Index of Spot Market Prices, Raw Materials

January 1982









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Qj SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1981 1982





May June July August September October November December January 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 288.9 - 282.9 + 286.6 + 289.5 - 283.0 - 277.2 - 270.5 - 264.2 + 264.7



Percent rising of 13 components (27) (38) (62) (62) (42) (38) (27) (46) (50)



Dollars





Copper scrap .. (pound) . . - 0.664 - 0.646 - 0.635 + 0.650 - 0.620 - 0.609 - 0.591 - 0.578 - 0.573

(kilogram) . . 1.464 1.424 1.400 1.433 1.367 1.343 1.303 1.274 1.263



Lead scrap (pound) . . o 0.249 + 0.250 + 0.269 + 0.292 - 0.271 - 0.247 - 0.221 - 0.180 - 0.170

, (kilogram) . . 0.549 0.551 0.593 0.644 0.597 0.545 0.487 0.397 0.375



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., - 99.000 -• 93.800 + 95.750 + 102.000 - 98.000 - 88.500 - 80.000 + 81.600 + 88.000

(metric ton).. 109.128 103.396 105.545 112.435 108.025 97.554 88.184 89.948 97.002

[

Tin (pound) - 5.945 - 5.796 + 6.030 + 6.528 + 6.746 + 6.820 + 7.040 + 7.120 + 7.160

(kilogram) . . 13.106 12.778 13.294 14.392 14.872 15.035 15.520 15.697 15.785



Zinc .' (pound)., + 0.463 o 0.463 + 0.466 + 0.495 + 0.499 - 0.479 o 0.479 - 0.451 - 0.434

i (kilogram) . . 1.021 1.021 1.027 1.091 1.100 1.056 1.056 0.994 0.957



Burlap . . (yard) . . - 0.267 - 0.251 - 0.246 - 0.243 + 0.246 - 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.229 + 0.234

' (meter) . . 0.292 0.274 0.269 0.266 0.269 0.265 0.260 0.250 0.256

f

Cottoni (pound).. - 0.782 + 0.790 - 0.751 - 0.669 - 0.609 - 0.608 0.574 - 0.553 + 0.576

( (kilogram) . . 1.724 1.742 1.656 1.475 1.343 1.340 1.265 1.219 1.270



Print cloth (yard).. + 0.841 - 0.820 + 0.822 + 0.845 0 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.780 - 0.734 - 0.710

i (meter) . . 0.920 0.897 0.899 0.924 0.924 0.897 0.853 0.803 0.776

i

Wool tpps (pound) . . 0 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 + 3.630 - 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 - 3 . 580

(kilogram),. 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.937 8.003 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.892



Hides J . . (pound) .. - 0.522 - 0.458 + 0.472 + 0.474 + 0.486 + 0.525 + 0.558 + 0.584 + 0.590

t (kilogram) . . 1.151 1.010 1.041 1.045 1.071 1.157 1.230 1.287 1.301

Rosin . ... (100 pounds). . o 45.000 + 46.500 o 46.500 o 46.500 - 46.100) + 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 99.207 102.514 102.514 102.514 101.632 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

i

Rubben (pound). . - 0.590 - 0.584 - 0.554 - 0.538 - 0.450 + 0.464 - 0.462 + 0.484 + 0.486

(kilogram) . , 1.301 1.287 1.221 1.186 0.992 1.023 1.019 1.067 1.071

Tallow " (pound).. - 0.175 + 0.178 + 0.192 - 0.190 - 0.187 + 0.190 - 0.179 + 0.180 - 0.169

i (kilogram). , 0.386 0.392 0.423 0.419 0.412 0.419 0.395 0.397 0.373



NOTE: jTo facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) - unchanged, and (-) - falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

l

Averfage for January 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Beginning with data

for June 1981, these series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without written permission from

Commodity Research Bureau, Inc.









IICII JANUARY 1982 79

Feburary 1982









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^ J SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components

1981 1982





June July August September October November December January Februaryl



?

A

96 1. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... 282.9 + 286.6 + 289.5 - 283.0 - 277.2 - 270.5 - 264.2 - 263.4 - 262.8



Percent rising of 13 components (38) (62) (62) (42) (38) (27) (46) (42) (38)





Dollars





Copper scrap . .. (pound).. 0.646 - 0.635 + 0.650 - 0.620 - 0.609 - 0.591 - 0.578 - 0.572 - 0.567

(kilogram).. 1.424 1.400 1.433 1.367 1.343 1.303 1.274 1.261 1.250



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.250 + 0.269 + 0.292 - 0.271 - 0.247 - 0.221 - 0.180 - 0.168 + 0.180

(kilogram).. 0.551 0.593 0.644 0.597 0.545 0.487 0.397 0.370 0.397



Steel scrap (U.S. ton),. - 93.800 + 95.750 + 102.000 - 98.000 - 88.500 - 80.000 + 81.600 + 88.000 - 84.000

(metricton),, 103.396 105.545 112.435 108.025 97.554 88.184 89.948 97.002 92.593



Tin (pound).. - 5.796 + 6.030 + 6.528 + 6.746 + 6.820 + 7.040 + 7.120 + 7.200 + 7.320

(kilogram).. 12.778 13.294 14.392 14.872 15.035 15.520 15.697 15.873 16.138



Zinc (pound).. o 0.463 + 0.466 + 0.495 + 0.499 - 0.479 0 0.479 - 0.451 - 0.433 + 0.435

(kilogram).. 1.021 1.027 1.091 1.100 1.056 1.056 0.994 0.955 0.959



Burlap (yard)., - 0.251 - 0.246 - 0.243 + 0.246 - 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.229 + 0.233 + 0.235

(meter).. 0.274 0.269 0.266 0.269 0.265 0.260 0.250 0.255 0.257



Cotton (pound).. + 0.790 - 0.751 - 0.669 - 0.609 - 0.608 - 0.574 - 0.553 + 0.577 - 0.570

(kilogram).. 1.742 1.656 1.475 1.343 1.340 1.265 1.219 1.272 1.257



Print cloth (yard).. - 0.820 + 0.822 + 0.845 o 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.780 - 0.734 - 0.710 - 0.703

(meter).. 0.897 0.899 0.924 0.924 0.897 0.853 0.803 0.776 0.769



Wool tops (pound) 0 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 + 3.630 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 3.580 3.550

(kilogram).. 7.937 7.937 7.937 8.003 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.892 7.826



Hides (pound)., - 0.458 + 0.472 + 0.474 + 0.486 + 0.525 + 0.558 + 0.584 + 0.590 o 0.590

(kilogram).. 1.010 1.041 1.045 1.071 1.157 1.230 1.287 1.301 1.301



Rosin (100 pounds).. + 46.500 o 46.500 o 46.500 - 46.100 + 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 102.514 102.514 102.514 101.632 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound)., - 0.584 - 0.554 - 0.538 - 0.450 + 0.464 - 0.462 + 0.484 - 0.483 - 0.469

(kilogram).. 1.287 1.221 1.186 0.992 1.023 1.019 1.067 1.065 1.034



Tallow (pound).. + 0.178 + 0.192 0.190 - 0.187 + 0.190 - 0.179 + 0.180 - 0.167 - 0.159

(kilogram).. 0.392 0.423 0.419 0.412 0.419 0.395 0.397 0.368 0.351



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) - unchanged, and ( - ) = falling, The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for February 2, 9, and 16.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









FEBRUARY 1982 79

April 1982







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









| Q SELECTED DIFFUSION NDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components

1981 1982





August September October November December January February March Aprill



967 INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





R w industrials price index (1967 = 100)

a + 289.5 283.0 - 277.2 - 270.5 - 264.2 - 263.4 - 261.0 - 254.5 - 248.4



Percent rising of 13 components (62) (42) (38) (27) (46) (42) (35) (38) (31)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.650 0.620 - 0.609 - 0.591 0.578 0.572 - 0.565 - 0.530 + 0.532

(kilogram),. 1.433 1.367 1.343 1.303 1.274 1.261 1.246 1.168 1.173



Lead scrap.. (pound).. + 0.292 - 0.271 - 0.247 - 0.221 0.180 0.168 + 0.175 - 0.160 - 0.153

(kilogram).. 0.644 0.597 0.545 0.487 0.397 0.370 0.386 0.353 0.337



Steel scrap . (U.S. ton)., + 102.000 - 98.000 - 88.500 - 80.000 + 81.600 + 88.000 - 83.750 - 74.600 - 73.667

(metric ton).. 112.435 108.025 97.554 88.184 89.948 97.002 92.318 82.232 81.203



Tin (pound) + 6.528 + 6.746 + 6.820 + 7.040 + 7.120 + 7.200 + 7.280 - 6.080 - 5.830

(kilogram).. 14.392 14.872 15.035 15.520 15.697 15.873 16.049 13.404 12.853



Zinc (pound).. + 0.495 + 0.499 0.479 0 0.479 0.451 0.433 + 0.436 - 0.402 0.364

(kilogram).. 1.091 1.100 1.056 1.056 0.994 0.955 0.961 0.886 0.802



Burlap (yard)., - 0.243 + 0.246 - 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.229 + 0.233 o 0.233 + 0.235 + 0.245

(meter).. 0.266 0.269 0.265 0.260 0.250 0.255 0.255 0.257 0.268



Cotton (pound).. 0.669 - 0.609 0.608 - 0.574 0.553 + 0.577 0.571 + 0.598 + 0.613

(kilogram).. 1.475 1.343 1.340 1.265 1.219 1.272 1.259 1.318 1.351



Print cloth .. (yard) + 0.845 o 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.780 - 0.734 - 0.710 0.700 - 0.693 - 0.657

(meter).. 0.924 0.924 0.897 0.853 0.803 0.776 0.766 0.758 0.718



Wool tops .. (pound).. o 3.600 + 3.630 - 3.600 0 3.600 o 3.600 - 3.580 - 3.520 - 3.460 3.417

(kilogram).. 7.937 8.003 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.892 7.760 7.628 7.533



Hides (pound).. + 0.474 + 0.486 + 0.525 + 0.558 + 0.584 + 0.590 o 0.590 - 0.584 - 0.540

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.071 1.157 1.230 1.287 1.301 1.301 1.287 1.190



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 46.500 - 46.100 + 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 + 53.500 - 49.667

(100 kilograms).. 102.514 101.632 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 117.946 109.496



Rubber (pound).. - 0.538 0.450 + 0.464 - 0.462 + 0.484 - 0.483 - 0.470 + 0.471 - 0.459

(kilogram).. 1.186 0.992 1.023 1.019 1.067 1.065 1.036 1.038 1.012



Tallow (pound).. 0.190 0.187 + 0.190 - 0.179 + 0.180 0.167 0.161 + 0.171 + 0.176

(kilogram).. 0.419 0.412 0.419 0.395 0.397 0.368 0.355 0.377 0.388



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( • ) rising, (o) unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The " r " indicates revised: " p "

preliminary; and " N A " , not available.

