PREMIUM GROWTH

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“GENERAL INSURANCE CONCLAVE” FICCI – KOLKATA – 29.5.2008 ********* PRESENTATION BY M. RAMADOSS CHAIRMAN-CUM-MANAGING DIRECTOR ORIENTAL INSURANCE COMPANY LIMITED TOTAL GROSS PREMIUM 1997 (Rs. In crores) PSU PVT. TOTAL PSU 2002 (Rs. In crores) PVT. TOTAL PSU 2008 (Rs. In crores) PVT. TOTAL 6734 - 6734 8749 1091 8854 16899 11231 28131 BUSINESS FIGURES 2001-02 & 2006-07 DEPTT. PSU INSURERS GROSS PREMIUM (RS. IN CRORES) PRIVATE INSURERS GROSS PREMIUM (RS. IN CRORES) NET PREMIUM (RS. IN CRORES) NET PREMIUM (RS. IN CRORES) FIRE 2001-02 2006-07 2771 2883 1999 2188 139 1525 9 341 MARINE 2001-02 2006-07 1044 1205 8103 609 553 6137 17 489 199 7 217 93 MISC. 2001-02 2006-07 TOTAL 2001-02 2006-07 13195 11918 17283 10276 8745 13017 6631 355 8645 4191 109 4749 BUSINESS FIGURES – 2001-2002 & 2006-2007 DEPTT. PSU INSURERS GROSS PREMIUM 2001-02 (RS.IN CRORES) PRIVATE INSURERS GROSS PREMIUM 2001-02 (RS.IN CRORES) 2006-07 (RS.IN CRORES) 2006-07 (RS.IN CRORES) FIRE MARINE 2771 1044 2883 1205 139 17 1525 489 MOTOR HEALTH 4368 457 7377 2159 81 19 3703 1141 MISC. TOTAL 3278 11918 3659 17283 99 355 1787 8645 PUBLIC SECTOR TRAILING PRIVATE SECTOR IN HIGH GROWTH PRODUCT LINES LINE OF BUSINESS % OF MARKET 2007 CAGRPSU2003- 2007 CAGRPRIVATE 2003- 2007 CAGR – MARKET 2003-2007 FIRE MARINE(CARGO) 17% 4% 1% -2% 37% 41% 9% 5% MARINE HULL ENGINEERING MOTOR HEALTH 3% 5% 43% 13% 4% 8% 8% 20% 123% 53% 76% 111% 11% 20% 18% 34% AVIATION LIABILITY PERSONAL ACCIDENT ALL OTHERS TOTAL 2% 2% 2% 10% 100% 1% 22% 15% 3% 7% 71% 42% 53% 38% 59% 4% 30% 27% 7% 16% OVERVIEW OF THE MARKET & CHALLENGES FACED BY PUBLIC SECTOR GROWTH OF PREMIUM IN THEMARKET R s. '000 C r.s. '))) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 25 18 14 Key changes in the market 1. Many products detariffed, other products to get detariffed. 9 11 20 % 35% P rivate P layers P ublic P layers 2.Regulatory changes 3Segment focused players entering 4Many product innovations in the market 5. Private players taking large market. PREMIUM GROWTH WHEREAS THE GROSS DIRECT PREMIUM OF GENERAL INSURANCE INDUSTRY HAS GONE UP BY Rs.2000 CRORES FROM 1997 TO 2000, IT HAS GROWN BY AROUND Rs. 20000 CRORES IN THE PERIOD BETWEEN 2002-08 THEREBY UNDERLINING HUGE EXPANSION OF THE MARKET AFTER LIBERALISATION. PREMIUM GROWTH (FIRE)  IN THE PERIOD, 2002-07, FIRE PREMIUM HAS GROWN BY Rs.1500 CRORES OUT OF WHICH Rs.1200 CRORES IN GROSS PREMIUM GOES TO PRIVATE SECTOR AND ONLY Rs.200 CRORES HAS ACCRUED TO PSU COMPANIES. HOWEVER, OUT OF THIS HUGE GROWTH IN GROSS FIRE PREMIUM IN PRIVATE SECTOR , THE NET PREMIUM HAS GROWN ONLY AROUND Rs.330 CRORES AS AGAINST THE GROWTH OF Rs.189 CRORES IN PSUs.  