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Index of Industrial Materials Prices

Document Sample
Index of Industrial Materials Prices
January 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS

DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.









^9 SELECTED DfFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1979 1980







May June July August September October November December January 1





967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . - 293.8 o 293.9 + 297.3 + 298.1 - 297.3 + 307.7 - 304.0 + 309.6 + 314.4

3

Percent rising of 13 components .... (42) (54) (46) (31) (54) (62) (62) (77) (50)





Dollars





Copper scrap . .(pound) . 0.709 - 0.681 0.663 + 0.702 + 0.725 + 0.729 + 0,746 + 0.767 + 0.847

(kilogram). . 1.563 1.501 1.462 1.548 1.598 1.607 1.645 1.691 1 .867



Lead scrap (pound). . + 0.237 + 0.256 + 0.267 - 0.263 o 0.263 - 0.258 + 0.399 - 0.373 - 0.350

(kilogram). . 0.522 0.564 0.589 0.580 0.580 0.569 0.880 0.822 0.772



Steel scrap (U S ton) - 92.000 + 107.000 - 98.400 - 91.500 - 87.000 o 87.000 + 92.000 + 93.000 + 97.000

(metric ton). . 101.412 117.946 108.466 100.860 95.900 95.900 101.412 102.514 106.923



Tin 4 (pound), . - 6.930 + 7.020 + 7.134 - 6.845 + 7.040 + 7.520 + 7.588 + 7.890 - 7.757

(kilogram). . 15.278 15.476 15.728 15.090 15.520 16.579 16.729 17.394 17.101



Zinc (pound). . 0 0.395 o 0.395 + 0.397 - 0.368 - 0.360 + 0.373 - 0.369 + 0.375 o 0.375

(kilogram). . 0.871 0.871 0.875 ' 0.811 0.794 0.822 0.813 0.827 0.827



Burlap. . (yard). . o 0.181 0 0.181 + 0.239 + 0.349 - 0.345 + 0.370 + 0.391 + 0.417 0.407

(meter). . 0.198 0,198 0.261 0.382 0.377 0.405 0.428 0.456 0.445



Cotton 12-market average . - (pound) + 0.612 + 0.638 - 0.619 + 0.622 + 0.624 + 0.630 + 0.632 + 0.664 + 0.708

(kilogram). . 1.349 1.407 1.365 1.371 1.376 1.389 1.393 1.464 1.561



Print cloth average . . ... . . . (yard). , + 0.721 0.720 - 0.708 - 0.654 - 0.644 - 0.628 - 0.620 + 0.625 - 0.624

(meter). . 0.788 0.787 0.774 0.715 0.704 0.687 0.678 0.683 0.682



Wool tops (pound). . + 2.850 o 2.850 o 2.850 o 2.850 + 2.888 + 2.980 + 3.050 + 3.140 + 3.150

(kilogram). . 6.283 6.283 6.283 6.283 6.367 6.570 6.724 6.922 6.944



Hides ... (pound). . - 1.093 - 0.955 - 0.834 - 0.820 - 0.795 - 0.786 - 0.740 + 0.780 + 0.820

(kilogram). . 2.410 2.105 1.839 1.808 1.753 1.733 1 .631 1.720 1.808



Rosin .... (100 pounds). . o 28.500 o 28.500 0 28.500 o 28.500 o 28.500 (NA) + 40.500 - 40.200 - 40.000

(100 kilograms). . 62.831 62.831 62.831 62.831 62.831 (NA) 89.286 88.625 88.184



Rubber . (pound). . - 0.657 + 0.677 0.664 - 0.649 + 0.651 + 0.677 - 0.665 + 0.679 + 0.723

(kilogram). . 1.448 1.493 1,464 1.431 1.435 1.493 1.466 1.497 1.594



Tallow (pound). , - 0.247 - 0.217 + 0.227 - 0.225 + 0.228 0.213 - 0.187 - 0.185 - 0.184

(kilogram). . 0.545 0.478 0.500 0.496 0.503 0.470 0.412 0.408 0.406



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) ^ falling. The "r" indicates revised,

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for January 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Based on 12 components.









ItCIt JANUARY 1980 79

February 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE-Con.









JQ SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1979 1980



June July August September October November December January February1





967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . o 293.9 + 297.3 + 298.1 - 297.3 + 307.7 - 304.0 + 309.6 + 316.2 + 321.4

3

Percent rising of 13 components (54) (46) (31) (54) (62) '(62) (77). (50) (65)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound). . - 0.681 - 0.663 + 0.702 + 0.725 + 0.729 + 0.746 + 0.872 o 0.872 + 1.003

(kilogram). . 1.501 1.462 1.548 1.598 1.607 1.645 1.922 1.922 2.211



Lead scrap (pound). . + 0.256 + 0.267 - 0.263 o 0.263 - 0.258 + 0.399 - 0.373 - 0.346 - 0.342

(kilogram). . 0.564 0.589 0.580 0.580 0.569 0.880 0.822 0.763 0.754



Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . + 107.000 - 98.400 - 91.500 - 87.000 o 87.000 + 92.000 + 93.000 + 96.750 + 100.000

(metric ton). . 117.946 108.466 100.860 95.900 95.900 101.412 102.514 106.647 110.230



Tin (pound). . + 7.020 + 7.134 - 6.845 + 7.040 + 7.520 + 7.588 + 7.890 - 7.805 + 7.863

(kilogram). . 15.476 15.728 15.090 15.520 16.579 16.729 17.394 17.207 17.335



Zinc (pound). . 0 0.395 + 0.397 - 0.368 - 0.360 + 0.373 - 0.369 + 0.375 o 0.375 + 0.382

(kilogram). . 0.871 0.875 0.811 0.794 0.822 0.813 0.827 0.827 0.842



Burlap (yard). . 0 0.181 + 0.239 + 0.349 - 0.345 + 0.370 + 0.391 + 0.417 - 0.404 - 0.381

(meter). . 0.198 0.261 0.382 0.377 0.405 0.428 0.456 0.442 0.417



Cotton (pound). . + 0.638 - 0.619 + 0.622 + . 0.624 + 0.630 + 0.632 + 0.664 + 0.726 + 0.810

(kilogram). .. 1.407 1,365 1.371 1.376 1.389 1.393 1.464 1.601 1.786



Print cloth (yard) - 0.720 - 0.708 - 0.654 - 0.644 - 0.628 - 0.620 + 0.625 o 0.625 + 0.647

(meter). . 0.787 0.7741 0.715 0.704 0.687 0.678 0.683 0.683 0.708



Wool tops (pound). . o 2.850 o 2.850 o 2.850 + 2.888 + 2.980 + 3.050 + 3.140 + 3.150 + 3.183

(kilogram). . 6.283 6.283 6.283 6.367 6.570 6.724 6.922. 6.944 7.017



Hides (pound) - 0.955 - 0.834 - 0.820 - 0.795 - 0.786 - 0.740 + 0.780 + 0.825 - 0.747

(kilogram). . 2.105 1.839 1.808 1.753 1.733 1.631 1.720 1.819 1.647



Rosin . . . (100 pounds). o 28.500 o 28.500 • o 28.500 o 28.500 (NA) + 40.500 - 40.200 - 40.000 o 40.000

(100 kilograms). . 62.831 62.831 62.831 62.831 CNA) 89.286 88.625 88.184 88.184



Rubber (pound). . + 0.677 0.664 - 0.649 + 0.651 + 0.677 - 0.665 + 0,679 + 0.743 + 0.839

(kilogram). . 1.493 1.464 1.431 1.435 1.493 1.466 1.497 1.638 1.850



Tallow (pound). . - 0.217 -f 0.227 - 0.225 + ' 0.228 - 0.213 - 0.187 - 0.185 - 0.180 - 0.169

(kilogram). . 0.478 0.500 0.496 0.503 0.470 0.412 0.408 0.397 0.373



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for February 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Based on 12 components.









KCII FEBRUARY 1980 79

April 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.







^9 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1979 1980





August September October November December January February March April 1





967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . + 298.1 - 297.3 + 307.7 - 304.0 + 309.6 + 316.2 + 322.5 - 316.9 - 302.9



3

Percent rising of 13 components (31) (54) (62) (62) (77) (50) (73) (62) (19)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) + 0.702 + 0.725 + 0.729 + 0.746 + 0.872 o 0.872 + 0.971 - 0.732 - 0.670

(kilogram). . 1.548 1.598 1.607 1.607 1.922 1.922 2.141 1.614 1.477



Lead scrap (pound). . - 0.263 o 0.263 - 0.258 + 0.399 - 0.373 - 0.346 o 0.346 + 0.364 - 0.332

(kilogram). . 0.580 0.580 0.569 0.880 0.822 0.763 0.763 0.802 0.732



Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . - 91.500 - 87.000 o 87.000 + 92.000 + 93.000 + 96.750 +100.000 - 98.000 - 92.000

(metric ton). . 100.860 95.900 95.900 101.412 102.514 106.647 110.230 108.025 101.412



Tin (pound). . - 6.845 + 7.040 + 7.520 + 7.588 + 7.890 - 7.805 + 7.910 + 8.368 - 7.910

(kilogram). . 15.090 15.520 16.579 16.729 17.394 17.207 17.438 18.448 17.438



Zinc (pound). . - 0.368 - 0.360 + 0.373 - 0.369 + 0.375 o 0.375 + 0.380 + 0.390 - 0.385

(kilogram). . 0.811 0.794 0.822 0.813 0.827 0.827 0.838 0.860 0.849



Burlap (yard) + 0.349 - 0.345 + 0.370 + 0.391 + 0.417 - 0.404 - 0.385 + 0.389 - 0.364

(meter). . 0.382 0.377 0.405 0.428 0.456 0.442 0.421 0.425 0.398



Cotton (pound). . + 0.622 + 0.624 + 0.630 + 0.632 + 0.664 + 0.726 + 0.810 - 0.788 - 0.786

(kilogram). . 1.371 1.376 1.389 1.393 1.464 1.601 1.786 1.737 1.733



Print cloth (yard). . - 0.654 - 0.644 - 0.628 - 0.620 + 0.625 o 0.625 + 0.651 + 0.682 + 0.695

(meter). . 0.715 0.704 0.687 0.678 0.683 0.683 0.712 0.746 0.760



Wool tops (pound) o 2.850 + 2.888 + 2.980 + 3.050 + 3.140 + 3.150 + 3.200 + 3.500 - 3.475

(kilogram). . 6.283 6.367 6.570 6.724 6.922 6.944 7.055 7.716 7.661



Hides (pound). . - 0.820 - 0.795 - 0.786 - 0.740 + 0.780 + 0.825 - 0.745 - 0.592 - 0.491

(kilogram). . 1.808 1.753 1.733 1.631 1.720 1.819 1.642 1.305 1.082



Rosin (100 pounds) o 28.500 o 28.500 (NA) + 40.500 - 40.200 - 40.000 + 42.000 + 48.000 o 48.000

(100 kilograms). . 62.831 62.831 (NA) 89.286 88.625 88.184 92.593 105.821 105.821



Rubber (pound). . - 0.649 + 0.651 + 0.677 - 0.665 + 0.679 + 0.743 + 0.833 0.750 - 0.711

(kilogram). . 1.431 1.435 1.493 1.466 1.497 1.638 1.836 1.653 1.567



Tallow (pound). . - 0.225 + 0.228 - 0.213 - 0.187 - 0.185 - 0.180 - 0.170 + 0.173 + 0.181

(kilogram). . 0.496 0.503 0.470 0.412 0.408 0.397 0.375 0.381 0.399



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for April 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis,

3

Based on 12 components.