1

Average for April 6, 13, and 20.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItO APRIL 1982 79

May 1982









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1981 1982



September October November December January February March April May1



967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2



Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 283.0 - 277.2 - 270.5 - 264.2 - 263.4 - 261.0 - 254.5 - 247.4 - 246.6

Percent rising of 13 components (42) (38) (27) (46) (42) (35) (38) (31) (38)



Dollars



Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.620 - 0.609 - 0.591 - 0.578 - 0.572 - 0.565 - 0.530 + 0.534 + 0.538

(kilogram) . . 1.367 1.343 1.303 1.274 1.261 1.246 1.168 1.177 1.186

Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.271 - 0.247 - 0.221 - 0.180 - 0.168 + 0.175 - 0.160 - 0.152 - 0.150

(kilogram).. 0.597 0.545 0.487 0.397 0.370 0.386 0.353 0.335 0.331

Steel scrap (U S ton) - 98.000 - 88.500 - 80.000 + 81.600 + 88.000 - 83.750 - 74.600 - 72.750 - 70.000

(metric ton).. 108.025 97.554 88.184 89.948 97.002 92.318 82.232 80.192 77.161

Tin (pound) + 6.746 + 6.820 + 7.040 + 7.120 + 7.200 + 7.280 - 6.080 - 5.830 + 5.890

(kilogram) . . 14.872 15.035 15.520 15.697 15.873 16.049 13.404 12.853 12.985

Zinc (pound). . + 0.499 - 0.479 o 0.479 - 0.451 - 0.433 + 0.436 - 0.402 - 0.362 - 0.360

(kilogram).. 1.100 1.056 1.056 0.994 0.955 0.961 0.886 0.798 0.794

Burlap (yard) . . + 0.246 - 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.229 + 0.233 o 0.233 + 0.235 + 0.244 - 0.243

(meter) . . 0.269 0.265 0.260 0.250 0.255 0.255 0.257 0.267 0.266

Cotton . . . .(pound) . - 0.609 - 0.608 - 0.574 - 0.553 + 0.577 - 0.571 + 0.598 + 0.618 + 0.628

(kilogram) . . 1.343 1.340 1.265 1.219 1.272 1.259 1.318 1.362 1.384

Print cloth (yard) . . o 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.780 - 0.734 - 0.710 - 0.700 - 0.693 - 0.650 - 0.630

(meter) . . 0.924 0.897 0.853 0.803 0.776 0.766 0.758 0.711 0.689

Wool tops (pound) . . + 3.630 - 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 - 3.580 - 3.520 - 3.460 - 3.412 - 3.400

(kilogram) . . 8.003 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.892 7.760 7.628 7.522 7.496

Hides (pound)., + 0.486 + 0.525 + 0.558 + 0.584 + 0.590 o 0.590 - 0.584 - 0.545 + 0.562

(kilogram) . . 1.071 1.157 1.230 1.287 1.301 1.301 1.287 1.202 1.239

Rosin (100 pounds) . . - 46.100 + 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 + 53.500 - 49.000 - 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 101.632 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 117.946 108.025 103.616

Rubber (pound) . . - 0.450 + 0.464 - 0.462 + 0.484 - 0.483 - 0.470 + 0.471 - 0.460 - 0.459

(kilogram) . . 0.992 1.023 1.019 1.067 1.065 1.036 1.038 1.014 1.012

Tallow (pound) - 0.187 + 0.190 - 0.179 + 0.180 - 0.167 - 0.161 + 0.171 + 0.177 + 0.182

(kilogram) . . 0.412 0.419 0.395 0.397 0.368 0.355 0.377 0.390 0.401



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

Average for May 4, 11, and 18.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItO MAY 1982 79

June 1982









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C 1 DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Qj SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1981 1982





October November December January February March April May June 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 277.2 - 270.5 - 264.2 - 263.4 - 261.0 - 254.5 - 247.4 - 245.5 - 232.2



Percent rising of 13 components (38) (27) (46) (42) (35) (38) (31) (35) (23)





Dollars





Copper scrap . ... . (pound) . - 0.609 0.591 0.578 - 0.572 0.565 - 0.530 + 0.534 - 0.530 - 0.425

(kilogram).. 1.343 1.303 1.274 1.261 1.246 1.168 1.177 1.168 0.937



Lead scrap (pound)., - 0.247 0.221 - 0.180 0.168 + 0.175 - 0.160 - 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.144

(kilogram).. 0.545 0.487 0.397 0.370 0.386 0.353 0.335 0.331 0.317



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . - 88.500 - 80.000 + 81.600 + 88.000 - 83.750 - 74.600 - 72.750 - 70.000 - 58.250

(metric ton).. 97.554 88.184 89.948 97.002 92.318 82.232 80.192 77.161 64.209



Tin (pound) . . + 6.820 + 7.040 + 7.120 + 7.200 + 7.280 6.080 - 5.830 + 5.842 - 5.220

(kilogram) . . 15.035 15.520 15.697 15.873 16.049 13.404 12.853 12.879 11.508



Zinc . . (pound) - 0.479 o 0.479 0.451 0.433 + 0.436 - 0.402 - 0.362 o 0.362 + 0.368

(kilogram) . . 1.056 1.056 0.994 0.955 0.961 0.886 0.798 0.798 0.811



Burlap (yard) 0.242 - 0.238 0.229 + 0.233 o 0.233 + 0.235 + 0.244 0.242 - 0.236

(meter) . . 0.265 0.260 0.250 0.255 0.255 0.257 0.267 0.265 0.258



Cotton (pound)., 0.608 0.574 - 0.553 + 0.577 - 0.571 + 0.598 + 0.618 + 0.625 - 0.606

(kilogram).. 1.340 1.265 1.219 1.272 1.259 1.318 1.362 1.378 1.336



Print cloth (yard). - 0.820 - 0.780 - 0.734 - 0.710 0.700 - 0.693 - 0.650 - 0.630 - 0.628

(meter) . . 0.897 0.853 0.803 0.776 0.766 0.758 0.711 0.689 0.687



Wool tops (pound)., 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 - 3.580 3.520 3.460 3.412 3.400 o 3.400

(kilogram) . . 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.892 7.760 7.628 7.522 7.496 7.496



Hides (pound)., + 0.525 + 0.558 + 0.584 + 0.590 o 0.590 - 0.584 0.545 + 0.558 - 0.528

(kilogram).. 1.157 1.230 1.287 1.301 1.301 1.287 1.202 1.230 1.164



Rosin (100 pounds) . . + 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 + 53.500 - 49.000 - 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 117.946 108.025 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound)., + 0.464 0.462 + 0.484 - 0.483 - 0.470 + 0.471 0.460 0.458 + 0.462

(kilogram).. 1.023 1.019 1.067 1.065 1.036 1.038 1.014 1.010 1.019

Tallow (pound) . . + 0.190 - 0.179 + 0.180 - 0.167 - 0.161 + 0.171 + 0.177 + 0.182 - 0.176

(kilogram).. 0.419 0.395 0.397 0.368 0.355 0.377 0.390 0.401 0.388



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for June 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ltd) JUNE 1982 79

July 1982







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1981 1982



November December January February March April May June July 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS



Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 270.5 - 264.2 - 263.4 - 261.0 - 254.5 - 247.4 - 245.5 - 232.2 + 236.0

Percent rising of 13 components (27) (46) (42) (35) (38) (31) (35) (23) (69)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.591 - 0.578 - 0.572 - 0.565 - 0.530 + 0.534 - 0.530 - 0.427 + 0.460

(kilogram) . . 1.303 1.274 1.261 1.246 1.168 1.177 1.168 0.941 1.014

Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.221 - 0.180 - 0.168 + 0.175 - 0.160 - 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.142 + 0.145

(kilogram) . . 0.487 0.397 0.370 0.386 0.353 0.335 0.331 0.313 0.320

Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . - 80.000 + 81.600 + 88.000 - 83.750 - 74.600 - 72.750 - 70.000 - 57.800 + 58.667

(metric ton) . . 88.184 89.948 97.002 92.318 82.232 80.192 77.161 63.713 64.669

Tin (pound) . . + 7.040 + 7.120 + 7.200 + 7.280 - 6.080 - 5.830 + 5.842 - 5.284 + 5.333

(kilogram) . . 15.520 15.697 15.873 16.049 13.404 12.853 12.879 11.649 11.757

Zinc (pound) o 0.479 - 0.451 - 0.433 + 0.436 - 0.402 - 0.362 o 0.362 + 0.368 + 0.387

(kilogram) . . 1.056 0.994 0.955 0.961 0.886 0.798 0.798 0.811 0.853

Burlap (yard) - 0.238 - 0.229 + 0.233 o 0.233 + 0.235 + 0.244 - 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.234

(meter) . . 0.260 0.250 0.255 0.255 0.257 0.267 0.265 0.260 0.256

Cotton (pound) . . - 0.574 - 0.553 + 0.577 - 0.571 + 0.598 + 0.618 + 0.625 - 0.613 + 0.662

(kilogram) . . 1.265 1.219 1.272 1.259 1.318 1.362 1.378 1.351 1.459

Print cloth (yard) - 0.780 - 0.734 - 0.710 - 0.700 - 0.693 - 0.650 - 0.630 - 0.626 - 0.590

(meter) . . 0.853 0.803 0.776 0.766 0.758 0.711 0.689 0.685 0.645

Wool tops (pound) . . o 3.600 o 3.600 - 3.580 - 3.520 - 3.460 - 3.412 - 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400

(kilogram) . . 7.937 7.937 7.892 7.760 7.628 7.522 7.496 7.496 7.496

Hides (pound)., + 0.558 + 0.584 + 0.590 o 0.590 - 0.584 - 0.545 + 0.558 - 0.526 + 0.538

(kilogram) . . 1.230 1.287 1.301 1.301 1.287 1.202 1.230 1.160 1.186

Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 + 53.500 - 49.000 - 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 117.946 108.025 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound) . . - 0.462 + 0.484 - 0.483 - 0.470 + 0.471 - 0.460 - 0.458 + 0.463 + 0.468

(kilogram) . . 1.019 1.067 1.065 1.036 1.038 1.014 1.010 1.021 1.032

Tallow (pound) . . - 0.179 + 0.180 - 0.167 - 0.161 + 0.171 + 0.177 + 0.182 - 0.176 - 0.170

(kilogram) . . 0.395 0.397 0.368 0.355 0.377 0.390 0.401 0.388 0.375

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

Average for July 6, 13, and 20.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JULY 1982 79

November 1982









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1982





March April May June July August September October November1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 254.5 - 247.4 - 245.5 - 232.2 + 237.0 - 236.2 + 239.0 - 235.5 - 231.2



Percent rising of 13 components (38) (31) (35) (23) (62) (54) (62) (46) (15)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.530 + 0.534 - 0.530 - 0.427 + 0.465 - 0.461 + 0.481 + 0.482 - 0.481

(kilogram).. 1.168 1.177 1.168 0.941 1.025 1.016 1.060 1.063 1.060



Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.160 - 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.142 + 0.146 + 0.166 - 0.164 - 0.148 - 0.131

(kilogram).. 0.353 0.335 0.331 0.313 0.322 0.366 0.362 0.326 0.289



Steel scrap . (U S ton) . - 74.600 - 72.750 - 70.000 - 57.800 + 59.000 + 59.200 + 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000

(metric ton) . . 82.232 80.192 77.161 63.713 65.036 65.256 66.138 66.138 66.138



Tin (pound). . - 6.080 - 5.830 + 5.842 5.284 5.280 + 5.714 + 5.820 5.715 - 5.558

(kilogram).. 13.404 12.853 12.879 11.649 11.640 12.597 12.831 12.599 12.253



Zinc (pound) . . - 0.402 - 0.362 o 0.362 + 0.368 + 0.388 + 0.399 + 0.419 - 0.418 - 0.405

(kilogram).. 0.886 0.798 0.798 0.811 0.855 0.880 0.924 0.922 0.893



Burlap (yard)., + 0.235 + 0.244 - 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.236 + 0.241 + 0.252 + 0.263 0.259

(meter) . . 0.257 0.267 0.265 0.260 0.258 0.264 0.276 0.288 0.283



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.598 + 0.618 + 0.625 - 0.613 + 0.659 - 0.615 - 0.588 + 0.595 - 0.589

(kilogram) . . 1.318 1.362 1.378 1.351 1.453 1.356 1.296 1.312 1.299

Print cloth (yard)., - 0.693 - 0.650 - 0.630 - 0.626 - 0.588 - 0.546 + 0.555 + 0.558 - 0.556

(meter) . . 0.758 0.711 0.689 0.685 0.643 0.597 0.607 0.610 0.608



Wool tops (pound) . . - 3.460 - 3.412 - 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400 + 3.500 + 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.628 7.522 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.716 7.937



