Embed
Email

Copy_of_Scenario_Analysis

Document Sample

Shared by: panniuniu
Categories
Tags
Stats
views:
0
posted:
10/26/2011
language:
English
pages:
37
All Vehicles 15,943.00 Public Survey Vehicle Compos

Taxi Vehicles 53.00 Sports

Rental Cars 700.00 Trucks

Municipal Cars 235.00 Vans

General Public 14,955.00 Passenger

SUV

Low Adoption 12% Total

High Adoption 45%

Full Adoption 100.00%









Low Adoption 12%

Total EV's Adopted 1795

Total Battery Capcity (MWh) 47.57 Nantucket Aggregate Elect

Yearly Gasoline Saved (Gal) 861,667.58

Yearly Electricity Used (MWh) 4,156.86 35000000

Daily Electricity Used (MWh) 0.01 30000000

Percentage Increase 3.31% 25000000

Fuel Cost Savings Yearly $3,730,230.83 20000000

34464 15000000

High Adoption 45% 10000000

Total EV's Adopted 6730 5000000

Total Battery Capcity (MWh) 178.35

Yearly Gasoline Saved (Gal) 3,230,653.38

Yearly Electricity Used (MWh) 15,585.34

Daily Electricity Used (MWh) 0.04

Percentage Increase 12.41%

Fuel Cost Savings Yearly $13,985,767.94



Full Adoption 100%

Total EV's Adopted 14955

Total Battery Capcity (MWh) 396,307.50

Yearly Gasoline Saved (Gal) 7,178,963.06

Yearly Electricity Used (MWh) 34,632.80

Daily Electricity Used (MWh) 0.09

Percentage Increase 27.58%

Fuel Cost Savings Yearly $31,078,329.80

Public Survey Vehicle Composition Average Electric Car Weighted Average

1 0.98% Range Capacity

10 9.80% Tesla Roadster 0.980% 245 53

29 28.43% Pheonix SUT 9.804% 100 35

20 19.61% Ford Transit Connect 28.431% 80 28

42 41.18% Nissan Leaf 60.784% 100 24

102 100.000% Total 100.000% 95.735 26.500



Average Daily Mileage 23.28767

Average Gas Car Efficiency (MPG) 17.70694

Average Yearly Car Mileage 8500

Average Yearly Gas Usage Per Car (Gal) 480.0377

Price of Gas in 2020 ($/gal) $4.33

Price of Electricity in 2020 ($/kWh) $0.19

Nantucket Aggregate Electricity Usage (MWh) from Sep '09 to Aug '10 125,550.52



35000000

30000000

25000000

20000000

15000000

10000000

5000000 Low Adoption

0 High Adoption

Full Adoption

Efficiency Cost

4.623 101,500.00

2.857 45,000.00

2.857 58,200.00

4.167 32,780.00

3.670 41,879.02



Charging kW 19.20

Full Charge Time 2.00

Average Needed Charge 6.34

Average Charge Time 0.33

Off Peak Hours Estimate 8.00

Charges Per Night 24.21



Cars Needing Charging 1795.00

Cars Charging at 1 Time 74.14

MW usage 1.42



Cars Needing Charging 6730.00

Cars Charging at 1 Time 277.99

MW usage 5.34



Cars Needing Charging 14955.00

Cars Charging at 1 Time 617.74

MW usage 11.86

Municiapal Year

Very High Mileage

From Year To Department Mileage 0 1

Ford Explorer 2007 Pheonix SUV Airport 12500 (9,098.00) (6,313.48)

Ford Ranger 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 12500 (8,158.00) (6,329.92)

Ford F150 1998 Pheonix SUT Water 12500 (15,963.00) (13,401.72)

Ford Ranger 2004 Nissan Leaf Water 12500 (8,158.00) (6,329.92)

Ford F150 2008 Pheonix SUT Park and Rec 12500 (15,963.00) (13,401.72)

Ford F150 1990 Pheonix SUT Finance 12500 (15,963.00) (13,401.72)