ItCII APRIL 1980 79

May 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS

DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.









Rfl SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1979 1980





1

September October November December January February March April May







967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . - 297.3 + 307.7 - 304.0 + 309.6 + 316.2 + 322.5 - 316.9 - 301.9 - 280.3

3

Percen t rising of 13 componen ts (54) (62) (62) (77) (50) (73) (62) (12) (15)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound). . + 0.725 + 0,729 + 0.746 + 0.872 o 0.872 + 0.971 - 0.732 - 0.674 - 0.673

(kilogram). . 1,598 1.607 1.645 1.922 1.922 2.141 1.614 1.486 1.484



Lead scrap (pound). . o 0.263 - 0.258 + 0.399 - 0.373 - 0.346 o 0.346 + 0.364 - 0.313 - 0.220

(kilogram). . 0.580 0.569 0.880 0.822 0.763 0.763 0.802 0.690 0.485



Steel scrap .. .. (US. ton) - 87.000 o 87.000 + 92.000 + 93.000 + 96.750 + 100.000 - 98.000 - 91.800 - 71.000

(metric ton). . 95.900 95.900 101.412 102.514 106.648 110.230 108.025 101.191 78.263



Tin (pound) + 7.040 + 7.520 + 7.588 + 7.890 - 7.805 + 7,910 + 8.368 - 7.918 + 8.151

(kilogram). . 15.520 16.579 16.729 17.394 17.207 17.438 18.448 17.456 17.970



Zinc (pound). . - 0.360 + 0.373 - 0.369 + 0.375 o 0.375 + 0.380 + 0.390 - 0.385 - 0.375

(kilogram). . 0.794 0.822 0.813 0.827 0.827 0.838 0.860 0.849 0.827



Burlap (yard) - 0.345 + 0.370 + 0.391 + 0.417 - 0.404 - 0.385 + 0.389 - 0.362 - 0.349

(meter). . 0.377 0.405 0.428 0.456 0.442 0.421 0.425 0.396 0.382



Cotton .. (pound) + 0.624 + 0.630 + 0.632 + 0.644 + 0.726 + 0.810 - 0.788 - 0.787 + 0.790

(kilogram). .. 1.376 1.389 1.393 1.464 1.601 1.786 1.737 1.735 1.742



Print cloth (yard). . - 0.644 - 0.628 - 0.620 + 0.625 o 0.625 + 0.651 + 0.682 + 0.695 - 0.692

(meter). . 0.704 0.687 0.678 0.684 0.684 0.712 0.746 0.760 0.757



Wool tops (pound) + 2.888 + 2.980 + 3.050 + 3.140 + 3.150 + 3.200 + 3.500 - 3.460 - 3.267

(kilogram). . 6.367 6.570 6.724 6.922 6.944 7.055 7.716 7.628 7.202



Hides (pound). . - 0.795 - 0.786 - 0.740 + 0.780 + 0.825 - 0.745 - 0.592 - 0.490 - 0.423

(kilogram). . 1.753 1.733 1.631 1.720 1.819 1.642 1.305 1.080 0.933



Rosin . (100 pounds) o 28.500 (NA) + 40.500 - 40.200 - 40.000 + 42.000 + 48.000 o 48.000 - 47.000

(100 kilograms). . 62.831 (MA) 89.286 88.625 88.184 92.593 105.821 103.821 103,616

Rubber (pound). . + 0,651 + 0.677 - 0.665 + 0.679 + 0.743 + 0.833 - 0.750 - 0.711 - 0.690

(kilogram). . 1.435 1.493 1.466 1.497 1.638 1.836 1.653 1.567 1.521



Tallow (pound). . + 0.228 - 0.213 - 0.187 - 0.185 - 0.180 - 0.170 + 0.181 - 0.180 - 0.169

(kilogram). . 0.503 0.470 0.412 0.408 0.397 0.375 0.399 0.397 0.373



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for May 6, 13a and 20.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Based on 12 components.









110 MAY 1980 79

June 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS

DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.









RH SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1979 1980





October November December January February March April May June1





967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . + 307.7 - 304.0 + 309.6 + 316.2 + 322.5 - 316.9 - 301.9 - 278.5 - 267.4



Percent rising of 13 components 3

(62.) (62) (77) (50) (73) (62) (12) (15) (8)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound). . + 0.729 + 0.746 + 0.872 o 0.872 + 0.971 - 0.732 - 0.674 + 0.688 - 0.675

(kilogram). . 1.607 1.645 1.922 1.922 2.141 1.614 1.486 1.517 1.488



Lead scrap (pound). . - 0.258 + 0.399 - 0.373 - 0.346 o 0.346 + 0.364 - 0.313 - 0.220 - 0.217

(kilogram). . 0.569 0.880 0.822 0.763 0.763 0.802 0.690 0.485 0.478



Steel scrap . ( U S . ton). . o 87.000 + 92.000 + 93.000 + 96.750 +100.000 - 98,000 - 91.800 - 71.000 - 63.000

(metric ton). . 95.900 101.412 102.514 106.648 110.230 108.025 101.191 78.263 69.445



Tin . (pound) + 7.520 + 7.588 + 7.890 - 7.805 + 7.910 + 8.368 - 7.918 + 8.063 - 7.840

(kilogram). . 16.579 16.729 17.394 17.207 17.438 18.448 17.456 17.776 17.284



Zinc (pound). . + 0.373 - 0.369 + 0.375 o 0.375 + 0.380 + 0.390 - 0.385 - 0.375 - 0.372

(kilogram). . 0.822 0.813 0.827 0.827 0.838 0.860 0.849 0.827 0.820



Burlap (yard). . + 0.370 + 0.391 + 0.417 - 0.404 - 0.385 + 0.389 - 0.362 - 0.350 - 0.339

(meter). . 0.405 0.428 0.456 0.442 0.421 0.425 0.396 0.383 0.371



Cotton (pound). . + 0.630 + 0.632 + 0.664 + 0.726 + 0.810 - 0.788 - 0.787 - 0.779 - 0.726

(kilogram). . 1.389 1.393 1.464 1.601 1.786 1.737 1.735 1.717 1.601



Print cloth (yard). . - 0.628 - 0.620 + 0.625 o 0.625 + 0.651 + 0.682 + 0.695 - 0.691 + 0.692

(meter). . 0.687 0.678 0.684 0.684 0.712 0.746 0.760 0.756 0.757



Wool tops (pound) + 2.980 + 3.050 + 3.140 + 3.150 + 3.200 + 3.500 - 3.460 - 3.250 - 3.200

(kilogram). . 6.570 6.724 6.922 6.944 7.055 7.716 7.628 7.165 7.055



Hides (pound) - 0.786 - 0.740 + 0.780 + 0.825 - 0.745 - 0.592 - 0.490 - 0.405 - 0.367

(kilogram). . 1.733 1.631 1.720 1.819 1.642 1.305 1.080 0.893 0.809



Rosin ... (100 pounds) + ' (NA) + 40.500 - 40.200 - 40.000- + 42.000 + 48.000 o 48.000 - 46.500 - 45.000

(100 kilograms). . (NA) 89.286 88.625 88.184 92.593 105.821 105.821 102.514 99.207

Rubber (pound) . + 0.677 - 0.665 + 0.679 + 0.743 + 0.833 - 0.750 - 0.711 - 0.682 - 0.681

(kilogram). . 1.493 1.466 1.497 1.638 1.836 1.653 1.567 1.504 1.501



Tallow (pound). . - 0.213 - 0.187 - 0.185 - 0.180 - 0.170 + 0.181 - 0.180 - 0.168 - 0.153

(kilogram). . 0.470 0.412 0.408 0.397 0.375 0.399 0.397 0.370 0.337



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for June 3, 10, and 17.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

3

Based on 12 components.









BCII JUNE 1980 79

July 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.







^9 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1979 1980





November December January February March April May June July 1





967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . - 304.0 + 309.6 + 316.2 + 322.5 - 316.9 - 301.9 - 278.5 - 267.5 + 276.0



Percent rising of 13 components (62) (77) (50) (73) (62) (12) (15) (0) (54)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . + 0.746 + 0.872 o 0.872 + 0.971 - 0.732 - 0.674 + 0.688 - 0.679 + 0.750

(kilogram). . 1.645 1.922 1.922 2.141 1.614 1.486 1.517 1.497 1.653



Lead scrap (pound). . + 0.399 - 0.373 - 0.346 o 0.346 + 0.364 - 0.313 - 0.220 - 0.216 + 0.218

(kilogram). . 0.880 0.822 0.763 0.763 0.802 0.690 0.485 0.476 0.481



Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . + 92.000 + 93.000 + 96.750 +100.000 - 98.000 - 91.800 - 71.000 - 63.000 + 68.000

(metric ton). . 101.412 102.514 106.648 110.230 108.025 101.191 78.263 69.445 74.956



Tin (pound). . + 7.588 + 7.890 - 7.805 + 7.910 + 8.368 - 7.918 + 8.063 - 7.810 - 7.728

(kilogram). . 16.729 17.394 17.207 17.438 18.448 17.456 17.776 17.218 17.037



Zinc (pound) r- 0.369 + 0.375 0 0.375 + 0.380 + 0.390 , 0.385 - 0.375 „ 0.368 _ 0.355

(kilogram). . 0.813 0.827 0.827 0.838 0.860 0.849 0.827 0.811 0.783



Burlap (yard). . + 0.391 + 0.417 - 0.404 - 0.385 + 0.389 - 0.362 - 0.350 - 0.337 - 0.323

(meter). . 0.428 0.456 0.442 0.421 0.425 0.396 0.383 0.369 0.353



Cotton (pound). . + 0.632 + 0.664 + 0.726 + 0.810 - 0.788 - 0.787 - 0.779 - 0.725 + 0.771

(kilogram). .. 1.393 1.464 1.601 1.786 1.737 1.735 1.717 1.598 1.700



Print cloth (yard). . - 0.620 + 0.625 o 0.625 + 0.651 + 0.682 + 0.695 - 0.691 - 0.690 - 0.676

(meter). . 0.678 0.684 0.684 0.712 0.746 0,760 0.756 0.755 0.739



Wool tops (pound) + 3.050 + 3.140 + 3.150 + 3.200 + 3.500 - 3.460 - 3.250 - 3.200 o 3.200

(kilogram). . 6.724 6.922 6.944 7.055 7.716 7.628 7.165 7.055 7.055



Hides (pound). . - 0.740 + 0.780 + 0.825 - 0.745 - 0.592 - 0.490 - 0.405 - 0.380 + 0.462