THIS DENOTES THE GROWTH OF FIRE PREMIUM IN PRIVATE SECTOR ON THE BACK OF PREDOMINENTLY REINSURANCE SUPPORT. PREMIUM GROWTH (MARINE)  MARINE INSURANCE HAS GROWN BY Rs.633 CRORES IN THIS PERIOD OUT OF WHICH Rs. 472 CRORES IS CORNERED BY PRIVATE INSURANCE COMPANIES WHILE ONLY Rs.161 CRORES HAS ACCRUED TO PSUs. THE NET PREMIUM INCOME OF PRIVATE SECTOR HAS GONE UP BY Rs.210 CRORES WHEREAS PSUs NET MARINE PREMIUM HAS GONE DOWN BY Rs.56 CRORES THEREBY DENOTING THAT PSUs GROWTH HAS COME PROBABLY IN MARINE (HULL) WITH HEAVY REINSURANCE BACKING AND THE PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH HAS COME MOSTLY IN CARGO INSURANCE. PREMIUM GROWTH (MISC.)  THE PREDOMINENT GROWTH OF INSURANCE INDUSTRY HAS COME MAINLY DUE TO MISCELLANEOUS DEPARTMENT PARTICULARLY DUE TO EXPONENTIAL GROWTH IN MOTOR AND HEALTH INSURANCE SEGMENTS. OUT OF THE TOTAL GROSS PREMIUM GROWTH OF AROUND Rs.11500 CRORES, Rs.6400 CRORES HAS GONE TO PRIVATE SECTOR AND Rs.5100 CRORES HAS GONE TO PUBLIC SECTOR.  THE TOTAL MOTOR INSURANCE PREMIUM HAS GROWN BY AROUND RS.7000 CRORES IN THIS PERIOD BETWEEN 2002-07 OUT OF WHICH Rs.3300 CRORES HAS GONE TO PSU INSURERS AND ANOTHER Rs.3700 CRORES HAS GONE TO PRIVATE SECTOR. THUS THE RATE OF GROWTH OF PRIVATE SECTOR IN MOTOR SEGMENT HAS BEEN PHENOMENAL AS COMPARED TO PSUs.  WHEREAS THE HEALTH INSURANCE HAS GROWN BY Rs.3800 CRORES IN THIS 5 YEARS PERIOD, Rs.1700 HAS ACCRUED TO PSUs AND Rs.1100 CRORES HAS ACCRUED TO PRIVATE INSURERS. PENETRATION OF FINANCIAL SERVICES AS A % OF GDP INSURANCE PENETRATION  THE TREMENDOUS GROWTH OF OTHER FINANCIAL SECTORS IS DEPICTED IN THE PREVIOUS SLIDE . GENERAL INSURANCE HAS DONE POORLY COMPARED TO LIFE INSURANCE AS WELL AS THE GROWTH IN OTHER FINANCIAL SECTORS.  INSURANCE PENETRATION HAS INCREASED FROM 0.56% TO 0.60% IN THE 5 YEARS PERIOD DESPITE THE GLOBAL NUMBERS INCREASING MUCH FASTER. INCURRED CLAIMS RATIO IN 2001-02 S.NO. SEGMENT PSU INSURERS INCURRED CLAIMS (IN CRORES) PVT INSURERS INCURRED CLAIMS (IN CRORES) TOTAL (IN CRORES) % TO NET PREMIUM % TO NET PREMIUM 1 2 FIRE MARINE 3. MISC. TOTAL 932 365 6591 7888 47 60 107 90 3 3 37 42 31 37 40 39 1868 358 6628 7931 INCURRED CLAIMS RATIO IN 2006-2007 S.NO. SEGMENT PSU INSURERS PVT INSURERS TOTAL (IN CRORES) INCURRED CLAIMS (IN CRORES) % TO NET PREMIUM INCURRED