Hides ... (pound) - 0.584 - 0.545 + 0.558 - 0.526 + 0.541 + 0.544 - 0.542 - 0.506 - 0.490

(kilogram).. 1.287 1.202 1.230 1.160 1.193 1.199 1.195 1.116 1.080

Rosin (100 pounds) . . + 53.500 - 49.000 - 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 117.946 108.025 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound) . . + 0.471 - 0.460 - 0.458 + 0.463 + 0.468 - 0.464 - 0.448 - 0.425 - 0.420

(kilogram) . . 1.038 1.014 1.010 1.021 1.032 1.023 0.988 0.937 0.926

Tallow (pound) . . + 0.171 + 0.177 + 0.182 - 0.176 - 0.168 - 0.150 + 0.159 - 0.152 - 0.144

(kilogram).. 0.377 0.390 0.401 0.388 0.370 0.331 0.351 0.335 0.317



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for November 2, 9, 16 and 23.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









NOVEMBER 1982 79

Feburary 1983







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: BasicData and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1982 1983





June July August September October November December January February



2

A

967. INDEX O SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS

F





x

a

R w industrials price index (1967 = 100) - 232.2 + 237.0 - 236.2 + 239.0 - 235.5 230.4 - 227.4 + 232.1 + 240.3



Percent rising of 13 components (23) (62) (54) (62) (46) (31) (46) (62) (77)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., - 0.427 0.465 - 0.461 + 0.481 + 0.482 + 0.485 + 0.510 + 0.552 o 0.591

(kilogram).. 0.941 1.025 1.016 1.060 1.063 1.069 1.124 1.217 1.303

+ - 0.164 0.148 - 0.129

Lead scrap.. .... . . (pound).. - 0.142 0.146 + 0.166 - - 0.114 + 0.126 - 0.125

(kilogram).. 0.313 0.322 0.366 0.362 0.326 0.284 0.251 0.278 0.276



Stee scrap . (U.S. ton)., - 57.800 + 59.000 + 59.200 + 60.000 0 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 + 61.250 + 72.750

(metric ton).. 63.713 65.036 65.256 66.138 66.138 66.138 66.138 67.516 80.192

+ + 5.820 5.715 5.524

Tin (pound).. - 5.284 5.280 5.714 + 5.528 5.518 5.948

(kilogram).. 11.649 11.640 12.597 12.831 12.599 12.178 12.187 12.165 13.113



Zinc (pound) + 0.368 + 0.388 + 0.399 + 0.419 - 0.418 0.404 - 0.390 + 0.402 0.404

(kilogram).. 0.811 0.855 0.880 0.924 0.922 0.891 0.860 0.886 0.891



Burlap (yard). - 0.238 - 0.236 + 0.241 + 0.252 + 0.263 - 0.256 - 0.240 - 0.229 0.237

(meter).. 0.260 0.258 0.264 0.276 0.288 0.280 0.262 0.250 0.259



Cotton (pound) - 0.613 + 0.659 - 0.615 - 0.588 + 0.595 - 0.589 + 0.610 + 0.622 + 0.633

(kilogram).. 1.351 1.453 1.356 1.296 1.312 1.299 1.345 1.371 1.396



Print cloth (yard). - 0.626 - 0.588 - 0.546 + 0.555 + 0.558 + 0.567 + 0.610 o 0.610 - 0.608

(meter).. 0.685 0.643 0.597 0.607 0.610 0.620 0.667 0.667 0.665



Wool tops . . . ...(pound)., o 3.400 0 3.400 0 3.400 o 3.400 + 3.500 + 3.600 - 3.375 - 3.300 0 3.300

(kilogram).. 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.716 7.937 7.441 7.275 7.275



Hides (pound)., - 0.526 + 0.541 + 0.544 - 0.542 - 0.506 - 0.489 - 0.485 0.474 + 0.479

(kilogram).. 1.160 1.193 1.199 1.195 1.116 1.078 1.069 1.045 1.056



Rosin (100 pounds).. 0 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound) + 0.463 + 0.468 - 0.464 - 0.448 - 0.425 0.419 + 0.421 + 0.440 + 0.484

(kilogram).. 1.021 1.032 1.023 0.988 0.937 0.924 0.928 0.970 1.067

Tallow (pound).. - 0.176 - 0.168 - 0.150 + 0.159 - 0.152 - 0.144 - 0.139 + 0.144 + 0.148

(kilogram).. 0.388 0.370 0.331 0.351 0.335 0.317 0.306 0.317 0.326



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (—) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for February 1-22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis,









FEBRUARY 1983 79

March 1983





CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









0 1 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: BasicData and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1982 1983





July August September October November December January February March 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) + 237.0 - 236.2 + 239.0 - 235.5 - 230.4 - 227.4 + 232.1 •+ 241.3 + 248.0



Percent rising of 13 components (62) (54) (62) (46) (31) (46) (62) (77) (58)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.465 - 0.461 + 0.481 + 0.482 + 0,485 + 0.510 + 0.552 + 0.591 - 0.584

(kilogram).. 1.025 1.016 1.060 1.063 1.069 1.124 1.217 1.303 1.287



Lead scrap (pound) + 0.146 + 0.166 - 0.164 - 0.148 - 0.129 - 0.114 + 0.126 - 0.125 - 0.123

(kilogram).. 0.322 0.366 0.362 0.326 0.284 0.251 0.278 0.276 0.271



Steel scrap (U S ton) + 59.000 + 59.200 + 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 + 61.250 + 72.750 + 85.000

(metric ton).. 65.036 65.256 66.138 66.138 66.138 66.138 67.516 80.192 93.696



Tin , (pound).. - 5.280 + 5.714 + 5.820 - 5.715 - 5.524 + 5.528 5.518 + 5.948 + 6.182

(kilogram).. 11.640 12.597 12.831 12.599 12.178 12.187 12.165 13.113 13.629



Zinc (pound).. + 0.388 + 0.399 + 0.419 - 0.418 - 0.404 0.390 + 0.402 + 0.404 - 0.384

(kilogram)., 0.855 0.880 0.924 0.922 0.891 0.860 0.886 0.891 0.847



Burlap (yard) 0.236 + 0.241 + 0.252 + 0.263 - 0.256 0.240 0.229 + 0.237 + 0.255

(meter).. 0.258 0.264 0.276 0.288 0.280 0.262 0.250 0.259 0.279



Cotton (pound)., + 0.659 - 0.615 - 0.588 + 0.595 - 0.589 + 0.610 + 0.622 + 0.633 + 0.674

(kilogram).. 1.453 1.356 1.296 1.312 1.299 1.345 1.371 1.396 1.486



Print cloth • (yard)., - 0.588 - 0:546 + 0.555 + 0.558 + 0.567 + 0.610 o 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.595

(meter).. 0.643 0.597 0.607 0.610 0.620 0.667 0.667 0.665 0.651



Wool tops (pound)., o 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400 + 3.500 + 3.600 - 3.375 - 3.300 o 3.300 - 3.250

(kilogram).. 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.716 7.937 7.441 7.275 7.275 7.165



Hides (pound)., + 0.541 + 0.544 - 0.542 - 0.506 - 0.489 - 0.485 - 0.474 + 0.479 + 0.495

(kilogram).. 1.193 1.199 1.195 1.116 1.078 1.069 1.045 1.056 1.091



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound) + 0.468 0.464 - 0.448 - 0.425 - 0.419 + 0.421 + 0.440 + 0.484 + 0 559

(kilogram).. 1.032 1.023 0.988 0.937 0.924 0.928 0.970 1.067 1.232



Tallow (pound) - 0.168 - 0.150 + 0.159 - 0.152 0.144 - 0.139 + 0.144 + 0.148 + 0.150

(kilogram).. 0.370 0.331 0.351 0.335 0.317 0.306 0.317 0.326 0.331



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

Average for March 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









MARCH 1983 79

April 1983









B CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^ J SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1982 1983





August September October November December January February March April1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... - 236.2 + 239.0 - 235.5 - 230.4 - 227.4 + 232.1 + 241.3 + 248.8 + 253.7



Percent rising of 13 components (54) (62) (46) (31) (46) (62) (77) (58) (65)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. - 0.461 + 0.481 + 0.482 + 0.485 + 0.510 + 0.552 + 0.591 - 0.587 + 0.602

(kilogram).. 1.016 1.060 1.063 1.069 1.124 1.217 1.303 1.294 1.327



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.166 - 0.164 - 0.148 - 0.129 - 0.114 + 6.126 - 0.125 - 0.123 + 0.128

(kilogram).. 0.366 0.362 0.326 0.284 0.251 0.278 0.276 0.271 0.281



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., + 59.200 + 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 + 61.250 + 72.750 + 85.000 - 83.333

(metric ton).. 65.256 66.138 66.138 66.138 66.138 67.516 80.192 93.696 91.858



Tin (pound).. + 5.714 + 5.820 5.715 5.524 + 5.528 - 5.518 + 5.948 + 6.180 + 6.317

(kilogram).. 12.597 12.831 12.599 12.178 12.187 12.165 13.113 13.624 13.926



Zinc . (pound).. + 0.399 + 0.419 - 0.418 - 0.404 - 0.390 + 0.402 + 0.404 0.384 0 0.384

(kilogram).. 0.880 0.924 0.922 0.891 0.860 0.886 0.891 0.847 0.847



BurlaD (vard) + 0.241 + 0.252 + 0.263 - 0.256 - 0.240 - 0.229 + 0.237 + 0.256 + 0.262

(meter).. 0.264 0.276 0.288 0.280 0.262 0.250 0.259 0.280 0.287



Cotton (pound) «• 0.615 - 0.588 + 0.595 - 0.589 + 0.610 + 0.622 + 0.633 + 0.681 0 0.681

(kilogram).. 1.356 1.296 1.312 1.299 1.345. 1.371 1.396 1.501 1.501



Print cloth (yard).. - 0.546 + 0.555 + 0.558 + 0.567 + 0.610 o 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.594 - 0.577

(meter).. 0.597 0.607 0.610 0.620 0.667 0.667 0.665 0.650 0.631



WooHops (pound)., o 3.400 o 3.400 + 3.500 + 3.600 - 3.375 - 3.300 o 3.300 - 3,240 - 3.200

(kilogram).. 7.496 7.496 7.716 7.937 7.441 7.275 7.275 7.143 7.055



Hides (pound)., + 0.544 - 0.542 - 0.506 - 0.489 - 0.485 - 0.474 + 0.479 + 0.504 + 0.558

(kilogram).. 1.199 1.195 1.116 1.078 1.069 1.045 1.056 1.111 1.230



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubtier (pound).. - 0.464 - 0.448 - 0.425 - 0.419 + 0.421 + 0.440 + 0.484 + 0.560 + 0.584

(kilogram).. 1.023 0.988 0.937 0.924 0.928 0.970 1.067 1.235 1.287



Tallow (pound).. - 0.150 + 0.159 - 0.152 - 0.144 - 0.139 + 0.144 + 0.148 + 0.151 + 0.169

(kilogram).. 0.331 0.351 0.335 0.317 0.306 0.317 0.326 0.333 0.373



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) - unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

l

A v e r a g e f o r A p r i l 5 , 1 2 , and 1 9 .