(kilogram). . 1.631 1.720 1.819 1.642 0.858 1.080 0,893 0.838 1.019



Rosin (100 pounds) + 40.500 - 40.200 - 40.000 + 42.000 + 48.000 o 48.000 - 46.500 - 45.000 o 45.000

(100 kilograms), . 89.286 88.625 88.184 92.593 105.821 105.821 102,514 99.207 99.207

Rubber (pound). . - 0.665 + 0.679 + 0.743 + 0.833 - 0.750 - 0.711 - 0.682 - 0.680 - 0,678

(kilogram). . 1.466 1.497 1.638 1.836 1.653 1.567 1.504 1.499 1.495

Tallow (pound). . - 0.187 - 0.185 - 0.180 - 0.170 + 0.181 - 0,180 - 0.168 - 0.152 + 0.164

(kilogram). . 0,412 0.408 0.397 0.375 0.399 0,397 0.370 0.335 0,362



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-} - falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available,

a

Average for July 1, 8, 15, and 22.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItCII JULY 1980 79

August 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS

DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.









ffi| SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1979 1980





December January February March April May June July August 1





967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . + 309.6 + 316.2 + 322.5 - 316.9 - 301.9 - 278.5 - 267.5 - 277.6 + 290.8



Percent rising of 13 components . (77) (50) (73) (62) (12) (15) (0) (54) (81)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound). . + 0.872 o 0.872 + 0.971 - 0.732 - 0.674 + 0.688 - 0.679 + 0.760 - 0.743

(kilogram). . 1.922 1.922 2.141 1.614 1.486 1.517 1.497 1.675 1.638



Lead scrap (pound). . - 0.373 - 0.346 o 0.346 + 0.364 - 0.313 - 0.220 - 0.216 + 0.218 + 0.245

(kilogram). . 0.822 0.763 0.763 0.802 0.690 0.485 0.476 0.481 0.540



Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . + 93.000 + 96.750 +100.000 - 98.000 - 91.800 - 71.000 - 63.000 + 68.000 + 78.000

(metric ton). . 102.514 106.648 110.230 108.025 101.191 78.263 69.445 74.956 85.979



Tin (pound). . + 7.890 - 7.805 + 7.910 + 8.368 - 7.918 + 8.063 - 7.810 - 7.742 + 7.757

(kilogram). . 17.394 17.207 17.438 18.448 17.456 17.776 17.218 17.068 17.101



Zinc (pound). . + 0.375 o 0.375 + 0.380 + 0.390 - 0.385 - 0.375 - 0.368 - 0.355 + 0.357

(kilogram). . 0.827 0.827 0.838 0.860 0.849 0.827 0.811 0.783 0.787



Burlap (yard). . + 0.417 - 0.404 - 0.385 + 0.389 - 0.362 - 0.350 - 0.337 - 0.324 + 0.330

(meter). . 0.456 0.442 0.421 0.425 0.396 0.383 0.369 0.354 0.361



Cotton (pound). . + 0.664 + 0.726 + 0.810 - 0.788 - 0.787 - 0.779 - 0.725 + 0.783 + 0.845

(kilogram). . 1.464 1.601 1.786 1.737 1.735 1.717 1.598 1.726 1.863



Print cloth (yard). . + 0.625 o 0.625 + 0.651 + 0.682 + 0.695 - 0.691 - 0.690 - 0.675 - 0.670

(meter). . 0.684 0.684 0.712 0.746 0.760 0.756 0.755 0.738 0.733



Wool tops (pound). . + 3.140 + 3.150 + 3.200 + 3.500 - 3.460 - 3.250 - 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.400

(kilogram). . 6.922 6.944 7.055 7.716 7.628 7.165 7.055 7.055 7.496



Hides (pound). . + 0.780 + 0.825 - 0.745 - 0.592 - 0.490 - 0.405 - 0.380 + 0.476 + 0.520

(kilogram). . 1.720 1.819 1.642 1.305 1.080 0.893 0.838 1.049 1.146



Rosin (100 pounds). . - 40.200 - 40.000 + 42.000 + 48.000 o 48.000 - 46.500 - 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000

(100 kilograms). . 88.625 88.184 92.593 105.821 105.821 102.514 99.207 99.207 99.207

Rubber (pound). . + 0.679 + 0.743 + 0.833 - 0.750 - 0.711 - 0.682 - 0.680 - 0.678 + 0.682

(kilogram). . 1.497 1.638 1.836 1.653 1.567 1.504 1.499 1.495 1.504



Tallow (pound). . - 0.185 - 0.180 - 0.170 + 0.181 - 0.180 - 0.168 - 0.152 + 0.167 + 0.187

(kilogram). . 0.408 0.397 0.375 0.399 0.397 0.370 0.335 0.368 0.412





NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for August 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1980 79

September 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.







JRJ SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1980





i

January February March April May June July August September







967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2







Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . + 316.2 + 322.5 - 316.9 - 301.9 - 278.5 - 267.5 + 277.6 + 292.1 + 297.8



Percent rising of 13 components (50) (73) (62) (12) (15) (0) (54) (77) (58)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound). . o 0.872 + 0.971 - 0.732 - 0.674 + 0.688 - 0.679 + 0.760 - 0.732 - 0.697

(kilogram). . 1.922 2.141 1.614 1.486 1.517 1.497 1.675 1.614 1.537



Lead scrap (pound). . - 0.346 o 0.346 + 0.364 0.313 - 0.220 0.216 + 0.218 + 0.256 + 0.293

(kilogram). . 0.763 0.763 0.802 0.690 0.485 0.476 0.481 0.564 0.646



Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . + 96.750 +100.000 - 98.000 - 91.800 - 71.000 - 63.000 + 68.000 + 78.000 + 88.000

(metric ton). . 106.648 110.230 108.025 101.191 78.263 69.445 74.956 85.979 97.002



Tin (pound). . - 7.805 + 7.910 + 8.368 - 7.918 + 8.063 - 7.810 - 7.742 o 7.742 + 7.930

(kilogram). . 17.207 17.438 18.448 17.456 17.776 17.218 17.068 17.068 17.482



Zinc (pound). . o 0.375 + 0.380 + 0.390 - 0.385 - 0.375 - 0.368 - 0.355 + 0.359 + 0.373

(kilogram). . 0.827 0.838 0.860 0.849 0.827 0.811 0.783 0.791 0.822



Burlap (yard). . - 0.404 - 0.385 + 0.389 - 0.362 - 0.350 - 0.337 - 0.324 + 0.331 - 0.324

(meter). . 0.442 0.421 0.425 0.396 0.383 0.369 0.354 0.362 0.354



Cotton (pound). . + 0.726 + 0.810 - 0.788 - 0.787 - 0.779 - 0.725 + 0.783 + 0.857 + 0.891

(kilogram). . 1.601 1.786 1.737 1.735 1.717 1.598 1.726 1.889 1.964



Print cloth (yard). . o 0.625 + 0.651 + 0.682 + 0.695 - 0.691 - 0.690 - 0.675 - 0.668 - 0.660

(meter). . 0.684 0.712 0.746 0.760 0.756 0.755 0.738 0.731 0.722



Wool tops (pound). . + 3.150 + 3.200 + 3.500 - 3.460 - 3.250 - 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.400 + 3.433

(kilogram). . 6.944 7.055 7.716 7.628 7.165 7.055 7.055 7.496 7.568



Hides (pound). . + 0.825 - 0.745 - 0.592 - 0.490 - 0.405 - 0.380 + 0.476 + 0.522 - 0.483

(kilogram). . 1.819 1.642 1.305 1.080 0.893 0.838 1.049 1.151 1.065



Rosin (100 pounds). . - 40.000 + 42.000 + 48.000 o 48.000 - 46.500 - 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000

(100 kilograms). . 88.184 92.593 105.821 105.821 102.514 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207



Rubber (pound). . + 0.743 + 0.833 - 0.750 0.711 0.682 0.680 - 0.678 + 0.688 + 0.737

(kilogram). . 1.638 1.836 1.653 1.567 1.504 1.499 1.495 1.517 1.625



Tallow (pound). . - 0.180 - 0.170 + 0.181 - 0.180 - 0.168 - 0.152 + 0.167 + 0.187 - 0.183

(kilogram). . 0.397 0.375 0.399 0.397 0.370 0.335 0.368 0.412 0.403





NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) - unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for September 2, 9, and 16.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItCII SEPTEMBER 1980 79

October 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS

DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.









^H SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1980





February March April May June July August September October 1





967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . + 322.5 - 316.9 - 301.9 - 278.5 - 267.5 + 277.6 + 292.1 + 298.3 + 299,3



Percent rising of 13 components (73) (62) (12) (15) (0) (54) (77) (58) (65)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.971 - 0.732 - 0.674 + 0.688 - 0.679 + 0.760 - 0.732 - 0.716 + 0.727

(kilogram). . 2.141 1.614 1.486 1.517 1.497 1.675 1.614 1.578 1,603



Lead scrap (pound). . o 0.346 + 0.364 - 0.313 - 0.220 - 0.216 + 0.218 + 0.256 + 0.294 + 0.300

(kilogram). . 0.763 0.802 0.690 0.485 0.476 0.481 0.564 0.648 0.661



Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . + 100.000 - 98.000 - 91.800 - 71.000 - 63.000 + 68.000 + 78.000 + 89.000 + 93.000

(metric ton). . 110.230 108.025 101.191 78.263 69.445 74.956 85.979 98.105 102.514



Tin (pound). . + 7.910 + 8.368 - 7.918 + 8.063 - 7.810 - 7.742 o 7.742 + 7.974 - 7.733

(kilogram), . 17.438 18.448 17.456 17.776 17.218 17.068 17.068 17.579 17.048



Zinc (pound). + 0.380 + 0.390 - 0.385 - 0.375 - 0.368 - 0.355 + 0.359 + 0.374 + 0.382

(kilogram). . 0.838 0.860 0.849 0.827 0.811 0.783 0.791 0.825 0.842



Burlap (yard). . - 0.385 + 0.389 - 0.362 - 0.350 - 0.337 - 0.324 + 0.331 - 0.325 - 0.313

(meter). . 0.421 0.425 0.396 0.383 0.369 0.354 0.362 0.355 0.342



Cotton (pound). . + 0.810 - 0.788 - 0.787 - 0.779 - 0.725 + 0.783 + 0,857 + 0.875 - 0.854

(kilogram). . 1.786 1.737 1.735 1.717 1.598 1.726 1,889 1.929 1.883

Print cloth (yard). . + 0.651 + 0.682 + 0.695 - 0.691 - 0.690 - 0.675 - 0.668 - 0,656 + 0.660

(meter). . 0.712 0.746 0.760 0.756 0.755 0.738 0.731 0.717 0,722



Wool tops (pound) + 3.200 + 3.500 - 3.460 - 3.250 -. 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.400 + 3.460 + 3.500

(kilogram). . 7.055 7.716 7.628 7.165 7.055 7.055 7.496 7.628 7.716

Hides (pound). . - 0.745 - 0.592 - 0.490 - 0.405 - 0.380 + 0.476 + 0.522 - 0.474 + 0.483

(kilogram). . 1.642 1.305 1.080 0.893 0.838 1.049 1.151 1.045 1.065

Rosin (100 pounds). . + 42.000 + 48.000 0 48.000 - 46.500 - 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000

(100 kilograms). . 92.593 105.821 105.821 102.514 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207

Rubber (pound) + 0.833 - 0.750 - 0.711 - 0.682 - 0.680 - 0.678 + 0.688 + 0.756 + 0.800

(kilogram). . 1.836 1.653 1.567 1.504 1.499 1.495 1.517 1.667 1.764

Tallow (pound). . - 0.170 + 0.181 - 0.180 - 0.168 - 0.152 + 0.167 + 0.187 - 0.179 - 0.169

(kilogram). . 0.375 0.399 0.397 0.370 0.335 0.368 0.412 0.395 0.373



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) - falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for October 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItCII OCTOBER 1980 79

December 1980









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con.







