Get documents about "Sheet1 - BK Forex Advisor
Document Sample
BKFOREX ADVISOR EVENT RISK TRADING CALENDAR 05/05/2008 - 05/08/2008
Strong Confidence - 1
Medium Confidence - 2
No Strong View - 0
TIER 1 DATA: TRADEABLE, MARKET MOVING
Day Date Time (EST) Country Confidence Event Period Survey Previous Bull/Bear? Potential ST Trade Our Views
Monday
Financial market troubles
continue to grow, but service
Monday 05/05/08 10:00 AM US 0 ISM Non-Manf. Composite APR 49.5 49.6 No Trade No Strong View sector added jobs. Tough call
Commodity prices are up
Monday 05/05/08 9:30 PM AU Trade Balance MAR -2900M -3289M strongly, manufacturing PMI
has improved, trade deficit
Monday 05/05/08 9:30 PM AU Exports MoM% MAR -- -4.10%
should narrow but be careful
Monday 05/05/08 9:30 PM AU 2 Imports MoM% MAR -- -0.20% Bullish AUD Long AUD/CAD of rate decision
Tuesday
We do not trade rate decisions
Tuesday 05/06/08 12:30 AM AU No Trade RBA Rate Decision 7-May 7.25% 7.25% No Trade No Trade
CBI sales decreased,
consumer confidence down,
service PMI should falter as
Tuesday 05/06/08 4:30 AM UK 1 PMI Services APR 51.7 52.1 Bearish GBP Short GBP/USD well
Food prices and commodity
Tuesday 05/06/08 5:00 AM EC Euro-Zone PPI (MoM) MAR 0.70% 0.60%
prices continued to rise in
Tuesday 05/06/08 5:00 AM EC 1 Euro-Zone PPI (YoY) MAR 5.60% 5.30% Bullish EUR Long EUR/GBP March
Tuesday 05/06/08 8:30 AM CA Building Permits MoM MAR 1.20% -1.00% Leading indicators were flat,
Tuesday 05/06/08 10:00 AM CA 2 Ivey Purchasing Managers Index APR 55 59 Bullish CAD Short USD/CAD IVEY PMI could improve
Wednesday
Wednesday 05/07/08 4:30 AM UK Industrial Production (MoM) MAR -0.10% 0.30% April CBI industrial trends
Wednesday 05/07/08 4:30 AM UK Industrial Production (YoY) MAR 0.80% 1.30%
survey was very weak, IP
Wednesday 05/07/08 4:30 AM UK Manufacturing Production (MoM) MAR 0.00% 0.40%
Wednesday 05/07/08 4:30 AM UK 1 Manufacturing Production (YoY) MAR 1.20% 1.90% Bearish GBP Short GBP/USD should be GBP bearish as well
Wednesday 05/07/08 5:00 AM EC Euro-Zone Retail Sales (MoM) MAR 0.10% -0.50% Consumer spending was weak
Wednesday 05/07/08 5:00 AM EC Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) MAR -0.60% -0.20%
in Germany and France. Data
Wednesday 05/07/08 6:00 AM GE Factory Orders MoM (sa) MAR 0.20% -0.50%
Wednesday 05/07/08 6:00 AM GE 1 Factory Orders YoY (nsa) MAR 5.70% 9.00% Bearish EUR Short EUR/USD should be Euro negative
Employment component of
Wednesday 05/07/08 6:45 PM NZ Unemployment Rate 1Q 3.50% 3.40%
PMI indices deteriorated.
