Embed
Email

Index of Spot Market Prices, Raw Materials

Document Sample
Index of Spot Market Prices, Raw Materials
January 1985









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1984 1985



May June July August September October November December January 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS •





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 289.5 - 286.2 - 280.1 - 275.6 - 274.0 ~ 266.4 + 268.3 - 261.9 - 256.4

Percent rising of 13 components (50) (42) (35) (46) (46) (31) (58) (19) (23)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. - 0.508 - 0.479 - 0.459 + 0.460 - 0.435 - 0.421 + 0.458 - 0.447 - 0.443

(kilogram),. 1.120 1.056 1.012 1.014 0.959 0.928 1.010 0.985 0.977

Lead scrap (pound).. o 0.150 + 0.158 + 0.188 - 0.171 - 0.143 - 0.120 + 0.141 - 0.137 - 0.107

(kilogram).. 0.331 0.348 0.414 0.377 0.315 0.265 0.311 0.302 0.236

Steel scrap (U S ton) + 98.600 - 94.250 - 85.000 + 86.000 + 92.000 - 88.000 - 86.500 - 86.000 + 90.667

(metric t o n ) . . 108.687 103.892 93.696 94.798 101.412 97.002 95.349 94.798 99.942

Tin . (oound) + 5.890 - 5.882 - 5.772 - 5.680 - 5.585 - 5.4ti4 + 5.515 - 5.443 - 5.110

(kilogram).. 12.985 12.967 12.725 12.522 12,313 11,914 12.158 12.000 11.266

Zinc . (pound) - 0.533 - 0.530 - 0.502 - 0.491 - 0.476 - 0.454 o 0.454 o 0.454 - 0.447

(kilogram).. 1.175 1.168 1.107 1.082 1.049 1.001 1.001 1.001 0.985

Burlap , (yard) - 0.300 + 0.313 + 0.329 + 0.336 + 0.366 + 0.395 + 0.396 - 0.395 + 0.396

(meter).. 0.328 0.342 0.360 0.367 0.400 0.432 0.433 0.432 0.433

Cotton (pound)., + 0.803 - 0.763 - 0.683 - 0.640 - 0.625 + 0.626 - 0.610 + 0.617 - 0.614

(kilogram).. 1.770 1.682 1.506 1.411 1.378 1.380 1.345 1.360 1.354

Print cloth (yard).. - 0.784 - 0.762 + 0.768 - 0.762 + 0.779 + 0.794 + 0.798 - 0.778 - 0.758

(meter).. 0.857 0.833 0.840 0,833 0.852 0.868 0.873 0.851 0.829

Wool tops (pound) o 3.500 + 3.512 - 3.500 o 3.500 0 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.716 7.743 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716

Hides (pound) + 0.744 + 0.748 + 0.766 .+ 0.771 + 0.795 - 0.716 - 0.625 - 0.586 - 0.567

(kilogram).. 1.640 1.649 1.689 1.700 1.753 1.578 1.378 1.292 1.250

Rosin , (100 pounds) 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber ...(pound).. - 0.514 - 0.475 - 0.464 + 0.465 - 0.464 - 0.437 - 0.426 - 0.422 - 0.420

(kilogram).. 1.133 1.047 1.023 1.025 1.023 0.963 0.939 0.930 0.926

Tallow (pound).. + 0.249 + 0.259 - 0.208 - 0.201 + 0.218 - 0.216 + 0.223 - 0.206 - 0.198

(kilogram).. 0.549 0.571 0.459 0.443 0.481 0.476 0.492 0.454 0.437

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) - unchanged, and ( - ) - falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available,

if

rhe index is the average for January 2 through 22; component prices are averages for January 8, 15, and 22.

a

.Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JANUARY 1985 79

February 1985









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^ J SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1984 1985



June July August September October November December January February 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... - 286.2 - 280.1 - 275.6 - 274.0 - 266.4 + 268.3 - 261.9 - 255.8 - 254.0



Percent rising of 13 components (42) (35) (46) (46) (31) (58) (19) (23) (46)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., - 0.479 - 0.459 + 0.460 - 0.435 - 0.421 + 0.458 - 0.447 + 0.450 + 0.472

(kilogram).. 1.056 1.012 1.014 0.959 0.928 1.010 0.985 0.992 1.041



Lead scrap . (pound) + 0.158 + 0.188 - 0.171 - 0.143 - 0.120 + 0.141 - 0.137 - 0.109 + 0.111

(kilogram),. 0.348 0.414 0.377 0.315 0.265 0.311 0.302 0.240 0.245



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., - 94.250 - 85.000 + 86.000 + 92.000 - 88.000 - 86.500 - 86.000 + 91.000 + 94.333

(metric ton).. 103.892 93.696 94.798 101.412 97.002 95.349 94.798 100.309 103.983



Tin .. , (pound) - 5.882 - 5.772 - 5.680 - 5.585 - 5.404 + 5.515 - 5.443 - 5.085 - 5.060

(kilogram).. 12.967 12.725 12.522 12.313 11.914 12.158 12.000 11.210 11.155



Zinc ... . (pound) - O.53O - 0.502 - 0.491 - 0.476 - 0.454 o 0.454 0 0.454 - 0.444 - 0 434

(kilogram).. 1.168 1.107 1.082 1.049 1.001 1.001 1.001 0.979 0.957



Burlap ... .. (yard) + 0.313 + 0.329 + 0.336 + 0.366 + 0.395 + 0.396 - 0.395 - 0.394 - 0.377

(meter).. 0.342 0.360 0.367 0.400 0.432 0.433 0.432 0.431 0.412



Cotton (pound).. - 0.763 - 0.683 - 0.640 - 0.625 + 0.626 - 0.610 + 0.617 - 0.610 - 0.602

(kilogram).. 1.682 1.506 1.411 1.378 1.380 1.345 1.360 1.345 1.327



Print cloth ... (yard). - 0.762 + 0.768 - 0.762 + 0.779 + 0.794 + 0.798 - 0.778 - 0.746 - 0.703

(meter),. 0.833 0.840 0.833 0.852 0.868 0.873 0.851 0.816 0.769



Wool tops (pound),. + 3.512 - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.743 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716



Hides , .(pound).. + 0.748 + 0.766 + 0.771 + 0.795 - 0.716 - 0.625 - 0.586 - 0.560 - 0.523

(kilogram).. 1.649 1.689 1.700 1.753 1.578 1.378 1.292 1.235 1.153



Rosin (100 pounds)., o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 , 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber. (pound).. - 0.475 - 0.464 + 0.465 - 0.464 - 0.437 - 0.426 - 0.422 - 0.421 + 0.422

(kilogram).. 1.047 1.023 1.025 1.023 0.963 0.939 0.930 0.928 0.930



Tallow (pound).. + 0.259 - 0.208 - 0.201 + 0.218 - 0.216 + 0.223 - 0.206 - 0.198 + 0.202

(kilogram).. 0.571 0.459 0.443 0.481 0.476 0.492 0.454 0.437 0.445



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( f ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for February 1 through 20; component prices are averages for February 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









FEBRUARY 1985 79

March 1985









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: BasicData and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1984 1985





July August September October November December January February March 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) ..., - 280.1 - 275.6 - 274.0 - 266.4 + 268.3 - 261.9 - 255.8 - 253.1 - 251.4



Percent rising of 13 components (35) (46) (46) (31) (58) (19) (23) (38) (62)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. - 0.459 + 0.460 - 0.435 - 0.421 + 0.458 - 0.447 + 0.450 + 0.462 - 0.452

(kilogram),. 1.012 1.014 0.959 0.928 1.010 0.985 0.992 1.019 0.996



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.188 0.171 - 0.143 - 0.120 + 0.141 - 0.137 - 0.109 o 0.109 - 0.098

(kilogram).. 0.414 0.377 0.315 0.265 0.311 0.302 0.240 0.240 0.216



Steel scrap (US ton). - 85.000 + 86.000 + 92.000 - 88.000 - 86.500 - 86.000 + 91.000 + 94.500 + 95.667

(metric ton).. 93.696 94.798 101.412 97.002 95.349 94.798 100.309 104.167 105.454



Tin . (pound).. - 5.772 - 5.680 - 5.585 - 5.404 + 5.515 - 5.443 - 5.085 - 5.040 + 5.187

(kilogram).. 12.725 12.522 12.313 11.914 12.158 12.000 11.210 11.111 11.435



Zinc (pound)., - 0.502 - 0.491 - 0.476 - 0.454 o 0.454 o 0.454 - 0.444 - 0.439 + 0.454

(kilogram).. 1.107 1.082 1.049 1.001 1.001 1.001 0.979 0.968 1.001



Burlap (yard).. + 0.329 + 0.336 + 0.366 + 0.395 + 0.396 - 0.395 - 0.394 - 0.374 - 0.358

(meter).. 0.360 0.367 0.400 0.432 0.433 0.432 0.431 0.409 0.392



Cotton : (pound)., - 0.683 0.640 - 0.625 + 0.626 - 0.610 + 0.617 - 0.610 - 0.599 + 0.609

(kilogram).. 1.506 1.411 1.378 1.380 1.345 1.360 1.345 1.321 1.343



Print cloth (yard) + 0.768 0.762 + 0.779 + 0.794 + 0.798 - 0.778 - 0.746 - 0.702 + 0.720

(meter).. 0.840 0.833 0.852 0.868 0.873 0.851 0.816 0.768 0.787



Wool tops (pound) - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716

Hides (pound)., + 0.766 + 0.771 + 0.795 - 0.716 - 0.625 - 0.586 - 0.560 - 0.520 + 0.542

(kilogram).. 1.689 1.700 1.753 1.578 1.378 1.292 1.235 1.146 1.195



Rosin (100 pounds) o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound).. - 0.464 + 0.465 - 0.464 - 0.437 - 0.426 - 0.422 - 0.421 o 0.421 - 0.414

(kilogram).. 1.023 1.025 1.023 0.963 0.939 0.930 0.928 0.928 0.913

Tallow (pound) - 0.208 - 0.201 + 0.218 - 0.216 + 0.223 - 0.206 - 0.198 + 0.202 + 0.204

(kilogram).. 0.459 0.443 0.481 0.476 0.492 0.454 0.437 0.445 0.450



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) ~ unchanged, and (—) - falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

The index is the average for March 1 through 21; component prices are averages for March 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









MARCH 1985 79

April 1985







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









0 1 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1984 1985.



August September October November December January February March April 1



967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 275.6 - 274.0 - 266.4 + 268.3 - 261.9 - 255.8 - 253.1 252.4 + 257.5

Percent rising of 13 components (46) (46) (31) (58) (19) (23) (38) (58) (73)



Dollars





Copper scrap , , (pound). + 0.460 - 0.435 - 0.421 + 0.458 - 0.447 + 0.450 + 0.462 - 0,454 + 0.481

(kilogram).. 1.014 0.959 0.928 1.010 0.985 0.992 1.019 1.001 1.060

Lead scrap (pound) 0.171 - 0.143 - 0.120 + 0.141 - 0.137 - 0.109 o 0.109 - 0.099 + 0.112

(kilogram).. 0.377 0.315 0.265 . 0.311 0.302 0.240 0.240 0.218 0.247

Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , + 86.000 + 92.000 - 88.000 - 86.500 - 86.000 + 91.000 + 94.500 + 95.500 - 86.000

(metric t o n ) . . 94.798 101.412 97.002 95.349 94.798 100.309 104.167 105.270 94.798

Tin (pound).. 5.680 5.585 - 5.404 "

+ 5.515 5.443 - 5.085 5.040 + 5.225 + 5.562

(kilogram).. 12.522 12.313 11.914 12.158 12.000 11.210 11.111 11.519 12.262

Zinc (pound) - 0.491 - 0.476 - 0.454 o 0.454 o 0.454 - 0.444 - 0.439 + 0.459 + 0.474

(kilogram).. 1.082 1.049 1.001 1.001 1.001 0.979 0.968 1.012 1.045

Burlap (yard).. + 0.336 + 0.366 + 0.395 + 0.396 0.395 - 0.394 - 0.374 - 0.356 + 0.364

(meter).. 0.367 0.400 0.432 0.433 0.432 0.431 0.409 0.389 0.398

Cotton (pound).. 0.640 - 0.625 + 0.626 0.610 + 0.617 - 0.610 - 0.599 + 0.612 + 0.636

(kilogram).. 1.411 1.378 1.380 1.345 1.360 1.345 1.321 1.349 1.402

Print cloth (yard)., - 0.762 + 0.779 + 0.794 + 0.798 - 0.778 - 0.746 0.702 o 0.702 - 0.645

(meter).. 0.833 0.852 0.868 0.873 0.851 0.816 0.768 0.768 0.705

Wool tops (pound).. o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 - 3.175

(kilogram)., 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.000

Hides (pound).. + 0.771 + 0.795 - 0.716 - 0.625 0.586 - 0.560 - 0.520 + 0.552 + 0.641

(kilogram).. 1.700 1.753 1.578 1.378 1.292 1.235 1.146 1.217 1.413

Rosin .. (100 pounds) o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100. kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound).. + 0.465 - 0.464 - 0.437 - 0.426 0.422 0.421 o 0.421 - 0.414 + 0.417

(kilogram).. 1.025 1.023 0.963 0.939 0.930 0.928 0.928 0.913 0.919

Tallow (pound) - 0.201 + 0.218 - 0.216 + 0.223 - 0.206 - 0.198 + 0.202 + 0.206 + 0.209

(kilogram).. 0.443 0.481 0.476 0.492 0.454 0.437 0.445 0.454 0.461

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

l

The index is the average for April 1 through 23; component prices are averages for April 2; 9, 16, and 23.

2

Data.are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









APRIL 1985 79

July 1985









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^ J SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1984 1985



November December January February March April May June July 1



967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) + 268.3 - 261.9 - 255.8 - 253.1 - 252.4 + 257.1 - 252.0 - 242.9 - 240.1

Percent rising of 13 components (58) (19) (23) (38) (58) (77) (38) (23) (42)



Dollars





Copper scrap • . (pound) + 0.458 - 0.447 + 0.450 + 0.462 - 0.454 + 0.479 - 0.475 - 0.471 - 0.456

(kilogram).. 1.O1O 0.985 0.992 1.019 1.001 1.056 1.047 1.038 1.005

Lead scrap '- (pound) '+ 0.141 - 0.137 - 0.109 o 0.109 - 0.099 + 0.114 + 0.120 - 0.112 - 0.108

(kilogram).. 6.311 0.302 0.240 0.240 0.213 0.251 0.265 0.247 0.238

Steel scrap , (U.S. ton).. - 86.500 - 86.000 + 91.000 +94.500 + 95.500 - 85.600 - 73.000 - 70.500 + 73.750

(metricton).. 95.349 94.798 100.309 104.167 105.270 94.357 80.468 77.712 81.295

Tin (pound)., + 5.515 - 5.443 - 5.085 - 5.040 + 5.225 + 5.528 + 5.545 + 5.650 + 5.820

(kilogram).. 12.158 12.000 11.210 11.111 11.519 12.187 12.225 12.456 12.831

Zinc (pound)., o 0.454 o 0.454 - 0.444 - 0.439 + 0.459 + 0.474 + 0.475 - 0.466 - 0.429

(kilogram)., 1.001 1.001 0.979 0.968 1.012 1.045 1.047 0.946

1.027

Burlap (yard)., + 0.396 - 0.395 - 0.394 - 0.374 - 0.356 + 0.362 - 0.358 - 0.323 - 0.305

(meter).. 0.433 0.432 0.431 0.409 0.389 0.396 0.392 0.353 0.334

Cotton (pound).. - 0.610 + 0.617 - 0.610 - 0.599 + 0.612 + 0.632 - 0.614 - 0.610 o 0.610

(kilogram).. 1.345 1.360 • 1.345 1.321 1.349 1.393 1.354 1.345 1.345

Print cloth , (yard) + 0.798 - 0.778 - 0.746 - 0.702 o 0.702 - 0.642 - 0.610 - 0.600 0 0.600

(meter).. 0.873 0.851 0.816 0.768 0.768 0.702 0.667 0.656 0.656

Wool tops (pound) o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 - 3.140 - 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram).. 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 6.922 6.614 6.614 6.614

Hides (pound) - 0.625 - 0.586 - 0.560 - 0.520 + 0.552 + 0.645 + 0.674 - 0.634 + 0.635

(kilogram).. 1.378 1.292 1.235 1.146 1.217 1.422 1.486 1.398 1.400

Rosin " (100 pounds) o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 + 47.600 + 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 104.939 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound) - 0.426 - 0.422 - 0.421 o 0.421 - 0.414 + 0.417 - 0.408 + 0.416 o 0.416

(kilogram).. 0.939 0.930 0.928 0.928 0.913 0.919 0.899 0.917

0.917

:

Tallow (pound).. + 0.223 - 0.206 - 0.198 + 0.202 + 0.206 + 0.208 - 0.192 - 0.165 - 0.154

(kilogram).. 0.492 0.454 0.437 0.445 0.454 0.459 0.364

0.423 0.340

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for July 1 through 24; component prices are averages for July 2, 9, 16, and 23,

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JULY 1985 79

August 1985









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX. COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1984 1985



December January February March April May June July August 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price irjdex (1967 = 100) .... - 261.9 - 255.8 - 253.1 - 252.4 + 257.1 - 252.0 - 242.9 - 240.7 - 240.0

Percent rising of 13 components (19) (23) (38) (58) (77) (38) (23) (38) (42)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. - 0.447 + 0.450 + 0.462 - 0.454 + 0.479 - 0,475 - 0.471 - 0.460 - 0.448

(kilogram)., 0.985 0.992 1.019 1.001 1.056 1.047 1.038 1.014 0.988

Lead scrap....: " (pound).. - 0.137 - 0.109 o 0.109 - 0.099 + 0.114 + 0.120 - 0.112 - 0.109 + 0.112

(kilogram).. 0.302 0.240 0.240 0.218 0.251 0.265 0.247 0.240 0.247

•Steel scrap .; (U.S. t o n ) . , - 86.000 + 91.000 + 94.500 + 95.500 - 85.600 - 73.000 - 70.500 + 74.000 + 79.000

(metric t o n ) . . 94.798 100.309 104.167 105.270 94.357 80.468 77.712 81.570 87.082

Tin (pound).. - 5.443 - 5.085 - 5.040 + 5.225 + 5.528 + 5.545 + 5.650 + 5.848 - 5.827

(kilogram).. 12.000 11.210 11.111 11.519 12.187 12.225 12.456 12.893 12.846

Zinc (pound).. o 0.454 - 0.444 - 0.439 + 0.459 + 0.474 + 0.475 - 0.466 - 0.426 - 0.414

(kilogram).. 1.001 0.979 0.968 1.012 1.045 1.047 1.027 0.939 0.913

Burlap (yard) - 0.395 - 0.394 - 0.374 - 0.356 + 0.362 - 0.358 - 0.323 - 0.306 - 0.292

(meter).. 0.432 0.431 0.409 0.389 0.396 0.392 0.353 0.335 0.319

Cotton • (pound).. + 0.617 - 0.610 - 0.599 + 0.612 + 0.632 - 0.614 - 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.595

(kilogram). : 1.360 1.345 1.321 1.349 1.393 1.354 1.345 1.340 1.312

Print cloth (yard) - 0.778 - 0.746 - 0.702 o 0.702 - 0.642 - 0.610 - 0.600 o 0.600 o 0.600

(meter), .• 0.851 0.816 0.768 0.763 0.702 0.667 0.656 0,656 0.656

Wool tops . . (pound) o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 - 3.140 - 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram).. 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 6.922 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614

Hides (pound) - 0,586 - 0.560 - 0.520 + 0.552 + 0.645 + 0.674 - 0.634 + 0.639 + 0.653

(kilogram).. 1.292 1.235 1.146 1.217 1.422 1.486 1.398 1.409 1.440

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 + 47.600 + 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 *o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 104.939 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. - 0.422 - 0.421 o 0.421 - 0.414 + 0.417 + 0.416

- 0.408 0 0.416 + 0.418

(kilogram).. 0.930 0.928 0.928 0.919

0.913 0.899 0.917 0.917 0.922

Tallow . . . , (pound)., - 0.206 - 0.198 + 0.202 + 0.206 + 0.208 - 0.192 - 0.165 - 0.154 - 0.146

(kilogram).. 0.454 0.437 0.445 0.454 0.459 0.423 0.364 0.340 0.322

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

*The index is the average for August 1 through 20; component prices are averages for August 6, 13, and 20.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1985 79

September 1985







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1985





January February March April May June July August September1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 255.8 - 253.1 - 252.4 + 257.1 - 252.0 - 242.9 - 240.7 - 239.8 - 238.0

Percent rising of 13 components (23) (38) (58) (77) (38) (23) (38) (46) (46)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.450 + 0.462 - 0.454 + 0.479 - 0.475 - 0.471 - 0.460 - 0,445 + 0.450

(kilogram).. 0.992 1.019 1.001 1.056 1.047 1.038 1.014 0.981 0.992

Lead scrap (pound)., - 0.109 o 0.109 - 0.099 + 0.114 + 0.120 - 0.112 - 0.109 + 0.112 - 0.111

(kilogram),. 0.240 0.240 0.218 0.251 0.265 0.247 0.240 0,247 0.245

Steel scrap ..,.'....• (U.S. t o n ) . , + 91.000 + 94.500 + 95.500 - 85,600 - 73.000 - 70.500 + 74.000 + 80.500 + 80.750