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to i letric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









RCII APRIL 1983 79

May 1983







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued







Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1982 1983





September October November December January February March April May1





96 I INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS 2

A





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... + 239.0 - 235.5 - 230.4 - 227.4 + 232.1 + 241.3 + 248.8 + 253.2 - 251.4



Percent rising of 13 components (62) (46) (31) (46) (62) (77) (58) (65) (46)





Dollars





Copper scrap .(pound).. + 0.481 + 0.482 + 0.485 + 0.510 + 0.552 + 0.591 - 0.587 + 0.608 + 0.626

(kilogram).. 1.060 1.063 1.069 1.124 1.217 1.303 1.294 1.340 1.380



Lead scrap (pound).. - 0.164 - 0.148 - 0.129 - 0.114 + 0.126 - 0.125 - 0.123 + 0.128 - 0.124

(kilogram).. 0.362 0.326 0.284 0.251 0.278 0.276 0.271 0.282 0.273



Steel scrap (U.S. ton).. + 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 + 61.250 + 72.750 + 85.000 - 80.500 - 68.750

(metric ton).. 66.138 66.138 66.138 66.138 67.516 80.192 93.696 88.735 75.783



Tin (pound).. + 5.820 - 5.715 - 5.524 + 5.528 - 5.518 + 5.948 + 6.180 + 6.300 - 6.208

(kilogram).. 12.831 12.599 12.178 12.187 12.165 13.113 13.624 13.889 13.686



Zinc (pound)., + 0.419 - 0.418 - 0.404 - 0.390 + 0.402 + 0.404 - 0.384 + 0.387 + 0.404

(kilogram).. 0.924 0.922 0.891 0.860 0.886 0.891 0.847 0.853 0.391

I

Burlap (vard) + 0.252 + 0.263 - 0.256 - 0.240 - 0.229 + 0.237 + 0.256 + 0.260 - 0.243

(meter).. 0.276 0.288 0.280 0.262 0.250 0.259 0.280 0.284 0.266



Cotton (pound)., - 0.588 + 0.595 - 0.589 + 0.610 + 0.622 + 0.633 + 0.681 - 0.677 + 0.688

(kilogram).. 1.296 1.312 1.299 1.345 1.371 1.396 1.501 1.493 1.517



Print cloth (yard) + 0.555 + 0.558 + 0.567 + 0.610 o 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.594 - 0.578 + 0.585

(meter).. 0.607 0.610 0.620 0.667 0.667 0.665 0.650 0.632 0.640



Wool tops (pound).. o 3.400 + 3.500 + 3.600 - 3.375 - 3.300 o 3.300 - 3.240 - 3.200 o 3.200

(kilogram).. 7.496 7.716 7.937 7.441 7.275 7.275 7.143 7.055 7.055



Hides (pound)., - 0.542 - 0.506 - 0.489 - 0.485 - 0.474 + 0.479 + 0.504 + 0.560 + 0.602

(kilogram).. 1.195 1.116 1.078 1.069 1.045 1.056 1.111 1.235 1.327



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound).. - 0.448 - 0.425 - 0.419 + 0.421 + 0.440 + 0.484 + 0.560 + 0.584 - 0.569

(kilogram).. 0.988 0.937 0.924 0.928 0.970 1.067 1.235 1.287 1.254



Tallow (pound)., + 0.159 - 0.152 - 0.144 - 0.139 + 0.144" + 0.148 + 0.151 + 0.169 - 0.165

(kilogram).. 0.351 0.335 0.317 0.306 0.317 0.326 0.333 0.373 0.364



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (—) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for May 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









MAY 1983 79

June 1983







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









^ J SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1982 1983



October November December January February March April May June1



2

96 I INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 235.5 - 230.4 - 227.4 + 232.1 + 241.3 + 248.8 + 253.2 - 251.5 - 249.9



Percent rising of 13 components , (46) (31) (46) (62) (77) (58) (65) (46) (46)



Dollars





CoDoer scrap (pound).. + 0.482 + 0.485 + 0.510 + 0.552 + 0.591 - 0.587 + 0.608 + 0.623 - 0.592

(kilogram).. 1.063 1.069. 1.124 1.217 1.303 1.294 1.340 1.373 1.305



Lead scrap , (pound).. - 0.148 - 0.129 - 0.114 + 0.126 - 0.125 - 0.123 + 0.128 - 0.124 - 0.118

(kilogram).. 0.326 0.284 0.251 0.278 0.276 0.271 0.282 0.273 0.260



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . . o 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 + 61.250 + 72.750 + 85.000 - 80.500 - 69.600 + 75.667

(metric t o n ) . . 66.138 66.138 66.138 67.516 80.192 93,696 88.735 76.720 83.408



Tin (pound).. - 5.715 - 5.524 + 5.528 - 5.518 + 5.948 + 6,180 + 6.300 - 6.208 - 6.143

(kilogram).. 12.599 12.178 12.187 12.165 13.113 13.624 13.889 13.686 13.543



Zinc . (pound)., - 0.418 - 0.404 - 0.390 + 0.402 + 0.404 - 0.384 + 0.387 + 0.404 + 0.405

(kilogram).. 0.922 0.891 0.860 0.886 0.891 0.847 0.853 0.891 0.893



Burlap (yard).. + 0.263 - 0.256 - 0.240 - 0.229 + 0.237 + 0.256 + 0.260 - 0.244 + 0.252

(meter).. 0.288 0.280 0.262 0.250 0.259 0.280 0.284 0.266 0.276



Cotton (pound)., + 0.595 - 0.589 + 0.610 + 0.622 + 0.633 + 0.681 - 0.677 + 0.692 + 0.726

(kilogram).. 1.312 1.299 1.345 1.371 1.396 1.501 1.493 1.526 1.601



Print doth . (yard),. + 0.558 + 0.567 + 0.610 o 0.610 - 0.608 - 0.594 - 0.578 + 0.584 - 0.575

(meter).. 0.610 0.620 0.667 0.667 0.665 0.650 0.632 0.639 0.629



Wool tops . .. .(pound).. + 3.500 + 3.600 - 3.375 - 3.300 o 3.300 - 3.240 - 3.200 o 3.200 o 3.200

(kilogram).. 7.716 7.937 7.441 7.275 7.275 7.143 7.055 7.055 7.055

Hides (pound).. - 0.506 0.489 - 0.485 - 0.474 + 0.479 + 0.504 + 0.560 + 0.605 + 0.610

(kilogram).. 1.116 1.078 1.069 1.045 1.056 1.111 1.235 1.334 1.345



Rosin . .... (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound)., 0.425 - 0.419 + 0.421 + 0.440 + 0.484 + 0.560 + 0.584 - 0.568 - 0.552

(kilogram).. 0.937 0.924 0.928 0.970 1.067 1.235 1.287 1.252 1.217

Tallow (pound)., - 0.152 - 0.144 - 0.139 + 0.144 + 0.148 + 0.151 + 0.169 - 0.164 - 0.151

(kilogram).. 0.335 0.317 0.306 0.317 0.326 0.333 0.373 0.362 0.333



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) ~ unchanged, and ( - ) - falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

Average for June 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItUI JUNE 1983 79

July 1983









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1982 1983



November December January February March April May June July1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS J





Raw industrials price index ( 1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 ) .... 230.4 227.4 232.1 241.3 + 248.8 + 253.2 251.5 250.5 + 254.5



Percent rising of 13 components (31) (46) (62) (77) (58) (65) (46) (46) (46)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.485 + 0.510 0.552 0.591 0.587 + 0.608 + 0.623 0.591 0.593

(kilogram).. 1.069 1.124 1.217 1.303 1.294 1.340 1.373 1.303 1.307



Lead scrap (pound).. - 0.129 - 0.114 0.126 0.125 0.123 + 0.128 - 0.124 0.118 0.115

(kilogram).. 0.284 0.251 0.278 0.276 0.271 0.282 0.273 0.260 0.254



Steel scrap (U.S. ton).. o 60.000 o 60.000 61.250 72.750 85.000 - 80.500 - 69.600 + 75.500 79.000

(metric ton).. 66.138 66.138 67.516 80.192 93.696 88.735 76.720 83.224 87.082



Tin , (pound).. - 5.524 + 5.528 5.518 5.948 6.180 6.300 - 6.208 6.158 6.137

(kilogram).. 12.178 12.187 12.165 13.113 13.624 13.889 13.686 13.576 13.530

Zinc (pound).. - 0.404 - 0.390 0.402 0.404 0.384 0.387 + 0.404 0.405 0.404

(kilogram).. 0.891 0.860 0.886 0.891 0.847 0.853 0.891 0.893 0.891

Burlap . .. (yard).. - 0.256 - 0.240 0.229 0.237 0.256 0.260 - 0.244 0.252 0.250

(meter).. 0.280 0.262 0.250 0.259 0.280 0.284 0.267 0.276 0.273

Cotton (pound).. - 0.589 + 0.610 0.622 0.633 0.681 0.677 + 0.692 0.726 0.712

(kilogram).. 1.299 1.345 1.371 1.396 1.501 1.493 1.526 1.601 1.570

Print cloth (yard).. + 0.567 + 0.610 0.610 0.608 0.594 0.578 + 0.584 0.576 0.610

(meter).. 0.620 0.667 0.667 0.665 0.650 0.632 0.639 0.630 0.667

Wool tops (pound).. + 3.600 - 3.375 3.300 3.300 3.240 3.200 o 3.200 3.200 3.200

(kilogram).. 7.937 7.441 7.275 7.275 7.143 7.055 7.055 7.055 7.055

Hides (pound).. - 0.489 - 0.485 0.474 0.479 0.504 0.560 + 0.605 0.618 0.687

(kilogram).. 1.078 1.069 1.045 1.056 1.111 1.235 1.334 1.362 1.515

Rosin (100 pounds).. 0 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound).. 0.419 + 0.421 + 0.440 + 0.484 + 0.560 + 0.584 0.568 0.555 + 0.580

(kilogram).. 0.924 0.928 0.970 1.067 1.235 1.287 1.252 1.224 1.279

Tallow ...(pound)., 0.144 0.139 + 0.144 + 0.148 + 0.151 + 0.169 0.164 0.150 0.148

(kilogram).. 0.317 0.306 0.317 0.326 0.333 0.373 0.362 0.331 0.326



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

Average for July 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItCII JULY 1983 79

August 1983









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1982 1983



December January February March April May June July August1



967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Rw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . .

a - 227.4 232.1 + 241.3 248.8 + 253.2 - 251.5 - 250.5 + 256.0 + 263.3



Percent rising of 13 components (46) (62) (77) (58) (65) (46) (46) (58) (73)



Dollars





Copper scrap. (pound)., + 0.510 0.552 + 0.591 - 0.587 + 0.608 0.623 - 0.591 + 0.604 - 0.595

(kilogram).. 1.124 1.217 1.303 1.294 1.340 1.373 1.303 1.332 1.312



Lead scrap (pound) - 0.114 + 0.126 - 0.125 _ 0.123 + 0.128 0.124 - 0.118 - 0.113 + 0.115

(kilogram).. 0.251 0.278 0.276 0.271 0.282 0.273 0.260 0.249 0.254



Steel scrap .. (U.S.ton).. o 60.000 + 61.250 + 72.750 + 85.000 - 80.500 - 69.600 + 75.500 + 80.000 + 87.250

(metric t o n ) . . 66.138 67.516 80.192 93.696 88.735 76.720 83.224 88.184 96.176



Tin (pound)., + 5.528 - 5.518 + 5.948 + 6.180 + 6.300 - 6.208 - 6.158 - 6.110 - 5,960

(kilogram)., 12.187 12.165 13.113 13.624 13.889 13.686 13.576 13.470 13.139



Zinc (pound)., - 0.390 + 0.402 + 0.404 - 0.384 + 0.387 + 0.404 + 0.405 + 0.411 + 0.434

(kilogram).. 0.860 0.886 0.891 0.847 0.853 0.891 0.893 0.906 0.957



Burlap .. .. (yard). - 0.240 _ 0.229 + 0.237 + 0.256 + 0.260 0.244 + 0.252 - 0.250 + 0.257

(meter).. 0.262 0.250 0.259 0.280 0.284 0.267 0.276 0.273 0.281



Cotton (pound)., + 0.610 + 0.622 + 0.633 + 0.681 - 0.677 0.692 + 0.726 - 0.720 + 0.745

(kilogram).. 1.345 1.371 1.396 1.501 1.493 1.526 1.601 1.587 1.642



Print cloth ., (yard).. + 0.610 0 0.610 - 0.608 _ 0.594 - 0.578 + 0.584 - 0.576 + 0.615 + 0.635

(meter).. 0.667 0.667 0.665 0.650 0.632 0.639 0.630 0.673 0.694



Wool tops .. (pound)., - 3.375 - 3.300 o 3.300 - 3.240 - 3.200 0 3.200 o 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.288

(kilogram),. 7.441 7.275 7.275 7.143 7.055 7.055 7.055 7.055 7.249



Hides (pound)., - 0.485 - 0.474 + 0.479 + 0.504 + 0.560 + 0.605 + 0.618 + 0.692 - 0.676

(kilogram).. 1.069 1.045 1.056 1.111 1.235 1.334 1.362 1.526 1.490



Rosin .... (100 pounds) o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound)., + 0.421 + 0.440 + 0.484 + 0.560 + 0.584 - 0.568 - 0.555 + 0.581 + 0.595

(kilogram)., 0.928 0.970 1.067 1.235 1.287 1.252 1.224 1.281 1.312

- 0.139 + 0.144 + 0.148 + 0.151 + 0.169 _ 0.164 - 0.150 o 0.150 + 0.182

Tallow . . . . (pound)..