CLAIMS (IN CRORES) % TO NET PREMIUM 1 2 3. FIRE MARINE MISC. TOTAL 1241 428 8870 10539 56.7 77.4 86.3 81.0 140 138 2224 2503 41.3 97.2 53.1 53.6 1381 566 11094 13041 UNDERWRITING LOSSES INSURERS 2001-2002 % OF PREMIUM U/W PROFIT/ LOSS (IN CRORES) 2006-07 % OF PREMIUM U/W PROFIT / LOSS (IN CRORES) % OF PREMIUM % OF PREMIUM PSU INSURERS - 450 -127 -577 -5 % -117 % -7 % 1396 162 1558 10.7 % 3.5 % 8.8% PRIVATE INSURERS TOTAL CLAIMS RATIO  THE FIRE INSURANCE LOSS RATIO HAS DETERIORATED OVER THE 5 YEARS FOR BOTH PRIVATE AS WELL AS PUBLIC SECTOR INSURERS.  MARINE LOSS RATIO HAS DETERIORATED SUBSTANTIALLY FOR PRIVATE SECTOR INSURERS AND PSUs BY 17%.  UNEXPECTEDLY, THE MISCELLANEOUS PORTFOLIO LOSS RATIO HAD IMPROVED FOR PSUs AS WELL AS PRIVATE SECTOR.  HENCE THE TOTAL UNDERWRITING LOSS OF THE INDUSTRY WHICH WAS AROUND Rs.577 CRORES AFTER ACCOUNTING FOR INVESTMENT INCOME HAD BECOME THE PROFIT OF Rs.1558 CRORES IN THE YEAR 2006-07.  THIS ONLY INDICATES THAT THE TREMENDOUS GROWTH IN THE INSURANCE INDUSTRY HAS COME WITH IMPROVED UNDERWRITING PROFITS. REASONS FOR PHENOMENAL GROWTH  MORE PLAYERS  GOOD ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN THE COUNTRY IN THE LAST 5 YEARS.  GROWTH IN MOTOR VEHICLES AND INCREASED AWARENESS OF HEALTH INSURANCE.  GROWTH OF NEW INTERMEDIARIES LIKE AGENTS, BROKERS, BANCASSURANCE CORPORATE  FREQUENCY OF AOG PERILS LIKE FLOOD, EARTHQUAKE CREATING INSURANCE AWARENESS. WHAT MORE COULD BE DONE TO FACILITATE FURTHER GROWTH  TAX BREAKS LIKE REMOVAL OF SERVICE TAX ON HEALTH INSURANCE / PA POLICIES  MORE ENCOURAGEMENT TO THE GROWTH OF INDIVIDUAL AGENTS INCLUDING REMOVAL OF SEALING ON COMMISSION.  FREEDOM OF POLICY DESIGNING  FACILITATE INSURANCE SKILL DEVELOPMENT  MORE LIBERALISATION FOR CREATION OF INTERMEDIARIES.  INTRODUCE REGULATIONS IN HEALTH SERVICE PROVIDERS TO ENABLE ORDERLY GROWTH.  EXPEDITE AMENDMENTS TO INSURANE ACT, MV ACT WHICH ARE ON FINAL STAGE. GROSS PREMIUM UNDERWRITTEN BY NON-LIFE INSURERS WITHIN INDIA (SEGMENT WISE) : MARCH 2008 INSURER PRIVATE TOTAL CURRENT YEAR FIRE (IN CRORES) MARINE (IN CRORES) MOTOR (IN CRORES) HEALTH (IN CRORES) ALL OTHERS (IN CRORES) GRAND TOTAL (IN CRORES) 1372.32 1542.68 565.55 501.80 5590.52 3712.16 1832.51 1223.99 1870.30 1735.68 11231.19 8716.31 PREVIOUS YEAR PUBLIC TOTAL CURRENT YEAR PREVIOUS YEAR 2144.95 2614.46 1270.18 1132.13 7213.20 6966.34 3136.51 1973.57 3130.86 3595.60 16895.70 16282.10 GRAND TOTAL CURRENT YEAR PREVIOUS YEAR 3517.27 4157.14 1835.72 1633.93 12803.71 10678.50 4969.01 