^M SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con.





Diffusion index components 1980





April May June July August September October November December 1





967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2





Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . - 301.9 - 278.5 - 267.5 + 277.6 + 292.1 + 298.3 + 300.8 + 304.7 - 297.1



Percent rising of 13 components (12) (15) (0) (54) (77) (58) (65) (54) (46)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound). . - 0.674 + 0.688 - 0.679 + 0.760 - 0.732 - 0.716 + 0.732 - 0.719 0.653

(kilogram). . 1.486 1.517 1.497 1.675 1.614 1.578 1.614 1.585 1.440



Lead scrap (pound). . - 0.313 - 0.220 - 0.216 + 0.218 + 0.256 + 0.294 + 0.302 0.294 - 0.263

(kilogram). . 0.690 0.485 0.476 0.481 0.564 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.580



Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . - 91.800 - 71.000 - 63.000 + 68.000 + 78.000 + 89.000 + 93.000 + 98.000 + 105.000

(metric ton). . 101.191 78.263 69.445 74.956 85.979 98.105 102.514 108.025 115.741



Tin (pound). . - 7.918 + 8.063 - 7.810 - 7.742 o 7.742 + 7.974 - 7.728 - 7.405 - 6.777

(kilogram). . 17.456 17.776 17.218 17.068 17.068 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.941



Zinc (pound). . - 0.385 - 0.375 - 0.368 - 0.355 + 0.359 + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416

(kilogram). . 0.849 0.827 0.811 0.783 0.791 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917



Burlap (yard). . - 0.362 - 0.350 - 0.337 - 0.324 + 0.331 - 0.325 - 0.314 - 0.286 - 0.274

(meter). . 0.396 0.383 0.369 0.354 0.362 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.300



Cotton (pound). . - 0.787 - 0.779 - 0.725 + 0.783 + 0.857 + 0.875 - 0.861 + 0.869 + 0.873

(kilogram). . 1.735 1.717 1.598 1.726 1.889 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.925



Print cloth (yard). . + 0.695 - 0.691 - 0.690 - 0.675 - 0.668 - 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.710

(meter). . 0.760 0.756 0.755 0.738 0.731 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.776



Wool tops (pound). . - 3.460 - 3.250 - 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.400 + 3.460 + 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram). . 7.628 7.165 7.055 7.055 7.496 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716



Hides (pound). . - 0.490 - 0.405 - 0.380 + 0.476 + 0.522 - 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.650

(kilogram). . 1.080 0.893 0.838 1.049 1.151 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.433



Rosin (100 pounds). . o 48.000 - 46.500 - 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000

(100 kilograms). . 105.821 102.514 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207



Rubber (pound). . 0.711 0.682 0.680 - 0.678 + 0.688 + 0.756 + 0.802 0.796 - 0.728

(kilogram). . 1.567 1.504 1.499 1.495 1.517 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.605



Tallow (pound). . 0.180 0.168 - 0.152 + 0.167 + 0.187 - 0.179 - 0.169 + 0.180 - 0.178

(kilogram). . 0.397 0.370 0.335 0.368 0.412 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.392



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised;

"p", preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for December 2, 9, and 16.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItCIt DECEMBER 1980 79

January 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Ql SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1980 1981







May June July August September October November December January 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 278.5 - 267.5 + 277.6 + 292.1 + 298.3 + 300.8 t 304.7 - 298.4 - 293.5



Percent rising of 13 components (15) (0) (54) (77) (58) (65) (54) (46) (31)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . + 0.688 0.679 + 0.760 - 0.732 - 0.716 + 0.732 - 0.719 - 0.654 + 0.670

(kilogram) . . 1.517 1.497 1,675 1.614 1.578 1.614 1.585 1.442 1.477



Lead scrap (pound) . . - 0.220 - 0.216 + 0.218 + 0.256 + 0.294 + 0.302 - 0,294 - 0.260 - 0.247

(kilogram) . . 0.485 0.476 0.481 0.564 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.545



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , - 71.000 - 63.000 + 68.000 + 78.000 + 89.000 + 93.000 + 98.000 + 103.800 - 96.000

(metric ton) . . 78.263 69.445 74.956 85.979 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821



Tin (pound) . . + 8.063 - 7.810 - 7.742 o 7.742 + 7.974 - 7.728 - 7.405 - 6.766 - 6.733

(kilogram). . 17.776 17.218 17.068 17.068 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.844



Zinc (pound) . . - 0.375 - 0.368 - 0.355 + ' 0.359 + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 o 0.416

(kilogram) . . 0.827 0.811 0.783 0.791 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917



Burlap (yard) . . - 0.350 0.337 - 0.324 + 0.331 - 0.325 - 0.314 0.286 - 0.273 + 0.279

(meter).. 0.383 0.369 0.354 0.362 0,355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.305



Cotton (pound). . 0.779 - 0.725 + 0.783 + 0.857 + 0.875 - 0.861 + 0.869 + 0.875 - 0.862

(kilogram) . . 1.717 1.598 1.726 1.889 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.900



Print cloth (yard) . . 0.691 - 0.690 - 0.675 - 0.668 - 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 - 0.687

(meter) . . 0.756 0.755 0.738 0.731 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.751



Wool tops (pound) . . - 3.250 3.200 o 3.200 + 3.400 + 3.460 + 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500

(kilogram).. 7.165 7.055 7.055 7.496 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716



Hides (pound) . . - 0.405 0.380 + 0.476 + 0.522 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 0.580

(kilogram). . 0.893 0.838 1.049 1.151 1.045 . 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.279



Rosin (100 pounds). . - 46.500 - 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000

(100 kilograms). . 102.514 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207



Rubber (pound) . . - 0.682 0.680 0.678 + 0.688 + 0.756 + 0.802 - 0.796 - 0.722 0.709

(kilogram) . . 1,504 1.499 1.495 1.517 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.563

Tallow (pound) . . 0.168 0.152 + 0.167 + 0.187 - 0.179 - 0.169 + 0.180 0.177 o 0.177

(kilogram) . . 0.370 0.335 0.368 0.412 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( f ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( — ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for January 6, 13, and 20.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ltd) JANUARY 1981 79

February 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1980 1981





June July August September October November December January February 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOTMARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS







a

R w industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 267.5 4 277.6 + 292.1 + 298.3 + 300.8 + 304.7 - 298.4 - 291.6 - 283.2



Percent rising of 13 components (O) (54) (77) (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (27)





Dollars





Copper scrap. (pound).. - 0.679 4 0.760 - 0.732 - 0.716 + 0.732 - 0.719 - 0,654 0.662 - 0.653

(kilogram).. 1.497 1.675 1.614 1.578 1.614 1.585 1.442 1.459 1.440

Lead scrap . . . (pound).. - 0.216 4 0.218 + 0.256 + 0.294 + 0.302 0.294 - 0.260 - 0.239 - 0.204

(kilogram).. 0.476 0.481 0.564 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.450

Steel scrap .. (U.S. ton)., - 63.000 68.000 + 78.000 89.000 + 93.000

+ + 98.000 + 103.800 - 96.000 o 96.000

(metric ton).. 69.445 74.956 85.979 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 105.821

Tin (pound)., - 7.810 7.742 7.742 7.974

- 0 + - 7,728 - 7.405 - 6.766 - 6.668 6.400

(kilogram).. 17.218 17.068 17.068 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.109

Zinc (pound).. - 0.368 0.355 0.359 0.374 + 0.383

- +

+ + 0.396 + 0.416 o 0.416 o 0.416

(kilogram).. 0.811 0.783 0.791 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917

Burlap (yaro1).. 0.337 0.324 0.331

- + - 0.325 0.314 - 0.286 - 0.273 + 0.280 0.264

(meter).. 0.369 0.354 0.362 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0.289

Cotton (pound).. - 0.725 + 0.783 0.857 + 0.875

+ - 0.861 + 0.869 + 0.875 - 0.850 - 0.819

(kilogram).. 1.598 1.726 1.889 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.874 1.806

Print cloth . . . (yard).. - 0.675

- 0.690 - 0.668 - 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 - 0.688 + 0.720

(meter).. 0.755 0.738 0.731 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.787

Wool tops . . . (pound).. 3.200 3.200

0 + 3.400 + 3.460 + 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 0 3.500 + 3.567

(kilogram).. 7.055 7.055 7.496 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.864

Hides (pound).. 0.380 + 0.476 + 0.522 - 0.474 4- 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 - 0.572 - 0.522

(kilogram).. 0.838 1.049 1.151 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.151

Rosin (100 pounds).. - 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000

(100 kilograms).. 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207

Rubber (pound).. - 0.680 - 0.678 + 0.688 + 0.756 + 0.802 - 0.796 0.722 - 0.704 - 0.689

(kilogram).. 1.499 1.495 1.517 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.552 1.519

Tallow (pound).. 0.152 + 0.167 + 0.187 - 0.179 - 0.169 + 0.180 0.177 0 0.177 - 0.175

(kilogram).. 0.335 0.368 0.412 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: " p "

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for February 3, 10, and 17.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









FEBRUARY 1981 79

March 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1980 1981





July August September October November December January February March 1



:

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS







Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) 277.6 292.1 298.3 300.8 304,7 298.4 291.6 284.2 288.4

Percent rising of 13 components ... (54) (77) (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (31) (54)



Dollars





Copper scrap . . . (pound).. 0.760 0.732 0.716 0.732 - 0.719 - 0.654 0.662 0.652 0.660

(kilogram).. 1.675 1.614 1.578 1.614 1.585 1.442 1.459 1.437 1.455

Lead scrap (pound).. 0.218 0.256 0.294 0.302 0.294 - 0.260 0.239 0.206 0.229

(kilogram).. 0.481 0.564 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.454 0.505

Steel scrap (U.S. ton).. 68.000 78.000 89.000 93.000 + 98.000 + 103.800 96.000 + 98.000 106.000

(metric ton).. 74.956 85.979 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 108.025 116.844

Tin (pound).. 7.742 7.742 7.974 7.728 - 7.405 6.766 6.668 - 6.372 6.213

(kilogram).. 17.068 17.068 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.048 13.697

Zinc (pound).. 0.355 0.359 0.374 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 0.416 o 0.416 0.416

(kilogram).. 0.783 0.791 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917 0.917

Burlap (yard).. 0.324 0.331 0.325 0.314 0.286 - 0.273 0.280 - 0.266 0.282

(meter).. 0.354 0.362 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0.291 0.308

Cotton (pound).. 0.783 0.857 0.875 0.861 + 0.869 + 0.875 0.850 - 0.825 0.818

(kilogram)..

