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Demise of the Soviet Union

Historical Background:

Brezhnev Era

 Soviet government more repressive; seeming

return to Stalinism

 Intellectuals repressed

 Solzhenitsyn expelled

 Jews harassed, prevented from emigrating to Israel

 Rise of dissident movement; repressed

 Small demonstrations, criticism of govt in public

 Accusations of violation of human rights of 1975 Helsinki

Accords

 Andrei Sakharov (Nobel physicist), others persecuted

 Concentration of power

 Combined president and Comm party secretary offices

 Brezhnev appointed; most power of all since Stalin

US & Detente

 Begun with Nixon at end of Vietnam War

 Agreements on trade, reduction of strategic weapons

 BUT USSR increase in defense spending, esp navy, so

economy down

 Helsinki Accords

 Under US President Ford

 Recognized USSR “sphere of influence” in E Europe

 Committed both countries to protect human rights of

citizens

 Carter: apply the human rights provisions; USSR

didn’t want to be scolded

Invasion of Afghanistan

 Though already a presence there, in 1979,

USSR invaded to establish puppet regime

 Factional bickering in Marxist government; Amin

elected, but not general support; accused as CIA

 USSR forces in, executed Amin and put in USSR

supporter

 Secretly: Carter $$ for anti govt propaganda 6 months

before invasion; Amin probably really USSR’s friend

 US response:

 Senate refused to ratify second Strategic Arms

Limitation agreement (though Carter had already

signed)

 Embargo of grain shipments to USSR

 Boycott of 1980 Olympics in Moscow

Their Viet Nam

 9 year occupation with \ 80% of country away from

Kabul not controlled by USSR

 Ultra Muslim mujahideen fought guerrilla war

 Soviet failures due to:

 mountainous terrain

 no anti-guerrilla training

 weaponry and military equipment, especially tanks,

ineffective in mountains

 Heavy artillery used vs rebel forces.

 Afghan guerillas funded and trained by the USA

and its allies.

 Stinger anti-aircraft missile systems (US made),

increased aircraft losses of Soviet Air Force

 guerillas able to fire at aircraft landing, taking off

Outcomes

 Soviet withdrew forces,

left government still

Marxist, but much of

Muslim fundamentalist law, as well

 Loss of support for war in USSR as

army deaths increased, no gains; pull

out lead to:

 Loss of support of government in

general because of futile war

 Beginning of Muslim fundamentalist

rebellions in other Asian USSR republics

Reagan Challenges to USSR

 Positive steps

 Relaxed grain embargo: sold to USSR

 Placed less emphasis on human rights of Helsinki

Accords

 Challenges

 Intensification of Cold War rhetoric

 Increase in US military spending

 SDI (Strategic Defense Initiative) Star Wars, high tech

defense in space vs nuclear attack major in later arms

control negotiations

 Forced increase in USSR defense spending, which it

couldn’t afford; helped bring on collapse

Beginning of the end:

Solidarity in Poland

 Late 1970’s Poland (while USSR busy),

challenges to party rule and influence of USSR

 Gomulka problems: though peace with Church,

trade with W, cultural exchange with non Comm,

chronic econ mismanagement, shortage of food

and goods

 Gdansk shipyard strike December 1970:

authorities suppressed, killed workers; Lech

Walesa, leader, fired and blackballed,

imprisoned off and on; Gomulka forced out

 Next decade: people didn’t have enough bread;

1980 raised food prices leading to:

 Gdansk shipyard strike, again, but this time….

 Spread of unrest

 Workers occupied Lenin shipyard; Walesa joined to lead

 Spread to other shipyards, transport, factories

 Union Solidarity

 Lech Walesa, refused government unions, SO

 Government allowed establishment of independent

union, Solidarity

 Promised union access to media (TV, too) along w

Catholic Church

 Temporary gains

 Secret elections for party congress with real choice

 Still single party, but real debate in party congress

 Oppression, again

 Dec 1981, martial law under General Jaruzelski (new

head of Polish Comm party);