3197.57 5001.17 5331.28 28126.89 24998.41 POST DETARIFFING SCENARIO (FIRE) THE TOTAL FIRE PREMIUM HAS GONE DOWN BY Rs.600 CRORES OUT OF WHICH Rs.500 CRORES FALL IS IN PSUs AND Rs.200 CRORES FALL HAS ACCRUED TO PRIVATE INSURERS. THEREFORE AS %AGE, THE FALL IS AROUND 17% FOR PSUs AND 13% FOR PRIVATE INSURERS AND FOR THE INDUSTRY AS A WHOLE, THE PREMIUM HAS FALLEN DOWN BY AROUND 15% IN THE FIRE DEPARTMENT. THEREFORE, SO MUCH TREMOURS EXPECTED AFTER DETARIFFING HAS NOT REALLY GOT PRONOUNCED IN THE YEAR 2007-08. POST DETARIFFING SCENARIO (MOTOR AND HEALTH)  OUT OF THE TOTAL INDUSTRY‟S GROWTH OF AROUND Rs.3000 CRORES, Rs.2200 CRORES HAS HAPPENED IN MOTOR AND AROUND Rs.1800 CRORES HAS HAPPENED IN THE HEALTH SECTOR. OUT OF Rs.2200 CRORES GROWTH IN MOTOR PRIVATE SECTOR COMPANIES HAVE GROWN BY Rs.1800 CRORES AND PSUs HAVE GROWTH BY AROUND Rs.400 CRORES ONLY. THE MAIN REASON IS THE CREATION OF MOTOR THIRD PARTY INSURNCE POOL FOR COMMERCIAL VEHICLES. COMMERCIAL VEHICLES INSURANCE IS BEING WRITTEN FREELY BY THE PRIVATE INSURERS WHICH HAS ADDED TO THEIR TREMENDOUS GROWTH IN THIS SEGMENT.  IN THE HEALTH INSURANCE, PRIVATE SECTOR HAS GROWN BY AROUND Rs.600 CRORES BUT PUBLIC SECTOR HAS GROWN BY AROUND Rs.1200 CRORES. THIS BELIES THEORY THAT HEALTH INSURANCE IS THE FORTE OF PRIVATE INSURERS. POST DETARIFFING SCENARIO (CONTD.)  WHEREAS THE INDUSTRY‟S GROWTH HAS HAPPENED IN MOTOR AND HEALTH, THERE IS A FALL OF Rs.600 CRORES IN THE FIRE AND Rs.300 CRORES IN MISCELLANEOUS, WHICH INCLUDES ENGINEERING INSURANCE.  THE TOTAL GROWTH OF THE INDUSTRY HAS COME DOWN TO 12.5% AS AGAINST 25% IN THE PREVIOUS YEAR.  AS EXPLAINED, DETARIFFING HAS PASSED SMOOTHLY AND REINSURANCE TREATIES HAVE ALSO BEEN RENEWED IN APRIL 2008 WITHOUT ANY PROBLEM.  HOPEFULLY, THE PRICES IN THE DETARIFFED SEGMENTS LIKE FIRE AND ENGINEERING WILL STABLISE EARLY. GOING FORWARD  CAGR OF INSURANCE INDUSTRY LIKELY TO BE AROUND 16% IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS IN TUNE WITH EXPECTED GDP GROWTH OF 8%.  PERSONAL LINES OF BUSINESS LIKE MOTOR, HEALTH, TRAVEL TO GROW EXPONENTIALLY.  RURAL AND SEMI URBAN SECTORS TO GROW FASTER.  MORE INSURANCE COMPANIES AND MORE INTERMEDIARIES WITH INTERNATIONAL STANDARD MAY BE EXPECTED.  LOOK FOR GREAT TIMES IN INSURANCE INDUSTRY. CHEERS. FINALLY I DECLARE THAT I AM NOT AN „EXPERT‟ AS “ AN EXPERT IS SOMEONE WHO TAKES A SUBJECT YOU UNDERSTAND AND MAKES IT SOUND CONFUSING” THANK YOU mramadoss@orientalinsurance.co.in

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