already decided that privacy rules are prior to
                others.

                Areas for innovation
                 Organisation of and response responsibilities by emergency services, and the
                   ICT systems required.

                   Developing good practice in the application of mobile technology to „care in the
                    community‟ for people who might otherwise be institutionalised.

                   Development of a „mobile eye‟ and support system, using videotelephony for
                    people who mentally disabled, to support them in daily living in the community.

    7.2.1.2     Interfaces
                The tiny button, tiny screen interface of the mainstream communications device
                will not be suitable all, and a range of supplementary interfaces will need to be
                developed, for example to provide access for people with reduced vision, no
                vision, lack of manual dexterity, poor or no hearing. For web browsing, XML will
                provide opportunities for intelligent processing, for example, picking out a specific
                piece of information such as the telephone number and putting the text through a
                speech synthesiser for a user who is unable to see.

                Areas for innovation
                 Interfaces with mobile phones to enable access for people with specific
                   disabilities.

                   Intelligent web browsing of XML for different types of disability. Development
                    of intelligent browsers in end user devices and on the networks.

                   Integration of text telephones and text to speech technology (eg as used in
                    MultiVoice project 1998-99) with intelligent web-browsing.

                   Application of speech recognition technology to relay services for the deaf, so
                    that the service is automated. Incoming speech to a deaf person‟s phone
                    would automatically be converted to text which the deaf person can read on
                    the phone screen. The speech recognition technology could be held on the
                    network so that it is accessible via any screen phone.

                   Standardisation of connection point to mobile devices to allow supplementary
                    interfaces.

                   Development of interfaces for specific disabilities using radio connections, eg
                    Blue Tooth standard, which should increase the portability of such devices. No
                    major installation work needs to be carried out. The user may be able to take
                    the interface with him/her to work, friends‟ homes, on holiday etc.

                   Application of video-telephony to mobile communications as transmission
                    capacity increases and inexpensive cameras are built into the mobile
                    telephone. Video-telephony can play an important role in the intervention
                    with, and for the independent living of people with special needs. It may be
                    used as a tool for intervention, enhancement of team work, collaboration,
                    supervision, distant education and for remote support. For people who are
                    mentally disabled, speech impaired, hard of hearing or deaf, the use of still or
                    moving pictures can supplement voice telephone and enable them to express
                    or perceive messages. Sign language over the videophone line is another
                    possibility. Most surprising perhaps is that visually disabled people can benefit
                    from video-telephony, using it as a remote eye; objects, printed forms etc. can
                    be shown to a sighted person who can identify and describe them verbally to
                    the blind person.




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                     Compatibility with hearing aids and inductive coupling devices.

    7.2.1.3       New functions for the ‘mobile phone’

                  As people become used to always having a communications device with them,
                  their functionality is likely to increase beyond mobile communications. Health
                  parameter monitoring for people with high blood pressure, epilepsy, diabetes, etc.
                  could be carried out as they move about, with warning signals if readings or
                  patterns fall outside pre-defined levels. These might be combined with an expert
                  system which gives advice based on the readings.

                  Key personal information could be stored in the mobile phone and accessed by
                  people in an emergency. The communications device could become a means of
                  identifying a person, rather like a diary or wallet is used at the moment. Using a
                  standard „personal information‟ button, a member of the public might be told, “this
                  is Mr X. He is epileptic. The first person to contact is his wife on 0121 222 222 “
                  or “This is Mrs Y. She sometimes gets a little confused. Please contact her son
                  on 0121 222 223”.

                  Areas for innovation
                   Perambulator heath monitoring and advice.

                     Personal support systems for vulnerable people.

    7.2.1.4       Universal Access
                  The personal communications device could become a single point of access to a
                  wide range of other devices, eg controlling the TV and door entry system at home.
                  Universal access to the information society could be achieved via a range of
                  tailored interfaces, with each member of society selecting the device which suits
                  them best, some selecting interfaces which counter physical or mental impairment,
                  and all of which can communicate with base devices.

                  Areas for innovation

                     High level system integration and ergonomic ways of thinking about and
                      operating the services.

                     Integration of communications devices with wheelchair/environment control
                      devices.




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7.3 The Convergence of TV,
    Telecommunications and Computers
                While PCs have fuelled the growth of the Internet in business and in technically
                sophisticated homes, the majority of homes across the world do not contain a PC.
                A lot more of them have TVs and telephones though. In Europe, North America,
                and Japan, the TV has the highest household penetration of all electrical goods,
                closely followed by the telephone.

                The TV is the most likely candidate for the role of interface to the information
                superhighway. For the millions of people who have no knowledge of using a PC,
                the TV will become the tool through which they interact with the outside world.
                Cable TV is already providing pay-as-you-view entertainment to subscribers. The
                step to pay-as-you-surf is only a matter of time and more free service is likely to
                evolve too.

                Initially, interaction may be limited to making selections from a list (eg which film
                you want to download to view tonight), but as consumers become familiar with this
                type of selection they are likely to accept more involved processes. They may
                think of the machine as being a TV. In fact it will be a computer too. Cable TV or
                TV with a set-top box containing a modem will provide the connection to the
                telecommunications infrastructure.

                The first mobile phones with web-browsing capability are already on the market. In
                the UK, the country‟s largest Internet firm, Freeserve, announced in December
                1999, a strategic alliance with the BT Cellnet, one of the main mobile phone
                                                                  191
                networks, to offer email through mobile phones.

                Over the next decade:

                   Entertainment services via the TV will grow with the introduction of digital TV,
                    and become interactive.

                   Interactive learning services will be made available to homes via digital
                    television using low cost receivers. The number of installed digital set-top
                    boxes in Europe will grow rapidly from 1 million in 1997 to 29 million by
                          192
                    2003 .

                   Internet access will be made possible via an ordinary television set, with a
                    connection through a SCART socket on the TV set and also to an existing
                    telephone line. WebTV from Microsoft is being piloted in Europe, and already
                                                         193
                    has 800,000 subscribers in the US . NetBox, developed by NetGem, a
                    private company in France, is being marketed in conjunction with Alcatel and
                                    194
                    France Telecom . In the UK Ondigital, the first digital TV company launched
                    an e-mail service („on mail‟) via the TV in March 2000.

                   Personal TV, based on personal video recorders will develop. The recorders
                    will use an intelligent interface and internal hard drive to digitally record
                    programmes which the viewer prefers. With easy-to-create viewer profiles,
                    100 hours or more of recording, and instantaneous fast-forward and reverse it
                    will offer, at a given moment, a menu of recorded programmes based on the
                                          195
                    viewer‟s preference .

                   The next generation of mobile phones will offer web-browsing capability.
                    Combined with the introduction of XML as the main Internet language, (see
                    section on the Internet) surfing the Internet via a mobile phone will become
                    commonplace for people on the move.




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                     By 2003 more people in the UK will be accessing the net through a mobile
                                                              196
                      phone than through a desktop computer.

                     “Surfing on the sofa” will be enabled by Bluetooth, an open specification for
                      short range radio links between mobile PCs, mobile phones and other portable
                      devices. Mobile data can be connected to a wide range of devices easily and
                      simply. The five founding companies of Bluetooth: Ericsson, IBM, Intel, Nokia
                      and Toshiba have been joined by 3Com, Lucent Technologies, Microsoft and
                      Motorola, and the specification will be adopted by a large number of
                                      197
                      manufacturers.


    7.3.1         Future assistive technology

    7.3.1.1       Entertainment Led Services
                  A wider range of targeted entertainment will be available. The consumer will be
                  able to „personalise‟ viewing. Services are likely to grow on the back of viewing eg
                  if you watch an opera, you may be sent details of operatic productions in your
                  nearest city.

                  Areas for innovation
                   personalised viewing for people with cognitive or memory disorders, who are
                     sometimes frightened or confused by some programmes; viewing could be
                     selected from favourite familiar programmes
                   a wider range of programmes and more targeted programmes and services,
                     for groups of disabled and elderly people. Programmes could include
                     suggested therapies and ways of managing everyday living with disabilities or
                     certain health conditions
                   targeted selling to more specialised groups, based on programme audiences,
                     could expand the market for assistive technology. Suppliers of assistive
                     technology will have a more easily defined distribution route, and know where
                     potential users are (based on viewing of programmes)
                   signing for deaf people. with auto-translation from captions
                   audio description of TV programmes

    7.3.1.2       Interfaces
                  Although the Smart TV will have computer functions, the user may think of the
                  device as a TV not a computer. Ergonomically designed controllers for the TV will
                  be a key component of their success, overcoming the resistance of some users to
                  computers.

                  Areas for innovation
                   Specialised interfaces for different types of disability eg poor eyesight, limited
                     hand/digit movement
                   Standardisation of ports for/to interfaces eg Blue Tooth radio interface
                   Speech control

    7.3.1.3       Video Telephony
                  Video telephony will be possible through the TV, with the picture displayed on the
                  TV screen, and a small camera mounted on the TV.

                  Areas for innovation
                   automated signing for deaf people using speech to signing software, signing
                     displayed on the screen
                   automated text for hearing disabled people using speech to text software, text
                     displayed on the screen




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    7.3.1.4     Smart Home
                The TV will become the terminal for smart home technology, controlling other
                equipment around the home.

                Areas for innovation
                 Specialised interfaces for different type of disability

    7.3.1.5     Monitoring
                It will be possible to monitor the data that is coming into someone‟s home via the
                broadband data link. This is bound to raise concerns about privacy, but it offers
                opportunities for market research. For disabled and elderly it could be possible to
                monitor the interaction of a person living alone with his/her smart TV to check that
                activity is taking place as expected.

                Areas for innovation
                 monitoring for signs of „normal‟ TV watching or use

    7.3.1.6     Socialising
                The Smart TV will be the portal for the Internet, bringing access to a much wider
                range of the population, many of whom are currently excluded because lack of
                access to PC technology. See section on the Internet.




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7.4 Virtual Reality
                  Large capacity, powerful computers have enabled the development of virtual
                  reality. Much of the development to date has been for entertainment such as
                  adventure games, and training. Flight simulators for the training of air pilots
                  provide virtual scenarios and interactive „aircraft‟ controls for pilots to develop and
                  practise their skills. Architects and planners can model their ideas and „walk the
                  buildings‟ before the foundations are laid.

                  More recently virtual reality environments have made their debut on the Internet.
                  Bell Labs in South Jersey have developed a program that lets cyclists take a virtual
                  bike ride, together, over the Internet. Using a static exercise bike and computer,
                  the ride is a loop in Central Park. A map has been used to construct a
                  topographically correct image of the area, and railings, trees and pavements have
                  been replicated. Pedal resistance simulates hills. Riders see themselves and
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                  other riders. At the moment, speed can be controlled but not steering .

                  „Enhanced reality‟, where virtual reality is overlayed on real objects is a developing
                  area. An example application might be a multimedia guide to the archaeological,
                  geological or environmental features of a region.

                  In the next decade:
                   More sophisticated virtual reality environments and activities will be developed
                       for entertainment, exercise and social events. The Bell Labs team aims to
                       simulate the Tour de France.

                     Health clubs will be able to connect people on exercise bikes, rowing
                      machines and treadmills, to people in other health clubs for virtual sports
                      events. People will be able to choose whether to enter a competitive event, or
                      simply select a companion or two for a jog.

                     Virtual retail stores will allow the shopper to walk around the store, lifting and
                      examining the labels on goods, before deciding to buy.

                     The training of many professions will be enhanced by being able to travel
                      through and learn the detail of environments which are difficult to see eg
                      surgeons will be able to travel around a heart or a joint, see it working, or learn
                      to repair it. Manufacture engineers will be able to hop onto the production line
                      for a wide range of processes. Structural engineers will be able to design
                      buildings or other structures and test where areas of stress have been
                      created.

                     A smart chair will give a strong sense of being there (tele-presence) in
                      videoconference systems. Flat screen, two dimensional pictures will give way
                                                                                     199
                      to 3-D sight and sound projections that encircle participants.


    7.4.1         Future assistive technology

    7.4.1.1       Virtual environments
                  A wide range of virtual reality environments will develop.

                  Areas for innovation
                   virtual trips or holidays for disabled people who are unable to undertake a
                     journey
                   virtual reality day centres, clubs and interest groups to enhance or provide
                     additional social contact for people who find it physically difficult to get out to
                     meet people.




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    7.4.1.2     Shopping
                Internet shopping is growing at a pace. Virtual reality shopping over the Internet is
                the next stage.

                Areas for innovation
                 virtual reality shopping will extend the opportunity for some disabled people
                   who currently find it difficult to go to retail outlets, to shop in the same way as
                   able-bodied people
                 shop „browsers‟ which help overcome some disabilities eg zoom in to display
                   more detail for people with sight impairment, voice or musical tone
                   identification of an item on a virtual shelf when a pointer is put near it
                 aids to help check goods on receipt, eg bar code type readers which read out
                   the identity of an item when placed over the tactile label for visually disable
                   people to check goods on receipt
                 electronic signature for disabled people who are unable to use the systems
                   currently being developed to pay for goods and services in electronic trading

    7.4.1.3     Interfaces
                Virtual reality faces the same challenges as computers and smart TVs of
                developing suitable interfaces for disabled people.

                Areas for innovation
                 Specialised interfaces for different types of disability
                 Standardisation of ports for/to interfaces eg Blue Tooth radio interface
                 Virtual reality signing for deaf users
                 Work on enhancing input and output to and from the user‟s senses that work
                   well, to compensate for senses that are disabled, eg a hard of hearing user
                   may have increased visual „experiences‟ and prompts and fewer audio
                   signals.

    7.4.1.4     Health training, education and rehabilitation
                A major domain for innovation is health training, education and remote
                rehabilitation. It does have a direct effect on the quality of life of people

                Areas for innovation
                 The building and sharing of health and medical libraries of virtual images of the
                   human body to enhance training and understanding of disease and medical
                   conditions eg the Carnegie Collection of Human Embryos, a unique collection
                   of preserved embryos showing each stage of development from one day after
                   conception, is being imaged using magnetic resonance microscopy (MRM)
                   and made available on a world wide web site. Tools have been developed to
                   be able to slice the images digitally in any orientation, but the actual embryos
                   remain intact and are not damaged in any way. The images will enable better
                   understanding of embryo development and help train clinicians to detect birth
                   defects using magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound.
                 Combined with the Internet for distribution, high quality, virtual reality training
                   materials for health and care workers of people with specific conditions.
                 Images for the public too – not only do images help physicians understanding
                   but also the person who may have a condition. By being able to view an
                   images of a diseased body part, or the way a condition will develop, the person
                   can better understand the treatment he is being offered and what he can do
                   for himself.
                 Access to education and training for disabled people who have difficulty
                   attending a physical school or university.
                 High quality learning systems with virtual reality human tutors eg vocabulary
                   learning systems could have a VR human that mouths and gestures the words
                   as they are taught.
                 Training tasks in an Occupational Therapy setting can be enhanced by VR
                   application. An example is wheelchair driving. In this domain it is important to
                   have the possibility for a real life like electronic copy of an environment of a


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                      person at home and the urban environment as a VR representation functioning
                      in a training session in the clinic.




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7.5 Interfaces
                Humans mainly interface with computer technology through a keyboard and
                mouse, and touch screens for limited routine commands such as those used at a
                cash machine or information point. But humans are not born with keyboard and
                mouse sockets but rather with mouths, eyes and ears. The next big challenge is
                to develop interfaces which enable humans to communicate intuitively, using
                speech, or ultimately, thought.

                The human interface with a “machine” or a system largely determines the level of
                usability of a system. This is true for general interfaces for consumers as well as in
                assistive technology. The limitations of the display are delimiting the functionality in
                design. For example, the size of a graphic display in a mobile system does not
                allow extensive reading and graphical functions which are possible with 17-inch
                PC-monitors. Large flows of information are to be transmitted by displays while the
                technology itself is miniaturised. This is one of the dilemmas, which need major
                innovative research and innovative developments. Display methods focus on high
                quality mapping of information to the brain using as small as possible display tools.

                Another dilemma relates to the problem of making interfaces easy to use. Some
                people say that the best interface is one which can be trained to a high level of
                performance. Others will say it is the display with the best intuitive protocol (which
                may mean a few more steps to accomplish before getting the desired function) Or
                is the best policy to go for high level of personalisation instead of a high level of
                standardisation, such that we can all use systems without serious trouble because
                we have been extensively trained to do so (modern cars show a large level of
                resemblance in the controls of steering, speeding, using lights and signs etc.)

                Speech recognition is being used successfully where the vocabulary is limited and
                the system can be trained to the user‟s voice, eg to give commands to fly fighter
                jets. Speech recognition software is widely sold for inputting text to word
                processing programmes but it takes many hours of training the software to the
                user‟s voice before they can be deployed efficiently.

                The Massachusetts Institute of Technology is undertaking a 5 year project involving its
                Laboratory for Computer Sciences and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory to develop a
                new hardware and software system called Oxygen. Oxygen is an integrated collection
                of 8 new technologies: At its heart is the Handy 21, which is like a cellular phone with
                the addition of a visual display, a camera, infrared detector and computer. The Handy
                21 deals with the communications aspect of the system, wherever the user is. Second,
                the Enviro 21 which is built into the walls of the office and home and the trunk of the
                car, also handles communications , but with greater capacity and speed. It also
                interacts with all kinds of devices: sensors, controllers, phones, cameras - ie smart
                home technology, and allows users to off-load routine and repetitive tasks. Importantly
                the interface between the users and the system is predominately speech driven, and
                information will be accessed in ways that are more in keeping with the way humans
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                think. “Get me the big red document that came a month ago”, for example .

                Sony Computer Science Laboratories are researching the human-computer
                interaction in which natural language is the principal medium, but other non-verbal
                modalities. The aim is to develop computers that are aware of humans‟ real-world
                situations, be cognisant of their personal information, recognise their intentions
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                from speech and actions and support them automatically.