 Arrested Solidarity leaders (Walesa imprisoned 7 years);

suppression of reforms

Gorbachev:Collapse of USSR

 Brezhnev d. 1982; successors Andropov (d 1984)

and Chernenko (d 1985) didn’t rule long

 Condition of USSR

 Militarily strong USSR: after Cuban missile crisis,

poured into military buildup

 BUT rest of economy in terrible condition with shortage

of consumer goods

 Marxism at work: absenteeism, alcoholism

 Reagan defense initiatives forced USSR further

defense buildup, but no $$$

 Reformer, Gorbachev put in

 Recognized inefficiencies of system

 Supported Marxism and socialism, just wanted

rejuvenated Bolshevikism he thought undermined by

corruption and Stalinistic terror

Perestroika, restructuring

 Economics

 Reduced size of economic ministries’

bureaucracies

 Allowed more local private enterprise

 Began advocating private ownership of property

 Moved toward more free market, liberal economy

 Real Problems

 Siberian miners’ strike 1989 settled quickly

 Promised better wages, more liberty

 BUT

 Results: worse, with shortages of food, consumer

goods and housing

 blamed on abandonment of old fashioned central

planning

Politics

 Critical of corruption and inefficiencies in party

 Glasnost

 Allowed public discussion and criticism of Soviet history,

party policies

 Bukharin, others “purged” by Stalin, recognized for

contributions

 Workers permitted to criticize party officials and their

decisions

 Dissidents released from prison

 BUT all ethnics and national minorities wanted political

independence; Gorbachev couldn’t satisfy their demands

 Political Perestroika

 1988 new constitution to permit real elections

 Congress of People’s Deputies 1989 included Sakharov

1989: Fateful Year

 Poland

 1984 some Solidarity leaders released, back to union

activism

 Underground press and political organizations

 Legalization of Solidarity 1989

 Free elections after repeal of martial law in 1989

 First noncommunist pm of Poland since 1945; approved

by Gorbachev

 In November 1990, Lech Wałęsa was elected President

for a 5-year term. introducing world prices, greatly

expanding private enterprise.

 Free parliamentary elections 1991: 100 + parties with full

spectrum of political views (none received more than

13% of vote).

Why E Europe could break away….

 All transitions to democratic governments in E

Europe and Baltics peaceful except Romania

 Refusal of USSR to intervene militarily as in 50’s

and 60’s to prop up old line communist

governments

 Gorbachev renounces Brezhnev Doctrine 1989

 As soon as public, ordinary citizens all over E

Europe demonstrated to denounce Communist

Party domination, assert nationalism and desire

for democratic reform

 Tiananmen Square demos in Beijing violent

suppression in June 1989 had something to do

with party decision not to repress?

Hungary

 Earlier moves: some capitalism and stock

exchange; production of food and consumer goods

 Jan 1989 Parliament ok’d legalization of other

political parties

 Permitted free travel with Austria: first breach in

Iron Curtain (thousands of E Germans went

through Hungary into Austria and on into W

Germany)

 Parliament voted premier installed by Soviets after

1956 out of office: honorary public burial to Nagy

 Communist party changed name to Socialist

 1990: free elections

Berlin:

The Walls Came Tumbling Down

 Popular demonstrations in many German

cities

 Leipzig: people demanded democracy and

end to Communist Party rule

 Gorbachev cut off E German Communist

party: said USSR would no longer support

 E German Honecker, others resigned

 New Communist leaders promised political

and economic reform, but emigration to W

continued

 Nov 1989, ordered opening of the wall: tens

of thousands crossed to visit families, shop

with W German supplied money

Reunification: almost instant

 E German communist party government

discredited

 Corruption exposed among officials

 Changed name to social democratic party

 Free elections 1990: conservative majority

 Wanted reunification

 Helmut Kohl (W German chancellor) had to deal with it

 EEC accepted idea of unified Germany; then USSR, UK,

US, France

 Rapid unification

 BUT still dealing with problems

 Combining economies, weakened W German

 Integration of “communist” thinking E Germans

 NOT instant wealth and infrastructure

Czechoslovakia: Velvet Revolution

 Change of rule

 After 1968 invasion,

hard line communist

rule 20 years;

opponents imprisoned

 Popular pressure from

demonstrations and

well organized political

opposition

 Older leadership

resigned, younger

communists replaced,

but proposed reforms

inadequate

 End of political dominance of

Communism

 Vaclav Havel, playwright, lead

group Civic Forum

 Changes: inclusion of

noncommunists in

government,elimination of

Marxist education, removal

travel restrictions and

censorship

 USSR, communist govt,

Warsaw pact states denounced

invasion of 1968, forced

resignation of president Husak

put in then; free election :