(kilogram).. 0.306 0.317 0.326 0.333 0.373 0.362 0.331 0.331 0.401



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) ~ unchanged, and ( - ) - falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

'Average for August 2, 9, 16, and 23.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1983 79

September 1983









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









| Q EE T D

S L C E DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1983





January February March April May June July August September 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES R W INDUSTRIALS

A





a

R w industrials price index (1967-100) + 232.1 + 241.3 + 248.8 + 253.2 - 251.5 - 250.5 + 256.0 + 265.2 + 268.3

Pet-cent rising of 13 components (62) (77) (58) (65) (46) (46) (58) (73) (58)



Dollars





Copper scrap. (pound) + 0.552 + 0.591 - 0.587 0.608 + 0.623 - 0.591 0.604 - 0.592 - 0.575

(kilogram).. 1.217 1.303 1.294 1.340 1.373 1.303 1.332 1.305 1.268



Lead scrap... (pound).. + 0.126 - 0.125 - 0.123 0.128 - 0.124 - 0.118 - 0.113 + 0.115 + 0.121

(kilogram).. 0.278 0.276 0.271 0.282 0.273 0.260 0.249 0.254 0.267



Steel scrap .. (U.S. ton).. + 61.250 + 72.750 + 85.000 - 80.500 - 69.600 + 75.500 + 80.000 + 87.400 + 89.000

(metric ton).. 67.516 80.192 93.696 88.735 76.720 83.224 88.184 96.341 98.105



Tin (pound)., - 5.518 + 5.948 6.180 + 6.300 6.208 - 6.158 - 6.110 - 5.950 - 5.920

(kilogram)., 12.165 13.113 13.624 13.889 13.686 13.576 13.470 13.117 13.051



+ 0.402 + 0.404 +

Zinc ' (pound).. - 0.384 0.387 + 0.404 + 0.405 0.411 + 0.440 + 0.464

(kilogram).. 0.886 0.891 0.847 0.853 0.891 0.893 0.906 0.970 1.023



Burlap - 0.229 + 0.237 + 0.260 + 0.252

(yard)., 0.256 0.244 - 0.250 + 0.258 + 0.266

(meter).. 0.250 0.259 0.280 0.284 0.267 0.276 0.273 0.282 0.291



Cotton .. (pound).. + 0.622 + 0.633 + 0.681 - 0.677 + 0.692 + 0.726 - 0.720 + 0.748 - 0.740

(kilogram).. 1.371 1.396 1.501 1.493 1.526 1.601 1.587 1.649 1.631



o 0.610 - 0.608 - +

Print cloth... (yard) - 0.594 0.578 + 0.584 - 0.576 0.615 + 0.638 + 0.675

(meter).. 0.667 0.665 0.650 0.632 0.639 0.630 0.673 0.698 0.738



Wool tops (pound).. 3.300 o 3.300 3.240 3.200 o 3.200 o 3.200 n 3.200 + 3.340 + 3.550

(kilogram).. 7.275 7.275 7.143 7.055 7.055 7.055 7.055 7.363 7.826



Hides (pound) . - 0.474 + 0.479 + 0.504 + 0.560 + 0.605 + 0.618 + 0.692 0.674 - 0.637

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.056 1.111 1.235 1.334 1.362 1.526 1.486 1.404



Rosin . ., (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 n 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound).. + 0.440 + 0.484 + 0.560 + 0.584 - 0.568 - 0.555 + 0.581 + 0.596 + 0.599

(kilogram).. 0.970 1.067 1.235 1.287 1.252 1.224 1.281 1.314 1.321



Tallow (pound).. + 0.144 + 0.148 + 0.151 + 0.169 - 0.164 - 0.150 0 0.150 + 0.186 - 0.183

(kilogram),. 0.317 0.326 0.333 0.373 0.362 0.331 0.331 0.410 0.403



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the mo nth-to-mo nth directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) - rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) - falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for September 6, 13, and 20.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









SEPTEMBER 1983 79

October 1983





CYCLICAL INDICATORS

C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE-Continued







Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and irections of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1983





February March April May June Jul August September ,October 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS »





R w industrials price index (1967 = 100) ....

a + 241.3 4 248.8 + 253.2 - 251.5 - 250.5 + 25 .0 + 265.2 + 267.9 + 271.7



Percent rising of 13 components (77) (58) (65) (46) (46) ( 8) (73) (58) (50)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., + 0.591 - 0.587 0.608 0.623 - 0.591 + 0. 04 - 0.592 - 0.568 - 0.515

(kilogram).. 1.303 1.294 1.340 1.373 1.303 1. 32 1.305 1.252 1.135

_

Lead scrap (pound) - 0.125 0.123 + 0.128 0.124 - 0.118 - 0. 13 + 0.115 + 0.122 + 0.150

(kilogram).. 0.276 0.271 0.282 0.273 0.260 0. 49 0.254 0.269 0.331



Steel scrap .. (U.S. ton)., + 72.750 + 85.000 - 80.500 - 69.600 + 75.500 + 80.(100 + 87.400 + 88.750 - 88.667

(metric ton).. 80.192 93.696 88.735 76.720 83.224 88. 84 96.341 97.829 97.738



Tin ......(pound).. + 5.948 +

6.180 + 6.300 6.208 - 6.158 - 6. in 5.950 - 5.932 + 5.947

(kilogram).. 13.113 13.624 13.889 13.686 13.576 13.' 70 13.117 13.078 13.111



Zinc (pound)., + 0.404 - 0.384 + 0.387 + 0.404 + 0.405 + 0. 11 + 0.440 + 0.464 o 0.464

(kilogram).. 0.891 0.847 0.853 0.891 0.893 0. 06 0.970 1.023 1.023



Burlap (yard)., + 0.237 + 0.256 + 0.260 - 0.244 + 0.252 - 0. 50 + 0.258 + 0.266 + 0.286

(meter).. 0.259 0.280 0.284 0.267 0.276 0. 73 0.282 0.291 0.313



Cotton (pound)., + 0.633 + 0.681 - 0.677 + 0.692 + 0.726 - 0. 20 + 0.748 - 0.735 - 0.728

(kilogram).. 1.396 1.501 1.493 1.526 1.601 1 . 87 1.649 1.620 1.605



Print doth ... (yard)., - 0.608 - 0.594 - 0.578 + 0.584 - 0.576 + 0. 15 0.638 + 0.686 + 0.728

(meter).. 0.665 0.650 0.632 0.639 0.630 0. 73 0.698 0.750 0.796



Wool tops ... (pound)., o 3.300 - 3.240 - 3.200 0 3.200 o 3.200 o 3. 00 + 3.340 + 3.550 o 3.550

(kilogram).. 7.275 7.143 7.055 7.055 7.055 7. 55 7.363 7.826 7.826



Hides (pound)., + 0.479 + 0.504 + 0.560 + 0.605 + 0.618 + 0. 92 - 0.674 - 0.632 - 0.630

(kilogram).. 1.056 1.111 1.235 1.334 1.362 1. 26 1.486 1.393 1.389



Rosin (100 pounds).. 0 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47. 00 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103. 16 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound)., + 0.484 + 0.560 + 0.584 - 0.568 - 0.555 + 0. 81 0.596 + 0.599 + 0.600

(kilogram).. 1.067 1.235 1.287 1.252 1.224 1. 81 1.314 1.321 1.323



Tallow (pound)., + 0.148 + 0.151 + 0.169 - 0.164 - 0.150 o 0. 50 0,186 - 0.180 - 0.167

(kilogram).. 0.326 0.333 0.373 0.362 0.331 P. 31 0.410 0.397 0.368



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) - rising, (o) = unchanged, nd ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for October 4, 11, and 18.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by th|e Bureau of Economic Analysis.









OCTOBER 1983 79

November 1983









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









m SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1983





March April May June July August September October November 1





967. INDEX O SPOT MARKET PRICES , R W INDUSTRIALS 2

F A





a

R w industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 248.8 + 253.2 - 251.5 - 250.5 + 256.0 + 265.2 + 267.9 + 273.4 + 279.6



Percent rising of 13 components (58) (65) (46) (46) (58) (73) (58) (69) (77)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. 0.587 0.608 0.623 - 0.591 + 0.604 0.592 0.568 0.510 0.482

(kilogram).. 1.294 1.340 1.373 1.303 1.332 1.305 1.124

1.252 1.063



Lead scrap.. (pound).. 0.123 + 0.128 - 0.124 - 0.118 0.113 + 0.115 + 0.122 + 0.150 + 0.152

(kilogram).. 0.271 0.282 0.273 0.260 0.249 0.254 0.269 0.331 0.335



Steel scrap . (U.S. ton)., + 85.000 - 80.500 - 69.600 75.500 + 80.000 + 87.400 + 88.750 + 89.000 + 92.000

(metric ton).. 93.696 88.735 76.720 83.224 88.184 96.341 97.829 98.105 101.412



Tin (pound) + 6.180 + 6.300 - 6.208 - 6.158 6.110 5.950 5.932 + 5.960 + 6.045

(kilogram).. 13.624 13.889 13.686 13.576 13.470 13.117 13.078 13.139 13.327



Zinc (pound).. 0.384 + 0.387 + 0.404 0.405 + 0.411 + 0.440 + 0.464 + 0.471 + 0.494

(kilogram).. 0.847 0.853 0.891 0.893 0.906 0.970 1.023 1.038 1.089



Burlap (yard) + 0.256 + 0.260 - 0.244 + 0.252 0.250 + 0.258 + 0.266 + 0.287 + 0.297

(meter).. 0.280 0.284 0.267 0.276 0.273 0.282 0.291 0.314 0.325



Cotton (pound).. + 0.681 - 0.677 + 0.692 + 0.726 0.720 + 0.748 0.735 o 0.735 + 0.759

(kilogram).. 1.501 1.493 1.526 1.601 1.587 1.649 1.620 1.620 1.673



Print cloth .. (yard) 0.594 - 0.578 + 0.584 - 0.576 + 0.615 + 0.638 + 0.686 + 0.772 + 0.845

(meter).. 0.650 0.632 0.639 0.630 0.673 0.698 0.750 0.844 0.924



Wool tops .. (pound).. 3.240 - 3.200 0 3.200 0 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.340 + 3.550 o 3.550 o 3.550

(kilogram).. 7.143 7.055 7.055 7.055 7.055 7.363 7.826 7.826 7.826



Hides (pound).. + 0.504 + 0.560 + 0.605 + 0.618 + 0.692 0.674 0.632 + 0.635 + 0.671

