Embed
Email

ch1

Document Sample

Shared by: liamei12345
Categories
Tags
Stats
views:
2
posted:
10/22/2011
language:
English
pages:
16
Ch.1. Introduction:

Game and Game Theory

LIST



1.1 What is a game theory?

 1) game theory and game

 2) what is a game?

 3) Game theory



1.2 Classifications of games and the outline of this

lecture

 1) cooperative vs. non-cooperative game

 2) perfect vs. imperfect game

 3) complete vs. incomplete game



1.3 Evaluation of Game Theory

 1) Rubinstein

 2) Nash’s Nash Equilibrium

 3) Nobel Prize in economics, 1994

 4) Applications

1.1 What Is a Game Theory?



1) game and game theory



Game theory emanates from studies of amusement games

such as chess or poker.[The first theorem in game theory is

Zermelo’s theorem on Chess(1913)].

However, game theory is no longer concerned with

amusement games.

Zermelo’s Theorem



asserts that in chess either white can force a win, or black can

force a win, or both sides can force at least a draw.

2) What is a game?

a) A game in everyday life :



a universal form of recreation generally including any activity engaged in

for diversion or amusement and often establishing a situation that

involves a contest or rivalry (http://www.britannica.com/)



Ex) board games, card games, video games, field games, etc.



b) a game in game theory :



any rule-governed situation with well-defined outcome, characterized by

strategic interdependence.(Gardner, p.4)

c) comparison.

Games in game theory



(1) exclude non-interactive games:

athletic sport(100m, ..., marathon, race, etc), golf,

-- no interaction except for psychological effects

(2) include game-like socio-economic situations .(main object

of study)

oligopoly, trading process(auctions, bargaining),

employment and promotion, valuation of firm values,

international trade policy, macroeconomic policy

decision,voting, etc

-> economics, business, sociology, politics, biology, …

3) game theory

It studies multiperson, or interdependent, decision problems.

It can be defined as the study of mathematical models of

conflict and cooperation between intelligent rational

decision-makers.



--> more descriptively accurate names: "Conflict analysis" or

"interactive decision theory" (R.B.Myerson, Game Theory:

analysis of conflict, Harvard Univ. Press, 1991, p.1)

1.2 Classifications of games and the

outline of this lecture



1) cooperative vs. non-cooperative game



A game is non-cooperative if players can not make

binding commitments(or agreements), and

cooperative otherwise, irrespective of the possibility of

communications.

Unit of analysis is an individual player in non-

cooperative games, and a group(coalition) in cooperative

games.

We do not deal with cooperative games.

2) perfect information vs. imperfect information game



Perfect information = at each move in the game, the player with the

move knows the full history of the play of the game thus far.(p.121)

ex) chess, football, English auction

Sequential and open moves -> [dynamic games] = games with more

than 2 stages



Imperfect information game = a player does not know what others did.

ex) sealed bid auction, game of rock, paper, scissors.

Simultaneous and secret moves -> [static games] = games with a

single stage

3) complete information vs. incomplete information game



Incomplete information = at least one player is uncertain about

another player’s payoff function. [Asymmetric or private

information]



Ex) Firm’s MC and workers’ ability may be private information.

4) Contents of our textbook

Complete Incomplete



Imperfect Chapter 1 Chapter 3

(static) [Nash Equilibrium] [Bayesian NE]



Perfect Chapter 2 Chapter 4

(dynamic) [Subgame Perfect NE] [Perfect Bayesian NE]

1.3 Evaluation of Game Theory

1) Rubinstein

("Introduction" in Game theory in Economics, eds by A.

Rubinstein, 1990, p.xi)



1950’s-- era of general equilibrium

1960’s-- era of growth

1970’s—era of economics of information

1980’s – era of game theory

2) Nash’s Nash Equilibrium

( R.B. Myerson, "Nash Equilibrium and the History of Economic Theory,"

Journal of Economic Literature, 37(3), September 1997, 1067-1082)



Nash's theory of noncooperative games should now be recognized as one

of the outstanding intellectual advances of the twentieth century,

comparable to the discovery of the DNA double helix in the biological

sciences.(p.1067)

Why? – It provides a general analytical framework (methodology) for

extending rational-choice analysis to non-market applications. (p.1069)

So, economics could change

from (marginalist era) social science concerned with the production

and allocation of material goods

to (today) the analysis of incentives in all social institutions.

※ Nash’s papers



―Equilibrium Points in n-Person Games,‖

Procedings of National Academy Sciences, 1950,

48-49 (Two pages)

―Noncooperative games,‖ The Annals of

Mathematics, 1951, 289- 295(Ph.D Thesis, 1950)

Sad life Nash(1928-) Ph.D in Math, Princeton Univ.(1950), MIT : 1951-

59, 1959-1990 paranoid schizophrenic

Sylvia Nasar, A Beautiful Mind:a biography of John Forbes Nash,

Jr, 1998; (Film, 2001)

3) Nobel Prize in Economics in 1994

Three Game theorists, Nash, Harsanyi, and Selten won the

Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences in 1994 “for

their pioneering analysis of equilibria in the theory of

non-cooperative games”. Press Release





Complete Incomplete



Imperfect Ch 1 [Nash Equilibrium] Ch 3 [Bayesian NE]

(static) Nash, 1950-51 Harsanyi 1967-68

Perfect Ch 2 [Subgame Perfect NE] Ch 4 [Perfect Bayesian NE]

(dynamic) Selten 1965, 1975 Harsanyi 1967-68

4) applications

Auction analysis should certainly be counted as one of the

most important applications of game theory, and the FCC

auctions gave a practical demonstration of the power of

auction analysis. (Myerson, 1997, p.1078-1079)



See,

Paul Milgrom, Auction Theory for Privatization,

Cambridge, 2000,

FCC, Wireless Telecommunications Bureau Auctions

FCC Home Page

"the greatest auction in history," raising over $7 billion

for the U.S. government.


Related docs
Other docs by liamei12345
of Approved Sensitivities _4-29-11_ - EIPC
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
02Test-Result-III-Web
Views: 2  |  Downloads: 0
Chicken Soup Poems
Views: 16  |  Downloads: 0
Kansas - Association of Women Psychiatrists
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
Selection 12
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
Lesson 6-Building a Directory Service
Views: 0  |  Downloads: 0
piacente_10_11
Views: 1  |  Downloads: 0
By registering with docstoc.com you agree to our
privacy policy

You are almost ready to download!

You are almost ready to download!