Ford F150 2000 Pheonix SUT Land Bank 12500 (15,963.00) (13,401.72)

Mercury Milan 2010 Nissan Leaf School 12500 (4,133.00) (2,397.57)

Ford Taurus 2008 Nissan Leaf Police 12500 (988.00) 1,313.63

Ford 500 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 12500 (483.00) 1,818.63

Total Savings (94,870.00) (71,845.52)



High Mileage

From Year To Department Mileage 0 1

Ford Explorer 2007 Pheonix SUV Airport 10000 (9,098.00) (6,870.38)

Ford Ranger 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 10000 (8,158.00) (6,695.54)

Ford F150 1998 Pheonix SUT Water 10000 (15,963.00) (13,913.98)

Ford Ranger 2004 Nissan Leaf Water 10000 (8,158.00) (6,695.54)

Ford F150 2008 Pheonix SUT Park and Rec 10000 (15,963.00) (13,913.98)

Ford F150 1990 Pheonix SUT Finance 10000 (15,963.00) (13,913.98)

Ford F150 2000 Pheonix SUT Land Bank 10000 (15,963.00) (13,913.98)

Mercury Milan 2010 Nissan Leaf School 10000 (4,133.00) (2,744.66)

Ford Taurus 2008 Nissan Leaf Police 10000 (988.00) 853.30

Ford 500 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 10000 (483.00) 1,358.30

Total Savings (94,870.00) (76,450.41)



Moderate Mileage

From To Department Mileage 0 1

Ford Explorer 2007 Pheonix SUV Airport 8000 (9,098.00) (7,315.90)

Ford Ranger 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 8000 (8,158.00) (6,988.03)

Ford F150 1998 Pheonix SUT Water 8000 (15,963.00) (14,323.78)

Ford Ranger 2004 Nissan Leaf Water 8000 (8,158.00) (6,988.03)

Ford F150 2008 Pheonix SUT Park and Rec 8000 (15,963.00) (14,323.78)

Ford F150 1990 Pheonix SUT Finance 8000 (15,963.00) (14,323.78)

Ford F150 2000 Pheonix SUT Land Bank 8000 (15,963.00) (14,323.78)

Mercury Milan 2010 Nissan Leaf School 8000 (4,133.00) (3,022.33)

Ford Taurus 2008 Nissan Leaf Police 8000 (988.00) 485.04

Ford 500 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 8000 (483.00) 990.04

Total Savings (94,870.00) (80,134.33)



Low Mileage

From To Department Mileage 0 1

Ford Explorer 2007 Pheonix SUV Airport 5000 (9,098.00) (7,984.19)

Ford Ranger 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 5000 (8,158.00) (7,426.77)

Ford F150 1998 Pheonix SUT Water 5000 (15,963.00) (14,938.49)

Ford Ranger 2004 Nissan Leaf Water 5000 (8,158.00) (7,426.77)

Ford F150 2008 Pheonix SUT Park and Rec 5000 (15,963.00) (14,938.49)

Ford F150 1990 Pheonix SUT Finance 5000 (15,963.00) (14,938.49)

Ford F150 2000 Pheonix SUT Land Bank 5000 (15,963.00) (14,938.49)

Mercury Milan 2010 Nissan Leaf School 5000 (4,133.00) (3,438.83)

Ford Taurus 2008 Nissan Leaf Police 5000 (988.00) (67.35)

Ford 500 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 5000 (483.00) 437.65

Total Savings (94,870.00) (85,660.21)



Very Low Mileage

From To Department Mileage 0 1

Ford Explorer 2007 Pheonix SUV Airport 3500 (9,098.00) (8,318.33)

Ford Ranger 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 3500 (8,158.00) (7,646.14)

Ford F150 1998 Pheonix SUT Water 3500 (15,963.00) (15,245.84)

Ford Ranger 2004 Nissan Leaf Water 3500 (8,158.00) (7,646.14)

Ford F150 2008 Pheonix SUT Park and Rec 3500 (15,963.00) (15,245.84)

