Embed
Email

research life expect calc

Document Sample
research life expect calc
Shared by: HC111110185835
Categories
Tags
Stats
views:
0
posted:
11/10/2011
language:
English
pages:
42
Version Notes

1.0 Original

1.01 Fixed VBA code for explanations of results form

1.5 Added: mortality improvement, explanations of methods, new Social Security table (not that different from before), p

1.6 Looking at projection scale G

1.7 Implemented projection scale G, looking at calculation comparisons

1.8 Removed projection scale G stuff, explanation sheet wording edited, cleaning up VBA

1.8.1 Fixed text areas on "Printable Explanations" sheet and ExplanationForm user form

2.0 Switched out 2000 Soc. Sec. Table, replaced with 2010 table; explanations updated; input changed

able (not that different from before), printable explanations sheet









dated; input changed

Input Life expectanc

#NAME?

Number of

Mortality Improvement Future Years

#NAME?

Age: 55 Sex: F #NAME?

#NAME?

55 M #NAME?

#NAME?

Table source: Social Security 2010 tables with 1% morta









Explanation Printable Change

of Results Results Display



Click here for disclaimer



Created by Mary Pat Campbell, FSA, updated July 2010

ife expectancy

#NAME?

Probability of

Survival

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

ocial Security 2010 tables with 1% mortality improvement









Change

Mortality

Tables

Simple Life Expectancy Calculator



Results for an individual: The calculations presented in this tool are

intended for educational purposes, as most

Age: 55 Sex: Female

people do not have a good feel for how long they

may live in retirement. The calculations

presented are based on public mortality tables,

Mortality tables used: Social Security Calendar Year 2010 which were developed with certain populations in

Mortality improvement: 1% per year mind, and reflect probabilities based on averages

in large populations.

Life expectancy: #NAME?

An individual's survival probabilities are

Survival probabilities for set number of years dependent on factors such as family history,

Number of future years Probability of survival personal lifestyle (such as smoking or diet),

10 #NAME? existing disease (such as diabetes), and the like;

15 #NAME? one needs to take that into consideration when

20 #NAME? trying to consider how to use these numbers for

25 their own retirement planning.

#NAME?

30 #NAME? All probabilities and averages are computed

taking into account your age and sex, using the

Number of Future Years for set percentiles Social Security Calendar Year 2010 mortality

Number of future years Probability of survival table, with mortality rates assumed to decline by

#NAME? #NAME? 1% per year.

#NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME?



#NAME?



Description of Social Security Mortality Tables:

The Social Security 2010 tables are a calendar year mortality table for

the general U.S. population, reflecting mortality patterns by age and sex in

the year 2010. As these tables were developed with the entire U.S.

population in mind, the underlying numbers include people who have

severe disabilities and chronic disease; someone who is actively working

and in good health likely has better survival probabilities than the broad #NAME?

population. This table was developed in 2005 by the Office of the Chief

Actuary of the SSA, using mortality patterns and trends observed and Explanation of Mortality Improvement

projected. A mortality improvement option is provided for

extra conservatism in estimating life expectancy.

Description of Society of Actuaries Annuity-2000 Mortality Tables: Mortality rates do not remain static; with

improved medical treatment, improved safety

The Society of Actuaries Annuity-2000 table was developed from a regulations, improvement in lifestyles (most

population of people buying individual immediate annuities. Those who buy especially a reduction in smoking), probabilities

annuities tend to have longer life expectancies than the broad population; of death for a given age and sex tends to decline

an important reason for buying an annuity is to prevent outliving one's from year to year. According to the 2003

retirement savings, so those who are in ill health or have other reasons to Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods

believe they will not be long-lived generally do not buy annuities. As with for the Social Security Advisory Board, the U.S.

the Social Security tables, these tables are by age and sex and reflect population has seen about a 1% improvement in

mortality rates in the year 2000; also, there will have been some mortality mortality per year over the past 50 years. It is

improvement in the annuitant population since this table was published. difficult to project how mortality is likely to

improve in the future, as much depends on

breakthroughs yet to come, but it is prudent to

Click here for disclaimer assume some improvement in mortality when

Created by Mary Pat Campbell, FSA, updated July 2010 trying to plan for how long one's retirement

income needs to last.