1.726 1.889 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.874 1.819 1.803

Print cloth (yard)..

(meter)..

0.675 0.668 0.656 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 0.688 + 0.722 0.747

0.738 0.731 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.790 0.817

Wool tops (pound)..

(kilogram)..

3.200 3.400 3.460 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.575 3.600

7.055 7.496 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.881 7.937

Hides (pound)..

0.476 0.522 0.474 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 0.572 - 0.519 0.510

(kilogram)..

1.049 1.151 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.144 1.124

Rosin . . . (100 pounds)..

(100 kilograms)..

45.000 o 45.000 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000

99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207

Rubber (pound)..

0.678 0.688 0.756 0.802 - 0.796 - 0.722 0.704 0.684 0.659

(kilogram)..

1.495 1.517 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.552 1.508 1.453

Tallow (pound)..

0.167 0.187 0.179 0.169 + 0.180 - 0.177 o 0.177 0.175 0.172

(kilogram)..

0.368 0.412 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386 0.379

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( f) - rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; " p "

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for March 3, 10, and 17.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









ItO MARCH 1981 79

April 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1980 1981





August September October November December January February March April1





96 1. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





R w industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . .

a + 292.1 + 298.3 + 300.8 + • 304.7 298.4 291.6 284.2 + 289.8 + 293.6



Percent rising of 13 components (77) (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (31) (65) (85)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., 0.732 0.716 + 0.732 - 0.719 0.654 + 0.662 0.652 0.676 0.683

(kilogram).. 1.614 1.578 1.614 1.585 1.442 1.459 1.437 1.490 1.506



Lead scrap.. (pound)., + 0.256 + 0.294 + 0.302 - 0.294 0.260 0.239 0.206 + 0.233 + 0.248

(kilogram).. 0.564 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.454 0.514 0.547



Steel scrap . (U.S. ton)., + 78.000 + 89.000 + 93.000 + 98.000 + 103.800 96.000 + 98.000 + 106.600 + 109.000

(metric ton).. 85.979 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 108.025 117.505 120.151



Tin (pound)., o 7.742 + 7.974 7,728 - 7,405 6.766 6.668 6.372 - 6.280 + 6.297

(kilogram).. 17.068 17,579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.048 13.845 13.882



Zinc (pound)., + 0.359 + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 o 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.420 + 0.436

(kilogram).. 0.791 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917 0.926 0.961



Burlap (yard).. + 0.331 0.325 0.314 - 0.286 0.273 + 0.280 0.266 + 0.275 + 0.282

(meter).. 0.362 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0.291 0.301 0.308



Cotton (pound)., + 0.857 + 0.875 0.861 0,869 + 0.875 0,850 0.825 - 0.816 + 0.817

+

(kilogram).. 1.889 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.874 1.819 1.799 1.801



Print cloth .. (yard)., 0.668 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 0.688 + 0.722 + 0.752 + 0.777

(meter).. 0.731 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.790 0.822 0.850



Wool tops .. (pound)., + 3.400 + 3.460 + 3.500 0 3.500 o 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.575 + 3.600 0 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.496 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.881 7.937 7.937



Hides (pound).. + 0.522 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 0.572 0.519 + 0.528 + 0.548

(kilogram).. 1.151 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.144 1.164 1.208



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000

(100 kilograms).. 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207



Rubber (pound).. + 0.688 + 0.756 + 0.802 - 0.796 0,722 0.704 0.684 - 0,652 - 0.597

(kilogram).. 1.517 1.667 1,768 1.755 1.592 1,552 1.508 1.437 1.316



Tallow (pound).. + 0.187 0.179 0.169 + 0.180 0.177 o 0.177 0.175 - 0,171 + 0.175

(kilogram).. 0.412 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386 0.377 0.386



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Ayerage for April 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









APRIL 1981 79

May 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components

1980 1981





September October November December January February March April May1





96 I INDEX O S O MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS 2

F PT





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... + 298.3 + 300.8 + 304.7 - 298.4 291.6 284,2 + 289.8 + 293.0 - 290.1



Percent rising of 13 components (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (31) (65) (69) (38)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. 0.716 + 0.732 - 0.719 - 0.654 + 0.662 0.652 0.676 + 0.682 - 0.668

(kilogram).. 1,578 1.614 1.585 1,442 1.459 1.437 1.490 1.504 1.473



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.294 + 0.302 - 0.294 - 0.260 0,239 0.206 + 0.233 + 0.249 + 0.250

(kilogram).. 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.454 0.514 0.549 0.551



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., + 89.000 + 93.000 + 98.000 + 103.800 - 96.000 + 98.000 + 106.600 + 109.000 - 99.000

(metricton).. 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 108.025 117.505 120.151 109.128



Tin (pound).. + 7.974 7.728 - 7.405 - 6.766 6.668 6.372 - 6.280 6.248 - 5.937

(kilogram).. 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.048 13.845 13.774 13.089



Zinc (pound).. + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 o 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.420 + 0.436 + 0.462

(kilogram).. 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917 0.926 0.961 1.019



Burlap (yard)., 0.325 0.314 - 0.286 - 0.273 + 0.280 0.266 + 0.275 + 0.280 - 0.273

(meter).. 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0,291 0.301 0.306 0.299



Cotton (pound).. + 0.875 0.861 + 0.869 + 0.875 0.850 0.825 - 0.816 0.814 - 0.777

(kilogram).. 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.874 1,819 1.799 1.795 1.713



Print cloth (yard).. 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 0.688 + 0.722 + 0.752 + 0.784 + 0.838

(meter).. 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.790 0.822 0.857 0.916



Wool tops (pound) + 3.460 + 3.500 0 3.500 0 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.575 + 3.600 o 3.600 0 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.881 7.937 7.937 7.937



Hides (pound) 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 0.572 0.519 + 0.528 + 0.549 - 0.530

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.144 1.164 1.210 1.168



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000

(100 kilograms).. 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207

Rubber (pound).. + 0.756 + 0.802 - 0.796 - 0.722 0.704 0.684 - 0.652 0.603 - 0.589

(kilogram).. 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.552 1.508 1.437 1.329 1.299



Tallow (pound).. 0.179 0.169 + 0.180 - 0.177 o 0.177 0.175 - 0.171 + 0.176 + 0.178

(kilogram).. 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386 0.377 0.388 0.392



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for May 5, 12, and 19.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









MAY 1981 79

June 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









0 1 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1980 1981





September October November December January February March Apri 1 May





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES , R W INDUSTRIALS1

A





R w industrials price index (1967 = 100)

a + 298.3 + 300.8 + 304.7 - 298.4 291.6 284,2 289.8 + 293.0 - 288.9

Percent rising of 13 components (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (31) (65) (69) (27)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. 0.716 0.732 - .0.719 - 0.654 + 0.662 0.652 0.676 * 0.682 - 0.664

(kilogram).. 1,578 1.614 1.585 1,442 1.459 1.437 1.490 1.504 1.464

Lead s c r a p . . (pound).. + 0.294 + 0.302 - 0.294 - 0.260 0.239 0.206 + 0.233 + 0.249 o 0.249

(kilogram).. 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.454 0.514 0.549 0.549

Steel scrap . (U.S. ton)., + 89.000 + 93.000 + 98.000 + 103.800 - 96.000 + 98.000 + 106.600 + 109.000 - 99.000

(metricton).. 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 108.025 117.505 120.151 109.128

Tin (pound)., + 7.974 - 7.728 - 7.405 - 6.766 6.668 6.372 - 6.280 - 6.248 - 5.945

(kilogram).. 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.048 13.845 13.774 13.106

Zinc (pound).. + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 o 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.420 + 0.436 + 0.463

(kilogram).. 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917 0.926 0.961 1.021

Burlap (yard).. 0.325 - 0.314 - 0.286 - 0.273 + 0.280 0.266 + 0.275 + 0.280 - 0.267

(meter).. 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0.291 0.301 0.306 0.292

Cotton (pound).. + 0.875 - 0.861 + 0.869 + 0.875 0.850 0.825 - 0.816 - 0.814 - 0.782

(kilogram).. 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.874 1,819 1.799 1.795 1.724

Print cloth... (yard).. 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 0.688 + 0.722 0.752 + 0.784 + 0.841

(meter).. 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.790 0.822 0.857 0.920

Wool tops .. (pound).. + 3.460 + 3.500 0 3.500 0 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.575 + 3.600 o 3.600 0 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.881 7.937 7.937 7.937

Hides (pound).. 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 0.572 0.519 + 0.528 + 0.549 - 0.522

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.144 1.164 1.210 1.151

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000

(100 kilograms).. 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207

Rubber (pound).. + 0.756 + 0.802 - 0.796 - 0.722 0.704 0.684 - 0.652 - 0.603 - 0.590

(kilogram).. 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.552 1.508 1.437 1.329 1.301

Tallow (pound).. 0.179 - 0.169 + 0.180 - 0.177 o 0.177 0.175 - 0.171 + 0.176 - 0.175

(kilogram).. 0.395 0,373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386 0.377 0.388 0.386



interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling.

NOTE: To facilitate The "r" indicates revised; "p",

not available,

preliminary; and " N A " ,

x

Data are not seasonally a d j u s t e d . Components are converted t o m e t r i c u n i t s by the Bureau o f Economic A n a l y s i s .