Ford F150 1990 Pheonix SUT Finance 3500 (15,963.00) (15,245.84)

Ford F150 2000 Pheonix SUT Land Bank 3500 (15,963.00) (15,245.84)

Mercury Milan 2010 Nissan Leaf School 3500 (4,133.00) (3,647.08)

Ford Taurus 2008 Nissan Leaf Police 3500 (988.00) (343.54)

Ford 500 1998 Nissan Leaf Water 3500 (483.00) 161.46

Total Savings (94,870.00) (88,423.14)

2 3 4 5 6 7 8

(3,474.49) (581.04) 2,366.88 5,369.26 8,426.11 11,537.42 14,703.19

(4,467.18) (2,569.79) (637.73) 1,328.99 3,330.36 5,366.39 7,437.09

(10,789.61) (8,126.66) (5,412.88) (2,648.27) 167.18 3,033.46 5,950.57

(4,467.18) (2,569.79) (637.73) 1,328.99 3,330.36 5,366.39 7,437.09

(10,789.61) (8,126.66) (5,412.88) (2,648.27) 167.18 3,033.46 5,950.57

(10,789.61) (8,126.66) (5,412.88) (2,648.27) 167.18 3,033.46 5,950.57

(10,789.61) (8,126.66) (5,412.88) (2,648.27) 167.18 3,033.46 5,950.57

(628.99) 1,172.74 3,007.63 4,875.66 6,776.85 8,711.19 10,678.69

3,657.62 6,043.96 8,472.67 10,943.75 13,457.18 16,012.97 18,611.13

4,162.62 6,548.96 8,977.67 11,448.75 13,962.18 16,517.97 19,116.13

(48,376.04) (24,461.58) (102.13) 24,702.32 49,951.75 75,646.18 101,785.59







2 3 4 5 6 7 8

(4,599.19) (2,284.43) 73.90 2,475.81 4,921.29 7,410.33 9,942.95

(5,205.35) (3,687.43) (2,141.78) (568.41) 1,032.69 2,661.52 4,318.07

(11,824.29) (9,693.93) (7,522.90) (5,311.21) (3,058.86) (765.83) 1,567.86

(5,205.35) (3,687.43) (2,141.78) (568.41) 1,032.69 2,661.52 4,318.07

(11,824.29) (9,693.93) (7,522.90) (5,311.21) (3,058.86) (765.83) 1,567.86

(11,824.29) (9,693.93) (7,522.90) (5,311.21) (3,058.86) (765.83) 1,567.86

(11,824.29) (9,693.93) (7,522.90) (5,311.21) (3,058.86) (765.83) 1,567.86

(1,329.79) 111.59 1,579.50 3,073.93 4,594.88 6,142.36 7,716.35

2,728.49 4,637.57 6,580.54 8,557.40 10,568.14 12,612.78 14,691.30

3,233.49 5,142.57 7,085.54 9,062.40 11,073.14 13,117.78 15,196.30

(57,674.83) (38,543.26) (19,055.70) 787.85 20,987.40 41,542.94 62,454.47







2 3 4 5 6 7 8

(5,498.95) (3,647.14) (1,760.48) 161.05 2,117.43 4,108.67 6,134.76

(5,795.88) (4,581.54) (3,345.03) (2,086.33) (805.45) 497.61 1,822.86

(12,652.03) (10,947.74) (9,210.92) (7,441.57) (5,639.69) (3,805.27) (1,938.31)

(5,795.88) (4,581.54) (3,345.03) (2,086.33) (805.45) 497.61 1,822.86

(12,652.03) (10,947.74) (9,210.92) (7,441.57) (5,639.69) (3,805.27) (1,938.31)

(12,652.03) (10,947.74) (9,210.92) (7,441.57) (5,639.69) (3,805.27) (1,938.31)

(12,652.03) (10,947.74) (9,210.92) (7,441.57) (5,639.69) (3,805.27) (1,938.31)