(metric ton).. 100.309 104.167 105.270 94.357 80.468 77.712 81.570 88.735 89.011

Tin (pound)., - 5.085 - 5.040 + 5.225 + 5.528 +• 5,545 + 5.650 + 5.848 - 5.835 - 5.698

(kilogram).. 11.210 11.111 11.519 12.187 12.225 12.456 12.893 12.864 12.562

Zinc (pound)., - 0.444 - 0.439 + 0.459 + 0.474 +. 0.475 - 0.466 - 0.426 - 0.414 - 0.406

(kilogram).. 0.979 0.968 1.012 1.045 1.047 1.027 0.939 0.913 0.895

Burlap (yard)., - 0.394 - 0.374 - 0.356 + 0.362 - 0.358 - 0.323 - 0.306 - 0.289 - 0.261

(meter).. 0.431 0.409 . 0.389 0.396 0.392 0.353 0.335 0.316 0.285

Cotton (pound).. - 0.610 - 0.599 + 0.612 + 0.632 - 0,614 - 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.592 - 0.579

(kilogram).. 1.345 1.321 1.349 1.393 1.354 1.345 1.340 1.305 1.276

Print cloth (yard)., - 0.746 - 0.702 o 0.702 - 0.642 - 0.610 - 0.600 o 0.600 + 0.602 + 0.635

(meter).. 0.816 0.768 0,768 0.702 0.667 0.656 0.656 0,658 0.694

Wool tops (pound)., o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 - 3.140 - 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram).. 7.716 7.716 7.716 6.922 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614

Hides (pound).. - 0.560 - 0.520 + 0.552 + 0.645 + 0.674 - 0.634 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.675

(kilogram).. 1.235 1.146 1.217 1.422 1.486. 1.398 1.409 1.446 1.488

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 + 47.600 + 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 104.939 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. - 0.421 o 0.421 - 0.414 + 0.417 - 0.408 + 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.422 + 0.432

(kilogram).. 0.928 0.928 0.913 0.919 0.899 0.917 0.917 0.930 0.952

Tallow (pound).. - 0.198 + 0.202 + 0.206 + 0.208 - 0.192 - 0.165 - 0.154 - 0.144 - 0.142

(kilogram).. 0.437 0.459 0.423 0.364 0.340 0.317 0.313

0.445 0.454

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged; and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

a

The index is the average for September 1 through 24; component prices are averages for September 3, 10, 17, and 24,

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









SEPTEMBER 1985 79

October 1985









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1985





February March April May June July August September October1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index ( 1 9 6 7 - 1 0 0 ) .... - 253.1 - 252.4 + 257.1 - 252.0 - 242,9 - 240.7 239.8 - 238.0 - 237.6

Percent rising of 13 components (38) (58) (77) (38) (23) (38) (46) (46) (38)



Dollars





Copper scrap .... . .(pound) .+ 0.462 - 0.454 + 0.479 - 0.475 - 0.471 - 0.460 0.445 + 0,450 + 0.456

(kilogram).. 1.019 1.001 1.056 1.047 1.038 1.014 0.981 0.992 1.005

Lead scrap (pound).. o 0.109 - 0.099 + 0.114 + 0.120 - 0.112 - 0.109 + 0.112 - 0.111 + 0.112

(kilogram).. 0.240 0.218 " 0,251 0.265 0.247 0.240 0.247 0.245 0.247

Steel scrap . . . , , . . (U.S. ton)., + 94.500 + 95.500 - 85.600 - 73.000 - 70.500 + 74.000 + 80.500 + 80.750 - 77.750

(metric ton).. 104.167 105.270 94.357 80.468 77.712 81.570 88.735 89.011 85.704

Tin (pound).. 5.040 + 5.225 + 5.528 + 5.545 + 5.650 + 5.848 5.835 - 5.698 - 5.695

(kilogram).. 11.111 11.519 12.187 12.225 12.456 12.893 12.864 12.562 12.555

Zinc (pound)., 0.439 + 0.459 '+ 0.474 + 0.475 - 0.466 - 0.426 - 0.414 - 0.406 - 0.384

(kilogram).. 0.968 1.012 1.045 1.047 1.027 0.939 0.913 0.895 0.847

Burlap (yard)., - 0.374 - 0.356 + 0.362 - 0.358 - 0.323 - 0.306 - 0.289 - 0.261 - 0.250

(meter).. 0.409 0.389 • 0.396 0.392 0.353 0.335 0.316 0.285 0,273

Cotton (pound).. 0.599 + 0.612 + 0.632 - 0.614 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.592 - 0.579 0.572

(kilogram).. 1.321 1.349 1.393 1.354 1.345 1.340 1.305 1.276 1.261

Print doth (yard).. - 0.702 o 0.702 - 0.642 - 0.610 0.600 o 0.600 + 0.602 + 0.635 + 0.674

(meter).. 0.768 0.768 . 0.702 0.667 0.656 0.656 0.658 0.694 0.737

Wool tops (pound)., o 3.500 o 3.500 3.140 - 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram).. 7.716 7.716 6.922 6.614 6.614 6,614 6.614 6,614 6.614

Hides , (pound)., - 0.520 + 0.552 + 0.645 + 0.674 - 0.634 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.675 - 0.674

(kilogram).. 1.146 1.217 1.422 1.486 1.398 1.446 1.488

1.409 1.486

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 + 47.600 + 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 104.939 .110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber.... (pound) o 0.421 - 0.414 + 0.417. 0.408 + 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.422 + 0.432 0.430

(kilogram).. 0.928 0.913 0.919 0.899 0.917 0.917 . 0.930 0.952 0.948

Tallow (pound).. + 0.202 + 0.206 + 0.208 - 0.192 - 0.165 - 0.154 0.144 - 0.142 + 0.144

(kilogram).. 0.445 0.454 0.459 0.423 0.364 0.340 0.313 0.317'

0.317

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown1 along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) --= falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

lr

The index is the average for October 1 through 22; component prices are averages for October 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc.- Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









OCTOBER 1985 79

November 1985







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









K I SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: BasicData and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1985





March April May June July August September October November1





F A

967. INDEX O SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS '





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... - 252.4 + 257.1 - 252.0 - 242.9 - 240.7 - 239.8 - 238.0 - 236.9 - 233.9

Percent rising of 13 components (58) (77) (38) (23) (38) (46) (46) (42) (31)



Dollars '





Copper scrap (pound).. - 0.454 + 0.479 - 0.475 - 0.47-1 - 0.460 - 0.445 + 0.450 + 0.457 - 0.453

(kilogram).. 1.001 1.056 1.047 1.038 • 1.014 0.981 0.992 1.008 0.999



Lead scrap (pound).. - 0.099 + 0.114 :+ 0.120 •- 0.112 - 0.109 + 0.112 - 0.111 o 0.111 - 0.108

(kilogram)..- 0.218 0.251 0.265 0.247 0.240 0.247 0.245 0.245 0.238



Steel scrap :... (U.S. ton)., + 95.500 - 85.600 - 73.000 - 70.500 + 74.000 + 80.500 + 80.750 - 77.600 + 78.000

(metric ton).. 105.270 94.357 80.468 77.712 81.570 88.735 89.011 85.538 85.979

Tin (pound).. + 5.225 + 5.528 + 5.545 + 5.650 + 5.848 - 5.835 - 5.698 - 5.684 - 9

5.640

(kilogram).. 11.519 12.187 12.225 12.456 12.893 12.864 12.562 12.531 12.434



Zinc , (pound).. + 0.459 ..+ 0.474 + 0.475 ' - 0.466 - 0.426 - 0.414 - 0.406 - 0.384 - 0.354

(kilogram).. 1.012 1.045 1.047 1.027 0.939 0.913 0.895 0.847 0.780

Burlap (yard).. - 0.356 + 0.362 - 0.358 - 0.323 - 0.306 - 0.289 - 0.261 - 0.248 - 0.244

(meter).. 0.389 0.396 0.392 0.353 0.335 0.316 0.285 0.271 0.267

' Cotton (pound).. + 0.612 + 0.632 - 0.614 - 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.592 - 0.579 - 0.573 - 0.571

(kilogram).. 1.349 1.393 1.354 1.345 1.340 1.305 1.276 1.263 1.259

Print cloth (yard).. o 0.702 - 0.642 - 0.610 - 0.600 o 0.600 + 0.602 + 0.635 + 0.675 + 0.703

(meter).. 0.768 0.702 0.667 0.656 0.656 0.658 0.694 0.738 0.769



Wool tops (pound).. o 3.500 - 3.140 - 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram).. 7.716 6,922 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614

Hides (pound).. + 0.552 + 0.645 + 0.674 - 0.634 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.675 + 0.677 + 0.725

(kilogram).. 1.217 1.422 1.486 1.398 1.409 1.446 1.488 1.493 1.598

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 + 47.600 + 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 104.939 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. - 0.414 + 0.417 - 0.408 + 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.422 + 0.432 - 0.429 - 0.422

(kilogram).. 0.913 0.919 0.899 0.917 0.917 0.930 0.952 0.946 0.930

Tallow (pound).. + 0.206 + 0.208 - 0.192 - 0.165 - 0.154 - 0.144 - 0.142 + 0.143 - 0,135

(kilogram).. 0.454 0.459 0.423 0.364 0.340 0.317 0.313 0.315 0.298



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) - rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

3

The index is the average for November 1 through 19; component prices are averages for November 5, 12, and 19.

;!

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Last official price (October 23).









J | ( ] | ) NOVEMBER 1985 79

December 1985







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX. COMPONENTS: BasicData and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1985





April May June July August September October November December1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS 2

A







Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 257.1 - 252.0 - 242.9 - 240.7 - 239.8 - 238.0 - 236.9 - 234,5 o 234.4



Percent rising of 13 components (77) (38) (23) (38) (46) (46) (42) (23) (42)





Dollars







Copper scrap ...; (pound).. + 0.479 - 0.475 - 0.471 - 0.460 - 0.445 + 0.450 + 0.457 - 0.454 + 0.473

(kilogram).. 1.056 1.047 1.038 1.014 0.981 0.992 1.008 1.001 1.043



Lead scrap : (pound).. . + 0.114 + 0.120 - 0.112 - 0.109 + 0.112 - 0.111 o 0.111 - 0.108 o 0.108

(kilogram).. 0.251 0.265 0.247 0.240 0.247 0.245 0.245 0.238 0.238



Steel scrap ; . . (U.S. ton).. - 85.600 - 73.000 - 70.500 + 74.000 + 80.500 + 80.750 - 77.600 - 77.000 + 78.000

(metric ton).. 94.357 80.468 77.712 81.570 88.735 89.011 85.538 84.877 85.979

3 3

Tin (pound) •+ 5.528 + 5.545 + 5.650 + 5.848 - 5.835 - 5.698 - 5.684 - 5.640 o 5.640

(kilogram).. 12.187 12.225 12.456 12.893 12.864 12.562 12.531 12.434 12.434



Zinc (pound)., + 0.474 + 0.475 - 0.466 - 0.426 - 0.414 - 0.406 - 0,384 - 0.354 o 0,354

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.047 1.027 0.939 0.913 0.895 0.847 0.780 0.780



Burlap (yard)., + 0.362 - 0.358 - 0.323 - 0.306 - 0.289 - 0.261 - 0.248 - 0.246 - 0.238

(meter).. 0.396 0.392 0.353 0.335 0.316 0.285 0.271 0.269 0.260



Cotton (pound) + 0.632 - 0.614 - 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.592 - 0.579 - 0.573 - 0.571 - 0.568

(kilogram).. 1.393 1.354 1.345 1.340 1.305 . 1.276 1.263 1.259 1.252



Print cloth (yard)., - 0.642 - 0.610 - 0.600 o 0.600 + 0.602 + 0.635 + 0.675 + 0.710 + 0.717

(meter).. 0.702 0.667 0.656 0.656 0.658 0.694 0.738 0.776 0.784



Wool tops (pound).. - 3.140 - 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram).. 6.92.2 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614



Hides (pound) + 0.645 + 0.674 - 0.634 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.675 + 0.677 + 0.726 - 0.717

(kilogram).. 1.422 1.486 1.398. 1.409 1.446 1.488 1.493 1.601 1.581



Rosin • (100 pounds).. + 47.600 + 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 104.939 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230



Rubber (pound).. + 0.417 - 0.408 + 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.422 + 0.432 - 0.429 - 0.422 - 0,403

(kilogram)... 0.919 0.899 0.917 0.917 0.930 0.952 0.946 0.930 0.888



.Tallow .(pound).. + 0.208 - 0.192 - 0.165 - 0.154 - 0.144 - 0.142 + 0.143 - 0.134 - 0.133

(kilogram).. 0.459 0.423 0.364 0.340 0.317 0.313 0.315 0.295 0.293



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-tq-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: '{ + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( — ) ' - falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

l

The index is the average for December 1 through 19; component prices are averages for December 3, 10, and 17.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau/ Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Last official price (October 23).









ItUI DECEMBER 1985 79

January 1986







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1985 1986





May June July August September October November December January 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... 252.0 - 242.9 - 240.7 239.8 - 238.0 - 236.9 - 234.5 + 235.0 + 237.6

Percent rising of 13 components .: (38) (23) (38) (46) (46) (42) (23) (58) (65)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. 0.475 - 0.471 - 0.460 - 0.445 + 0.450 + 0.457 - 0.454 + 0.473 +• 0.497

(kilogram).. 1.047 1.038 1.014 0.981 0.992 1.008 1.001 1.043 1.096



Lead scrap (pound).. + O.12O - 0,112 - 0.109 + 0.112 - 0.111 0 0.111 - 0.108 o 0.108 o 0.108

(kilogram).. 0.265 0.247 0.240 0.247 0.245 0.245 0.238 0.238 0.238

Steet scrap (U.S. ton)., - 73.000 - 70.500 + 74.000 + 80.500 + 80.750 - 77.600 - 77.000 + 79.800 + 83.333

(metricton).. 80.468 77,712 81.570 88.735 89.011 85.538 84.877 87.964 91.858

Tin (pound).. + 5:. 545 + 5.650 + 5.848 - 5.835 - 5.698 - 5.684 - 3

5.640 o 3

5.640 o 3

5.640

(kilogram).. 12.225 12.456 12.893 12.864 12.562 12.531 12.434 12.434 12.434



Zinc .(pound) + 0.475 0.466 - 0.426 - 0.414 - 0.406 - 0.384 - 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354

(kilogram).. 1.047 1.027 0.939 0.913 0.895 0.847 0.780 0.780 0.780

Burlap (yard).. - 0.358 0.323 - 0.306 - 0.289 - 0.261 - 0.248 - 0.246 - 0.242 + 0.252

(meter).. 0.392 0.353 0.335 0.316 0.285 0.271 0.269 0.265 0.276

Cotton .... . .(pound) - 0.614 - 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.592 - 0.579 - 0.573 - 0.571 + 0.573 + 0.592

(kilogram).. 1.354 1.345 1.340 1.305 1.276 1.263 1.259 1.263 1.305



Print doth (yard) 0.610 - 0.600 o 0.600 + 0.602 +" 0.635 + 0.675 + 0.710 + 0.718 - 0.707

(meter).. 0.667 0.656 0.656 0.658 0.694 0.738 0.776 0.785 0.773

Wool tops (pound)., 3.000 o 3.000 b 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram)., 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614



Hides • ... .(pound) + 0.674 - 0.634 "+ 0.639 + 0.656 +• 0.675 + 0.677 + 0.726 - 0.707 - 0.675

(kilogram).. 1.486 1.398 1.409 1.446 1.488 1.493 1.601 1.559 1.488

Rosin (100 pounds).. + 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50,000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. 0.408 + 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.422 + 0.432 - 0.429 - 0.422 - 0.404 + 0.405

(kilogram) 0.899 0.917 0.917 0.930 0.952 0.946 0.930 0.891 0.893

Tallow (pound) - 0.192 - 0.165 - 0.154 0.144 - 0.142 + 0.143 - 0.134 + 0.136 + 0.141

(kilogram),. ' 0.423 0.364 0.340 0.317 0.313 0.315 0.295 0.300 0.311



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the mqnth-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) =.rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available. , , . .

1

The index is the average for January 2 through 23; component prices are averages for January 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Last official price (October 23).









JANUARY 1986 79

February 1986









B CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1985 1986





June July August September October November December January February 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS 2

A





R w industrials price index (1967 = 100)

a - 242.9 - 240.7 - 239.8 238.0 - 236.9 - 234.5 + 235.0 + 236.9 ._ 233.7

Percent rising of 13 components (23) (33) (46) (46) (42) (23) (58) (62) (38)



Dollars





Copper scrap.. (pound).. - 0.471 - 0.460 0.445 + 0.450 + 0.457 0.454 + 0.473 + 0.499 - 0.486

(kilogram).. 1.038 1.014 0.981 0.992 1.008 1.001 1.043 1.100 1.071



Lead scrap ... (pound).. - 0.112 - 0.109 + 0.112 0.111 o 0.111 - 0.108 o 0.108 - 0.107 - 0.104

(kilogram).. 0.247 0.240 0.247 0.245 0.245 0.238 0.238 0.236 0.229



Steel scrap .. (U.S. ton)., - 70.500 + 74.000 + 80.500 + 80.750 - 77.600 - 77.000 + 79.800 + 82.500 - 82,000

(metric ton).. 77.712 81.570 88.735 89.011 85.538 84.877 87.964 90.940 90.389



Tin . (pound) . + 5.650 + 5.848- - 5.835 - 5.698 - 5.684 - 3

5.640 o 3

5.640 0

3

5.640 0

3

5.640

(kilogram).. 12.456 12.893 12.864 12.562 12.531 12.434 12.434 12.434 12.434



Zinc (pound).. - 0.466 - 0.426 - 0.414 - 0.406 - 0.384 - 0.354 o 0.354 0 0.354 0 0.354

(kilogram).. 1.027 0.939 0.913 0.895 0.847 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780



Burlap (yard) - 0.323 - 0.306 - 0.239 - 0.261 0.248 0.246 0.242 + 0.248 - 0.231

(meter).. 0.353 0.335 0.316 0.285 0.271 0.269 0.265 0.271 0.253



Cotton (pound).. - 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.592 - 0.579 - 0.573 - 0.571 + 0.573 + 0.591 + 0.606

(kilogram).. 1.345 1.340 1.305 1.276 1.263 1.259 1.263 1.303 1.336



Print cloth ... (yard).. - 0.600 0 0.600 + 0.602 + 0.635 + 0.675 + 0.710 + 0.718 - 0.698 - 0.658

(meter).. 0.656 0.656 0.658 0.694 0.738 0.776 0.785 0.763 0.720

Wool tops ... (pound)., o 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 0 3.000

(kilogram).. 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614

Hides (pound).. - 0.634 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.675 + 0.677 + 0.726 0.707 - 0.674 + 0.682

(kilogram),. 1.398 1.409 1.446 1.488 1.493 1.601 1.559 1.486 1.504

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber .(pound).. + 0.416 0 0.416 + 0.422 + 0.432 - 0.429 - 0.422 - 0.404 + 0.406 + 0.425

(kilogram).. 0,917 0.917 0.930 0.952 0.946 0.930 0.891 0.895 0.937

Tallow (pound),. 0.165 0.154 - 0.144 - 0.142 + 0.143 0.134 + 0.136 + 0.139 0.128

(kilogram).. 0.364 0.340 0.317 0.313 0.315 0.295 0.300 0.306 0.282



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling, The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

J

The index is the average for February 3 through 25; component prices are averages for February 4, 11, 18, and 25.

z

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Last official price (October 23).









FEBRUARY 1986 79

March 1986







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued







[



0 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Dafe and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1985 1986





July August September ()ctober November December January February March1





967 INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS 2









Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 240.7 - 239.8 - 238.0 - 236.9 - 234.5 + 235.0 + 236.9 233.3 _ 222.6



Percent rising' of 13 components (38) (46); (46) (42) (23) (58) (62) (38) (38)





Dollars





Copper scrap ,.. (pound).. 0.460 - 0.445 + 0.450 + 0.457 - 0.454 + 0.473 + 0.499 0.486 -t- 0.501

(kilogram).. 1.014 0.981 0.992 1.008 1.001 1.043 1.100 1.071 1.105



Lead scrap . .(pound) - 0.1O9 + 0.112 - 0.111 0 0.111 - 0.108 0 0.108 - 0.107 - 0.104 0 0.104

(kilogram).. 0,240 0.247 0.245 0.24.5 0.238 0.238 0.236 0.229 0.229



Steel scrap (U.S. ton).. + 74.000 + 80.500 •+ 80.750 - 77.600 - 77.000 + 79.800 + 82.500 - 82.000 - 78.000

(metric ton).. 81.570 88.735 89.011 85.538 84.877 87.964 90.940 90.389 85.979



Tift .