JUNE 1981 79

July 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1980 1981





September October November December January February March April May





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES , R W INDUSTRIALS1

A





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... + 298.3 + 300.8 + 304.7 - 298.4 - 291.6 284,2 + 289.8 + 293.0 - 288.9



Percent rising of 13 components (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (31) (65) (69) (27)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., 0.716 0.732 - 0.719 - 0.654 + 0.662 0.652 0.676 0.682 - 0.664

(kilogram).. 1,578 1.614 1.585 1.442 1.459 1.437 1.490 1.504 1.464



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.294 + 0.302 - 0.294 - 0.260 - 0.239 0.206 0.233 + 0.249 0 0.249

(kilogram).. 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.454 0.514 0.549 0.549



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., + 89.000 + 93.000 + 98.000 + 103.800 - 96.000 + 98.000 + 106.600 + 109.000 - 99.000

(metric ton).. 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 108.025 117.505 120.151 109.128



Tin (pound)., + 7.974 - 7.728 - 7.405 - 6.766 - 6.668 6.372 - 6.280 - 6.248 - 5.945

(kilogram).. 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.048 13.845 13.774 13.106



Zinc (pound).. + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 0 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.420 + 0.436 + 0.463

(kilogram).. 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917 0.926 0.961 1.021



Burlap (yard).. 0.325 - 0.314 - 0.286 - 0.273 + 0.280 0.266 + 0.275 + 0.280 - 0.267

(meter).. 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0.291 0.301 0.306 0.292



Cotton (pound)., + 0.875 - 0.861 + 0.869 + 0.875 - 0.850 0.825 - 0.816 - 0.814 - 0.782

(kilogram).. 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.874 1,819 1.799 1.795 1.724



Print cloth (yard).. 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 - 0.688 + 0.722 + 0.752 + 0.784 + 0.841

(meter).. 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.790 0.822 0.857 0.920



Wool tops (pound).. + 3.460 + 3.500 0 3.500 0 3.500 0 3.500 + 3.575 + 3.600 0 3.600 0 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.881 7.937 7.937 7.937



Hides (pound).. 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 - 0.572 0.519 + 0.528 + 0.549 - 0.522

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.144 1.164 1.210 1.151



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000

(100 kilograms).. 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207



Rubber (pound).. + 0.756 + 0.802 - 0.796 - 0.722 - 0.704 0.684 - 0.652 - 0.603 - 0.590

(kilogram).. 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.552 1.508 1.437 1.329 1.301



Tallow (pound).. 0.179 - 0.169 + 0.180 - 0.177 0 0.177 0.175 - 0.171 + 0.176 - 0.175

(kilogram).. 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386 0.377 0.388 0.386



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to m e t r i c u n i t s by t h e Bureau of Economic A n a l y s i s .









JULY 1981 79

August 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q j SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion i ndex components

1980 1981





September October November December January February March April May





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES R W INDUSTRIALS1

A







Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 298.3 + 300.8 + 304.7 - 298.4 291.6 284.2 + 289.8 + 293.0 - 288.9



Percent rising of 13 components (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (31) (65) (69) (27)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. 0.716 0.732 - 0.719 - 0.654 + 0.662 0.652 0.676 + 0.682 - 0.664

(kilogram).. 1,578 1.614 1.585 1.442 1.459 1.437 1.490 1.504 1.464



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.294 + 0.302 - 0.294 - 0.260 0.239 0.206 + 0.233 + 0.249 0 0.249

(kilogram).. 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.454 0.514 0.549 0.549



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , + 89.000 + 93.000 + 98.000 + 103.800 - 96.000 + 98,000 + 106.600 + 109.000 - 99.000

(metric t o n ) . . 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 108.025 117.505 120.151 109.128



Tin (pound).. + 7.974 - 7.728 - 7.405 - 6.766 6.668 6.372 - 6.280 6.248 - 5.945

(kilogram).. 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.048 13.845 13.774 13.106



Zinc (pound).. + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 o 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.420 + 0.436 + 0.463

(kilogram).. 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917 0.926 0.961 1.021



Burlap (yard)., 0.325 - 0.314 - 0.286 - 0.273 + 0.280 0.266 0.275 + 0.280 - 0.267

(meter).. 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0.291 0.301 0.306 0.292



Cotton (pound).. + 0.875 - 0.861 0.869 0.875 0.850 0.825 - 0.816 0.814 - 0.782

(kilogram).. 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1 .874 1.819 1.799 1.795 1.724



Print cloth (yard)., 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 0.688 + 0.722 0.752 + 0.784 + 0.841

(meter).. 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.790 0.822 0.857 0.920



Wool tops (pound).. + 3.460 3.500 0 3.500 0 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.575 + 3.600 o 3.600 0 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.881 7.937 7.937 7.937



Hides (pound).. 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 0.572 0.519 + 0.528 + 0.549 - 0.522

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.144 1.164 1.210 1.151



Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000

(100 k i l o g r a m s ) . . 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207



Rubber (pound).. + 0.756 0.802 0.796 0.722 0.704 0.684 0.652 0.603 0.590

(kilogram).. 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.552 1.508 1.437 1.329 1.301



Tallow (pound).. 0.179 - 0.169 + 0.180 - 0.177 o 0.177 0.175 - 0.171 + 0.176 - 0.175

(kilogram).. 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386 0.377 0.388 0.386



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( t) rising, (o) -: unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The indicates revised; " p "

preliminary; and "(MA", not available.

*Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to m e t r i c u n i t s b y t h e B u r e a u o f Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1981 79

September 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









H 9 SELECTED DIFFUSIONINDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1980 1981





September October 1

November December January February March April May





967. INDEX OF SPOTMARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS1





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) + 298.3 + 300.8 + 304.7 - 298.4 291.6 284,2 289.8 + 293.0 - 288.9



Percent rising of 13 components (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (31) (65) (69) (27)





Dollars





Copper scrap. (pound).. 0.716 0.732 - 0.719 - 0.654 + 0.662 0.652 0.676 + 0.682 - 0.664

(kilogram).. 1,578 1.614 1.585 1.442 1.459 1.437 1.490 1.504 1.464



Lead scrap . . . (pound).. + 0.294 + 0.302 - 0.294 - 0.260 0.239 0.206 + 0.233 + 0.249 o 0.249

(kilogram).. 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.454 0.514 0.549 0.549



Steel scrap .. (U.S. ton)., + 89.000 + 93.000 98.000 + 103.800 - 96.000 + 98.000 + 106.600 + 109.000 - 99.000

(metricton).. 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 108.025 117.505 120.151 109.128



Tin (pound).. + 7.974 - 7.728 - 7.405 - 6.766 6.668 6.372 - 6.280 6.248 - 5.945

(kilogram).. 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.048 13.845 13.774 13.106



Zinc (pound)., + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 o 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.420 + 0.436 + 0.463

(kilogram).. 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917 0.926 0.961 1.021



Burlap (yard).. 0.325 - 0.314 - 0.286 - 0.273 + 0.280 0.266 + 0.275 + 0.280 - 0.267

(meter).. 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0.291 0.301 0.306 0.292



Cotton (pound).. + 0.875 - 0.861 + 0.869 + 0.875 0.850 0.825 - 0.816 0.814 - 0.782

(kilogram).. 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.874 1,819 1.799 1.795 1.724



Print cloth . . . (yard).. 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 0.688 + 0.722 + 0.752 + 0.784 + 0.841

(meter).. 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.790 0.822 0.857 0.920



Wool tops . . . (pound).. + 3.460 + 3.500 0 3.500 0 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.575 + 3.600 o 3.600 0 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.881 7.937 7.937 7.937



Hides (pound).. 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 0.572 0.519 + 0,528 + 0,549 - 0.522

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.144 1.164 1.210 1.151



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000

(100 kilograms).. 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207

Rubber (pound).. + 0.756 0.802 0.796 0.722 0.704 0.684 0.652 0.603 0.590

(kilogram).. 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.552 1.508 1.437 1.329 1.301



Tallow (pound).. 0.179 - 0.169 + 0.180 - 0.177 o 0.177 0.175 - 0.171 + 0.176 - 0.175

(kilogram).. 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386 0.377 0.388 0.386



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

x

Data a r e n o t s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d . Components a r e c o n v e r t e d t o m e t r i c u n i t s by the Bureau o f Economic A n a l y s i s .









SEPTEMBER 1981 79

October 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q H SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion i ndex components 1980 1981





September October November December January February March April May





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS1





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . + 298.3 + 300.8 + 304.7 - 298.4 291.6 284,2 + 289.8 + 293.0 - 288.9



Percent rising of 13 components (58) (65) (54) (46) (31) (31) (65) (69) (27)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. 0.716 0.732 - 0.719 - 0.654 + 0.662 0.652 0.676 + 0.682 - 0.664

(kilogram).. 1,578 1.614 1.585 1.442 1.459 1.437 1.490 1.504 1.464



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.294 + 0.302 - 0.294 - 0.260 0.239 0.206 + 0.233 + 0.249 0 0.249

(kilogram).. 0.648 0.666 0.648 0.573 0.527 0.454 0.514 0.549 0.549



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , + 89.000 + 93.000 + 98.000 + 103,800 - 96.000 + 98,000 + 106.600 + 109.000 - 99.000

(metric t o n ) . . 98.105 102.514 108.025 114.419 105.821 108.025 117.505 120.151 109.128



Tin (pound).. + 7.974 - 7.728 - 7.405 - 6.766 6.668 6.372 - 6,280 6.248 - 5.945

(kilogram).. 17.579 17.037 16.325 14.916 14.700 14.048 13.845 13.774 13.106



Zinc (pound).. + 0.374 + 0.383 + 0.396 + 0.416 o 0.416 o 0.416 + 0.420 + 0.436 + 0.463

(kilogram).. 0.825 0.844 0.873 0.917 0.917 0.917 0.926 0.961 1.021



Burlap (yard)., 0.325 - 0.314 - 0.286 - 0.273 + 0.280 0.266 + 0.275 + 0.280 - 0.267

(meter).. 0.355 0.343 0.313 0.299 0.306 0,291 0.301 0.306 0.292



Cotton (pound).. + 0.875 - 0.861 + 0.869 0.875 0.850 0.825 - 0.816 0.814 - 0.782

(kilogram).. 1.929 1.898 1.916 1.929 1.874 1,819 1.799 1.795 1.724



Print cloth (yard).. 0.656 + 0.665 + 0.684 + 0.702 0.688 + 0.722 0.752 + 0.784 + 0.841

(meter).. 0.717 0.727 0.748 0.768 0.752 0.790 0.822 0.857 0.920



Wool tops (pound).. + 3.460 + 3.500 0 3.500 0 3.500 o 3.500 + 3.575 + 3.600 o 3.600 0 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.628 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.716 7.881 7.937 7.937 7.937



Hides (pound).. 0.474 + 0.498 + 0.592 + 0.624 0.572 0.519 + 0.528 + 0.549 - 0.522

(kilogram).. 1.045 1.098 1.305 1.376 1.261 1.144 1.164 1.210 1.151



Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . o 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000 o 45.000 0 45.000

(100 k i l o g r a m s ) . . 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207 99.207



Rubber (pound).. + 0.756 0.802 0.796 0.722 0.704 0.684 0.652 0.603 0.590

(kilogram).. 1.667 1.768 1.755 1.592 1.552 1.508 1.437 1.329 1.301



Tallow (pound).. 0.179 - 0.169 + 0.180 - 0.177 o 0.177 0.175 - 0.171 + 0.176 - 0.175

(kilogram).. 0.395 0.373 0.397 0.390 0.390 0.386 0.377 0.388 0.386



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( t ) - rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary: and " N A " , not available.

*Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by t h e Bureau o f Economic A n a l y s i s .