(1,890.43) (737.33) 437.00 1,632.54 2,849.31 4,087.28 5,346.48

1,985.19 3,512.46 5,066.83 6,648.32 8,256.91 9,892.62 11,555.44

2,490.19 4,017.46 5,571.83 7,153.32 8,761.91 10,397.62 12,060.44

(65,113.87) (49,808.61) (34,218.56) (18,343.72) (2,184.08) 14,260.35 30,989.58







2 3 4 5 6 7 8

(6,848.60) (5,691.21) (4,512.05) (3,311.10) (2,088.36) (843.83) 422.48

(6,681.67) (5,922.71) (5,149.89) (4,363.21) (3,562.66) (2,748.24) (1,919.97)

(13,893.64) (12,828.46) (11,742.95) (10,637.11) (9,510.93) (8,364.42) (7,197.57)

(6,681.67) (5,922.71) (5,149.89) (4,363.21) (3,562.66) (2,748.24) (1,919.97)

(13,893.64) (12,828.46) (11,742.95) (10,637.11) (9,510.93) (8,364.42) (7,197.57)

(13,893.64) (12,828.46) (11,742.95) (10,637.11) (9,510.93) (8,364.42) (7,197.57)

(13,893.64) (12,828.46) (11,742.95) (10,637.11) (9,510.93) (8,364.42) (7,197.57)

(2,731.40) (2,010.70) (1,276.75) (529.53) 230.94 1,004.68 1,791.67

870.25 1,824.79 2,796.27 3,784.70 4,790.07 5,812.39 6,851.65

1,375.25 2,329.79 3,301.27 4,289.70 5,295.07 6,317.39 7,356.65

(76,272.42) (66,706.63) (56,962.85) (47,041.07) (36,941.30) (26,663.53) (16,207.76)







2 3 4 5 6 7 8

(7,523.42) (6,713.25) (5,887.83) (5,047.17) (4,191.25) (3,320.08) (2,433.67)

(7,124.57) (6,593.30) (6,052.32) (5,501.64) (4,941.26) (4,371.17) (3,791.38)

(14,514.45) (13,768.83) (13,008.97) (12,234.88) (11,446.55) (10,643.99) (9,827.20)

(7,124.57) (6,593.30) (6,052.32) (5,501.64) (4,941.26) (4,371.17) (3,791.38)

(14,514.45) (13,768.83) (13,008.97) (12,234.88) (11,446.55) (10,643.99) (9,827.20)

(14,514.45) (13,768.83) (13,008.97) (12,234.88) (11,446.55) (10,643.99) (9,827.20)

(14,514.45) (13,768.83) (13,008.97) (12,234.88) (11,446.55) (10,643.99) (9,827.20)

(3,151.88) (2,647.39) (2,133.62) (1,610.57) (1,078.24) (536.63) 14.27

312.77 980.95 1,660.99 2,352.89 3,056.65 3,772.27 4,499.76

817.77 1,485.95 2,165.99 2,857.89 3,561.65 4,277.27 5,004.76

(81,851.69) (75,155.64) (68,335.00) (61,389.75) (54,319.91) (47,125.47) (39,806.43)

9 10

17,923.43 21,198.13

9,542.44 11,682.45

8,918.52 11,937.30

9,542.44 11,682.45

8,918.52 11,937.30

8,918.52 11,937.30

8,918.52 11,937.30

12,679.33 14,713.13

21,251.64 23,934.52

21,756.64 24,439.52

128,370.00 155,399.39







9 10

12,519.14 15,138.90

6,002.35 7,714.36

3,942.21 6,357.24

6,002.35 7,714.36

3,942.21 6,357.24

3,942.21 6,357.24

3,942.21 6,357.24

9,316.87 10,943.90

16,803.71 18,950.02

17,308.71 19,455.02

83,722.00 105,345.51







9 10

8,195.71 10,291.52

3,170.28 4,539.89

(38.83) 1,893.19

3,170.28 4,539.89

(38.83) 1,893.19

(38.83) 1,893.19

(38.83) 1,893.19

6,626.89 7,928.52

13,245.37 14,962.41

13,750.37 15,467.41

48,003.60 65,302.41







9 10

1,710.57 3,020.45

(1,077.82) (221.82)