Dubcek returned to chair

Parliament, Havel elected

president

Violent change: Romania

 Ceausescu dictator for over 25

years

 One party Stalinist, with total

centralized economic control,

at odds with Gorbachev

reform

 Army and loyal security force

 Closest relatives in high

positions where corruption

profit

 Timisuara (W Romania) incident

 Clergyman tried to protect

Hungarians living there

 Security forces tried to arrest

him: demonstrations

 Security fired upon

demonstrators: 100’s +

casualties

 Bucharest support rally

 Vs Ceausescu; within one week, full

rebellion

 Fighting between army supporting

revolution and security forces loyal to C

 Revolutionaries gained control of tv,

broadcast reports of revolution to world

 End of Ceausescu

 Tried to flee country with wife, captured

 Secretly tried, executed Christmas day

1989

 Fighting ended, provisional government

announced free elections for spring

 Consequences: Unrest until elections put in

new government

Political Change: USSR

 Gorbachev proposed

reform

 Strong presidency

eventually by election in

Supreme Soviet

 Wanted political base NOT

Communist Party

 Didn’t want to abandon

communism or socialism,

but did want genuine

competition

New political forces not under G’s control

 Conservatives

 who wanted to preserve influence of Party and army,

 Deplored political and social turmoil, economic ills



 1990-91, G appoints many to key government posts



 Disillusioned Communists favoring swift change

 Spokesman: Yeltsin, elected Russian Republic Pres

 Supported market economy and more democracy



 Groups Pressing for change in Republics

 Discontent in past repressed by military, party action

 Initially: Baltic Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania

 Independent til eve of WWII when Soviet/German nonaggression

pact gave them to USSR

 Soviet Islamic republics

 Rebellion in Azerbaijan, Tajikistan

 Gorbachev failure to negotiate new arrangements between

republics and central govt added to discontent

August 1991 Coup

 Conservative attempt to seize power

 Those Gorbachev named into government

 Army occupied Moscow, Gorbachev

confined (arrested) when on

vacation in Crimea

 Boris Yeltsin reaction

 Climbed on tank in front of Russ Parliament

Building to denounce coup attempt

 End of Coup 2 days later

 Army refused orders to assassinate Yeltsin

 Gorbachev back to Moscow, but humiliated

 Large demonstration celebrated failure of coup

 Yeltsin became dominant political figure

Yeltsin vs Conservative Hardliners

 December 25,1991 USSR dissolved:

Commonwealth of Independent States; G out

 Yeltsin most powerful as leader of largest state

 Popularity through 1992, but no economic miracles,

declined

 Opposition coalesced in parliament with old

Communist powers

 1993 Rebellion

 Sept 1993 Yeltsin suspended parliament; it deposed him

 Parliament tried to incite popular uprising vs Y in Moscow

 Military supported Yeltsin

 Troops and tanks surrounded Parliament building, fired

on building, killing 100+ , and crushing revolt

 1993 vote: new parliament and constitution with strong

president

Russ Federation: Economic Woes

 Where’re the income producing enterprises?

 Most nonfreezing ports, consumer goods factories, oil and

gas pipelines, and a significant portion of the high-tech

enterprises (including nuclear power stations) = outside of

Russia, in the newly independent states.

 Russia's domestic industries were mainly focused on heavy

and military branches.

 Russia took responsibility for settling USSR's

external debts, although population just half of the

population of the USSR at time of dissolution.

 The largest state enterprises (petroleum, metallurgy,

and the like) controversially privatized for $US 600

million, far less than worth.