ItUI OCTOBER 1981 79

November 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









j Q SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1981





March April May June July August September October November1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) .... + 289.8 + 293.0 - 288.9 - 282.9 + 286.6 + 289.5 - 283.0 - 277.2 - 271.4



Percent rising of 13 components (65) (69) (27) (38) (62) (62) (42) (38) (27)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.676 + 0.682 - 0.664 - 0.646 0.635 + 0.650 - 0.620 - 0.609 - 0.598

(kilogram).. 1.490 1.504 1.464 1.424 1.400 1.433 1.367 1.343 1.318



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.233 + 0.249 o 0.249 + 0.250 + 0.269 + 0.292 - 0.271 - 0.247 - 0.225

(kilogram).. 0.514 0.549 0.549 0.551 0.593 0.644 0.597 0.545 0.496



Steel scrap (U.S. ton)., + 106.600 + 109.000 - 99.000 - 93.800 + 95.750 + 102.000 - 98.000 - 88.500 - 80.000

(metric ton).. 117.505 120.151 109.128 103.396 105.545 112.435 108.025 97.554 88.184



Tin (pound).. - 6.280 - 6.248 - 5.945 - 5.796 + 6.030 + 6.528 + 6.746 + 6.820 + 7.000

(kilogram).. 13.845 13.774 13.106 12.778 13.294 14.392 14.872 15.035 15.432



Zinc (pound).. + 0.420 + 0.436 + 0.463 o 0.463 + 0.466 + 0.495 + 0.499 - 0.479 o 0.479

(kilogram).. 0.926 0.961 1.021 1.021 1.027 1.091 1.100 1.056 1.056



Burlap (yard).. + 0.275 + 0.280 - 0.267 0.251 - 0.246 - 0.243 + 0.246 - 0.242 - 0.240

(meter).. 0.301 0.306 0.292 0.274 0.269 0.266 0.269 0.265 0.262



Cotton (pound).. - 0.816 - 0.814 - 0.782 + 0.790 - 0.751 - 0.669 - 0.609 - 0.608 - 0.583

(kilogram).. 1.799 1.795 1.724 1.742 1.656 1.475 1.343 1.340 1.285



Print cloth (yard)., + 0.752 + 0.784 + 0.841 - 0.820 + 0.822 + 0.845 o 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.780

(meter).. 0.822 0.857 0.920 0.897 0.899 0.924 0.924 0.897 0.853



Wool tops (pound).. + 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600 + 3.630 - 3.600 o 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.937 8.003 7.937 7.937



Hides (pound).. + 0.528 + 0.549 - 0.522 - 0.458 + 0.472 + 0.474 + 0.486 + 0.525 + 0.560

(kilogram).. 1.164 1.210 1.151 1.010 1.041 1.045 1.071 1.157 1.235



Rosin (100 pounds).. o 45.000 o 45.000 o 45.000 + 46.500 o 46.500 o 46.500 - 46.100 + 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 99.207 99.207 99.207 102.514 102.514 102.514 101.632 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound).. - 0.652 0.603 0.590 0.584 0.554 0.538 0.450 + 0.464 0.455

(kilogram).. 1.437 1.329 1.301 1.287 1.221 1.186 0.992 1.023 1.003



Tallow (pound).. - 0.171 + 0.176 - 0.175 + 0.178 + 0.192 - 0.190 - 0.187 + 0.190 - 0.179

(kilogram).. 0.377 0.388 0.386 0.392 0.423 0.419 0.412 0.419 0.395



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) =-- rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for November 3, 10, and 17.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Beginning with June 1981,

these series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without written permission from the Commodity Re-

search Bureau, Inc. See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii.









NOVEMBER 1981 79

December 1981









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









M l SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1981





April May June July August September October November December 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOTMARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS







Raw industrials pric i index (1967 = 100) .... + 293.0 - 288.9 - 282.9 + 286.6 + 289.5 - 283.0 - 277.2 - 270.5 - 264.7



Percent rising of 13 components (69) (27) (38) (62) (62) (42) (38) (27) (31)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.682 - 0.664 - 0.646 - 0.635 + 0.650 - 0.620 0.609 - 0.591 - 0.582

(kilogram).. 1.504 1.464 1.424 1.400 1.433 1.367 1.343 1.303 1.283



Lead scrap (pound).. + 0.249 0 0.249 + 0.250 + 0.269 + 0.292 - 0.271 - 0.247 0.221 0.180

(kilogram).. 0.549 0.549 0.551 0.593 0.644 0.597 0.545 0.487 0.397



Steel scrap (U.S. t o n ) . , + 109.000 - 99.000 - 93.800 + 95.750 + 102.000 - 98.000 - 88.500 - 80.000 - 79.333

(metric t o n ) . . 120.151 109.128 103.396 105.545 112.435 108.025 97.554 88.184 87.449



Tin (pound).. - 6.248 - 5.945 - 5.796 + 6.030 + 6.528 + 6.746 + 6.820 + 7.040 + 7.160

(kilogram).. 13.774 13.106 12.778 13.294 14.392 14.872 15.035 15.520 15.785



Zinc (pound).. + 0.436 + 0.463 0 0.463 + 0.466 + 0.495 + 0.499 - 0.479 o 0.479 - 0.460

(kilogram).. 0.961 1.021 1.021 1.027 1.091 1.100 1.056 1.056 1.014



Burlap (yard)., + 0.280 - 0.267 - 0.251 - 0.246 - 0.243 + 0.246 - 0.242 - 0.238 0.229

(meter).. 0.306 0.292 0.274 0.269 0.266 0.269 0.265 0.260 0.250



Cotton (pound).. - 0.814 - 0.782 + 0.790 - 0.751 - 0.669 - 0.609 0.608 - 0.574 - 0.544

(kilogram).. 1.795 1.724 1.742 1.656 1.475 1.343 1.340 1.265 1.199



Print cloth (yard)., + 0.784 + 0.841 - 0.820 + 0.822 + 0.845 o 0.845 - 0.820 - 0.780 - 0.750

(meter).. 0.857 0.920 0.897 0.899 0.924 0.924 0.897 0.853 0.820



Wool tops (pound).. o 3.600 0 3.600 0 3.600 0 3.600 o 3.600 + 3.630 - 3.600 o 3.600 o 3.600

(kilogram).. 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.937 7.937 8.003 7.937 7.937 7.937



Hides (pound).. + 0.549 - 0.522 - 0.458 + 0.472 + 0.474 + 0.486 + 0.525 + 0.558 + 0.580

(kilogram).. 1.210 1.151 1.010 1.041 1.045 1.071 1.157 1.230 1.279



Rosin (100 p o u n d s ) . . o 45.000 0 45.000 + 46.500 0 46.500 o 46.500 - 46.100 + 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 k i l o g r a m s ) . . 99.207 99.207 102.514 102.514 102.514 101.632 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound).. - 0.603 - 0.590 - 0.584 - 0.554 - 0.538 - 0.450 + 0.464 - 0.462 + 0.486

(kilogram).. 1.329 1.301 1.287 1.221 1.186 0.992 1.023 1.019 1.071



Tallow (pound).. + 0.176 - 0.175 + 0.178 + 0.192 - 0.190 0.187 + 0.190 0.179 - 0.176

(kilogram).. 0.388 0.386 0.392 0.423 0.419 0.412 0.419 0.395 0.388



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( f ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised: "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for December 1, 8, and 15.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Beginning with data for

June 1981, these series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without written permission from the

Commodity Research Bureau, Inc.









ItO DECEMBER 1981 79

August 1982







CYCLICAL INDICATORS

C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE-Continued







0 1 SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directionsof Change-Continued



Diffusion index components 1982

1981



December January February March April May June July August1



967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS J



Rw industrials price index (1967 = 100) ....

a - 264.2 - 263.4 - 261.0 - 254.5 - 247.4 - 245.5 - 232.2 + 237.0 - 235.6



Percent rising of 13 components (46) (42) (35) (38) (31) (35) (23) (62) (50)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., - 0.578 - 0.572 - 0.565 - 0.530 + 0.534 - 0.530 - 0.427 + 0.465 - 0.458

(kilogram).. 1.274 1.261 1.246 1.168 1.177 1.168 0.941 1.025 1.010



Lead scrap.. (pound)., - 0.180 - 0.168 0.175 - 0.160 - 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.142 + 0.146 + 0.166

(kilogram).. 0.397 0.370 0.386 0.353 0.335 0.331 0.313 0.322 0.366



Steel scrap . . (U.S. ton).. + 81.600 + 88.000 83.750 74.600 - 72.750 - 70.000 57.800 + 59.000 o 59.000

(metric ton).. 89.948 . 97.002 92.318 82.232 80.192 77.161 63.713 65.036 65.036

Tin .... .(pound).. + 7.120 + 7.200 + 7.280 6.080 - 5.830 + 5.842 5.284 - 5.280 + 5.658

(kilogram).. 15.697 15.873 16.049 13.404 12.853 12.879 11.649 11.640 12.474

.(pound).. - 0.451 - 0.433 + 0.436 0.402 - 0.362 o 0.362 + 0.368 + 0.388 + 0.398

Zinc

(kilogram).. 0.994 0.955 0.961 0.886 0.798 0.798 0.811 0.855 0.877

(yard).. - 0.229 + 0.233 o 0.233 + 0.235 + 0.244 0.242 0.238 - 0.236 + 0.240

Burlap ..

(meter).. 0.250 0.255 0.255 0.257 0.267 0.265 0.260 0.258 0.262

Cotton (pound)., - 0.553 + 0.577 - 0.571 + 0.598 + 0.618 + 0.625 - 0.613 + 0.659 - 0.618

(kilogram).. 1.219 1.272 1.259 1.318 1.362 1.378 1.351 1.453 1.362

Print cloth.. (yard)., - 0.734 - 0.710 - 0.700 - 0.693 - 0.650 - 0.630 - 0.626 - 0.588 - 0.545

(meter).. 0.803 0.776 0.766 0.758 0.711 0.689 0.685 0.643 0.596

Wool tops .. (pound)., o 3,600 - 3.580 - 3.520 - 3.460 - 3.412 - 3.400 0 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400

(kilogram).. 7.937 7.892 7.760 7.628 7.522 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496

Hides (pound)., + 0.584 + 0.590 0 0.590 - 0.584 - 0.545 + 0.558 - 0.526 + 0.541 + 0.542

(kilogram).. 1.287 1.301 1.301 1.287 1.202 1.230 1.160 1.193 1.195

Rosin (100 pounds).. o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 + 53.500 - 49.000 - 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 117.946 108.025 103,616 103,616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound)., + 0.484 - 0.483 - 0.470 + 0.471 - 0.460 - 0.458 + 0.463 + 0.468 0.465

(kilogram).. 1.067 1.065 1.036 1.038 1.014 1.010 1.021 1.032 1.025

Tallow (pound)., + 0.180 - 0.167 - 0.161 + 0.171 + 0.177 + 0.182 - 0.176 - 0.168 - 0.147

(kilogram).. 0.397 0.368 0.355 0.377 0.390 0.401 0.388 0.370 0.324



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( - ) = falling, The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for August 3,.10, 17, and 24.