- (pound).. + 5.348 - 5.835 - 5.698 - 5.684 - 3

5.640 0

3

5.640 o 3

5.640 0

3

5.640 - 4.157

(kilogram).. 12.893 12.864 12.562 12.531 12.434 12.434 12.434 12.434 9.165



Zinc ... (pound).. - 0.426 0.414 - 0.406 - 0.384 - 0.354 0 0.354 o 0.354 0 0.354 0 0.354

(kilogram).. 0.939 0.913 0.895 0.847 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780



Burlap (yard)., - 0.306 - 0.289 - 0.261 - 0.248 - 0.246 - 0.242 + 0.248 - 0.231 - 0.224

(meter).. 0.335 0.316 0.285 0.271 0.269 0.265 0.271 0.253 0.245



Cotton (pound).. - 0.608 - 0.592 ' - 0.579 - 0.573 - 0.571 + 0.573 + 0.591 + 0.606 + 0.626

(kilogram).. 1.340 1.305 1.276 1.263 1.259 1.263 1.303 1.336 1.380



Priftt cloth • • (yard) 0 0.600 + 0.602 + 0.635 + 0.675 + 0.710 + 0.718 - 0.698 - 0.658 - 0.643

(meter).. 0.656 0.658 0.694 0,738 0.776 0.785 0.763 0.720 0.703



WoGl tops (pound)., 0 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 0 3.000

(kilogram).. 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614



Hid^s (pound)., + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.675 + 0.677 + 0.726 - 0.707 0.674 + 0.682 - 0.673

(kilogram).. 1.409 1.446 1.488 1.493 1.601 1.559 1.486 1.504 1.484



Rosiin (100 pounds).. 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230



Rubber (pound).. 0 0.416 + 0.422 + 0.432 - 0.429 0.422 - 0.404 + 0.406 + 0.425 + 0.428

(kilogram).. 0.917 0.930 0.952 0.946 0.930 0.891 0.895 0.937 0.944



Tallow (pound) - 0.154 0.144 - 0.142 + 0.143 - 0.134 + 0.136 + 0.139 - 0.128 - 0.107

(kilogram).. 0.340 0.317 0.313 0.315 0.295 0.300 0.306 0.282 0.236



NOTI?: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + )' = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

lr

The index is the average for March 3 through 21; component prices are averages for March 4, 11, and 18.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Official price for October 23, 1985.









MARCH 1986 79

April 1986









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued







Diffusion index components 1985 1986



August September October November December January February March April1



967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) 239.8 238.0 236.9 234.5 235.0 + 236.9 233.3 223.1 219.7

Percent rising of 13 components ... (46) (46) (42) (23) (58) (62) (38) (35) (54)



Dollars







Copper scrap ....(pound), - 0.445 + 0.450 + 0.457 - 0.454 + 0.473 + 0.499 - 0.486 + 0.505 - 0.492

(kilogram). 0.981 0.992 1.008 1.001 1.043 1.100 1.071 1.113 1.085

Lead scrap (pound). + 0.112 - 0.111 o 0.111 0.108 o 0.108 - 0.107 - 0.104 + 0.105 + 0.110

(kilogram). 0.247 0.245 0.245 0.238 0.238 0.236 0.229 0.231 0.243

Steel scrap . . . (U.S. ton), + 80.500 + 80.750 - 77.600 - 77.000 + 79.800 + 82.500 - 82.000 - 77.250 - 75.000

(metric ton). 88.735 89.011 85.538 84.877 87.964 90.940 90.389 85.153 82.673

3 3 3 3

Tin .. .(pound). - 5.835 - 5.698 5.684 - 5.640 o 5.640 o 5.640 o 5.640 - 4.000 3.302

(kilogram). 12.864 12.562 12.531 12.434 12.434 12.434 12.434 8.818 7.280

Zinc (pound). - 0.414 - 0.406 - 0.384 - 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354 - 0.339

(kilogram). 0.913 0.895 0.847 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.747

Burlap (yard). - 0.289 - 0.261 - 0.248 - 0.246 - 0.242 + 0.248 - 0.231 - 0.225 + 0.230

(meter). 0.316 0.285 0.271 0.269 0.265 0.271 0.253 0.246 0.252



Cotton (pound). 0.592 - 0.579 - 0.573 0.571 + 0.573 + 0.591 + 0.606 + 0.628 + 0.637

(kilogram). 1.305 1.276 1.263 1.259 1.263 1.303 1.336 1.384 1.404

Print cloth (yard). + 0.602 + 0.635 + 0.675 + 0.710 + 0.718 - 0.698 - 0.658 - 0.642 + 0.645

(meter). 0.658 0.694 0.738 0.776 0.785 0.763 0.720 0.702 0.705

Wool tops (pound). o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram). 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614

Hides (pound). + 0.656 + 0.675 + 0.677 + 0.726 - 0.707 - 0.674 + 0.682 - 0.678 + 0.719

(kilogram). 1.446 1.488 1.493 1.601 1.559 1.486 1.504 1.495 1.585

Rosin ...(100 pounds). o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms). 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound). + 0.422 + 0.432 - 0.429 0.422 0.404 + 0.406 + 0.425 - 0.423 - 0.392

(kilogram). 0.930 0.952 0.946 0.930 0.891 0.895 0.937 0.933 0.864

Tallow (pound). - 0.144 - 0.142 + 0.143 - 0.134 + 0.136 + 0.139 - 0.128 - 0.106 + 0.109

(kilogram). 0.317 0.313 0.315 0.295 0.300 0.306 0.282 0.234 0.240

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

lr

The index is the average for April 1 through 22; component prices are averages for April 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

0fficial price for October 23, 1985.









APRIL 1986 79

May 1986







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED'DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1985 1986





September October November December January February March April May1





967 INDEX OF SPOTMARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS 2

A





R w industrials price index (1967 = 100)

a - 238.0 - 236.9 - 234.5 + 235.0 + 236.9 - 233.3 _ 223.1 - 219.9 + 221.3

Percent rising of 13 components (46) (42) (23) (58) (62) (38) (35) (54) (62)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) + 0.450 + 0.457 - 0.454 + 0.473 + 0.499 - 0.486 0.505 - 0.488 0.464

(kilogram).. 0.992 1.008 1.001 1.043 1.100 1.071 1.113 1.076 1.023



Lead scrap.. (pound)., - 0.111 o 0.111 - 0.108 o 0.108 - 0.107 0.104 + 0.105 + 0.110 + 0.114

(kilogram).. 0.245 0.245 0.238 0.238 0.236 0.229 0.231 0.243 0.251



Steel scrap . (US ton).. + 80.750 - 77.600 - 77.000 + 79.800 + 82.500 - 82.000 - 77.250 - 74.400 - 72.000

(metric ton).. 89.011 85.538 84.877 87.964 90.940 90.389 85.153 82.011 79.366

1 3 3 3 3

Tin • . .(pound) . - 5.698 5.684 - 5.640 o 5.640 o 5.640 o 5.640 - 4.000 - 3.284 - 3.123

(kilogram).. 12.562 12.531 12.434 12.434 12.434 12.434 8.818 7.240 6.885



Zinc (pound).. - 0.406 - 0.384 - 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354 0 0.354 - 0.339 + 0.354

(kilogram).. 0.895 0.847 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.747 0.780

Burlap • (yard) - 0.261 - 0.248 - 0.246 - 0.242 + 0.248 0.231 - 0.225 + 0.231 + 0.238

(meter).. 0.285 0.271 0.269 0.265 0.271 0.253 0.246 0.253 0.260

Cotton (pound).. - 0.579 0.573 - 0.571 + 0.573 + 0.591 + 0.606 0.628 + 0.639 + 0.654

(kilogram).. 1.276 1.263 1.259 1.263 1.303 1.336 1.384 1.409 1.442

Print cloth .. (yard).. + 0.635 + 0.675 + 0.710 + 0.718 - 0.698 - 0.658 - 0.642 + 0.648 + 0.687

(meter).. 0.694 0.738 0.776 0.785 0.763 0.720 0.702 0.709 0.751

Wool tops .. (pound).. o 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000

(kilogram).. 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614

Hides (pound)., + 0.675 + 0.677 + 0.726 - 0.707 - 0.674 + 0.682 - 0.678 + 0.729 + 0.787

(kilogram).. 1.488 1.493 1.601 1.559 1.486 1.504 1.495 1.607 1.735

Rosin ...(100 pounds).. o 50,000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound)., + 0.432 - 0.429 - 0.422 0.404 + 0.406 + 0.425 - 0.423 - 0.392 + 0.398

(kilogram),. 0.952 0.946 0.930 0.891 0.895 0.937 0.933 0.864 0.877

Tallow (pound).. - 0.142 + 0.143 - 0,134 + 0.136 + 0.139 0.128 - 0.106 + 0.108 - 0.102

(kilogram).. 0.313 0.315 0.295 0.300 0.306 0.282 0.234 0.238 0.225



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) - falling. The "r" indicates revised; " p "

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

The index is the average for May 1-22; component prices are averages for May 6, 13, and 20.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

'Official price for October 23, 1985.









MAY 1986 79

June 1986









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^ 9 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1985 1986





October November December January February March April May June 1



2

A

96 /. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... - 236.9 - 234.5 + 235.0 + 236.9 - 233.3 - 223.1 - 219.9 + 221.3 + 224.5

Percent rising of 13 components (42) (23) (58) (62) (38) (35) (54) (62) (73)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.457 - 0.454 + 0.473 + 0.499 - 0.486 + 0.505 - 0.488 - 0.464 + 0.466

(kilogram),. 1.008 1.001 1.043 1.100 1.071 1.113 , 1.076 1.023 1.027



Lead scrap (pound)., o 0.111 - 0.108 o 0.108 - 0.107 - 0.104 + 0.105 + 0.110 + 0.114 + 0.126

(kilogram).. 0.245 0.238 0.238 0.236 0.229 0.231 0.243 0.251 0.278



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., - 77.600 - 77.000 + 79.800 + 82.500 - 82.000 - 77.250 - 74.400 - 71.500 - 70.000

(metric ton).. 85.538 84.877 87.964 90.940 90.389 85.153 82.011 78.814 77.161

3 3 3 3

Tin (pound) - 5.684 - 5.640 o 5.640 o 5.640 o 5.640 - 4.000 - 3.284 - 3.115 + 3.195

(kilogram).. 12.531 12.434 12.434 12.434 12.434 8.818 7.240 6.867 7.044



Zinc (pound)., - 0.384 -' 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354 o 0.354 - 0.339 + 0.354 + 0.395

(kilogram).. 0.847 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.747 0.780 0.871

Burlap (yard).. - 0.248 - 0.246 - 0.242 + 0.248 - 0.231 - 0.225 + 0.231 + 0.240 + 0.247

(meter).. 0.271 0.269 0.265 0.271 0.253 0.246 0.253 0.262 0.270



Cotton (pound)., - 0.573 - 0.571 + 0.573 + 0.591 + 0.606 + 0.628 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.669

(kilogram).. 1.263 1.259 1.263 1.303 1.336 1.384 1.409 1.446 1.475

Print cloth (yard)., + 0.675 + 0.710 + 0.718 - 0.698 - 0.658 - 0.642 + 0.648 + 0.690 + 0.702

(meter).. 0.738 0.776 0.785 0.763 0.720 0.702 0.709 0.755 0.768

Wool tops (pound).. o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 + 3.200

(kilogram).. 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 7.055

Hides (pound).. + 0.677 + 0.726 - 0.707 - 0.674 + 0.682 - 0.678 + 0.729 + 0.786 - 0.785

(kilogram).. 1.493 1.601 1.559 1.486 1.504 1.495 1.607 1.733 1.731

Rosin (100 pounds) o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. - 0.429 - 0.422 - 0.404 + 0.406 + 0.425 - 0.423 - 0.392 + 0.401 + 0.408

(kilogram).. 0.946 0.930 0.891 0.895 0.937 0.933 0.864 0.884 0.899

Tallow (pound).. + 0.143 - 0.134 + 0.136 + 0.139 - 0.128 - 0.106 + 0.108 - 0.100 - 0.087

(kilogram).. 0.315 0.295 0.300 0.306 0.282 0.234 0.238 0.220 0.192



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) ~ unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

lf

fhe index is the average for June 2-25; component prices are averages for June 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Official price for October 23, 19S5.









JUNE 1986 79

July 1986









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q | SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directionsof Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1985 1986





November December January February March April May June July1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





R w industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . .

a - 234.5 + 235.0 + 236.9 - 233.3 - 223.1 - 219.9 221.3 + 225.0 + 227.5



Percent rising of 13 components (23) (58) (62) (38) (35) • (54) (62) (65) (50)





Dollars





Copper scrap ... . . . . (pound) - 0.454 + 0.473 0.499 - 0.486 + 0.505 - 0.488 - 0.464 + 0.466 - 0.431

(kilogram).. l.OOl 1.043 1.100 1.071 1.113 1.076 1.023 1.027 0.950



0.108 o 0.108 0.107

_ 0.104 + 0.105 + 0.110 + 0.114 + 0.126 + 0.131

Lead scrap (pound)

(kilogram).. 0.238 0.238 0.236 0.229 0.231 0.243 0.251 0.278 0.289



Steel scrap . (U.S. ton).. - 77.000 + 79.800 + 82.500 - 82.000 - 77.250 - 74.400 - 71.500 - 70.000 o 70.000

(metric ton).. 84.877 87.964 90.940 90.389 85.153 82.011 78.814 77.161 77,161

3 3 3 3

Tin (pound).. - 5.640 o 5.640 0 5.640 0 5.640 - 4.000 - 3.284 3.115 - 3.060 - 3,055

(kilogram).. 12.434 12.434 12.434 12.434 8.818 7.240 6.867 6.746 6.735



Zinc (pound).. - 0.354 o 0.354 0 0.354 0 0.354 o 0.354 - 0.339 + 0.354 + 0.395 + 0,431

(kilogram).. 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.747 0.780 0.871 0.950



Burlap (yard)., 0.246 - 0.242 + 0.248 - 0.231 - 0.225 + 0.231 + 0.240 + 0.247 - 0.242

(meter).. 0.269 0.265 0.271 0.253 0.246 0.253 0.262 0.270 0.265



Cotton (pound) - 0.571 + 0.573 + 0.591 + 0.606 + 0.628 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.669 0.667

(kilogram).. 1.259 1.263 1.303 1.336 1.384 1.409 1.446 1.475 1.470



Print cloth . (yard). + 0.718 0.698 0.658 - 0.642 + 0.648 + 0.690 + . 0.702 + 0.715

+ 0.710 - -

(meter).. 0.776 0.785 0.763 0.720 0.702 0.709 0.755 0.768 0.782



Wool tops .. (pound). o 3.000 o 3.000 n 3.000 n 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 n 3.000 + 3.200 o 3.200

(kilogram).. 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 7.055 7.055



Hides (pound).. + 0.726 - 0.707 - 0.674 + 0.682 - 0.678 + 0.729 + 0.786 - 0.785 - 0.780

(kilogram).. 1.601 1.559 1.486 1.504 1.495 1.607 1.733 1,731 1.720



Rosin • (100 pounds).. o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230



Rubber . (pound) - 0.422 - 0.404 + 0.406 + 0.425 - 0.423 - 0.392 + 0.401 + 0.408 + 0.434

(kilogram).. 0.930 0.891 0.895 0.937 0.933 0.864 0.884 0.899 0.957



Tallow (pound).. - 0.134 + 0.136 + 0.139 - 0.128 - 0.106 + 0.108 - 0.100 0.087 + 0.095

(kilogram).. 0.295 0.300 0.306 0.282 0.234 0.238 0.220 0.192 0.209



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for July 1-25; component prices are averages for July 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Official price for October 23, 1985.









JULY 1986 79

August 1986









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Date and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion i ndex components 1985 1986





December January February March April May June July August1



2

F A

967. INDEX O SPOT MARKET PRICES R W INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 235.0 236.9 - 233.3 - 223.1 - 219.9 + 221.3 + 225.0 + 227.6 - 211.8



Percent risin g of 13 components (58) (62) (38) (35) (54) (62) (65) (50) (46)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. 0.473 0.499 - 0.486 0.505 0.488 - 0.464 0.466 0.428 0.418



(kilogram).. 1.043 1.100 1.071 1.113 1.076 1.023 1.027 0.944 0.922

Lead scrap (pound),. 0 0.108 - 0.107 - 0.104 0.105 + 0.110 + 0.114 + 0.126 + 0.130 0.126

(kilogram).. 0.238 0.236 0.229 0.231 0.243 0.251 0.278 0.287 0.278

Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., 79.800 + 82.500

+ - 82.000 - 77.250 - 74.400 - 71.500 - 70.000 o 70.000 + 75.000

(metric ton).. 87.964 90.940 90.389 85.153 82.011 78.814 77.161 77.161 82.673

3 3

Tin (pound).. 0 5.640 0 5.640 o 3

5.640 - 4.000 - 3.284 - 3.115 - 3.060 - 3.056 + 3.073

(kilogram).. 12.434 12.434 12.434 8.818 7.240 6.867 6.746 6.737 6.775

Zinc (pound)., 0 0.354 0 0.354 o 0.354 0 0.354 - 0.339 + 0.354 + 0.395 + 0.430 + 0.444

(kilogram).. 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.780 0.747 0.780 0.871 0.948 0.979

Burlap (yard).. 0.242 0.248 0.225

- + - 0.231 - + 0.231 0.240 + 0.247 - 0.242 - 0.229

(meter).. 0.265 0.271 0.253 0.246 0.253 0.262 0.270 0.265 0.250

Cotton (pound).. + 0.573 + 0.591 + 0.606 + 0.628 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.669 - 0.666

(kilogram).. 1.263 1.303 1.336 1.384 1.409 1.446 1.475 1.468 0.'586

Print cloth (yard)., + 0.718 - 0.698 0.658 - 0.642 + 0.648 + 0.690 + 0.702 + 0.712 - 0.700

(meter).. 0.785 0.763 0.720 0.702 0.709 0.755 0.768 0.779 0.766

Wool tops (pound)., 0 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 + 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.267

(kilogram).. 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 7.055 7.055 7.202

Hides (pound)., - 0.707 - 0.674 + 0.682 - 0.678 + 0.729 + 0.786 - 0.785 - 0.784 - 0.777

(kilogram).. 1.559 1.486 1.504 1.495 1.607 1.733 1.731 1.728 1.713

Rosin (100 pounds).. 0 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. - 0.404 + 0.406 + 0.425 - 0.423 0.392 + 0.401 + 0.408 + 0.434 o 0.434

(kilogram).. 0.891 0.895 0.937 0.933 0.864 0.884 0.899 0.957 0.957

Tallow (pound).. 0.136 + 0.139

+

- 0.128 - 0.106 + 0.108 - 0.100 - 0.087 + 0.097 + 0.098

(kilogram).. 0.300 0.306 0.282 0.234 0.238 0.220 0.192 0.214 0.216



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

^he index is the average for August 1 through 25; component prices are averages for August 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Official price for October 23, 1985.

"Data beginning August 1, 1986, reflect a change in the domestic Federal price support for cotton.









AUGUST 1986 79

October 1986









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j^J SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directionsof Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1986





February March April May June July August September October 1





967. INDEX OF SPOTMARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





a

R w industrials price-index (1967 = 100) - 233.3 - 223.1 _ 219.9 + 221.3 + 225.0 + 227.6 212.0 + 221.2 + 234.8

Percent rising of 13 components (38). (35) (54) (62) (65) (50) (50) (65) (73)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., 0.486 + 0.505 - 0.488 - 0.464 +' 0.466 - 0.428 - 0.416 + 0.444 - 0.428

(kilogram).. 1.071 1.113 1.076 1.023 1.027 0.944 0.917 0.979 0.944



Lead s c r a p . . (pound).. 0.104 + 0.105 0.110 0.114 + 0.126 + 0.130 - 0.126 + 0.138 + 0.153

(kilogram).. 0.229 0.231 0.243 0.251 0.278 0.287 0.278 0.304 0.337

Steel scrap . . (U.S. ton)., - 82.000 - 77.250 - 74.400 - 71.500 - 70.000 o 70.000 + 74.750 - 72.600 - 71.500

(metric t o n ) . . 90.389 85.153 82.011 78.814 77.161 77.161 82.397 80.027 78.814

Tin (pound).. 3

o 5.640 - 4.000 - 3.284 - 3.115 - 3.060 - 3.056 + 3.068 - 3.052 + 3.138

(kilogram).. 8.818 7.240 6.867 6.746 6.737 6.764 6.728 6.918

12.434

Zinc .. .(pound). o 0.354 o 0.354 - 0.339 0.354 + 0.395 + 0.430 + 0.444 + 0.453 + 0.481

(kilogram),. 0.780 0.780 0.747 0.780 0.871 0.948 0.979 0.999 1.060

Burlap • (yard) - 0.231 - 0.225 0.231 + 0.240 + 0.247 - 0.242 - 0.229 - 0.220 - 0.217

(meter).. 0.253 0.246 0.253 0.262 0.270 0.265 0.250 0.241 0.237

(pound).. A

Cotton

+ 0.606 + 0.628 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.669 - 0.666 - 0.267 + 0.336 + 0.442

(kilogram).. 1.336 1.384 1.409 1.446 1.475 1.468 0.589 0.741 0.974

Print c l o t h . . . (yard)., 0.658 - 0.642 0.648 0.690 + 0.702 + 0.712 - 0,700 + 0.760 + 0.868

(meter)..