Explanation of cals:

All probabilities and averages are computed taking into account your age and sex, using

The life expectancy is the average number of years until death.

Explanation of calcs for single: #NAME?

The ages and probabilities displayed indicate the probability of surviving to that many yea

#NAME?







All probabilities and averages are computed taking into account your ages and sexes, us

The life expectancy is the average number of years until the last death in the couple.

Explanation of calcs for Couple: #NAME?

The ages and probabilities displayed indicate the probability of at least one member of th

#NAME?





Table name: Social Security Calendar Year 2010

the Social Security Calendar Year 2010



Begin table source: Table source: Social Security 2010 tables

mortality improvement: 1%

mortality improvement phrase: with mortality rates assumed to decline by 1% per year

Table footnote: Table source: Social Security 2010 tables with 1% mortality improvement





Explanation of methods:

The calculations presented in this tool are intended for educational purposes, as most people do not have a good feel for how l

An individual's survival probabilities are dependent on factors such as family history, personal lifestyle (such as smoking or diet





Explanation of Social Security Table

The Social Security 2010 tables are a calendar year mortality table for the general U.S. population, reflecting mortality patterns

Source:

http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/NOTES/pdf_studies/study120.pdf



Explanation of Society of Actuaries Table

The Society of Actuaries Annuity-2000 table was developed from a population of people buying individual immediate annuities.

Source:

http://www.soa.org/library/research/transactions-reports-of-mortality-moribidity-and-experience/1990-99/1995/january/TSR9510

Explanation of mortality improvement:

A mortality improvement option is provided for extra conservatism in estimating life expectancy. Mortality rates do not remain st

Source:

http://www.ssab.gov/documents/mort.projection.ssab.pdf





Click here for disclaimer

Created by Mary Pat Campbell, FSA, 2007

account your age and sex, using the Social Security Calendar Year 2010 mortality table, with mortality rates assumed to decline by 1% per y





bility of surviving to that many years.









account your ages and sexes, using the Social Security Calendar Year 2010 mortality table, with mortality rates assumed to decline by 1% pe

the last death in the couple.



bility of at least one member of the couple surviving to that age.









ality improvement







do not have a good feel for how long they may live in retirement. The calculations presented are based on public mortality tables, which were

ifestyle (such as smoking or diet), existing disease (such as diabetes), and the like; one needs to take that into consideration when trying to







tion, reflecting mortality patterns by age and sex in the year 2010. As these tables were developed with the entire U.S. population in mind, th









g individual immediate annuities. Those who buy annuities tend to have longer life expectancies than the broad population; an important reas



/1990-99/1995/january/TSR9510.pdf



y. Mortality rates do not remain static; with improved medical treatment, improved safety regulations, improvement in lifestyles (most especia

ates assumed to decline by 1% per year.









ty rates assumed to decline by 1% per year.









on public mortality tables, which were developed with certain populations in mind, and reflect probabilities based on averages in large populat

hat into consideration when trying to consider how to use these numbers for their own retirement planning.







he entire U.S. population in mind, the underlying numbers include people who have severe disabilities and chronic disease; someone who is









broad population; an important reason for buying an annuity is to prevent outliving one's retirement savings, so those who are in ill health or







provement in lifestyles (most especially a reduction in smoking), probabilities of death for a given age and sex tends to decline from year to y

s based on averages in large populations.









nd chronic disease; someone who is actively working and in good health likely has better survival probabilities than the broad population. Th









ings, so those who are in ill health or have other reasons to believe they will not be long-lived generally do not buy annuities. As with the Soc







d sex tends to decline from year to year. According to the 2003 Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods for the Social Security Adviso

bilities than the broad population. This table was developed in 2005 by the Office of the Chief Actuary of the SSA, using mortality patterns an









do not buy annuities. As with the Social Security tables, these tables are by age and sex and reflect mortality rates in the year 2000; also, the







ethods for the Social Security Advisory Board, the U.S. population has seen about a 1% improvement in mortality per year over the past 50 y

the SSA, using mortality patterns and trends observed and projected.