And Onward: Russian Federation’s

continuing problems

 Continuing Communist unrest

 Still old bureaucracy and institutions, including

army

 Corruption and lack of control of criminals

 No economic miracles; slow progress

 Unrest in member republics

 Rebellion in republics wanting independence

 Persecution of ethnic minorities

 Muslim unrest in So republics

 Economic woes in republics, with consumer

shortages, unemployment

Conflict with Chechnya

 Chechnya declared independence, 1991

 Corruption of Dedayev regime(dictator)

 Persecution of non checnyans: Russ leave, killed

 Slave trade and criminal activity

 First Chechnyan War

 Yeltsin ordered 400,000 troops to retake

Chechnya 1994; not prepared for heavy fighting

 Hostage taking in hospital, attacks against

remaining Russian soldiers after pull out;

Dedayev killed in air raid

 Negotiated de facto independence, but not

enough for separatists,

 Second Chechnyan War

 Suicide attacks and bomb attacks on apartment buildings;

 Putin ordered troops in as part of “War on Terrorism” after 9/11

 Since then, continuing terror attacks; Russ army holds most of

area:

 Theater hostage taking Moscow 2002 (700 hostages)

 Beslan school hostage crisis: 1200 taken, 330 killed brutally

Collapse of Yugoslavia: Civil War

 1980 Tito’s death: instability

 Six national groups (Serb, Croat, Slovene, Montenegrin,

Macedonian, Muslim Bosnian)

 3 religious groups (Croat and Slovene = Catholic, Latin alphabet;

Serb, Montenegran., Macedonian = E Orthodox, Cyrillic alphabet;

Bosnians Muslim)

 Only held together by Tito cult of personality + power sharing

 Ethnic divisions reemerge

 Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Macedonia pushed for

independence from the Yugoslavia in 1990

 No strong leader to unite all groups, because Tito repressed

 Nationalist leaders (Slobodan Milosevic, Communist nationalist in

Serbia, others) encouraged ethnic strife to gain power;

 1990: Milosovic refused independence of other provinces because

wanted power. Macedonia and Croatia

Balkan Wars Renewed-- 1990’s

 Serb contention vs Croats

and Slovenes

 Croatia and Slovenia

independence 1990;

 violence from Serbia—

Milosovic, using Yugoslav

army, determined to keep

Yugoslav state to dominate,

 Serbia accused Croatia of

persecution of Serbs living

there

 Croatia accused Serbia of

maintaining Stalinist regime

 War between Serbia and Croatia

 Milosovic attacked Croatia 1991

 Croatian and Serbian forces determine to divide

Bosnia/Herzegovina

 Muslims in Bosnia crushed between forces;

Serbs, especially, “ethnic cleansing” to eliminate

Muslims (killed, raped, removed)

 Bombing of Sarajevo (capital of Bosnia

/Herzegovina) by Serbs to eliminate Moslem

Bosnian government; other places Croats fighting

to take areas of Bosnia (where Croats lived).

 US and NATO intervention

 Mediation and sanctions little impact

 After marketplace bombings killed many in 1994,

NATO ultimatum if Serbs didn’t withdraw from

around Bosnian capital

 1994 NATO bombing strikes (first ever by NATO)

pushed back Serbs: Dayton Accords end war,

continued NATO forces peacekeeping there

Kosovo

 Kosovo was an autonomous province within Yugoslavia with the

majority of the people Albanian, but with a small population of Serbs,

who considered Kosovo historically sacred land.

 In 1989 Milosevic, in Serbian nationalist fashion, removed Kosovo’s

autonomous status.

 In 1996, the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA), ethnic Albanians, attacked

Serbian leaders in Kosovo. Serbian forces retaliated, massacring

ethnic Albanians with horrible atrocities on both sides.

 The U.S., NATO allies, and Russia tried to settle the conflict.

Madeleine Albright declared, "We are not going to stand by and watch

the Serbian authorities do in Kosovo what they can no longer get away

with doing in Bosnia."

 Albanians eventually agreed to a peace plan, but Milosevic refused.

U.S. and NATO forces bombed the area to force the Milosevic

government to comply (1999).

 Milosevic lost the 2000 elections, later put on trial at the Hague by a

international tribunal for "ethnic cleansing" he enforced, died during

trial.


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