+ +

0.720 0.702 0.709 0.755 0.768 0.779 0.766 0.831 0.949



Wool tops (pound) o 3.000 o 3.000 0 3.000 0 3.000 + 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.275 + 3.300 + 3.805

(kilogram).. 6.614 6.614 6.614 6.614 7.055 7.055 7.220 7.275 8.389

Hides (pound).. + 0.682 - 0.678 + 0.729 + 0.786 - 0.785 - 0.784 - 0.768 - 0.745 + 0.760

(kilogram).. 1.504 1.495 1.607 1.733 1.731 1.728 1.693 1.642 1.675

Rosin . (100 pounds) o 50.000 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

o 50.000 0 50.000 0 0

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound) + 0.425 - 0.423 0.392 0.401 + 0.408 + 0.434 + 0.435 + 0.451 + 0.468

-

(kilogram).. 0.884 0.899 0.957 0.959 0.994 1.032

0.937 0.933 0.864

Tallow (pound).. 0.100 - 0.087 + 0.097 0.098 + 0.112 + 0.123

0.128 0.106 + 0.108 - +

(kilogram)., 0.234 0.238 0.220 0.192 0.214 0.216 0.247 0.271

0.282



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) ' = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (—) = falling. The " r " indicates revised; " p " ,

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for October 1 through 28; component prices are averages for October 7, 14, 21, and 28.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Official price for October 23, 1985.

''Data beginning August 1, 1986, reflect a change in the domestic Federal price support for cotton.









OCTOBER 1986 79

November 1986







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









M l SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1986





March April May June July August September October November1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS 2

A





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... - 223.1 - 219.9 + 221.3 + 225.0 + 227.6 - 212.0 + 221.2 + 235.5 + 243.7



Percent rising of 13 components (35) (54) (62) (65) (50) (50) (65) (73) (62)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. + O.5O5 - 0.488 - 0.464 + 0.466 - 0.428 0.416 + 0.444 - 0.431 - 0.429

(kilogram).. 1.113 1.076 1.023 1.027 0.944 0.917 0.979 0.950 0.946



Lead scrap (pound)., + 0.105 + 0.110 + 0.114 + 0.126 + 0.130 - 0.126 + 0.138 + 0.153 + 0.173

(kilogram).. 0.231 0.243 0.251 0.278 0.287 0.278 0.304 0.337 0.381



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., - 77.250 - 74.400 - 71.500 - 70.000 o 70.000 + 74.750 - 72.600 - 71.500 - 71.000

(metric ton).. 85.153 82.011 78.814 77.161 77.161 82.397 80.027 78.814 78.263



Tin (pound).. 4.000 - 3.284 - 3.115 - 3.060 - 3.056 + 3.068 3.052 + 3.138 + 3.430

(kilogram).. 8.818 7.240 6.867 6.746 6.737 6.764 6.728 6.918 7.562



Zinc (pound) o 0.354 - 0.339 + 0.354 + 0.395 + 0.430 + 0.444 + 0.453 + 0.481 + 0.489

(kilogram).. 0.780 0.747 0.780 0.871 0.948 0.979 0.999 1.060 1.078



Burlap (yard).. - 0.225 + 0.231 + 0.240 + 0.247 - 0.242 - 0.229 - 0.220 - 0.217 + 0.218

(meter)'.. 0.246 0.253 0.262 0.270 0.265 0.250 0.241 0.237 0.238

3

Cotton (pound).. + 0.628 + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.669 - 0.666 - D.267 + 0.336 + 0.442 + 0.457

(kilogram).. 1.384 1.409 1.446 1.475 1.468 0.589 0.741 0.974 1.008



Print cloth (yard)., - 0.642 + 0.648 + 0.690 + 0.702 + 0.712 0.700 + 0.760 + 0.868 + 1.035

(meter).. 0.702 0.709 0.755 0.768 0.779 0.766 0.831 0.949 1.132



Wool tops (pound).. o 3.000 o 3.000 o 3.000 + 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.275 + 3.300 + 3.805 + 3.980

(kilogram).. 6.614 6.614 6.614 7.055 7.055 7.220 7.275 8.389 8.774



Hides (pound)., 0.678 + 0.729 + 0.786 - 0.785 - 0.784 - 0.768 - 0.745 + 0.760 - 0.752

(kilogram),. 1.495 1.607 1.733 1.731 1.728 1.693 1.642 1.675 1.658



Rosin (100 pounds) o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230



Rubber . (pound).. - 0.423 0.392 + 0.401 + 0.408 + 0.434 + 0.435 + 0.451 + 0.468 - 0.448

(kilogram).. 0.933 0.864 0.884 0.899 0.957 0.959 0.994 1.032 0.988



Tallow (pound).. 0.106 + 0.108 - 0.100 - 0.087 + 0.097 + 0.098 + 0.112 + 0.123 o 0.123

(kilogram).. 0.234 0.238 0.220 0.192 0.214 0.216 0.247 0.271 0.271



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

l

The index is the average for November 1 through 26; component prices are averages for November 5, 12, 19, and 26.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Data beginning August 1, 1986, reflect a change in the domestic Federal price support for cotton.









NOVEMBER 1986 79

December 1986







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^J SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1986





April May June July August September October November December 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw 'industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . ' - 219.9 + 221.3 + 225;0 + 227.6 - 212.0 + 221.2 + 235.5 + 243.7 + 246.9

Percent rising of 13 components . . . .'.; (54) (62) (65) (50) (50) (65) (73) (62) (62)





Dollars





Copper scrap ;, - (pound) . . - 0.488 • - 0.464 + 0.466 - 0.428 - 0.416 + 0.444 - 0.431 - 0,429 + 0.441

(kilogram) , . 1.076 1.023 1.027 0.944 0.917 0.979 0.950 0.946 0.972

Lead scrap v. . (pound) , . + o-.iio + 0,114 + 0.126 + 0.130 - 0.126 + 0.138 + 0.153 + 0.173 + • 0.176

(kilogram),. 0.243 0.251 0.278 0.287 0.278 0.304 0.337 0.381 0.388

Steel scrap , , . . : (U.S. ton). . - 74.400 - 71.500 - 70.000 o 70.000 + 74.750 - 72.600 - 71.500 - 71.000 o 71.000

{metric t o n ) . . 82.011 78.814 77.161 77.161 82.397 ' 80.027 78.814 78.263 78.263

Tin ,/.,,: (pound) '. , - 3.284 - 3.115 - 3.060 - 3.056 + 3.068 - • 3.052 + 3.138 + 3.430 + 3.632

(kilogram). . 7.240 6.867 6.746 6.737 6.764 6.728 6,918 7.562 8.007

Zinc ... .... (pound) - 0.339 + 0.354 + 0.395 + 0.430 + 0.444 + 0.453 + 0.481 + 0.489 - 0.450

(kilogram).. 0.747 0.780 0.871 0.948 0,979 0.999 1.060 1.078 0.992

Burlap . . (yard) + 0.231 + 0.240 + 0.247 - 0.242 - 0.229 - 0.220 - 0.217 + 0.218 + 0.226

(meter).. 0.253 0.262 0.270 0.265 0.250 ' 0.241 0,237 0.238 0.247

Cotton ,.: (pound) . . + 0.639 + 0.656 + 0.669 - 0.666 - 3

0.267 + 0.336 '+ 0.442 + 0.457 + 0.533

(kilogram) . . 1.409 1.446 1.475 1.468 0.589 0.741 0.974 1.008 1.175

Print cloth (yard) + 0.648 + 0.690 + 0.702 + 0.712 - 0.700 + 0.760 + 0.868 + 1.035 - 0.910

(meter):.. 0.709 0.755 0.768 0.779/ 0.766 0.831 0.949 1.132 0.995

Wool tops , , (pound) . . o 3.000 o 3.000 •*• 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.275 + 3.300 + 3.805 + 3.980 + 4.000

(kilogram).. . 6.614 6.614 7.055 7.055 7.220 7.275 • 8.389 8.774 8.818

Hides (pound) + 0.729 + 0. 786 - 0,785 - 0.784 - 0.768 - 0.745 + 0.760 - 0.752 - 0.719

(kilogram) . , 1.607 1.733 1.731 1-728 1.693 1.642 1.675 1.658 1.585

Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000, o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).,, 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 - 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

• Rubber [. . . , . , (pound) . . - 0.392 + 0.401 + 0.408 + 0.434 +' 0.435 + 0.451 + 0.468 - 0.448 - 0.446

(kilogram).., 0.864 0.884 0.899 0,957 •0.959 0.994 1.032 0.988 0.983

, Tallow . . . . . :, .(pound)..-, + 0.108 - 0.100 - 0.087 + 0.097 + 0.098 + 0.112 + 0.123 o 0.123 + 0.140

(kilogram,). . 0.238 0.220 0.192 0.214 0.216 0.247 0.271 0.271 0.309

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ('+') = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( — ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available. ,

*The index is the average for December 1 through 23; component prices are averages for December 2, 9, 16, and 23.

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Data beginning August 1, 1986, reflect a change in the domestic Federal price support for cotton.









DECEMBER 1986 79

January 1987









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued







Diffusion index components 1986 1987





May June July August September October November December January 1



;

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100)

221.3 225.0 + 227.6 212.0 221.2 235.5 + 243.7 + 247.5 + 253.0

Percent rising of 13 components ... (62) (85)

(62) (65) (50) (50) (65) (73) (65)



Dollars





Copper s c r a p . . ...(pound). - 0.464 + 0.444 - 0.431 - 0.429 + 0.442 + 0.448

+ 0.466 - 0.428 - 0.416

(kilogram). 0.946 0.974 0.988

1.023 1.027 0.944 0.917 0.979 0.950

Lead scrap ...(pound). + 0.114 + 0.126 + 0.130 - 0.126 + 0.138 + 0.153 + 0.173 + 0.177 + 0.178

(kilogram). 0.381 0.390 0.392

0.251 0.278 0.287 0.278 0.304 0.337

Steel scrap ... . . . (U.S. ton), - 71.000 + 71.400

- 71.500 - 70.000 o 70.000 + 74.750 - 72.600 - 71.500 + 75.000

(metric ton). 78.263 78.704

78.814 77.161 77.161 82.397 80.027 78.814 82.673

Tin (pound). + 3.636 + 3.795

- 3.115 - 3.060 - 3.056 + 3.068 - 3.052 + 3.138 + 3.430

(kilogram).

6.867 6.746 6.737 6.764 6.728 6.918 7.562 8.016 8.366

Zinc (pound). - 0.433

+ 0.354 + 0.395 + 0.430 + 0.444 + 0.453 + 0.481 + 0.489 - 0.449

(kilogram).

0.780 0.871 0.948 0.979 0.999 1.060 1.078 0.990 0.955

Burlap (yard).

+ 0.240 + 0.247 - 0.242 - 0.229 - 0.220 - 0.217 + 0.218 + 0.226 + 0.238

(meter).

0.262 0.270 0.265 0.250 0.241 0.237 0.238 0.247 0.260

Cotton ...(pound). 3

+ 0.442 + 0.457 + 0.542 + 0.575

+ 0.656 + 0.669 - 0.666 - 0.267 + 0.336

(kilogram). 0.974 1.008 1.195 1.268

1.446 1.475 1.468 0.589 0.741

Print cloth . . . . (yard), + 0.690 + 0.702 + 0.712 - 0.700 + 0.760 + 0.868 + 1.035 - 0.904 + 0.920

(meter). 0.949 1.132 0.989 1.006

0.755 0.768 0.779 0.766 0.831

Wool tops ...(pound). + 3.805 + 3.980 + 4.000 o 4.000

o 3.000 + 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.275 + 3.300

(kilogram). 8.389 8.774 8.818 8.818

6.614 7.055 7.055 7.220 7.275

Hides ...(pound). - 0.785 - 0.784 - 0.768 - 0.745 + 0.760 - 0.752 - 0.717 + 0.718

+ 0.786

(kilogram). 1.658 1.581 1.583

1.733 1.731 1.728 1.693 1.642 1.675

Rosin ....(100 pounds). o 50.000

o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms). 110.230 110.230 110.230

110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).

+ 0.401 + 0.408 + 0.434 + 0.435 + 0.451 + 0.468 - 0.448 - 0.447 + 0.459

(kilogram).

0.884 0.899 0.957 0.959 0.994 1.032 0.988 0.985 1.012

Tallow (pound). + 0.152

- 0.100 - 0.087 + 0.097 + 0.098 + 0.112 + 0.123 o 0.123 + 0.142

(kilogram).

0.220 0.192 0.214 0.216 0.247 0.271 0.271 0.313 0.335

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The " r " indicates revised: " p "

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for January 2 through 28; component prices are averages for January 6, 13, 20, and 27.

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Data beginning August 1, 1986, reflect a change in the domestic Federal price support for cotton.









JANUARY 1987 79

February 1987









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









| Q EE T D

S L C E DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: BasicData and Direct ons of Change- Continued





Diffusion index components 1986 1987





June July August September October November December January February 1





2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100)

+ 225.0 + 227.6 - 212.0 + 221.2 + 235.5 + 243.7 + 247.5 + 252.8 - 247.2

Percent rising of 13 components (65) (50) (50) (65) (73) (62) (65) (85) (42)



Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.466 - 0.428 - 0.416 + 0.444 - 0.431 - 0.429 + 0.442 + 0.448 + 0.452

(kilogram).. 1.027 0.944 0.917 0.979 0.950 0.946 0.974 0.988 0.996

Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.126 + 0.130 - 0.126 + 0.138 + 0.153 + 0.173 + 0.177 + 0.178 - 0.167

(kilogram).. 0.278 0.287 0.278 0.304 0.337 0.381 0.390 0.392 0.368

Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., - 70.000 o 70.000 + 74.750 - 72.600 - 71.500 - 71.000 + 71.400 + 75.000 + 77.000

(metric ton).. 77.161 77.161 82.397 80.027 78.814 78.263 78.704 82.673 84.877

Tin (pound).. - 3.060 - 3.056 + 3.068 - 3.052 + 3.138 + 3.430 + 3.636 + 3.795 - 3.778

(kilogram).. 6.746 6.737 6.764 6.728 6.918 7.562 8.016 8.366 8.329

Zinc (pound).. + 0.395 + 0.430 + 0.444 + 0.453 + 0.481 + 0.489 - 0.449 - 0.433 - 0.414

(kilogram)., 0.871 0.948 0.979 0.999 1.060 1.078 0.990 0.955 0.913

Burlap (yard).. + 0.247 - 0.242 - 0.229 - 0.220 - 0.217 + 0.218 + 0.226 + 0.238 - 0.237

(meter).. 0.270 0.265 0.250 0.241 0.237 0.238 0.247 0.260 0.259

Cotton (pound).. + 0.669 - 0.666 - 3

0.267 + 0.336 + 0.442 + 0.457 + 0.542 + 0.575 - 0.550

(kilogram).. 1.475 1.468 0.589 0.741 0.974 1.008 1.195 1.268 1.213

Print cloth (yard).. + 0.702 + 0.712 - 0.700 + 0.760 + 0.868 + 1.035 - 0.904 + 0.920 + 0.968

(meter).. 0.768 0.779 0.766 0.831 0.949 1.132 0.989 1.006 1.059

Wool tops (pound).. + 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.275 + 3.300 + 3.805 + 3.980 + 4.000 o 4.000 - 3.300

(kilogram).. 8.818 8.818 7.275

7.055 7.055 7.220 7.275 8.389 8.774

Hides (pound).. - 0.785 - 0.784 - 0.768 + 0.760 - 0.752 - 0.717 + 0.718 + 0.736

- 0.745

(kilogram).. 1.675 1.623

1.731 1.728 1.693 1.642 1.658 1.581 1.583

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 50.000

o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. + 0.465

+ 0.408 + 0.434 + 0.435 + 0.451 + 0.468 - 0.448 - 0.447 + 0.459

(kilogram).. 1.025

0.899 0.957 0.959 0.994 1.032 0.988 0.985 1.012

Taliow (pound)..

- 0.087 + 0.097 + 0.098 + 0.112 + 0.123 o 0.123 + 0.142 + 0.152 - 0.143

(kilogram)..

0.192 0.214 0.216 0.247 0.271 0.271 0.313 0.335 0.315



NOTE: To f a c i l i t a t e i n t e r p r e t a t i o n , t h e m o n t h - t o - m o n t h d i r e c t i o n s of c h a n g e are s h o w n a l o n g w i t h t h e n u m b e r s : ( t ) rising, ( o ) unchanged, and ( - ) falling. The " r " i n d i c a t e s r e v i s e d : " p "

preliminary; and " N A " , not available.

x

The index is the average for February 2 through 25; component prices are averages for February 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Data beginning August 1, 1986, reflect a change in the domestic Federal price support for cotton.









FEBRUARY 1987 79

April 1987









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1986 1987





August September October November December January February March April1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) - 212.0 + 221.2 + 235.5 + 243.7 + 247.5 + 252.8 - 247.2 - 246.3 + 252.3



Percent rising of 13 components (50) (65) (73) (62) (65) (85) (42) (35) (62)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. - 0.416 + 0.444 - 0.431 - 0.429 + 0.442 + 0.448 + 0.452 + 0.473 - 0.467

(kilogram).. 0.917 0.979 0.950 0.946 0.974 0.988 0.996 1.043 1.030



Lead scrap (pound) - 0.126 + 0.138 + 0.153 + 0.173 + 0.177 + 0.178 - 0.167 - 0.162 + 0.169

(kilogram).. 0.278 0.304 0.337 0.381 0.390 0.392 0.368 0.357 0.373



Steel scrap (U S ton) + 74.750 - 72.600 - 71.500 - 71.000 + 71.400 + 75.000 + 77.000 - 74.600 - 73.667

(metric ton).. 82.397 80.027 78.814 78.263 78.704 82.673 84.877 82.232 81.203



Tin (pound).. + 3.068 - 3.052 + 3.138 + 3.430 + 3.636 + 3.795 - 3.778 - 3.744 + 3.790

(kilogram).. 6.764 6.728 6.918 7.562 8.016 8.366 8.329 8.254 8.355



Zinc (pound).. + 0.444 + 0.453 + 0.481 + 0.489 - 0.449 - 0.433 - 0.414 o 0.414 o 0.414

(kilogram).. 0.979 0.999 1.060 1.078 0.990 0.955 0.913 0.913 0.913



Burlap (yard)., - 0.229 - 0.220 - 0.217 + 0.218 + 0.226 + 0.238 - 0.237 - 0.232 + 0.242

(meter).. 0.250 0.241 0.237 0.238 0.247 0.260 0.259 0.254 0.265

3

Cotton (pound).. - 0.267 + 0.336 + 0.442 + 0.457 + 0.542 + 0.575 - 0.550 - 0.546 + 0.574

(kilogram).. 0.589 0.741 0.974 1.008 1.195 1.268 1.213 1.204 1.265



Print cloth (yard) - 0.700 + 0.760 + 0.868 + 1.035 - 0.904 + 0.920 + 0.968 + 0.974 - 0.970

(meter).. 0.766 0.831 0.949 1.132 0.989 1.006 1.059 1.065 1.061



Wool tops .. (pound) + 3.275 + 3.300 + 3.805 + 3.980 + 4.000 o 4.000 - 3.300 o 3.300 + 3.720

(kilogram).. 7.220 7.275 8.389 8.774 8.818 8.818 7.275 7.275 8.201



Hides (pound).. - 0.768 - 0.745 + 0.760 - 0.752 - 0.717 + 0.718 + 0.736 + 0.800 + 0.917

(kilogram).. 1.693 1.642 1.675 1.658 1.581 1.583 1.623 1.764 2.022



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230



Rubber (pound).. + 0.435 + 0.451 + 0.468 - 0.448 - 0.447 + 0.459 + 0.465 - 0.460 + 0.471

(kilogram).. 0.959 0.994 1.032 0.988 0.985 1.012 1.025 1.014 1.038



Tallow (pound).. + 0.098 + 0.112 + 0.123 o 0.123 + 0.142 + 0.152 - 0.143 - 0.130 - 0.125

(kilogram).. 0.216 0.247 0.271 0.271 0.313 0.335 0.315 0.287 0.276



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

The index is the average for April 1 through 24; component prices are averages for April 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Data beginning August 1, 1986, reflect a change in the domestic Federal price support for cotton.