tality rates in the year 2000; also, there will have been some mortality improvement in the annuitant population since this table was published







mortality per year over the past 50 years. It is difficult to project how mortality is likely to improve in the future, as much depends on breakthr

ulation since this table was published.







uture, as much depends on breakthroughs yet to come, but it is prudent to assume some improvement in mortality when trying to plan for ho

in mortality when trying to plan for how long one's retirement income needs to last.

setback setback

years months Table set ss



Male mortality

table: SSM 0 0



Female

mortality table: SSF 0 0

Type Assumption

Interpolation

choice: lin linear uniform distribution of deaths

exponentialconstant force of mortality

Show: pct harmonic hyperbolic; Balducci's assumption

Percentiles to

show: 1 2 3 4 5

50% 60% 70% 80% 90%



Years to

show: 1 2 3 4 5

individual 10 15 20 25 30

couple 10 15 20 25 30

stribution of deaths

orce of mortality

c; Balducci's assumption

Couple? FALSE TRUE

person1 in range 1.00%

mortality improvement rate

2nd entered? TRUE TRUE

person2 in range improvement

projected future1.00%

Person 1 Person2

Year Age Qx

mort improvement factor

S(x) Age Qy S(y)

mort improvement factor

0 55 0.01 #NAME? 1 0

1 56 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

2 57 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

3 58 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

4 59 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

5 60 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

6 61 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

7 62 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

8 63 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

9 64 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

10 65 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

11 66 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

12 67 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

13 68 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

14 69 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

15 70 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

16 71 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

17 72 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

18 73 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

19 74 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

20 75 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

21 76 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

22 77 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

23 78 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

24 79 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

25 80 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

26 81 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

27 82 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

28 83 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

29 84 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

30 85 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

31 86 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

32 87 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

33 88 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

34 89 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

35 90 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

36 91 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

37 92 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

38 93 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

39 94 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

40 95 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

41 96 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

42 97 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

43 98 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

44 99 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

45 100 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

46 101 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

47 102 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

48 103 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

49 104 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

50 105 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

51 106 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

52 107 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

53 108 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

54 109 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

55 110 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

56 111 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

57 112 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

58 113 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

59 114 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

60 115 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

61 116 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

62 117 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

63 118 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

64 119 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

65 120 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

66 121 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

67 122 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

68 123 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

69 124 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

70 125 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

71 126 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

72 127 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

73 128 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

74 129 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

75 130 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

76 131 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

77 132 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

78 133 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

79 134 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

80 135 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

81 136 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

82 137 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

83 138 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

84 139 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

85 140 0.01 #NAME? #NAME? 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

#NAME?

life expectancy: Percentiles prob prob

where occurs

0.5 0.5 0 1

S(x,y) death prob S-bar(x,y) e-circle bit 0.6 0.4 0 1

0 0 1 #NAME? 0.7 0.3 0 1

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 0.8 0.2 0 1

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 0.9 0.1 0 1

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? Years survival prob

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 10 #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 15 #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 20 #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 25 #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 30 #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? future yearsDisplay? Display current option?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 65 TRUE #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 70 TRUE #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 75 TRUE #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 80 TRUE #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 85 TRUE #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? Display?

future percentile

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

0 1 0 #NAME?

prob next actually where

#NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME?

#NAME? #NAME?









Display current option?