                Bell Labs have demonstrated a natural information interface (NII), for telephones,
                which includes an intelligent agent, an natural language router and an automated
                banking service. In essence, the NII recognises normal human speech and allows
                oral commands. The call router is being tested by USAA, a large insurance
                company, based in San Antonio, Texas. Callers can state who they want to speak



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                  to, or the nature of their call, in straightforward language, and be transferred
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                  appropriately, without having to go through a hierarchy of menus .

                  In the next decade:

                     The mouse and keyboard will be superseded by more natural interfaces
                      between human and computer.

                     Interfaces that allow human thought to command a computer, bypassing the need
                      for mechanical input, will start to emerge. In June 1999, Philip Kennedy of Emory
                      University and Neutral Signals Inc. received a Discover Magazine Award for
                      Technical Innovation for brain implants that can read the mind of a paralysed
                      patient and translate thoughts into commands that a computer can understand.


    7.5.1         Future assistive technology
                  Ideas for innovation

                  In human interface theory a number of layers is defined: the first layer is the control
                  layer: the receptors of physical commands (analogue or digital) and the displays for
                  feedback. The second layer is the signal analysis and protocols. The third layer is the
                  application layer. According to human interface theory these layers are counterparts in
                  human functioning. Roughly seen, the controls and displays need the human sensors
                  and motor-function, the dynamic behaviour determined by the interface protocols
                  should be designed according to human motor control system and thirdly, the
                  application layer should be reflected in the cognitive system of the user.

                  This illustrates the interface problem of people with disabilities: an impaired motor
                  function, impairment of perception or a lower cognitive level require alternative
                  approaches in order to get the same functionality of the system as for other
                  persons (although often at a lower speed). Other approaches are required but also
                  one has to be aware of the fact that the „information channel‟ is limited due to the
                  deterioration of one or more of the links. Optimisation to the individual functions of
                  the disabled person is required in that situation.

                  Research and developments in Human Interface Technology show very interesting
                  ways for alternative interface solutions in the future:

                     Natural language interfaces offering a completely different method of control. This
                      has been studied by several research centres. Not much progress towards real life
                      applications has yet been made. This might been caused by a lack of computing
                      speed at low prices (which will be solved in time), a lack of basic knowledge on
                      what a good interface has to be, and a lack of speed of input commands (i.e.
                      sentences) eventually to be solved by speech recognition.

                     Modularization of the three interface levels: control and display, signal analysis
                      and protocols, and application protocols. This opens the possibility of
                      exploiting available expertise on one of the levels for other applications as well.
                      The modularization opens the way to very advanced predictive controls; in the
                      signal analysis and protocol step it would be possible to use prediction to
                      enhance the speed and efficiency of control. Firstly, there is the possibility of
                      looking at the predicted effect of a control action before it is realised / effected.
                      Secondly, it is possible to pre-select further control actions on the base of the
                      history of activities of the system and earlier control actions taken (this is
                      "extremely" exploited in using communication systems by speech and
                      language impairment where the speed of input is low and must be optimised
                      for fluent communication).

                     Speech technology as input for control has been a prime area of research in the
                      last 20 to 30 years. In the last four years massive progress has been made in such



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                    a way that effective and relatively accurate recognition systems have come onto
                    the market at very affordable prices. Nevertheless, the variety in speech of persons
                    is so wide (so that the systems require extensive „training‟ for each user) that a
                    complete replacement of a keyboard can and will not happen for some time.
                    Present expertise and technology seems at the limits of possible levels of
                    performance and new approaches need to be added for further progress to be
                    made (user-independent, full vocabulary recognition in diverse practical
                    environments, at home, on street and in larger meeting rooms etc.)

                   Miniaturisation makes it possible to combine many functions and protocols in a
                    small mobile unit; however the smaller the unit the smaller the interface (either
                    graphic display or loudspeaker; push buttons and microphone). Thus easy
                    control of functions can only be realised if the span of control (in terms of
                    alternatives to be selected or accuracy of the selection), is limited.

                To summarise the above problems, human interface problem is a compromise of
                a number of conflicting variables, for example:

                   Wearability requires small device and small controls and displays, which is
                    less optimal from the viewpoint of a good human-machine interface.

                   Intuitive interfaces looks in principle a promising solution: however “intuitivity”
                    for non-handicapped persons is not the same as for persons with impairments.
                    Efficient, directly selected commands instead of menu-driven commands
                    require a higher mental cognitive load and training but are less intuitive.

                   Design for All allows for more common and broader groups which can use
                    systems but the outcome is less efficient for those who require special
                    features, size and protocols in the interface.

                   Personalising interfaces can prevent that others can operate the system with
                    the same tools. Standardisation is then not the case any more.

                The ideal (Utopia) situation is that for anybody (with or without impairments)
                interfaces are individually adapted (controls, displays, protocols), are adjusted
                during operation to cope with changed characteristics of the user, and are pre-
                selected and automatically adapted to the particular environment where the control
                or communication task to be performed. Present technology allows, in principle,
                for such a set-up, but fails however in knowledge on how these adaptation and
                adjustment processes should run.

                One solution is to carry personal interface characteristics data on a card or chip, or
                have that data available in the machine/PC. This would allow for an automatic
                change of the interface protocols and interface itself such that it optimises for that
                                           203
                particular user. The RNIB has produced brochures, in the context of the COST-
                        204
                219-bis research group, describing the use of such an approach in bank
                terminal access.




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7.6 Miniaturisation
                  The ability to provide more and more computer processing power or data storage
                  in less and less space has been a major driver in innovation in the last 20 years.
                  This, coupled with higher precision manufacturing (controlled by computer) has led
                  to the miniaturisation of many devices. Smaller devices can be used in new places
                  and for new applications.

                  The PC, invented only 20 years ago has revolutionised the way much of business
                  is done. Stand alone and later, networked PCs have replacing large mainframe
                  computers in main office systems.

                  The 1999 Discover Magazine Awards for Technological Innovation included a
                  video camera on a single silicon chip, that is small enough to fit into a wristwatch,
                  and a single molecule transistor that performs the same tasks as circuits in an
                                                                    205
                  ordinary microchip, but in a fraction of the space .

                  BT, the UK telecommunications company and MicroOptcial a US systems
                  company, have demonstrated a wearable computer with a tiny screen attached to
                                                  206
                  the lens of a pair of spectacles .

                  International Security Technology, a Finnish company has developed a wrist watch
                  size monitor which it claims continuously monitors the wearer‟s vital signs and
                  automatically sends a message for help if anything out of the ordinary occurs. It
                  has applications for people who have a chronic illness that is life threatening if it
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                  becomes acute eg heart disease .

                  Nanotechnology, the science of construction on scales of a billionth of a metre, is
                  in its infancy and developments have tended to be confined to university
                  laboratories. Cornell University engineers have made a guitar the size of a blood
                  cell, with strings of crystalline silicon, each string 100 atoms wide; a human hair is
                  2000 times wider. Nanotechnology impacts on materials science (see section
                  below).

                  In the next decade:

                     Focused electron beam instruments which can cut to a precise and tiny degree
                      will enable the manufacture of tiny surgical instruments for keyhole surgery;
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                      surgeons will be able to use smaller keyholes to insert smaller devices .

                     Wearable devices to enhance memory or provide instant access to
                      references, calendars, and databases, maps etc. will be used by professionals
                      who need to be in the move. For example, stock market traders could access
                      information needed to make quick decisions on the trading floor. Industrial
                      inspectors and scientists working in the field could jot down their observations
                      while walking around. These devices, some of which may be built into clothes
                      and spectacles, will also be developed to remind people with memory
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                      impairment of key information as they are on the move .

                     Wearable health monitors will enable medical specialists to understand better
                      how problems develop, rather than only seeing people when something has
                                209
                      gone wrong .

                     Location devices (for example, GPS receivers) will be used to call up
                      information about the surrounding area. Users won‟t have to type in queries to
                      find local restaurants or fuel stations; everything will be retrieved on the basis
                                              209
                      of the present position .




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    7.6.1       Future assistive technology

    7.6.1.1     Wearable health monitoring
                Mobile continuous monitoring raises certain questions about the total effects on
                the well being of people and medical consumption due to psycho-somatic induced
                diseases. For chronically ill and persons with disabilities having a good described
                and evaluated medical problem this might not be the case but, contrarily have a
                very positive effect on quality of life and medical consumption.

                Areas for innovation

                   Monitoring (of vital signs) and appropriate feedback to the wearer (as well as
                    to a physician) allowing the person to see the effect of actions/diet more clearly
                    and take appropriate action. Does this result in the person taking more
                    control?
                   Non-invasive measurement of vital signs

    7.6.1.2     Portable computer applications
                Portable computer applications comprise applications where you need them. Due
                to bulkiness of systems, costs and lack in usability (ease of use and duration to get
                the appropriate function started) the ultimate level of usage is still far away.

                Areas for innovation
                 Memory prompts – unobtrusive display and how information can be accessed,
                   particularly for people with cognitive disability
                 Navigation aids – radar systems that help to „name‟ people as they approach a
                   blind person, for use in business and social gatherings
                 On-line mapping and location devices for disabled facilities eg disabled
                   parking spaces or toilet; a library of maps of to be downloaded from the web
                 Instantaneous translators – speech to text or speech to sign language.


    7.6.1.3     Alarm Systems
                Systems for communication to get the needed support when urgently needed.

                Areas for innovation
                 Miniaturisation of alerting devices to enable them to be more readily built into
                   other wearable devices eg transmitter/receiver tactile alerter for doorbell or
                   baby alarm could be incorporated inside a standard watch or inside a shoe or
                   slipper.
                 Tiny, inexpensive cameras to be built into mobile communication devices to
                   provide visual reassurance to a vulnerable people – see section on mobile
                   communications
                 Development in sensors (see section on sensors) to allow more subtle control
                   and operation of assistive devices such as walking aids.




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7.7 Sensors
                  Sensors are being employed in everyday items, linked to switching devices to
                  provide automatic products. Everyone is familiar with automatic security lighting,
                  for example. Infra red sensors switch on the light if someone walks into the field of
                  view. Sensor technology is developing fast and cheap, high-performance sensors
                  are set to become one of the next important catalyst for change. Benefiting from
                  the trend in miniaturisation, sensors can be divided into several different
                  technologies.

    7.7.1.1       MEMS
                  MicroElectroMechanical Systems (MEMS) are based on use semiconductor
                  manufacturing techniques to create analogue devices. Chips are, in effect,
                  intricate race tracks for electrons, built up through an elaborate process of etching
                  and deposition. One of the worst faults a traditional chip can have is a „released
                  layer‟, in effect a loose piece of circuit material hanging out into microspace above
                  the chip surface. That loose layer interferes with the smooth flow of electrons
                  because it interacts with the surrounding analogue environment. In the MEMS
                  world these released layers can serve as analogue sensors, sensing everything
                  from acceleration and temperature to pressure and fluid flows. Car airbags are set
                  to use MEMS technology, to create an accelerometer that can be built on a single
                  chip, at low cost. The sensors that are used in airbags today are expensive and
                  trigger the device whenever they sense an abrupt acceleration, whether or not a
                  passenger is present. Future systems will incorporate sensors capable of
                  identifying not only the presence of a passenger, but their weight and size as well,
                                                                    210
                  and adjusting the force of inflation accordingly .


    7.7.1.2       Piezo-Electric Materials
                  Piezo-electric materials are materials (typically ceramics) that give off an electrical
                  charge when deformed and, conversely, deform when in the presence of an
                  electrical field. Disposable lighters make use of a piezo-electric technology.
                  Pushing down on the tab flexes a fleck of piezo-crystal, generating an electrical
                  charge which is converted into a spark. Piezos are particularly useful as surface-
                  mounted sensors for measuring physical movement and stress in materials. More
                  importantly, piezos can be used for effecting, ie interacting with the physical world
                                  210
                  on our behalf .


    7.7.1.3       Micromachines
                  Micromachines are built using semi-conductor manufacturing techniques. They
                  are complex in design, incorporating in some instances micrometer-scale gears
                  and other moving parts. An affiliate of Toyota Motor Corporation, Nippondenso,
                  has constructed a „microcar‟ not much larger than a grain of rice, complete with
                  electromagnetic motor and tiny ring-gear drive. Sandia National Laboratories in
                  the US have built complicated gear-wheel arrangements, 20 of which would sit
                  side by side on this full stop. Capable of spinning at 350 000 revolutions per
                  minute, these machines are used in airbags and joysticks.
                  Still in its infancy, micromachine technology exploits the structural qualities of
                  silicon: a low coefficient of thermal expansion, high thermal conductivity, a
                  strength-to-weight ratio more favourable than aluminium, and elasticity comparable
                  to that of steel.

    7.7.1.4       VLSI Video
                  The next generation of video camera technology will come on single chip, with the
                  charge-couple device, all the circuitry and the lens itself built into a
                  microprocessor. Cheap, small video cameras will become „eyes‟ for a host of
                                                                          210
                  surveillance, security, and entertainment applications .



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    7.7.1.5     Global Positioning Systems (GPS)
                Global Positioning Systems (GPS) sensors are falling dramatically in price. Hand
                held GPS receivers are available for as little as 150 euro. GPS sensors are being
                built into other devices to provide location co-ordinates. The EC Telematics MoRe
                (Mobile Rescue Phone) project has developed a mobile phone with GPS receiver,
                to provide the location disabled and elderly users if they call for assistance. This is
                currently undergoing trials. Benefon, a Finnish mobile phone manufacturer, has
                demonstrated a mobile phone with GPS receiver and map display. The phone
                shows its location on the map.

    7.7.1.6     Micro Impulse Radar (MIR)
                Micropower Impulse Radar is a miniature radar in which both the radar transmitter
                                                                          2
                and receiver are contained in a package measuring 5cm . Invented by Lawrence
                Livermore National Laboratory, it is a spin-off from a device that was designed to
                measure sub-nanosecond events generated by fusion experiments on the
                Laboratory‟s Nova laser. MIR is base on the radiation of short voltage impulses
                that are reflected off nearby objects and detected by MIR‟s extremely high speed
                sampling receiver. MIR can penetrate rubber, plastic, wood, concrete, glass, ice
                and mud. It can detect echoes within ranges of 6 metres, or further with the
                addition of special antennas. Current applications include handheld wall stud
                sensors and non-destructive testing for concrete structures.


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    7.7.1.7     The complexity of sensor innovation :
                Micro-sensor technology development is very complex. Many sensors are
                specialised to function in a particular application only and physical sciences and
                application knowledge has to brought together for just one or a small number of
                applications. An example is the sensing of particular chemicals to measure their
                concentrations in food or in the environment. Other less specialised sensors for
                measuring pressure, force, speed, revolutions, angles etc, have to be integrated in
                data-analysis systems. For both situations it is extremely important to build
                networks of co-operation of companies, research and development centres.
                Sometimes these networks are dominated by large industries, sometimes
                networks are created by instrument builders and end-users, sometimes networks
                are created by equipment manufacturers who together ask for the development of
                special sensors.

                Universities, engineering companies, applied research institutes, advanced
                machine builders, advanced instrument builders, producers of sensor-production
                equipment and specialised sensor producers play roles in the various networks.
                Development of special sensors for AT applications must therefore be seen as a
                major research and development exercise. Structural barriers can be:
                 insufficient networks organised in a country or in a region,
                 insufficient financial support of new initiatives (some 100 Meuro are required
                     for a development)
                Recommendations in this sector include special emphasis on linking actors in this
                field and the encouragement to very large companies to take a role in
                development (Philips, Thomson, Siemens etc.).

                In the next decade:

                   New classes of smart materials will be created. These materials will actively
                    sense and respond to the surrounding analogue environment.

                   MEMS devices will be used as optical switches in communications networks,
                    speeding up the flow of data. Data moves along the fibre-optic threads as
                    photons travelling at the speed of light, far faster than the fastest of electronic
                    switches can switch. The systems are often „switch bound‟ - limited by the
                    speed of switches rather than the cable itself. MEMS have the potential for
                    much faster switching.


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                     Small, cheap GPS sensors will be developed which can be used to track high
                      value packages and goods, and people. These inexpensive GPS receivers
                      will be combined with MEMS to create devices that track the location and the
                                                              210
                      treatment of valuable or sensitive cargo .

                     Disposable video cameras for consumers will appear.

                     Sensors and software in heating ventilation and cooling systems will
                                                                              210
                      dramatically improve performance and energy efficiency .

                     In cars, the transmission systems which are based on mechanical and
                      hydraulic components linking the gears, pedals and steering wheel to the
                      steering column and drive shafts, will be replaced by sensors and actuators ,
                      linked by optical fibre cables to an on-board computer. The computer network
                      will relay input and control output with a precision and speed that could not be
                      achieved with the current technology, so that drivers will get assistance in a
                      matter of milliseconds - before they know they need it. The result will be that
                      drivers will be able to concentrate on the critical strategic elements of their
                                                                                             212
                      driving, free from the many routine tasks they now have to deal with .

                     The widespread use of control technologies in virtually all types of automobiles
                      will be capable of meeting an emission control standard for nitric oxide in the
                      order of 0.1 - 0.2g/km (current levels for heavy diesel motorcars is 4-5g/km,
                                                                                                 213
                      and the standard control valve for gasoline passenger cars is 0.25g/km).

                     MIR technology will be applied to hundreds of areas including: „intelligent‟ oil
                      dipsticks for motor vehicles, land mine detectors, underground detection of
                                                            214
                      service pipes, evaluation of materials .