(kilogram).. 1.111 1.235 1.334 1.362 1.526 1.486 1.393 1.400 1.479



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound)., + 0.560 + 0.584 - 0.568 - 0.555 + 0.581 + 0.596 + 0.599 o 0.599 0.584

(kilogram).. 1.235 1.287 1.252 1.224 1.281 1.314 1.321 1.321 1.287



Tallow (pound).. + 0.151 + 0.169 - 0.164 - 0.150 o 0.150 + 0.186 0.180 0.168 + 0.178

(kilogram).. 0.333 0.373 0.362 0.331 0.331 0.410 0.397 0.370 0.392



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for November 1 through 23; component prices are averages for November 1, 8, 15, and 22.

a

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









NOVEMBER 1983 79

January 1984







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Co......-ed









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1983 1984



May June July August September October November December January*





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS '



a

Rw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 251.5 - 250.5 256.0 265.2 + 267.9 + 273.4 + 279.8 + 282.4 + 283.8



Percent rising of 13 components (46) (46) (58) (73) (58) (69) (77) (42) (42)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound)., + 0.623 - 0.591 0.604 - 0.592 - 0.568 - 0.510 - 0.482 + 0.532 - 0.524

(kilogram).. 1.373 1.303 1.332 1.305 1.252 1.124 1.063 1.173 1.155

- 0.124 0.118 0.113 + 0.115 + 0.122 + 0.150 + 0.153 - 0.152 + 0.158

Lead scrap (pound)

(kilogram).. 0.273 0.260 0.249 0.254 0.269 0.331 0.337 0.335 0.348

- 69.600 + 75.500 + 80.000 + 87.400 + 88.750 + 89.000 + 92.600 + 99.250 + 104.250

Steel scrap (US ton)

(metric ton).. 76.720 83.224 88.184 96.341 97.829 98.105 102.073 109.403 114.915

- 6.208 6.158 _ 6.110 _ 5.950 - 5.932 + 5.960 + 6.046 - 5.890 - 5.762

Tin . (pound)

(kilogram).. 13.686 13.576 13.470 13.117 13.078 13.139 13.329 12.985 12.703



Zinc (pound)., + 0.404 + 0.405 + 0.411 + 0.440 + 0.464 + 0.471 + 0.494 o 0.494 + 0.507

(kilogram).. 0.891 0.893 0.906 0.970 1.023 1.038 1.089 1.089 1.118



Burlap (yard)., - 0.244 + 0.252 - 0.250 + 0.258 + 0.266 + 0.287 + 0.300 + 0.316 - 0.311

(meter).. 0.267 0.276 0.273 0.282 0.291 0.314 0.328 0.346 0.340



Cotton (pound)., + 0.692 + 0.726 - 0.720 + 0.748 - 0.735 o 0.735 + 0.758 - 0.756 - 0.721

(kilogram).. 1.526 1.601 1.587 1.649 1.620 1.620 1.671 1.667 1.590



(yard) + 0.584 _ 0.576 + 0.615 + 0.638 + 0.686 + 0.772 + 0.846 + 0.850 - 0.848

Print cloth

(meter).. 0.639 0.630 0.673 0.698 0.750 0.844 0.925 0.930 0.927



Wool tops . . . (pound) o 3.200 0 3.200 0 3.200 + 3.340 + 3.550 o 3.550 o 3.550 - 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.055 7.055 7.055 7.363 7.826 7.826 7.826 7.716 7.716



Hides (pound).. + 0.605 + 0.618 + 0.692 _ 0.674 - 0.632 + 0.635 + 0.666 - 0.649 o 0.649

(kilogram).. 1.334 1.362 1.526 1.486 1.393 , 1.400 1.468 1.431 1.431

Rosin (100 pounds) o 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 •o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103,616

Rubber (pound) - 0.568 0.555 +

0.581 +

0.596 + 0.599 o 0.599 - 0.584 - 0.581 - 0.576

(kilogram).. 1.252 1.224 1.281 .1.314 1.321 1.321 1.287 1.281 1.270



Tallow (pound).. - 0.164 0.150 0 0.150 + 0.186 - 0.180 - 0.168 + 0.176 o 0.176 + 0.192

(kilogram).. 0.362 0.331 0.331 0.410 0.397 0.370 0.388 0.388 0.423



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (—) - falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

l

The index is the average for January 1 through 24; component prices are averages for January 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written.permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JANUARY 1984 79

February 1984







CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









|Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1983 1984





June JuTy August September October November December January February 1





^

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







Raw industrials price index (1967^100) - 250.5 + 256.0 + 265.2 + 267.9 + 273.4 + 279.8 + 282.4 + 283.6 - 283.0



Percent rising of 13 components (46) (58) (73) (58) (69) (77) (42) (38) (77)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., - 0.591 + 0.604 - 0.592 - 0.568 - 0.510 - 0.482 + 0.532 - 0.500 + 0.502

(kilogram).. 1.303 1.332 1.305 1.252 1.124 1.063 1.173 1.102 1.107



Lead scrap (pound)., - 0.118 - 0.113 + 0.115 + 0.122 + 0.150 + 0.153 - 0.152 + 0.156 - 0.147

(kilogram).. 0.260 0.249 0.254 0.269 0.331 0.337 0.335 0.344 0.324



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , + 75.500 + 80.000 + 87.400 + 88.750 + 89.000 + 92.600 + 99.250 +104.400 +105.000

(metric ton). . 83.224 88.184 96.341 97.829 98.105 102.073 109.403 115.080 115.741



Tin (pound)., - 6.158 - 6.110 - 5.950 - 5.932 + 5.960 + 6.046 - 5.890 - 5.754 + 5.760

(kilogram). . 13.576 13.470 13.117 13.078 13.139 13.329 12.985 12.685 12.698



Zinc (pound)., + 0.405 + 0.411 + 0.440 + 0.464 + 0.471 + 0.494 o 0.494 + 0 . 508 + 0.518

(kilogram).. 0.893 0.906 0.970 1.023 1.038 1.089 1.089 1.120 1.142



Burlap (yard). . + 0.252 - 0.250 + 0.258 + 0.266 + 0.287 + 0.300 + 0.316 - 0.310 - 0.306

(meter). . 0.276 0.273 0.282 0.291 0.314 0.328 0.346 0.339 0.335



Cotton (pound) + 0.726 - 0.720 + 0.748 - 0.735 o 0.735 + 0.758 - 0.756 - 0.726 + 0.727

(kilogram).. 1.601 1.587 1.649 1.620 1.620 1.671 1.667 1.601 1.603



Print cloth (yard)., - 0.576 + 0.615 + 0.638 + 0.686 + 0.772 + 0.846 + 0.850 - 0.846 + 0.847

(meter).. 0.630 0.673 0.698 0.750 0.844 0.925 0.930 0.925 0.926



Wool tops (pound)., o 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.340 + 3.550 o 3.550 o 3.550 - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram). . 7.055 7.055 7.363 7.826 7.826 7.826 7.716 7.716 7.716



Hides (pound) . . + 0.618 + 0.692 - 0.674 - 0.632 + 0.635 + 0.666 - 0.649 - 0.646 + 0.652

(kilogram).. 1.362 1.526 1.486 1.393 1.400 1.468 1.431 1.424 1.437



Rosin (100 pounds) . , o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound). . - 0.555 + 0.581 + 0.596 + 0.599 o 0.599 - 0.584 - 0.581 - 0.578 + 0.582

(kilogram).. 1.224 1.281 1.314 1.321 1.321 1.287 1.281 1.274 1.283



Tallow (pound). . - 0.150 o 0.150 + 0.186 - 0.180 - 0.168 + 0.176 o 0.176 + 0.193 + 0.196

(kilogram). . 0.331 0.331 0.410 0.397 0.370 0.388 0.388 0.425 0.432



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: I • > rising, (o) unchanged, and { — ) - falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p"

preliminary: and "NA", not available,

lr

The index is. the average for February 1 through 21; component prices are averages for February 7, 14, and 21,

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









FEBRUARY 1984 79

March 1984









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q S L C E DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and. Directions of Change-Continued

EE T D





Diffusion index components 1983 1984





July August September October November December January February March 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES. RAW INDUSTRIALS 7





Raw industrials price index (1967^100) .... + 256.0 + 265.2 + 267.9 + • 273.4 + 279,8 + 282.4 + 283.6 o 283.6 + 288.4

(58) (73) (58) (69) (77) (42) (38) (62) (65)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.604 - 0.592 - 0.568 - 0.510 - 0.482 + 0.532 - 0.500 + 0.505 + 0.532

(kilogram).. 1.332 1.305 1.252 1.124 1.063 1.173 1.102 1.113 1.173



Lead scrap (pound) - 0.113 + 0.115 + 0.122 + 0.150 + 0.153 - 0.152 + 0.156 - 0.146 + 0.148

(kilogram).. 0.249 0.254 0.269 0.331 0.337 0.335 0.344 0.322 0.326



Steel scrap (U S ton) + 80.000 + 87.400 + 88.750 + 89.000 + 92.600 + 99.250 + 104.400 - 103.750 - 99.000

(metric ton).. 88.184 96.341 97.829 98.105 102.073 109.403 115.080 114.364 109.128



Tin (pound)., - 6.110 - 5.950 - 5.932 + 5.960 + 6.046 - 5.890 - 5.754 + 5.765 + 5.860

(kilogram).. 13.470 13.117 13.078 13.139 13.329 12.985 12.685 12.710 12.919



Zinc (pound).. +• 0.411 + 0.440 + 0.464 + 0.471 + 0.494 0 0.494 + 0.508 + 0.517 + 0.527

(kilogram).. 0.906 0.970 1.023 1.038 1,089 1.089 1.120 1.140 1.162



Burlap (yard).. 0.250 + 0.258 + 0.266 + 0.287 + 0.300 + 0.316 - 0.310 - 0.306 o 0.306

(meter).. 0,273 0.282 0.291 0.314 0.328 0.346 0.339 0.335 0.335



Cotton (pound).. - 0.720 + 0.748 - 0.735 o 0.735 + 0.758 - 0.756 - 0.726 + 0.731 + 0.762

(kilogram).. 1.587 1.649 1.620 1.620 1.671 1.667 1.601 1.612 1.680



Print cloth (yard)., + 0.615 + 0.638 + 0.686 + 0.772 + 0.846 + 0.850 - 0.846 - 0.845 - 0.813

(meter).. 0.673 0.698 0.750 0.844 0.925 0.930 0.925 0.924 0.889



Wool tops . (pound) o 3.200 + 3.340 + 3.550 o 3.550 o 3.550 - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.055 7.363 7.826 7.826 7.826 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716



Hides. .. (pound) + 0.692 - 0.674 - 0.632 + 0.635 + 0.666 0.649 - 0.646 + 0.671 + 0.720

(kilogram).. 1.526 1.486 1.393 1.400 1.468 1.431 1.424 1.479 1.587



Rosin (100 pounds) . o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber . '^und^ + 0.581 + 0.596 + 0.599 o 0.599 - 0.584 - 0.581 - 0.578 + 0.582 0.580

(kilogram)., 1.281 1.314 1.321 1.321 1.287 1.281 1.274 1.283 1.279



Tallow (pound).. o 0.150 + 0.186 - 0.180 - 0.168 + 0.176 o 0.176 + 0.193 + 0.197 + 0.217

(kilogram).. 0.331 0.410 0.397 0.370 0.388 0.388 0.425 0.434 0.478



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( • ) rising, (o) unchanged, and ( ) • falling. The " r " indicates revised: " p " .

preliminary: and "NA". not available.

lr

rhe index is the average for March 1 through 22; component prices are averages for March ftf 13, and 20.

2

Data arc not seasonally adjusted. These series arc based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Uconomic Analysis.