Min age: 0363 0364 0373 SSM

5 A-2000 Male A-2000 Female A-2000 MGM Soc. Sec. 2010-Male

Max age: 5 0.000291 0.000171 0.000232533 0.00016

95 6 0.000270 0.000141 0.000207145 0.00015

7 0.000257 0.000118 0.000189268 0.00014

Number Table name 8 0.000294 0.000118 0.000208232 0.00012

0363 A-2000 Male 9 0.000325 0.000121 0.000225578 0.0001

0364 A-2000 Female 10 0.000350 0.000126 0.000240819 0.00009

0373 A-2000 MGM 11 0.000371 0.000133 0.000254982 0.0001

SSM Soc. Sec. 2010-Male 12 0.000388 0.000142 0.000268068 0.00015

SSF Soc. Sec. 2010-Female 13 0.000402 0.000152 0.000280102 0.00025

14 0.000414 0.000164 0.000292087 0.0004

15 0.000425 0.000177 0.000304047 0.00056

16 0.000437 0.000190 0.000316519 0.00071

17 0.000449 0.000204 0.000329479 0.00084

18 0.000463 0.000219 0.000343952 0.00095

19 0.000480 0.000234 0.000359962 0.00104

20 0.000499 0.000250 0.000377482 0.00113

21 0.000519 0.000265 0.000395026 0.00121

22 0.000542 0.000281 0.000414593 0.00126

23 0.000566 0.000298 0.000435159 0.00125

24 0.000592 0.000314 0.000456258 0.0012

25 0.000616 0.000331 0.00047682 0.00114

26 0.000639 0.000347 0.000496381 0.00109

27 0.000659 0.000362 0.000513917 0.00106

28 0.000675 0.000376 0.000528918 0.00107

29 0.000687 0.000389 0.000541384 0.00111

30 0.000694 0.000402 0.000551294 0.00116

31 0.000699 0.000414 0.000559695 0.00121

32 0.000700 0.000425 0.000565563 0.00128

33 0.000701 0.000436 0.000571433 0.00137

34 0.000702 0.000449 0.000578284 0.00148

35 0.000704 0.000463 0.000586136 0.0016

36 0.000719 0.000481 0.000602589 0.00174

37 0.000749 0.000504 0.000629151 0.00189

38 0.000796 0.000532 0.00066684 0.00206

39 0.000864 0.000567 0.000718676 0.00224

40 0.000953 0.000609 0.000784653 0.00244

41 0.001065 0.000658 0.000865787 0.00264

42 0.001201 0.000715 0.000963069 0.00286

43 0.001362 0.000781 0.001077489 0.0031

44 0.001547 0.000855 0.001208033 0.00335

45 0.001752 0.000939 0.001353622 0.00363

46 0.001974 0.001035 0.00151369 0.00392

47 0.002211 0.001141 0.00168622 0.00418

48 0.002460 0.001261 0.001871632 0.00438

49 0.002721 0.001393 0.00206893 0.00457

50 0.002994 0.001538 0.002278596 0.00478

51 0.003279 0.001695 0.002500126 0.00504

52 0.003576 0.001864 0.002733507 0.00538

53 0.003884 0.002047 0.002979205 0.0058

54 0.004203 0.002244 0.003237213 0.00632

55 0.004534 0.002457 0.003509019 0.00691

56 0.004876 0.002689 0.003795595 0.00757

57 0.005228 0.002942 0.004097434 0.00828

58 0.005593 0.003218 0.004417055 0.00906

59 0.005988 0.003523 0.004766023 0.00991

60 0.006428 0.003863 0.005154862 0.01086

61 0.006933 0.004242 0.005595587 0.01192

62 0.007520 0.004668 0.006100641 0.01311

63 0.008207 0.005144 0.006680435 0.01444

64 0.009008 0.005671 0.007342305 0.0159

65 0.009940 0.006250 0.008095 0.01753

66 0.011016 0.006878 0.008943152 0.01932

67 0.012251 0.007555 0.009893731 0.02122

68 0.013657 0.008287 0.010955033 0.02323

69 0.015233 0.009102 0.012139807 0.02538

70 0.016979 0.010034 0.013464355 0.02785

71 0.018891 0.011117 0.014943145 0.03059

72 0.020967 0.012386 0.016592402 0.03343

73 0.023209 0.013871 0.01842812 0.03633

74 0.025644 0.015592 0.020473672 0.03942

75 0.028304 0.017564 0.022752263 0.04299

76 0.031220 0.019805 0.025288014 0.04715

77 0.034425 0.022328 0.028103239 0.05184

78 0.037948 0.025158 0.031224368 0.05711

79 0.041812 0.028341 0.034686025 0.06305

80 0.046037 0.031933 0.038527137 0.06978

81 0.050643 0.035985 0.042784624 0.07738

82 0.055651 0.040552 0.047498695 0.08596

83 0.061080 0.045690 0.052709976 0.09557

84 0.066948 0.051456 0.058460064 0.10625

85 0.073275 0.057913 0.064795678 0.118

86 0.080076 0.065119 0.071759466 0.13083

87 0.087370 0.073136 0.079398857 0.14473

88 0.095169 0.081991 0.08773902 0.15973

89 0.103455 0.091577 0.096715785 0.17584

90 0.112208 0.101758 0.106245258 0.19307

91 0.121402 0.112395 0.116236827 0.21141

92 0.131017 0.123349 0.126600577 0.23086

93 0.141030 0.134486 0.137246919 0.25138

94 0.151422 0.145689 0.148097151 0.27296

95 0.162179 0.156846 0.159077388 0.29443

96 0.173279 0.167841 0.170107929 0.31547

97 0.184706 0.178563 0.181114036 0.33577

98 0.196946 0.189604 0.192639577 0.35496

99 0.210484 0.201557 0.205228214 0.37271

100 0.225806 0.215013 0.219422251 0.39134