                     Packaging that incorporates sensors to measure and record how the packet is
                      treated will emerge. Swedish company JE Systemkonsult won the 1999
                      European IST Prize with Cypak and interactive packaging system that
                      monitors, tracks and reminds patients who are taking medication. It allows the
                      recording of events related to changes in the product packaging such as the
                      removal of an item. a broken seal, an opened lid, a pressed surface and a
                      written signature. It incorporates wireless data communication so that data
                      can be transferred to a management systems, allowing the use of the
                                                 215
                      medication to be tracked.

                     Miniaturisation will make sensor smaller and less intrusive for the
                      measurement: the measurement can be carried out more precisely at certain
                      spots, and the measurement device, the sensor itself, interferes less with the
                      physical variables. Smaller sensors can be combined in a matrix, allowing for
                      many more signal analysis procedures such as measuring geographic
                      patterns of a variable, or a change of a physical variable over an array of
                      points, and the measurement of time delays between cells.

                     Mass production will lead to many more economically feasible applications and
                      more stable characteristics. Inexpensive sensors that are required for
                      recording long duration phenomena will be able to include (build in) functioning
                      systems.

                     Telemetric and wireless signal transmission opens the opportunity for direct
                      and permanent monitoring of functioning of systems as well as monitoring at
                      places and under circumstances where, in the past, measuring has been
                      extremely complex. Automatic control, feedback of the variables to the
                      systems, contribute to the intelligence of the functioning systems.




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                   Digitalisation of the signal immediately on capture opens up the possibility of
                    advanced computing being carried out at the place of the sensor itself and pre-
                    processing makes the sensor system intelligent.



    7.7.2       Future assistive technology

    7.7.2.1     Safety and security innovations for persons with disabilities
                Areas for innovation

                The now well-known alarm system could be seen as a sensing system: the
                command of the user in distress, who presses a switch, makes the service active.
                But to date, little use has been made of sensor data which could be the basis for
                an analysis of situations of distress, hindrance, and large and small risks. Much
                innovative research work has to be done in analysis software systems for
                recognition of situations. Prevention of accidents and unwanted situations is for
                people a great relief and thus a better quality of life is obtained.

                Major health-risks are the risk of decubitus (pressure sores), responsible for very
                high costs of extra care if not detected early and properly prevented. Measuring
                interface pressures can help to understand the risk factors for getting decubitus. In
                addition to the medical problems and the very costly care needed for healing the
                wounds, it is also very disabilitating and very painful for the patients. The body
                interface with a seat/chair, mattress, prosthesis fitting, orthopaedic shoe is critical.
                For sitting and lying the pressure must be spread over the lesser risk areas as
                widely as possible; for prosthetic fitting the carefully distribution of pressure counts
                for a more functional leg or arm prosthesis. Measuring the interface pressure is
                very difficult: the sensor thickness itself can effect the values. Even more difficult is
                the measurement of shear-forces, which are thought to be more responsible for
                causing wounds. To date no systems are available which can measure the
                interface pressures in a fine enough matrix.

                Measuring temperature, humidity and chemicals/body fluids are needed for
                monitoring the same issues of decubitus risk. Measuring with implantable sensors
                would make it possible to monitor and act on health conditions in a broad range of
                situations.

                Models for analysis and intervention when variables are crossing a threshold are
                not developed yet, nor is the care provision following the incident. Continuous
                monitoring variables for risk analysis could enhance the efficacy: long term
                measurements will be made possible with very light weight sensors, processors
                and telemetric systems. Blue Tooth type communications will make it easier in
                daily practice.

                Finally we might see wearable airbags to protect in case of falls.


    7.7.2.2     Tacking and Tracing
                Ideas for innovation
                A highly functional tracing and tracking system could be developed for security,
                safety and comfort for disabled as well as non disabled persons. A major
                development goal is the miniaturisation of the responders. Current GPS and GSM
                systems do not meet the expectations of users concerning size, weight, accuracy,
                general applicability, height (floor level) localisation, although work is on-going.
                The Finnish Tracker radio locating system claims the world‟s first pocket-size
                        216
                receiver , but users need a large pocket to house the receiver.




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                  A complexity is the requirement of integration in a manned service center, call
                  center type of organisation or a local (institutional) system operated by the staff of
                  a ward or care center, or hospital or community service.
                  The range of applications foreseen with tracking and tracing is globally given by
                                                217
                  the following set of examples :
                   Tracing (most elderly) persons with wandering behaviour are currently locked
                       within a ward or department „for their safety‟.

                     Tracing children in relative unsafe area's, especially those children needing
                      extra care like moderate multiple handicapped deaf children walking daily to
                      schools and other places.

                     Tracing persons in distress: wheelchair users, handicapped car-drivers calling
                      for assistance because of technical problems with car or wheelchair, or
                      medical problems, or memory problems (being lost); in these cases use is
                      made of special sensors analysing physiological and physical variables.

                     Tracing care givers in a distress situation at home or in larger institutions
                      dealing with aggression by clients.

                     Provision of environment dependent information assisting the (handicapped)
                      traveller.

                     Environment dependent communication schedules, enhancing the efficiency of
                      special communication programs for speech and language disabled persons
                      (aphasia).

                  All these applications aim for a better self-determination of persons with
                  disabilities.


    7.7.2.3       Training
                  Areas for innovation
                  In training applications sensors could be applied to measure progress and develop
                  more interactive training environments based on the feedback of signals from the
                  body movements and forces exerted. Also measurement of stress related
                  variables during training and eventually during work might develop into a valuable
                  application.

                  Interactivity in training
                   Training is carried out in a dedicated situation with special training tasks. An
                      example is to train muscle force by repetitive execution of movements with or
                      without force and at required speeds
                   Training is also carried out in a much more generalised environment: an
                      example is driving in a virtual reality environment.
                  For both situations the use of sensors (which might be completely different) adds
                  important functionality and efficiency to the training itself.

                  Training dedicated tasks face the problem that movements are, in general, easily
                  quantified by their starting and endpoints. The situation during the movement is not
                  easy to capture: place and speed might be detected and analysed by continuous
                  position measuring and movement by calculations based on these measurements.
                  An estimation of the forces can be calculated as well but in human motor systems
                  this appears to be inadequate and cumbersome. Feedback of the functioning of
                  the muscle-skeleton system during movement provides the medical specialist with
                  necessary information on the human motor system. New, light weight, eventually
                  implantable, sensors might solve this problem. An interesting development is the
                  inverse robot arm where position sensors and accelerometers are build in the links
                  of the arm and the movements of the arm are controlled by the tasks and signals
                                                                                        218
                  coming from the sensors in the links and at the endpoint of the arm . In this way



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                the arm can be programmed to any particular dynamic behaviour and can be used
                to show an movement to be done, assist a movement of the human arm, or
                produce an increasing resistance in the movement. This is a major achievement in
                human motor training.

                Training in Virtual Environments
                Virtual reality is becoming more and more available for practical use: costs are
                reducing and the systems becoming more versatile. An addition to helmet
                systems, where the subject is just cognitively/attention immersed in an
                environment, are those systems where the subject, (the person with disabilities,)
                has the whole body immersed in a artificial environment. This is close to the
                situation in an occupational therapy department where the client uses a kitchen
                installed just for training purposes. The difference is that in the virtual environment
                several sensors can be applied to monitor the user's behaviour / activities. More
                about this topic will be given in the chapter on virtual reality.




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7.8 Advanced Materials
                  Materials science came into public view with the development of fibres which could
                  be made into household and clothing fabrics, and plastics for everything from food
                  packing to household equipment. In the industrial world materials science is a
                  long-standing discipline which has been responsible for the development of
                  construction materials. Advances in understanding of molecular and sub-atomic
                  structures (and the development of techniques to be able to see and measure at
                  these tiny sizes) mean the much of today‟s developments fall into the category of
                  nanotechnology.

                  Materials scientists are finding that one of the fascinating things about
                  nanotechnology is that the properties of materials change as the sample shrinks.
                  For example, bulk silicon doesn‟t emit light, but if it is very small - 2-3 nanometres -
                  it does. At this size it can be used to make an extremely shiny surface. A super-
                  shiny surface is the basis of experimental light-emitting diodes that are many times
                  more efficient than current diodes, and offer substantial savings in electric power
                  consumption. They are currently being tested in experimental traffic lights in
                               219
                  London, UK .

                  Ceramic, metal and polymeric materials and composites of these are being used
                  to produce devices and structures with improved performance characteristics. An
                  example is steel, a polycrystalline material (in which crystals are joined together as
                  sheets). The theory is that by selecting crystals of 10 nanometres or smaller,
                  joined together, the steel will be even stronger than it is now. This is the subject of
                  a large research programme in Japan.

                  Finally, under the category of artificial muscles, materials and constructions are
                  studied and developed which can play a role in powered prostheses and orthoses.
                  Orthoses are devices to support a paralysed or malformed part of the body. Ionic
                  Polymer Metal composites (IPMC), Shape Memory Alloys (SMA), and Electro
                                                        220
                  active Ceramics (EAC) are studied


                  In the next decade:
                   New materials will be developed with improved functional and structural
                       properties such as high temperature strengths, creep resistance, and
                       corrosion resistance for ceramics and intermetallic alloys; composites that
                       offer high strength and stiffness combined with low weight, corrosion
                       resistance and high dimensional stability. The application of these materials
                       will include transport, communications equipment, and electronics, as well as
                       in construction.

                     Advanced materials will interact with the development of other technologies.
                      Superconductor materials for energy distribution will have implications for
                      energy efficiency and conservation. The development of new catalyst
                      materials for cleaner processes will have applications in the energy production
                            221
                      field.

                     There will be a return to major importance of ceramics, polymers and
                                                                                      222
                      composites with a relative decline in the importance of metals.

                     Biodegradable plastics, smart food packaging and the development of lifelong
                                                                   223
                      implant materials are all anticipated by 2010 .
                                                                                                      223
                     New road paving material will be developed to reduce road traffic noise           .




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    7.8.1       Future assistive technology
                Areas for innovation
                 materials that indicate when they are, for example wet and need changing, for
                   bed clothing or personal clothing
                 high strength, low weight materials for structural support aids (artificial limbs,
                   walking frames, wheelchairs)
                 materials that act as sensors by generating a signal if they are touched, to use
                   as unobtrusive monitors of everyday living (eg if someone has sat on a chair or
                   opened the food cupboard door)
                 materials that emit light in the dark to guide to, eg the bathroom at night




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7.9 Robotics
                  Robotics, the mimicking of human actions by a machine, have changed the face of
                  large scale manufacturing in the more advanced world over the past 20 years.
                  Repetitive tasks which were previously carried out by teams of workers are
                  performed, often more accurately and consistently, by robots. Car manufacturing
                  is a good example, and the Japanese have been at the forefront of deploying
                  robots in this industry.

                  Robots have also been developed for use in areas which are highly dangerous for
                                             224
                  humans. Bomb disarming and the manipulation of highly radioactive materials
                  in nuclear power stations are carried out by devices which are controlled remotely
                  by a human.

                  In healthcare, micro-surgery is carried out using tiny instruments controlled and
                  manipulated by a surgeon who‟s view of the procedure is through a screen, with
                  images relayed back from a tiny camera. The surgical instruments are in effect
                  robotic arms and hands, replacing human hands which need a large opening in
                  which to work.

                  The Intelligent Systems and Robotics Center at Sandia National Laboratories,
                  USA, have developed a robotic system to repaint the Stealth fighter planes. These
                  planes are undetected by radar because of their angular exterior and thin films of
                  radar-absorbent coatings which are painstakingly applied to ensure no defects
                  exist. Over the next few years the fleet of F-117As will be refurbished including
                  removing the ageing films and coatings and replacing them with radar-absorbent
                  paint. The robotic painting system incorporates three commercial robotic arms
                  used in US car manufacturing, cameras and sensors and a sophisticated path
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                  planning system that deals with variation from one aircraft to another.

                  The American Museum of History has introduced a robot which gives guided tours
                  to visitors. Minerva, a squat, compact robot which resembles Star Wars‟
                  character, R2D2, has an on-board computer and infrared sensors that measure
                                                226
                  distances to help navigation.
                  The Deutsches Museum Bonn, (a museum for contemporary technology) has a
                  mobile robot, Rhino, which conducts guided tours, and can be observed and tele-
                                                  227
                  operated through the Internet.      It was developed in conjunction with Universität
                  Bonn and the Carnegie Mellon University, USA.

                  However, the autonomous robots of science fiction have not yet become part of
                  everyday life. Robots are too clumsy and too expensive to replace humans in
                  performing household chores.

                  Honda, in Japan has a long-term $100 million humanoid robot research project,
                  whose walking robots have a humanlike gait and can turn and climb stairs. In the
                  US, the MIT Artificial Intelligence Laboratory‟s Cog Project aims to use computer
                  and robotic technology to better understand and emulate human intelligence. Cog
                  is the main robotic platform through which the research is being conducted. Cog
                  has a body that is similar in shape, structure and degrees of movement to a
                  human body. It has a computational system, a motor system, and auditory
                  system, a vision system, a vestibular system, which co-ordinates movement and
                                                   228
                  balance and a tactile system.

                  The Japanese Society of Mechanical Engineering and Japanese Society of
                  Artificial Intelligence run RoboCup, a robot World Cup initiative, which runs
                                                        229
                  international games and workshops.

                  Advances in robotics are likely to be helped by development in sensors, and the
                  availability of computing power.



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                In assistive technology, the earliest examples of robotics in a very basic form was
                an artificial arm made by Ambrose Pare in the Middle Ages. Since the second
                world war significant progress has been made in electric controlled prostheses and
                today these systems are perfected and sold on a regular basis. In the early
                seventies a French project started development of a real robotic manipulator to
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                serve very severely handicapped persons . Based on principles of industrial
                robot systems and aiming for an dedicated application such that the target groups
                of quadriplegic patients, severe muscle dystrophy patients and others could be in
                (relative) control of their own environment. Severe and difficult man-machine
                control problems had to be solved. A better term might be then "tele-manipulation"
                indicating that the emphasis is not on automation of tasks but on full control of the
                system and task to be executed. Later on some rehabilitation robotic systems were
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                developed where the MANUS manipulator has been the best achieved to date .
                The hardware:
                To date dedicated and, in principle, stiff components are used. The flexibility of a
                human motor system is not exploited yet although basic research is being carried
                out in this area by large laboratories in Japan and the USA. Touch and feeling is
                not available in the current marketed systems.
                The software:
                Closely related to the man-machine interface, the software has to be designed for
                full exploitation of the mechanical / spatial "acuity" of the manipulator systems.
                Integration in a system with other functionality, a wheelchair or a communication
                device, is needed to obtain optimal functioning systems. In the future, task support
                will be added to the abilities of the manipulators: based on intelligent software
                where, like in human arm control, on a task level conscious control by the user
                takes place but on an executional level the robot system automatically finds the
                best path and adapts virtually unnoticed to the environment and objects in the
                environment. Of course sensors have to be build in to cope with any environment.
                The man-machine interface:
                To control a manipulator at a distant is difficult enough for users who possess full
                control of the arms and hands/fingers. In the case of a handicapped person the
                "information channel", (the control signals) are very much restricted by lack of
                reach, speed, force and dexterity. The solution applied now is "sequentialising"
                task commands. Further development is likely in task automation, direct control by
                speech and/or gaze etc. One problem is that for each user, an optimal control
                adapted for individual capacities (cognition, dexterity, co-ordination, strength etc.)
                makes the interface expensive and solutions require much time and money to
                develop and create.


                Widening the scope of Rehabilitation robotics:
                The term rehabilitation robotics covers the area of tele-manipulation and medical
                robots to support users in task execution. A much wider application can be thought
                of when one looks at the technological approaches as well as the basic problems
                constituting the market for rehabilitation robots: "rehabilitation robotics is any
                application where by producing electrical signals and commands produce a
                movement (of objects) in space".

                Taking this wider definition, a whole world of other applications is seen.
                In the chapter on sensors the "inverse robot" is mentioned. Also suppression of
                tremor by an electric controlled device is included and (remote) control of objects
                belong to the possibilities. This is aiming at the service robot: the Helpmate a
                product of Joe Engelburger is a first attempt to show the functionality of a service
                robot. A mobile service robot is not functional yet for application in a (personal)
                care environment. The Helpmate is used for automatic transportation of goods in
                care centres but not for tasks directly assisting the handicapped persons.

                It seems a very large step to get a really cost-effective service robot system on the
                market. An eye catching development, but with a very limited application is the
                Sony AIBO robot dog. Entertaining to see it working but not suitable for carrying


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                  tea and coffee, cleaning the floor, making beds, handling cooking utensils etc.
                  Closer to a development towards a marketable product is the intelligent rollator
                  where a support function is given to a person with mobility and stability problems. It
                  is possible to foresee that such an rollator could give stability, support and
                  functionality with the rightly developed control components build in. An
                  independently driven remote mobile base includes the problem of complex control
                  which can be a severe bottleneck if not proper addressed by new concepts in
                  man-machine interfacing.

                  In the next decade:

                     Gains in computing power in the next 3 years will make it possible for
                      computers to maintain detailed three dimensional maps of a robot‟s
                      surroundings, enabling the robot to perform more reliably in a given
                                  232
                      environment. Applications could include carrying drugs or equipment around
                      a hospital.

                     Robots that help with everyday living will be prototyped. HelpMate Robotics in
                      the US, has built a research robot that has arms, voice recognition and stereo
                      vision. The device is being evaluated by NASA which is writing software for it.
                      HelpMate aims to raise capital to develop a version to serve as a companion
                      and helper for older people will be prototyped.

                     Surgery will be enhanced by development and application of computer vision,
                      sensors and robotic devices. Projects underway include HipNav, a computer-
                      based surgical assistant that helps surgeons more accurately plan and place
                      the socket portion of a hip implant; and error compensation systems to
                      compensate for any tremors in surgeons„ hands as they control the robotic
                                                                                       233
                      tools which are capable of the tiniest and most precise motions.