(6,010.39) (4,802.88)

(1,077.82) (221.82)

(6,010.39) (4,802.88)

(6,010.39) (4,802.88)

(6,010.39) (4,802.88)

2,591.93 3,405.45

7,907.86 8,981.01

8,412.86 9,486.01

(5,574.00) 5,237.76







9 10

(1,532.00) (615.08)

(3,201.88) (2,602.67)

(8,996.18) (8,150.92)

(3,201.88) (2,602.67)

(8,996.18) (8,150.92)

(8,996.18) (8,150.92)

(8,996.18) (8,150.92)

574.45 1,143.92

5,239.10 5,990.31

5,744.10 6,495.31

(32,362.80) (24,794.57)

200,000.00

Total Savings/Losses Over Tim

150,000.00





100,000.00





50,000.00





0.00





(50,000.00)





(100,000.00)





(150,000.00)

0 1 2 3 4 5

Very High Mileage (94,870.00) (71,845.52) (48,376.04) (24,461.58) (102.13) 24,702.32

High Mileage (94,870.00) (76,450.41) (57,674.83) (38,543.26) (19,055.70) 787.85

Moderate Mileage (94,870.00) (80,134.33) (65,113.87) (49,808.61) (34,218.56) (18,343.72)

Low Mileage (94,870.00) (85,660.21) (76,272.42) (66,706.63) (56,962.85) (47,041.07)

Very Low Mileage (94,870.00) (88,423.14) (81,851.69) (75,155.64) (68,335.00) (61,389.75)





Total Battery Capacity

295 kWh

ngs/Losses Over Time









Very High Mileage

High Mileage

Moderate Mileage

Low Mileage

Very Low Mileage





6 7 8 9 10

24,702.32 49,951.75 75,646.18 101,785.59 128,370.00 155,399.39

787.85 20,987.40 41,542.94 62,454.47 83,722.00 105,345.51

(18,343.72) (2,184.08) 14,260.35 30,989.58 48,003.60 65,302.41

(47,041.07) (36,941.30) (26,663.53) (16,207.76) (5,574.00) 5,237.76

(61,389.75) (54,319.91) (47,125.47) (39,806.43) (32,362.80) (24,794.57)

Medallions Electric Car Cost Battery Size(kWh) Range (miles)

Affordable Rentals 70 Nissan Leaf $32,780.00 24 100

Hertz 310

Island Buggies 8

Nantucket Car Rental 2

Nantucket Rent a Car 93

Windmill Auto 187

Youngs 30

Total Rental Car Fleet 700



Adoption Rate % # of Adopted EV's Total Battery Capacity Yearly Electricity Used

Very Low 5% 35 840.0 kWh 67.2

Low 12% 84 2,016.0 kWh 161.3

Moderate 27% 189 4,536.0 kWh 362.9

High 42% 294 7,056.0 kWh 564.5

Full 100% 700 16,800.0 kWh 1,344.0

Full + 10% Fleet Growth 110% 770 18,480.0 kWh 1,478.4

Miles/kWh Miles/Year Cost of Electricity ACK Electicity Usage '09-'10

4.17 8000.00 0.19 $/kWh 125,550.5 MWh









Yearly Electricity Used Percentage Increase

MWh 0.05%

MWh 0.13%

MWh 0.29%

MWh 0.45%

MWh 1.07%

MWh 1.18%

Livery 2008 Nantucket Aggregate Electricity Usage (MWh) from Sep '09 to Aug '10 125,550.5