101 0.243398 0.230565 0.235764775 0.41091

102 0.263745 0.248805 0.254798042 0.43146

103 0.287334 0.270326 0.277066689 0.45303

104 0.314649 0.295719 0.303114873 0.47568

105 0.346177 0.325576 0.333491512 0.49947

106 0.382403 0.360491 0.368749995 0.52444

107 0.423813 0.401054 0.409446709 0.55066

108 0.470893 0.447860 0.456147124 0.57819

109 0.524128 0.501498 0.509419364 0.6071

110 0.584004 0.562563 0.569843148 0.63746

111 0.651007 0.631645 0.638002812 0.66933

112 0.725622 0.709338 0.714493017 0.7028

113 0.808336 0.796233 0.799915092 0.73794

114 0.899633 0.892923 0.894878466 0.77483

115 1.000000 1.000000 1 0.81358

116 1.000000 1.000000 1 0.85425

117 1.000000 1.000000 1 0.89697

118 1.000000 1.000000 1 0.94182

119 1.000000 1.000000 1 0.98891

120 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

121 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

122 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

123 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

124 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

125 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

126 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

127 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

128 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

129 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

130 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

131 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

132 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

133 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

134 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

135 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

136 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

137 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

138 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

139 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

140 1.000000 1.000000 1 1.000000

SSF

Soc. Sec. 2010-Female

0.00012

0.00012

0.00012

0.00011

0.0001

0.0001

0.0001

0.00012

0.00016

0.00021

0.00028

0.00034

0.00038

0.0004

0.0004

0.00041

0.00041

0.00042

0.00043

0.00044

0.00045

0.00046

0.00049

0.00052

0.00055

0.0006

0.00064

0.0007

0.00077

0.00086

0.00094

0.00104

0.00113

0.00124

0.00134

0.00146

0.00158

0.00169

0.0018

0.0019

0.00201

0.00214

0.00229

0.00244

0.00261

0.00281

0.00304

0.00332

0.00365

0.00403

0.00447

0.00495

0.00547

0.00604

0.00666

0.00734

0.00811

0.00895

0.00987

0.01088

0.01201

0.01325

0.01456

0.01594

0.01742

0.01912

0.02103

0.02303

0.02511

0.02736

0.02998

0.03305

0.03649

0.04031

0.04462

0.04965

0.05542

0.06182

0.06888

0.07674

0.08559

0.09561

0.10691

0.11955

0.13354

0.14886

0.16549

0.18337

0.20245

0.22268

0.24316

0.26357

0.28359

0.30287

0.32105

0.34031

0.36073

0.38237

0.40531

0.42963

0.45541

0.48274

0.5117

0.5424

0.57495

0.60944

0.64601

0.68477

0.72585

0.76941

0.81358

0.85425

0.89697

0.94182

0.98891

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

1.000000

Table name:

Table number:

Table type:

Usage:

Contributor:

Country:

Source of data:

Volume of data:







Observation period:

Unit of observation:

Construction method:









Published reference:

Comments:



Minimum age:

Maximum age:

Number of decimal places:

Table values:

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

66

67

68

69

70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

100

101

102

103

104

105

106

107

108

109

110

111

112

113

114

115

104

105

106

107

108

109

110

111

112

113

114

115

1983 US IAM Basic, Male

824

Aggregate

Annuitant mortality

Roger Scott Lumsden 75147,2620

US

SOA Intercompany study on individual annuities and settlement options

Male+Female there were exposures of 612,356 contract years and $547 million annual income years

Deaths of 35,000 contract years for $25.6 million annual income years

TSA 1979 Reports pp 120-219 attempt to explain the volume,

as a rough guess, it's 2/3 female

1971 to 1976

Annual Income

1973 Basic experience projected 9.5 years.

Scale for projection I called Scale F (p 693)

Then a Jenkins smoothing and a cubic to close.