MARCH 1984 79

April 1984









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









0 1 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1983 1984





August September October November December January February March April1



2

967. INDEX O SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS

F





a

R w industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 265.2 267.9 273.4 + 279.8 + 282.4 + 283.6 o 283.6 + 289.2 288.9



Percent rising of 13 components (73) (58) (69) (77) (42) (38) (62) (65) (50)





Dollars





Copper scrap. (pound)., 0.592 - 0.568 - 0.510 - 0.482 + 0.532 0.500 + 0.505 0.536 + 0.546

(kilogram).. 1.305 1.252 1.124 1.063 1.173 1.102 1.113 1.182 1.204



Lead scrap . .(pound).. + 0.115 + 0.122 + 0.150 + 0.153 0.152 + 0.156 0.146 + 0.149 + 0.150

(kilogram).. 0.254 0.269 0.331 0.337 0,335 0.344 0.322 0.328 0.331



Steel scrap .. (U.S.ton).. + 87.400 + 88.750 + 89.000 + 92.600 + 99 t 250 + 104.400 - 103.750 99.250 - 95.750

(metric ton).. 96.341 97.829 98.105 102.073 109,403 115.080 114.364 109.403 105.545



Tin (pound).. 5.950 5.932 + 5.960 + 6.046 5,890 5.754 + 5.765 + 5.840 + 5.845

(kilogram).. 13.117 13.078 13.139 13.329 12.985 12.685 12.710 12.875 12.886



Zinc (pound).. + 0.440 + 0.464 + 0.471 + 0.494 o 0.494 + 0.508 + 0.517 + 0.529 + 0.536

(kilogram).. 0.970 1.023 1.038 1.089 1.089 1.120 1.140 1.166 1.182



+ 0.258 + 0.266 + 0.287 + 0.300 + 0.316

Burlap . . . (yard).. 0.310 0.306 0 0.306 o 0.306

(meter).. 0.282 0.291 0.314 0.328 0.346 0.339 0.335 0.335 0.335



Cotton (pound)., + 0.748 - 0.735 0 0.735 + 0.758 0.756 0.726 + 0.731 + 0.762 + 0.771

(kilogram).. 1.649 1.620 1.620 1.671 1.667 1.601 1.612 1.680 1.700



Print cloth... (yard).. + 0.638 + 0.686 + 0.772 + 0.846 + 0.850 0.846 0.845 - 0.820 0.815

(meter).. 0.698 0.750 0.844 0.925 0.930 0.925 0.924 0.897 0.891



Wool tops . . . (pound)., + 3.340 + 3.550 0 3.550 0 3.550 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 0 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.363 7.826 7.826 7.826 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716



Hides . .(pound) 0.674 - 0.632 + 0.635 + 0.666 0.649 0.646 + 0.671 + 0.720 0.712

(kilogram).. 1.486 1.393 1.400 1.468 1.431 1.424 1.479 1.587 1.570



Rosin (100 pounds) . o 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound).. + 0.596 + 0.599 0 0.599 - 0.584 0.581 0.578 + 0.582 - 0.578 0.568

(kilogram).. 1.314 1.321 1.321 1.287 1.281 1.274 1.283 1.274 1.252



Tallow (pound).. + 0.186 - 0.180 - 0.168 + 0.176 o 0.176 + 0.193 + 0.197 + 0.219 0.218

(kilogram).. 0.410 0.397 0.370 0.388 0.388 0.425 0.434 0.483 0.481



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

The index is the average for April 1 through 24; component prices are averages for April 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









IUII APRIL 1984 79

May 1984









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1983 1984





September October November December January February March April May1



:

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) ... 267.9 273.4 + 279.8 + 282.4 + 283.6 283.6 289.2 288.6 289.5

Percent rising of 13 components (58) (69) (77) (42) (38) (62) (65) (50) (50)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. - 0.568 - 0.510 - 0.482 + 0.532 - 0.500 + 0.505 + 0.536 + 0.546 - 0.508

(kilogram).. 1.252 1.124 1.063 1.173 1.102 1.113 1.182 1.204 1.120

Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.122 + 0.150 + 0.153 - 0.152 + 0.156 - 0.146 + 0.149 + 0.150 o 0.150

(kilogram).. 0.269 0.331 0.337 0.335 0.344 0.322 0.328 0.331 0.331

Steel scrap . . . (U.S. ton).. + 88.750 + 89.000 + 92.600 + 99.250 + 104.400 - 103.750 - 99.250 - 95.750 + 99.500

(metric ton).. 97.829 98.105 102.073 109.403 115.080 114.364 109.403 105.545 109.679

Tin . ... .(pound).. - 5.932 + 5.960 + 6.046 5.890 5.754 + 5.765 + 5.840 + 5.845 + 5.900

(kilogram).. 13.078 13.139 13.329 12.985 12.685 12.710 12.875 12.886 13.007

Zinc . .. .(pound).. + 0.464 + 0.471 + 0.494 o 0.494 + 0.508 + 0.517 + 0.529 + 0.536 - 0.533

(kilogram)., 1.023 1.038 1.089 1.089 1.120 1.140 1.166 1.182 1.175

Burlap .. (yard).. + 0.266 + 0.287 + 0.300 + 0.316 - 0.310 - 0.306 o 0.306 o 0.306 - 0.301

(meter).. 0.291 0.314 0.328 0.346 0.339 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.329

Cotton (pound).. - 0.735 o 0.735 + 0.758 - 0.756 - 0.726 + 0.731 + 0.762 + 0.771 + 0.797

(kilogram).. 1.620 1.620 1.671 1.667 1.601 1.612 1.680 1.700 1.757

Print cloth (yard).. + 0.686 + 0.772 + 0.846 + 0.850 - 0.846 - 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.815 - 0.788

(meter).. 0.750 0.844 0.925 0.930 0.925 0.924 0.897 0.891 0.862

Wool tops (pound).. + 3.550 o 3.550 o 3.550 - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.826 7.826 7.826 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716

Hides (pound).. - 0.632 + 0.635 + 0.666 0.649 - 0.646 + 0.671 + 0.720 - 0.712 + 0.746

(kilogram).. 1.393 1.400 1.468 1.431 1.424 1.479 1.587 1.570 1.645

Rosin . (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound).. + 0.599 o 0.599 - 0.584 - 0.581 - 0.578 + 0.582 - 0.578 - 0.568 - 0.518

(kilogram).. 1.321 1.321 1.287 1.281 1.274 1.283 1.274 1.252 1.142

Tallow (pound)., - 0.180 - 0.168 + 0.176 o 0.176 + 0.193 + 0.197 + 0.219 - 0.218 + 0.244

(kilogram).. 0.397 0.370 0.388 0.388 0.425 0.434 0.483 0.481 0.538



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (—) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

lf

The index is the average for May 1 through 22; component prices are averages for May 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









RCII MAY 1984 79

June 1984









CYCLICAL INDICATORS

C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directionsof Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1983 1984





October November December January February March April May June 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 7





a

R w industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... + 273.4 + 279.8 + 282.4 + 283.6 o 283.6 + 289.2 - 288.6 + 289.5 - 286.5



Percent rising of 13 components (69) (77) (42) (38) (62) (65) (50) (50) (42)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound)., - 0.510 - 0.482 + 0.532 - 0.500 + 0.505 + 0.536

•

0.546 - 0.508 - 0.479

(kilogram).. 1.124 1.063 1.173 1.102 1.113 1.182 1.204 1.120 1.056



Lead scrap.. (pound)., + 0.150 + 0.153 0.152 + 0.156 0.146 + 0.149 + 0.150 0 0.150 0.158

(kilogram).. 0.331 0.337 0.335 0.344 0.322 0.328 0.331 0.331 0.348



Steel scrap . (U.S. ton).. + 89.000 + 92.600 + 99.250 + 104.400 - 103.750 - 99.250 - 95.750 + 98.600 - 94.250

(metric ton).. 98.105 102.073 109.403 115.080 114.364 109.403 105.545 108.687 103.892



Tin (pound)., + 5.960 + 6.046 5.890 - 5.754 + 5.765 + 5.840 + 5.845 + 5.890 - 5.882

(kilogram).. 13.139 13.329 12.985 12.685 12.710 12.875 12.886 12.985 12.967



Zinc , (pound),. + 0.471 + 0.494 0 0.494 + 0.508 + 0.517 + 0.529 + 0.536 - 0.533 - 0.530

(kilogram).. 1.038 1.089 1.089 1.120 1.140 1.166 1.182 1.175 1.168



Burlap (yard)., + 0.287 + 0.300 + 0.316 - 0.310 0.306 0 0.306 0 0.306 - 0.300 + 0.313

(meter).. 0.314 0.328 0.346 0.339 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.328 0.342



Cotton (pound) 0 0.735 + 0.758 0.756 - 0.726 + 0.731 + 0.762 + 0.771 + 0.803 - 0.763

(kilogram).. 1.620 1.671 1.667 1.601 1.612 1.680 1.700 1.770 1.682



Print cloth., (yard) + 0.772 + 0.846 + 0.850 - 0.846 0.845 0.820 - 0.815 - 0.784 - 0.762

(meter)., 0.844 0.925 0.930 0.925 0.924 0.897 0.891 0.857 0.833



Wool tops .. (pound)., 0 3.550 0 3.550 3.500 0 3.500 o 3,500 o 3.500 0 3.500 0 3.500 + 3.512

(kilogram).. 7.826 7.826 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.743



Hides (pound)., + 0.635 + 0.666 0.649 - 0.646 + 0.671 + 0.720 - 0.712 + 0.744 + 0,748

(kilogram).. 1.400 1.468 1.431 1.424 1.479 1.587 1.570 1.640 1.649

Rosin (100 pounds) 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound).. 0 0.599 - 0.584 0.581 - 0.578 + 0.582 0.578 - 0.568 - 0.514 - 0.475

(kilogram).. 1.321 1.287 1.281 1.274 1.283 1.274 1.252 1.122 1.047

Tallow (pound)., - 0.168 + 0.176 o 0.176 + 0.193 + 0.197 + 0.219 - 0.218 + 0.249 + 0.259

(kilogram).. 0.370 0.388 0.388 0.425 0.434 0.483 0.481 0.549 0.571



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) ~ rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

'The index is the average for June 1 through 26; component prices are averages for June 5, 12, 19, and 26.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JUNE 1984 79

July 1984









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1983 1984





November December January February March April May June July1



2

A

96 I INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, R W INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... •+ 279.8 + 282.4 + 283.6 o 283.6 + 289.2 - 288.6 + 289.5 - 286.2 - 280.9



Percent rising of 13 components (77) (42) (38) (62) (65) (50) (50) (42) (35)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) - 0.482 + 0.532 - 0.500 + 0.505 + 0.536 + 0.546 - 0.508 - 0.479 - 0.461

(kilogram).. 1.063 1.173 1.102 1.113 1.182 1.204 1.120 1.056 1.016



Lead scrap (pound) + 0.153 - 0.152 + 0.156 - 0.146 + 0.149 + 0.150 o 0.150 + 0.158 + 0.189

(kilogram).. 0.337 0.335 0.344 0.322 0.328 0.331 0.331 0.348 0.417



Steel scrap (U.S. ton).. + 92.600 + 99.250 + 104.400 - 103.750 - 99.250 - 95.750 + 98.600 - 94.250 - 86.250

(metric ton).. 102.073 109.403 115.080 114.364 109.403 105.545 108.687 103.892 95.073



Tin (pound)., + 6.046 - 5.890 - 5.754 + 5.765 + 5.840 + 5.845 + 5.890 - 5.882 - 5.778

(kilogram).. 13.329 12.985 12.685 12.710 12.875 12.886 12.985 12.967 12.738



Zinc ... .. .. (pound).. + 0.494 o 0.494 + 0.508 + 0.517 + 0.529 + 0.536 - 0.533 - 0.530 - 0.501