Wednesday 05/07/08 6:45 PM NZ Employment Change (QoQ) 1Q -0.10% 1.10% Manpower index also dropped
Wednesday 05/07/08 6:45 PM NZ 1 Employment Change (YoY) 1Q 1.30% 2.50% Bearish NZD Short NZD/USD significantly
Wednesday 05/07/08 9:30 PM AU Employment Change APR 10.0K 14.8K Employment component of
manufacturing and service
Wednesday 05/07/08 9:30 PM AU Unemployment Rate APR 4.10% 4.10%
sector ISM dropped, pointing
Wednesday 05/07/08 9:30 PM AU 1 Participation Rate APR 65.20% 65.20% Bearish AUD Short AUD/USD to weaker data
Thursday
Thursday 05/08/08 2:00 AM GE Trade Balance MAR 17.0B 16.9B New orders and exports
Thursday 05/08/08 2:00 AM GE Current Account (EURO) MAR -- 15.4B
Thursday 05/08/08 2:00 AM GE Imports SA (MoM) MAR -- -0.60% increased in the month of
Thursday 05/08/08 2:00 AM GE Exports SA (MoM) MAR -- -0.20% March. Trade balance could
Thursday 05/08/08 6:00 AM GE Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) MAR 5.00% 6.10%
Thursday 05/08/08 6:00 AM GE 2 Industrial Production MoM (sa) MAR -0.50% 0.40% Bullish EUR Long EUR/GBP improve
Bearish EUR We do not trade rate
Thursday 05/08/08 7:00 AM UK Bank of England Rate Decision 8-May 5.00% 5.00% decisions, but both events
should be Euro and GBP
Thursday 05/08/08 7:45 AM EC 0 ECB Rate Decision 8-May 4.00% 4.00% and GBP No Trade bearish
Friday
Friday 05/09/08 7:00 AM CA Unemployment Rate APR 6.00% 6.00% Employment component of
Friday 05/09/08 7:00 AM CA 1 Net Change in Employment APR 12.5K 14.6K Bullish CAD Short USD/CAD IVEY increased
US trade balance should
improve modestly given
increase in export component
Friday 05/09/08 8:30 AM US 2 Trade Balance MAR -$61.4B -$62.3B Bullish USD Long USD/JPY of manufacturing ISM
Friday 05/09/08 8:30 AM CA 2 Int'l Merchandise Trade MAR C$4.5 C$4.9 Bullish CAD IVEY improved, trade could rise as well
Short USD/CAD
TIER 2 DATA: POTENTIALLY MARKET MOVING, COULD BE TRADEABLE
Day Date Time (EST) Country Event Period Survey Previous Bias
Sunday 05/04/08 7:30 PM AU AiG Performance of Service Ind APR -- 53.8
Sunday 05/04/08 8:30 PM AU TD Securities Inflation MoM% APR -- 0.40%
Sunday 05/04/08 8:30 PM AU TD Securities Inflation YoY% APR -- 4.00%
Sunday 05/04/08 9:30 PM AU House Price Index QoQ 1Q 0.00% 3.20%
Sunday 05/04/08 9:30 PM AU House Price Index YoY 1Q 11.00% 12.30%
Sunday 05/04/08 9:30 PM AU ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) APR -- -0.70%
Sunday 05/04/08 11:00 PM NZ ANZ Commodity Price APR -- 2.00%
Monday 05/05/08 8:30 PM US Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks on Mortgage Foreclsoures
Monday 05/05/08 8:30 PM US Bernanke Speaks About U.S. Mortgage Foreclosures
Tuesday 05/06/08 1:45 AM SZ CPI (MoM) APR 0.90% 0.30%
Tuesday 05/06/08 1:45 AM SZ CPI (YoY) APR 2.40% 2.60%
Tuesday 05/06/08 3:45 AM IT PMI Services APR 48.2 48.8 Final numbers
Tuesday 05/06/08 3:50 AM FR PMI Services APR F 54 54 should not be
Tuesday 05/06/08 4:00 AM GE PMI Services APR F 54.6 54.6
that market
Tuesday 05/06/08 4:00 AM EC PMI Services APR F 51.8 51.8
Tuesday 05/06/08 4:00 AM EC PMI Composite APR F 51.9 51.9 moving
Tuesday 05/06/08 7:01 PM UK Nationwide Consumer Confidence APR 74 77
Tuesday 05/06/08 7:30 PM AU AiG Perf of Construction Index APR -- 48.4
Wednesday 05/07/08 5:30 AM UK BRC April Shop Price Index
Wednesday 05/07/08 8:30 AM US Nonfarm Productivity 1Q P 1.60% 1.90%
Wednesday 05/07/08 8:30 AM US Unit Labor Costs 1Q P 2.50% 2.60%