                     NASA‟s Space Tele-robotics program has the goal “to develop, integrate and
                      demonstrate the science and technology of remote manipulation such that by
                      2004, 50% of operations on orbit and on planetary surfaces can be conducted
                      tele-robotically”. The program covers basic scientific research through to
                      applications developed for specific operations. There is likely to be significant
                                                                       234
                      spin off from this program. The Demeter project is currently working on the
                      application of space robotics to the automation of agricultural operations (on
                      Earth!)


    7.9.1         Future assistive technology
                  Ideas for innovation

                     Compliance in robotic links to obtain humanoid motion.
                      More compliance in the links of robotic manipulator arms constitute a new
                      approach. While approaching or pushing the object, sensors can obtain
                      information from the reactive forces. This would open up the possibility of
                      designing systems with a high level of local intelligence, searching for paths
                      with large flexibility.

                     Task automation under human control (not complete automated task
                      approach), task execution support.
                      The task load for very severely handicapped persons in controlling systems is
                      very high and the communication channel, the motor control, has a restricted
                      bandwidth. A good solution could be to automate tasks with the ability to
                      intervene when needed: this is close to how we believe the human control
                      system works: automation on lower levels and control on cognitive levels

                     Intelligent interface with the human controller.
                      Each human being has his own capabilities and endurance characteristics.



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                    The challenge is to develop those interfaces which are optimal for the difficult
                    task and adapted to the user, and adaptive during actual usage (See also the
                    chapter of Human-machine interfacing)

                   Haptic robotics for training and assessment.
                    The use of haptic systems for training and assessment is a big challenge for
                    rehabilitation where regaining strength and speed and co-ordination is a prime
                    target in treatment. The first step might be to apply these systems in
                    conventional task training having the advantage of validated and reliable tasks.
                    A future innovation is to design completely new training schedules where the
                    system can find the most optimal track for training based on results in earlier
                    phases of the training.

                   Service robots on mobile bases.
                    The range of tasks in a normal household is extremely wide. Fine motor
                    movements as well as gross and powerful movements are needed in daily
                    living. The challenge here is to combine the flexibility and the intelligence in the
                    technology with affordability and practicalities of having service robots around.
                    Attention should be drawn to the entertainment aspects as well in service
                    robotics. Path-finding systems can enhance the functionality of service robots:
                    path finding will use optical or ultra sound sensors or picture processing
                    software systems.

                   Tremor suppression and enforcement of weak muscles.
                    Artificial muscles is an area of research that aims for motors which are much
                    more compliant with the human body and prosthetics and orthotics
                    (constructions which support the human body and do not replace a lost limb as
                    a prosthesis is supposed to do). An activated artificial muscle structure could
                    exert forces on parts of the human body which can enhance the function of
                    (partly) paralysed limbs and also unwanted movements of limbs (tremor
                    suppression).

                   Rollator approaches, mobility robots.
                    The stand alone service robot might be a too far-fetched an idea which can not
                    solve the complexity of the requirements: small and versatile, strong and
                    precise, far reaching and manageable in a living environment, etc. An
                    alternative approach is to provide enforcement and stability to a user with an
                    envelope type of rollator construction.




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7.10 Energy and Battery Technology
                  The quest for portable power continues. The drive to produce small, lightweight
                  batteries that are capable of delivering power over a long period of time has never
                  been stronger. Portable machines, from portable PCs and mobile phones, to
                  remote controllers and children‟s toys, all need a power source. In the EC Futures
                  Project, Europe is seen as very weak in development of high performance
                                                               235
                  batteries, with Japan and USA well ahead.

                  In the next decade:

                     The development of high performance batteries with an energy density of
                      500Wh/kg will enable the further miniaturisation of mobile phones in both size
                                236
                      and weight .

                     Rechargeable polymer batteries will be in use with a volume-specific capacity
                                                                                 236
                      of 400Wh/l (capacity of current Ni-Cd batteries is 180Wh/l) .

                     The power generated by walking will be harnessed. Piezoelectric materials in
                      shoes will generate electricity as they are compressed, and be used to power
                                        237
                      wearable devices.

                     Fuel cells technology (such as using renewable sources as feedstock for
                      hydrogen production) will develop to offer an alternative to fossil fuels in some
                      applications.

                     Over the long term, improvements in technology to produce and store on-
                                                                                               238
                      board electricity in transport will stimulate electric propulsion systems .



    7.10.1        Future assistive technology
                  Areas for innovation
                   The availability of compact portable electrical power ties in with miniaturisation;
                     the range of innovation areas is wide. See section 7.6




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7.11 Transport
                Transport is a huge topic. In this section we have limited the scope to personal
                transport and mobility devices.

                Demand for personal cars is unrelenting in „first world‟ countries, despite an
                acknowledgement of the detrimental effect motor cars have on the environment.
                There have been gradual improvements in energy efficiency, and reductions in
                emissions, but these have been more than off-set by the increase in the number of
                cars on the roads and an increasing length of car journeys.

                Several upmarket mass produced cars now include a GPS and mapping
                navigation system to guide the driver to a destination. The system shows the car‟s
                position on a map (stored in the system) and provides instructions to the driver
                during travel.

                The growth of large indoor shopping malls, conference centres and airports, where
                people need to walk some distance, has spawned the provision of electric scooters
                and buggies for those who have reduced mobility. Schemes like “Shopmobility”
                provide a pool of electric scooters which can be collected and returned to points
                adjacent to car parks.

                Over the next decade:

                   the motor car will continue to dominate other transport systems

                   Small cars for urban journeys, will appear. The Mercedes Benz Smart car, a
                    2-seater car of only 2.5m length, launched in 1999, is likely to be mimicked.

                   The use of electric vehicles for urban journeys will increase, but slowly.
                    Electric scooters, small cars and delivery vehicles will be deployed in cities and
                    on large sites, but their contribution to reducing pollution will depend on how
                    the electric power used to recharge the battery, is produced. Europe is seen
                    as lagging behind Japan and the USA on the development of an electric car
                                                                            238
                    with a target 200km range and short recharging time .

                   Cars will incorporate telematics such as navigation systems and dynamic route
                    planning; anti-collision devices; automatic vehicle location and combined
                                                          238
                    emissions and engine management .

                   Emissions controls on motor vehicles will become tougher as control
                    technologies enable the process (see section on sensors). Advances on
                    heavy duty freight exhaust clean up technologies, such as diesel exhaust
                    catalysts, particulate traps, lean-burn NOx catalysts and high precision
                    combustion technology, will reduce harmful components of exhaust to a tenth
                                      239
                    of present levels .

                   Motor vehicles will have fuel efficiencies 30% greater than today‟s vehicles
                    through the introduction of new materials that increase strength and reduce
                    weight, and the development of element technologies which will improve
                                                  239
                    engine thermal efficiency . Europe is seen as strong in developments that
                                                         240
                    will yield this level of efficiency.

                   More stable and flexible wheelchairs will be developed. Dean Kamen and
                    Johnson and Johnson have built the Ibot Transporter, a gyro-balanced
                    wheelchair that can rear up on two wheels, traverse uneven terrain and climb
                    stairs while keeping its occupant stable. The wheelchair employs 3 computers
                    that “vote” on what action to take if an error is detected. It is currently in




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                      clinical trials.

                     Major changes in the way we do business, work, shop and socialise, brought
                      about by electronic means (eg shopping on the Internet, e-working from home)
                      will change the nature of travel. Commuting to work may reduce, but travel for
                      leisure will continue to increase.
                     Traffic information and local information corresponding to the needs of the
                      (handicapped or elderly) traveller.


    7.11.1        Future assistive technology

                  Ideas for innovation

                  Mobility and travelling are often less accessible and possible for people with
                  disabilities. This can be due to motor impairments, lack of endurance, as well as
                  sensory and/or cognitive impairments. Mobility and travelling are processes where
                  information and communication play often an important role to achieve the goals
                  as intended.

                  For longer travel, (not simply moving in a house or in an institution), this process is
                                                    241
                  indicated as a transport chain . The links of the chain have to be connected and
                  in good order to have satisfactory outcomes. An example of a complex situation is
                  when a wheelchair driver, using an indoor wheelchair at home, plans to visit
                  another friend elsewhere or wants to visit a care or health centre. The chain is:
                  organising, driving an outdoor chair, taking a bus adapted for wheelchair
                  transportation, taking a train, bus again and going into the house or the institute to
                  pay a visit (local transportation available?); and of course the reverse home again.
                  Not only wheelchair drivers but also blind and hearing impaired persons face
                  difficulties in travelling. The keywords are path finding and getting appropriate and
                  accurate travel information. Public address system information is especially
                  important.

                  A substantial number of items can profit directly from mainstream technology. The
                  implementation / application does not need extensive research, but much effort
                  has to be made available to organise the implementation. Also the necessary
                  infrastructure has to be provided: who is collecting and providing the information,
                  who is going to pay for it etc.?

                  Possible application areas are:
                   Travel logistics and on-the-route travel information
                   Accessibility information
                   Vehicle guidance
                   Emergency calling for support
                   Call support in case of vehicle breakdown
                   Adapted controls for vehicle steering.

                  Related problems which need more technological innovation is the safety/security
                  of the wheelchair, the wheelchair user and other passengers in public
                  transportation: a standard solution for wheelchair fixation or the construction of
                  airbag type of take up systems in case of crashes is needed.

                  The mobility problem of elder persons in homes and directly outside the home is a
                  matter which could be addressed by another type of technology. A massive
                  increase of use of the rollators for older persons points at a prime problem area for
                  elderly persons: difficulties in mobility at home or in close area‟s around their
                  homes. The recent developments of rollators are focussed at good aesthetic and
                  ergonomic design with additional functionality (such as carrying small goods).
                  Further developments can be expected in adding more features to the rollator
                  systems: i.e. adding active support for balance. An additional support for balancing



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                the body in an up-right position extends the autonomy of the older person. The
                body and locomotion is kept active and the moment to use an wheelchair is
                delayed. The balancing principles of a wheelchair developed by Independence
                could be used in a lighter version as a orthosis or rollator assisting the person in
                keeping up-right.

                This solution to mobility is preferred above alternatives for mobility like multi-media
                communication. In theory, it can be said that multi-media communication could
                replace (partially) mobility and transportation. In practice, however, the use of
                effective multi-media communication leads just to a higher need or a stronger wish
                for mobility.




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7.12 Conclusions

    7.12.1        The Carriers of the applications, Internet, Mobile
                  communications and Hardware System converging
                  The "Medium is the Message" means, in this case, that the Internet (7.1) will not
                  just change habits but will add new habits and will develop new behaviour. Internet
                  communication is a new medium that is not just replacing older forms of
                  communication and data retrieval. Developments are so fast that the differential in
                  "have's" and "have-nots", or "connected vs not connected" is a major concern.
                  Applications are currently limited in scope due to restrictions of bandwidth and
                  good interface protocols (i.e. very simple procedures which are, for example, as
                  easy as a regular telephone call and having a similar cost level as well / investment
                  and cost of usage).

                  At first sight, one could imagine that Internet would reduce the need for being
                  mobile, but even when mobility could be reduced there is a need for the same level
                  of functionality and support during travel as at home or in the workplace, and
                  more. Mobile communication (7.2) will give support functioning while travelling
                  and will support planning of travelling as well for persons with disability. Success
                  will depend on the easiness of the operation of the mobile devices. Bandwidth is
                  also a problem at the moment, limiting full exploitation. The role of service support
                  as a consequence of the obtained information and (changed) motives for further
                  travelling is interesting: there is a need for call and support centres to assist in
                  planning travel and solving problems.

                  Rather then a single type of display and functionality, a set of overlapping options
                  for the technical systems in various applications will develop. The overlap will be
                  larger and TV, Telecomms and PC systems will converge technically (7.3) but
                  will also show some specialisation in application area's:
                   for tasks of highest accuracy and quality, a professional PC-based solution
                       could stay on the market;
                   for higher quality, semi-professional users, systems with large versatility will be
                       developed with on-board TV functionality;
                   for lower quality, and more general support and information functions, the TV
                       set might develop toward a semi-PC system.
                   for the lowest quality, the basic TV functions as present will remain on the
                       market.


    7.12.2        Special systems in AT, VR, Robotics and
                  Transportation
                  Virtual Reality (7.4) will prove to be a major innovation driver in education and
                  training. The main challenge is to develop low cost or affordable VR systems with
                  personalised environments. Creation of the VR environment seems to be the
                  major work in generating application. The development of VR applications is
                  therefore, still, very time-consuming and expensive. In submersive VR systems
                  (the person is finding him- or herself in the artificial created environment), the
                  disabled person with appropriate designed interface for controlling the VR
                  environment, might even feel completely functional like persons without any
                  disability.

                  Controlling the real environment would be a small step from controlling the VR
                  environment. This could be conceptually true, but not in the real practice and
                  therefore the Robotic developments (7.9) must continue. Robotics bridge the
                  gap between ICT functionality and motor functions movement. It is also eye-
                  catching and plays with the imagination of people. A widening of the scope is


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                possible due to many of the other major developments in technology and society.
                The role of robotic systems in entertainment might grow, but current purchasing
                policy in social security systems in Europe, may mean it is not used in the field of
                AT. Robot arms will become more intelligent by appropriate intelligent control
                software and by implementing force and touch feedback systems. Two lines of
                research seem to develop: first the automate, the real robot which "independently"
                drives through the home performing the required tasks and the robotic manipulator
                giving the human being which lacks arm function to "feel" and operate the
                environment.

                Freedom in mobility and transport (1) are, next to communication, the most
                important issues for people. A major innovation is seen in combining and cross-
                linking ICT and mobile systems (personal and public), for finding and planning the
                best transportation resources.



    7.12.3      Hardware and interfaces in AT, Human Interface
                Research, Sensors, New Materials, Miniaturisation of
                Computing, Miniaturisation of Batteries.
                Small and-easy-to-carry and ergonomics is in Human interface research (7.5) a
                major dilemma. The main challenge lies in creative new solutions in interfacing:
                personalised "add-on" interface protocols carried on a smart card and transmitted
                by Bluetooth technology. In personalising not just the personal characteristics play
                a role but also the environment which requires particular protocols or procedures
                for operation.

                The application of sensors (7.5) can make a system intelligent. Sensor technology
                is possibly, after Internet, the most strong driver and stimulator in innovation. The
                development and implementation of sensors requires complex networks of R&D
                and industry including the large industries must be involved. Micro-technology and
                physics are the main disciplines next to specialist (medical technology)
                engineering. Wearibility of sensors, or even implants to monitor human functions
                makes it possible to monitor medically important parameters on a more permanent
                basis. In addition to these body-worn sensors, the group of sensors which assist in
                describing the environment allow for more automatic executed functions.

                Artificial muscles is a topic which has been studied for some years. The focus is
                on material research with better and more efficient characteristics: more output
                with less energy consumption. Newly developed materials (7.8) tend to have
                rather specific application domains. It is very interesting if the material shape and
                size can be influenced by electric signals e.g. artificial muscles.

                Microtechnology needed for sensors is solving half of the problem of measuring in
                the field. Dataprocessing after datacollection and data-analysis in real time is the
                other half of the problem. Miniaturisation (7.6) of computing and storage allows
                for complex and heavy computing tasks in the field, in mobile situations. The
                result will not simply be an extrapolation of fixed base application. The context and
                availability of the lightweight and small systems changes the role. However, human
                interfacing is a major bottle neck with these tiny systems.

                Finally, closely connected to smaller and faster micro-computing systems is battery
                consumption. Miniaturisation, energy control, and better batteries (7.10)
                should develop in parallel to obtain better portability and endurance of the mobile
                systems collecting sensor information and used in communication. The role of the
                size of the battery and endurance in the field is undervalued. A major selection
                criterion in mobile applications is and will be the endurance of the battery.




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                  This, annotated, summary of the findings of the previous chapter makes clear that
                  very much can be expected in AT. Even more, R&D combining some of these
                  area's could lead to a larger number of problem solving solutions. In general, one
                  could imagine that particular applications at home or in the field (work, recreation,
                  education) could very well be supported by communication tools and systems. An
                  example is that a complex robotic system needs expert support in the field for
                  learning, sharing experience, solving bugs, maintenance, optimising controls.
                  These functions can use Internet as the carrier and tele-support of all these
                  aspects can easily by provided.




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8 Annex: Technology Transfer Models

8.1 Veterans Administration Technology
    Transfer model
                 (Weisgerber and Armstrong, AIR 1989):
                 The technology transfer model of Weisgerber and Armstrong is directed on the
                 American situation from out the viewpoint of the federal and VA laboratories and
                 RR&D centers.

                 In the macromodel the federal role at national level is of importance for
                 technology transfer. In this macro model the main elements shown are (1) the
                 relationship of the Federal Laboratory Consortium and the Federal Laboratory
                 System to the Federal priorities, (2) the way in which the VA laboratories and other
                 Federal laboratories collaborate in furtherance to the Federal priorities, and (3) the
                 transfer outcomes of the applied research and development in the laboratories,
                 designed to benefit consumers and advance the professions.