The official table runs from ages 5+, unofficial extension

values for ages 0-4 were added by R.S.Lumsden

using the standard extension of a-1949 as a base.

TSA XXXIII, pp 695

Experience table underlying 1983 IAM before 10% margin.

IAM stands for Individual Annuity Mortality

0

115

6

values for ages 0-4 were added by R.S.Lumsden

0.002988

0.001172

0.000652

0.000528

0.000462

0.000419

0.000389

0.000370

0.000391

0.000409

0.000424

0.000438

0.000450

0.000461

0.000472

0.000483

0.000495

0.000508

0.000523

0.000540

0.000559

0.000581

0.000605

0.000632

0.000661

0.000692

0.000724

0.000756

0.000788

0.000819

0.000850

0.000881

0.000913

0.000945

0.000980

0.001023

0.001077

0.001146

0.001232

0.001341

0.001476

0.001641

0.001842

0.002079

0.002352

0.002657

0.002988

0.003343

0.003718

0.004110

0.004518

0.004938

0.005370

0.005811

0.006260

0.006718

0.007184

0.007658

0.008146

0.008671

0.009266

0.009961

0.010787

0.011769

0.012920

0.014248

0.015761

0.017467

0.019373

0.021486

0.023810

0.026353

0.029120

0.032123

0.035398

0.038986

0.042930

0.047272

0.052054

0.057325

0.063132

0.069523

0.076547

0.084229

0.092498

0.101261

0.110424

0.119894

0.129609

0.139643

0.150099

0.161082

0.172699

0.185049

0.198219

0.212291

0.227346

0.243467

0.260903

0.279903

0.300716

0.323592

0.348780

0.376529

0.407088

0.440707

0.477634

0.518120

0.562412

0.610760

0.663417

0.720626

0.782640

0.849708

0.922077

1.000000

0.372086

0.405278

0.442277

0.483406

0.528989

0.579351

0.634814

0.695704

0.762343

0.835056

0.914167

1.000000

Table name: 1996 US Annuity 2000 Basic, Male

Table number: 885

Table type: Aggregate

Usage: Annuitant mortality

Contributor: Robert Johansen, FSA

Country: US

Construction method: 1983 IAM Basic experience projected 17 years on quin ages 7+

nnual income years Scale for projection is Scale G Male.

Then a Jenkins smoothing and a cubic to close from 95+

The calculated mortality rates were adjusted to

remove a small dip in the mortality rates in ages 33-35.

The official table runs from ages 5+, unofficial extension

values for ages 0-4 were added by R.S.Lumsden

using the standard extension of a-1949 as a base.