APRIL 1987 79

May 1987









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1986 1987





September October November December January February March April May1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) + 221.2 + 235.5 + 243.7 + 247.5 + 252.8 - 247.2 - 246.3 + 253.8 + 269.7

Percent rising of 13 components (65) (73) (62) (65) (85) (42) (31) (62) (88)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.444 - 0.431 - 0.429 + 0.442 + 0.448 + 0.452 + 0.473 - 0.465 + 0.507

(kilogram).. 0.979 0.950 0.946 0.974 0.988 0.996 1.043 1.025 1.118



Lead scrap (pound)., + 0.138 + 0.153 + 0.173 + 0.177 + 0.178 - 0.167 - 0.162 + 0.173 + 0.225

(kilogram).. 0.304 0.337 0.381 0.390 0.392 0.368 0.357 0.381 0.496

Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., - 72.600 - 71.500 - 71.000 + 71.400 + 75.000 + 77.000 - 74.600 - 74.000 + 79.000

(metric ton).. 80.027 78.814 78.263 78.704 82.673 84.877 82.232 81.570 87.082

Tin (pound).. - 3.052 + 3.138 + 3.430 + 3.636 + 3.795 - 3.778 - 3.744 + 3.790 + 3.823

(kilogram).. 6.728 6.918 7.562 8.016 8.366 8.329 8.254 8.355 8.428

Zinc (pound).. + 0.453 + 0.481 + 0.489 - 0.449 - 0.433 - 0.414 o 0.414 o 0.414 + 0.434

(kilogram).. 0.999 1.060 1.078 0.990 0.955 0.913 0.913 0.913 0.957

Burlap (yard) - 0.220 - 0.217 + 0.218 + 0.226 + 0.238 - 0.237 - 0.232 + 0.242 - 0.240

(meter).. 0.241 0.237 0.238 0.247 0.260 0.259 0.254 0.265 0.262

Cotton (pound) + 0.336 + 0.442 + 0.457 + 0.542 + 0.575 - 0.550 - 0.546 + 0.581 + 0.645

(kilogram).. 0.741 0.974 1.008 1.195 1.268 1.213 1.204 1.281 1.422

Print cloth (yard).. + 0.760 + 0.868 + 1.035 - 0.904 + 0.920 + 0.968 + 0.974 - 0.970 + 0.983

(meter).. 0.831 0.949 1.132 0.989 1.006 1.059 1.065 1.061 1.075

Wool tops (pound) + 3.300 + 3.805 + 3.980 + 4.000 o 4.000 - 3.300 - 3.270 + 3.725 + 3.817

(kilogram).. 7.275 8.389 8.774 8.818 8.818 7.275 7.209 8.212 8.415

Hides (pound).. - 0.745 + 0.760 - 0.752 - 0.717 + 0.718 + 0.736 + 0.800 + 0.932 + 0.940

(kilogram).. 1.642 1.675 1.658 1.581 1.583 1.623 1.764 2.055 2.072

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. + 0.451 + 0.468 - 0.448 - 0.447 + 0.459 + 0.465 - 0.460 + 0.475 + 0.489

(kilogram).. 0.994 1.032 0.988 0.985 1.012 1.025 1.014 1.078

1.047

Tallow (pound).. + 0.112 + 0.123 o 0.123 + 0.142 + 0.152 - 0.143 - 0.130 - 0.127 + 0.144

(kilogram).. 0.247 0.271 0.271 0.313 0.335 0.315 0.287 0.280 0.317



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) - rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

ir

The index is the average for May 1 through 19; component prices are averages for May 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









MAY 1987 79

August 1987









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q | SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Direct ons of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1986 1987



December January February March April May June July August 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES R W INDUSTRIALS 2

A





Raw industrials pric B index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 247.5 252.8 - 247.2 - 246.3 + 253.8 + 272.6 276.4 + 284.2 + 288.0



Percent rising of 13 components (65) (85) (42) (31) (62) (88) (58) (73) (77)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.442 0.448 0.452 0.473 0.465 + 0.502 r0.542

* + 0.599 + 0.619

(kilogram).. 0.974 0.988 0.996 1.043 1.025 1.107 1.195 1.321 1.365

Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.177 0.178 - - 0.162 +

(kilogram)..

+ 0.167 + 0.173 + 0.235 0.245 + 0.275 + 0.280

0.390 0.392 0.368 0.357 0.381 0.518 0.540 0.606 0.617

Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., + 71.400 + 75.000 - 74.600

77.000 - 74.000 + 79.000 r82.000 + 84.000 + 85.000

(metric ton).. 78.704 82.673 82.232

84.877 81.570 87.082 90.389 92.593 93.696

Tin (pound).. + 3.636 +

- 3.744

(kilogram)..

3.795 3.778 - + 3.790 + 3.815 - r3.738 3.620 + 3.705

8.016 8.366 8.329 8.254 8.355 8.411 8.241 7.981 8.168

Zinc (pound).. - 0.449 - 0.433 - 0.414 0 0.414 o 0.414 + 0.439 + 0.470 + 0.480 o 0.480

(kilogram).. 0.990 0.955 0.913 0.913 0.913 0.968 1.036 1.058 1.058

Burlap (yard)., + 0.226 + - 0.232

0.238 0.237 - + 0.242 0.240 0 r0.240 - 0.238 + 0.240

(meter).. 0.247 0.260 0.259 0.254 0.265 0.262 0.262 0.260 0.262

Cotton (pound).. + 0.542 + 0.575 - 0.550 - 0.546 + 0.581 + 0.658 + 0.703 + 0.728 + 0.754

(kilogram).. 1.195 1.268 1.213 1.204 1.281 1.451 1.550 1.605 1.662

Print cloth (yard)., 0.904 + 0.920 + 0.974

+ 0.968 0.970 + 0.982 - rO.97O + 0.975 - 0.965

(meter).. 0.989 1.006 1.059 1.065 1.061 1.074 1.061 1.066 1.055

Wool tops (pound).. + 4.000

(kilogram)..

0 4.000 - 3.300 - 3.270 + 3.725 + 3.900 - 3.710 - 3.650 + 3.850

8.818 8.818 7.275 7.209 8.212 8.598 8.179 8.047 8.488

Hides (pound).. - 0.717 +

+ 0.718 + 0.736 0.800 + 0.932 + 0.938 - r0.916 + 0.928 + 0.938

(kilogram).. 1.581 1.583 1.623 1.764 2.055 2.068 2.019 2.046 2.068

Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . .

o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. 0.44^ + 0.459 + 0.465 - 0.460 + 0.475 + 0.491 + rO.5O6 + 0.536 + 0.537

(kilogram)..

0.985 1.012 1.025 1.014 1.047 1.082 1.116 1.182 1.184

Tallow (pound).. + 0.142 + 0.152 - 0.143 - 0.130 - 0.127 + 0.146 0 0.146 + 0.148 - 0.147

(kilogram)..

0.313 0.335 0.315 0.287 0.280 0.322 0.322 0.326 0.324

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) -- rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

The index is the average for August 3 through 26; component prices are averages for August 4, 11, 18, and 25.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1987 79

September 1987









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q | SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1987



January February March April May June July August September1





2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES , RAW INDUSTRIALS -





Raw industrials price index ( 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 ) . . . . + 252.8 - 247.2 - 246.3 + 253.8 + 272.6 + 276.4 + 284.2 + 288.3 + 292.5



Percent rising of 13 components (85) (42) (31) (62) (88) (58) (73) (77) (62)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.448 0.452 0.473 - 0.465 + 0.502 + 0.542 0.599 + 0.619 + 0.641

(kilogram).. 0.988 0.996 1.043 1.025 1.107 1.195 1.321 1.365 1.413



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.178 - 0.167 - 0.162 + 0.173 + 0.235 + 0.245 0.275 + 0.280 o 0.280

(kilogram).. 0.392 0.368 0.357 0.381 0.518 0.540 0.606 0.617 0.617



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., + 75.000 + 77.000 - 74.600 - 74.000 + 79.000 + 82.000 + 84.000 + 85.000 + 93.750

(metric ton).. 82.673 84.877 82.232 81.570 87.082 90.389 92.593 93.696 103.341



Tin (pound).. + 3.795 - 3.778 - 3.744 + 3.790 + 3.815 - 3.738 - 3.620 + 3.708 + 3.812

(kilogram).. 8.366 8.329 8.254 8.355 8.411 8.241 7.981 8.175 8.404



Zinc (pound).. 0.433 - 0.414 0 0.414 0 0.414 + 0.439 + 0.470 0.480 o 0.480 0.460

(kilogram).. 0.955 0.913 0.913 0.913 0.968 1.036 1.058 1.058 1.014

Burlap (yard).. + 0.238 - 0.237 - 0.232 + 0.242 0.240 o 0.240 - 0.238 + 0.240 0.238

(meter).. 0.260 0.259 0.254 0.265 0.262 0.262 0.260 0.262 0.260

Cotton (pound).. + 0.575 - 0.550 - 0.546 0.581 + 0.658 + 0.703 + 0.728 + 0.754 - 0.719

(kilogram).. 1.268 1.213 1.204 1.281 1.451 1.550 1.605 1.662 1.585

Print cloth (yard).. + 0.920 + 0.968 + 0.974 - 0.970 + 0.982 0.970 + 0.975 0.965 0.950

(meter).. 1.006 1.059 1.065 1.061 1.074 1.061 1.066 1.055 1.039

Wool tops (pound).. o 4.000 - 3.300 - 3.270 + 3.725 + 3.900 3.710 - 3.650 + 3.850 + 4.075

(kilogram).. 8.818 7.275 7.209 8.212 8.598 8.179 8.047 8.488 8.984

Hides (pound).. + 0.718 + 0.736 + 0.800 + 0.932 + 0.938 0.916 + 0.928 + 0.938 + 0.984

(kilogram).. 1.583 1.623 1.764 2.055 2.068 2.019 2.046 2.068 2.169

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230

Rubber (pound).. + 0.459 + 0.465 - 0.460 + 0.475 + 0.491 + 0.506 + 0.536 + 0.537 + 0.541

(kilogram).. 1.012 1.025 1.014 1.047 1.082 1.116 1.182 1.184 1.193

Tallow (pound).. + 0.152 - 0.143 - 0.130 - 0.127 + 0.146 o 0.146 0.148 0.147 + 0.152

+

(kilogram).. 0.335 0.315 0.287 0.280 0.322 0.322 0.326 0.324 0.335



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (-+-) -- rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The " r " indicates revised; " p " ,

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for September 1 through 24; component prices are averages for September 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









SEPTEMBER 1987 79

February 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q EE T D

S L C E DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1987 1988





June July August September October November December January February 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS 2

A





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) + 276.4 + 284.2 + 288.3 + 292.4 + 294.6 - 292.0 + 293.1 - 292.5 - 289.3



Percent rising of 13 components (58) (73) (77) (62) (54) (46) (50) (42) (35)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.542 + 0.599 + 0.619 + 0.644 + 0.646 + 0.825 + 0.934 + 0.938 - 0.785

(kilogram).. 1.195 1.321 1.365 1.420 1.424 1.819 2.059 2.068 1.731



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.245 + 0.275 + 0.280 o 0.280 o 0.280 - 0.276 - 0.272 - 0.252 - 0.230

(kilogram).. 0.540 0.606 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.608 0.600 0.556 0.507



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., + 82.000 + 84.000 + 85.000 + 95.000 + 117.000 - 115.750 - 104.000 - 100.000 + 115.000

(metric ton).. 90.389 92.593 93.696 104.719 128.969 127.591 114.639 110.230 126.765



Tin (pound).. - 3.738 - 3.620 + 3.708 + 3.812 + 3.848 + 3.928 - 3.878 - 3.860 - 3.792

(kilogram).. 8.241 7.981 8.175 8.404 8.483 8.660 8.549 8.510 8.360



Zinc (pound).. + 0.470 + 0.480 o 0.480 - 0.455 - 0.449 + 0.451 + 0.454 + 0.458 + 0.469

(kilogram).. 1.036 1.058 1.058 1.003 0.990 0.994 1.001 1.010 1.034



Burlap (yard).. o 0.240 - 0.238 + 0.240 - 0.238 + 0.256 + 0.270 + 0.275 o 0.275 + 0.276

(meter).. 0.262 0.260 0.262 0.260 0.280 0.295 0.301 0.301 0.302



Cotton (pound).. + 0.703 + 0.728 + 0.754 - 0.712 - 0.636 + 0.645 - 0.622 - 0.595 - 0.574

(kilogram).. 1.550 1.605 1.662 1.570 1.402 1.422 1.371 1.312 1.265



Print cloth (yard).. - 0.970 + 0.975 - 0.965 - 0.946 - 0.905 - 0.655 - 0.630 - 0.620 - 0.590

(meter).. 1.061 1.066 1.055 1.035 0.990 0.716 0.689 0.678 0.645



Wool tops (pound).. - 3.710 3.650 + 3.850 + 4.080 + 4.100 o 4.100 + 4.380 + 4.750 + 5.000

(kilogram),. 8.179 8.047 8.488 8.995 9.039 9.039 9.656 10.472 11.023



Hides (pound).. - 0.916 + 0.928 + 0.938 + 0.987 + 1.000 - 0.952 - 0.942 - 0.928 o 0.928

(kilogram).. 2.019 2.046 2.068 2.176 2.205 2.099 2.077 2.046 2.046



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 - 48.125 - 47.500

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 106.096 104.719



Rubber (pound).. + 0.506 + 0.536 + 0.537 + 0.542 - 0.538 - 0.532 + 0.540 + 0.547 - 0.536

(kilogram).. 1.116 1.182 1.184 1.195 1.186 1.173 1.190 1.206 1.182



Tallow (pound).. o 0.146 + 0.148 - 0.147 + 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.146 + 0.148 + 0.173 - 0.168

(kilogram).. 0.322 0.326 0.324 0.335 0.331 0.322 0.326 0.381 0.370



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for February 1 through 23; component prices are averages for February 2, 9, 16, and 23.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









FEBRUARY 1988 79

March 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









[£| SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1987 1988





July August September October November December January February March 1





96 7. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES. R W INDU TRIALS -'

A





Raw industrials price index ( 1 9 6 7 - 1 0 0 ) .... + 284.2 + 288.3 + 292.4 + 294.6 292.0 + 293.1 292.5 - 288.9 + 291.0



Percent rising of /.? components (73) (77) (62) (54) (46) (50) (42) (35) (62)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.599 + 0.619 + 0.644 + 0.646 + 0.825 + 0.934 + 0.938 0.785 - 0.760

(kilogram),. 1.321 1.365 1.420 1.424 1.819 2.059 2.068 1.731 1.675



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.275 + 0.280 o 0.280 o 0.280 0.276 0.272 - 0.252 - 0.230 - 0.215

(kilogram) 0.606 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.608 0.600 0.556 0.507 0.474



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . . + 84.000 + 85.000 + 95.000 + 117.000 - 115.750 - 104.000 - 100.000 + 115.000 - 108.750

(metric t o n ) . . 92.593 93.696 104.719 128.969 127.591 114.639 110.230 126.765 119.875



Tin (pound). . - 3.620 + 3.708 + 3.812 + 3.848 + 3.928 3.878 3.860 3.792 + 3.838

(kilogram). . 7.981 8.175 8.404 8.483 8.660 8.549 8.510 8.360 8.461



Zinc (pound).. + 0.480 o 0.480 - 0.455 0.449 + 0.451 + 0.454 + 0.458 + 0.469 + 0.487

(kilogram).. 1.058 1.058 1.003 0.990 0.994 1.001 1.010 1.034 1.074



Burlap (yard).. - 0.238 + 0.240 - 0.238 + 0.256 + 0.270 + 0.275 o 0.275 + 0.276 o 0.276

(meter).. 0.260 0.262 0.260 0.280 0.295 0.301 0.301 0.302 0.302



Cotton (pound).. + 0.728 + 0.754 - 0.712 0.636 + 0.645 0.622 0.595 - 0.574 + 0.593

(kilogram) 1.605 1.662 1.570 1.402 1.422 1.371 1.312 1.265 1.307



Print cloth (yard).. + 0.975 0.965 - 0.946 - 0.905 - 0.655 0.630 0.620 0.590 0.532

(meter).. 1.066 1.055 1.035 0.990 0.716 0.689 0.678 0.645 0.582



Wool tops (pound). . 3.650 + 3.850 + 4.080 + 4.100 o 4.100 + 4.380 + 4.750 + 5.000 + 5.300

(kilogram).. 8.047 8.488 8.995 9.039 9.039 9.656 10.472 11.023 11.684



Hides (pound).. + 0.928 + 0.938 + 0.987 + 1.000 - 0.952 0.942 0.928 o 0.928 + 1.056

(kilogram).. 2.046 2.068 2.176 2.205 2.099 2.077 2.046 2.046 2.328



Rosin (100 pounds) o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 - 48.125 - 47.500 o 47.500

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 106.096 104.719 104.719



Rubber (pound) + 0.536 + 0.537 + 0.542 0.538 0.532 + 0.540 + 0.547 0.536 + 0.548

(kilogram). . 1.182 1.184 1.195 1.186 1.173 1.190 1.206 1.182 1.208



Tallow (pound). . + 0.148 0.147 + 0.152 0.150 0.146 + 0.148 + 0.173 - 0.168 + 0.171

(kilogram).. 0.326 0.324 0.335 0.331 0.322 0.326 0.381 0.370 0.377



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, t h e m o n t h - t o - m o n t h directions o f change are shown along with t h e numbers: i • > (o) u n c h a n g e d , and ( ) - falling. The " r " indicates revised: " p "

preliminary: a n d " N A " , not available.

lr

The index is the average for March 1 through 23; component prices are averages for March 1, 8, 15, and 2 2 .

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by pe rm i s s i on; they maynot b e reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Burc : u o f I: c o n om i c An a 1 v s i s . i









ItO MARCH 1988 79

April 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index ;omponents 1987 1988





August September October November December January February March April1





2

A

96 7. INDEX O S O MARKET PRICES , R W INDUSTRIALS

F P T





Raw industrials price index ( 1 9 6 7 - 1 0 0 ) . . . . + 288.3 + 292.4 + 294.6 - 292.0 + 293.1 292.5 - 288.9 + 292.3 + 297.2



Percent rising of /.? components (77) (62) (54) (46) (50) (42) (35) (65) (58)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.619 + 0.644 0.646 0.825 + 0.934 + 0.938 - 0.785 - 0.770 - 0.748

(kilogram).. 1.365 1.420 1.424 1.819 2.059 2.068 1.731 1.698 1.649



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.280 o 0.280 0 0.280 - 0.276 - 0.272 - 0.252 - 0.230 - 0.214 - 0.210

(kilogram).. 0.617 0.617 0.617 0.608 0.600 0.556 0.507 0.472 0.463



Steei scrap (U.S. ton).. + 85.000 + 95.000 + 117.000 - 115.750 - 104.000 - 100.000 + 115.000 - 109.000 - 108.750

(metric t o n ) . . 93.696 104.719 128.969 127.591 114.639 110.230 126.765 120.151 119.875



Tin (pound).. + 3.708 + 3.812 + 3.848 3.928 3.878 - 3.860 3.792 + 3.836 3.828

(kilogram).. 8.175 8.404 8.483 8.660 8.549 8.510 8.360 8.457 8.439



Zinc (pound).. o 0.480 0.455 - 0.449 + 0.451 + 0.454 + 0.458 + 0.469 + 0.492 + 0.542

(kilogram) 1.058 1.003 0.990 0.994 1.001 1.010 1.034 1.085 1.195



Burlap (yard).. + 0.240 - 0.238 + 0.256 + 0.270 + 0.275 o 0.275 + 0.276 + 0.277 + 0.281

(meter).. 0.262 0.260 0.280 0.295 0.301 0.301 0.302 0.303 0.307



Cotton (pound).. + 0.754 0.712 - 0.636 + 0.645 - 0.622 - 0.595 - 0.574 + 0.594 + 0.597

(kilogram).. 1.662 1.570 1.402 1.422 1.371 1.312 1.265 1.310 1.316



Print cloth (yard).. - 0.965 - 0.946 - 0.905 - 0.655 - 0.630 - 0.620 - 0.590 - 0.536 + 0.550

(meter).. 1.055 1.035 0.990 0.716 0.689 0.678 0.645 0.586 0.601



Wool tops (pound).. + 3.850 + 4.080 + 4.100 0 4.100 + 4.380 + 4.750 + 5.000 + 5.420 + 6.208

(kilogram).. 8.488 8.995 9.039 9.039 9.656 10.472 11.023 11.949 13.686



Hides (pound).. + 0.938 + 0.987 + 1.000 0.952 0.942 - 0.928 o 0.928 + 1.065 + 1.100

-

(kilogram).. 2.068 2.176 2.205 2.099 2.077 2.046 2.046 2.348 2.425



Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . o 50.000 o 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 o 50.000 - 48.125 - 47.500 0 47.500 o 47.500

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 104.719 104.719 104.719

110.230 106.096



Rubber (pound).. + 0.537 + 0.542 0.538 - 0.532 + 0.540 + 0.547 - 0.536 + 0.549 + 0.555

-

(kilogram).. 1.184 1.195 1.186 1.190 1.206 1.182 1.210 1.224

1.173



Tallow (pound).. 0.147 + 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.146 + 0.148 + 0.173 - 0.168 + 0.170 - 0.165

(kilogram) 0.324 0.335 0.331 0.322 0.326 0.381 0.370 0.375 0.364



NOTE: T o facilitate interpretation, the m o n t h - t o - m o n t h directions o f change are s h o w n along with the n u m b e r s : (•) rising, ( o ) u n c h a n g e d , a n d ( - ) •= f a l l i n g . The " r " indicates revised: "p".

preliminary: and " N A " . not available.