                               Macromodel of the Federal Role in Technology Transfer

Federal Priorities           Need to strengthen the economy and       Intent to promote the invention and
                             better utilise private sector            use of technology


Federal Laboratories         Federal Laboratory System and the Federal Laboratory Consortium




                             Veterans Administration                  NASA, DOE, NBS and other
                             Laboratories                             laboratories




                             Collaboration in technological capability
                             Increased scientific knowledge
                             Applications benefiting the disabled      Applications benefiting the general
                             through improved medical practice         public through an increase in
                             and rehabilitation                        technological capability


Transfer Outcomes            Infusion of products and processes into the private business sector
                             Aids, appliances, and techniques for    Strengthened economy through
                             use in clinical settings and by private advances in science and engineering
                             individuals


                 In the micromodel the role of RR&D centres is investigated and shown. Elements
                 in this model show (1) the fact that the mission of the RR&D Center, influenced by
                 social and economic factors, should inspire the initiation and conduct of specific
                 research and development projects in the Center, (2) the twin avenues of
                 opportunity - scientific inquiry and applied engineering - and the general outcomes
                 of those efforts, (3) the description of four "stages" of research and development
                 that characterise the activities in the RR&D Center, and (4) the intermediate and
                 ultimate consumers of the Center's products, processes, and findings.



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                    In interpreting this model, it is important to note in the stage which involves
                    research to answer
                    theoretical questions, may or may not lead directly to development activities aimed
                    at specific
                    applications. Similarly, the typical "flow" of product development proceeds over
                    three stages of preliminary investigation, prototype development, and field
                    evaluation. However, specific projects may begin or end at different points along
                    that three-stage continuum.
                                   Micromodel of Technology Transfer in the VA RR & D Center

Mission of the VA in rehabilitation and                                Social and economic factors
technology transfer


                      Specific research and development projects



Opportunities involving                                                Opportunities involving
scientific inquiry                                                     applied engineering
Transferable Outcomes                                                  Transferable Outcomes
Research findings and                                                  Replicable processes and
professional publications                                              manufacturable products

Research Stage                                                         Preliminary Investigation

Research to answer theoretical                                         Preliminary investigation to design,
questions,                                                             develop and test the feasibility of
together with new experimentation or                                   techniques or components and their
simulation to test ideas and theory                                    functional interaction
                                                                       Prototype Development

                                                                       Prototype development to establish the
                                                                       practical potential of a new process or
                                                                       product
Transfer to Intermediate consumers                                     Field Evaluation
Manufacturers
Federal researchers                                                    Field evaluation intended to
Universities                                                           demonstrate the usability of the process
                                                                       or product in field applications
Ultimate consumers
Medical community
Disabled users


                    The operational interaction model for technology transfer provides an overall
                    conceptual foundation
                    for understanding how different factors influence the agenda of research in the
                    Center and the agenda for potential manufacturers of R & D products. Elements in
                    this model show (1) the influencing factors that play an important part at each
                    stage of research and development and can have an impact on whether the
                    research or development should be undertaken with the co-operation of outside
                    organisations or not, and (2) the range of contributions that can be made to the
                    project by manufacturers, the considerations that will influence their inclination to
                    participate, the considerations that will influence their inclination to participate, and
                    the benefits they would be likely to see accruing as a result of their participation.




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                                  Operational Interaction Model for Technology Transfer

                        Factors Affecting Product Development At Each Project
                                                Stage

                       Research and         Preliminary          Prototype             Field
                       Problem Definition   Investigation        Development           Evaluation
                       Stage                Stage                Stage                 Stage
                       User-based demand    Scientific knowledge Preceding             Multiple units
                       Literature search    Design               investigation         Test
Factors                Professional         requirements         Manufacturer interest environments
                       exchange             Cost assumptions Financial support         Financial support
                       Experimentation      Use assumptions User requirements Target users
                       Data analysis        Component            Safety considerations Evaluation
                       Serendipity and      requirements         Component options protocol
                       insight
Outcomes               R&D alternatives     Feasibility proven       Proof of concept     Field use proven
                       defined                                       demonstrated

                                  Basis for Manufacturer Participation

Benefits                          Considerations                            Benefits
to Project                        Affecting Decision                        to Firm

Share user information            Relevance to product line                 Pre-tested products
Share market knowledge            Expected sales volume                     New products in line
Share technical information       Cost of engineering                       Approved VA buy list
Share financial burden            Cost to manufacture                       Increased market share
Share equipment and software      Cost to market, distribute, sell          Reduction of tooling costs
Share employee time               Selling price                             Access to early findings
Share design know-how             Who will buy                              Access to VA expertise
Provide access for beta tests     Who will pay                              Potential start-up help
Assure a transfer outlet          Who will prescribe
Provide visibility/publicity      FDA approval
                                  Patents, licenses, copyrights
                                  Safety and liability
                                  Instruction and training
                                  Field support required
                                  Aesthetics and image
                                  Need in the market
                                  Competitive edge
                                  Evaluations in the field
                                  Agency regulations
                                  Company policy
                                  Potential for expanded use
                                  Validity of research information




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8.2 Technology Transfer Mechanisms in USA
                                                                                           242
                  Mechanisms of Tech Transfer according to the Federal Lab Consortium

Mechanism                    Description                             Features & Characteristics
Collegial Interchange,       The informal and free exchange          * Includes:
Conference,                  of         information among            - presentation at professional and
Publication                  colleagues                              technical
                                                                     conferences
                                                                     - publication in professional magazines
                                                                     * Caution should be taken to avoid
                                                                     premature disclosure of information that
                                                                     may be the subject of a patent application
                                                                     or proprietary data
Consulting to the            A party outside the laboratory          * Formal written contract, generally short
Laboratory                   provides advice and/or                  term and specific
                             information                             * Consultant certifies that no intellectual
                                                                     property conflicts exist
Consulting by                Consultation provided to a private      * Laboratory must approve of the
Laboratory                   sector party by laboratory              Laboratory personnel consulting
Personnel                    personnel to further technology         arrangement
                             transfer                                * Conflict of interest must be avoided
                                                                     * Intellectual property aspects require care
Exchange Program             A transfer of personnel either to       * Usually for a period of up to one year
                             the laboratory from another party
                             or from the laboratory to another
                             party to exchange expertise and
                             information
Contract                     A contract is an acquisition       * Can be used to fund R&D that may
                             instrument entered into between    eventually be transferred to the private
                             the government and a contractor    sector
                             for the contractor to provide      * Allocation of patent rights determined by
                             supplies or services to the        the type of contractor performing the work
                             government                         * Large businesses may frequently obtain
                                                                waiver of inventions
                                                                * Non-profit organisations/small
                                                                businesses may obtain title to inventions
Cost-Shared Contract         A contract is entered into between * Includes in-cash and in-kind
                             the government and a contractor    arrangements
                             in which costs associated with the * Must be of mutual benefit to industry and
                             work are shared as specified in    government
                             the contract                       * Commercially valuable data may be
                                                                protected for a limited period of time
                                                                * Advance waivers frequently not granted
                                                                unless the contractor shares at least 20%
                                                                of the total contract cost
Grant and Co-operative       Grants and Co-operative            * Government can enter into these
Agreement                    Agreements are entered into        agreements
                             solely by the government with a    * Less involvement between the
                             recipient whereby money or         government and recipients than
                             property is transferred to the     acquisition instruments
                             recipient to support or stimulate
                             research




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Mechanism                 Description                           Features & Characteristics
Co-operative Research     A CRADA is an agreement               * Requirement that no funds leave the
and                       between one or more federal           laboratory
Development               laboratories and one or more non-     * Not subject to 31 USC6303-6305 terms
Agreement (CRADA)         federal parties under which the       or procurement contracts, grants, or co-
                          government, through its               operative agreements
                          laboratories, provides personnel,     * Rights to inventions and other
                          facilities, or other resources with   intellectual property are negotiated as part
                          or without reimbursement (but not     of the agreement
                          funds to non-federal parties). The    * Certain data generated by the federal
                          non-federal parties provide funds,    laboratory may be protected up to five
                          personnel, services, facilities,      years
                          equipment, or other resources to
                          conduct specific research or
                          development efforts that are
                          consistent with the laboratory's
                          mission
Licensing from the        Licensing is the transfer of        * Can be exclusive or nonexclusive, for a
Government to the         less-than-ownership rights in       specific field of use, for a specific
Private Sector            intellectual property to a third    geographical area, or U.S. or foreign
                          party, to permit the third party to usage
                          use intellectual property           * Required that a major portion of the
                                                              royalties return to the laboratory
                                                              * Preference for U.S. industry and small
                                                              businesses
                                                              * Subject to conflict-of-interest
                                                              consideration
                                                              * Nonexclusive licenses preferred over
                                                              exclusive licenses
                                                              * Potential licensee must present plans to
                                                              commercialise the invention
                                                              * Government obtains a nonexclusive,
                                                              royalty-free world-wide license to the
                                                              invention
Licensing from the        Licensing is the transfer of        * Government may utilise private
private Sector to the     Less-than-ownership rights in       inventions for government purposes
Government                intellectual property to a third    subject to payment of just
                          party, to permit the third party to compensation
                          use intellectual property           * Must follow existing procurement rules
                                                              and instructions
Small Business            The SBIR program is federally       * 2-year confidentiality limit on data
Innovation Research       funded to promote small business * Contractor may obtain title to inventions
(SBIR)                    participation in government
                          programs
Use of User Facilities    User facilities are unique,         * Includes Designated User Facilities and
                          complex, experimental scientific    Other User Resources
                          facilities including equipment and * Research may be conducted on a
                          expertise at a government           proprietary or non-proprietary basis
                          laboratory designated by the        * For proprietary R&D, full cost recovery is
                          government for use by the           required. Patent rights generally go to
                          technical community, universities, inventor and proprietary data of the user
                          industry, other laboratories, and   can be protected
                          other government entities           * For non-proprietary R&D, title to
                                                              inventions goes to the user but data
                                                              generated are freely available
                                                              * If funded under another government
                                                              contractor or international agreement,
                                                              users are subject to those intellectual
                                                              property clauses




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Mechanism                    Description                             Features & Characteristics
Small Business               An award-contracting program            * Appropriate for non-profit colleges and
Technology Transfer          targeted for small businesses to        universities; non- profit research
(STTR) Program               form co-operative agreements            institutions; contractor-operated federally
                             with qualified non-profit               funded R&D centers
                             organisations                           * Five federal agencies -- Defence,
                                                                     Energy, Health & Human Services, NSF,
                                                                     NASA
                                                                     * Modelled after SBIR and based on
                                                                     CRADA
Work for Others              Contract between an agency and          * A unique Federal capability that works for
                             a non-federal partner for contract      commercial benefit
                             R&D to be performed by a federal        * Work must fit within mission and
                             laboratory or facility                  priorities of the Federal establishment
                                                                     * In most cases, all cost are recovered
                                                                     from the non-federal partner




8.3 Technology Transfer – Subsidy Arrangements
    in Selected European Countries

                  The Netherlands:
                  Via Senter the following list of possible subsidy arrangements can be advised.

Subsidy arrangements:            directed on/organised by:         short description / goal:
BTS: Bedrijfsgerichte            The Netherlands                   to stimulate technological co-operation between
Technologische                   By the ministry of                companies, and between companies and
Samenwerkingsprojecten           Economical Affairs                knowledge institutes, in order to achieve more
(co-operation projects                                             investments of companies in R&D activities.
directed on companies and                                          Budget 2000 is NLG 30 million (ca. 13.6 million
technology)                                                        euro).
Haalbaarheidsprojecten           The Netherlands                   SME‟s can apply for this subsidy to execute
MKB                              By the ministry of                feasibility studies in order to give insight in the
(feasibility projects SME)       Economical Affairs                implementation of technological innovations of a
                                                                   product or service.
                                                                   Budget 2000 is NLG 12,5 million (ca. 5.7 million
                                                                   euro).
Informe                  The Netherlands                           an information service providing information
                         By the ministry of                        about the electronic highway, multimedia and
                         Economical Affairs                        electronic commerce.
IOP: innovatiegrichte    The Netherlands                           Innovation R&D programmes which provide
onderzoeksprogramma‟s    By the ministry of                        subsidies to innovation directed R&R projects at
(R&D programmes directed Economical Affairs                        universities and other R&D institutes, in order to
on innovation)                                                     make the R&D field more accessible for
                                                                   companies and establish more contacts. The
                                                                   IOP‟s stimulate interaction between R&D and
                                                                   companies via projects, knowledge transfer and
                                                                   networking. The development form fundamental
                                                                   to applied research is stimulated.
ZON : a R&D programme in The Netherlands                           This R&D programme subsidies projects in the
the field of Health Care By the ministry of Health,                field of Health Care and Prevention and
                         Welfare and Sport                         technology




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Subsidy arrangements:        directed on/organised by:       short description / goal:
NWO: organisation in the     The Netherlands                 This organisation arranges R&D programmes for
field of fundamental and     By the ministry of Education,   subsidising scientific R&D projects amongst
strategic research           Culture and Science             others in the field of Rehabilitation and Health
                                                             Care
                                                             Budget 1998 was NLG 655 million (ca. 290
                                                             million euro)
SBT: Subsidieregeling        The Netherlands                 Subsidy arrangement for branch centres to
Branchecentra voor           By the ministry of              enlarge the branch specific knowledge of SME
Technologie                  Economical Affairs              by information provision, advising, and
(subsidy arrangement for                                     education, to increase the absorptive capacity of
technology branch centres)                                   SME.
                                                             Budget 2000 is NLG 2 million (ca. 0.9 million
                                                             euro)
T&S: Technologie &           The Netherlands                 This programme T&S challenges companies to
Samenleving                  By the ministry of              make more intensive use of technology to solve
(technology and society)     Economical Affairs              social problems such as re-integration of
                                                             handicapped in work.
TOK: Technische              The Netherlands                 a project finance arrangement for companies
Ontwikkelingskredieten       By the ministry of              executing technical risky projects, to take away
(technical development       Economical Affairs              some of the financial pressure for the companies
credits)                                                     with max. 40% of the project costs and max.
                                                             NLG 25 million per company per year. The credit
                                                             bears risks which means that pay-back depends
                                                             on the commercial success or failure of the
                                                             development.
                                                             Budget 2000 is NLG 70 million (ca. 32 million
                                                             euro).
KREDO: kredietregeling       The Netherlands                 Dutch development projects can apply for a
elektronische                By the ministry of              credit of max. 40% of the project costs (minimal
dienstenontwikkeling         Economical Affairs              NLG 200.000,=) as a contribution to the
(credit arrangement for                                      development of electronic highways in NL. The
electronic service                                           credit bears risks which means that pay-back
development)                                                 depends on the commercial success or failure of
                                                             the development.
BIT/EUREKA                   EU / Senter                     Stimulation of market directed co-operation
                                                             between European companies and R&D
                                                             institutes in the field of high-quality technology
                                                             for R&D and feasibility projects, in order to give a
                                                             new impulse to productivity and competition.
                                                             Budget 2000 is NLG 18 million (ca 8 million
                                                             euro).
EG-Liaison                   EU / Senter                     Dutch service which provides information and
                             (is a department of Senter)     advice and training to enhance participation of
                                                             Dutch companies and institutes in European
                                                             R&D programmes, and stimulate innovative co-
                                                             operation in Europe.
IRC-Nederland                EU                              this IRC facilitates and supports Dutch
(innovation relay centre     is a co-operation between       companies in finding European partners, and
Nederland)                   Senter and Syntens              provides information about finances of
                                                             innovation and intellectual property rights, and
                                                             exploitation.


                Belgium:
                Via IWT the following list of subsidy arrangements can be advised.




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Subsidy                    directed on/organised          Short description / goal:
arrangements:              by:
Industrieel                Belgium                        Support of execute exploratory research or pre-
basisonderzoek             by the ministry of             competitive research
(industrial basic          Economic Affairs               Max. 50% subsidy of total project costs, for SME
research)                                                 max. 60%
Prototype onderzoek        Belgium                        Support of development projects for new
(prototype research)       by the ministry of             products or production processes
                           Economic Affairs               Max. 50% advanced payment, for SME 60%
KMO-                       Belgium                        Support for SME to perform pilot studies to
haalbaarheidsstudie        by the ministry of             check and arrange the preconditions for the
(SME feasibility           Economic Affairs               proposal of a full R&D project. Project duration is
studies)                                                  max. 9 months, and the max budget is 60% of
                                                          project costs.
KMO-                       Belgium                        Support for SME to develop new products or
innovatieprojecten         by the ministry of             production processes, with the risk of failure.
(SME innovation            Economic Affairs               Project duration is max. 18 months and max.
projects)                                                 budget is a grant of 35% of the project costs, or
                                                          a loan of 80% of the total project costs.
Actie- en                  Belgium                        These programmes stimulate R&D and thus
Impulsprogramma‟s          by the ministry of             innovation and technology transfer within the
(action- and impulse       Economic Affairs               Belgium industry for the fields of energy (VLIET),
programmes)                                               ICT (ITA II) and multimedia (MEDIALAB)
Collectief onderzoek       Belgium                        Support of R&D projects of industrial sector
(collective research)      by the ministry of             centra
                           Economic Affairs
STWW: Strategische         Belgium                        This programme supports the industry and
Technologiën voor          by the ministry of             especially the university society in executing
welzijn en welvaart        Economic Affairs               R&D technology projects, where involvement of
(strategic technologies                                   user groups is especially wanted.
for wellbeing and
welfare)
IRC-Flanders               EU                             the IRC‟s facilitate and support Belgium
IRC-Wallonie                                              companies in finding European partners, and
IRC-Brussels                                              provides information about finances of innovation
                                                          and intellectual property rights, and exploitation.




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9 Annex: Assistive Technology

9.1 Application domains and areas of research
                   The projects funded under Telematics Application for the Integration of the Disabled and Elderly have been grouped by the European
                   Commission according to six domains. These domain areas are further broken down into application areas, which provide a classification of
                   the projects. A summary is given below.