3

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









AUGUST 1982 79

September 1982









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Qj SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Continued





Diffusion index components 1982





January February March Apri 1 May June July August September 1





2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 263.4 - 261.0 254.5 - 247.4 - 245.5 - 232.2 + 237.0 - 236.2 + 239.7



Percent rising of 13 components (42) (35) (38) (31) (35) (23) (62) (54) (69)





Dollars





Copper scrap (pound) . . - 0.572 - 0.565 - 0.530 + 0.534 - 0.530 - 0.427 + 0.465 - 0.461 + 0.485

(kilogram) . . 1.261 1.246 1.168 1.177 1.168 0.941 1.025 1.016 1.069



Lead scrap (pound) . - 0.168 + 0.175 - 0.160 - 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.142 + 0.146 + 0.166 - 0.165

(kilogram) . . 0.370 0.386 0.353 0.335 0.331 0.313 0.322 0.366 0.364



Steel scrap (U.S. ton) . . + 88.000 - 83.750 - 74.600 - 72.750 - 70.000 - 57.800 + 59.000 + 59.200 + 60.000

(metric ton) . . 97.002 92.318 82.232 80.192 77.161 63.713 65.036 65.256 66.138



Tin (pound) . + 7.200 + 7.280 - 6.080 - 5.830 + 5.842 - 5.284 - 5.280 + 5.714 + 5.877

(kilogram) . . 15.873 16.049 13.404 12.853 12.879 11.649 11.640 12.597 12.956



Zinc (pound)., - 0.433 + 0.436 - 0.402 - 0.362 o 0.362 + 0.368 + 0.388 + 0.399 + 0.418

(kilogram) . . 0.955 0.961 0.886 0.798 0.798 0.811 0.855 0.880 0.922



Burlap (yard). . + 0.233 o 0.233 + 0.235 + 0.244 - 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.236 + 0.241 + 0.251

(meter) . . 0.255 0.255 0.257 0.267 0.265 0.260 0.258 0.264 . 0.274



Cotton (pound) . . + 0.577 - 0.571 + 0.598 + 0.618 + 0.625 - 0.613 + 0.659 - 0.615 - 0.586

(kilogram) . . 1.272 1.259 1.318 1.362 1.378 1.351 1.453 1.356 1.292



Print cloth (yard) - 0.710 - 0.700 - 0.693 - 0.650 - 0.630 - 0.626 - 0.588 - 0.546 + 0.553

(meter) . . 0.776 0.766 0.758 0.711 0.689 0.685 0.643 0.597 0.605



Wool tops (pound) . - 3.580 - 3.520 - 3.460 - 3.412 - 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400

(kilogram) . . 7.892 7.760 7.628 7.522 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496



Hides (pound) . . + 0.590 o 0.590 - 0.584 - 0.545 + 0.558 - 0.526 + 0.541 + 0.544 + 0.545

(kilogram).. 1.301 1.301 1.287 1.202 1.230 1.160 1.193 1.199 1.202



Rosin (100 pounds) o 47.000 o 47.000 + 53.500 - 49.000 - 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms) . . 103.616 103.616 117.946 108.025 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound) . . - 0.483 - 0.470 + 0.471 - 0.460 - 0.458 + 0.463 + 0.468 0.464 - 0.450

(kilogram) . . 1.065 1.036 1.038 1.014 1.010 1.021 1.032 1.023 0.992



Tallow . . (pound) - 0.167 - 0.161 + 0.171 + 0.177 + 0.182 - 0.176 - 0.168 - 0.150 + 0.160

(kilogram). . 0.368 0.355 0.377 0.390 0.401 0.388 0.370 0.331 0.353



NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p"

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for September 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









SEPTEMBER 1982 79

December 1982









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









Q | SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directionso Change—Continued

f





Diffusion index components 1982





ApriT May June July August September October November December 1





967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES RAW INDUSTRIALS 2





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . 247.4 - 245.5 - 232.2 237.0 236.2 + 239.0 - 235.5 230.4 228.0



Percent rising of 13 components (31) (35) (23) (62) (54) (62) (46) (31) (50)





Dollars







Copper scrap (pound).. + 0.534 - 0.530 - 0.427 0.465 0.461 + 0.481 0.482 + 0.485 + 0.505



(kilogram).. 1.177 1.168 0.941 1.025 1.016 1.060 1.063 1.069 1.113



Lead scrap.. (pound).. 0.152 - 0.150 - 0.142 + 0.146 + 0.166 0.164 - 0.148 0.129 0.113

(kilogram).. 0.335 0.331 0.313 0.322 0.366 0.362 0.326 0.284 0.249



Steel scrap . (U.S. ton)., 72.750 - 70.000 - 57.800 + 59.000 + 59.200 + 60.000 0 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000

(metric ton).. 80.192 77.161 63.713 65.036 65.256 66.138 66.138 66.138 66.138



Tin , (pound).. 5.830 + 5.842 - 5.284 - 5.280 + 5.714 + 5.820 - 5.715 5.524 + 5.540

(kilogram).. 12.853 12.879 11.649 11.640 12.597 12.831 12.599 12.178 12.213



Zinc (pound).. 0.362 0 0.362 + 0.368 + 0.388 + 0.399 + 0.419 - 0.418 0.404 0.391

(kilogram).. 0.798 0.798 0.811 0.855 0.880 0.924 0.922 0.891 0.862



Burlap (yard)., + 0.244 - 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.236 + 0.241 + 0.252 + 0.263 0.256 0.241

(meter).. 0.267 0.265 0.260 0.258 0.264 0.276 0.288 0.280 0.264



Cotton (pound).. + 0.618 + 0.625 - 0.613 0.659 0.615 0.588 + 0.595 0.589 + 0.607

(kilogram).. 1.362 1.378 1.351 1.453 1.356 1.296 1.312 1.299 1.338



Print cloth .. (yard).. 0.650 - 0.630 - 0.626 - 0.588 0.546 + 0.555 + 0.558 + 0.567 + 0.610

(meter).. 0.711 0.689 0.685 0.643 0.597 0.607 0.610 0.620 0.667



Wool tops . . (pound).. 3.412 - 3.400 0 3.400 0 3.400 o 3.400 o 3.400 + 3.500 + 3.600 3.400

(kilogram).. 7.522 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.716 7.937 7.496



Hides (pound).. 0.545 + 0.558 - 0.526 + 0.541 + 0.544 0.542 - 0.506 0.489 + 0.490

(kilogram).. 1.202 1.230 1.160 1.193 1.199 1.195 1.116 1.078 1.080



Rosin (100 pounds).. - 49.000 - 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms)., 108.025 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616



Rubber (pound).. 0.460 - 0.458 + 0.463 + 0.468 0.464 0.448 - 0.425 0.419 o 0.419

(kilogram).. 1.014 1.010 1.021 1.032 1.023 0.988 0.937 0.924 0.924



Tallow (pound).. + 0.177 + 0.182 - 0.176 - 0.168 0.150 + 0.159 _ 0.152 0.144 0.139

(kilogram).. 0.390 0.401 0.388 0.370 0.331 0.351 0.335 0.317 0.306



-

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( * ) rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; " p "

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for December 7, 14, and 21.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









DECEMBER 1982 79

January 1983









CYCLICAL INDICATORS



C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued









m SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change—Continued





Diffusion index components 1982 1983



May June July August September October November December January 1



2

967. INDEX OF SPOT MARKET PRICES, RAW INDUSTRIALS





Raw industrials price index (1967 = 100) . . . . - 245.5 - 232.2 237.0 - 236.2 + 239.0 - 235.5 230.4 - 227.4 + 230.0

Percent rising of 13 components (35) (23) (62) (54) (62) (46) (31) (46) (58)



Dollars





Copper scrap (pound)., - 0.530 - 0.427 0.465 - 0.461 + 0.481 + 0.482 + 0.485 + 0.510 + 0.549

(kilogram).. 1.168 0.941 1.025 1.016 1.060 1.063 1.069 1.124 1.210

Lead scrap.. ..(pound)., 0.150 - 0.142 + 0.146 + 0.166 - 0.164 - 0.148 - 0.129 - 0.114 + 0.127

(kilogram).. 0.331 0.313 0.322 0.366 0.362 0.326 0.284 0.251 0.280

Steel scrap . (U.S. t o n ) . , - 70.000 - 57.800 + 59.000 + 59.200 + 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000 o 60.000

(metric t o n ) . . 77.161 63.713 65.036 65.256 66.138 66.138 66.138 66.138 66.138

Tin (pound) + 5.842 - 5.284 - 5.280 + 5.714 + 5.820 - 5.715 - 5.524 + 5.528 - 5.483

(kilogram).. 12.879 11.649 11.640 12.597 12.831 12.599 12.178 12.187 12.088

Zinc (pound).. o 0.362 + 0.368 + 0.388 + 0.399 + 0.419 - 0.418 0.404 - 0.390 + 0.402

(kilogram).. 0.798 0.811 0.855 0.880 0.924 0.922 0.891 0.860 0.886

Burlap (yard) 0.242 - 0.238 - 0.236 + 0.241 + 0.252 + 0.263 - 0.256 - 0.240 - 0.229

(meter).. 0.265 0.260 0.258 0.264 0.276 0.288 0.280 0.262 0.250

Cotton (pound).. + 0.625 - 0.613 + 0.659 - 0.615 - 0.588 + 0.595 - 0.589 + 0.610 + 0.622

(kilogram).. 1.378 1.351 1.453 1.356 1.296 1.312 1.299 1.345 1.371

Print cloth (yard) 0.630 0.626 0.588 0.546 + 0.555 + 0.558 + 0.567 + 0.610 o 0.610

(meter).. 0.689 0.685 0.643 0.597 0.607 0.610 0.620 0.667 0.667

Wool tops ... (pound)., - 3.400 0 3.400 0 3.400 0 3.400 o 3.400 + 3.500 + 3.600 - 3.375 - 3.300

(kilogram).. 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.496 7.716 7.937 7.441 7.275

Hides (pound) + 0.558 - 0.526 + 0.541 + 0.544 - 0.542 - 0.506 - 0.489 - 0.485 - 0.475

(kilogram).. 1.230 1.160 1.193 1.199 1.195 1.116 1.078 1.069 1.047

Rosin (100 pounds) - 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 0 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000 o 47.000

(100 kilograms).. 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616 103.616

Rubber (pound)., 0.458 + 0.463 + 0.468 - 0.464 - 0.448 - 0.425 - 0.419 + 0.421 + 0.437

(kilogram).. 1.010 1.021 1.032 1.023 0.988 0.937 0.924 0.928 0.963

Tallow (pound).. + 0.182 - 0.176 - • 0.168 - 0.150 + 0..159 0.152 - 0.144 - 0.139 + 0.143

(kilogram).. 0.401 0.388 0.370 0.331 0.351 0.335 0.317 0.306 0.315

NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: ( + ) =• rising, (o) = unchanged, and ( —) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p",

preliminary; and "NA", not available.

1

Average for January 4, 11t and 18.

2

Data are not seasonally adjusted. These series are based on copyrighted data used by permission; they may not be reproduced without

written permission from Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.









JANUARY 1983 79


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