Year Make Model Type Cost MPG Adoption

1999 Cadillac Deville Car $ 45,600 17 Low

1996 Chevy Blazer SUV $ 21,305 15 Yearly Mileage Moderate

2002 Chevy Ventura Minivan $ 23,365 19 50,000 High

2004 Chevy Astro Minivan $ 22,930 14 Full

2004 Chevy Astro Minivan $ 22,930 14

2005 Chevy Astro Minivan $ 22,930 14

1996 Chrysler Town and Country Minivan $ 26,025 17 Adoption

1999 Chrysler Town and Country Minivan $ 26,025 17 Low

1999 Chrysler Town and Country Minivan $ 26,025 17 Yearly Mileage Moderate

2002 Chrysler Town and Country Minivan $ 26,025 17 75,000 High

1996 Dodge Caravan Minivan $ 23,660 17 Full

2000 Dodge Caravan Minivan $ 23,660 17

2000 Dodge Caravan Minivan $ 23,660 17

2006 Dodge Caravan Minivan $ 23,660 17 Adoption

2007 Dodge Caravan Minivan $ 23,660 17 Low

2008 Dodge Caravan Minivan $ 23,660 17 Yearly Mileage Moderate

1992 Ford Crown Vic Car $ 29,229 15 100,000 High

1997 Ford Econoline Van $ 26,055 13 Full

1999 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2000 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2000 Ford Winstar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2001 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2001 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16 Size of the 2010 Taxi Fleet

2001 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16 53

2001 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16 Converting to the Transit Connect E

2001 Ford Winstar Minivan $ 23,655 16 Electric Car

2002 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16 Ford Transit Connect EV

2002 Ford Expedition SUV $ 35,830 13

2003 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2003 Ford Winstar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2004 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2004 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2004 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2004 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2004 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2004 Ford Escape SUV $ 21,060 23

2004 Ford Freestyle SUV $ 25,920 19

2004 Ford Freestyle SUV $ 25,920 19

2005 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2005 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2005 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2005 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2006 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2006 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2006 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2006 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2006 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2006 Ford Escape SUV $ 21,060 23

2007 Ford Explorer SUV $ 29,280 14

2007 Ford Freestar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2007 Ford Windstar Minivan $ 23,655 16

2005 GMC Safari Van $ 22,930 14

2005 GMC Savana Van $ 24,860 13

2000 Honda Odyssey Minivan $ 27,800 19

2006 Kia Sedona Minivan $ 24,595 18

1995 Mercury Grand Marquis Car $ 29,935 16

1996 Mercury Sable Car $ 25,120 17

1999 Mercury Grand Marquis Car $ 29,935 16

1999 Mercury Villager Minivan $ 19,340 17

1999 Plymouth Voyager Minivan $ 18,685 18

2008 Toyota RAV4 SUV $ 21,925 19

Average $ 24,644 16.41

Yearly Gasoline Yearly Electricity

% Cars Total Battery Capacity Saved (Gal) Used (MWh)

5% 3 84 kWh 2,461,475 52.5

10% 6 168 kWh 4,922,951 105.0

15% 8 224 kWh 6,563,934 140.0

100% 53 1484 kWh 43,486,066 927.5



Yearly Gasoline Yearly Electricity

% Cars Total Battery Capacity Saved (Gal) Used (MWh)

5% 3 84 kWh 3,692,213 78.8

10% 6 168 kWh 7,384,426 157.5

15% 8 224 kWh 9,845,902 210.0

100% 53 1484 kWh 65,229,098 1,391.3



Yearly Gasoline Yearly Electricity

% Cars Total Battery Capacity Saved (Gal) Used (MWh)

5% 3 84 kWh 4,922,951 105.0

10% 6 168 kWh 9,845,902 210.0

15% 8 224 kWh 13,127,869 280.0

100% 53 1484 kWh 86,972,131 1,855.0









2010 Taxi Fleet

Cars

ng to the Transit Connect EV

ctric Car Cost Battery Capacity (kWh) Range (miles) Miles/kWh

nsit Connect EV $58,200.00 28 80 2.86

Daily Electricity

Used (MWh) Percentage Increase

0.14 0.04%

0.29 0.08%

0.38 0.11%

2.54 0.74%



Daily Electricity

Used (MWh) Percentage Increase

0.22 0.06%

0.43 0.13%

0.58 0.17%

3.81 1.11%



Daily Electricity

Used (MWh) Percentage Increase

0.29 0.08%

0.58 0.17%

0.77 0.22%

5.08 1.48%

Boxes with this background are for

input



Car 1 (Electric)