Domain                      Application                 Application                   Application                   Application                   Application              Application
1. Access to technologies   Computer environments       Educational and               Telecommunication and         Telematic services            Teleworking
and related services        and public terminals        vocational support            teleinformation
(24,507 KEURO-44%)
                            PRINT: non-impact printer   ENABL: enabler for            ALDICT: access of             ACTION: assisting using
                            and plotter for             computer based                persons with learning         telematic interventions to    RESORT: remote service
                            Braille/Moon and tactile    vocational tasks with         disabilities to information   meet older person‟s           of rehabilitation
                            graphics                    language and speech           and communication             needs                         technology
                            VISIOBOARD: gaze            MULTIPLE: multimedia          technologies                  CREST: clinical
                            control system to provide   education and training        CAPTION LIFE: fast            rehabilitation using
                            services and applications   system                        Velotype relay service for    electrical stimulation via
                            to severely handicapped     PLAY: hardware and            hearing impaired people       telematics
                            citizens                    software for storage of       MORE: mobile rescue           SENIOR ONLINE: use of
                                                        various music input,          phone                         networks for reducing the
                                                        conversion of different       SAFE21: social alarms for     isolation of elderly people
                                                        Braille syntax into sound,    Europe in the 21st            and people with mobility
                                                        graphic, Braille output and   Century                       impairments
                                                        telematic access              SEDODEL: secure               SWIFT: user orientated
                                                        SIGNING BOOKS:                document for blind and        and workflow integrated
                                                        signing books for the deaf    partially sighted people      federation of service
                                                        TELEMATE: telematic           VISTEL: visual impaired       providers for the elderly
                                                        multidisciplinary assistive   based telephony
                                                        technology education          WAI: web accessibility
                                                                                      initiative




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Domain                      Application                  Application                    Application               Application   Application   Application
2. Life at home and         Home systems                 Location and remote
remote care                                              support
(9,242 KEURO-17%)
                            HOME-AOM: home               DISCUS: distance
                            applications optimum         information, support and
                            multimedia/multimodal        communication for
                            system for environment       European carers
                            Control                      FACILE: support tools for
                            HOMEBRAIN: homebrain         housing design and
                            design for all               management, integrated
                            MOSAIC-HS: modular           with telematics systems
                            system for application       and services, devoted to
                            integration and clustering   disabled and elderly
                            in home system               people
                                                         RISE: caring for the
                                                         elderly in the information
                                                         society era

3. Mobility and transport   Advanced wheelchairs         Orientation
(4,010 KEURO-7%)
                            TRANSWHEEL:
                            transportation wheelchair    ARIADNE: access,
                            with high impact safety      information and
                            and advanced sensor          navigation support in the
                            comfort for people with      labyrinth of large buildings
                            mobility problems            BARRIER INFO:
                                                         development of a
                                                         multimedia database
                                                         providing information on
                                                         accessibility of public
                                                         buildings for people with
                                                         reduced mobility
                                                         PAM-AID: personal
                                                         adaptive mobility aid for
                                                         the frail and elderly
                                                         visually impaired




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Domain                    Application               Application                   Application                  Application               Application                   Application
4. Control and            Integrated controls       Robotic systems
manipulation
(2,880 KEURO-5%)          HATS: hand assessment     MOBIL: intelligent mobility
                          and treatment system      and transportation aid for
                          ICAN: integrated          older people with
                          communication and         combined motor and
                          control for all needs     mental impairment
                                                    TREMOR: development
                                                    and validation of new
                                                    assistive devices for the
                                                    treatment of disabilities
                                                    caused by tremor



5. Restoration and        Abilities and training    Augmentative                  Functional electrical        Hearing enhancement       Motor rehabilitation          Training of natural speech
enhancement of function                             communication solutions       stimulation                                                                          or signing
(9,815 KEURO-18%)
                          TASC: telematics          PCAD: portable                TOSAFES: treatment of        LISCOM: listening         DRAMA: developments in        ISAEUS: speech training
                          applications supporting   communication assistant       obstructive sleep apnoea     comfort system for        rehabilitation of the arm -   for deaf and hearing
                          cognition                 for people with acquired      with functional electrical   hearing instruments and   a multimedia approach         impaired people
                                                    dysphasia                     stimulation                  telephones                MANUS: modular
                                                    REACT: real time                                           SPACE: signal             anthropomorphous user
                                                    communication terminal                                     processing for auditory   adaptable hand
                                                                                                               communication in noisy    prosthesis with enhanced
                                                                                                               environments              mobility and force
                                                                                                                                         feedback
                                                                                                                                         TOMPAW: a totally
                                                                                                                                         modular prosthetic arm
                                                                                                                                         with high workability




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Domain                 Application                 Application     Application               Application   Application   Application
6. Market issues and   User support tools
quality of life
(5,087 KEURO-9%)       ASTRID: a socio-
                       technical response to the
                       needs of individuals with
                       dementia and their carers
                       DAILY: make daily life
                       easier
                       EASYTEX: esthetical,
                       adjustable, serviceable
                       and mainstay textiles for
                       disabled and elderly
                       EATS: efficiency of
                       assistive technology and
                       services
                       EUSTAT: empowering
                       users through assistive
                       technology
                       IMPACT: increasing the
                       impact of assistive
                       technology
                       NATASHA: network and
                       tools for the assessment
                       of speech/language and
                       hearing ability
                       NJORD-TIDE: methods
                       for user-sensitive
                       evaluations of domotic
                       environments
                       SERVICE 2000:
                       intelligent service shops
                       for the elderly and
                       disabled
                       VOICE: giving a voice to
                       deaf persons, by
                       developing awareness of
                       voice-to-text recognition
                       capabilities




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10 Annex: Past and Future Conferences
  on Assistive Technology

10.1 Past Conferences (June1998-June 2000)
1998
 7 June 1998: Ask the experts symposium (sponsored by ALS Association). Los Angeles, CA.
 10 June 1998: The Future Shape of Cyberspace: Virtually There. Birmingham, UK.
 20-25 June 1998: ED-MEDIA/ED-TELECOM 98, World Conference on Educational
   Multimedia and Hypermedia and World Conference on Educational
   Telecommunications. Freiburg, Germany.
 29 June 1998: RESNA‟98. Minneapolis, MN.
 18-23 July 1998: Alliance for Technology Access Annual Institute. Park City, UT.
 24-27 August 1998: ISSAAC: International Society for Augmentative and Alternative
   Communication. Dublin, Ireland.
                                  nd
 9-11 September 1998: The 2 European Conference on Disability, Virtual Reality and
   Associated Technologies - ECDVRAT „98. Skövde, Sweden. Topics: Virtual Life Skills,
   Interfacing to Virtual Environments, Training, Assessment & Rehabilitation, Virtual
   Environments & Visual Impairment, Sign Language & Gesture Recognition, Enhancing
   Mobility, Spatial Orientation & Navigation, and Modelling & „Mixed‟ Realities.
 21-24 October 1998: Closing the Gap. Minneapolis, MN.
 30-31 October 1998: Southeast Augmentative Communication Conference. Birmingham.
 19-22 November 1998: ASHA: Annual Convention of the American Speech-Language-
   Hearing Association. San Antonio, TX.

1999
 17-20 March 1999: CSUN: Technology and Persons with Disabilities. Los Angeles, CA.
 18-20 March 1999: FETC: Florida Educational Technology Conference. Orlando, FL.
 June 1999: Accessibility in the Workplace. NBDC (National Business & Disability
   Council). Foster City, CA. Topics: accessible features of Microsoft products, including
   Windows, Internet Explorer, and Office. The second topic is: Other Assistive Technologies.
   Contact: Microsoft Foster City Office.
 22-24 June1999: NECC‟99 - Spotlight on the future. Atlantic City, NJ.
 25-29 June 1999: RESNA‟99. Long Beach, CA. Descriptors: rehabilitation, rehabilitation
   engineering, assistive devices, assistive technology, independent living, augmentative
   communication. Contact: RESNA; web site: www.resna.org.
 5-7 July 1999: Virtual Reality World Congress. Brussels, Belgium. Topics: 48 hours
   information, intellectual stimulation, demonstrations, predictions, opinion, debate… and visions
   of the future for VR. Interesting is the co-operation of the European Commission. Jean-Yves
   Roger of the EC will give a presentation about the EC and the significant investment it has
   made in VR-based projects. Providing a review of past experience as well as a status report on
                        th
   progress with the 5 Framework Programme.
                                                                    st
 12-16 July 1999: Vision ‟99: Vision Rehabilitation for the 21 Century. New York City.
   Contact: The lighthouse International.
 17-18 July 1999: European Braille Production Conference. Queen Victoria College
   Birmingham, UK. Contact: Techno-Vision Systems Limited.
 28-30 July 1999: Policy challenges in the Internet age. Amsterdam Summer University, The
   Netherlands. Contact: Van Dusseldorp & Partners, European Internet Strategies; web site:
   www.vandusseldorp.com and/or www.europamedia.com.

   16-17 August 1999: Life beyond the Information Society. Turku, Finland. The event will be
    organised jointly by the “Citizenship and Ecomodernization in the Information Society - The
    Futures Approach” (FUTU-Project), which is part of the Finnish Academy‟s Information



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    Research Programme, and the Finland Futures Research Centre. Contact: Finland Futures
    Research Centre.
   13-16 September 1999: Retrofitting for Accessibility. Gatlinburg, TN. Contact: NCA; web
    site: www.indiana.edu/~nca.
   30 September-2 October 1999: Southeast Augmentative Communication Conference.
    Birmingham, AL. Contact: SEAC Conference.
   6-9 October 1999: Assistive Technology Industry Association World Conference ‟99.
    Orlando, FL. Contact: Assistive Technology Industry Association.
   8-10 October 1999: Annual Conference of the United States Society for Augmentative
    and Alternative Communication (USSAAC). Orlando, Florida. It is being held in conjunction
    with the week-long, international Assistive Technology Event, and being planned with the new
    Assistive Technology Industry Association (ATIA) and the Alliance for Technology Access
    (ATA). This is the first BIG EAST COAST assistive tech event. Contact: USSAAC.
                                                                           th
   14 October 1999: North Carolina Assistive Technology Project: 9 Annual AT Expo.
    Raleigh, NC.
   21-23 October 1999: Closing the Gap Conference in Computer Technology in Special
    Education and Rehabilitation. Bloomingdale, MN. Contact: Closing the Gap; web site:
    www.closingthegap.com.
                             th
   1-5 November 1999: 5 European Conference for the Advancement of Assistive
    Technology. Assistive Technology on the Threshold of the New Millennium. AAATE
    (Association for the Advancement of Assistive Technology in Europe). Düsseldorf,
    Germany. Topics: AT for children, AT for older adults, AT for activity of daily living (ADL) tasks,
    AT for education and training, AT in the work environment, AT for restoration and
    enhancement of functions, AT for support of mobility, mainstreaming and universal design,
    user empowerment, socio-economic evaluation, issue of human-machine interaction, change
    of social systems and service delivery, industrial competitiveness and technology transfer,
    education and training in AT, and opportunity and challenge on the threshold of the new
    millennium. The AAATE conference will be presented at the occasion of REHA international,
    which is the world‟s leading fair on rehabilitation technology.              Contact: AAATE;
    web site: www.fernuni-hagen.de/FTB/AAATE99.
   18-21 November 1999: ASHA: American Speech-Language Hearing Association
    Conference. San Francisco, CA.

2000 (until June)
                   th
 January 2000: 18 Annual International Technology, Reading & Learning Difficulties
   Conference. San Francisco, CA. Contact: ECC; web site: www.trld.com.
 2-5 April 2000: The special Education World Congress 2000. Vancouver, British Columbia,
   Canada.



10.2 Future Conferences (July 2000-2001)
2000 (from July)
 28 June-2 July 2000: RESNA 2000 Annual Conference. Technology for the New
   Millennium. Website: www.resna.org/resna/resna2k/index.html. Email:
   RESNA2000@resna.org.
 1 June- 31 October 2000: Integration von Behinderten in die Arbeitswelt. EXPO 2000,
   Themenpark Zukunft der Arbeit. Hannover, Germany.
                                         th
 14-16 July 2000: Vision Quest 2000: 11 World Congress of Retinal International. Westin
   Harbour Castle, Toronto ON.
 17-21 July 2000: International Conference on Computers Helping People with Special
   Needs (ICCHP). Karlsruhe University, Germany. Contact: Universität Karlsruhe; web site:
   szswww.ira.uka.de/icchp2000.html.
 2-6 August 2000: ISAAC 2000. AAC in the new millennium. Washington, DC (USA).
 4-5 September 2000: AAATE 2000 Seminar. The Potential of the WWW for Assistive and
   Rehabilitative Technology. University of Hertfordshire, Great Britain. Organiser: Prof. Helen
   Petrie.




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   6-9 September 2000: REHAB 2000. 11. Internationale Fachmesse für Rehabilitation,
    Pflege und Integration. Messezentrum Nürnberg, Germany. Organiser: interService
    Borgmann GmbH.
   20-22 September 2000: Integra. Fachmesse Integration Rehabilitation. Altenhof,
    Österreich. Organiser: Organisationsbüro integra 2000.
                                    rd
   25-26 September 2000: The 3 International Conference on Disability, Virtual Reality and
    Associated Technologies - ICDVRAT 2000. Sardinia, Italy. Topics: papers are encouraged in
    all areas which span Disability, Virtual Reality and its Associated Technologies, encompassing
    both practical application and more generic research. The following topics are just a few of
    those which will be relevant to the conference: Communication and Language, Virtual and
    Enhanced Environments, Rehabilitation, Clinical assessment, Cognition, Computer access,
    Haptic devices, Visual Impairment, Mobility, Medical systems, Input Device/Sensors and
    Actuators, Communications aids, Multi-user systems for user interaction, Tools for
    architectural/CAD design, Visual impairment through virtual simulation, Wheelchair navigation
    through virtual environments, Product design testing and prototyping, Training tools for
    rehabilitation, Augmented reality for people with disability, Ambisonics (3D Sound), Cognitive
    processing and virtual environments, Human Factors issues. Contact: ICDVRAT 98.
   3-5 October 2000: EUROGIFU. An official event of the EU-JAPAN IT month. Gifu, Japan.
    Organiser: Sigma Consultants.
                             th
   17-21 October 2000: 18 Annual Closing the Gap Conference. Computer technology in
    special       education      and       rehabilitation.     Minneapolis,     USA.     Organiser:
    info@closingthegap.com.
   18-20 October 2000: Iberdiscap 2000. Madrid, Spain. Organiser: iberdiscap@iai.csic.es.
   18-21 October 2000: REHACARE International 20000. Internationale Fachmesse für
    Menschen mit Behinderung und Plegebedarf. Düsseldorf, Germany. Organiser: Messe
    Düsseldorf.
   6-8 November 2000: IST 2000 Nice. The Information Society for all. Nice Acropolis, France.
    Organiser: IST 2000 Secretariat.
   13-15 November 2000: ASSETS 2000. The fourth international ACM SIGCAPH conference
    on           Assistive          Technologies.             Washington          DC,        USA.
    www.acm.org/sigs/conferences/assets00/.
   16-17 November 2000: CUU 2000. ACM Conference on Universal Usability. Washington
    DC, USA. www.acm.org/sigs/sigchi/cuu/.

2001
                                                                                       th
 19-24 March 2001: Technology and Persons with disabilities. 2001 Conference; 16
   Annual International Conference (CSUN). Los Angeles.
                           th
 1-5 April 2001: EFRR. 7 European Congress of Research in Rehabilitation. Madrid, Spain.
   Organiser: INYECC-Congress.
 25-27 April 2001: ICORR 2001. Evry, France. Organiser: mounir.mokhtari@int-evry.fr.
 7-9 June 2001. Rehavision. Messe und Forum für Rehabilitation und Integration. Leipzig,
   Germany. Organiser: Leipziger Messe.
                                                  th
 5-10 August 2001. HCI International 2001. 9 International Conference on Human-
                                 st
   Computer Interaction and 1 International Conference on Universal Access in Human-
   Computer Interaction. Organiser: salvendy@ecn.puduce.edi or cs.@ics.forth.gr.
                              th
 3-6 September 2001: 6 European Conference for the Advancement of Assistive
   Technology. AAATE (Association for the Advancement of Assistive Technology in
   Europe). Ljubljana, Slovenia.




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10.3 References (for chapter 10)
                Assistive Technology for the Elderly and Disabled, Regulations and Policy Options,
                final report, European Parliament, STOA, March 1996

                Cost 248 The Future European Telecommunications User, Final Report November
                1997

                Design for All and ICT Business Practice: Recommendations - Policies for better
                accessibility of ICT products and services, December 1998, TNO Institute for
                Strategy, Technology and Policy, NL

                Go for it! A Manual for Users of Assistive Technology, 1999, EUSTAT project, TAP
                D&E

                Gerontechnology Project results, NL Ministry of Economic Affairs, Ministry of
                Health, Welfare & Sport, Ministry of Housing, Urban Planning and Environment &
                KITTZ (Kwaliteitsinstituut voor Toegepaste
                ThuisZorgvernieuwing) March 1999.

                Japan and International Society in the Age of Information Revolution, The Japan
                Forum on International Relations, August 1998.

                The Future of Computing, Michael L Dertouzos, Director, Massachusettes Institute
                of Technology, Laboratory for Computer Science, Scientific American, August
                1999




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11 Annex: Tele-workshop

11.1 Methodology & Participants
                  The preliminary draft of this report was reviewed and discussed by a group of
                  experts. The review took the form of a mixture of written reviews and a small
                  telephone workshop in September 2000.

                  11 experts initially agreed to take part of the review process. Three of them had to
                  withdraw because of time constraints or other personal reasons. With six of the
                  reviewers a telephone workshop was held. The two others gave their comments by
                  mail.

                  The procedure was that all reviewers were asked to write comments and remarks
                  on the completed draft report. The reviewers were asked to pay special attention to
                  the recommendations of the report. The comments from the reviewers were
                  circulated to the participants of the telephone workshop and used as the basis for
                  a telephone discussion.