(kilogram).. 1.089 1.089 1.120 1.140 1.166 1.182 1.175 1.168 1.105



Burlap (vard) + 0.300 + 0.316 - 0.310 - 0.306 o 0.306 o 0.306 - 0.300 + 0.313 + 0.329

(meter).. 0.328 0.346 0.339 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.328 0.342 0.360



Cotton . (pound) + 0.758 - 0.756 - 0.726 + 0.731 + 0.762 + 0.771 + 0.803 - 0.763 - 0.691

(kilogram).. 1.671 1.667 1.601 1.612 1.680 1.700 1.770 1.682 1.523



Print cloth (yard).. + 0.846 + 0.850 - 0.846 - 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.815 - 0.784 - 0.762 + 0.768

(meter).. 0.925 0.930 0.925 0,924 0.897 0.891 0.857 0.833 0.840



Wool tops (pound) o 3.550 - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.512 - 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.826 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.743 7.716



Hides (pound) + 0.666 - 0.649 - 0.646 + 0.671 + 0.720 - 0.712 + 0.744 + 0.748 + 0.762

(kilogram).. 1.468 1.431 1.424 1.479 1.587 1.570 1.640 1.649 1.680



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound).. - 0.584 - 0.581 - 0.578 + 0.582 - 0.578 - 0.568 - 0.514 - 0.475 - 0.465

(kilogram).. 1.287 1.281 1.274 1.283 1.274 1.252 1.133 1.047 1.025

Tallow (pound).. + 0.176 o 0.176 + 0.193 + 0.197 + 0.219 - 0.218 + 0.249 + 0.259 - 0.211

(kilogram).. 0.388 0.388 0.425 0.434 0.483 0.481 0.549 0.571 0.465



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

lr

The index is the average for July 1 through 24; component prices are averages for July 3, 10, 17, and 24.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JULY 1984 79

August 1984









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1983 1984



December January February March April May June July August 1



2

967. I N D E X - OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, ;RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) + 282.4 + 283.6 o 283.6 V 289.2 - 288.6 + 289.5 - 286.2 - 280.1 - 274.6



Percent rising of 13 components (42) (38) (62) (65) (50) (50) (42) (35) (31)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.532 - 0.500 + 0.505 + 0.536 + 0.546 - 0.508 - 0.479 - 0.459 - 0.450

(kilogram). . 1.173 1.102 1.113 1.182 1.204 1.120 1.056 1.012 0.992



Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.152 + 0.156 - 0.146 + 0.149 + 0.150 o 0.150 + 0.158 + 0.188 - 0.172

(kilogram). . 0.335 0.344 0.322 0.328 0.331 0.331 0.348 0.414 0.379



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , + 99.250 + 104.400 - 103.750 - 99.250 - 95.750 + 98.600 - 94.250 - 85.000 + 85.667

(metric ton) . . 109.403 115.080 114.364 109.403 105.545 108.687 103.892 93.696 94.431



Tin (pound) . . - 5.890 - 5.754 + 5.765 + 5.840 + 5.845 + 5.890 - 5.882 - 5.772 - 5.710

(kilogram).. 12.985 12.685 12.710 12.875 12.886 12.985 12.967 12.725 12.588



Zinc (pound). . o 0.494 + 0.508 + 0.517 + 0.529 + 0.536 - 0.533 - 0.530 - 0.502 - 0.493

(kilogram).. 1.089 1.120 1.140 1.166 1.182 1.175 1.168 1.107 1.087

Burlap (yard) . . + 0.316 - 0.310 '- 0.306 o 0.306 o 0.306 - 0.300 + 0.313 + 0.329 + 0.336

(meter) . . 0.346 0.339 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.328 0.342 0.360 0.367



Cotton (pound) . . - 0.756 - 0.726 + 0.731 + 0.762 + 0.771 + 0.803 - 0.763 - 0.683 - 0.641

(kilogram).. 1.667 1.601 1.612 1.680 1.700 1.770 1.682 1.506 1.413

Print cloth (yard)., + 0.850 - 0.846 - 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.815 - 0.784 - 0.762 + 0.768 - 0.760

(meter). . 0.930 0.925 0.924 0.897 0.891 0.857 0.833 0.840 0.831

Wool tops (pound) . . - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 6 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.512 - 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram). . 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.743 7.716 7.716

Hides (pound) . . - 0.649 - 0.646 +.. 0.671 + 0.720 - 0.712 + 0.744 + 0.748 + 0.766 - 0.760

(kilogram) . . 1.431 1.424 1.479 1.587 1.570 1.640 1.649 1.689 1.675

Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound) . . - 0.581 - 0.578 + 0.582 - 0.578 - 0.568 - 0.514 - 0.475 - 0.464 + 0.465

(kilogram) . . 1.281 1.274 1.283 1.274 1.252 1.133 1.047 1.023 1.025

Tallow (pound) . . o 0.176 + 0.193 + 0.197 + 0.219 - 0.218 + 0.249 + 0.259 - 0.208 - 0.198

(kilogram) . . 0.388 0.425 0.434 0.483 0.481 0.549 0.571 0.459 0.437



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

z

The index is the average for August 1 through 22; component prices are averages for August 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based- on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are tonverted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1984 79

September 1984









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C 1 DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Qj SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1984



January February March Apri 1 May June July August September 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 283.6 o 283.6 + 289.2 - 288.6 + 289.5 - 286.2 - 280.1 - 275.6 - 274.6



Percent rising of 13 components (38) (62) (65) (50) (50) (42) (35) (46) (46)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.500 + 0.505 + 0.536 + 0.546 - 0.508 - 0.479 - 0.459 + 0.460 - 0.435

(kilogram) . . 1.102 1.113 1.182 1.204 1.120 1.056 1.012 1.014 0.959



Lead scrap (pound) . . + 0.156 - 0.146 + 0.149 + 0.150 o 0.150 + 0.158 + 0.188 - 0.171 - 0.143

(kilogram).. 0.344 0.322 0.328 0.331 0.331 0.348 0.414 0.377 0.315



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . + 104.400 - 103.750 - 99.250 - 95.750 + 98.600 - 94.250 - 85.000 + 86.000 + 92.000

(metric ton) . . 115.080 114.364 109.403 105.545 108.687 103.892 93.696 94.798 101.412



Tin (pound) . . - 5.754 + 5.765 + 5.840 + 5.845 + 5.890 - 5.882 - 5.772 - 5.680 - 5.585

(kilogram).. 12.685 12.710 12.875 12.886 12.985 12.967 12.725 12.522 12.313



Zinc (pound). . + 0.508 + 0.517 + 0.529 + 0.536 - 0.533 - 0.530 - 0.502 - 0.491 - 0.476

(kilogram) . . 1.120 1.140 1.166 1.182 1.175 1.168 1.107 1.082 1.049

Burlap . (yard) - 0.310 - 0.306 o 0.306 o 0.306 - 0.300 + 0.313 + 0.329 + 0.336 + 0.366

(meter) . . 0.339 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.328 0.342 0.360 0.367 0.400

Cotton (pound) . . - 0.726 + 0.731 + 0.762 + 0.771 + 0.803 - 0.763 - 0.683 - 0.640 - 0.625

(kilogram) . . 1.601 1.612 1.680 1.700 1.770 1.682 1.506 1.411 1.378

Print cloth (yard) . . - 0.846 - 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.815 - 0.784 - 0.762 + 0.768 - 0.762 + 0.779

(meter) . . 0.925 0.924 0.897 0.891 0.857 0.833 0.840 0.833 0.852

Wool tops (pound) . . o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.512 - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram) . . 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.743 7.716 7.716 7.716

Hides (pound) . . - 0.646 + 0.671 + 0.720 - 0.712 + 0.744 + 0.748 + 0.766 + 0.771 + 0.795

(kilogram) . . 1.424 1.479 1.587 1.570 1.640 1.649 1.689 1.700 1.753

Rosin . (100 pounds) o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound) . . - 0.578 + 0.582 - 0.578 - 0.568 - 0.514 - 0.475 - 0.464 + 0.465 - 0.464

(kilogram).. 1.274 1.283 1.274 1.252 1.133 1.047 1.023 1.025 1.023

Tallow (pound) . . + 0.193 + 0.197 + 0.219 - 0.218 + 0.249 + 0.259 - 0.208 0.201 + 0.218

(kilogram). . 0.425 0.434 0.483 0.481 0.549 0.571 0.459 0.443 0.481



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

The index is the average for September 1 through 25; component prices are averages for September 4, 11, 18 and 25.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









SEPTEMBER 1984 79

October 1984









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









|Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1984





February March April May June July August September October 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967^100) . . . . o 283,6 + 289.2 - 288.6 + 289.5 286.2 - 280.1 - 275,6 - 274.0 - 266.7



Percent rising of 13 components (62) (65) (50) (50) (42) (35) (46) (46) (31)





Dollars





Copper scrap . . . . (pound) + 0.505 + 0.536 + 0.546 - 0.508 - 0.479 - 0.459 + 0.460 - 0.435 - 0.419

(kilogram). . 1.113 1.182 1.204 1.120 1.056 1,012 1.014 0.959 0.924



Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.146 + 0.149 + 0.150 o 0.150 + 0.158 + 0.188 - 0.171 - 0.143 - 0.120

(kilogram) . , 0.322 0.328 0.331 0.331 0.348 0.414 0.377 0,315 0.265



Steel scrap .. ( U S ton) - 103.750 - 99.250 - 95.750 + 98.600 - 94.250 - 85.000 + 86.000 + 92.000 - 88.750

(metric ton). . 114.364 109.403 105.545 108.687 103.892 93.696 94.798 101.412 97.829



Tin .. (pound) + 5.765 + 5.840 + 5.845 + 5.890 - 5.882 - 5.772 - 5.680 - 5.585 - 5.405

(kilogram). . 12.710 12.875 12.886 12.985 12.967 12.725 12.522 12.313 11.916



Zinc ... ... (pound) + 0.517 + 0.529 + 0.536 - 0.533 - 0.530 - 0.502 - 0.491 - 0.476 - 0.454

(kilogram), . 1.140 1.166 1.182 1.175 1.168 1.107 1.082 1.049 1.001



Burlap (yard). . - 0.306 o 0.306 o 0.306 - 0.300 + 0.313 + 0.329 + 0.336 + 0.366 + 0.393

(meter). . 0.335 0.335 0.335 0.328 0,342 0.360 0.367 0.400 0.430



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.731 + 0.762 + 0.771 + 0.803 - 0.763 - 0.683 - 0.640 - 0.625 + 0.626

(kilogram) . . 1.612 1.680 1.700 1.770 1.682 1.506 1.411 1.378 1.380



Print cloth (yard) . . - 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.815 - 0.784 - 0.762 + 0.768 0.762 + 0.779 + 0,792

(meter) . . 0.924 0.897 0.891 0.857 0.833 0.840 0.833 0.852 0.866



Wool tops (pound) . . o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3,500 + 3.512 - 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.743 7,716 7.716 7.716 7.716

Hides (pound) + 0.671 + 0.720 - 0.712 + 0.744 + 0,748 + 0.766 + 0.771 + 0.795 - 0.732

(kilogram).. 1.479 1.587 1.570 1.640 1.649 1,689 1.700 1.753 1.614



Rosin (100 pounds) . . o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103,616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound) . , + 0.582 - 0.578 0.568 - 0.514 - 0.475 - 0,464 + 0.465 - 0.464 0.438

(kilogram).. 1.283 1.274 1.252 1.133 1.047 1.023 1.025 1.023 0.966



Tallow • (pound). . + 0.197 + 0.219 0.218 + 0.249 + 0.259 - 0.208 - 0.201 + 0.218 - 0.215

(kilogram).. 0.434 0.483 0.481 0.549 0.571 0.459 0.443 0.481 0.474



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (—) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

^he index is the average for October 1 through 23; component prices are averages for October 2, 9, 16, and 23.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









OCTOBER 1984 79