Published reference: TSA XLVII, pp 236-249

NAIC Life and Health Actuarial Subscription - Sept 1996, Attachment 7

Minimum age: 0

Maximum age: 115

Number of decimal places: 6

Table values: Scale G male

1983 IAM Basic Male projected

0 0.002311 0 0.002988 0.0150 0.002311

1 0.000906 1 0.001172 0.0150 0.000906

2 0.000504 2 0.000652 0.0150 0.000504

3 0.000408 3 0.000528 0.0150 0.000408

4 0.000357 4 0.000462 0.0150 0.000357

5 0.000324 5 0.000419 0.0150 0.000324

6 0.000301 6 0.000389 0.0150 0.000301

7 0.000286 7 0.000370 0.0150 0.000286

8 0.000328 8 0.000391 0.0125 0.000316

9 0.000362 9 0.000409 0.0100 0.000345

10 0.000390 10 0.000424 0.0075 0.000373

11 0.000413 11 0.000438 0.0050 0.000402

12 0.000431 12 0.000450 0.0025 0.000431

13 0.000446 13 0.000461 0.0024 0.000443

14 0.000458 14 0.000472 0.0023 0.000454

15 0.000470 15 0.000483 0.0022 0.000465

16 0.000481 16 0.000495 0.0021 0.000478

17 0.000495 17 0.000508 0.0020 0.000491

18 0.000510 18 0.000523 0.0018 0.000507

19 0.000528 19 0.000540 0.0016 0.000525

20 0.000549 20 0.000559 0.0014 0.000546

21 0.000573 21 0.000581 0.0012 0.000569

22 0.000599 22 0.000605 0.0010 0.000595

23 0.000627 23 0.000632 0.0010 0.000621

24 0.000657 24 0.000661 0.0010 0.00065

25 0.000686 25 0.000692 0.0010 0.00068

26 0.000714 26 0.000724 0.0010 0.000712

27 0.000738 27 0.000756 0.0010 0.000743

28 0.000758 28 0.000788 0.0023 0.000758

29 0.000774 29 0.000819 0.0036 0.00077

30 0.000784 30 0.000850 0.0049 0.000782

31 0.000789 31 0.000881 0.0062 0.000793

32 0.000789 32 0.000913 0.0075 0.000803

33 0.000790 33 0.000945 0.0100 0.000797

34 0.000791 34 0.000980 0.0125 0.000791

35 0.000792 35 0.001023 0.0150 0.000791

36 0.000794 36 0.001077 0.0175 0.000798

37 0.000823 37 0.001146 0.0200 0.000813

38 0.000872 38 0.001232 0.0200 0.000874

39 0.000945 39 0.001341 0.0200 0.000951

40 0.001043 40 0.001476 0.0200 0.001047

41 0.001168 41 0.001641 0.0200 0.001164

42 0.001322 42 0.001842 0.0200 0.001307

43 0.001505 43 0.002079 0.0195 0.001488

44 0.001715 44 0.002352 0.0190 0.001698

45 0.001948 45 0.002657 0.0185 0.001934

46 0.002198 46 0.002988 0.0180 0.002194

47 0.002463 47 0.003343 0.0175 0.002476

48 0.002740 48 0.003718 0.0175 0.002754

49 0.003028 49 0.004110 0.0175 0.003044

50 0.003330 50 0.004518 0.0175 0.003347

51 0.003647 51 0.004938 0.0175 0.003658

52 0.003980 52 0.005370 0.0175 0.003978

53 0.004331 53 0.005811 0.0170 0.004342

54 0.004698 54 0.006260 0.0165 0.004718

55 0.005077 55 0.006718 0.0160 0.005107

56 0.005465 56 0.007184 0.0155 0.005509

57 0.005861 57 0.007658 0.0150 0.005923

58 0.006265 58 0.008146 0.0150 0.0063

59 0.006694 59 0.008671 0.0150 0.006706

60 0.007170 60 0.009266 0.0150 0.007167

61 0.007714 61 0.009961 0.0150 0.007704

62 0.008348 62 0.010787 0.0150 0.008343

63 0.009093 63 0.011769 0.0150 0.009102

64 0.009968 64 0.012920 0.0150 0.009993

65 0.010993 65 0.014248 0.0150 0.01102

66 0.012188 66 0.015761 0.0150 0.01219

67 0.013572 67 0.017467 0.0150 0.013509

68 0.015160 68 0.019373 0.0145 0.015113

69 0.016946 69 0.021486 0.0140 0.016907

70 0.018920 70 0.023810 0.0135 0.018898

71 0.021071 71 0.026353 0.0130 0.021097

72 0.023388 72 0.029120 0.0125 0.023514

73 0.025871 73 0.032123 0.0125 0.025939

74 0.028552 74 0.035398 0.0125 0.028583

75 0.031477 75 0.038986 0.0125 0.03148

76 0.034686 76 0.042930 0.0125 0.034665

77 0.038225 77 0.047272 0.0125 0.038171

78 0.042132 78 0.052054 0.0125 0.042032

79 0.046427 79 0.057325 0.0125 0.046289