                  The reviewers were:
                  Mr. Jan Ekberg, Stakes, Finland
                  Prof Jan Ekberg has a more than 30 years background in the telecommunications
                  and disability research field. He has been chairman of big research projects like
                  COST219 bis " Telecommunications: Access for disabled people and elderly" and
                  INCLUDE "Inclusion of disabled and elderly people in telematics".

                  Mr. Rob van Geel, Kompagne, The Netherlands
                  Kompagne is a Dutch firm specialised in communication systems for persons with
                  disabilities. Dr. Van Geel has an extensive experience in rehabilitation engineering
                  with particular emphasis on communication systems. Expertise in phonetics,
                  rehabilitation engineering, augmentative and alternative communication, Co-
                  founder of ISAAC-NF.

                  Mr. Roland Pouilli, Solival Vlaanderen vz., Belgium
                  Mr. Pouilli is head of Solival VZW, a non-profit organization founded in 1973 by the
                  Alliance of Christian Mutualities, the Yellow and White Cross, Caritas Catholica
                  and the Catholic Association for the disabled. He co-ordinates a network of
                  technical equipment centres, a network of about 40 home care shops and four
                  Social alarm centres in Belgium (Flanders).

                  Mr. Jim Tobias, Inclusive Technologies, USA
                  Mr. Tobias is an industrial designer who has worked in accessible technology for
                  more than 25 years. He began at Berkeley‟s Center for Independent Living, and
                  has worked at special schools, hospitals, and government agencies. He spent 10
                  years at Bell Labs and Bellcore helping to make new telephone systems more
                  accessible. Jim now leads his own firm, Inclusive Technologies, based in New
                  Jersey, USA, providing consultancy for mainstream companies and research
                  centers.

                  Mr. Cees Zeelenberg, TNO Prevention and Healthcare, The Netherlands
                  Dr. Zeelenberg, and a colleague, Dr. J.A.M. van Boxtel, supported the review. Dr.
                  Zeelenberg is heading the division Technology in Healthcare. His expertise
                  focuses on Medical Informatics Research and Applications. Dr. Van Boxtel's
                  expertise is in Constructive Technology Assessment.




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                Mrs. Sheri Trewin, IBM, Accessibility Research, Watson Center, USA.
                Mrs Trewin acted on behalf of Mr. Paul Lammers, Public Affairs Manager R & D at
                IBM (Europe, Middle East and Africa). Dr. Trewin has been a research fellow at the
                University of Edinburgh, Scotland and is currently with the Accessibility Research
                Group of the IBM T. J. Watson Research Center in New York, USA. She has
                extensive practical experience in teaching people with disabilities to use
                computers, and her current work addresses personalisation of technology.

                Mr. Ivor Ambrose, CEC, Belgium, Mr Manuel Monteiro, CEC, Belgium
                Both Mr. Monteiro and Mr. Ambrose (CEC) acted mainly as listeners in the tele-
                workshop, but did not refrain from putting questions to the other participants. They
                provided the project group with a number of written comments as well.

                Two project group members also participated in the telephone meeting: Mr. Simon
                Price and Mr. Mathijs Soede who chaired the meeting, while the remaining project
                group members listened in: Mrs. Celia Price, Mr. Frank Vlaskamp, Mrs. Mirella
                Partouns, Mrs. Petra Crombag.


11.2 Discussion
                Topic 1: Is an EU model for Technology Transfer in AT possible, and what
                are the main characteristics of such a model?

                This question addresses the way we look at the AT market: is it a market that is
                quite different from other markets, and if so, what makes AT specific?
                From a USA perspective the Technology Transfer Model in AT can be described
                as having two parts:
                         The technology transfer to AT companies
                         The technology transfer to mainstream companies.

                The experience in the USA is that AT companies listen carefully to the agencies
                that both fund R&D projects and are involved in bringing products to the end-user.
                Technology Transfer in this area is successful. Some new AT companies get start-
                up capital from governmental agencies.

                Technology Transfer to mainstream companies is weak, there are only a handful
                of positive exceptions during the last few years. Development projects aimed at
                implementing AT in mainstream technology proved to be a waste of money.
                Large companies are more effectively driven by legal regulations (accessibility).

                The European pre-competitive R&D projects in assistive technology do not very
                often lead to marketable products and services. In comparison with the USA,
                Europe has the disadvantage of having many different languages, which makes
                co-operation difficult for small companies. On the other hand, large mainstream
                companies are afraid to get a negative public image when they manufacture
                products which are accessible for disabled and elderly. The feeling is that young
                and able people will not buy these products.

                The question is whether a particular EU model for Technology Transfer in AT is
                required.

                Technology Transfer should be part of the exploitation plan of every EU research
                project. Many EU projects are working parallel on AT solutions, sometimes they
                have different technologies for the same problem. There is not much co-ordination
                between EU projects. There is not a consistent approach towards using AT
                approaches in mainstream products.

                Technology Transfer should be carried out by a central organisation, which has
                links to (associations of) end-users. This will improve the exploitation of project
                results.



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                  In the USA there is much more reliance on legislation and regulation. Agencies
                  which fund R&D projects require that user involvement is part of the project. The
                  research question is: how will you help consumers with disabilities? In many R&D
                  projects on Assistive Technology research is carried out by designers who are
                  disabled themselves. They have much more awareness with respect to problems
                  experienced by people with disabilities.

                  The report recommends that the EU should establish a brokerage mechanism for
                  Technology Transfer. A brokerage organisation looks for technology to be applied
                  in new settings. It is still a question whether national and international Technology
                  Transfer models would be applicable in the European context. Brokerage,
                  however, will be difficult because project partners will have a claim on intellectual
                  property rights. In EU RTD project contracts there is already a stipulation that the
                  EU may use a project result for brokerage, if the project partners are not exploiting
                  the project result themselves within a certain time limit. This may be very
                  unattractive for mainstream companies, which don‟t like to put all their expertise
                  “on the stage”.

                  Although emphasis on technology transfer and projects with direct application in
                  the field is required, there should also be room for fundamental research, without
                  immediate application in the field. Fundamental research may be very applicable in
                  the long run.

                  It proves to be difficult to develop a strategy for Technology Transfer which sets
                  targets that will have an impact.

                  The mainstream developments in mobile communications (WAP, UMTS,
                  localisation, etc.) will have a great impact on the possibilities for Assistive
                  Technology. However, the performance of mainstream companies in making
                  acceptable and compatible products is still very weak. AT researchers are not
                  successful in promoting Assistive Technology.

                  The approach towards mainstream industry should be: We have millions of people
                  who cannot use your mainstream product without difficulty, because they have a
                  disability (hearing disabilities, visual disabilities, lack of dexterity, cognitive
                  problems, etc.). A market research approach is needed, aimed at including these
                  groups.

                  From a social point of view, attention should be paid to those groups who have
                  absolutely no access to equipment (such as the deaf-blind, or even people with a
                  mild visual impairment who cannot read a screen). These groups are not large
                  from a marketing perspective, and for these smaller groups special adaptations
                  should be made. Social market research should be aimed at investigating user
                  needs. Mainstream companies are now aimed at selling large quantities of
                  products, they are not user needs driven.

                  Speech technology is very promising for Assistive Technology. It is a technology
                  that has become very successful in the mainstream area. Large companies such
                  as IBM and Microsoft are involved in product development. Screens are becoming
                  “readable” by transforming the content of a screen to speech. Speech recognition
                  technology enables users to operate a computer or telephone without a keyboard.

                  Sensor technologies are developing rapidly and are expected to have great impact
                  on Assistive Technology. Some examples: position sensors, fall sensors, bodily
                  parameter sensors, alert devices. Orthopaedics is an area with lots of possible
                  applications (for instance pressure sensors, force sensors, movement sensors,
                  etc.).

                  The Bluetooth open standard that is being introduced now can support the
                  connection between Assistive Technology devices and mainstream devices. It


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                allows remote control of devices in the environment. For people with disabilities
                only the remote control device should be adapted.

                Mainstream devices, however, cannot solve every accessibility problem.
                Therefore, there should be interoperation standards for links between specialised
                Assistive Technology devices and mainstream technology. Standards for software
                and hardware are still lacking. It is frustrating that Assistive Technology companies
                have to wait for updates of mainstream software until the public market release
                date.

                Topic 2: Should more effort and budget be put in R&D on service delivery
                and in assessing the usage of technology, including Universal Access
                and/or Design for All?

                In Europe there are different service delivery mechanisms in the member states.

                Developers do not know about universal design. They should be provided with
                tools that allow incorporation of universal access in their designs, without having to
                be an expert in Assistive Technology. These tools can be software, as is the case
                in software tools for accessible web design.

                There are also guidelines like the USERFIT book , which is a practical handbook
                for user-centred design. This book has been written during the TIDE initiative. The
                question is whether this book is specific enough. General handbooks are not
                enough, there should be brochures aimed at special areas (such as web-design).
                R&D developers should receive just what they need. The European Commission
                puts effort in promoting and publishing about Design for All, making guidelines and
                tools available to developers.

                Cost is a limiting factor in the realisation of Universal Access. How far should we
                go with the claim that technology should be accessible? If these problems are not
                clarified, universal access is not taken up by mainstream industry. Furthermore, it
                is not only information that is lacking, but also an attitude change towards
                awareness of accessibility problems should take place.

                The INCLUDE project aims at considering the needs of disabled and elderly
                people at the early stages of any product or service development. In that case the
                inclusion of special features often results in minimal or no additional cost.

                It is not certain whether legislation is the way to go in the European environment.
                In the USA there is a dividing line between the responsibilities that should be taken
                by mainstream industry, and the responsibilities that should be taken by Assistive
                Technology industry. Whatever can be done without much difficulty or cost (say
                1% of total development cost) is the responsibility of the mainstream industry
                (Telecommunications Act in USA). However, a study on the way user needs were
                addressed by mainstream companies in the USA proved that most companies
                were not very effective in doing this. IBM may be one of the few good examples of
                what is possible. Most companies do it the easy way and aim at the top 80% of the
                market, not taking care of the needs of people with disabilities and limited financial
                resources.

                A central organisation is needed, which develops expertise on disability and
                information technology, and writes training material and brochures customised for
                different groups of developers, service providers and care professionals.


                Topic 3: For what type of activity should the EC make budget available and
                how should initiatives be funded?




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                  The EC has now rather strict research agendas in the R&D programmes. There
                  should be more open work plans that allow people to come up with good ideas,
                  even when these ideas do not promise an immediate market application.
                  Otherwise the doors to the future may be closed. In the USA such research
                  initiatives are called “field initiated research”. Some research programmes have
                  some room for research outside the fixed agenda.

                  Basic research and fundamental research should be balanced. In the TIDE project
                  programme, however, the fundamental research was not very successful, so there
                  are some doubts about the effectiveness of fundamental research. On the other
                  hand, there are examples of fundamental research leading to very successful
                  products after 10 years (as was the case in the ASHORED project).

                  Balance can also be accomplished by synchronising projects: carry out a project
                  with a limited goal which is close to implementation together with a project with a
                  more fundamental approach and a longer time scale. The fundamental project will
                  then have the opportunity to field-test fundamental findings in the field.
                  The EC has used the mechanism of clustering projects that have things in
                  common. Project consortia can propose to cluster projects.

                  The EC should stimulate emerging Assistive Technologies with take up actions,
                  aimed at shortening the deployment time. User organisations and mainstream
                  companies should be involved in R&D projects, because the proposed products
                  should be an answer to existing needs and technologically feasible. The
                  impression is that R&D on medical devices in Europe is better organised than R&D
                  on Assistive Technology.

                  Final statements

                  The discussion members had read the report with great interest. Some
                  suggestions for the final version were made. Not much has been said about
                  globalisation. For small Assistive Technology companies it is difficult to market
                  their product on a global market. Differences in language, regulations, and
                  particularly specific user needs are difficult to address. The report indicates that
                  there are many possibilities in Assistive Technology in the future.

                  The report will be publicised on the EC website. In the eEurope initiative there is a
                  discussion group on Assistive Technology with more than 100 members. This
                  report will be very welcome to promote discussion among these and other
                  members of the AT community. The report will be a good reference for the
                                             th
                  development of the EC 6 framework research programme.




                  Final report      October 2000      page 157 of 166
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Final report                            October 2000                          page 158 of 166
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12 References
1
  Gavigan, Ottisch, Greaves. Demographic & Social Trends Panel Report for the Futures Project,
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2
  European Commission. The Competitiveness of European Industry, 1997
3                                     st
  Social Alarms for Europe in the 21 Century project, D&E Telematics project DE3011
4
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5
  Esping-Anderson, G. Welfare States at the End of the Century. In: Family, Market and
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6
  Cantillon, B. The Challenge of Poverty and Exclusion. In: Family, Market and Community. OECD
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7
  Coomans, 1999.
8
  Eurostat. europa.eu.int/eurostat.html
9
  Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Seville for the European Commission. Ageing and
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10
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11
   OECD. Human Capital Investment – An International Comparison, 1998.
12
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13
   Mercer, 1999; p7.
14
   Eurostat. Social portrait of Europe 1998 cited in Gavigan, Ottisch, Greaves, Demographic &
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15
   Forrester. Research on consumer attitudes, motivations and financial ability to own or use
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16
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17
   europa.eu.int/eur-lex/en/lif/dat/1999/en_399Y0702_01.html
18
   Fasol, G. New Opportunities v Old Mistakes: Foreign Companies in Japan‟s High Tech Markets,
    Stanford University at www.stanford.deu/%7Eviji/Faso/SlideFolder/sld003.htm
19
   British Trade Federation, Japan Trade & Investment Statistics at
    www.actionjapan.org.uk/info/business/info5a.htm
20
   British Trade Federation, Japan Trade & Investment Statistics
21
   British Trade Federation, Japan Monthly Economic Report January 2000, at
    www.actionjapan.org.uk/info/business/info3a.htm
22
   British Trade Federation, Japan Monthly Economic Report January 2000,
23
   Facts on File News Service at www.facts.com/icof/i00063.htm
24
   British Trade Federation, Japan Monthly Economic Report January 2000, at
    www.actionjapan.org.uk/info/business/setup/ajinfo3a.htm
25
   Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan. The Structural Reform of the Japanese Economy, 1997, at
    www.mofa.go.jp/info/japan/reform/reform.html
26
   Fasol, G. New Opportunities v Old Mistakes: Foreign Companies in Japan‟s High Tech Markets,
    Stanford University at www.stanford.deu/%7Eviji/Faso/SlideFolder/sld008.htm
27
   Fasol, G. New Opportunities v Old Mistakes: Foreign Companies in Japan‟s High Tech Markets,
    Stanford University
28
   Japan Echo Inc (editors). Trends in Japan, based on domestic Japanese news sources at
    www.jcic.or.jp/stat///stats/10LIV11.html
29
   Japan Information Network. Transformation of Modern Japanese Families, Japan Insight, at
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30
   Japan Information Network. Japan Insight, at
    www.jinjapan.org/insight/html/in_persctive/rising/unemployed.html
31
   Japan Information Network, Japan Insight.
32
   Mainichi Interactive, Mainichi Newspapers Co. at www.mainichi.co.jp/english/mahathir/06.html
33
   Japan Information Network. Japan Insight, www.jcic.or.jp/today.society/society5.html
34
   Japan Population and Physiography at
    www.harper.cc.il.us/mhealy/g101ilec/Japan/jpr/phys/jprphytx.htm
35
   Japan Information Network. Japan Insight, at www.jinjapan.org/today/society/society1.html




                  Final report      October 2000      page 159 of 166
Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
__________________________________________________________________________________________________



36
   Japan Information Network. Japan Insight, at
    http:/www.jinjapan.org/insight/htnl/in_perspective/urbanisation/problem01.html
37
   Japan Information Network. Japan Insight, at
    www.jinjapan.org/insight/html/in_perspective/the_new_breed/a_quick.html
38
   Japan Information Network. www.jin.jcic.or.jp/today/society/society6.html
39
   Japan Information Network. www.jin.jcic.or.jp/today/society/society5.html
40
   Japan Information Network. www.jinjapan.org/insight/html.in_perspective/
    educational_reform/n…/educational.htm
41
   Japan Information Network. www.jin.jcic.or.jp/today/culture/culture1.html
42
   USA Today. www.usatoday.com/life/cyber/tech/cte708.htm
43
   Eurotechnology Report on Japanese Internet. www.eurotechnology.com/internet/index.html
44
   Japan Information Network.
    www.jinjapan.org/insight/html/im_persctive/expansion/japanese_in.html
45
   Japan Information Network.
    www.jinjapan.org/insight/html/in_persctive/expansion/networkings.html
46
   Japan Information Network.
    www.jinjapan.org/insight/html/in_persctive/expansion/teleworking.html
47
   Fasol, G. New Opportunities v Old Mistakes: Foreign Companies in Japan‟s High-Tech Markets,
    Stanford University. www.stanford.edu/%7Eviji/FasolSlideFolder/sld008.htm
48
   Japan Information Network. www.jin.jcic.or.jp/trends/honbun/tj000308.html
49
   Japan Information Network. www.jin.jcic.or.jp/trends/honbun/tj000203.html
50                                                                         st
   Report of the Prime Minister‟s Commission on Japan‟s Goals in the 21 Century.
    www.twics.com/~nsftokyo/rm00-04.html
51
   Japan Information Network. www.jinjcic.or.jp/today/society/society6.html
52
   www.gwjapan.com/ftp/pub/policy/jei/1992/a-series/1030/92a.txt
53
   www.t-works.co.jp/9101e.html
54
   Japan Information Network. www.jin.jcic.or.jp/trends/honbun/tj000329.html
55                      th
   Proceedings of 12 RESJA Annual Conference, August 1997
56
   www.nap.edu/readingroom/books/esi/ch2.html
57
   www.theodora.com/wfb/united_states_economy.html
58
   www.odci.gov/cia/publications/factbook/us.html#econ
59
   www.igc.apc.org/esp/quiz/quizfram.htm
60
   http;//www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/census/historic/livalone/html
61
   www.gallup.com/poll/indicators/indwork.asp
62
   http;//www.portraitofmerica.com/html/poll-789.html
63
   www.time.com/time/magazine/articles/0,3266,39230,00.html
64
   www.odci.gov/cia/publications/factbook/us.html#econ
65
   www.bls.census.gov/pub/empsit-mar2000.htm
66
   www.gallup.com/poll/indicators/indwork.asp
67
   www.ecommerce.gov/ede/chapter4.html
68
   www.dol.gov/dol/wb/public/media/reports/working.htm
69
   www.gallup.com/poll/indicators/indwork.asp
70
   www.odci.gov/cia/publications/factbook/us.html#econ
71
   www.theodora.com/wfb/united_states_economy.html
72
   www.odci.gov/cia/publications/factbook/us.html#econ
73
   www.aoa.dhhs.gov/aoa/stats/aging21/demography.html
74
   www.shrm.org/trends/visions/
75
   dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20000410/hl/aga_11.html
76
   www.newhortizons.org/ofc_caebamburg1.html
77
   Institute for the future, Menlo Park California: “Informated households: A market for New Media”,
    p.63
78
   www.gallup.com/poll/indicators/indPuter_Net.asp
79
   www.gallup.com/poll/indicators/indreligion.asp
80
   www.as.wvu.edu/coll03/relst/are/sochange.htm
81
   www.econop.org/pflbrief.htm
82
   www.portraitofamerica.com/html/poll-818.html
83
   janweb.icdi.wvu.edu/kinder/overview.htm
84
   www.access-board.gov/bfdg/adaag.htm
85
   www.archimedes.stanford.edu/intro97.html
86
   http;//www.disabilitystatisticscenter.pub.taf?_UserReference