The index is the average for April 1 through 26; component prices are averages for April 5, 12, 19, and 26.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, lac. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









APRIL 1988 79

May 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









H SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued

|





Diffusion index components 1987 1988





September October November December January February March April May1





2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 292.4 + 294.6 - 292.0 + 293.1 - 292.5 - 288.9 + - 292.3 + 297.3 + 301.4



Percent rising of 13 components (62) (54) (46) (50) (42) (35) (65) (58) (69)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.644 + 0.646 + 0.825 + 0.934 + 0.938 - 0.785 - 0.770 - 0.748 + 0.770

(kilogram) . . 1.420 1.424 1.819 2.059 2.068 1.731 1.698 1.649 1.698



Lead scrap (pound) . . o 0.280 o 0.280 - 0.276 - 0.272 - 0.252 - 0.230 - 0.214 0.210 + 0.215

(kilogram) . . 0.617 0.617 0.608 0.600 0.556 0.507 0.472 0.463 0.474



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . + 95.000 + 117.000 - 115.750 - 104.000 - 100.000 + 115.000 - 109.000 - 108.750 - 103.750

(metric ton) . . 104.719 128.969 127.591 114.639 110.230 126.765 120.151 119.875 114.364



Tin (pound) . . + 3.812 + 3.848 + 3.928 - 3.878 - 3.860 - 3.792 + 3.836 3.828 + 3.832

(kilogram) . . 8.404 8.483 8.660 8.549 8.510 8.360 8.457 8.439 8.448



Zmc (pound) . . - 0.455 - 0.449 + 0.451 + 0.454 + 0.458- + 0.469 + 0.492 + 0.542 + 0.576

(kilogram) . . 1.003 0.990 0.994 1.001 1.010 1.034 1.085 1.195 1.270



Burlap (yard) . . - 0.238 + 0.256 + 0.270 + 0.275 o 0.275 + 0.276 + 0.277 + 0.281 + 0.282

(meter) . . 0.260 0.280 0.295 0.301 0.301 0.302 0.303 0.307 0.308

Cotton (pound) . . - 0.712 - 0.636 + 0.645 - 0.622 - 0.595 - 0.574 + 0.594 + 0.597 + 0.616

(kilogram) . . 1.570 1.402 1.422 1.371 1.312 1.265 1.310 1.316 1.358

Print cloth (yard) . . - 0.946 - 0.905 - 0.655 - 0.630 - 0.620 - 0.590 - 0.536 + 0.550 - 0.535

(meter) . . 1.035 0.990 0.716 0.689 0.678 0.645 0.586 0.601 0.585



Wool tops (pound) . . + 4.080 + 4.100 o 4.100 + 4.380 + 4.750 + 5.000 + 5.420 + 6.208 + 7.100

(kilogram) . . 8.995 9.039 9.039 9.656 10.472 11.023 11.949 13.686 15.653

Hides (pound) . . + 0.987 + 1.000 - 0.952 - 0.942 - 0.928 o 0.928 + 1.065 + 1.100 o 1.100

(kilogram) . . 2.176 2.205 2.099 2.077 2.046 2.046 2.348 2.425 2.425

Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 o 50.000 - 48.125 - 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500

(100 kilograms).. 110.230 110.230 110.230 110.230 106.096 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719

Rubber (pound) . . + 0.542 - 0.538 - 0.532 + 0.540 + 0.547 - 0.536 + 0.549 + 0.555 + 0.576

(kilogram) . . 1.195 1.186 1.173 1.190 1.206 1.182 1.210 1.224 1.270

Tallow (pound) . . + 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.146 + 0.148 + 0.173 - 0.168 + 0.170 - 0.165 - 0.157

(kilogram) . . 0.335 0.331 0.322 0.326 0.381 0.370 0.375 0.364 0.346



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( » ) rising, (o) -~ unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p".

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for May 2 through 26; component prices are averages for May 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









MAY 1988 79

June 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Direct ons of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1987 19 38





October November [)ecember January February March April May June 1





96 7. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICED , R W INDUSTRIALS 2

A





Raw industrials price index (1967 100) . . . . + 294.6 - 292.0 + 293.1 - 292.5 - 288.9 + 292.3 + 297.3 + 301.6 + 309.7

Percent rising of /.? components (54) (46) (50) (42) (35) (65) (58) (65) (73)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.646 + 0.825 + 0.934 + 0.938 - 0.785 - 0.770 - 0.748 + 0.768 + 0.823

(kilogram).. 1.424 1.819 2.059 2.068 1.731 1.698 1.649 1.693 1.814



Lead s c r a p . . (pound).. 0 0.280 - 0.276 - 0.272 - 0.252 - 0.230 - 0.214 - 0.210 + 0.215 + 0.230

(kilogram).. 0.617 0.608 0.600 0.556 0.507 0.472 0.463 0.474 0.507



Steel scrap . (U.S. t o n ) . . + 117.000 - 115.750 - 104.000 - 100.000 + 115.000 - 109.000 - 108.750 - 103.000 + 106.000

(metric t o n ) . . 128.969 127.591 114.639 110.230 126.765 120.151 119.875 113.537 116.844



Tin (pound).. + 3.848 + 3.928 - 3.878 - 3.860 - 3.792 + 3.836 - 3.828 + 3.852 + 4.000

(kilogram).. 8.483 8.660 8.549 8.510 8.360 8.457 8.439 8.492 8.818



Zinc (pound).. - 0.449 + 0.451 + 0.454 + 0.458 + 0.469 + 0.492 + 0.542 + 0.579 + 0.640

(kilogram).. 0.990 0.994 1.001 1.010 1.034 1.085 1.195 1.276 1.411



Burlap (yard).. + 0.256 + 0.270 + 0.275 0 0.275 + 0,276 + 0.277 + 0.281 + 0.282 + 0.284

(meter).. 0.280 0.295 0.301 0.301 0.302 0.303 0.307 0.308 0.311



Cotton (pound).. - 0.636 + 0.645 - 0.622 - 0.595 - 0.574 + 0.594 + 0.597 + 0.619 + 0.636

(kilogram).. 1.402 1.422 1.371 1.312 1.265 1.310 1.316 1.365 1.402

Print cloth . . (yard).. - 0.905 - 0.655 - 0.630 - 0.620 - 0.590 - 0.536 + 0.550 - 0.530 - 0.507

(meter).. 0.990 0.716 0.689 0.678 0.645 0.586 0.601 0.580 0.554



Wool tops . . (pound) + 4.100 0 4.100 + 4.380 + 4.750 + 5.000 + 5.420 + 6.208 + 7.100 - 6.600

(kilogram) 9.039 9.039 9.656 10.472 11.023 11.949 13.686 15.653 14.550

Hides (pound).. + 1.000 - 0.952 - 0.942 - 0.928 o 0.928 + 1.065 + 1.100 - 1.089 - 0.978

(kilogram) 2.205 2.099 2.077 2.046 2.046 2.348 2.425 2.401 2.156

Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . 0 50.000 0 50.000 0 50.000 - 48.125 - 47.500 0 47.500 o 47.500 0 47.500 o 47.500

(100 kilograms) . . 110.230 110.230 110,230 106.096 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719

Rubber (pound). . - 0.538 - 0.532 + 0.540 + 0.547 - 0.536 + 0.549 + 0.555 + 0.593 + 0.716

(kilogram).. 1.186 1.173 1.190 1.206 1.182 1.210 1.224 1.307 1.578

fallow (pound).. 0.150 0.146 + 0.148 + 0.173 0.168 + 0.170 0.165 0.158 + 0.170

- - - - -

(kilogram) 0.331 0.322 0.326 0.381 0.370 0.375 0.364 0.348 0.375



NOTE: Tofacilitate interpretation, the m o n t h - t o - m o n t h directions of change are shown along with the numbers: i • ) rising, ( o ) unchanged, and ( ) falling. The " r " indicates revised: " p "

preliminary: a n d " N A " ,not available.

lr

I'he index is the average for June 1 through 22; component prices are averages for June 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data usei\ by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric unit s by the 1iureau of Hconomic Analysis.









ito JUNE 1988 79

July 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1987 1988





November December January February March April May June July 1





2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) - 292.0 + 293.1 - 292.5 - 288.9 + 292.3 + 297.3 + 301.6 + 309.5 - 308.9



Percent rising of 13 components (46) (50) (42) (35) (65) (58) (65) (65) (42)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.825 + 0.934 + 0.938 - 0.785 - 0.770 - 0.748 + 0.768 + 0.820 - 0.776

(kilogram) . . 1.819 2.059 2.068 1.731 1.698 1.649 1.693 1.808 1.711



Lead scrap (pound) - 0.276 - 0.272 - 0.252 - 0.230 - 0.214 - 0.210 + 0.215 + 0.230 + 0.232

(kilogram) . . 0.608 0.600 0.556 0.507 0.472 0.463 0.474 0.507 0.511



Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . - 115.750 - 104.000 - 100.000 + 115.000 - 109.000 - 108.750 - 103.000 + 106.500 + 120.000

(metric ton) . . 127.591 114.639 110.230 126.765 120.151 119.875 113.537 117.395 132.276



Tin (pound) . . + 3.928 - 3.878 - 3.860 - 3.792 + 3.836 3.828 + 3.852 + 4.008 + 4.058

(kilogram) . . 8.660 8.549 8.510 8.360 8.457 8.439 8.492 8.836 8.946



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.451 + 0.454 + 0.458 + 0.469 + 0.492 + 0.542 + 0.579 + 0.651 + 0,684

(kilogram) . . 0.994 1.001 1.010 1.034 1.085 1.195 1.276 1.435 1.508



Burlap (yard) . . + 0.270 + 0.275 o 0.275 + 0.276 + 0.277 + 0.281 + 0.282 - 0.281 - 0.277

(meter) . . 0.295 0.301 0.301 0.302 0.303 0.307 0.308 0.307 0.303



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.645 - 0.622 - 0.595 - 0.574 + 0.594 + 0.597 + 0.619 + 0.633 - 0.574

(kilogram) . . 1.422 1.371 1.312 1.265 1.310 1.316 1.365 1.396 1.265



Print cloth (yard) - 0.655 - 0.630 - 0.620 - 0.590 - 0.536 + 0.550 - 0.530 - 0.500 - 0.498

(meter). . 0.716 0.689 0.678 0.645 0.586 0.601 0.580 0.547 0.545



Wool tops (pound) . . o 4.100 + 4.380 + 4.750 + 5.000 + 5.420 + 6.208 + 7.100 - 6.575 - 6.500

(kilogram) . . 9.039 9.656 10.472 11.023 11.949 13.686 15.653 14.495 14.330



Hides (pound) . . - 0.952 - 0.942 - 0.928 o 0.928 + 1.065 + 1.100 - 1.089 - 0.969 - 0.941

(kilogram) . . 2.099 2.077 2.046 2.046 2.348 2.425 2.401 2.136 2.075



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 50.000 o 50.000 - 48.125 - 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500

(100 kilograms). . 110.230 110.230 106.096 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719



Rubber (pound) . . - 0.532 + 0.540 + 0.547 - 0.536 + 0.549 + 0.555 + 0.593 + 0.710 - 0.662

(kilogram) . . 1.173 1.190 1.206 1.182 1.210 1.224 1.307 1.565 1.459



Tallow (pound) . . - 0.146 + 0.148 + 0.173 - 0.168 + 0.170 - 0.165 - 0.158 + 0.172 + 0.179

(kilogram) . . 0.322 0.326 0.381 0.370 0.375 0.364 0.348 0.379 0.395



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary: and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for July 1 through 26; component prices are averages for July 5, 12, 19, and 26.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JULY 1988 79

August 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









JQJ SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1987 1988





December January February March Apri 1 May June July August1



2

967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 293.1 - 292.5 - 288.9 + 292.3 + 297.3 + 301.6 + 309.5 - 309.0 + 310.9

Percent rising of 13 components (50) (42) (35) (65) (58) (65) (65) (42) (46)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.934 + 0.938 - 0.785 - 0.770 - 0.748 + 0.768 + 0.820 - 0.776 - 0.766

(kilogram) . . 2.059 2.068 1.731 1.698 1.649 1.693 1.808 1.711 1.689

Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.272 - 0.252 - 0.230 - 0.214 - 0.210 + 0.215 + 0.230 + 0.232 o 0.232

(kilogram) . . 0.600 0.556 0.507 0.472 0.463 0.474 0.507 0.511 0.511

Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , - 104.000 - 100.000 + 115.000 - 109.000 - 108.750 - 103.000 + 106.500 + 120.000 - 117.500

(metric ton) . . 114.639 110.230 126.765 120.151 119.875 113.537 117.395 132.276 129.520



Tin (pound) . . - 3.878 - 3.860 - 3.792 + 3.836 - 3.828 + 3.852 + 4.008 + 4.058 + 4.162

(kilogram) . . 8.549 8.510 8.360 8.457 8.439 8.492 8.836 8.946 9.176

Zinc (pound) . . + 0.454 + 0.458 + 0.469 + 0.492 + 0.542 + 0.579 + 0.651 + 0.684 o 0.684

(kilogram). . 1.001 1.010 1.034 1.085 1.195 1.276 1.435 1.508 1.508

Burlap (yard) . . + 0.275 o 0.275 + 0.276 + 0.277 + 0.281 + 0.282 - 0.281 - 0.277 + 0.284

(meter) . . 0.301 0.301 0.302 0.303 0.307 0.308 0.307 0.303 0.311

Cotton (pound) . . - 0.622 - 0.595 - 0.574 + 0.594 + 0.597 + 0.619 + 0.633 - 0.574 - 0.555

(kilogram) . . 1.371 1.312 1.265 1.310 1.316 1.365 1.396 1.265 1.224

Print cloth (yard). . - 0.630 - 0.620 - 0.590 - 0.536 + 0.550 - 0.530 - 0.500 - 0.498 + 0.510

(meter) . . 0.689 0.678 0.645 0.586 0.601 0.580 0.547 0.545 0.558

Wool tops (pound) . . + 4.380 + 4.750 + 5.000 + 5.420 + 6.208 + 7.100 - 6.575 - 6.500 o 6.500

(kilogram) . . 9.656 10.472 11.023 11.949 13.686 15.653 14.495 14.330 14.330

Hides (pound) . . - 0.942 - 0.928 o 0.928 + 1.065 + 1.100 1.089 - 0.969 - 0.941 + 1.028

(kilogram) . . 2.077 2.046 2.046 2.348 2.425 2.401 2.136 2.075 2.266

Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 50.000 - 48.125 - 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500

(100 kilograms). . 110.230 106.096 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719

Rubber (pound) . . + 0.540 + 0.547 - 0.536 + 0.549 + 0.555 + 0.593 + 0.710 - 0.662 - 0.642

(kilogram) . . 1.190 1.206 1.182 1.210 1.224 1.307 1.565 1.459 1.415

Tallow (pound) . . + 0.148 + 0.173 - 0.168 + 0.170 - 0.165 - 0.158 + 0.172 + 0.179 - 0.178

(kilogram) . . 0.326 0.381 0.370 0.375 0.364 0.348 0.379 0.395 0.392



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

l

The index is the average for August 1 through 23; component prices are averages for August 2, 9, 16, and 23.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

vritten permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1988 79

November 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q| SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1988





March April May June July August September October November 1



2

967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) + 292.3 + 297.3 + 301.6 + 309.5 - 309.0 + 309.9 - 306.4 - 305.0 + 309.6

Percent rising of 13 components (65) (58) (65) (65) (42) (46) (38) (42) (69)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.770 - 0.748 + 0.768 + 0.820 - 0.776 - 0.773 + 0.875 + 0.942 + 0.958

(kilogram) . . 1.698 1.649 1.693 1.808 1.711 1.704 1.929 2.077 2.112

Lead scrap (pound) - 0.214 - 0.210 + 0.215 + 0.230 + 0.232 o 0.232 + 0.246 + 0.258 '+ 0.270

(kilogram) . . 0.472 0.463 0.474 0.507 0.511 0.511 0.542 0.569 0.595

Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , - 109.000 - 108.750 - 103.000 + 106.500 + 120.000 - 117.000 - 115.000 - 114.000 - 108.600

(metric ton) . . 120.151 119.875 113.537 117.395 132.276 128.969 126.765 125.662 119.710

Tin (pound) . . + 3.836 - 3.828 + 3.852 + 4.008 + 4.058 + 4.176 + 4.222 - 4.142 + 4.182

(kilogram) . . 8.457 8.439 8.492 8.836 8.946 9.206 9.308 9.131 9.220

Zinc (pound) . . + 0.492 + 0.542 + 0.579 + 0.651 + 0.684 o 0.684 + 0.699 + 0.708 + 0.724

(kilogram) . . 1.085 1.195 1.276 1.435 1.508 1.508 1.541 1.561 1.596

Burlap (yard) . . + 0.277 + 0.281 + 0.282 - 0.281 - 0.277 + 0.285 - 0.281 - 0.276 + 0.278

(meter) . . 0.303 0.307 0.308 0.307 0.303 0.312 0.307 0.302 0.304

Cotton (pound) . . + 0.594 + 0.597 + 0.619 + 0.633 - 0.574 - 0.549 - 0.513 + 0.520 + 0.533

(kilogram) . . 1.310 1.316 1.365 1.396 1.265 1.210 1.131 1.146 1.175

Print cloth (yard) . . - 0.536 + 0.550 - 0.530 - 0.500 - 0.498 + 0.508 - 0.500 - 0.480 + 0.492

(meter) . . 0.586 0.601 0.580 0.547 0.545 0.556 0.547 0.525 0.538

Wool tops (pound) . . + 5.420 + 6.208 + 7.100 - 6.575 - 6.500 o 6.500 o 6.500 + 6.950 + 7.460

(kilogram) . . 11.949 13.686 15.653 14.495 14.330 14.330 14.330 15.322 16.446

Hides (pound) . . + 1.065 + 1.100 - 1.089 - 0.969 - 0.941 + 1.026 - 0.980 - 0.905 - 0.874

(kilogram) . . 2.348 2.425 2.401 2.136 2.075 2.262 2.161 1.995 1.927

Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 + 56.600

(100 kilograms). . 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 124.780

Rubber (pound) . . + 0.549 + 0.555 + 0.593 + 0.710 - 0.662 - 0.640 - 0.599 - 0.555 - 0.536

(kilogram). . 1.210 1.224 1.307 1.565 1.459 1.411 1.321 1.224 1.182

Tallow (pound) . . + 0.170 - 0.165 - 0.158 + 0.172 + 0.179 - 0.174 - 0.154 - 0.146 - 0.140

(kilogram) . . 0.375 0.364 0.348 0.379 0.395 0.384 0.340 0.322 0.309



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for November 1 through 28; component prices are averages for November 1, 8, 15, 22, and 29.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









NOVEMBER 1988 79

December 1988









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









E

R I SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued







Diffusion index components 1988







April May June July August September October November December1





2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







Raw industrials price index (1967-100) + 297.3 + 301.6 + 309.5 - 309.0 + 309.9 - 306.4 - 305.0 + 309.7 + 316.6



Percent rising of 13 components (58) (65) (65) (42) (46) (38) (42) (69) (77)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.748 + 0.768 + 0.820 - 0.776 - 0.773 + 0.875 + 0.942 + 0.954 + 0.989

(kilogram) . . 1.649 1.693 1.808 1.711 1.704 1.929 2.077 2.103 2.180



Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.210 + 0.215 + 0.230 + 0.232 o 0.232 + 0.246 + 0.258 + 0.270 + 0.285

(kilogram) . . 0.463 0.474 0.507 0.511 0.511 0.542 0.569 0.595 0.628



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , - 108.750 - 103.000 + 106.500 + 120.000 - 117.000 - 115.000 - 114.000 - 108.600 - 106.000

(metric ton) . . 119.875 113.537 117.395 132.276 128.969 126.765 125.662 119.710 116.844



Tin (pound) . . - 3.828 + 3.852 + 4.008 + 4.058 + 4.176 + 4.222 - 4.142 + 4.182 + 4.195

(kilogram) . . 8.439 8.492 8.836 8.946 9.206 9.308 9.131 9.220 9.248



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.542 + 0.579 + 0.651 + 0.684 o 0.684 + 0.699 + 0.708 + 0.724 + 0.754

(kilogram) . . 1.195 1.276 1.435 1.508 1.508 1.541 1.561 1.596 1.662



Burlap (yard) . . + 0.281 + 0.282 - 0.281 - 0.277 + 0.285 - 0.281 - 0.276 + 0.278 + 0.280

(meter) . . 0.307 0.308 0.307 0.303 0.312 0.307 0.302 0.304 0.306



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.597 + 0.619 + 0.633 - 0.574 - 0.549 - 0.513 + 0.520 + 0.533 + 0.547

(kilogram) . . 1.316 1.365 1.396 1.265 1.210 1.131 1.146 1.175 1.206



Print cloth (yard). . + 0.550 - 0.530 - 0.500 - 0.498 + 0.508 - 0.500 - 0.480 + 0.492 + 0.520

(meter) . . 0.601 0.580 0.547 0.545 0.556 0.547 0.525 0.538 0.569



Wuol tops (pound) . . + 6.208 + 7.100 - 6.575 - 6.500 o 6.500 o 6.500 + 6.950 + 7.480 - 7.088

(kilogram). . 13.686 15.653 14.495 14.330 14.330 14.330 15.322 16.490 15.626



Hides (pound) . . + 1.100 - 1.089 - 0.969 - 0.941 + 1.026 - 0.980 - 0.905 - 0.874 - 0.865

(kilogram).. 2.425 2.401 2.136 2.075 2.262 2.161 1.995 1.927 1.907



Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 + 56.600 + 62.250

(100 kilograms). . 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 124.780 137.236



Rubber (pound) . . + 0.555 + 0.593 + 0.710 - 0.662 - 0.640 - 0.599 - 0.555 - 0.536 + 0.539

(kilogram) . . 1.224 1.307 1.565 1.459 1.411 1.321 1.224 1.182 1.188



Tallow (pound) . . - 0.165 - 0.158 + 0.172 + 0.179 - 0.174 - 0.154 - 0.146 - 0.140 + 0.152

(kilogram) . . 0.364 0.348 0.379 0.395 0.384 0.340 0.322 0.309 0.335



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( f ) •--• rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

The index is the average for December 1 through 27; component prices are averages for December 6, 13, 20, and 27.