80 0.051128 80 0.063132 0.0125 0.050978

81 0.056250 81 0.069523 0.0125 0.056138

82 0.061809 82 0.076547 0.0125 0.06181

83 0.067826 83 0.084229 0.0125 0.068013

84 0.074322 84 0.092498 0.0125 0.07469

85 0.081326 85 0.101261 0.0125 0.081766

86 0.088863 86 0.110424 0.0125 0.089165

87 0.096958 87 0.119894 0.0125 0.096812

88 0.105631 88 0.129609 0.0120 0.105561

89 0.114858 89 0.139643 0.0115 0.114716

90 0.124612 90 0.150099 0.0110 0.12437

91 0.134861 91 0.161082 0.0105 0.134622

92 0.145575 92 0.172699 0.0100 0.145575

93 0.156727 93 0.185049 0.0100 0.155986

94 0.168290 94 0.198219 0.0100 0.167087

95 0.180245 95 0.212291 0.0100 0.178949

96 0.192565 96 0.227346 0.0100 0.19164

97 0.205229 97 0.243467 0.0100 0.205229

98 0.218683 98 0.260903 0.0080 0.227603

99 0.233371 99 0.279903 0.0060 0.252683

100 0.249741 100 0.300716 0.0040 0.280909

101 0.268237 101 0.323592 0.0020 0.312764

102 0.289305 102 0.348780 0.0000 0.34878

103 0.313391 103 0.376529 0.0000 0.376529

104 0.340940 104 0.407088 0.0000 0.407088

105 0.372398 105 0.440707 0.0000 0.440707

106 0.408210 106 0.477634 0.0000 0.477634

107 0.448823 107 0.518120 0.0000 0.51812

108 0.494681 108 0.562412 0.0000 0.562412

109 0.546231 109 0.610760 0.0000 0.61076

110 0.603917 110 0.663417 0.0000 0.663417

111 0.668186 111 0.720626 0.0000 0.720626

112 0.739483 112 0.782640 0.0000 0.78264

113 0.818254 113 0.849708 0.0000 0.849708

114 0.904945 114 0.922077 0.0000 0.922077

115 1.000000 115 1.000000 0.0000 1

difference

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000012

0.000017

0.000017

0.000011

0.000000

0.000003

0.000004

0.000005

0.000003

0.000004

0.000003

0.000003

0.000003

0.000004

0.000004

0.000006

0.000007

0.000006

0.000002

-0.000005

0.000000

0.000004

0.000002

-0.000004

-0.000014

-0.000007

0.000000

0.000001

-0.000004

0.000010

-0.000002

-0.000006

-0.000004

0.000004

0.000015

0.000017

0.000017

0.000014

0.000004

-0.000013

-0.000014

-0.000016

-0.000017

-0.000011

0.000002

-0.000011

-0.000020

-0.000030

-0.000044

-0.000062

-0.000035

-0.000012

0.000003

0.000010

0.000005

-0.000009

-0.000025

-0.000027

-0.000002

0.000063

0.000047

0.000039

0.000022

-0.000026

-0.000126

-0.000068

-0.000031

-0.000003

0.000021

0.000054

0.000100

0.000138

0.000150

0.000112

-0.000001

-0.000187

-0.000368

-0.000440

-0.000302

0.000146

0.000070

0.000142

0.000242

0.000239

0.000000

0.000741

0.001203

0.001296

0.000925

0.000000

-0.008920

-0.019312

-0.031168

-0.044527

-0.059475

-0.063138

-0.066148

-0.068309

-0.069424

-0.069297

-0.067731

-0.064529

-0.059500

-0.052440

-0.043157

-0.031454

-0.017132

0.000000


Related docs
Other docs by HC111110185835
libraryitems
Views: 5  |  Downloads: 0
mgmtbooks
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
lectures_list
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
Proposal
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
SKILLSOFT 20LEADERSHIP 20CHANNEL 20VIDEOS
Views: 4  |  Downloads: 0
ForumArchives
Views: 2  |  Downloads: 0
Script_Sales_June
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
bone msg
Views: 12  |  Downloads: 0
philosophy
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
Peers 20Resources 20FY05 20Revised 209 1 05
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
By registering with docstoc.com you agree to our
privacy policy

You are almost ready to download!

You are almost ready to download!