Car Name Ford Transit Connect EV

Initial Cost $58,200

Tax Break $7,500

Home Charging Station Cost (level 1)* 878

Net Cost $51,578

Maintinance See Right

Life of car (Miles) 1,000,000

Life of car (Years) 10

Yearly Mileage (Miles) 100,000

Miles per unit (mpg or mpkWh) 2.857



Electric Car Efficiency

Cost of Electricity (Dollars per kWh)

Range of Battery Charge (miles)

$0.19 Battery Capacity (kWh)

Efficiency (Mi/kWh)









$300,000.00





$250,000.00





$200,000.00





$150,000.00





$100,000.00





$50,000.00



Gas Prices $0.00

Gas Station - Regular Prices - 10/29/2010 0 1 2

3.769

3.649

3.729 Ford Transit Connect EV

3.779

3.732 Average



Year Cost of Gasoline ($/gal)

2010 estimate from GE $2.72

2020 estimate from GE $3.33

2010 Nantucket Average $3.720

Predicted for 2020 for Nantucket $4.33





Cost Calculations

Model for gasoline Prices: The price of gasoline will increase linearly

y = αX+β

α β

0.061 $3.720

Equation for total fuel cost for gasoline car Integrate model and multiply by gallons per year

Y = 1/2αX^2+βx + C

Y is measured in $*y/gal

Multiplying Y by the gal/y will give us $

Cost of Gasoline over 10 years

ofFord Transit Connect usage $191,666.67



Model for electricty: Flat rate over 10 years of

Average

Miles over life of car 1,000,000

Charges over life of car 12,500

kWh over life of car 350,000.0

Price of electricity over life of car $66,500.00

TCO less maintenance Ford Transit Connect EV (Average Case)

Net Cost + Price of fuel $118,078.00

Total Savings/Loss over Ford Transit Connect $94,788.67









Graph and Table are on an individual car basis



Based on GE's Website

Change of Cost of Gas/Year Cost of Gas/Gallon

0.061 $3.720



Years After Purchase

0 1

Gas Price ($/gal)

$3.72 $3.78

Ford Transit Connect

$21,200.00 $42,267.86

Ford Transit Connect EV

$51,578.00 $59,299.43

Net Difference

($30,378.00) ($17,031.57)

Cost Analysis

Car 2 (Gas)

Ford Transit Connect

$21,200

Years to break even $0

2.2 $0 *This number assumes that the car does not come

Miles to break even $21,200

224,567.3 See Right

1,000,000

10

100000

21 *Used City EPA Mileage, mpg was found on fueleco



Average Case Worst Case

80 48

28 28

2.857 1.714285714

*Based on our research and interviews with mechanics, electric cars are cheap

got estimates for the maintenance that diffe

Ford Transit Connect vs. Ford Transit Connect EV









2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Years After Purchase



Ford Transit Connect EV Ford Transit Connect







*Gas price projection derived from GE website and current Nantucket gas prices

Ratio



122.43%

f gasoline will increase linearly

*A linear model was chosen to describe the increase in gasoline prices







odel and multiply by gallons per year









0.19 dollars per kilowatt hour

Worst *Electricity projection derived from GE website

1,000,000

20,833

583,333.3

$110,833.33

Ford Transit Connect EV(Worst Case) Ford Transit Connect

$162,411.33 $212,866.67

$50,455.33 $0.00









e are on an individual car basis



Yearly Cost of Electricity for Electric Car Gallons of Gas Used per Year for Gas Powerd Car