2

d

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









DECEMBER 1988 79

January 1989









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^9 SELECTED D I F F U S I O N I N D E X COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



D i f f u s i o n index components 1988 1989



May June July August September October November December January 1





967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





R a w i n d u s t r i a l s price index (1967 100) . . . . + 301.6 + 309.5 309.0 + 309.9 - 306.4 - 305.0 + 309.7 + 317.2 + 323.9

Percent rising of 13 components (65) (65) (42) (46) (38) (42) (69) (77) (73)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.768 + 0.820 - 0.776 - 0.773 + 0.875 + 0.942 + 0.954 + 0.989 - 0.968

(kilogram) . . 1.693 1.808 1.711 1.704 1.929 2.077 2.103 2.180 2.134

Lead scrap (pound) . . + 0.215 + 0.230 + 0.232 o 0.232 + 0.246 + 0.258 + 0.270 + 0.285 o 0.285

(kilogram) . . 0.474 0.507 0.511 0.511 0.542 0.569 0.595 0.628 0.628

Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . . - 103.000 + 106.500 + 120.000 - 117.000 - 115.000 - 114.000 - 108.600 - 106.000 + 114.000

(metric ton) . . 113.537 117.395 132.276 128.969 126.765 125.662 119.710 116.844 125.662

Tin (pound) . . + 3.852 + 4.008 + 4.058 + 4.176 + 4.222 - 4.142 + 4.182 + 4.195 + 4.235

(kilogram) . . 8.492 8.836 8.946 9.206 9.308 9.131 9.220 9.248 9.336

Zinc (pound) . . + 0.579 + 0.651 + 0.684 o 0.684 + 0.699 + 0.708 + 0.724 + 0.754 + 0.803

(kilogram) . . 1.276 1.435 1.508 1.508 1.541 1.561 1.596 1.662 1.770

Burlap (yard) . . + 0.282 - 0.281 - 0.277 + 0.285 - 0.281 - 0.276 + 0.278 + 0.280 + 0.281

(meter) . . 0.308 0.307 0.303 0.312 0.307 0.302 0.304 0.306 0.307

Cotton (pound) . . + 0.619 + 0.633 - 0.574 - 0.549 - 0.513 + 0.520 + 0.533 + 0.547 + 0.554

(kilogram) . . 1.365 1.396 1.265 1.210 1.131 1.146 1.175 1.206 1.221

P r i n t doth (yard) . . - 0.530 - 0.500 - 0.498 + 0.508 - 0.500 - 0.480 + 0.492 + 0.500 + 0.518

(meter) . . 0.580 0.547 0.545 0.556 0.547 0.525 0.538 0.547 0.566

Wool tops (pound) . . + 7.100 - 6.575 - 6.500 o 6.500 o 6.500 + 6.950 + 7.480 7.088 7.000

(kilogram) . . 15.653 14.495 14.330 14.330 14.330 15.322 16.490 15.626 15.432

Hides (pound) . . - 1.089 - 0.969 - 0.941 + 1.026 - 0.980 - 0.905 - 0.874 - 0.865 + 0.920

(kilogram) . . 2.401 2.136 2.075 2.262 2.161 1.995 1.927 1.907 2.028

Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 + 56.600 + 62.250 + 65.000

(100 kilograms) . . 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 124.780 137.236 143.299

Rubber (pound) . . + 0.593 + 0.710 - 0.662 - 0.640 - 0.599 - 0.555 - 0.536 + 0.539 + 0.556

(kilogram) . . 1.307 1.565 1.459 1.411 1.321 1.224 1.182 1 . 188 1.226

Tallow (pound) . . - 0.158 + 0.172 + 0.179 - 0.174 - 0.154 - 0.146 - 0.140 + 0.152 - 0.148

(kilogram) 0.348 0.379 0.395 0.384 0.340 0.322 0.309 0.335 0.326

:

N O T E : To f a c i l i t a t e interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( • ) rising, (o) unchanged, and ( ) " falling. The "r" i n d i c a t e s revised: "p"

preliminary: and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for January 3 through 27; component prices are averages for January 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItO JANUARY 1989 79

February 1989









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









|£J SELECTED D I F F U S I O N I N D E X COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Direct ons of Change-Continued



D i f f u s i o n index components 1988 1989





June July August September October November December January February





967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW I N D U S T R I A L S 1





R a w i n d u s t r i a l s price index (1967^100) . . . . + 309.5 309.0 + 309.9 - 306.4 - 305.0 + 309.7 + 317.2 + 324.7 + 329.3



Percent rising of 13 components (65) (42) (46) (38) (42) (69) (77) (69) (62)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.820 - 0.776 - 0.773 + 0.875 + 0.942 + 0.954 + 0.989 - 0.962 - 0.910

(kilogram) . . 1.808 1.711 1.704 1.929 2.077 2.103 2.180 2.121 2.006



Lead scrap (pound) . . + 0.230 + 0.232 o 0.232 + 0.246 + 0.258 + 0.270 + 0.285 - 0.284 - 0.239

(kilogram) . . 0.507 0.511 0.511 0.542 0.569 0.595 0.628 0.626 0.527



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , + 106.500 + 120.000 - 117.000 - 115.000 - 114.000 - 108.600 - 106.000 + 114.800 - 113.000

(metric ton) . . 117.395 132.276 128.969 126.765 125.662 119.710 116.844 126.544 124.560



Tin (pound) . . + 4.008 + 4.058 + 4.176 + 4.222 - 4.142 + 4.182 + 4.195 + 4.248 + 4.528

(kilogram) . . 8.836 8.946 9.206 9.308 9.131 9.220 9.248 9.365 9.982



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.651 + 0.684 o 0.684 + 0.699 + 0.708 + 0.724 + 0.754 + 0.811 + 0.893

(kilogram) . . 1.435 1.508 1.508 1.541 1.561 1.596 1.662 1.788 1.969



Burlap (yard) . . - 0.281 - 0.277 + 0.285 - 0.281 - 0.276 + 0.278 + 0.280 + 0.281 + 0.283

(meter) . . 0.307 0.303 0.312 0.307 0.302 0.304 0.306 0.307 0.309



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.633 - 0.574 - 0.549 - 0.513 + 0.520 + 0.533 + 0.547 + 0.556 - 0.554

(kilogram) . . 1.396 1.265 1.210 1.131 1.146 1.175 1.206 1.226 1.221

Print cloth (yard) . . - 0.500 - 0.498 + 0.508 - 0.500 - 0.480 + 0.492 + 0.500 + 0.532 + 0.610

(meter) . . 0.547 0.545 0.556 0.547 0.525 0.538 0.547 0.582 0.667



Wool tops (pound) . . - 6.575 - 6.500 o 6.500 o 6.500 + 6.950 + 7.480 7.088 - 7.070 + 7.225

(kilogram) . . 14.495 14.330 14.330 14.330 15.322 16.490 15.626 15.587 15.928



Hides (pound) . . - 0.969 - 0.941 + 1.026 - 0.980 - 0.905 - 0.874 - 0.865 + 0.936 + 0.976

(kilogram) . . 2.136 2.075 2.262 2.161 1.995 1.927 1.907 2.064 2.152



Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 + 56.600 + 62.250 + 65.000 o 65.000

(100 kilograms) . . 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 124.780 137.236 143.299 143.299



Rubber (pound) . . + 0.710 - 0.662 - 0.640 - 0.599 - 0.555 - 0.536 + 0.539 + 0.564 + 0.592

(kilogram) . . 1.565 1.459 1.411 1.321 1.224 1.182 1.188 1.243 1.305



Tallow (pound) . . + 0.172 + 0.179 - 0.174 - 0.154 - 0.146 - 0.140 + 0.152 - 0.146 o 0.146

(kilogram) . . 0.379 0.395 0.384 0.340 0.322 0.309 0.335 0.322 0.322



N O T E : To f a c i l i t a t e i n t e r p r e t a t i o n , the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( rising, (o) unchanged, and (-) ^ falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary: and "NA", not available.

a

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they m ay not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bu reau of Economic Analysis.









FEBRUARY 1989 79

March 1989







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









KB SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Direct ons of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1988 1989





July August September October November December January February March 1





2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 100) . . . . - 309.0 + 309.9 306.4 - 305.0 + 309.7 + 317.2 + 324.7 + 329.3 + 334.6



Percent rising of 13 components (42) (46) (38) (42) (69) (77) (69) (65) (58)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.776 - 0.773 + 0.875 + 0.942 + 0.954 + 0.989 - 0.962 - 0.910 + 1.030

(kilogram) . . 1.711 1.704 1.929 2.077 2.103 2.180 2.121 2.006 2.271



Lead scrap (pound) . . + 0.232 o 0.232 + 0.246 + 0.258 + 0.270 + 0.285 - 0.284 - 0.239 - 0.217

(kilogram) . . 0.511 0.511 0.542 0.569 0.595 0.628 0.626 0.527 0.478



Stee! scrap (U.S. ton) . . + 120.000 - 117.000 - 115.000 - 114.000 - 108.600 - 106.000 + 114.800 - 113.000 o 113.000

(metric ton) . . 132.276 128.969 126.765 125.662 119.710 116.844 126.544 124.560 124.560



Tin (pound) . . + 4.058 + 4.176 + 4.222 - 4.142 + 4.182 + 4.195 + 4.248 + 4.528 + 4.990

(kilogram) . . 8.946 9.206 9.308 9.131 9.220 9.248 9.365 9.982 11.001



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.684 o 0.684 + 0.699 + 0.708 + 0.724 + 0.754 + 0.811 + 0.901 + 0.954

(kilogram) . . 1.508 1.508 1.541 1.561 1.596 1.662 1.788 1.986 2.103



Burlap (yard) . . - 0.277 + 0.285 - 0.281 - 0.276 + 0.278 + 0.280 + 0.281 -i- 0.282 o 0.282

(meter) . . 0.303 0.312 0.307 0.302 0.304 0.306 0.307 0.308 0.308



Cotton (pound) . . - 0.574 - 0.549 - 0.513 + 0.520 + 0.533 + 0.547 + 0.556 - 0.554 + 0.574

(kilogram) . . 1.265 1.210 1.131 1.146 1.175 1.206 1.226 1.221 1.265



Print cloth (yard). . - 0.498 + 0.508 - 0.500 - 0.480 + 0.492 + 0.500 + 0.532 + 0.610 + 0.630

(meter) . . 0.545 0.556 0.547 0.525 0.538 0.547 0.582 0.667 0.689



Wool tops (pound) . . - 6.500 o 6.500 o 6.500 + 6.950 + 7.480 - 7.088 - 7.070 + 7.075 - 6.700

(kilogram) . . 14.330 14.330 14.330 15.322 16.490 15.626 15.587 15.598 14.771



Hides (pound) . . - 0.941 + 1.026 - 0.980 - 0.905 - 0.874 - 0.865 + 0.936 + 0.976 + 1.047

(kilogram) . . 2.075 2.262 2.161 1.995 1.927 1.907 2.064 2.152 2.308



Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 + 56.600 + 62.250 + 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000

(100 kilograms) . . 104.719 104.719 104.719 104.719 124.780 137.236 143.299 143.299 143.299



Rubber (pound) . . - 0.662 - 0.640 - 0.599 - 0.555 - 0.536 + 0.539 + 0.564 + 0.592 - 0.567

(kilogram) . . 1.459 1.411 1.321 1.224 1.182 1.188 1.243 1.305 1.250



lallow (pound) . . + 0.179 - 0.174 0.154 - 0.146 - 0.140 + 0.152 - 0.146 + 0.147 - 0.145

(kilogram) . . 0.395 0.384 0.340 0.322 0.309 0.335 0.322 0.324 0.320



NOTE: To f a c i l i t a t e ( • ) rising, (o) unchanged, and ( ) falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p"

preliminary: and "NA",

The index is the average for March 1 through 22; component prices are averages for March 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permiss ion from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









MARCH 1989 79

April 1989







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^9 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





D i f f u s i o n index components 1988 1989





August September October November December January February March April 1





2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







R a w industrials price index (1967-100) . . . . + 309.9 - 306.4 - 305.0 + 309.7 + 317.2 + 324.7 + 329.3 + 334.6 + 335.4



Percent fixing of 13 components (46) (38) (42) (69) (77) (69) (65) (58) (54)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.773 + 0.875 + 0.942 + 0.954 + 0.989 - 0.962 - 0.910 + 1.032 + 1.058

(kilogram) . . 1.704 1.929 2.077 2.103 2.180 2.121 2.006 2.275 2.332



Lead scrap (pound) . . o 0.232 + 0.246 + 0.258 + 0.270 + 0.285 - 0.284 - 0.239 - 0.217 + 0.218

(kilogram) . . 0.511 0.542 0.569 0.595 0.628 0.626 0.527 0.478 0.481



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . - 117.000 - 115.000 - 114.000 - 108.600 - 106.000 + 114.800 - 113.000 o 113.000 o 113.000

(metric ton) . . 128.969 126.765 125.662 119.710 116.844 126.544 124.560 124.560 124.560



Tin (pound) . . + 4.176 + 4.222 - 4.142 + 4.182 + 4.195 + 4.248 + 4.528 + 5.022 + 5.750

(kilogram) . . 9.206 9.308 9.131 9.220 9.248 9.365 9.982 11.072 12.676



Zinc (pound) . . o 0.684 + 0.699 + 0.708 + 0.724 + 0.754 + 0.811 + 0.901 + 0.954 - 0.879

(kilogram) . . 1.508 1.541 1.561 1.596 1.662 1.788 1.986 2.103 1.938



Burlap (yard) . . + 0.285 - 0.281 - 0.276 + 0.278 + 0.280 + 0.281 + 0.282 o 0.282 + 0.283

(meter) . . 0.312 0.307 0.302 0.304 0.306 0.307 0.308 0.308 0.309



Cotton (pound) . . - 0.549 - 0.513 + 0.520 + 0.533 + 0.547 + 0.556 - 0.554 + 0.578 + 0.614

(kilogram) . . 1.210 1.131 1.146 1.175 1.206 1.226 1.221 1.274 1.354



Print cloth (yard). . + 0.508 - 0.500 - 0.480 + 0.492 + 0.500 + 0.532 + 0.610 + 0.630 + 0.650

(meter) . . 0.556 0.547 0.525 0.538 0.547 0.582 0.667 0.689 0.711



Wool tops (pound) . . o 6.500 o 6.500 + 6.950 + 7.480 - 7.088 - 7.070 + 7.075 - 6.650 - 6.250

(kilogram) . . 14.330 14.330 15.322 16.490 15.626 15.587 15.598 14.661 13.779



Hides (pound) . . + 1.026 - 0.980 - 0.905 - 0.874 - 0.865 + 0.936 + 0.976 + 1.048 - 0.975

(kilogram) . . 2.262 2.161 1.995 1.927 1.907 2.064 2.152 2.310 2.149



Rosin (100 pounds). . o 47.500 o 47.500 o 47.500 + 56.600 + 62.250 + 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000

(100 kilograms) . . 104.719 104.719 104.719 124.780 137.236 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299



Rubber (pound) . . - 0.640 - 0.599 - 0.555 - 0.536 + 0.539 + 0.564 + 0.592 - 0.566 - 0.553

(kilogram) . . 1.411 1.321 1.224 1.182 1.188 1.243 1.305 1.248 1.219



Tallow (pound) . . - 0.174 - 0.154 - 0.146 - 0.140 + 0.152 - 0.146 + 0.147 - 0.145 - 0.143

(kilogram) . . 0.384 0.340 0.322 0.309 0.335 0.322 0.324 0.320 0.315



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( M rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for April 3 through 25; component prices are averages for April 4, 11, 18, and 25.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









APRIL 1989 79

May 1989









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Qj SELECTED D I E E U S I O N I N D E X COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Direct ons of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1988 1989



September October November December January February March April May 1





967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 306.4 - 305.0 + 309.7 + 317.2 + 324.7 + 329.3 + 334.6 + 335.0 - 331.5



Percent rising of 13 components (38) (4?) (69) (77) (69) (65) (58) (54) (38)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.875 + 0.942 + 0.954 + 0.989 - 0.962 - 0.910 + 1.032 + 1.058 - 0.979

(kilogram) . . 1.929 2.077 2.103 2.180 2.121 2.006 2.275 2.332 2.158



Lead scrap (pound) . . + 0.246 + 0.258 + 0.270 + 0.285 - 0.284 - 0.239 - 0.217 + 0.218 o 0.218

(kilogram) . . 0.542 0.569 0.595 0.628 0.626 0.527 0.478 0.481 0.481



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , - 115.000 - 114.000 - 108.600 - 106.000 + 114.800 - 113.000 o 113.000 o 113.000 - 112.500

(metric ton) . . 126.765 125.662 119.710 116.844 126.544 124.560 124.560 124.560 124.009



Tin (pound) . . + 4.222 - 4.142 + 4.182 + 4.195 + 4.248 + 4.528 + 5.022 + 5.750 + 5.902

(kilogram) . . 9.308 9.131 9.220 9.248 9.365 9.982 11.072 12.676 13.012



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.699 + 0.708 + 0.724 + 0.754 + 0.811 + 0.901 + 0.954 - 0.879 - 0.854

(kilogram) . . 1.541 1.561 1.596 1.662 1.788 1.986 2.103 1.938 1.883



Burlap (yard). . - 0.281 - 0.276 + 0.278 + 0.280 + 0.281 + 0.282 o 0.282 + 0.283 - 0.282

(meter) . . 0.307 0.302 0.304 0.306 0.307 0.308 0.308 0.309 0.308



Cotton (pound) . . - 0.513 + 0.520 + 0.533 + 0.547 + 0.556 - 0.554 + 0.578 + 0.614 + 0.633

(kilogram) . . 1.131 1.146 1.175 1.206 1.226 1.221 1.274 1.354 1.396



P r i n t cloth (yard) . . - 0.500 - 0.480 + 0.492 + 0.500 + 0.532 + 0.610 + 0.630 + 0.650 + 0.705

(meter) . . 0.547 0.525 0.538 0.547 0.582 0.667 0.689 0.711 0.771



Wool tops (pound) . . o 6.500 + 6.950 + 7.480 - 7.088 - 7.070 + 7.075 - 6.650 - 6.250 - 5.588

(kilogram) . . 14.330 15.322 16.490 15.626 15.587 15.598 14.661 13.779 12.319

Hides (pound). . - 0.980 - 0.905 - 0.874 - 0.865 + 0.936 + 0.976 + 1.048 - 0.975 - 0.955

(kilogram) . . 2.161 1.995 1.927 1.907 2.064 2.152 2.310 2.149 2.105



Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . o 47.500 o 47.500 + 56.600 + 62.250 + 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000

(100 k i l o g r a m s ) . . 104.719 104.719 124.780 137.236 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299



Rubber (pound) . . - 0.599 - 0.555 - 0.536 + 0.539 + 0.564 + 0.592 - 0.566 - 0.553 - 0.526

(kilogram) . . 1.321 1.224 1.182 1.188 1.243 1.305 1.248 1.219 1.160



Tallow (pound) . . - 0.154 - 0.146 - 0.140 + 0.152 - 0.146 + 0.147 - 0.145 - 0.143 + 0.144

(kilogram) . . 0.340 0.322 0.309 0.335 0.322 0.324 0.320 0.315 0.317



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( • ) rising, (o) unchanged, and ( - ) := falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p"

preliminary: and "NA". not available.

x

The index is the average for May 1 through 23; component prices are averages for May 2, 9, 16, and 23.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

ma

ureau of Economic Analysis.

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bur









MAY 1989 79

June 1989







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1988 1989



October November December January February March April May June. 1



967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2



Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 305.0 + 309.7 + 317.2 + 324.7 + 329.3 + 334.6 + 335.0 - 330.5 - 329.2

Percent rising of 13 components (42) (69) (77) (69) (65) (58) (54) (38) (35)



Dollars



Copper scrap (pound). . + 0.942 + 0.954 + 0.989 - 0.962 - 0.910 + 1.032 + 1.058 - 0.969 - 0.938

(kilogram).. 2.077 2.103 2.180 2.121 2.006 2.275 2.332 2.136 2.068

Lead scrap . (pound) + 0.258 + 0.270 + 0.285 - 0.284 - 0.239 - 0.217 + 0.218 o 0.218 + 0.228

(kilogram),. 0.569 0.595 0.628 0.626 0.527 0.478 0.481 0.481 0.503

Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , - 114.000 - 108.600 - 106.000 + 114.800 - 113.000 o 113.000 o 113.000 - 112.200 - 111.000

(metric t o n ) . . 125.662 119.710 116.844 126.544 124.560 124.560 124.560 123.678 122.355

Tin (pound)., - 4.142 + 4.182 + 4.195 + 4.248 + 4.528 + 5.022 + 5.750 + 5.822 - 5.710

(kilogram).. 9.131 9.220 9.248 9,365 9.982 11.072 12.676 12.835 12.588

Zinc . . . . . . .(pound) , + 0.708 + 0.724 + 0.754 + 0,811 + 0.901 + 0.954 - 0.879 - 0.854 - 0.811

(kilogram).. 1.561 1.596 1.662 1.788 1.986 2.103 1.938 1.883 1.788

Burlap (yard) . . - 0.276 + 0.278 + 0.280 + 0.281 + 0.282 o 0.282 + 0.283 - 0.282 + 0.284

(meter) . . 0.302 0.304 0.306 0.307 0.308 0.308 0.309 0,308 0.311



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.520 + 0.533 + 0.547 + 0.556 - 0.554 + 0.578 + 0.614 + 0.635 - 0.633

(kilogram).. 1.146 1.175 1.206 1.226 1.221 1.274 1.354 1.400 1.396

Print cloth (yard)., - 0.480 + 0.492 + 0.500 + 0.532 + 0.610 + 0.630 + 0.650 + 0.708 + 0.757

(meter).. 0.525 0.538 0.547 0.582 0.667 0.689 0.711 0.774 0.828

Wool tops (pound)., + 6.950 + 7.480 - 7.088 - 7.070 + 7.075 - 6.650 - 6.250 - 5.570 - 5.467

(kilogram).. 15.322 16.490 15.626 15.587 15.598 14.661 13.779 12.280 12.053

Hides , (pound) - 0.905 - 0.874 - 0.865 + 0.936 + 0.976 + 1.048 - 0.975 - 0.954 - 0.945

(kilogram) . , 1.995 1.927 1.907 2.064 2.152 2.310 2.149 2.103 2.083

Rosin . (100 pounds) o 47.500 + 56.600 + 62.250 + 65.000 0 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000

(100 kilograms).. 104.719 124.780 137.236 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299

Rubber (pound)., - 0.555 - 0.536 + 0.539 + 0.564 + 0.592 - 0.566 - 0.553 - 0.520 - 0.492

(kilogram) . . 1.224 1.182 1.188 1.243 1.305 1.248 1.219 1.146 1.085

Tallow . (pound) - 0.146 - 0.140 + 0.152 - 0.146 + 0.147 - 0.145 - 0.143 + 0.144 + 0.151

(kilogram). . 0.322 0.309 0.335 0.322 0.324 0.320 0.315 ,0.317 0.333



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

lf

2

index is the average for June 1 through 23; component prices are averages for June 6, 13, and 20.

rhe

may

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they ma not be reproduced without

ureau of Economic Analysis.

