TRIAL HEATS Based on multi-candidate question. [Details] TRIAL HEATS Based on multi-candidate question. [Details]
ABC NEWS CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP. Includes final vote projection.
TRIAL HEATS Based on multi-candidate question. [Details] TRIAL HEATS Based on multi-candidate question. [Details]
REUTERS/MSNBC/ZOGB. Includes final vote projection. TARRANCE/LAKE/VOTER.COM. Includes final vote projection.
TRIAL HEATS Based on multi-candidate question. [Details] FINAL PRESIDENTIAL TRIAL HEATS [Details]
CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR/INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY/TIPP.
BUCH- BUSH
Includes final vote projection.
BUSH GORE NADER ANAN minus
% % % % GORE
CBS ^ 11/6 44 45 4 1 -1
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP #@ 11/6 48 46 4 1 2
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP # 11/6 47 45 4 1 2
IBD/CSM/TIPP ^ # @ 11/6 47.9 46.0 3.7 2
REUTERS/MSNBC ^ # @ 11/6 46 48 5 1 -2
VOTER.COM ^ # @ 11/6 50.0 45.0 3.5 5
VOTER.COM ^ # 11/6 46 41 4 0 5
ABC # * 11/5 48 45 3 1 3
HARRIS ^ @ 11/5 47 47 5 - 0
HOTLINE ^ 11/5 45 42 4 1 3
ICR ^ 11/5 46 44 7 2 2
NBC/WALL ST. JOURNAL 11/5 47 44 3 2 3
PEW @ 11/5 49 47 4 - 2
PEW 11/5 45 43 4 - 2
WASHINGTON POST * 11/5 48 45 3 1 3
FOX/OPINION DYNAMICS ^ 11/2 43 43 3 1 0
MARIST COLLEGE 11/2 49 44 2 1 5
NEWSWEEK 11/2 45 43 5 - 2
@ Vote projection, with undecideds allocated.
^ Excludes running mates.
# Tracking poll.
Public agenda
Online poll
Sample
N N
100 Error
s.e. 100
400
10
20
10%
5.0%
N 900
1600
30
40
3.3%
2.5%
95% confidence interval
Quadruple sample = half the error
Population size doesn’t matter
Assumes random sample