6650.0 4761.9







2 3 4



$3.84 $3.90 $3.96



$63,626.19 $85,275.00 $107,214.29



$67,020.86 $74,742.29 $82,463.71

($3,394.67) $10,532.71 $24,750.57

Ford Transit Connect EV Maintenance Costs* Ford Transit Connect

N/A Cost of Oil Change $40.00

N/A Miles to Oil Change 3,000

$0.00 Cost per 1000 miles $13.33

$300.00 Cost of Rear Brake Replacement $300.00

70,000 Miles to Rear Brake Replacement 40,000

$4.29 Cost per 1000 miles $7.50

$225.00 Cost of Front Brake Replacement $225.00

35,000 Miles to Front Brake Replacement 20,000

$6.43 Cost per 1000 miles $11.25

$0.011 Total cost of maintenance per mile $0.032

$1,071.43 Total cost of maintenance per year $3,208.33









h mechanics, electric cars are cheaper and easier to maintain in some regards and the same in others. We

mates for the maintenance that differs and worked with them in this box

5 6 7



$4.03 $4.09 $4.15



$129,444.05 $151,964.29 $174,775.00



$90,185.14 $97,906.57 $105,628.00

$39,258.90 $54,057.71 $69,147.00

8 9 10



$4.21 $4.27 $4.33



$197,876.19 $221,267.86 $244,950.00



$113,349.43 $121,070.86 $128,792.29

$84,526.76 $100,197.00 $116,157.71

``

Gasoline Car Cost MPG (EPA City) Electric Car

BMW M5 Sedan $ 85,700.00 11 2012 Ford Focus EV

Cadillac Deville $ 45,600.00 17 2012 Toyota RAV4 EV

Chevy Astrovan $ 22,930.00 14 Tesla Roadster

Chevy Blazer $ 21,305.00 15 Ford Transit Connect EV

Chevy Expedition $ 35,830.00 13 Pheonix SUT

Chevy Ventura $ 23,365.00 19 Pheonix SUV

Chevy Volt (Gas) $ 41,000.00 35 Chevy Volt (EV)

Chrysler Town and Country $ 26,025.00 17 Nissan Leaf

Dodge Grand Caravan $ 23,660.00 17

Ferrari 458 Italia $ 225,000.00 12

Ford 500 $ 25,675.00 18

Ford Crown Victoria $ 29,229.00 15

Ford Econoline $ 26,055.00 13

Ford Escape $ 21,060.00 23

Ford Escape Hybrid $ 29,865.00 34

Ford Explorer $ 29,280.00 14

Ford F150 $ 22,415.00 15

Ford Freestar (2007) $ 23,655.00 16

Ford Freestyle $ 25,920.00 19

Ford Ranger $ 18,000.00 22

Ford Sport Trac $ 28,210.00 15

Ford Taurus $ 25,170.00 18

Ford Transit Connect $ 21,200.00 21

GMC Safari $ 22,930.00 14

GMC Savana $ 24,860.00 13

Honda Civic $ 15,805.00 26

Honda Odyssey $ 27,800.00 19

Jeep Grand Cherokee $ 30,215.00 16

Jeep Wrangler $ 21,165.00 15

Kia Sedona $ 24,595.00 18

Land Rover Range Rover $ 79,685.00 12

Mercury Grand M. $ 29,935.00 16

Mercury Milan $ 22,025.00 23

Mercury Sable $ 25,120.00 17

Mercury Villager $ 19,340.00 17

Nissan Altima $ 20,950.00 23

Plymouth Voyager $ 18,685.00 18

Toyota Prius $ 22,800.00 51

Toyota RAV4 $ 21,925.00 19

Cost Battery Capacity (kWh) Range (miles) Miles/kWh

Unknown Unknown Unknown N/A

Unknown Unknown Unknown N/A

$101,500.00 53 245 4.62

$58,200.00 28 80 2.86

$45,000.00 35 100 2.86

$45,000.00 35 100 2.86

$41,000.00 16 36 2.25

$32,780.00 24 100 4.17



Other docs by panniuniu
MontrealSideEvent
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
WCPD-2002-11-11-Pg1956
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
PR_Wachstumskurs
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
all time bests - girls
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
unit1_day4_02.06.03
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
ch15_kinetics
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
By registering with docstoc.com you agree to our
privacy policy

You are almost ready to download!

You are almost ready to download!