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bur









JUNE 1989 79

July 1989









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









|

Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1988 1989







November December January February March April May June July





2

967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







R a w i n d u s t r i a l s price index ( 1 9 6 7 100) . . . . + 309.7 + 317.2 + 324.7 + 329.3 + 334.6 + 335.0 - 330.5 - 329.1 - 326.7



Percent rising of 13 components (69) (77) (69) (65) (58) (54) (38) (38) (38)







Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.954 + 0.989 - 0.962 - 0.910 + 1.032 + 1.058 - 0.969 - 0.940 - 0.901

(kilogram) 2.103 2.180 2.121 2.006 2.275 2.332 2.136 2.072 1.986



Lead scrap (pound) . . +' 0.270 + 0.285 - 0.284 - 0.239 - 0.217 + 0.218 o 0.218 + 0.228 + 0.231

(kilogram) . . 0.595 0.628 0.626 0.527 0.478 0.481 0.481 0.503 0.509



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . - 108.600 - 106.000 + 114.800 - 113.000 o 113.000 o 113.000 - 112.200 - 111.000 - 108.000

(metric t o n ) . . 119.710 116.844 126.544 124.560 124.560 124.560 123.678 122.355 119.048



Tin (pound) . . + 4.182 + 4.195 + 4.248 + 4.528 + 5.022 + 5.750 + 5.822 5.685 - 5.290

(kilogram) . . 9.220 9.248 9.365 9.982 11.072 12.676 12.835 12.533 11.662



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.724 + 0.754 + 0.811 + 0.901 + 0.954 - 0.879 - 0.854 - 0.809 - 0.804

(kilogram) . . 1.596 1.662 1.788 1.986 2.103 1.938 1.883 1.784 1.772



Burlap (yard) . . + 0.278 + 0.280 + 0.281 + 0.282 o 0.282 + 0.283 - 0.282 + 0.284 + 0.286

(meter) . . 0.304 0.306 0.307 0.308 0.308 0.309 0.308 0.311 0.313



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.533 + 0.547 + 0.556 - 0.554 + 0.578 + 0.614 + 0.635 + 0.638 + 0.670

(kilogram) 1.175 1.206 1.226 1.221 1.274 1.354 1.400 1.407 1.477



Print cloth (yard) . . + 0.492 + 0.500 + 0.532 + 0.610 + 0.630 + 0.650 + 0.708 + 0.768 + 0.815

(meter) . . 0.538 0.547 0.582 0.667 0.689 0.711 0.774 0.840 0.891



Wool tops (pound) . . + 7.480 7.088 - 7.070 + 7.075 - 6.650 - 6.250 - 5.570 - 5.400 - 5.200

(kilogram) 16.490 15.626 15.587 15.598 14.661 13.779 12.280 11.905 11.464



Hides (pound) . . - 0.874 - 0.865 + 0.936 + 0.976 + 1.048 - 0.975 - 0.954 - 0.948 + 1.000

(kilogram) . . 1.927 1.907 2.064 2.152 2.310 2.149 2.103 2.090 2.205



Rosin ( 1 0 0 pounds) . . + 56.600 + 62.250 + 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 - 64.500 - 63.000

( 100 kilograms) 124.780 137.236 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 142.197 138.890



Rubber (pound) . . - 0.536 + 0.539 + 0.564 + 0.592 - 0.566 - 0.553 - 0.520 - 0.494 - 0.492

(kilogram) 1.182 1.188 1.243 1.305 1.248 1.219 1.146 1.089 1.085



Tallow (pound) . . - 0.140 + 0.152 - 0.146 + 0.147 - 0.145 - 0.143 + 0.144 + 0.150 - 0.142

(kilogram) . . 0.309 0.335 0.322 0.324 0.320 0.315 0.317 0.331 0.313



N O T E : To f a c i l i t a t e i n t e r p r e t a t i o n , the m o n t h - t o - m o n t h d i r e c t i o n s of change are shown along w i t h the numbers: ( • ) rising, (o) unchanged, and ( ) falling. The "r" i n d i c a t e s r e v i s e d : "p"

p r e l i m i n a r y ; and "NA", not a v a i l a b l e .

x

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permiss ion; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric unit s by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JULY 1989 79

August 1989









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED D I F F U S I O N I N D E X COMPONENTS: Basic Data a n d Directions o f Change-Continued





D i f f u s i o n i n d e x components 1988 1989





December January February March April May June July August1





967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW I N D U S T R I A L S 2





R a w i n d u s t r i a l s price index (1967^100) . . . . + 317.2 + 324.7 + 329.3 + 334.6 + 335.0 - 330.5 - 329.1 - 326.7 - 324.6



Percent rising of 13 components (77) (69) (65) (58) (54) (38) (38) (38) (50)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.989 - 0.962 - 0.910 + 1.032 + 1.058 - 0.969 - 0.940 - 0.901 + 0.942

(kilogram) . . 2.180 2.121 2.006 2.275 2.332 2.136 2.072 1.986 2.077



Lead scrap (pound) . . + 0.285 - 0.284 - 0.239 - 0.217 + 0.218 o 0.218 + 0.228 + 0.231 + 0.242

(kilogram) . . 0.628 0.626 0.527 0.478 0.481 0.481 0.503 0.509 0.534



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . - 106.000 + 114.800 - 113.000 o 113.000 o 113.000 - 112.200 - 111.000 - 108.000 - 105.000

(metric ton) . . 116.844 126.544 124.560 124.560 124.560 123.678 122.355 119.048 115.741



Tin (pound) . . + 4.195 + 4.248 + 4.528 + 5.022 + 5.750 + 5.822 - 5.685 - 5.290 - 4.832

(kilogram). . 9.248 9.365 9.982 11.072 12.676 12.835 12.533 11.662 10.653



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.754 + 0.811 + 0.901 + 0.954 - 0.879 - 0.854 - 0.809 - 0.804 + 0.822

(kilogram) . . 1.662 1.788 1.986 2.103 1.938 1.883 1.784 1.772 1.812

Burlap (yard) . . + 0.280 + 0.281 + 0.282 o 0.282 + 0.283 - 0.282 + 0.284 + 0.286 - 0.284

(meter) . . 0.306 0.307 0.308 0.308 0.309 0.308 0.311 0.313 0.311

Cotton (pound) . . + 0.547 + 0.556 - 0.554 + 0.578 + 0.614 + 0.635 + 0.638 + 0.670 + 0.698

(kilogram) . . 1.206 1.226 1.221 1.274 1.354 1.400 1.407 1.477 1.539

P r i n t cloth (yard) . . + 0.500 + 0.532 + 0.610 + 0.630 + 0.650 + 0.708 + 0.768 + 0.815 - 0.782

(meter) . . 0.547 0.582 0.667 0.689 0.711 0.774 0.840 0.891 0.855

Wool tops (pound) . . - 7.088 - 7.070 + 7.075 - 6.650 - 6.250 - 5.570 - 5.400 5.200 + 5.212

(kilogram) . . 15.626 15.587 15.598 14.661 13.779 12.280 11.905 11.464 11.490

Hides (pound) . . - 0.865 + 0.936 + 0.976 + 1.048 - 0.975 - 0.954 - 0.948 + 1.000 + 1.008

(kilogram) . . 1.907 2.064 2.152 2.310 2.149 2.103 2.090 2.205 2.222

Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . + 62.250 + 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 - 64.500 - 63.000 o 63.000

(100 kilograms) . . 137.236 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 142.197 138.890 138.890

Rubber (pound) . . + 0.539 + 0.564 + 0.592 - 0.566 - 0.553 - 0.520 - 0.494 - 0.492 - 0.476

(kilogram) . . 1.188 1.243 1.305 1.248 1.219 1.146 1.089 1.085 1.049

Tallow (pound) . . + 0.152 - 0.146 + 0.147 - 0.145 - 0.143 + 0.144 + 0.150 - 0.142 - 0.131

(kilogram) . . 0.335 0.322 0.324 0.320 0.315 0.317 0.331 0.313 0.289

r

NOTE: To f a c i l i t a t e interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (4 ) - rising, (o) ^ unchanged, and ( — ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

The index is the average for August 1 through 28; component prices are averages for August 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1989 79

September 1989









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









R| SELECTED D I F F U S I O N I N D E X COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Direct ons of Change-Continued





D i f f u s i o n i n d e x components 1989





January February March April May June July August September 1





2

967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES. RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw i n d u s t r i a l s price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 324.7 + 329.3 + 334.6 + 335.0 - 330.5 - 329.1 - 326.7 - 325.0 + 327.0



Percent rising of 13 components (69) (65) (58) (54) (38) (38) (38) (50) (46)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.962 - 0.910 + 1.032 + 1.058 - 0.969 0.940 - 0.901 + 0.952 + 1.012

(kilogram). . 2.121 2.006 2.275 2.332 2.136 2.072 1.986 2.099 2.231



Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.284 - 0.239 - 0.217 + 0.218 o 0.218 + 0.228 + 0.231 + 0.242 + 0.260

(kilogram). . 0.626 0.527 0.478 0.481 0.481 0.503 0.509 0.534 0.573



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . + 114.800 - 113.000 0 113.000 o 113.000 - 112.200 - 111.000 - 108.000 - 105.000 - 102.250

(metric ton) . . 126.544 124.560 124.560 124.560 123.678 122.355 119.048 115.741 112.710



Tin (pound) . . + 4.248 + 4.528 + 5.022 + 5.750 + 5.822 - 5.685 - 5.290 - 4.786 - 4.535

(kilogram). . 9.365 9.982 11.072 12.676 12.835 12.533 11.662 10.551 9.998



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.811 + 0.901 + 0.954 - 0.879 - 0.854 - 0.809 - 0.804 + 0.829 0.822

(kilogram) . . 1.788 1.986 2.103 1.938 1.883 1.784 1.772 1.828 1.812



Burlap (yard) . . + 0.281 + 0.282 o 0.282 + 0.283 - 0.282 + 0.284 + 0.286 - 0.284 o 0.284

(meter) . . 0.307 0.308 0.308 0.309 0.308 0.311 0.313 0.311 0.311



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.556 - 0.554 + 0.578 + 0.614 + 0.635 + 0.638 + 0.670 + 0.698 - 0.686

(kilogram) . . 1.226 1.221 1.274 1.354 1.400 1.407 1.477 1.539 1.512



Print cloth (yard). . + 0.532 + 0.610 + 0.630 + 0.650 + 0.708 + 0.768 + 0.815 - 0.784 0.782

(meter) . . 0.582 0.667 0.689 0.711 0.774 0.840 0.891 0.857 0.855



Wool tops (pound) . . - 7.070 + 7.075 - 6.650 - 6.250 - 5.570 - 5.400 5.200 + 5.220 + 5.250

(kilogram) . . 15.587 15.598 14.661 13.779 12.280 11.905 11.464 11.508 11.574



Hides (pound) . . + 0.936 + 0.976 + 1.048 - 0.975 - 0.954 - 0.948 + 1.000 + 1.020 + 1.052

(kilogram) . . 2.064 2.152 2.310 2.149 2.103 2.090 2.205 2.249 2.319



Rosin (100 pounds) . . + 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 - 64.500 - 63.000 o 63.000 o 63.000

(100 k i l o g r a m s ) . . 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 142.197 138.890 138.890 138.890



Rubber (pound) . . + 0.564 + 0.592 - 0.566 - 0.553 - 0.520 - 0.494 - 0.492 - 0.473 - 0.462

(kilogram) . . 1.243 1.305 1.248 1.219 1.146 1.089 1.085 1.043 1.019



Tallow (pound) . . - 0.146 + 0.147 0.145 - 0.143 + 0.144 + 0.150 - 0.142 - 0.131 + 0.138

(kilogram) . . 0.322 0.324 0.320 0.315 0.317 0.331 0.313 0.289 0.304



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( M - rising, (o) - unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for September 1 through 26.

2

v*

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









SEPTEMBER 1989 79

October 1989







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









f^ SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1989





February March April May June July August September October 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 329.3 + 334.6 + 335.0 - 330,5 - 329.1 - 326.7 - 325.0 + 327.0 o 327.1



Percent rising of 13 components (65) (58) (54) (38) (38) (38) (50) (46) (38)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.910 + 1.032 + 1.058 - 0.969 - 0.940 - 0.901 + 0.952 + 1.012 + 1.045

(kilogram).. 2.006 2.275 2.332 2.136 2.072 1.986 2.099 2.231 2.304



Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.239 - 0.217 + 0.218 o 0.218 + 0.228 + 0.231 + 0.242 + 0.260 - 0.258

(kilogram).. 0,527 0.478 0.481 0.481 0.503 0.509 0.534 0.573 0.569



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . . - 113.000 0 113.000 o 113.000 - 112.200 - 111.000 - 108.000 - 105.000 - 102.250 - 100.000

(metric t o n ) . . 124.560 124.560 124.560 123.678 122.355 119.048 115.741 112.710 110.230



Tin (pound) . . + 4.528 + 5.022 + 5.750 + 5.822 - 5.685 - 5.290 - 4.786 - 4.535 - 4.430

(kilogram). . 9.982 11.072 12.676 12.835 12.533 11.662 10.551 9.998 9.766



Zinc (pound) . . + 0.901 + 0.954 - 0.879 - 0.854 - 0.809 - 0.804 + 0.829 - 0.822 - 0.804

(kilogram).. 1.986 2.103 1.938 1.883 1.784 1.772 1.828 1.812 1.772



Burlap (yard) + 0.282 o 0.282 + 0.283 - 0.282 + 0.284 + 0.286 - 0.284 o 0.284 + 0.285

(meter).. 0.308 0.308 0.309 0.308 0.311 0.313 0.311 0.311 0.312



Cotton , (pound) . , - 0.554 + 0.578 + 0.614 + 0.635 + 0.638 + 0.670 + 0.698 - 0.686 + 0.691

(kilogram) . . 1.221 1.274 1.354 1.400 1.407 1.477 1.539 1.512 1.523



Print cloth (yard)., + 0.610 + 0.630 + 0.650 + 0.708 + 0.768 + 0.815 - 0.784 - 0.782 - 0.780

(meter).. 0.667 0.689 0.711 0.774 0.840 0.891 0.857 0.855 0.853



Wool tops .(pound) . . + 7.075 6.650 - 6.250 - 5.570 - 5.400 - 5.200 + 5.220 + 5.250 5.225

(kilogram).. 15.598 14.661 13.779 12.280 11.905 11.464 11.508 11.574 11,519



Hides (pound) + 0.976 + 1.048 - 0.975 - 0.954 - 0.948 + 1.000 + 1.020 + 1.052 - 1.050

(kilogram).. 2.152 2.310 2.149 2.103 2.090 2.205 2.249 2.319 2.315



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 o 65.000 - 64.500 - 63.000 o 63.000 o 63.000 o 63.000

(100 kilograms).. 143.299 143.299 143.299 143.299 142.197 138.890 138.890 138.890 138.890



Rubber (pound) . . + 0.592 - 0.566 - 0.553 - 0.520 - 0.494 - 0.492 - 0.473 - 0.462 o 0.462

(kilogram).. 1.305 1.248 1.219 1.146 1.089 1.085 1.043 1.019 1.019



Tallow (pound) . . + 0.147 - 0.145 - 0.143 + 0.144 + 0.150 - 0.142 - 0.131 + 0.138 + 0.144

(kilogram).. 0.324 0.320 0.315 0.317 0.331 0.313 0.289 0.304 0,317



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( rising, (o) -= unchanged, and ( • - ) - falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

l

The index is the average for October 2 through 25; component prices are averages f'or October 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









OCTOBER 1989 79

December 1989









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









SELECTED D I F F U S I O N I N D E X COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1989



April May June July August September October November December 1





967. I N D E X OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 335.0 - 330.5 - 329.1 - 326.7 - 325.0 + 327.0 - 325.7 - 314.2 - 301.8



Percent rising of 13 components (54) (38) (38) (38) (50) (46) (35) (8) (4)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) + 1.058 - 0.969 - 0.940 - 0.901 + 0.952 + 1.012 + 1.028 - 0.915 - 0.802

(kilogram).. 2.332 2.136 2.072 1.986 2.099 2.231 2.266 2.017 1.768



Lead scrap (pound) . . + 0.218 o 0.218 + 0.228 + 0.231 + 0.242 + 0.260 - 0.257 - 0.255 - 0.240

(kilogram) . . 0.481 0.481 0.503 0.509 0.534 0.573 0.567 0.562 0.529



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . o 113.000 - 112.200 - 111.000 - 108.000 - 105.000 - 102.250 - 99.000 •- 96.000 - 94.000

(metric ton) . . 124.560 123.678 122.355 119.048 115.741 112.710 109.128 105.821 103.616

Tin (pound) . . + 5.750 + 5.822 - 5.685 - 5.290 - 4.786 - 4.535 - 4.362 - 3.782 - 3.715

(kilogram) . . 12.676 12.835 12.533 11.662 10.551 9.998 9.616 8.338 8.190



Zinc (pound) . . - 0.879 - 0.854 - 0.809 - 0.804 + 0.829 - 0.822 - 0.804 - 0.761 - 0.734

(kilogram) . . 1.938 1.883 1.784 1.772 1.828 1.812 1.772 1.678 1.618

Burlap (yard) . . + 0.283 - 0.282 + 0.284 + 0.286 - 0.284 o 0.284 + 0.285 - 0.284 - 0.282

(meter) . . 0.309 0.308 0.311 0.313 0.311 0.311 0.312 0.311 0.308

Cotton '..-.. (pound) . . + 0.614 + 0.635 + 0.638 + 0.670 + 0.698 - 0.686 + 0.693 - 0.677 - 0.637

(kilogram) . . 1.354 1.400 1.407 1.477 1.539 1.512 1.528 1.493 1.404

Print cloth (yard) + 0.650 + 0.708 + 0.768 + 0.815 - 0.784 - 0.782 - 0.774 - 0.752 - 0.710

(meter) . . 0.711 0.774 0.840 0.891 0.857 0.855 0.846 0.822 0.776

Wool tops , (pound) . . - 6.250 - 5.570 - 5.400 - 5.200 + 5.220 + 5.250 - 5.180 - 5.000 - 4.800

(kilogram) . . 13.779 12.280 11.90.5 11.464 11.508 11.574 11.420 11.023 10.582

Hides (pound) . . - 0.975 - 0.954 - 0.948 + 1.000 + 1.020 + 1.052 - 1.048 - 1.025 - 1 ..004

(kilogram) . . 2.149 2.103 2.090 2.205 2.249 2.319 2.310 2.260 2.213

Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . o 65.000 o 65.000 - 64.500 - 63.000 o 63.000 o 63.000 o 63.000 o 63.000 o 63.000

(100 k i l o g r a m s ) . . 143.299 143.299 142.197 138.890 138.890 138.890 138.890 138.890 138.890

Rubber (pound) . . - 0.553 - 0.520 - 0.494 - 0.492 - 0.473 - 0.462 - 0.461 - 0.457 - 0.449

(kilogram) . . 1.219 1.146 1.089 1.085 1.043 1.019 1.016 1.008 0.990

Tallow (pound) . . - 0.143 + 0.144 + 0.150 - 0.142 - 0.131 + 0.138 + 0.144 o 0.144 - 0.136

(kilogram) . . 0.315 0.317 0.331 0.313 0.289 0.304 0.317 0.317 0.300



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( +) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

a

The Index is the average for December 1 through 26.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









DECEMBER 1989 79


Related docs
Other docs by StLouisFed
By registering with docstoc.com you agree to our
privacy policy

You are almost ready to download!

You are almost ready to download!