Final report                             October 2000                           page 160 of 166
                                 Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
__________________________________________________________________________________________________



    =E14ED0105DDFD51BBCA08CA3&_function=search&recid=813/04/00
87
   http;//www.disabilitystatisticscenter.pub.taf
88
   Office of Technology Transfer, Penn State College of Medicine, USA , 1999.
    www.collmed.psu.edu/ott/process/ttsteps.htm
89
   Federal Laboratory Consortium, USA , 1999. www.nal.usda.gov/ttic/faq/whatis.htm
90
   Stanford, USA, 1999 guide.stanford.edu/Ttran/ttg/section02.html
91
   Crombag-Röben, P.A.M.E., Vuijk, R.D., The process of technology transfer in the RT market,
    CEC-CORE TP 213 project, deliverable #16, 1995, iRv, Hoensbroek NL.
92
   Weisgerber, R.A., Armstrong, T.R. Facilitating the transfer of Rehabilitation Technology,
    American Institutes for Research, Palo Alto, CA, 1989.
    guide.stanford.edu/Ttran/Air/abstract.html
93
   C. Stephanidis, N. Vernardakis, D. Akoumianakis, Aspects of demand in the rehabilitation
    technology market in Europe, technical report 109, 1993, ICS-FORTH, Crete, Greece
94
   Heart Study - Line B (December, 1993), B.1 report 2: Existing pan-European links in
    rehabilitation technology and assessment, the Swedish Handicap Institute, Stockholm, Sweden
95
   Heart Study - Line F (March, 1994), F.3 report 2: Assessment of the potential technology
    synergies and technology transfer in rehabilitation technology, the Swedish Handicap Institute,
    Stockholm, Sweden
96
   TERTZ/NL
97
   Lane, J.P. A model of Technology Transfer for Industrial competitiveness, in Assistive
    Technology on the Threshold of the new Millenium, AAATE proceedings, C. Bühler and H.
    Knops (eds.), 1999, IOS Press, 1999. wings.buffalo.edu/ot/cat/t2rerc/overview.html
98
   www.tmc.tulane.edu/techdev/Bayh.html
99
   www.wthf.com/Articles/a-tech.htm
100
    www.nal.usda.gov/ttic/guide.htm
101
    www.house.gov/science/brand_9-25.html
102
    cosmos.ot.buffalo.edu/t2rerc/history.html
103
    cosmos.ot.buffalo.edu/aztech/aboutaztech.htm
104
    www.resna.org/resna/resna2k/index.html
105
    www.fernuni-hagen.de/FTB/aaate/infoday.htm
106
    European Commission: Advancing the Information Society: 101 Telematics Success Stories,
    1999.
107
    www.cordis.lu/itt/itt-en/98-3/ip-news.htm, May 1998.
108
    www.esst.uio.no/ESST/ESST/whatisESST.html
109
    www.isi.fhg.de/e_about.htm (1997 figures)
110
    www.noc.org.uk/SerARef/MMC/FAST/FastInro.htm
111
    www.iwt.be
112
    www.minez.nl
113
    www.minocw.nl
114
    www.minvws.nl
115
    www.nwo.nl
116
    www.zon.nl
117
    www.senter.nl
118
    www.hi.se/it/itkatalog/itenglish.shtm
119
    www.senter.nl/
120
    www.nutek.se
121
    www.cordis.lu/irc/home.html
122
    INCLUDE Telematics project 1109.
123
    ENABL: www.shef.ac.uk/uni/projects/enabl. VOICE: voice.jrc.it/.
124
    Beulen K, Ortmanns S, Welling L, Overmann J, Ney H. Pronunciation variants in the RWTH
    large vocabulary speech recognizer. lands.let5.kun.nl/pron-var/
125
    Mosshammer, A. & Houtepen, E. I&I Leve de smart card, nu nog even de randvoorwaarden,
    1995, INCLUDE Telematics project 1109.
126
    Gill J. New European Standards, on the Man-Machine Interface for Cards Systems, 1999, Royal
    National Institute for the Blind on behalf of Include.
127
    INCLUDE Telematics project 1109.
128
    VR World Congress. inf2.pira.co.uk/agenda12.htm
129
    www.infowin.org/ACTS/ANALYSYS/CONCERTATION/MULTIMEDIA/ECPUBL/ mcmec97f.htm
130
    examples: www.crg.cs.nott.ac.uk/resources/conf/old-conf.html (conferences that have already
    occurred), and: www.crg.cs.nott.ac.uk/resources/conf/ (conference information)


                  Final report      October 2000      page 161 of 166
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131
    www.cyber.rdg.ac.uk/P.Sharkey/WWW/ecdvrat/.
132
    Engelen, J. & Evenpoel, F. Producing web pages that everyone can access, 1999, Cost 219bis.
133
    www.ilsmh-ea.be/aldict.
134
    www.w3.org/WAI.
135
    Europa.eu.int/comm/information_society/eeurope/actionplan/actline2c_en.htm.
136
    Jan van Engelen and Filip Evenpoel (Eds). 1999. Producing web pages that everyone can
    access. A cost 219bis guidebook. www.stakes.fi/cost219/webdesign.
137
    Abledata: www.abledata.com, and Assistive Technology, Inc. : www.assistivetech.com/prod-
    index.htm.
138
    Klein&Melgert: www.kmdev.com.
139
    www.socialnet.lu/visioboard/
140
    www.coast-resources.com/eacces.htm.
141
    home.t-online.de/home/brailletec/print.htm.
142
    Duchateau. S et all. The Accessibility of the World Wide Web for visually impaired people, In:
    Bühler, C. & Knops, H. Assistive Technology on the Threshold of the New Millennium, 1999,
    pp34-38. IOS Press: Amsterdam.
143
    WAI, Web Accessibility Initiative: www.w3.org/wai.
144
    Hellström, G, Working towards International Standards for text telephony, Cost 219.
145
    www.xs4all.nl/~ruvis/.
146
    www.fix.nl.caption/default.html.
147
    Partouns, M. et al. Specifications of a service for relaying telephonic conversations for hearing
    impaired people. In: Bühler, C. & Knops, H. 1999. Assistive Technology on the Threshold of the
    New Millennium, p. 111-115. IOS Press: Amsterdam. See also: www.fix.nl.caption/default.html.
148
    INCLUDE Telematics project 1109.
149
    Brodin, J., Hellström, G., Lindström, J., Martin, M., Pereira, L. New ways of using video
    telephony, 1999, Cost 219 bis Guidebook.
150
    INCLUDE Telematics project 1109.
151
    www.benefon.com/products/rescuephone/more/index.html.
152
    Abledata: www.abledata.com.
153
    www-imt.unine.ch/liscom.
154                                                                  th
    European Commission. Synopsis of projects January 1999. 4 R&D Framewrok Programme
    (1994-1998). Telematics Applications Programme. Telematics for the Integration of the
    Disabled and Elderly. European Commission, DGXIII: Information Society:
    Telecommunications, Markets, technologies- Innovation and Exploitation of Research, pages
    98-99.
155
   : Klein&Melgert: www.kmdev.com.
156
    INCLUDE Telematics project 1109.
157
    home1.swipnet.se/~w-26961/awk.htm.
158
    Abledata: www.abledata.com.
159
    www.promi.es/htmlpages/web/isaeus.htm.
160
    FOCUS project.
161
   :www.tno.nl/M3S.
162
    INCLUDE Telematics project 1109.
163
    www.swt.iao.fhg.de/home.
164                                                                  th
    European Commission. Synopsis of projects January 1999. 4 R&D Framewrok Programme
    (1994-1998). Telematics Applications Programme. Telematics for the Integration of the
    Disabled and Elderly. European Commission, DGXIII: Information Society:
    Telecommunications, Markets, technologies- Innovation and Exploitation of Research, pages
    50-51.
165
    labnet.cnuce.cnr.it/mosaic.
166
    Verburg G, ea. Manus: the evolution of an assistive technology. Technology and Disability,
    Vol5.No2, September 1996, pp.217-228.
167
    Topping M. Handy1, a robotic aid to independance for severely disabled people. Technology
    and Disability, Vol5.No2, September 1996, pp. 233-235.
168
    Buhler C,.Robotics for Rehabilitation. Factors for Success from a European Perspective. FTB
    (1997). www.asel.udel.edu/robotics/newsletter/sprsum97/europe.html.
169
    eMarketer “Global Report”, July1999.
170
    Morgan Stanley Dean Witter. The European Internet Report, 1999.
171
    1998 Ten-Year Forecast, Institute for the Future, USA.
172
    On-line, The Guardian newspaper, UK, June 1999.


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173
    The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey, Future Technology in Japan Toward the Year 2025,
    National Institute of Science and Technology Policy and Science and Technology Agency,
    June 1997.
174
    OnLine, The Guardian newspaper, UK, November 1999
175
    The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey, Future Technology in Japan Toward the Year 2025,
    National Institute of Science and Technology Policy and Science and Technology Agency, June
    1997
176
    European Community Research & Development Information Service (Cordis) Focus no. 145,
    March 2000
177                                                      rd
    E-Finance page of The Guardian newspaper, UK, 3 December 1999
178
    The Emerging Digital Economy II, US Department of Commerce, June 1999
179
    National Institute of Science and Technology Policy and Science and Technology Agency. The
    Sixth Technology Forecast Survey, Future Technology in Japan Toward the Year 2025, ,
    June1997.
180
    www.bell-labs.com
181
    1998 Ten-Year Forecast, Institute for the Future, USA
182
    Dertouzos M, Director of the Laboratory for Computer Science at the Massachusetts Institute of
    Technology, Scientific American, August 1999.
183
    Advanced Air Interfaces, Alcatel Research Center, 1999. www-europe.alcatel.com
184
    Researchers Transmit a Trillion Bits of Error-free Over 250 Miles in a Second. www.bell-
    labs.com, February 1999
185
    Outcomes of national Foresight studies, reported in The Futures Project, Technology Map,
    Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, on behalf of the EC JRC, December 1999
186
    European Commission‟s green paper on a common approach in the field of mobile and
    personal communications in the European Community, 1994
187
    Research and Development in Ericsson, June 1999. www.ericsson.se
188
    The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey, Future Technology in Japan Toward the Year 2025,
    National Institute of Science and Technology Policy and Science and Technology Agency,
    June 1997
189                                                      th
    Focus magazine, DE, (Computer News section), 27 March 2000
190
    Working on Yet-to-be Products and Technologies, Bell Labs (Lucent Technologies), USA, 1998.
191                   nd                                                      rd
    Press release, 2 December 1999, reported in UK national newspapers 3 December 1999
192
    Development of Satellite and Terrestrial Digital Broadcasting Systems and Services and
    Implications for Education and Training, Telematics Study on
    www2.echo.lu/telematics/education
193
    www.webtc.net/
194
    Development of Satellite and Terrestrial Digital Broadcasting Systems and Services and
    Implications for Education and Training, Telematics Study on
    www2.echo.lu/telematics/education
195
    Personal Video Recorders will bring fundamental changes to television networks, Forrester
    Research press release, March 1999.
196                                                                            rd
    Erskine P, Managing Director, BTCellnet, UK, reported in The Guardian, 3 December 1999.
197
    www.bluetooth.com
198
    A Race Through Central Park, with all the comforts of Holmdel, Bell Labs.www.bell-labs.com
199
    Bell G, Senior Researcher at Microsoft Corp‟s Bay Area Research Center
200
    Dertouzos ML.The Future of Computing, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Scientific
    American, August 1999.
201
    Katashit Nagao, Yasurha Katsuna, Agent Augmented Community: Human-to-Human and
    Human-to-Environment Interactions Enhanced by Situation-Aware Personalized Mobile Agents,
    1998
202
    Bell Labs Researchers Develop a Natural Interface for Next Generation Phones, Bell Labs
    www.bell-labs.com
203
    RNIB: Royal National Institute for the Blind, London
204
    COST-219-bis: Telecommunications: access for disabled and elderly people
205
    Annual Discover Magazine Awards for Technical Innovation, New York, USA, June 1999
206
    The Guardian newspaper, UK, September 1999
207
    www.ist.cc
208
    Humphreys C, Professor of Materials Science at Cambridge University, UK
209
    Scientific American, Exploring Intelligence, Winter 1998
210
    1997 Ten-Year Forecast, Institute for the Future, USA


                  Final report      October 2000      page 163 of 166
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__________________________________________________________________________________________________



211
    Chehab N, Enzing CM (STB-TNO); sensor en Microsysteem technologie. Sterkte zwakte
    analyse. NLRO-Den Haag, The Netherlands 98/32
212
    Franck M. Fly-by-Wire Cars, EC RTD Info 23, September 1999
213
    The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey, Future Technology in Japan Toward the Year 2025,
    National Institute of Science and Technology Policy and Science and Technology Agency,
    June 1997
214
    Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, University of California for the US Dept. of Energy,
    www.llnl.gov
215
    European IST Prize Winners Archive, www.it-prize.org
216
    www.tracker.fi
217
    The REACT project (EU-Funded) uses scripts (showing particular environments where-in a
    communication takes place) for fast efficient communication. The efficiency of these scripts will
    be enhanced if automatically the particular environment is sensed and sets the type of the
    scripts.
The ELDIS project (EURIMUS programme) aims for a totally different type of tracing and tracking
    technology. The project includes also microsensors for physiological variables.
218
    Fokker Control Systems; Fokker Haptic Control System. Schiphol, Amsterdam, 2000
219
    The Guardian newspaper, UK. Small is Beautiful, November 1999.
220
    Moshen Shahinpoor; University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA
221
   The Futures Project, Technology Map, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, on behalf
    of the EC JRC December 1999
222
    Asby MF. Diagram of historical and projected development of materials categories, Cambridge
    University, UK
223
    The Futures Project, Technology Map, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, on behalf
    of the EC JRC December 1999
224
    Surveillance Mobile Robot, Industrial Research Institute for Automation and Measurements,
    Warazawa, Poland.
225
    Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, USA. www.sandai.gov/isrc/home.html
226
    www.wired.com, from Reuters report August 1998
227
    Universität Bonn, Institut f ű r I nformatick III. www.cs.uni-
    bonn.de/~rhino/tourguide/html/partners.html
228
    The Cog Shop, MIT Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Cambridge, MA, USA,
    www.ai.mit.edu/projects/cog/cog_shop_research.html
229
    www.robocup.org/games/321.html
230
    Kwee HH. Spartacus Project, Paris, France, 1975.
231
    MANUS, a robotic manipulator for persons with severe handicaps, iRv, 1999, The Netherlands.
232
    Moravec H. Carnegie Mellon University, USA in Scientific American Sept 1999
233
    Engineering Research Center in Computer-Integrated Surgical Systems and Technology, USA,
    reported in Scientific American November 1998
234
    Demeter Project, NASA Space Telerobotics Program,
    ranier.oact.hq.nasa.gov/telerobotics_page/projects.html
235
    The Futures Project, Technology Map, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, on behalf
    of the EC JRC December 1999
236
    The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey, Future Technology in Japan Toward the Year 2025,
    National Institute of Science and Technology Policy and Science and Technology Agency,
    June 1997
237
    Scientific American, Exploring Intelligence, Winter 1998
238
    The Futures Project, Technology Map, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, on behalf
    of the EC JRC, December 1999
239
    The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey, Future Technology in Japan Toward the Year 2025,
    National Institute of Science and Technology Policy and Science and Technology Agency,
    June 1997
240
    Analysis of national Foresight studies, reported in The Futures Project, Technology Map,
    Institute of Prospective Studies, on behalf of the EC JRC, December 1999.
241
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    www.nttc.edu/technews/tt.html, 9 May 2000




Final report                             October 2000                            page 164 of 166
                                 Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
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                  Final report      October 2000      page 165 of 166
Study on Technology Trends and Future Perspectives within Assistive Technology
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Final report                            October 2000                          page 166 of 166

						
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