Wednesday 05/07/08 10:00 AM US Pending Home Sales MoM MAR -1.00% -1.90%
Wednesday 05/07/08 3:00 PM US Consumer Credit MAR $6.5B $5.2B
Wednesday 05/07/08 7:01 PM UK NIESR GDP Estimate APR -- 0.50%
Thursday 05/08/08 1:45 AM SZ Unemployment Rate APR 2.50% 2.60%
Thursday 05/08/08 1:45 AM SZ Unemployment Rate (sa) APR 2.50% 2.50%
Thursday 05/08/08 8:15 AM CA Housing Starts APR 225.0K 243.0K
Thursday 05/08/08 8:30 AM US Initial Jobless Claims 3-May 375K 380K
Thursday 05/08/08 8:30 AM US Continuing Claims 26-Apr -- 3019K
Thursday 05/08/08 10:00 AM US Wholesale Inventories MAR 0.50% 1.10%
Thursday 05/08/08 9:30 PM AU Reserve Bank Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement
Friday 05/09/08 1:00 AM JN Leading Economic Index MAR P 20.00% 54.50%
Friday 05/09/08 1:00 AM JN Coincident Index MAR P 33.30% 70.00%
Friday 05/09/08 2:45 AM FR Industrial Production (MoM) MAR -0.40% 0.30%
Friday 05/09/08 2:45 AM FR Industrial Production (YoY) MAR 1.60% 2.00%
Friday 05/09/08 2:45 AM FR Manufacturing Production (MoM) MAR -0.50% 0.30%
Friday 05/09/08 2:45 AM FR Manufacturing Production (YoY) MAR 1.80% 1.90%
TIER 3 DATA: NOT TRADEABLE
Day Date Time (EST) Country Event Period Survey Previous
Sunday 05/04/08 6:00 PM NZ New Zealand Tax Receipts for March
Sunday 05/04/08 6:45 PM NZ Labor Cost Private Sector QoQ 1Q -- 1.10%
Sunday 05/04/08 6:45 PM NZ Private Wages ex Overtime QoQ 1Q 0.90% 1.10%
Sunday 05/04/08 6:45 PM NZ Average Hourly Earnings QoQ 1Q -- 0.90%
Monday 05/05/08 2:00 AM EC Bimonthly Meeting of Bank for International Settlements
Monday 05/05/08 4:30 AM EC Sentix Investor Confidence MAY 4.4 4.1
Tuesday 05/06/08 2:45 AM EC ECB's Ordonez Speaks at ADB Meeting in Madrid
Tuesday 05/06/08 4:15 AM EC Bank of Spain's Malo de Molina Speaks in Madrid
Tuesday 05/06/08 4:30 AM UK Official Reserves (Changes) APR -- $45M
Tuesday 05/06/08 1:30 PM EC ECB's Tumpel-Gugerell Holds Speech in Brussels
Tuesday 05/06/08 5:00 PM US ABC Consumer Confidence 4-May -- -41
Tuesday 05/06/08 9:30 PM US Fed's Hoenig Speaks in Denver on Market Risk and Policy
7-16 MAY GE Wholesale price Index (YoY) APR -- 7.10%
7-16 MAY GE Wholesale Price Index (MoM) APR 0.50% 1.60%
Wednesday 05/07/08 2:30 AM AU Foreign Reserves APR -- A$36.3B
Wednesday 05/07/08 2:45 AM FR Trade Balance (Euros) MAR -3.1B -2.8B
Wednesday 05/07/08 2:45 AM FR Central Govt. Balance (Euros) MAR -- -22.7B
Wednesday 05/07/08 3:00 AM EC ECB's Bini Smaghi, Stark Hold Speeches in Frankfurt
Wednesday 05/07/08 4:00 AM EC EU Lawmaker Speaks About Breaking Up Power Companies
Wednesday 05/07/08 7:00 AM US MBA Mortgage Applications 2-May -- -11.10%
Wednesday 05/07/08 8:45 AM US Fed Governor Kroszner Speaks in Cincinnati on Foreclosures
Wednesday 05/07/08 10:30 AM EC EU's Almunia Releases `EMU@10' Report on Euro's First Decade
Thursday 05/08/08 12:30 PM US Former Fed Chairman Greenspan Speaks in New York
Thursday 05/08/08 1:30 PM US ICSC Chain Store Sales YoY APR -- -0.50%
Thursday 05/08/08 7:50 PM JN Official Reserve Assets APR -- $1015.6B
Thursday 05/08/08 7:50 PM JN Foreign Buying Japan Stocks 2-May -- ¥301.3B
Thursday 05/08/08 7:50 PM JN Foreign Buying Japan Bonds 2-May -- -¥588.0B
Thursday 05/08/08 7:50 PM JN Japan Buying Foreign Stocks 2-May -- ¥11.3B
Thursday 05/08/08 7:50 PM JN Japan Buying Foreign Bonds 2-May -- -¥34.6B
8-13 MAY NZ REINZ House Sales YoY% APR -- -53.30%
RIGHT - ISM stronger
RIGHT
RIGHT
RIGHT
RIGHT
RIGHT
RIGHT
RIGHT
WRONG
RIGHT
RIGHT
RIGHT
RIGHT
